Election to the Swedish Diet 2018

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← 2014Election to the Swedish Diet 2018
Turnout 87.2%
 %
30th
20th
10
0
28.26
19.84
17.53
8.61
8.00
6.32
5.49
4.41
1.53
Otherwise.
Gains and losses
compared to 2014
 % p
   6th
   4th
   2
   0
  -2
  -4
-2.75
-3.49
+4.67
+2.50
+2.28
+1.75
+0.07
-2.48
-2.56
Otherwise.
Distribution of seats
        
A total of 349 seats
  • V : 28
  • S : 100
  • MP : 16
  • C : 31
  • L : 20
  • KD : 22
  • M : 70
  • SD : 62
Alliances
 %
50
40
30th
20th
10
0
40.69
40.29
17.54
Center
left
Middle right
Gains and losses
compared to 2014
 % p
   6th
   4th
   2
   0
  -2
  -4
-2.93
+0.86
+4.68
Center
left
Middle right

The election for the Swedish Parliament took place on September 9, 2018. Almost 7.5 million voters were called upon to elect 349 members to the Reichstag . In addition to the parliamentary elections, bundled state and local elections were held in Sweden at the same time . The Social Democrats remained by far the strongest party, but received only 28.3% of the votes - their worst result since the 1908 election .

Starting position

From the general election in 2014 were Social Democrats (S) clearly emerged as the strongest force; they had won one seat in 2014 compared to the 2010 election . The former largest ruling party, the liberal-conservative Moderate Collection Party (M), suffered heavy losses and lost 23 seats. She had governed since 2006 in a coalition with the Center Party (C), the Liberals (L ), then called the People's Party (FP ), and the Christian Democratic Kristdemokraterna (KD), and since 2006 has provided the Prime Minister - Fredrik Reinfeldt . This coalition was replaced by a minority government made up of the Social Democrats and the green Miljöpartiet (MP), which was tolerated by the left Vänsterpartiet (V). The new Prime Minister was Stefan Löfven (S). The immigration-critical populist Sweden Democrats (SD) entered the Reichstag for the first time in the parliamentary elections in 2010 (with 20 members) and again in 2014 (with 49 members).

A total of almost 6,300 candidates ran for the 2018 Reichstag election. Numerous smaller parties competed for mandates, including the Feminist Initiative (Fi), which was only moved into a few municipal councils in 2014 because of the four percent hurdle , the Pirate Party (PP) and the right-wing split-off of the Sverigedemokraterna Alternative for Sweden (AfS).

Electoral process

349 members of the Swedish Reichstag were elected for a legislative period of four years . The Swedish electoral system is based on the principle of proportional representation . The country is divided into 29 constituencies (valkretsar), which essentially correspond to the 21 Swedish Län (provinces). Three of the Län have multiple constituencies: Stockholm County has two constituencies, Skåne County has four and Västra Götalands County has five constituencies.

The 349 mandates of the Reichstag consist of 310 so-called “fixed mandates” (fasta mandat) and 39  compensation mandates (utjämningsmandat). By April 30th of an election year at the latest, the electoral authority will determine how many of the 310 fixed mandates will be assigned to the individual constituencies. A blocking clause of four percent of the votes nationwide applies to the distribution of seats . First, the fixed mandates are distributed proportionally at constituency level. Those parties are also taken into account that failed to meet the nationwide threshold, provided they received at least twelve percent of the votes in the constituency. Then the 349 seats are distributed proportionally to the parties according to the nationwide voting ratio. From this number of seats, the seats already won as fixed constituency mandates are deducted for each party and the remaining seats still to be allocated to it as compensatory mandates. If a party has received more permanent constituency seats than it is entitled to according to nationwide proportional representation, the surplus constituency seats will be deleted in contrast to earlier elections. The so-called “balanced method”, a modification of the Sainte-Laguë procedure, is used for the allocation of seats between the parties .

All Swedish citizens who had reached the age of 18 on election day at the latest were entitled to vote.

Election observation by the OSCE

In Sweden there are ballot papers for the parties at the polling station. The Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE) has criticized the fact that everyone in the room can see which party the voter will vote for; because every voter takes the ballot paper of the party he has elected into the booth, where he puts it in the voting envelope. The OSCE announced that it would send two election observers for the first time in Sweden's history . They should investigate whether the elections are anonymous and whether you can really vote for any party. In previous elections, ballot papers for certain parties were missing in some constituencies.

Election result

Parties with the highest number of votes by constituency (left) and municipalities (right): Social Democrats Moderate rallying party Sweden Democrats



Result of the election for the Swedish Parliament in 2018
Political party be right Seats
number % +/- number +/-
Swedish Social Democratic Labor Party (S) 1,830,386 28.3 −2.7 100 −13
Left Party (V) 518.454 8.0 +2.3 28 +7
Environment party The Greens (MP) 285,899 4.4 −2.5 16 −9
Moderate gathering party (M) 1,284,698 19.8 −3.5 70 −14
Center Party (C) 557,500 8.6 +2.5 31 +9
Christian Democrats (KD) 409.478 6.3 +1.8 22nd +6
Liberals (L) 355,546 5.5 +0.1 20th +1
Sweden Democrats (SD) 1,135,627 17.5 +4.7 62 +13
Feminist Initiative (FI) 29,665 0.5 −2.7 - -
Alternative for Sweden (AfS) 20,290 0.3 +0.1 - -
Medborgerlig Samling (MED) 13,056 0.2 +0.2 - -
Pirate Party (PP) 7,326 0.1 −0.3 - -
Others 28,800 0.4 +0.4 - -
total 6,476,725 100 ± 0 349 ± 0
Valid votes 6,476,725 99.1
Invalid ballot papers for unregistered parties 2.120 0.0
Invalid blank ballot paper 53,084 0.8
Invalid other votes 3,342 0.1
voter turnout 6,535,271 87.2
Eligible voters 7,495,936 100
Source: Val till riksdagen - roaster

Survey

Last polls before the election

Institute date S. M. SD MP C. V L. KD Fi Otherwise.
Post-election surveys
SVT 09.09.2018 26.2% 17.8% 19.2% 4.2% 8.9% 9.0% 5.5% 7.4% - 1.8%
Sifo 09.09.2018 25.4% 18.4% 16.3% 5.8% 9.4% 9.8% 5.8% 5.9% - 2.6%
Survey
Inizio 07.09.2018 24.6% 19.6% 16.8% 5.2% 9.4% 9.6% 5.8% 5.9% 1.1% 2.0%
Sifo 09/06/2018 24.4% 16.9% 17.0% 6.2% 10.0% 10.0% 6.0% 6.3% - 3.2%
Demoskop 09/06/2018 26.5% 17.9% 17.2% 5.3% 8.2% 9.8% 6.2% 6.0% - 2.9%
SKOP 09/06/2018 23.1% 17.3% 17.7% 5.7% 7.9% 10.6% 6.2% 6.9% 0.8% 3.8%
Novus 09/06/2018 24.9% 17.7% 19.1% 5.0% 8.6% 10.0% 6.5% 5.7% - 2.5%
Sifo 05.09.2018 25.1% 17.2% 16.9% 6.2% 10.0% 10.1% 6.0% 5.9% - 2.7%
Ipsos 05.09.2018 25.9% 17.3% 16.8% 4.8% 9.6% 10.1% 6.2% 5.9% 1.1% 2.3%
SKOP 05.09.2018 22.1% 18.2% 19.2% 5.6% 7.7% 10.6% 5.9% 6.6% 1.1% 3.0%
Sifo 04.09.2018 25.0% 17.2% 17.1% 5.4% 9.3% 10.2% 6.8% 6.6% - 2.7%
Demoskop 04.09.2018 25.5% 17.8% 18.2% 4.8% 8.9% 9.4% 6.2% 5.9% - 3.3%
SKOP 04.09.2018 22.5% 17.1% 20.0% 5.5% 8.1% 11.0% 5.4% 7.0% 1.2% 2.2%
Ipsos 03.09.2018 26.5% 16.9% 16.3% 5.0% 9.6% 10.7% 5.9% 6.3% - 2.8%
Sifo 03.09.2018 25.3% 17.0% 17.2% 5.4% 8.4% 11.1% 6.7% 6.0% - 2.9%
Inizio 03.09.2018 24.6% 19.2% 17.3% 5.0% 8.4% 9.4% 6.0% 6.5% - 3.5%
SKOP 03.09.2018 22.9% 16.3% 20.3% 6.2% 8.0% 11.0% 4.9% 6.8% 1.1% 2.4%
Sifo 02.09.2018 25.6% 16.8% 18.1% 5.3% 9.0% 10.5% 6.3% 5.3% - 3.0%
SKOP 02.09.2018 23.3% 16.9% 19.7% 6.3% 7.8% 10.5% 5.4% 6.6% - 3.5%
YouGov 09/01/2018 23.8% 16.5% 24.8% 3.6% 6.0% 9.4% 5.7% 4.8% 0.6% 4.8%
Election 2014 09/14/2014 31.0% 23.3% 12.9% 6.9% 6.1% 5.7% 5.4% 4.6% 3.1% 1.0%

