Presidential election in Finland 2018

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Presidential election in Finland 2018
January 28, 2018

Sauli Niinistö
Winner of the election
Sauli Niinistö
independent (supported by National Collection Party and Christian Democrats )

1st ballot
Candidates Votes in%
Sauli Niinistö
  
62.7
Pekka Haavisto
  
12.4
Laura Huhtasaari
  
6.9
Paavo Väyrynen
  
6.2
Matti Vanhanen
  
4.1
Tuula Haatainen
  
3.3
Merja Kyllönen
  
3.0
Nils Torvalds
  
1.5
Before the election of
Sauli Niinistö
KOK

The 2018 Finland presidential election was the election of the President of the Republic of Finland for the 2018-2024 term and took place on January 28, 2018. If no candidate had achieved an absolute majority in the first ballot , the two best-placed candidates would have met again in a runoff election on February 11, 2018. However, incumbent President Sauli Niinistö successfully ran for a second and final term and won the 2018 presidential election in Finland in the first round. His new term began on February 1, 2018.

procedure

The President of the Republic of Finland is directly elected by the people for a term of six years. Re-election is easily possible. If only one candidate is nominated, he will automatically become president without any elections. Otherwise, the first ballot will always take place on the fourth Sunday in January of the election year. If the candidate gets more than half of the votes in the first ballot, then he is elected President. If neither candidate reaches the required majority, the two candidates with the highest percentage of votes will run against each other in a runoff two weeks later . The winner of this second ballot is then the legally elected President. If this ballot ends in a draw, the choice will be made by drawing lots. The Finnish Council of State ( Finnish : Valtioneuvosto , Swedish : Statsrådet ) confirms the election result and - if necessary - draws the lottery ticket .

meeting

According to current legislation, the presidential elections in Finland are held on the fourth Sunday of January of the election year. A possible runoff election always takes place two weeks later, also on a Sunday. Accordingly, the 2018 presidential election fell on January 28, the possible runoff on February 11.

The Finnish parliament originally planned to hold all national elections on the third Sunday in April. However, the presidential elections were ultimately excluded from this reform.

The 2018 provincial elections were supposed to take place as part of the first round of the presidential elections, but the reform postponed them.

Candidates

Candidates for the presidential election could be put up by all registered parties that had won at least one seat in the previous parliamentary elections. A candidate could also be nominated by at least 20,000 citizens.

Confirmed candidates

The numbers assigned to the candidates are important in the election itself. The candidate's number is entered in a circle in the voting booth. The numbering starts at 2.

number Surname,

Political party

Offices Details
2 Merja Kyllönen

Left alliance
(vas.)

MerjaKyllönenPresidentiksi2.jpg Minister of Transport
(2011-2014)
Member of Parliament for Oulu
(2007-2014)
MEP for Finland
(since 2014)
Kyllönen was Minister for Transport in the Katainen cabinet from 2011 to 2014 . She was elected to the European Parliament in the 2014 European elections .
3 Pekka Haavisto

Green Bund
(VIHR)

Pekka Haavisto 2017 03.jpg Minister for International Development
(2013–2014)
Minister for Environment and Development
(1995–1999)
Party leader of the Greens
(1993–1995)
Member of Parliament for Helsinki
(1987–1995; since 2007)
Haavisto ran in the 2012 presidential election and made it to the second ballot, but lost to Sauli Niinistö from the National Assembly Party . He has been a member of the Finnish Parliament since 2007 . From 1999 to 2005 Haavisto worked for the United Nations .
4th Matti Vanhanen

Center Party
(KESK)

Matti Vanhanen 2017 06.jpg Prime Minister of Finland
(2003-2010)
Minister for Defense
(2003)
The former prime minister ran in 2006 and received 18.6% of the vote. He left politics after his tenure as head of government , but returned in 2015 when he was re-elected as MP.
5 Laura Huhtasaari

Basic fins
(PS)

Laura Huhtasaari.jpg Member of Parliament for Satakunta
(since 2015)
Huhtasaari was in 2015 elected with 9,259 votes in the Parliament and in June 2017. Deputy Chairman of the base Finns . In Parliament she is a member of the Legal Affairs Committee, the Education and Culture Committee and the Finnish delegation to the Nordic Council .
6th Tuula Haatainen

