Accelerating change
In futurology , accelerating change and the law of accelerating returns denote the increase in both quality and quantity of technical achievements, including not only inventions but also knowledge. This increase, according to the theory, is exponential . Raymond Kurzweil is often cited as a popular proponent of this idea .
Kurzweil assumes that Moore's law is only a small part of a larger generally applicable law, namely the law of accelerating utility. He further formulates that one technology, if it can no longer develop, will be replaced by another ( example : transistors become so small that they can no longer be cooled, or negative quantum mechanical effects become noticeable). According to Kurzweil, this law inevitably leads to the technological singularity in which man and machine (or artificial intelligence ) combine.
Kurzweil describes the law of accelerating utility in his book Homo S @ piens and in his 2001 essay The Law of Accelerating Returns .
See also
Individual evidence
- ^ Ray Kurzweil: The Law of Accelerating Returns . Essay, March 7, 2001.