Older polls

January - August 2018
Institute date S. M. SD MP C. V L. KD Fi Otherwise.
SKOP 08/31/2018 23.8% 17.0% 20.0% 6.2% 7.5% 10.5% 5.4% 6.7% 1.2% 1.9%
Demoskop 08/31/2018 24.5% 17.1% 19.8% 5.1% 9.5% 9.5% 6.8% 4.8% 0.8% 1.9%
Sifo 08/30/2018 25.7% 16.8% 16.9% 6.0% 9.5% 10.5% 5.7% 5.5% - 3.3%
SKOP 08/30/2018 24.7% 16.9% 19.5% 6.0% 8.2% 10.3% 5.8% 6.1% 1.0% 1.6%
Inizio 08/30/2018 23.1% 19.5% 18.1% 5.6% 8.5% 10.1% 5.9% 6.0% 1.7% 1.5%
Sentio 08/30/2018 22.1% 18.2% 24.0% 4.4% 6.0% 10.7% 5.2% 5.0% - 4.4%
Sifo 08/29/2018 25.6% 17.7% 17.6% 5.9% 8.9% 11.3% 5.1% 5.4% - 2.6%
SKOP 08/29/2018 25.4% 15.5% 20.3% 5.5% 8.0% 9.5% 6.2% 6.0% 0.9% 1.5%
Novus 08/28/2018 24.3% 19.4% 18.2% 5.7% 8.0% 10.1% 6.2% 5.3% - 2.8%
Sifo 08/28/2018 25.2% 17.6% 19.2% 5.2% 8.9% 10.5% 5.5% 5.7% - 2.2%
SKOP 08/28/2018 25.5% 16.2% 20.3% 5.6% 8.3% 8.7% 6.7% 5.8% 1.1% 1.7%
Sifo 08/27/2018 25.9% 18.3% 18.8% 5.5% 8.5% 9.5% 5.3% 6.1% - 2.1%
Inizio 08/26/2018 24.0% 20.3% 18.7% 5.8% 8.7% 8.8% 5.1% 5.7% - 3.0%
Sifo 08/26/2018 26.2% 17.9% 18.5% 5.8% 9.3% 9.1% 5.8% 5.5% - 1.9%
Ipsos 08/24/2018 26.3% 17.1% 19.4% 6.0% 8.8% 9.8% 5.4% 4.6% - 2.6%
Sifo 08/23/2018 25.4% 17.6% 18.6% 6.1% 10.3% 9.5% 5.9% 4.7% - 2.0%
SKOP 08/22/2018 24.5% 17.1% 20.1% 5.8% 8.2% 9.2% 6.3% 4.6% 1.7% 2.5%
Novus 08/21/2018 25.1% 19.3% 19.2% 6.2% 10.0% 8.7% 5.3% 3.5% - 2.7%
YouGov 08/20/2018 21.9% 15.8% 24.2% 5.1% 7.9% 9.2% 5.3% 3.8% 2.1% 4.7%
Inizio 08/16/2018 24.6% 20.9% 18.8% 5.3% 8.5% 8.9% 4.7% 5.2% 1.1% 2.2%
Ipsos 08/16/2018 24.9% 17.7% 19.0% 6.1% 10.1% 9.5% 5.9% 4.0% 1.0% 1.8%
Sifo 08/16/2018 25.2% 19.4% 18.7% 6.5% 9.5% 9.3% 5.1% 4.2% 1.0% 1.1%
Demoskop 08/15/2018 23.6% 19.7% 19.6% 6.5% 11.1% 8.8% 4.8% 3.6% 1.0% 1.1%
Sentio 08/14/2018 22.5% 19.6% 21.8% 4.7% 7.6% 10.6% 4.3% 3.8% 1.7% 3.4%
Novus 08/12/2018 24.3% 18.1% 21.6% 5.2% 9.6% 9.6% 5.9% 3.0% - 2.8%
Sifo 08/09/2018 25.8% 20.3% 16.8% 5.6% 10.3% 9.2% 6.0% 3.3% - 2.8%
Inizio 08/02/2018 24.9% 20.4% 19.0% 4.8% 9.5% 8.7% 4.4% 4.8% 1.5% 1.9%
Sentio 08/01/2018 21.1% 19.1% 25.5% 3.9% 6.9% 12.6% 4.6% 2.4% 1.2% 2.6%
SKOP 07/21/2018 25.9% 19.2% 20.7% 3.5% 10.1% 10.3% 4.9% 3.3% 0.9% 1.2%
YouGov 07/15/2018 21.2% 15.9% 25.7% 3.9% 8.6% 9.8% 5.4% 3.8% 1.0% 4.7%
Novus 07/22/2018 23.7% 19.6% 21.6% 5.7% 8.4% 10.1% 5.0% 3.2% - 2.7%
Demoskop 07/03/2018 25.9% 19.9% 21.0% 4.2% 9.8% 9.1% 4.3% 2.5% 1.9% 1.4%
Sentio 07/03/2018 21.2% 18.1% 25.6% 3.8% 7.1% 10.8% 5.8% 4.0% 1.1% 2.5%
Inizio 06/26/2018 23.9% 20.6% 20.5% 3.9% 9.5% 8.9% 5.1% 4.5% - 3.1%
Novus 06/24/2018 24.5% 19.8% 22.4% 4.7% 8.9% 9.0% 4.8% 3.4% - 2.5%
Ipsos 06/18/2018 24% 19% 20% 4% 10% 9% 6% 3% - -
SKOP 06/18/2018 26.3% 22.9% 19.0% 4.5% 9.0% 7.6% 4.5% 2.5% 1.7% 2.1%
YouGov 06/18/2018 22.0% 17.3% 28.5% 3.8% 7.1% 9.3% 4.3% 3.1% 1.4% 3.4%
Sifo June 15, 2018 26.1% 20.6% 18.5% 4.0% 10.8% 9.8% 4.9% 2.4% 1.5% 1.4%
Demoskop 06/06/2018 23.1% 19.9% 21.0% 4.9% 9.8% 8.3% 5.1% 3.8% 2.3% 1.8%
Novus 06/06/2018 23.8% 21.1% 21.9% 4.5% 8.9% 9.1% 4.6% 2.9% - 3.2%
Inizio 05/30/2018 24.5% 22% 19.5% 3.9% 9.5% 8.2% 4.3% 4.9% 1.5% 1.8%
SCB 05/29/2018 28.3% 22.6% 18.5% 4.3% 8.7% 7.4% 4.4% 2.9% - 2.9%
Sentio 06/05/2018 21.7% 17.1% 26.1% 4.8% 7.2% 9.7% 7.0% 3.3% 0.6% 2.5%
Ipsos May 21, 2018 24% 22% 20% 4% 9% 9% 5% 4% 2% 2%
Novus 05/17/2018 26.9% 20.6% 19.2% 4.3% 9.4% 8.4% 4.4% 3.5% - 3.3%
Sifo 05/17/2018 25.2% 23.6% 18.7% 4.0% 8.1% 9.3% 4.8% 3.5% 1.6% 1.3%
YouGov May 14, 2018 23.0% 18.3% 23.0% 3.6% 10.1% 9.0% 4.2% 3.0% 1.8% 3.9%
Inizio 07/05/2018 26.6% 22.4% 16.9% 3.8% 9.0% 7.4% 4.2% 4.8% 2.5% 2.4%
Sentio 05/10/2018 25.3% 20.4% 23.1% 4.4% 7.6% 9.2% 3.7% 2.1% 2.2% 2.0%
Demoskop May 2nd, 2018 26.3% 22.3% 19.4% 4.4% 9.1% 7.7% 4.9% 2.9% 1.5% 1.5%
Ipsos 04/23/2018 26% 21% 17% 4% 12% 8th % 5% 3% 2% 2%
Sentio April 19, 2018 25.9% 20.1% 21.4% 4.4% 6.4% 8.3% 4.4% 2.4% 3.1% 3.6%