Social Democratic Party
(SDP)

Tuula Haatainen 2017 04.jpg Minister of Education
(2003–2005)
Minister of Social Affairs and Health
(2005–2007)
Member of Parliament for Helsinki
(1996–2007; since 2015)
Haatainen was Minister of Education during Anneli Jäätteenmäki's brief tenure and kept her post in Matti Vanhanen's subsequent cabinet . She was then Minister for Social Affairs and Health from 2005 to 2007.
7th Paavo Väyrynen
Paavo Väyrynen 2017 03.jpg MEP for Finland
(1995–2007; since 2014)
Minister for Foreign Trade and Development
(2007–2011)
Minister for Foreign Affairs
(1977–1982; 1983–1987; 1991–1993)
more

  • Deputy Prime Minister of Finland from 1983 to 1987
  • Minister for Labor from 1976 to 1977
  • Minister of Education from 1975 to 1976
  • Member of Parliament for Lapland from 2007 to 2011
  • Member of Parliament for Uusimaa from 1991 to 1995
  • Member of Parliament for Lapland from 1970 to 1991
Väyrynen ran as a candidate for the Center Party in the 1988 , 1994 and 2012 presidential elections . In 2016 he left the Center Party and founded his own party, the Citizens' Party .
8th Sauli Niinistö
(supported by the National Collection Party and the Christian Democrats )
Sauli Niinistö Senate of Poland 2015.JPG President of the Republic of Finland
(since 2012)
President of Eduskunta
(2007–2011)
Minister for Finance
(1996–2003)
Minister for Justice
(1995–1996)
more

The incumbent president of Finland ran as a candidate for the National Gathering Party in the 2012 election after narrowly losing in 2006. For 2018, he decided to run as a non-party . He collected 156,000 signatures and his candidacy was confirmed on September 25, 2017.
9 Nils Torvalds

Swedish People's Party
(SFP / RKP)

NickeWiki.jpg MEP for Finland
(since 2012)
Torvalds was a member of the Communist Party of Finland and worked from 1982 to 2004 in the Swedish-speaking section of the Finnish broadcaster Yle . He joined the Swedish People's Party in 2006 and was elected third vice chairman in 2007. He ran for the European Parliament in 2009 and was not elected, but became a Member of Parliament in 2012 after Carl Haglund resigned.

Sauli Niinistö

The incumbent President Sauli Niinistö .

The incumbent President Sauli Niinistö ran in the 2012 presidential election as a candidate for the rally party . On May 29, 2017, Niinistö announced his candidacy for a second term, this time as a non-party candidate. In order to officially become a presidential candidate, he needed at least 20,000 signatures from his supporters. Niinistö collected a total of 156,000 signatures and his candidacy was confirmed on September 25, 2017.

National rally party

Shortly after the announcement of the president, the party leader of the rally party, Petteri Orpo , announced that Niinistö would be supported in his candidacy. Previously, former Finance Minister Alexander Stubb and former Foreign Minister Ilkka Kanerva were also considered possible candidates.

Christian Democrats

The Christian Democrats announced on August 19, 2017 that they would support incumbent Niinistö. Previously, it was speculated whether the party leader Sari Essayah wants to run again for the office of President of the Republic of Finland.

Center of Finland

Former Prime Minister Matti Vanhanen is a candidate for the Center Party.

The Center Party announced on June 30, 2015 that a candidate was to be found by June 2016. Shortly afterwards, former Prime Minister and candidate for the 2006 presidential election , Matti Vanhanen , announced his candidacy. On May 11, 2016, he was officially confirmed by the party.

The incumbent Prime Minister Juha Sipilä , the former Prime Ministers Esko Aho and Anneli Jäätteenmäki , and the former Minister of Economic Affairs Olli Rehn were considered further possible candidates .

Base fins

The Basic Finns determined their candidate in the summer of 2017. The party chairman and foreign minister of Finland, Timo Soini , announced in November 2014 that he would not run again after his failed candidacies in 2006 and 2012.

