Range (raw material)

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The range for raw materials indicates how many years a raw material will still be available. The static range is the time span in years for which the globally known and economically recoverable deposits of a non-renewable raw material will still be sufficient given current consumption . The dynamic range , on the other hand, is based on a model for consumption development, in the simplest case on the assumption of a constant annual increase in consumption.

The calculation of the range is based on the current state of knowledge and is only a snapshot of a dynamically developing system with various influencing variables:

  • Future global consumption and the development of new deposits
  • Technical developments that enable the development of previously unprofitable deposits
  • Political and economic influences on the availability of raw materials
  • Increased efficiency when using a raw material
  • Substitution of raw materials, such as the replacement of copper by fiber optics in telecommunications and data transmission
  • Unexpected fluctuations in the rate of production

Range of some raw materials

Static range of crude oil
Static range of natural gas
This article or the following section is not adequately provided with supporting documents ( e.g. individual evidence ). Information without sufficient evidence could be removed soon. Please help Wikipedia by researching the information and including good evidence.

Any quantities from recycling are not taken into account.

raw material Year of
estimate 		estimated
stock 		estimated
range 		Price in the
estimate year
natural gas 2014 187 trillion. m 3 54.1
Indium 2008 11,000 t 19th
Mineral fertilizers 50-100
crude oil 2014 240 mbd 52.5
Hard coal 2014 891.531 110
uranium 2006 4.85 million t 70 $ 130 / kg

literature

  • [1] Brief report on the availability and supply of energy resources, BMWi, Department III, Energy Resources Working Group, March 29, 2006.
  • James Murray, David King: Oil's tipping point has passed (PDF; 1.1 MB), Nature, Volume 481, January 26, 2012, pp. 433-435.

Individual evidence

  1. ↑ a b c Statistical Review of World Energy 2015
  2. ↑ Peter Diehl: Range of the uranium reserves in the world . Greenpeace Germany, Berlin January 2006, p. 55 ( greenpeace.de [PDF; accessed June 12, 2013]).