YouGov 04/16/2018 23.3% 19.9% 22.1% 3.9% 8.9% 8.5% 4.0% 3.2% 2.6% 3.7%
Novus April 15, 2018 26.9% 22.1% 18.2% 4.0% 9.2% 8.1% 5.0% 3.5% - 3.0%
SKOP 04/13/2018 26.7% 25.1% 16.7% 3.5% 9.0% 7.0% 5.1% 4.3% 2.3% 0.3%
Sifo 04/12/2018 28.4% 23.0% 14.8% 4.1% 9.7% 8.1% 4.4% 3.4% 2.6% 1.7%
Inizio 04/09/2018 27.3% 23.3% 15.9% 4.0% 9.0% 6.5% 3.9% 5.1% 2.3% 2.6%
Demoskop 04/04/2018 25.9% 22.2% 18.8% 5.2% 9.5% 8.7% 4.0% 3.3% 1.3% 1.1%
Ipsos 03/19/2018 28% 21% 17% 4% 10% 9% 5% 3% 2% 2%
YouGov 03/19/2018 24.0% 18.8% 22.4% 4.0% 7.6% 8.3% 4.7% 3.6% 2.5% 4.1%
Novus 03/18/2018 27.8% 22.6% 17.8% 3.8% 9.3% 7.8% 5.0% 3.2% 1.0% 2.7%
Sifo 03/15/2018 29.0% 23.1% 15.9% 3.8% 10.0% 7.7% 4.4% 3.0% 1.8% 1.3%
Sentio 03/13/2018 24.6% 19.5% 23.0% 4.7% 6.5% 8.1% 3.9% 4.8% 2.0% 2.9%
Demoskop 07.03.2018 27.2% 21.8% 18.6% 4.6% 7.9% 8.5% 5.1% 3.3% 1.8% 1.2%
Inizio 05.03.2018 26.4% 24.5% 15.7% 3.3% 8.8% 6.9% 3.6% 5.9% 2.6% 2.3%
Ipsos February 19, 2018 29% 21% 16% 3% 11% 9% 5% 3% - 3%
YouGov February 19, 2018 22.4% 20.5% 22.1% 3.4% 9.3% 10% 4.7% 2.6% 2.5% 2.4%
Novus 02/18/2018 28.4% 23.7% 17.1% 4.3% 8.8% 8.1% 4.6% 2.7% - 2.3%
Sifo 02/15/2018 27.3% 23.8% 16.2% 4.6% 10.5% 7.2% 5.0% 2.8% 1.4% 1.4%
Sentio 02/14/2018 24.6% 21.0% 21.9% 3.3% 10.8% 9.0% 4.4% 2.2% 1.8% 1.0%
Demoskop 02/06/2018 27.3% 23.9% 15.4% 5.1% 9.3% 7.2% 4.9% 3.5% 2.1% 1.3%
Inizio 02/05/2018 28.5% 24.6% 15.6% 3.2% 9.3% 6.8% 4.0% 4.1% 2.1% 2.0%
SKOP 02/02/2018 26.9% 25.0% 15.5% 3.1% 10.7% 7.7% 5.1% 3.5% 2.0% 0.7%
Novus 01/22/2018 28.6% 23.8% 16.5% 4.1% 8.9% 7.6% 5.0% 2.7% - 2.8%
Ipsos 01/21/2018 28% 25% 16% 4% 9% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1 %
Sifo January 18, 2018 27.8% 24.4% 16.2% 4.1% 8.8% 7.7% 5.1% 2.9% 2.1% 1.1%
Sentio January 16, 2018 27.0% 19.9% 22.2% 3.8% 8.6% 7.1% 3.6% 2.9% 2.7% 2.2%
YouGov January 15, 2018 26.2% 20.9% 20.5% 4.5% 9.1% 7.8% 3.8% 2.5% 2.1% 2.6%
Demoskop 09/01/2018 27.8% 22.6% 17.9% 4.4% 9.2% 7.2% 4.5% 2.9% 1.9% 1.6%
Inizio 01/08/2018 28.3% 23.7% 16.0% 3.6% 9.9% 7.4% 3.4% 4.0% 1.3% 2.3%
Election 2014 09/14/2014 31.0% 23.3% 12.9% 6.9% 6.1% 5.7% 5.4% 4.6% 3.1% 1.0%
September - December 2017
Institute date S. M. SD MP C. V L. KD Fi Otherwise.
Novus December 21, 2017 29.5% 21.3% 16.8% 4.3% 9.8% 7.5% 5.4% 3.3% - 2.1%
YouGov December 18, 2017 25.5% 22.7% 20.5% 3.9% 7.9% 7.0% 4.9% 3.3% 2.1% 2.2%
Sifo December 14, 2017 29.3% 22.0% 16.5% 4.1% 10.2% 7.4% 5.0% 2.7% 1.9% 0.9%
Ipsos December 14, 2017 28% 23% 16% 4% 10% 7% 5% 3% 2% 2%
Inizio 12/12/2017 27.5% 23.7% 15.9% 3.1% 10.1% 6.8% 3.9% 4.8% 1.7% 2.6%
Sentio 06.12.2017 23.0% 20.2% 23.0% 3.9% 10.0% 8.0% 4.6% 3.0% 1.6% 2.7%
Demoskop 05.12.2017 27.1% 20.9% 18.3% 3.9% 9.1% 8.5% 5.8% 3.0% 2.2% 1.2%
SCB 11/28/2017 32.6% 22.2% 14.8% 3.8% 9.5% 7.0% 4.2% 3.1% - 2.6%
Novus 11/26/2017 28.6% 19.9% 16.6% 5.0% 11.0% 7.3% 5.5% 3.6% - 2.5%
Sentio 11/21/2017 26.6% 18.2% 21.7% 4.8% 9.1% 7.7% 4.2% 3.3% 1.9% 1.8%
YouGov 11/20/2017 25.2% 20.2% 20.7% 4.6% 10.3% 7.6% 4.5% 2.8% 1.3% 2.6%
Ipsos 11/19/2017 28% 21% 16% 5% 11% 8th % 5% 3% 2% 1 %
Inizio 11/13/2017 28.6% 23.2% 15.4% 4.0% 10.1% 6.8% 3.3% 4.0% 2.0% 2.7%
Sifo 11/09/2017 29.8% 22.4% 14.7% 4.2% 10.3% 6.9% 5.4% 3.1% 2.1% 1.1%
Demoskop 11/01/2017 28.2% 21.9% 18.1% 4.4% 9.1% 7.5% 4.9% 2.8% 2.2% 0.9%
SKOP October 31, 2017 28.3% 22.2% 16.0% 3.5% 11.9% 7.4% 4.8% 3.4% 1.7% 1.0%
Novus October 29, 2017 29.8% 20.6% 16.2% 4.0% 10.8% 7.6% 4.8% 3.8% - 2.4%
YouGov 23.10.2017 25.2% 19.9% 21.9% 3.2% 9.0% 7.7% 5.4% 3.0% 2.1% 2.6%
Ipsos 10/22/2017 30% 22% 15% 4% 10% 7% 6% 3% 2% 1 %
Sifo October 12, 2017 30.5% 18.6% 15.0% 3.8% 12.3% 8.3% 6.1% 2.9% 1.1% 1.4%
Sentio 09.10.2017 25.9% 16.8% 22.8% 4.0% 9.6% 8.8% 5.5% 2.3% 1.9% 2.4%
Inizio 09.10.2017 30.1% 18.7% 17.9% 3.2% 11.5% 6.6% 3.7% 4.4% 1.7% 2.2%
Demoskop 10/01/2017 32.1% 17.5% 15.3% 4.4% 12.6% 7.9% 4.5% 3.7% 1.6% 0.7%