In March 2017, Soini also announced that he would no longer be available for election as party leader. Shortly afterwards, MEP Sampo Terho declared his candidacy for the party chairmanship. If he had been elected, he would also have wanted to run for president. Also Jussi Halla-aho , also Member of the European Parliament, announced his interest in the party presidency and won the election, which the government crisis in Finland in 2017 ended. To solve the government crisis, the party announced a few days after the election that twenty parliamentarians, including all cabinet members, had formed a parliamentary group called Neue Alternative (Finnish: Uusi vaihtoehto). After this split most of the potential candidates left the party. Then the vice- chairwoman Laura Huhtasaari and the MP Tom Packalén considered a candidacy for the base fins.

On August 4, 2017, the party leader Halla-aho nominated Laura Huhtasaari for the candidacy. On September 23, Huhtasaari was officially nominated as a candidate by the party executive.

Blue future

On June 19, 2017, Sampo Terho announced that a new party, the Blue Future , would be founded on the basis of the New Alternative . The vice- chairwoman of the new party, Tiina Elovaara , said that one could imagine putting up one's own presidential candidate for election. However, since the party was formed after the previous parliamentary elections and therefore has no elected MPs, it would have been necessary to collect enough signatures to put up a candidate of their own. So the party finally decided not to submit its own candidate, but will not formally support any other candidate.

Green covenant

Former presidential candidate Pekka Haavisto is running for the office of president for the second time.

In February 2017, Pekka Haavisto announced that he would like to run again for the office of president after his candidacy in 2012. On February 12, the Green Bund confirmed Haavisto's candidacy for the party. Previously, party chairman Ville Niinistö , nephew of President Sauli Niinistö, had rejected a candidacy.

Left alliance

On March 18, 2017, the left-wing alliance elected MEP Merja Kyllönen as its presidential candidate. Former party chairman Paavo Arhinmäki also showed interest in running for the presidency, but then stood as a candidate in the election for mayor of Helsinki .

Social Democratic Party

The Social Democrats have presented to a member survey, their candidate on September 2 2017th The members of parliament Maarit Feldt-Ranta , Tuula Haatainen and Sirpa Paatero stood for election . Tuula Haatainen won the member survey with 48.6% of the vote.

Swedish People's Party

In June 2017, the Swedish People's Party held a convention at which MEP Nils Torvalds was chosen as a candidate. In the spring of 2016, the then party chairman Carl Haglund also thought about running, but announced his retirement from politics that same year.

Pirate party

The Vice President of the Pirate Party , Petrus Pennanen , announced his candidacy on October 1, 2017 via the short message service Twitter . On November 11, 2017, the party pledged Pennanen to help collect the 20,000 signatures at their party congress.

Paavo Väyrynen

Former center politician Paavo Väyrynen announced that he would like to run as a non-party candidate in the presidential election. Väyrynen had collected around 15,000 signatures by November 26, 2017. On December 5, 2017, he announced that he had collected the required 20,000 signatures. It is his fourth presidential candidacy.

Ilya Janitskin

The editor-in-chief of MV magazine , Ilya Janitskin , announced that he would run as a candidate for the presidential election. At the end of November 2017, however, Janitskin withdrew his candidacy and assured Laura Huhtasaari of his support. The Finland First Association ( Suomi Ensin -Yhdistys ) wanted to support Janitskin. Tiina Keskimäki estimated in August 2017 that "there is no doubt that Janitskin will still collect the 20,000 signatures."

Jussi Ahde

The editor of Absolute magazine , Jussi Ahde , also announced a presidential candidacy. Ahde is also involved in local politics for the SDP .

Election campaign

Campaigns

Election posters in
Helsinki in January 2018

Niinistö

President Sauli Niinistö currently considers NATO membership to be too unimportant for Finland. He advocates a referendum on membership. Niinistö said he is concerned about the unity of the Finnish people and believes that, for example, the harsh tone on social media could be a threat to social justice in Finland.

Niinistö's special adviser, Pete Pokkinen, has been appointed campaign manager.

Haatainen

SDP presidential candidate Tuula Haatainen had announced that she would pursue a foreign policy similar to that of Tarja Halonen . Haatainen stated that she will focus on sustainable development , environmental issues, global inequality and poverty reduction. According to Haatainen, Finland's greatest threat is the weak position of young men in the labor market.

The campaign manager was Jenny Suominen.

