State election in Saxony 2019
The state elections in Saxony in 2019 on September 1, 2019 were the seventh election to the Saxon state parliament since the re-establishment of the Free State of Saxony in 1990. The state elections in Brandenburg took place on the same day .
Were elected 119 MPs from five parties that the on October 1, 2019 the 7th Parliament of Saxony have constituted.
In December 2019, the previous Prime Minister Kretschmer formed the Kretschmer II cabinet, legitimized by this election, in a Kenya coalition with the Greens and the SPD.
initial situation
In the 2014 state elections , the CDU received 39.4% of the vote, the Left 18.9%, the SPD 12.4%, the AfD 9.7%, the Greens 5.7%, the NPD 4.9% and the FDP 3.8%. CDU and SPD signed a coalition agreement; Stanislaw Tillich (CDU) was re-elected as Prime Minister and formed the Tillich III cabinet . Martin Dulig (SPD) became Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of State for Economy, Labor and Transport .
In the federal election on September 24, 2017 , the CDU in Saxony received 26.9% of the second vote; the AfD was just ahead of that with 27.0%. Tillich then resigned as prime minister and party chairman; Michael Kretschmer took over both positions in December 2017 .
In the 2019 European elections , the AfD in Saxony received 25.3%, while the CDU only received 23%. The CDU achieved its worst result in an election in Saxony since 1990.
Coalition statements before the election
Possible coalition | Seats |
---|---|
Total seats | 119 |
Absolute majority (from 60 seats) | |
CDU, Greens and SPD | 67 |
Prime Minister Michael Kretschmer ruled out any form of cooperation with the AfD and the Left Party for the CDU. The Greens were open to a coalition with the CDU. After the SPD top candidate Martin Dulig initially did not want to lead a coalition election campaign, a week before the election date he still campaigned for a coalition with the CDU and the Greens . For the FDP, the top candidate Holger Zastrow also ruled out coalitions with the AfD and the Left Party.
Participating parties
State lists and district election proposals had to be submitted by June 27, 2019. Parties that were not represented in the Bundestag or in a state parliament had to submit 1,000 support signatures in order to be admitted to the state list; The signatures of 100 eligible voters were sufficient for a constituency nomination.
On July 5, 2019, the state election committee decided on the admission of the submitted state lists to the state elections. One candidate was removed from the list of the Bündnis 90 / Die Grünen party, and three from the Reason Party . At the AfD, the list was only approved with its first 18 applicants. The AfD had drawn up its state list at two meetings from February 8 to 10, 2019 (list places 1 to 18) and from March 15 to 17, 2019 (places 19 to 61). In the opinion of the state electoral committee, the second assembly was not a continuation of the first, but a separate assembly from the first, which is inadmissible. A change in the electoral procedure at the second meeting was also criticized.
On July 10th, six of the deleted AfD list candidates filed a complaint with the Saxon Constitutional Court and applied for a temporary injunction against the decision of the election committee. Another constitutional complaint was filed by a citizen, and the AfD also announced that it would be appealing to the Federal Constitutional Court . On July 25, the Constitutional Court of Saxony issued an interim order according to which list positions 19 to 30 are to be permitted because their deletion was "very likely to be illegal".