Novus 10/01/2017 29.4% 16.2% 17.5% 4.3% 12.5% 7.9% 6.4% 3.5% - 2.3%
YouGov 09/18/2017 26.3% 16.0% 25.3% 3.1% 9.4% 7.5% 5.5% 3.1% 2.0% 1.8%
Ipsos 09/18/2017 29% 16% 18% 4% 13% 7% 6% 3% 3% 2%
Sifo 09/14/2017 29.7% 17.2% 17.8% 4.5% 11.9% 7.4% 5.0% 3.7% 2.0% 0.7%
Sentio 09/11/2017 25.3% 17.0% 23.4% 4.1% 11.5% 6.9% 4.7% 3.1% 2.8% 0.9%
Inizio 09/06/2017 28.8% 16.5% 19.9% 3.5% 12.3% 6.5% 3.6% 4.7% 1.5% 2.7%
Demoskop 05.09.2017 30.3% 17.3% 18.1% 4.6% 11.2% 8.0% 5.2% 2.8% 2.0% 0.5%
Novus 09/03/2017 29.7% 16.3% 18.1% 4.8% 12.0% 6.8% 5.4% 3.9% 2.0% 1.0%
Election 2014 09/14/2014 31.0% 23.3% 12.9% 6.9% 6.1% 5.7% 5.4% 4.6% 3.1% 1.0%
September 2014 - June 2017
date Institute S. M. SD MP C. V L. KD Fi Otherwise.
May 30th - June 7th 2017 Demoskop 26.7 18.2 20.2 4.1 11.0 8.9 4.8 2.6 2.6 0.9
Mar 20 – Apr 16, 2017 Novus 28.2 16.4 19.0 4.2 12.6 7.4 5.2 3.4 2.5 1.1
3–12 Apr 2017 Sifo 29.9 17.5 16.7 3.2 13.8 8.2 5.4 2.9 1.8 0.6
7-10 Apr 2017 Sentio 23.3 15.8 27.2 4.8 8.7 7.2 4.8 3.7 2.2 2.3
28 Mar – 5 Apr 2017 Demoskop 26.2 17.8 17.8 5.7 13.5 7.4 6.0 2.8 1.8 1.0
17-20 Mar 2017 YouGov 22.0 15.4 23.9 3.5 12.5 8.7 6.5 3.0 3.4 1.1
9-19 Mar 2017 Ipsos 27 17th 18th 5 13 8th 7th 3 2 1
Feb 20 - Mar 19, 2017 Novus 26.7 18.0 19.2 4.6 12.2 7.1 5.9 3.2 2.0 1.1
6-16 Mar 2017 Sifo 28.7 18.4 16.7 4.5 14.2 7.1 5.7 2.8 1.3 0.6
8-14 Mar 2017 Inizio 25.7 17.6 22.2 3.1 12.1 7.1 4.7 4.0 1.6 1.9
9-13 Mar 2017 Sentio 24.1 15.2 26.0 3.4 11.0 8.9 3.9 2.4 3.0 2.1
28 Feb – 7 Mar 2017 Demoskop 27.8 16.6 18.2 5.7 12.1 7.9 5.1 3.0 2.0 1.6
17-20 Feb 2017 YouGov 23.5 17.0 23.9 3.9 11.8 8.1 4.2 3.6 2.5 1.4
16-20 Feb 2017 Sentio 23.2 16.7 26.9 3.6 10.7 8.2 4.6 3.0 1.7 1.4
8-20 Feb 2017 Ipsos 27 20th 17th 4th 12 7th 6th 3 2 2
23 Jan – 19 Feb 2017 Novus 27.1 19.1 18.5 4.5 11.5 7.8 5.3 3.1 2.3 0.8
6-16 Feb 2017 Sifo 27.5 20.4 16.8 4.9 11.8 6.9 5.6 3.6 1.9 0.8
5-14 Feb 2017 Inizio 25.0 19.8 21.5 3.7 10.9 7.3 5.4 4.2 1.2 1.1
Jan 31 – Feb 8, 2017 Demoskop 26.9 18.5 17.5 4.7 11.1 9.0 5.8 3.6 2.1 0.8
23 Jan – 7 Feb 2017 Sifo 27.3 19.8 16.5 4.6 11.6 7.4 5.9 3.9 2.2 0.9
12-22 Jan 2017 Ipsos 25th 23 16 4th 9 8th 7th 3 2 2
2–22 Jan 2017 Novus 26.9 22.4 17.7 4.4 9.3 7.7 5.4 3.3 2.0 0.9
9-19 Jan 2017 Sifo 29.7 21.9 16.0 4.3 9.3 8.0 5.3 2.6 2.1 0.8
12-18 Jan 2017 Sentio 21.8 18.4 22.3 5.4 8.9 9.1 5.5 3.9 3.0 1.7
9-17 Jan 2017 Inizio 25.8 21.3 21.5 4.3 9.7 6.9 4.7 3.7 1.0 1.0
12-16 Jan 2017 YouGov 21.5 21.4 24.7 3.9 8.9 8.1 4.5 2.8 2.6 1.6
3–10 Jan 2017 Demoskop 26.7 24.3 16.2 4.7 9.4 8.1 4.7 2.6 2.1 1.2
16-20 Dec 2016 YouGov 24.3 19.0 24.2 3.2 8.4 7.2 4.9 4.2 3.3 1.1
21 Nov-18 Dec 2016 Novus 27.3 21.8 17.9 4.9 9.3 7.4 5.4 3.0 2.0 1.0
5-15 Dec 2016 Sifo 27.6 22.2 15.2 5.2 9.1 8.4 6.0 3.6 1.6 1.1
8-14 Dec 2016 Sentio 23.8 18.4 22.6 3.6 8.1 9.2 6.4 3.7 2.0 2.2
5-14 Dec 2016 Inizio 26.2 21.6 20.6 3.5 8.8 7.7 5.3 4.0 1.3 0.9
1–12 Dec 2016 Ipsos 26th 22nd 17th 5 9 7th 7th 3 2 2
29 Nov-6 Dec 2016 Demoskop 25.8 22.3 18.5 5.2 9.2 7.5 4.8 3.2 2.5 1.0
28 Oct-27 Nov 2016 SCB 29.2 22.8 17.5 4.5 7.1 7.7 5.0 3.1 X 3.2
17-22 Nov 2016 Sentio 20.8 20.5 25th 3 8.1 9.1 4.8 3.4 3.4 1.9
10-21 Nov 2016 Ipsos 27 23 17th 4th 8th 7th 6th 3 3 2
Oct 24 – Nov 20, 2016 Novus 26.6 23.1 17.8 5.1 8.0 7.5 6.5 3.5 2.1 0.8
7-17 Nov 2016 Sifo 27.5 23.1 15.8 4.4 8.7 7.5 6.5 3.5 2.1 0.8
7-15 Nov 2016 Inizio 25.6 22.0 21.5 4.2 8.6 8.0 4.1 3.5 1.8 0.7
11-14 Nov 2016 YouGov 21.8 22.3 24.8 3.3 7.7 8.0 5.9 2.3 2.5 1.4
25 Oct – 2 Nov 2016 Demoskop 27.8 23.6 17.6 4.6 7.8 8.4 4.8 2.5 2.0 0.9
20-26 Oct 2016 Sentio 23.5 19.5 21.7 2.4 8.7 9.7 5.9 4.1 2.4 2.1
13-24 Oct 2016 Ipsos 25th 24 19th 5 7th 8th 7th 2 2 2
26 Sep-23 Oct 2016 Novus 26.2 22.9 18.7 4.5 8.3 7.5 5.7 2.9 2.2 1.1
13-19 Oct 2016 Inizio 24.5 23.4 20.0 4.2 8.1 7.5 4.9 3.9 2.0 1.6
14-18 Oct 2016 YouGov 22.2 22.4 24.3 3.2 6.4 7.7 5.1 4.9 2.5 1.3