Haavisto

Green candidate Pekka Haavisto has announced that Finland should promote peace and stability in the world. Haavisto said he was firmly against the creation of enemy images and discrimination of any kind. Haavisto rejects NATO membership and a referendum on membership.

Haavisto started its campaign by attending various events in spring and summer 2017. His campaign manager was Riikka Kämppi.

Huhtasaari

Laura Huhtasaari , the Basic Finns ' presidential candidate, supports Finland's exit from the European Union , the euro and the Schengen area . It also supports a stricter immigration policy . The Paris Agreement regards them as "catastrophic for Finland". Huhtasaari would be ready to give the president more power and to reverse the 1999 constitutional amendment .

Kyllönen

Merja Kyllönen , the left alliance's presidential candidate, criticizes the shadow economy and emphasizes the importance of the welfare state . She refuses to join NATO.

Their campaign began in November 2017. Kyllönens campaign manager was Joonas Leppänen.

Torvalds

The Swedish People's Party candidate, Nils Torvalds , defined his campaign as part of an effort for a more liberal language and cultural policy in Finland. He supports NATO membership.

Torvald's special advisor Elisabet Rantschukoff left the European Parliament on August 15, 2017 for his campaign and became campaign manager.

Vanhanen

Center Party's presidential candidate Matti Vanhanen announced that he would oppose Finland's NATO membership and the Paasikivi - Kekkonen line. He spoke in favor of closer cooperation between Finland and Sweden , also outside of the military alliances. Vanhanen also wants Finland to play a more important role in foreign policy. Vanhanen is concerned about a split in Finnish society. In his election bulletin he emphasizes the importance of work and entrepreneurship in Finland.

His campaign started in the fall of 2017.

financing

The parties will invest roughly the same amount in their campaigns as they did in the last presidential election in 2012.

candidate Political party budget
Sauli Niinistö independent 1 to 1.5 million euros
Tuula Haatainen Social Democratic Party 550 thousand euros
Pekka Haavisto Green covenant 500 thousand euros
Matti Vanhanen center 500 thousand euros
Nils Torvalds Swedish People's Party 400 thousand euros
Merja Kyllönen Left alliance 250 thousand euros
Laura Huhtasaari Base fins 200 thousand euros
Paavo Väyrynen independent k. A.

Campaign issues

Human rights

In the television duel on January 25, 2018, among other things, human rights in China were discussed, as well as the death penalty and China's panda diplomacy . The well-known human rights activist Liu Xiaobo died in 2017 as a result of liver cancer . The Chinese government had previously denied him medical care and assistance. According to experts, Liu could have been brought to Europe or the United States . Out of respect for the life and work of Liu Xiaobo, the candidates were not asked questions about Liu or about the behavior of the Finnish state in this matter. At the time of Liu's death, candidate Sauli Niinistö was already president.

Debates

The first debate took place on October 30, 2017 in the Finlandia Hall in Helsinki . It was organized by the Finnish Economic and Political Forum and all candidates confirmed so far, except Merja Kyllönen , who was on a business trip, took part in the discussion. The subject of the debate was security policy. The candidates were asked, among other things, whether they would be willing to hold a referendum on Finland's accession to NATO . Torvalds was the only candidate willing to leave this question to Parliament. Niinistö, Huhtasaari and Haatainen would support a referendum. Haavisto said he would leave NATO membership "to the politicians" because he was concerned about influence from abroad on the referendum.

The second debate took place on November 13, 2017 at the University of Helsinki . Vanhanen was unable to participate in the debate due to a hospital stay for a cardiac arrhythmia . Topics were foreign and security policy and the role of the president in Finnish society. Timo Haapala, the moderator, asked questions about the prerogatives of the president, the European Union's common defense policy , the civil war in Finland and social media .

The third debate also took place at the University of Helsinki on November 27th. All candidates confirmed at the time took part in the discussion. In the debate, each candidate gave a two-minute speech, after which they answered questions from other candidates. The discussion included topics such as NATO, the EU, the support and acceptance of Finland in possible military crises and multinational military exercises. During the debate, Pekka Haavisto described NATO as a "cage" and spoke out against joining. He also reiterated his concern about the interference from abroad on a possible NATO referendum. Laura Huhtasaari spoke out in the discussion for the nation states and against the EU, as this only harms the nation states. Tuula Haatainen, on the other hand, spoke out in favor of more cooperation with the EU. The last question involved participation in multinational military exercises. All candidates, with the exception of Merja Kyllönen, responded positively to this question.

