Population development of Frankfurt (Oder)

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This article shows the population development of Frankfurt (Oder) in tabular and graphical form.

Population development

Population development of Frankfurt (Oder) .svgPopulation development in Frankfurt (Oder) - from 1871 onwards
Desc-i.svg
Population development in Frankfurt (Oder) according to the table below. Above from 1506 to 2018. Below an excerpt from 1871

The population of Frankfurt (Oder) rose only slowly in the Middle Ages and early modern times and fell again and again due to the numerous wars, epidemics and famine. The city lost 82 percent of its residents as a result of the Thirty Years' War . The population fell from 13,000 in 1625 to only 2,366 in 1653. Only with the beginning of industrialization in the 19th century did population growth accelerate. In 1817 only 15,600 people lived in the city, by 1900 there were already 62,000.

The importance of Frankfurt as a garrison town during the First World War is clear from the results of the census of December 5, 1917. A total local population of 73,831 people was determined. According to the Economics Department of the War Food Office, 11,880 of these were military personnel and 6,893 prisoners of war. Their share in the total population was 25.4 percent. 1,327 temporarily absent military personnel are not included in the statistics.

The October 8, 1919 census found a population of 65,055, a decrease of 11.9 percent (8,776 people) from 1917. The halving of the population from 83,000 in May 1939 to 42,000 in December 1945 is due to the effects of the Second World War and the separation of the Dammvorstadt district - today's Polish city of Słubice . In 1980 there were 1,471 births in the city, of which 766 were boys and 80,414 residents, of which 42,241 were women. The population grew by 1,461 people compared to 1979. In 1988 the population of the city of Frankfurt (Oder) reached its historical high of 87,863. In the meantime, however, the population has fallen sharply again.

On December 31, 2006, the “ official population ” for Frankfurt (Oder) was 62,594 according to the Berlin-Brandenburg Statistics Office (only main residences and after comparison with the other state offices). Since the fall of the Wall in the GDR in 1989, the city has lost 28 percent of its residents (24,000 people) due to high unemployment and the decline in the birth rate. In January 2006, 46 people were counted as homeless in Frankfurt, in January 2007 there were 49.

The following overview shows the number of inhabitants according to the respective territorial status. Up to 1780 these are mostly estimates, then census results (¹) or official updates by the city administration (until 1944), the state central administration for statistics (1945 to 1989) and the state statistical office (from 1990). From 1834 the information relates to the “customs clearance population”, from 1871 to the “local population”, from 1925 to the resident population and since 1966 to the “population at the place of the main residence”. Before 1834, the number of inhabitants was determined according to inconsistent survey methods.

From 1506 to 1870

Year / date Residents
1506 5,500
1625 13,000
1653 2,366
1780 10,000
December 1, 1817 ¹ 15,543
December 1, 1825 ¹ 19,617
December 3, 1834 ¹ 22,325
December 3, 1840¹ 26,908
December 3, 1843 ¹ 28,696
date Residents
December 3, 1846 ¹ 30,432
December 3, 1849 ¹ 29,969
December 3, 1852 ¹ 31,599
December 3, 1855 ¹ 32,725
December 3, 1858 ¹ 34,507
December 3, 1861 ¹ 36,557
December 3, 1864¹ 39,523
December 3, 1867 ¹ 40.994

¹ census result

From 1871 to 1944

date Residents
December 1, 1871 ¹ 43.211
December 1, 1875 ¹ 47,180
December 1, 1880¹ 51,147
December 1, 1885 ¹ 54.085
December 1, 1890¹ 55,738
December 2, 1895 ¹ 59.161
December 1, 1900 ¹ 61,852
December 1, 1905 ¹ 64,943
December 1, 1910¹ 68,277
December 31, 1913 70,341
December 1, 1916 ¹ 72,294
December 5, 1917 ¹ 73.831
October 8, 1919 ¹ 65,055
date Residents
December 31, 1919 68,978
December 31, 1920 70,549
December 31, 1921 71,023
December 31, 1922 73,696
December 31, 1923 75.241
December 31, 1924 75,413
June 16, 1925 ¹ 70,725
December 31, 1925 72,145
December 31, 1926 73,347
December 31, 1927 73,419
December 31, 1928 74.202
December 31, 1929 75,442
December 31, 1930 76.022
date Residents
December 31, 1931 75,718
December 31, 1932 75,777
June 16, 1933 ¹ 75,831
December 31, 1933 75,890
December 31, 1934 76,430
December 31, 1935 80.057
December 31, 1936 80,555
December 31, 1937 80,629
December 31, 1938 83,700
May 17, 1939 ¹ 83,306
December 31, 1939 84,100
December 31, 1940 87,400