3–13 Oct 2016 Sifo 25.9 25.0 16.8 4.7 8.3 8.2 5.4 2.8 2.1 0.9
27 Sep – 5 Oct 2016 Demoskop 28.7 22.7 16.9 4.1 8.1 6.4 5.0 3.7 2.6 1.8
29 Aug-25 Sep 2016 Novus 26.8 24.6 17.7 4.9 7.5 7.6 4.7 3.3 2.1 0.8
12-22 Sep 2016 Inizio 25.2 24.2 18.9 3.7 8.6 8.2 4.3 3.9 1.9 1.2
16-19 Sep 2016 YouGov 23.2 23.0 25.2 3.9 6.2 7.1 4.9 2.9 2.6 1.1
9-19 Sep 2016 Ipsos 26th 24 19th 4th 7th 7th 6th 4th 2 1
5-15 Sep 2016 Sifo 28.0 24.8 15.6 4.2 8.4 7.6 5.2 3.0 2.1 1.1
30 Aug – 7 Sep 2016 Demoskop 27.0 23.9 17.9 4.8 7.1 8.6 4.3 3.0 2.2 1.2
1–28 Aug 2016 Novus 26.4 25.3 17.2 4.4 7.6 7.7 5.1 3.2 2.1 1.0
14-22 Aug 2016 Ipsos 26th 25th 18th 4th 8th 7th 5 3 3 1
16-21 Aug 2016 Sentio 22.8 21.6 23.5 3.5 6.2 10.9 4.2 3.5 2.6 1.2
8-18 Aug 2016 Sifo 27.1 26.3 15.6 4.4 8.0 6.8 4.8 4.0 2.3 0.8
10-18 Aug 2016 Inizio 26.1 24.6 17.9 3.2 8.3 9.4 4.5 3.8 1.7 0.5
12-16 Aug 2016 YouGov 22.9 23.6 24.8 2.8 6.5 8.0 4.0 3.1 3.3 1.2
Jul 2016 YouGov 22.6 23.8 25.0 3.0 7.5 7.9 3.3 3.7 1.9 1.4
28 Jun – 5 Jul 2016 Demoskop 26.0 24.7 16.8 4.8 7.9 7.6 5.7 3.3 2.2 1.0
30 May – 26 Jun 2016 Novus 26.2 26.0 18.2 4.3 6.7 7.5 5.0 2.8 2.4 0.9
17-21 Jun 2016 YouGov 22.7 24.4 23.3 3.2 7.4 7.4 3.3 4.0 3.1 1.3
7-16 June 2016 Ipsos 26th 24 17th 4th 7th 8th 6th 3 2 1
7-16 Jun 2016 Sifo 26.4 27.4 15.8 4.4 6.3 7.1 5.8 3.2 2.7 0.8
6-15 Jun 2016 Inizio 25.4 23.7 19.5 3.6 7.9 8.0 4.2 4.8 1.5 1.4
31 May – 8 Jun 2016 Demoskop 26.4 24.7 17.4 5.3 6.9 6.9 5.1 3.5 2.3 1.5
2-6 Jun 2016 Sentio 22.9 21.0 24.5 5.3 8.0 6.9 3.9 2.8 2.9 1.8
28 Apr – 26 May 2016 SCB 29.5 24.7 17.3 4.7 6.1 6.8 5.4 3.1 X 2.4
9-29 May 2016 Novus 23.8 27.9 17.8 4.5 6.4 7.7 5.6 3.2 2.2 0.9
16-25 May 2016 Ipsos 27.8 24.5 17.1 3.5 6.1 7.4 7.1 3.2 1.8 1.5
19-23 May 2016 YouGov 22.6 22.1 22.9 2.8 7.9 7.5 5.3 4.6 2.8 1.6
12-18 May 2016 Sentio 24.8 22.1 23.7 4.5 5.0 7.8 4.5 3.7 1.8 2.1
9-19 May 2016 Inizio 24.3 23.9 18.8 4.4 7.5 9.6 4.7 5.0 1.4 0.5
2-12 May 2016 Sifo 26.5 25.7 16.1 4.1 6.3 7.9 6.2 4.0 2.1 1.1
18 Apr – 8 May 2016 Novus 25.9 25.7 17.7 4.5 6.0 7.3 6.5 3.3 2.5 0.5
26 Apr – 3 May 2016 Demoskop 24.9 25.5 16.4 5.1 7.4 8.0 5.6 3.3 2.3 1.5
25 Apr – 3 May 2016 Sifo 26.5 27.4 15.3 4.3 5.9 8.2 5.4 4.3 1.6 1.1
15-19 Apr 2016 YouGov 23.5 23.6 23.6 5.4 6.7 7.8 3.6 2.7 2.1 1.0
14-25 Apr 2016 Ipsos 24.4 28.1 16.6 4.8 6.1 7.1 6.3 3.3 2.8 0.5
7-17 Apr 2016 Inizio 25.4 24.2 19.7 4.6 7.3 8.1 4.3 3.9 1.4 1.3
21 Mar – 17 Apr 2016 Novus 26.0 24.0 18.9 5.6 6.8 7.1 5.8 3.1 1.9 0.8
6-13 Apr 2016 Sentio 24.1 21.1 22.3 4.6 5.6 8.1 6.0 3.0 2.6 2.6
4-14 Apr 2016 Sifo 26.7 25.8 15.7 6.0 7.3 7.2 5.5 3.5 1.7 0.7
29 Mar – 6 Apr 2016 Demoskop 25.5 28.0 15.5 5.3 6.3 7.7 5.3 3.5 2.2 0.8
22 Feb – 20 Mar 2016 Novus 24.9 24.2 19.9 6.2 6.2 7.6 5.3 3.4 1.5 0.8
10-20 Mar 2016 Ipsos 28.9 25.9 14.7 5.0 6.1 7.3 5.4 3.6 1.9 1.1
15-22 Mar 2016 Inizio 27.2 23.9 18.9 4.8 6.7 7.1 4.0 4.2 2.4 0.9
11-14 Mar 2016 YouGov 21.9 24.6 24.9 5.0 5.7 7.2 3.7 3.6 2.2 1.2
16 Feb – 10 Mar 2016 SKOP 26.7 25.1 16.3 7.0 5.9 7.0 5.1 4.5 1.9 0.5
3–9 Mar 2016 Sentio 22.1 22.7 24.0 6.1 5.3 7.9 4.2 3.3 3.3 2.0
29 Feb – 10 Mar 2016 Sifo 26.2 26.9 17.0 6.1 6.1 7.4 5.0 3.6 1.1 0.8
23 Feb – 2 Mar 2016 Demoskop 26.3 24.5 17.7 5.7 6.0 7.2 6.4 3.1 2.0 1.1
11-21 Feb 2016 Ipsos 25.1 25.6 16.2 5.3 6.2 7.7 7.4 3.4 2.2 1.0
25 Jan – 21 Feb 2016 Novus 24.1 25.0 19.3 5.6 6.6 7.2 5.8 3.5 2.0 0.9
7-17 Feb 2016 Inizio 24.5 22.4 20.9 4.5 8.7 6.6 4.5 4.5 2.5 0.9
12-15 Feb 2016 YouGov 21.6 21.3 25.3 4.8 5.6 8.1 5.6 3.6 3.2 0.9
1–11 Feb 2016 Sifo 25.2 25.4 16.6 6.5 7.1 7.5 6.0 3.5 1.8 0.4
3–9 Feb 2016 Sentio 21.1 21.8 25.5 5.3 6.6 6.3 4.7 3.0 3.2 2.5
26 Jan – 2 Feb 2016 Demoskop 23.0 27.2 18.8 5.5 6.6 7.1 5.8 3.0 1.9 1.0
14-25 Jan 2016 Ipsos 24.7 25.8 16.7 6.5 7.2 6.6 6.6 2.7 1.9 1.3
4–24 Jan 2016 Novus 24.4 23.9 20.3 5.7 6.4 6.6 6.1 3.6 2.1 0.9
11-21 Jan 2016 Sifo 23.2 25.6 18.2 5.9 6.8 8.1 6.0 4.4 1.6 0.4
