Sailing ship effect

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The sailing ship effect is a metaphor for the dynamics of change processes and is derived from the transition from sailing ships to steamers .

Development of the term

As in the 19th century , the steamship came up, the manufacturer of sailing ships in their business model was threatened. As a result, numerous technological improvements developed in response to the steam-powered competition that kept sailing ships on the market for a long time. As a result, the merchant fleets' switch from sailing to steam power , which was initially predicted to take a few years, actually dragged on for around 120 years.

Use of the term

The term is currently used in connection with the anticipated transition from internal combustion engines to electric motor drives in automobiles . The interpretation of the past of shipbuilding is used as a prediction for the future in automotive engineering .

literature

  • Bernd Liesenkötter, Gerhard Schewe: E-Mobility - On the sailing ship effect in the automotive industry . 1st edition. Springer Fachmedien, Wiesbaden 2014, ISBN 978-3-658-06309-2 , 2.1 Sailing-Ship-Effect.