Misery index

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The misery index ( closely : misery index ) is the sum of inflation and unemployment rates.

The poverty index was introduced into the scientific discussion by Arthur Okun as an economic indicator . The assumption behind this is that both unemployment and inflation have high economic and social costs .

variants

The Chicago economist Robert Barro has also created a misery index. Its Barro Misery Index , published in the 1970s , also included economic growth and interest rates.

Sometimes the misery index is calculated with double weighting of unemployment. This is intended to reflect a corresponding value judgment that unemployment is worse than inflation. This view is reflected in the well-known quote from Helmut Schmidt : "Better 5% inflation than 5% unemployment". At the end of Schmidt's term of office, however, both indicators were over 5%.

criticism

From an economic point of view, the misery index is neither accepted nor useful, but has been shown to be a good indicator in elections in the past. If the index is high, governments are voted out more often than if the index is low.

Trivia

Individual evidence

  1. * Misery Index for the USA
  2. Barros misery index ( Memento of the original from September 1, 2006 in the Internet Archive ) Info: The archive link was inserted automatically and has not yet been checked. Please check the original and archive link according to the instructions and then remove this notice.  @1@ 2Template: Webachiv / IABot / www.economics.harvard.edu
  3. Misery Index II (PDF; 21 kB)