15-18 Jan 2016 YouGov 21.6 21.4 28.8 4.2 6.8 7.5 4.0 3.1 2.0 0.6
12-19 Jan 2016 Inizio 23.2 21.3 22.2 4.6 8.8 8.0 5.1 4.4 1.6 0.8
7-13 Jan 2016 Sentio 23.0 20.1 25.5 5.3 7.9 6.9 3.9 2.8 2.9 1.7
5–12 Jan 2016 Demoskop 27.3 23.8 18.7 5.7 7.4 5.4 6.3 2.9 1.8 0.8
7-28 Dec 2015 SKOP 25.3 23.8 16.3 6.7 8.6 7.6 5.8 3.3 2.3 0.4
7-17 Dec 2015 Sifo 26.0 22.1 19.0 6.1 6.4 7.8 6.6 3.5 1.6 0.9
10-16 Dec 2015 Sentio 23.5 17.8 26.6 5.6 7.3 6.9 5.3 3.0 1.7 2.4
9-16 Dec 2015 Inizio 23.1 22.7 22.2 5.7 8.8 6.3 4.9 3.7 1.6 1.0
10-14 Dec 2015 YouGov 22.3 21.0 26.9 4.5 6.8 7.3 4.9 2.8 2.4 1.3
3-14 Dec 2015 Ipsos 24.7 24.1 18.9 5.3 6.8 7.3 6.6 3.8 1.9 0.6
23 Nov-13 Dec 2015 Novus 24.7 21.4 22.0 5.8 7.0 6.8 5.8 3.5 2.3 0.7
Nov 24 – Dec 2, 2015 Demoskop 26.3 21.9 18.5 6.4 7.0 7.0 6.4 3.6 1.8 1.1
2-25 Nov 2015 SCB 27.6 23.5 19.9 5.9 6.5 5.5 5.5 3.5 X 2.1
13-23 Nov 2015 Ipsos 27.5 23.2 17.2 6.8 6.3 7.2 6.6 3.3 1.6 0.3
26 Oct – 22 Nov 2015 Novus 24.4 22.6 20.7 6.4 7.0 7.1 5.2 3.8 1.9 0.9
9-19 Nov 2015 Sifo 26.8 24.6 17.6 5.8 6.8 6.6 5.8 3.9 1.6 0.6
13-16 Nov 2015 YouGov 21.4 20.6 26.7 5.5 7.5 6.7 5.1 3.6 2.3 0.7
9-16 Nov 2015 Inizio 25.8 21.5 20.7 5.5 8.3 5.7 4.8 5.6 1.4 0.7
5-10 Nov 2015 Sentio 22.0 19.3 26.8 5.5 7.4 6.5 5.2 2.9 2.5 2.0
27 Oct – 4 Nov 2015 Demoskop 26.7 22.1 18.9 7.2 6.9 5.8 5.4 3.5 2.2 1.3
28 Sep – 25 Oct 2015 Novus 26.0 22.4 19.4 6.6 6.9 6.6 4.8 3.9 2.1 1.3
15-26 Oct 2015 Ipsos 27.7 22.0 17.6 6.6 7.1 6.6 6.3 3.3 1.9 1.0
4-21 Oct 2015 SKOP 27.1 23.8 15.7 7.8 8.6 5.2 5.9 3.7 2.0 0.2
12-20 Oct 2015 Inizio 26.2 20.8 20.5 5.3 8.4 5.7 4.2 6.6 1.4 0.9
5-15 Oct 2015 Sifo 24.6 23.8 17.2 7.1 8.0 7.3 5.6 3.7 2.2 0.5
8-12 Oct 2015 YouGov 23.2 21.8 24.8 4.9 6.2 7.0 4.5 3.9 2.5 1.2
1-8 Oct 2015 Sentio 23.1 20.8 25.0 5.1 6.7 7.9 4.6 1.9 3.4 1.5
29 Sep – 6 Oct 2015 Demoskop 25.2 22.3 19.5 6.7 7.6 7.0 4.7 3.5 2.6 0.9
16-24 Sep 2015 Inizio 25.6 22.0 21.2 5.2 8.4 7.0 4.1 3.5 1.9 1.1
9-20 Sep 2015 Ipsos 27.3 22.5 16.7 7.3 7.1 6.6 6.6 3.0 1.9 0.9
7-17 Sep 2015 Sifo 27.0 22.8 17.7 7.2 6.7 7.3 5.0 3.7 2.4 0.4
10-14 Sep 2015 YouGov 21.8 20.0 27.3 5.0 7.5 6.5 3.7 4.9 2.5 0.7
24 Aug-13 Sep 2015 Novus 26.5 23.1 20.8 5.9 6.0 6.7 4.9 3.2 2.1 0.8
3-9 Sep 2015 Sentio 24.1 19.8 26.5 6.7 6.6 4.9 4.1 2.6 2.7 2.0
2-9 Sep 2015 Inizio 24.9 21.1 21.5 4.8 9.6 6.2 5.1 4.2 1.7 0.8
25 Aug – 2 Sep 2015 Demoskop 25.2 23.1 19.5 6.4 7.2 6.5 5.3 3.5 2.3 1.1
14-24 Aug 2015 Ipsos 26.8 23.8 17.8 6.8 6.2 6.6 5.4 3.5 2.0 1.1
3-23 Aug 2015 Novus 25.1 23.3 19.4 6.7 6.7 7.3 5.2 3.3 2.1 0.9
10-20 Aug 2015 Sifo 26.3 24.5 17.8 7.6 6.1 6.5 4.7 4.0 1.7 0.9
13-19 Aug 2015 Sentio 23.5 21.1 23.4 6.4 7.8 7.5 4.6 2.0 2.3 1.4
11-19 Aug 2015 Inizio 25.5 21.4 20.8 5.7 8.6 6.5 4.2 4.5 1.9 0.9
14-17 Aug 2015 YouGov 23.4 21.0 25.2 6.4 5.6 6.8 4.4 3.7 2.8 0.8
16-22 Jul 2015 Sentio 24.1 20.8 23.3 6.4 6.7 6.4 4.4 3.1 2.4 2.4
10-13 Jul 2015 YouGov 23.2 23.1 22.1 6.7 6.8 5.7 4.9 4.2 2.6 0.8
30 Jun – 7 Jul 2015 Demoskop 25.5 23.1 18.7 7.1 6.6 6.8 4.7 4.2 2.4 0.9
8-25 Jun 2015 SKOP 29.7 25.4 14.0 7.5 7.4 5.7 4.6 3.6 1.6 0.6
20-24 Jun 2015 Inizio 27.3 24.3 17.9 5.7 8.0 6.7 4.0 3.1 2.1 0.8
11-17 Jun 2015 Sentio 23.9 23.8 22.1 6.8 6.3 6.9 3.7 2.1 3.1 1.3
12-15 Jun 2015 YouGov 24.7 23.6 20.1 5.9 6.6 6.9 5.2 3.4 2.3 1.3
5-15 Jun 2015 Ipsos 27.1 26.6 15.9 6.5 5.4 6.4 5.8 2.7 2.3 1.2
May 18 – Jun 14, 2015 Novus 26.4 25.0 18.0 6.0 6.4 6.5 4.9 4.0 1.8 1.0
1–11 Jun 2015 Sifo 27.1 25.0 15.2 6.6 7.9 6.2 4.6 4.1 2.4 1.0
May 27 – Jun 3, 2015 Demoskop 25.9 26.1 15.7 6.8 7.3 6.8 4.7 3.7 1.9 1.1
1–30 May 2015 SCB 30.0 25.6 14.4 6.6 6.4 6.2 4.9 3.7 X 2.3
21-27 May 2015 Sentio 24.3 24.3 19.4 5.5 8.5 6.5 4.2 2.2
May 12-25, 2015 Ipsos 27.7 26.1 14.0 6.7 6.8 6.8 5.4 3.5 1.9 1.1
10-25 May 2015 Inizio 26.9 23.3 17.2 5.6 8.5 6.7 4.6 4.0 1.9 1.3
13-18 May 2015 YouGov 26.1 22.9 19.7 5.4 6.6 6.7 4.9 3.5 2.9 1.3