The state lists of the following parties were allowed to vote:
Abbreviation | Political party | Top candidate |
---|---|---|
CDU | Christian Democratic Union of Germany | Michael Kretschmer |
THE LEFT | The left | Rico Gebhardt |
SPD | Social Democratic Party of Germany | Martin Dulig |
AfD | Alternative for Germany | Jörg Urban |
GREEN | Alliance 90 / The Greens | Katja Meier and Wolfram Günther |
NPD | National Democratic Party of Germany | Peter Schreiber |
FDP | Free Democratic Party | Holger Zastrow |
FREE VOTERS | Free voters | Cathleen Martin |
Animal welfare party | Human Environment Animal Welfare Party | Jürgen Wunderlich |
PIRATES | Pirate Party Germany | Knut Michael |
The party | The party | Tom Rodig |
BüSo | Civil rights movement Solidarity | Michael Gründler |
ADPM | Departure of German Patriots - Central Germany | Egbert Ermer |
Blue #TeamPetry | The blue party | Frauke Petry |
KPD | Communist Party of Germany | Torsten Reichelt |
ÖDP | Ecological Democratic Party | Sebastian Högen |
The humanists | Party of humanists | Dominic Ressel |
PDV | Party of reason | Thomas Flach |
Health research | Health Research Party | Andreas Kabus |
The state lists of
- Democracy on the move because it did not get the 1000 supporter signatures required
- The III. Gone , because the political association does not have the necessary structures to be considered a party
Election results
Eligible voters | 3,288,643 | |||||||
Voters | 2,188,486 | Wahlbe- pation 66.5% |
||||||
Direct voting |
proportion of | Seats | List votes |
proportion of | Verän- alteration |
Total seats |
Verän- alteration |
|
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Valid votes | 2,159,850 | 98.7 | 60 | 2,166,457 | 99.0 | 119 * | ||
Invalid votes | 28,636 | 1.3 | 22,029 | 1.0 | ||||
CDU | 703.006 | 32.5 | 41 | 695.560 | 32.1 | - | 7.345 | −14 |
AfD | 613,585 | 28.4 | 15th | 595,671 | 27.5 | +17.7 | 38 * | +24 |
The left | 265,871 | 12.3 | 1 | 224.354 | 10.4 | - | 8.514th | −13 |
Green | 192.489 | 8.9 | 3 | 187.015 | 8.6 | + | 2.912 | + | 4
SPD | 166.920 | 7.7 | - | 167.289 | 7.7 | - | 4.610 | - | 8
FDP | 100,639 | 4.7 | - | 97,438 | 4.5 | + | 0.7- | ± | 0
Free voters | 98,353 | 4.6 | - | 72,897 | 3.4 | + | 1.8- | ± | 0
The party | 12,557 | 0.6 | - | 33,618 | 1.6 | + | 0.8- | ± | 0
Animal welfare party | - | - | - | 33,476 | 1.5 | + | 0.4- | ± | 0
NPD | - | - | - | 12,947 | 0.6 | - | 4.3- | ± | 0
Health research | - | - | - | 11,652 | 0.5 | + | 0.5- | ± | 0
Blue #TeamPetry | 1,508 | 0.1 | - | 7,806 | 0.4 | + | 0.4- | ± | 0
PIRATES | - | - | - | 6,632 | 0.3 | - | 0.8- | ± | 0
ÖDP | - | - | - | 6,000 | 0.3 | + | 0.3- | ± | 0
The humanists | - | - | - | 4,305 | 0.2 | + | 0.2- | ± | 0
ADPM | - | - | - | 3,948 | 0.2 | + | 0.2- | ± | 0
PDV | - | - | - | 2,268 | 0.1 | + | 0.1- | ± | 0
KPD | - | - | - | 1,951 | 0.1 | + | 0.1- | ± | 0
BüSo | 2,190 | 0.1 | - | 1,630 | 0.1 | - | 0.1- | ± | 0
Others | 2,732 | 0.1 | - | - | - | - | - | ± | 0
*The AfD was entitled to 39 seats, one could
not be filled because of the deletion of the list positions 31-61 by the state election committee. → Participating parties |
||||||||
Source: wahlen.sachsen.de |
Votes in 2014 compared to 2019 - behavior at the polls (estimate)
2014
(Voter) |
CDU
2019 |
left
2019 |
SPD
2019 |
AfD
2019 |
Green
2019 |
FDP
2019 |
Other
Parties 2019 |
Non-voters
2019 |