¹ census result

Source: City of Frankfurt (Oder)

From 1945 to 1989

date Residents
December 1, 1945 ¹ 41,829
October 29, 1946 ¹ 51,577
August 31, 1950 ¹ 52,822
December 31, 1955 57,151
December 31, 1956 56,938
December 31, 1957 56,356
December 31, 1958 55,965
December 31, 1959 56,480
December 31, 1960 56,638
December 31, 1961 56,995
December 31, 1962 57,669
December 31, 1963 58,339
December 31, 1964 ¹ 57,975
date Residents
December 31, 1965 58,866
December 31, 1966 59,638
December 31, 1967 60.163
December 31, 1968 60.215
December 31, 1969 60,611
December 31, 1970 ¹ 62,433
December 31, 1971 63,529
December 31, 1972 65,072
December 31, 1973 67,451
December 31, 1974 70,817
December 31, 1975 72.213
December 31, 1976 73,650
December 31, 1977 75,328
date Residents
December 31, 1978 77,175
December 31, 1979 78,953
December 31, 1980 80.414
December 31, 1981 ¹ 81.009
December 31, 1982 82,812
December 31, 1983 84,072
December 31, 1984 84,836
December 31, 1985 85,593
December 31, 1986 86,441
December 31, 1987 87.123
December 31, 1988 87,863
December 31, 1989 87,126

¹ census result

Source: State Central Administration for Statistics

Since 1990

For a graphical representation of the development from 1990 onwards see section # Population forecast .

date Residents
December 31, 1990 86.131
December 31, 1991 85.357
December 31, 1992 84,937
December 31, 1993 83,850
December 31, 1994 82,323
December 31, 1995 80,807
December 31, 1996 79,784
December 31, 1997 77,891
December 31, 1998 75.710
December 31, 1999 73,832
date Residents
December 31, 2000 72.131
December 31, 2001 70,308
December 31, 2002 68,351
December 31, 2003 67.014
December 31, 2004 65,242
December 31, 2005 63,748
December 31, 2006 62,594
December 31, 2007 61,969
December 31, 2008 61,286
December 31, 2009 60,625
date Residents
December 31, 2010 60,330
December 31, 2011 60.002
December 31, 2012 58,537
December 31 2013 58,018
December 31, 2014 57,990
December 31, 2015 58,377
December 31, 2016 58.193
December 31, 2017 58,237
December 31, 2018 57,873

Source: Office for Statistics Berlin-Brandenburg, City of Frankfurt (Oder)

Population forecast

Bertelsmann Foundation forecast

Population growth from 1990 to 2018 (blue) in comparison with six forecasts:
light red: Bertelsmann Foundation forecast 2006
red: Bertelsmann Foundation forecast 2011
dark red: Bertelsmann Foundation forecast 2015
light green: city administration scenario F06
green: city administration scenario B02
dark green: city administration scenario T06

In its “Guide to Demographic Change 2020” published in 2006 , in which the Bertelsmann Foundation provides data on the development of the population of 2,959 municipalities in Germany, a population decrease of 23.1 percent between 2003 and 2020 (15,497 People) predicted. In a follow-up study, a new forecast was made in 2011. The population decrease over time was set to be lower. However, since the prognosis goes to 2030, it is assumed that the overall population will decrease.

Absolute population development 2012–2030 - forecast for Frankfurt (Oder) (main residences):

Forecast 2006
date Residents
Is 2003 67.014
Forecast 2005 63,825
Forecast 2010 58,075
Forecast 2015 54,426
Forecast 2020 51,517

Source: Bertelsmann Foundation

2011 forecast
date Residents
- -
Is 2005 63,748
Is 2009 60,600
Forecast 2015 57,200
Forecast 2020 54,960
Forecast 2025 52.710
Forecast 2030 50,420

Source: Bertelsmann Foundation

2015 forecast
date Residents
- -
- -
Is 2012 58,490
Forecast 2015 57,960
Forecast 2020 56,600
Forecast 2025 55,000
Forecast 2030 53,270

Source: Bertelsmann Foundation

City administration forecast

The city administration comes to a similar assessment of the population development between 2005 and 2020 as the Bertelsmann Foundation. In 2020 Frankfurt (Oder) is expected to have a population of 50,604. The proportion of people between the ages of 0 and 26 is expected to drop from 27 percent (2005) to 21 percent (2020). The number of people between the ages of 27 and 64 will remain at 52 percent between 2005 and 2020. The proportion of pensioners (over 65 years of age) will increase from 20 percent (2005) to 30 percent (2020).