20 Apr – 17 May 2015 Novus 25.8 25.7 16.8 7.2 6.7 6.8 4.5 3.5 1.8 1.2
4–12 May 2015 Sifo 25.9 24.4 14.7 8.2 7.2 7.5 5.7 3.2 2.3 0.9
28 Apr – 6 May 2015 Demoskop 27.7 25.8 15.0 6.4 6.2 6.3 5.3 4.2 2.2 0.8
22-30 Apr 2015 Inizio 27.3 24.1 16.4 6.4 7.6 5.5 4.9 4.3 2.2 1.2
16-27 Apr 2015 Ipsos 27.7 25.8 14.6 6.8 4.9 6.5 6.0 4.1 2.1 1.4
17-20 Apr 2015 YouGov 26.2 23.5 19.5 5.6 6.3 6.6 4.9 3.7 2.7 1.0
23 Mar – 19 Apr 2015 Novus 27.1 25.2 15.8 6.8 5.9 7.1 5.2 3.7 2.2 1.0
7-16 Apr 2015 Sifo 27.4 24.7 12.5 8.9 6.5 6.6 5.6 3.9 2.6 1.3
7-15 Apr 2015 Inizio 28.8 24.4 16.3 6.1 7.3 6.7 3.5 4.5 1.4 1.2
9-14 Apr 2015 Sentio 25.6 25.5 17.8 5.6 5.6 7.4 4.1 3.5 2.9 2.0
31 Mar – 8 Apr 2015 Demoskop 28.3 25.0 15.7 6.9 6.5 6.1 5.3 3.8 1.9 0.6
23 Feb – 22 Mar 2015 Novus 31.0 24.2 15.2 6.5 5.6 5.3 4.9 4.2 2.0 1.1
9-17 Mar 2015 Ipsos 30.7 24.8 12.8 7.2 4.7 6.7 5.8 3.8 2.3 1.2
13-16 Mar 2015 YouGov 29.1 21.1 18.5 5.8 6.3 5.6 5.2 4.6 2.7 1.1
5–12 Mar 2015 Inizio 28.8 24.7 16.0 5.7 6.1 6.4 3.8 5.2 2.0 1.3
2–12 Mar 2015 Sifo 29.8 23.9 13.9 6.6 6.6 6.5 5.1 4.0 2.5 1.0
5-11 Mar 2015 Sentio 28.2 22.2 16.6 6.6 6.8 7.7 4.7 3.8 2.3 1.1
19 Feb – 11 Mar 2015 SKOP 30.6 24.4 12.9 7.1 6.4 6.3 6.1 3.6 2.2 0.5
24 Feb – 4 Mar 2015 Demoskop 31.3 24.1 14.2 6.2 6.5 5.8 4.5 3.7 2.1 1.6
26 Jan – 22 Feb 2015 Novus 30.9 23.4 15.0 6.1 5.9 7.0 4.0 4.6 2.2 0.9
12-18 Feb 2015 Sentio 28.5 23.1 16.6 7.2 5.9 5.9 4.8 3.7 2.2 2.1
2-12 Feb 2015 Sifo 28.9 22.1 13.0 7.9 7.0 7.2 5.2 4.7 2.7 1.3
2-11 Feb 2015 Inizio 30.3 24.3 14.8 5.8 7.2 5.6 3.9 5.3 1.5 1.5
5-9 Feb 2015 YouGov 30.1 21.8 19.0 6.3 6.7 5.8 4.4 3.5 2.0 0.4
Jan 27 – Feb 4, 2015 Demoskop 30.6 24.3 14.0 6.9 5.8 6.5 4.5 4.7 2.2 0.7
12-26 Jan 2015 Ipsos 34.3 23.2 13.1 6.3 5.0 5.8 6.2 3.8 1.5 0.8
12-22 Jan 2015 Sifo 29.7 24.0 13.3 7.4 5.8 6.9 5.1 3.7 3.1 1.1
22 Dec – 18 Jan 2015 Novus 30.0 24.1 16.5 6.4 6.0 5.3 4.1 4.5 2.2 0.9
7-16 Jan 2015 Inizio 33.0 24.8 13.6 5.5 6.1 5.4 3.5 4.9 1.9 1.5
8-13 Jan 2015 Sentio 29.7 23.7 15.8 5.6 5.4 7.0 4.8 3.9 4.1
7–8 Jan 2015 Sifo 33.3 23.1 13.4 6.7 6.7 5.6 5.0 3.4 1.7 1.1
30 Dec – 7 Jan 2015 Demoskop 32.3 24.4 14.4 6.6 5.3 5.3 4.8 4.1 2.1 0.7
19-27 Dec 2014 YouGov 30.6 23.2 16.9 5.7 5.7 6.0 3.7 5.5 2.0 0.7
8-18 Dec 2014 Sifo 31.0 24.5 12.9 7.4 6.1 5.9 5.7 3.7 2.4 0.4
11-17 Dec 2014 Inizio 30.5 27.9 13.2 6.1 6.6 4.1 4.2 4.2 1.9 1.3
8-15 Dec 2014 Ipsos 32.0 26.3 12.5 6.7 5.1 5.4 5.6 3.9 1.5 1.0
3-14 Dec 2014 Novus 32.0 23.7 16.0 6.0 6.6 5.3 4.3 3.9 1.1 1.1
4-10 Dec 2014 Sentio 29.7 24.5 17.5 7.2 5.5 5.1 3.7 3.9 2.9
4-10 Dec 2014 Inizio 31.0 26.9 14.0 5.8 7.4 4.2 4.8 4.3 1.3 0.3
4-5 Dec 2014 YouGov 29.6 23.1 17.7 6.9 6.1 4.7 5.0 4.2 2.5 0.7
25 Nov – 3 Dec 2014 Demoskop 27.3 26.1 13.5 7.9 6.1 6.4 5.5 4.0 2.3 0.8
17 Nov – 2 Dec 2014 Inizio 29.8 24.5 12.0 7.5 6.3 6.2 6.1 3.7 2.9 0.7
25-30 Nov 2014 Sentio 27.4 23.9 16.4 7.5 6.2 7.4 6.2 2.3 2.7
29 Oct – 25 Nov 2014 SCB 32.2 24.2 12.4 7.2 6.0 5.7 5.3 3.7 X 3.2
13-24 Nov 2014 Ipsos 28.5 26.5 12.5 7.4 6.2 6.2 6.4 2.8 2.4 1.0
4-24 Nov 2014 SKOP 30.7 25.3 11.8 6.7 6.8 6.4 5.3 4.2 1.9 0.8
10-20 Nov 2014 Sifo 28.4 25.6 12.1 8.4 6.1 5.9 5.5 3.9 2.8 1.3
Oct 13 - Nov 9, 2014 Novus 28.6 25.8 12.3 7.9 7.1 6.3 5.2 4.0 2.2 0.6
28 Oct – 5 Nov 2014 Demoskop 28.3 25.1 13.8 7.0 6.2 7.1 4.8 4.2 2.6 1.0
15-30 Oct 2014 Inizio 30.6 24.0 12.9 7.3 5.9 5.9 5.6 4.2 2.8 0.9
9-21 Oct 2014 Ipsos 30.7 24.1 12.5 7.9 5.8 6.2 5.5 3.9 2.5 1.0
6-16 Oct 2014 Sifo 26.6 24.7 12.4 10.0 6.1 7.1 4.9 4.5 3.0 0.9
15 Sep – 12 Oct 2014 Novus 30.3 24.6 13.2 7.1 5.7 5.7 5.8 4.1 2.9 0.6
2-8 Oct 2014 Sentio 27.3 25.1 16.7 6.9 5.1 5.2 5.1 2.8 2.9 2.9
30 Sep – 7 Oct 2014 Demoskop 30.3 24.1 13.3 8.1 5.8 6.0 5.5 3.9 2.1 0.8
17-24 Sep 2014 Ipsos 30.7 24.0 12.4 7.1 6.1 6.2 5.6 4.2 2.9 0.8
17-21 Sep 2014 Demoskop 31.0 24.6 12.1 6.9 6.8 5.5 5.5 4.0 2.8 0.9