Since Väyrynen only became an official candidate in early December 2017, he was not invited to the first three debates. The first debate, at which all candidates were present, took place on December 13, 2017. It was also the first debate to be televised. At the beginning of the debate, the discussion about joining NATO was resumed, which Niinistö called a "war talk debate". Torvalds contradicted this and declared himself to join NATO because he currently sees a great danger in Russia too . Were further arms exports of the Middle East , defense policy, the inclusion of asylum seekers and the #MeToo discussed campaign.

Debates on the 2018 presidential election in Finland
date Organizers Moderators
  • T = Participated
  • N = not participated
  • swell
    Haatainen Haavisto Huhtasaari Kyllönen Niinistö Torvalds Vanhanen Väyrynen
    October 30, 2017
    5:30 p.m.
    EVA
    ISTV
    Matti Apunen T T T N T T T N
    November 13, 2017
    5:00 p.m.
    ISTV
    Paasikivi Society
    UKK Society
    UNA Finland
    Timo Haapala T T T T T T N N
    November 27, 2017
    6:00 p.m.
    Maanpuolustuskurssiyhdistys Pauli Aalto-Setälä T T T T T T T N
    December 13, 2017
    8:00 p.m.
    MTV3 Jaakko Loikkanen
    Juha Kaija
    T T T T T T T T
    December 14, 2017
    9:05 pm
    Yle Jan Andersson
    Seija Vaaherkumpu
    T T T T T T T T
    January 10, 2018
    11:30 a.m.
    Kaleva
    Yle
    Hanne Kinnunen
    Petri Laukka
    T T T T T T T T
    January 12, 2018
    6:00 p.m.
    Aamulehti Sinikka Tuomi
    Jussi Tuulensuu
    T T T T T T T T
    January 21, 2018
    8:00 p.m.
    MTV3 Merja Ylä-Anttila
    Jussi Kärki
    T T T T T T T T
    January 22, 2018
    6:00 p.m.
    Iltalehti Susanne Päivärinta
    Juha Ristamäki
    T T T T T T T T
    January 22, 2018
    8:00 p.m.
    Svenska Yle Ingemo Lindroos
    Ville Hupa
    T T T T T T T T
    January 23, 2018
    4:00 p.m.
    Helsingin Sanomat
    Ilta-Sanomat
    Marko Junkkari
    Timo Haapala
    T T T T T T T T
    January 25, 2018
    9:05 pm
    Yle Jan Andersson
    Seija Vaaherkumpu
    T T T T T T T T

    Fear of Russian influence

    In October 2017, the Security Committee of the Finnish Ministry of Defense published an assessment of the possibilities of Russia's participation in the presidential elections. The assessment looked at nine possible scenarios, from spreading false information via social media to a political assassination attempt . The Security Committee also suggested ten possible targets for Russian participation, including obstructing the discussion on NATO .

    The longtime Foreign Minister Erkki Tuomioja criticized the assessment heavily and called it “pure fantasy, which could also come from Ilkka Remes ”.

    Surveys and Forecasts

    Opinion polls

    In December 2015, Ilta-Sanomat carried out a poll according to which 65% of those questioned would vote for incumbent President Sauli Niinistö if he were to run again in the 2018 election. The second biggest support was the Green Pekka Haavisto, for whom 15% would vote if they ran again. The poll also showed that Haavisto would not get 32% of the vote if Niinisto did not run again. Center politicians Juha Sipilä and Alexander Stubb got 21% and 9% of the vote, respectively. 6% of those questioned would have voted for the then chairman of the Basisfinnen, Timo Soini. The error rate of the survey was 3.2 percentage points.