If the natural development parameters (births, deaths) remain the same, the three scenarios listed result solely from the difference in migration patterns. The middle variant (scenario B02) is the preferred scenario for the city administration. Due to the newly acquired population after the 2011 census, the city of Frankfurt (Oder) lost an additional 1,000 more residents than was included in the forecasts. This makes the city administration's scenarios more realistic after the uncorrected higher population figures have so far indicated a lower population loss.

Absolute population development 2003-2020 - forecast from February 15, 2006:

year Scenario F06 Scenario B02 Scenario T06
2005 63.163 63.162 63,055
2010 57,510 57.179 55,671
2015 55,448 53,464 49,254
2020 53,457 50,604 43,833

Source: City of Frankfurt (Oder)

Population structure

population As of December 31, 2014
Residents with main residence 57,990
of which male 27,923
Female 30,067
German 54,356
of which male 26,186
Female 28,170
Foreigners 3,634
of which male 1,737
Female 1,897
Proportion of foreigners in percent 6.3

Source: Berlin-Brandenburg Statistics Office

age structure

Population pyramid of Frankfurt (as of December 31, 2009)

The following overview shows the age structure as of December 31, 2006 (main residences).

Age from - to population Percentage
0 - 17 7,847 12.7
18-29 10,539 17.0
30-49 17,735 28.7
50-64 12,676 20.5
over 65 13,089 21.2
total 61,886 100.0

Source: City of Frankfurt (Oder)

Urban areas

Frankfurt (Oder) is divided into five districts, these are divided into 19 urban areas (nine of which are districts). The urban areas are in turn divided into 80 statistical districts (residential districts).

The population figures in the following table refer to December 31 of the respective year (main residences).

(SG = urban area, OT = district)

No.
Surname
1989
2001
2006
2014
Development
1989-2014
in%
SG 01 City center 6,020 3,932 4.152 3,846 -36.1
SG 02 Gubener suburb 2,615 2,688 3,016 3,613 38.2
SG 03 Upper city 11,263 8,829 8,382 8,769 -22.1
SG 04 Old Beresinchen 8,036 5,689 5.010 4,770 -40.6
SG 05 New Beresinchen 21,547 13,145 9,080 6,016 -72.1
SG 08 Lubusz suburb 3,843 3,575 3,466 3,375 -12.2
SG 09 Hansaviertel 7,265 5,599 4,655 4,186 -42.4
SG 10 Klingetal 673 774 800 714 6.1
SG 13 Nuhnenvorstadt 6,729 6,883 6,425 7,252 7.8
SG 16 South urban area 14,909 11,065 9,144 8,123 -45.5
OT 06 Güldendorf 560 956 946 860 53.6
OT 07 Lossow 345 536 512 490 42.0
OT 11 Kliestow 561 1,227 1,182 1,081 92.7
OT 12 Booze 956 1,517 1,544 1,448 51.5
OT 14th Rose garden / Pagram 390 981 999 889 127.9
OT 15th Lichtenberg 333 442 429 427 27.7
OT 17th Brandendorf 774 1,125 1,289 1,262 63.0
OT 18th Markendorf / settlement 0 384 433 422 ...
OT 19th Hohenwalde 304 388 426 445 46.4
Frankfurt (Oder) 87.123 69,735 61,886 57,990 -33.4

Source: City of Frankfurt (Oder)

literature

  • Imperial Statistical Office (Ed.): Statistical Yearbook for the German Empire , 1880–1918
  • Statistisches Reichsamt (Ed.): Statistical yearbook for the German Reich , 1919–1941 / 42
  • German Association of Cities (Ed.): Statistical Yearbook of German Communities , 1890 ff.
  • State Central Administration for Statistics (Ed.): Statistical Yearbook of the German Democratic Republic , 1955–1989
  • Bertelsmann Stiftung (Ed.): Guide to Demographic Change 2020. Analyzes and action plans for cities and municipalities. Bertelsmann Stiftung Publishing House, Gütersloh 2006, ISBN 3-89204-875-4

Web links

Individual evidence

  1. Märkische Oderzeitung / Frankfurter Stadtbote, March 17, 2006, p. 11
  2. a b c City of Frankfurt (Oder): "Facts, data, routes"
  3. ^ Märkische Oderzeitung: More and less Frankfurter , from May 29, 2007
  4. Bertelsmann Foundation: Population projection 2012-2030