Allan Lichtman

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Allan Lichtman

Allan Jay Lichtman (born April 4, 1947 in Brownsville , New York City ) is an American historian and political scientist.

Life

Allan Lichtman attended Stuyvesant High School and studied history at Brandeis University . He received his PhD from Harvard University in 1973 . Since then he has taught in Washington, DC at the American University , which appointed him professor in 1980.

Lichtman was repeated by non-governmental organizations in legal battles to civil rights named as an expert. He worked as an advisor to the Democratic politicians Al Gore and Edward Kennedy . After the 2000 presidential election , he investigated the electoral irregularities in Florida state. In 2006, Lichtman ran unsuccessfully in Maryland's internal Democratic primary as a candidate for the United States Senate .

Together with statistician Jack Moshman, Lichtman developed a forecasting system for the US presidential election based on historical election data . From its first use in 1984 up to and including the 2016 election, it provided correct predictions. The book Keys to the White House in 1996 published the first time. After the 2016 election, he commented on the question of impeachment and predicted that Trump would not survive his first term as president.

Fonts (selection)

  • with Valerie French: Historians and the Living Past: The Theory and Practice of Historical Study . Arlington Heights, Ill .: Harlan Davidson, Inc., 1978
  • with Laura Irwin Langbein : Ecological Inference . Sage Series In Quantitative Applications In The Social Sciences, 1978
  • Your Family History: How to Use Oral History, Personal Family Archives, and Public Documents To Discover Your Heritage . New York: Random House, 1978
  • Prejudice and the Old Politics: The Presidential Election of 1928 . Chapel Hill: University Of North Carolina Press, 1979
  • with Joan Challinor (Ed.): Kin and Communities: Families In America . Washington, DC: Smithsonian Press, 1979
  • with Ken Decell: The Thirteen Keys To The Presidency . Lanham: Madison Books, 1990 ISBN 978-0-8191-7008-8
  • The keys to the White House: a surefire guide to predicting the next president . Lanham: Madison Books, 1996 ISBN 978-0-7391-0179-7
  • White Protestant Nation: The Rise of the American Conservative Movement . Grove / Atlantic Press, 2008. ISBN 978-0-87113-984-9
  • with Richard Breitman : FDR & the Jews . Harvard University Press, 2013
  • The case for impeachment . Dey Street Books, 2017 ISBN 978-0062696823

Web links

Commons : Allan Lichtman  - collection of images, videos and audio files

Individual evidence

  1. ↑ Peter W. Stevenson: 'Prediction professor' who called Trump's big win also made another forecast: Trump will be impeached. In: The Independent , November 11, 2016.
  2. ↑ Edward Luce : You're fired! Review, in: Financial Times , April 22, 2017, p. 10
personal data
SURNAME Lichtman, Allan
ALTERNATIVE NAMES Lichtman, Allan Jay (full name)
BRIEF DESCRIPTION American historian and political scientist
DATE OF BIRTH April 4, 1947
PLACE OF BIRTH Brownsville (New York City)