    After Niinistö announced his candidacy in May 2017, Ilta-Sanomat carried out another opinion poll. According to the poll, Niinistö would get 72% of the vote, Haavisto 12%, Matti Vanhanen 3%, Merja Kyllönen 2%, Sampo Terho 1%, Sari Essayah 1% and Anna-Maja Henriksson 0% Be right. In addition, 5% of the respondents said that they could not yet say who they would vote for. 2% intend to vote for another candidate and 1% replied that they do not intend to vote. The error rate of the survey was 2.5 percentage points. In a November 2017 poll by Yle, Niinistö received 80 percent of the vote and Haavisto 10 percent.

    Polls for the January 28th election

    source Survey period Sauli Niinistö Senate of Poland 2015.JPG Pekka Haavisto 2017 03.jpg Laura Huhtasaari.jpg Matti Vanhanen 2017 06.jpg Tuula Haatainen 2017 04.jpg MerjaKyllönenPresidentiksi2.jpg Nils Torvalds MEP, Strasbourg - Diliff.jpg Paavo Väyrynen 2017 03.jpg
    Niinistö
    independent
    Haavisto
    Green Bund
    Huhtasaari
    base fins
    Vanhanen
    center
    Haatainen
    SDP
    Kyllönen
    left alliance
    Torvalds
    Swedish People's Party
    Väyrynen
    non-party
    Others Undecided
    Cantar TNS January 22-24, 2018 58% 13% 5% 4% 5% 5% 3% 7% - -
    Taloustutkimus January 17-23, 2018 63% 14% 6% 4% 2% 4% 2% 6% - -
    Cantar TNS January 8-17, 2018 68% 11% 4% 3% 2% 3% 1 % 8th % - -
    Tietoykkonen January 9-16, 2018 58% 14% 6% 5% 4% 4% 2% 7% - -
    Taloustutkimus December 27, 2017– January 3, 2018 72% 11% 5% 2% 3% 2% 1 % 4% - -
    Cantar TNS December 04-16, 2017 70% 11% 3% 2% 2% 2% - 3% - 6%
    Tietoykkonen November 23 - December 3, 2017 64% 12% 3% 3% 2% 3% 1 % 2% 1 % 8th %
    Taloustutkimus November 20-28, 2017 80% 10% 4% 2% 2% 1 % 1 % - 1 % -
    Cantar TNS October 16-27, 2017 67% 13% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1 % - 1 % 8th %
    Tietoykkonen October 10-11, 2017 60% 10% 4% 2% 3% 3% - 1 % 2% 14%
    Taloustutkimus October 02-10, 2017 76% 14% 3% 2% 1 % 2% 1 % - 1 % -
    Cantar TNS September 04-14, 2017 68% 13% 3% 2% 3% 2% - - - 10%
    Taloustutkimus August 22-23, 2017 60% 12% 4% 3% - 2% 1 % 2% 5% 9%
    Tietoykkonen May 30 - June 1, 2017 62% 11% - 1 % 1 % 2% 1 % 1 % 9% 12%
    Taloustutkimus June 2017 72% 12% - 3% - 2% - - 5% 5%
    TNS April 2017 66% 19% - 4% - 3% - - 8th % -