Deceased | Moved |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CDU (645,000) | 390,000 | 6,000 | 12,000 | 84,000 | 17,000 | 16,000 | 12,000 | 23,000 | 61,000 | 24,000 |
Left (309,000) | 30,000 | 141,000 | 19,000 | 27,000 | 15,000 | 6,000 | 13,000 | 15,000 | 32,000 | 11,000 |
SPD (203,000) | 34,000 | 13,000 | 73,000 | 10,000 | 18,000 | 5,000 | 5,000 | 18,000 | 19,000 | 8,000 |
AfD (159,000) | 3,000 | 1,000 | 125,000 | 2,000 | 4,000 | 5,000 | 11,000 | 8,000 | ||
Greens (93,000) | 13,000 | 3,000 | 5,000 | 2,000 | 52,000 | 1,000 | 5,000 | 2,000 | 4,000 | 6,000 |
FDP (62,000) | 13,000 | 1,000 | 1,000 | 8,000 | 1,000 | 23,000 | 3,000 | 4,000 | 5,000 | 3,000 |
Other parties (165,000) | 13,000 | 4,000 | 3,000 | 38,000 | 5,000 | 1,000 | 67,000 | 14,000 | 8,000 | 12,000 |
Non-voters (1,738,000) | 162,000 | 37,000 | 41,000 | 246,000 | 32,000 | 28,000 | 58,000 | 907,000 | 129,000 | 98,000 |
First-time voters (2019) (170,000) | 12,000 | 11,000 | 5,000 | 17,000 | 20,000 | 7,000 | 24,000 | 74,000 | ||
Newcomers (184,000) | 26,000 | 9,000 | 7,000 | 38,000 | 27,000 | 10,000 | 8,000 | 59,000 | ||
All in all | 696,000 | 226,000 | 166,000 | 595,000 | 187,000 | 99,000 | 199,000 | 1,121,000 | 269,000 | 170,000 |
Survey
Sunday question
Institute | date | CDU | left | SPD | AfD | Green | FDP | FW | Otherwise. |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
State election 2019 | 09/01/2019 | 32.1% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 27.5% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.8% |
Research group elections | 08/29/2019 | 32% | 14% | 8.5% | 24.5% | 11% | 5% | - | 5% |
INSA | 08/27/2019 | 29% | 15% | 8th % | 25% | 11% | 5% | 4% | 3% |
Research group elections | 08/23/2019 | 31% | 14% | 9% | 25% | 10% | 5% | - | 3% |
Infratest dimap | 08/22/2019 | 30% | 16% | 7% | 24% | 11% | 5% | 4% | 3% |
FB Czaplicki | 08/20/2019 | 28% | 16% | 8th % | 26% | 13% | 5% | 3% | 1 % |
INSA | 08/06/2019 | 28% | 16% | 8th % | 25% | 12% | 5% | - | 6% |
Infratest dimap | 07/02/2019 | 26% | 15% | 9% | 26% | 12% | 5% | 3% | 4% |
IM Field / FB Czaplicki | June 15, 2019 | 24% | 15% | 8th % | 24% | 14% | 6% | 4% | 5% |
INSA | 06/13/2019 | 24% | 16% | 7% | 25% | 16% | 6% | 4% | 2% |
INSA | 04/26/2019 | 28% | 16% | 10% | 26% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% |
INSA | 04/05/2019 | 28% | 17% | 9% | 25% | 9% | 6% | - | 6% |
IM Field / FB Czaplicki | March 22, 2019 | 27% | 17% | 11% | 18% | 16% | 5% | 2% | 4% |
State election 2014 | 08/31/2014 | 39.4% | 18.9% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 8.4% |
Older polls
2015 - 2018 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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|
course
Direct election of Prime Minister
Institute | date | Michael Kretschmer ( CDU ) |
Rico Gebhardt ( The Left ) |
Jörg Urban ( AfD ) |
---|---|---|---|---|
Research group elections | 09/01/2019 | 57% | 9% | - |
60% | - | 12% | ||
Research group elections | 08/29/2019 | 62% | 9% | - |
67% | - | 9% | ||
Research group elections | 08/23/2019 | 65% | 8th % | - |
68% | - | 9% |
Preferred coalition polls
The percentages of the uniQma survey indicate which proportion of respondents would most like the coalition from which they were selected. The missing values for 100% made no information. The values of the survey by Infratest dimap reflect the opinion of the respondents, which of the coalitions surveyed they rate positively (negative CDU / SPD 62%, CDU / SPD / GREEN / FDP 64%, CDU / AfD 70%).
