Anti-governmental effect

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In political science, the anti- governmental effect is the exodus of voters from the ruling party or parties due to unpopular and controversial government decisions. The counterpart is called the official bonus or governmental effect .

It can often be observed that federal government parties perform worse in the following federal and state parliament elections. Often this effect occurs more intensely with the coalition partner or the coalition partners than with the party in charge of government. As an example of the anti-governmental effect, the difference in the comparison of the election results of the SPD in the federal elections in 2005 and 2009 can be seen: After joining the so-called grand coalition with the CDU / CSU, the Social Democrats lost over 10 percent of their voters (2005: 34, 2% / 2009: 23.00%), whereby the controversial Agenda 2010 of the Schröder government also had an impact.

The anti-governmental effect can also be observed to be slightly weaker in the state elections. The weakening stems from regional conditions in political operations, especially regional election campaign issues, demographic peculiarities and personal sympathies.

International

This behavior is not only observed in Germany. In the United States , the presidential party suffers losses very often in midterm elections ; this is called the "mid-term" effect in the Anglo-Saxon region.

literature

Individual evidence

  1. Wolfgang Rudzio : The political system of the Federal Republic of Germany . 9. update and exp. Edition Springer VS, Wiesbaden 2015, ISBN 978-3-658-06230-9 .
  2. Bundestag elections: The results of the parties since 1949 . In: Spiegel Online . September 24, 2017 ( spiegel.de [accessed July 17, 2018]).