    Polls for the possible runoff on February 11th

    source Survey period Sauli Niinistö Senate of Poland 2015.JPG Tuula Haatainen 2017 04.jpg
    Niinistö
    independent
    Haatainen
    SDP
    Undecided
    Taloustutkimus January 17-23, 2018 89% 11% -
    Cantar TNS January 8-17, 2018 80% 8th % 12%
    Tietoykkonen January 9-16, 2018 85% 15% -
    Taloustutkimus December 27, 2017– January 3, 2018 92% 8th % -
    Tietoykkonen November 23 - December 3, 2017 91% 9% -
    Taloustutkimus October 02-10, 2017 94% 6% -
    Cantar TNS September 04-14, 2017 85% 6% 9%
    source Survey period Sauli Niinistö Senate of Poland 2015.JPG Pekka Haavisto 2017 03.jpg
    Niinistö
    independent
    Haavisto
    VIHR
    Undecided
    Taloustutkimus January 17-23, 2018 80% 20% -
    Cantar TNS January 8-17, 2018 73% 14% 13%
    Tietoykkonen January 9-16, 2018 75% 25% -
    Taloustutkimus December 27, 2017– January 3, 2018 82% 18% -
    Tietoykkonen November 23 - December 3, 2017 79% 21% -
    Taloustutkimus November 20-28, 2017 86% 14% -
    Taloustutkimus October 02-10, 2017 82% 18% -
    Cantar TNS September 04-14, 2017 77% 16% 7%
    Taloustutkimus August 22-23, 2017 70% 22% 8th %
    Taloustutkimus May 2017 76% 19% 5%
    source Survey period Sauli Niinistö Senate of Poland 2015.JPG Laura Huhtasaari.jpg
    Niinistö
    independent
    Huhtasaari
    PS
    Undecided
    Taloustutkimus January 17-23, 2018 90% 10% -
    Cantar TNS January 8-17, 2018 83% 6% 11%
    Tietoykkonen January 9-16, 2018 90% 10% -
    Taloustutkimus December 27, 2017– January 3, 2018 93% 7% -
    Tietoykkonen November 23 - December 3, 2017 94% 6% -
    Taloustutkimus November 20-28, 2017 93% 7% -
    Taloustutkimus October 02-10, 2017 96% 4% -
    Cantar TNS September 04-14, 2017 87% 4% 9%
    Taloustutkimus August 22-23, 2017 87% 7% 6%
    source Survey period Sauli Niinistö Senate of Poland 2015.JPG MerjaKyllönenPresidentiksi2.jpg
    Niinistö
    independent
    Kyllönen
    vas.
    Undecided
    Taloustutkimus January 17-23, 2018 80% 20% -
    Tietoykkonen January 9-16, 2018 89% 11% -
    Taloustutkimus December 27, 2017– January 3, 2018 93% 7% -
    Tietoykkonen November 23 - December 3, 2017 90% 10% -
    Taloustutkimus November 20-28, 2017 93% 7% -
    Taloustutkimus October 02-10, 2017 96% 4% -
    source Survey period Sauli Niinistö Senate of Poland 2015.JPG NickeWiki.jpg
    Niinistö
    independent
    Torvalds
    SFP / RKP
    Undecided
    Taloustutkimus January 17-23, 2018 95% 5% -
    Tietoykkonen January 9-16, 2018 91% 9% -
    Taloustutkimus December 27, 2017– January 3, 2018 97% 3% -
    Tietoykkonen November 23 - December 3, 2017 94% 6% -
    source Survey period Sauli Niinistö Senate of Poland 2015.JPG Matti Vanhanen 2017 06.jpg
    Niinistö
    independent
    Vanhanen
    KESK
    Undecided
    Taloustutkimus January 17-23, 2018 91% 9% -
    Tietoykkonen January 9-16, 2018 89% 11% -
    Taloustutkimus December 27, 2017– January 3, 2018 95% 5% -
    Tietoykkonen November 23 - December 3, 2017 93% 7% -
    Taloustutkimus October 02-10, 2017 96% 4% -
    Cantar TNS September 04-14, 2017 89% 3% 7%
    source Survey period Sauli Niinistö Senate of Poland 2015.JPG Paavo Väyrynen 2017 03.jpg
    Niinistö
    independent
    Väyrynen
    non-party
    Undecided
    Taloustutkimus January 17-23, 2018 89% 11% -
    Tietoykkonen January 9-16, 2018 85% 15% -
    Taloustutkimus December 27, 2017– January 3, 2018 92% 8th % -

    Forecasts

    In December 2017 and January 2018, the Iltalehti newspaper published three Accuscore predictions about the outcome of the first round of the presidential election.

    Forecasts for the January 28 election

    source publication Sauli Niinistö Senate of Poland 2015.JPG Pekka Haavisto 2017 03.jpg Laura Huhtasaari.jpg Matti Vanhanen 2017 06.jpg Tuula Haatainen 2017 04.jpg MerjaKyllönenPresidentiksi2.jpg Nils Torvalds MEP, Strasbourg - Diliff.jpg Paavo Väyrynen 2017 03.jpg
    Niinistö
    independent
    Haavisto
    Green Bund
    Huhtasaari
    base fins
    Vanhanen
    center
    Haatainen
    SDP
    Kyllönen
    left alliance
    Torvalds
    Swedish People's Party
    Väyrynen
    non-party
    Accuscore January 25, 2018 51.1% 13.6% 7.9% 5.3% 4.6% 5.5% 2.5% 9.4%
    Accuscore 22nd January 2018 49.2% 13.6% 7.8% 5.0% 4.4% 4.7% 2.1% 13.2%
    Accuscore 23rd December 2017 52.4% 15.1% 7.9% 6.3% 4.1% 4.6% 1.9% 7.7%