Institute | date |
CDU SPD |
CDU SPD Green FDP |
CDU Green SPD |
Left Green SPD |
CDU SPD FDP |
CDU AfD |
CDU Green FDP |
CDU left |
CDU FDP blue |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Infratest dimap | 07/02/2019 | 36% | 32% | - | - | - | 27% | - | - | - |
uniQma | 07.09.2018 | - | - | 18.7% | 14.9% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% |
See also
literature
- Franz Schausberger : State election in Saxony 2019 . In: IRE -Occasional Papers . No. 8/2019. Salzburg 2019. p. 245 - p. 250. ISBN 978-3-902557-20-9 .
Web links
- Election results ed. from the State Statistical Office of the Free State of Saxony
- First and second vote results as well as directly elected candidates from the 60 constituencies focus.de
- State election in Saxony 2019 on the information portal on political education
Individual evidence
- ↑ a b results
- ^ The next elections in Germany: In: Wahlrecht.de. August 29, 2018. Retrieved August 29, 2018 .
- ↑ The newly elected Saxon state parliament has been constituted. In: welt.de . October 1, 2019, accessed October 13, 2019 .
- ↑ Saxony's Kenya government is sealed | MDR.DE. Retrieved February 6, 2020 .
- ↑ tagesspiegel.de December 12, 2017: Tillich successor: Michael Kretschmer is the new Prime Minister of Saxony
- ↑ Communication and Public Relations Department: Election Results - sachsen.de. Retrieved September 2, 2019 .
- ↑ Michael Kretschmer (CDU), "No cooperation with AfD and Left Party" SWR 23 August 2019
- ↑ Habeck toying with the Saxon CDU ntv August 24, 2019
- ↑ SPD top candidate Dulig advertises Kenya alliance in Saxony Free Press August 27, 2019
- ↑ FDP top candidate Zastrow concludes coalition with AfD and Left Party from MDR August 6, 2019
- ↑ Andreas Debski: Linkssumpf, asylum fraud and bird shit: Saxony-AfD is preparing for election. In: lvz.de. February 10, 2019, accessed July 5, 2019 .
- ↑ Andreas Debski: Saxony-AfD torments itself by voting from lists. In: lvz.de. March 17, 2019, accessed July 5, 2019 .
- ↑ This is how the state election committee explains the shortening of the AfD list. In: welt.de. July 9, 2019, accessed July 28, 2019 .
- ↑ WELT: AfD Saxony files a constitutional complaint against the reduction of the state list . July 10, 2019 ( welt.de [accessed August 31, 2019]).
- ^ ZEIT ONLINE: State election: AfD Saxony submits a constitutional complaint . In: The time . July 10, 2019, ISSN 0044-2070 ( zeit.de [accessed August 31, 2019]).
- ↑ tagesschau.de: Sächsische AfD: Court allows larger list in state elections. Accessed August 31, 2019 .
- ↑ MDR: AfD Saxony wants to complain about list debacle
- ↑ That's why the AfD only gets 38 instead of 39 seats in the Saxon state parliament. In: stern.de. September 2, 2019, accessed September 18, 2019 .
- ↑ Andreas Evelt, Marcel Pauly: Analysis of state elections: AfD mobilizes almost a quarter of a million non-voters in Saxony . In: Spiegel Online . September 2, 2019 ( spiegel.de [accessed September 2, 2019]).
- ↑ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w Wahlrecht.de : Election surveys on the state elections in Saxony .
- ↑ AfD in Saxony on a new high , on wallstreet: online
- ↑ Exclusive survey on the state election: Saxony is threatened with an AfD quake. In: image . December 20, 2018, accessed December 20, 2018 .
- ↑ CDU remains the strongest force in Saxony , on sz-online.de, accessed on November 1, 2017.
- ^ Election analysis Saxony 2019 , on Forschungsgruppe.de.de
- ↑ Politbarometer-Extra Brandenburg and Saxony August II 2019 , on Forschungsgruppe.de.de
- ↑ Politbarometer-Extra Brandenburg and Saxony August I 2019 , on Forschungsgruppe.de.de
- ↑ Saxony trend: CDU and AfD on par , on mdr.de, accessed on July 2, 2019.
- ↑ AfD second strongest force in Saxony - no majority for black and red , on lvz.de, accessed on September 7, 2018.