course

Monthly survey averages

Political blocs / coalitions

With the center-right Allians för Sverige there has been a solid alliance since 2006 consisting of the four Christian and liberal-bourgeois parties Moderaterna , Centerpartiet , Liberalerna and Kristdemokraterna . In contrast, there is a red-green alliance made up of Socialdemokraterna , Miljöpartiet and Vänsterpartiet . Of the larger parties, only the EU-hostile Sverigedemokraterna is not integrated into any potential coalition, since cooperation with it is excluded from the other parties. However, since the Swedish survey institutes also show the party in surveys on coalitions, the data is also shown here.

At no point since the 2014 Reichstag elections did any of the alliances have an absolute majority in parliament based on the polls. In addition, entry into parliament was uncertain for some smaller parties. Even before the election date, analysts of the political stalemate viewed the formation of a government as being made more difficult by the formation of camps.

Monthly mean values ​​of the alliances

month year Center-left
( S / MP / V ) 		Center-Right
( M / C / L / KD ) 		SD
September 2018 41.5% 39.5% 19.0%
August 2018 41.1% 38.6% 20.4%
July 2018 40.6% 34.8% 24.6%
June 2018 40.0% 36.5% 23.6%
May 2018 40.8% 37.6% 21.6%
April 2018 41.3% 39.1% 19.5%
Election 2014 09/14/2014 45.5% 41.1% 13.5%
Older Alliance Values
month year Center-left
( S / MP / V ) 		Center-Right
( M / C / L / KD ) 		SD
March 2018 42.1% 37.7% 20.2%
February 2018 38.8% 41.8% 19.4%
January 2018 41.9% 38.9% 19.2%
December 2017 38.8% 40.9% 20.3%
November 2017 43.2% 38.4% 18.5%
October 2017 40.9% 39.6% 19.5%
September 2017 42.6% 35.8% 21.6%
August 2017 42.2% 35.8% 22.0%
July 2017 40.5% 35.4% 24.1%
June 2017 38.5% 38.2% 23.3%
May 2017 38.8% 38.9% 22.3%
April 2017 38.7% 38.7% 22.6%
March 2017 40.7% 37.3% 22.0%
February 2017 40.6% 38.2% 21.2%
January 2017 40.5% 38.9% 20.6%
Election 2014 09/14/2014 45.5% 41.1% 13.5%

course

Poll values ​​for the political blocs

After the election

In the 2018 election to the Swedish Parliament, the Social Democrats became the strongest force despite losing 13 seats, ahead of the moderates (-14 seats) and the Sweden Democrats (+ 13 seats). Neither the red-green alliance (144 seats) nor the alliance for Sweden (143 seats) received a majority in the Reichstag. Both camps claimed the office of prime minister for themselves and refused to support the top candidate of the other camp. The Sweden Democrats, who do not belong to either alliance, demanded political concessions in order to tolerate a bourgeois minority government. However, the alliance ruled out such cooperation with the Sweden Democrats.

Deselection of the Prime Minister and explorations

In the mandatory vote on the prime minister on September 25th, Stefan Löfven was voted out of office with 204 no votes, because after the negative parliamentarism practiced in Sweden, the head of government does not need a majority of yes votes, but conversely has to avoid a majority of no votes. Thereupon the President of Parliament Andreas Norlén gave the chairman of the conservative Moderaterna party, Ulf Kristersson , an order to form a government. On October 14, Kristersson declared the exploratory talks for a center-right government over. The exploratory talks with the previous Social Democratic Prime Minister Stefan Löfven also remained unsuccessful. The award of a further exploratory assignment to the center politician Annie Lööf was rejected by moderates and Christian Democrats.

New election attempts of the Prime Minister

In order to dissolve the stalemate, the President of Parliament Norlén announced on November 5 that he would propose to the Reichstag that Kristersson be elected Prime Minister. In the November 14 vote, Kristersson received the votes of the Moderates, the Christian Democrats and the Sweden Democrats. The Center Party and the Liberals refused to approve, even though they had campaigned with Kristersson as part of the alliance for Sweden , as his government would have been dependent on the right-wing populist Sweden Democrats. As a result, Kristersson only achieved 154 votes in favor of 195 against and was not elected. On November 15, Norlén announced that he had commissioned Annie Lööf, leader of the Center Party, to determine the requirements for forming a government. On November 22nd, Lööf announced that she had ended her exploratory talks with no results.

On November 23, Norlén announced that he would propose Löfven as Prime Minister to the Reichstag. Thereupon Annie Lööf and Jan Björklund (Liberals) offered to support Löfven, provided that he was ready to “make a strong right turn”. On December 10th, however, Lööf announced that the negotiations had been unsuccessful and that the Center Party would therefore vote against Löfven.

On December 12th, as announced, Norlén proposed Löfven as Prime Minister to the Reichstag. As expected, he lost the vote on December 14, 2018. Reichstag President Norlén then announced that he would make preparations for a new election in parallel to the upcoming talks with the party leaders.

"Agreement of the Middle"

On January 11, 2019, the Social Democrats, Greens, Center and Liberals announced an agreement according to which the latter two will tolerate a red-green minority government . Central points of the agreement are, among other things, the reduction of taxes by five percentage points for incomes over 662,300 SEK (approx. 66,000 €) per year, the relaxation of protection against dismissal, a promise that the Social Democrats will prohibit private actors in the "welfare sector" (e.g. B. free schools, private polyclinics and private nursing homes) will no longer pursue, as well as the privatization of the employment service. While both the center and the liberals were satisfied with the implementation of “liberal reforms”, the decision was criticized by parts of the social democrats because too many compromises had been made. A new parliamentary vote on the Prime Minister was initially scheduled for January 16, but it had to be postponed: On January 14, Jonas Sjöstedt announced that the Left Party would vote against a Löfven government, which would mean that it would lack the necessary support in the Reichstag. One point of criticism was that the Social Democrats had moved too far to the right, and that the “Middle Agreement” (“Mitteöverenskommelsen”) contained a clause according to which the Left Party should be kept away from any political influence.

Since Sjöstedt announced on January 16 that his Left Party would abstain from voting, it was likely that the vote would result in Löfven being able to take over the office of head of government again with 154 votes against himself. (According to Chapter 6, Paragraph 3 of the “Regeringsformen”, the “State Minister” does not need a majority of yes votes, but must avoid a majority of no votes). In the election on January 18, the old and new Statsminster were elected for another term of office with 115 votes in favor and 77  abstentions and 153 against votes, four MPs stayed away from the vote. This enabled Löfven to take up the post of prime minister again and to present his cabinet.

criticism

The compromise between the Center Party, Liberals, Greens and Social Democrats was heavily criticized after it was announced. Top candidates of the Greens such as the former member of the Reichstag and EU member of Parliament Carl Schlyter said that they could not support the “right-wing economic policy”, as it would lead to an increase in the Sweden Democrats, among other things, and left the party and founded the Party turning point (Partiet vändpunkt) , which can be seen as a left alternative to the Greens. The former member of the Reichstag for the Left Party, Rosana Dinamarca, assessed the decision not to vote against Löfven as a "historical mistake" because the Left Party had given away any possibility of influence.

From the bourgeois camp, the leader of the Center Party, Annie Lööf, was particularly criticized for having promised in 2013 that she would rather eat her right shoe than support the Social Democrats. Therefore, the chairman of the Young Moderates (Moderaternas Ungdomsförbund, MUF) called for the right shoes to be sent to Lööf. The chairman of the moderates, Ulf Kristersson, called the expected government "bad" and said that he saw the Center Party as a "former alliance party". Ebba Busch Thor, chairman of the Christian Democrats, also saw it as a mistake to support Löfven because of this to make politics under the premise of keeping the Sweden Democrats away from political influence.

Sweden Democrat leader Jimmie Åkesson described the new government as "strange, absurd and bizarre". A local politician of his party, Erik Wennerström from Torsby, published a picture on Facebook of Christer Pettersson , who had long been suspected of the murder of Olof Palme , after Löfven was re-elected , and headed it with the question: “Where are you when Sweden needs you ? “Then Wennerström had to resign from his political offices.

Cabinet Löfven II

On January 21, 2019, Stefan Löfven named the ministers in his new government . He gave the Greens the office of minister of culture and democracy, the ministry for the environment and the ministries for development aid and equality. The remaining posts - including defense, finance, economics and the labor market - were filled with Social Democrats.

Web links

Commons : Election to the Swedish Riksdag 2018  - collection of pictures, videos and audio files

Individual evidence

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