    Results

    Map of Finland with the constituencies:

    Overall result

    candidate Political party be right %
    Sauli Niinistö independent 1,874,331 62.7
    Pekka Haavisto Green covenant 370,823 12.4
    Laura Huhtasaari Base fins 207.175 6.9
    Paavo Väyrynen independent 185.143 6.2
    Matti Vanhanen Center Party 122,320 4.1
    Tuula Haatainen Social Democratic Party 97.254 3.3
    Merja Kyllönen Left alliance 89,815 3.0
    Nils Torvalds Swedish People's Party 44,661 1.5
    Invalid votes 9,800 -
    total 3,001,322 100
    Eligible voters / turnout 4,498,004 66.7
    Source: Ministry of Justice

    Results by constituency

    Constituencies Sauli
    Niinistö
    Pekka
    Haavisto
    Laura
    Huhtasaari
    Paavo
    Väyrynen
    Matti
    Vanhanen
    Tuula
    Haatainen
    Merja
    Kyllönen
    Nils
    Torvalds
    be right % be right % be right % be right % be right % be right % be right % be right %
    Helsinki 195.354 54.8 91,233 25.6 17,362 4.9 12,596 3.5 5,507 1.5 13.007 3.6 13,320 3.7 8,384 2.4
    Uusimaa 350,342 66.5 68,972 13.1 34,279 6.5 22,593 4.3 12,029 2.3 16,663 3.2 11,467 2.2 10,798 2.0
    Varsinais-Suomi 175,708 65.4 33,335 12.4 18,275 6.8 12,761 4.8 7,583 2.8 8,689 3.2 8,048 3.0 4,074 1.5
    Satakunta 80,334 64.4 9,187 7.4 12,615 10.1 7,596 6.1 4,970 4.0 5,380 4.3 4,292 3.4 428 0.3
    Åland 7,879 61.1 2.184 16.9 99 0.8 157 1.2 81 0.6 418 3.2 82 0.6 2,000 15.5
    Malice 136.379 66.5 20,406 10.0 16,385 8.0 11,929 5.8 6.277 3.1 7,559 3.7 5,148 2.5 988 0.5
    Pirkanmaa 181,615 63.1 38,631 13.4 21,462 7.5 15,791 5.5 7,669 2.7 10,559 3.7 10,378 3.6 1,808 0.6
    Southeast Finland 167.901 67.6 21,411 8.6 17,882 7.2 15,247 6.1 11,195 4.5 8,999 3.6 4,481 1.8 1,185 0.5
    Savo Karelia 139,811 63.8 20,621 9.4 15,088 6.9 15,971 7.3 13.163 6.0 7,293 3.3 6,400 2.9 870 0.4
    Vaasa 152.289 62.8 15,246 6.3 18,887 7.8 17,481 7.2 16,404 6.8 6.113 2.5 4.023 1.7 12,088 5.0
    Central Finland 92,464 61.2 18,711 12.4 10,824 7.2 11.002 7.3 7,402 4.9 5,387 3.6 4,654 3.1 681 0.5
    Oulu 140.970 56.5 22,755 9.1 17,732 7.1 26,135 10.5 23,569 9.4 4,844 1.9 12,578 5.0 1.002 0.4
    Lapland 53,288 54.5 8,131 8.3 6,285 6.4 15,885 16.3 6,472 6.6 2,344 2.4 4,945 5.1 355 0.4
    Source: Ministry of Justice

    Reactions

    Federal President Frank-Walter Steinmeier congratulated Niinistö on his re-election and drew attention to the long partnership and the friendly relationship between Germany and Finland.

    Russian President Vladimir Putin also wrote a letter to Niinistö congratulating Niinistö and thanking him for his efforts in promoting Russian-Finnish relations. Putin personally wished Niinistö physical health and good luck and success in continuing his duties as President of Finland.

    EU Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker congratulated Niinistö on Twitter and is looking forward to further cooperation between Finland and the European Union .

    Web links

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