Surveys and forecasts in the run-up to the state elections in North Rhine-Westphalia 2010 .
Parties
Institute
date
CDU
SPD
GREEN
FDP
LEFT
Others
Emnid
05/06/2010
37%
33%
12%
0 8th %
0 5%
5%
Forsa
05/06/2010
37%
37%
10%
0 6%
0 5%
5%
GMS
05/05/2010
37%
33%
12%
0 7%
0 6%
0 5%
YouGov
05/03/2010
35%
35%
11%
0 8th %
0 7%
?
Emnid
05/02/2010
38%
33%
11%
0 8th %
0 6%
0 4%
Research group elections
04/30/2010
35%
33.5%
11%
0 8.5%
0 6%
0 6% (3% pirates)
Infratest dimap
04/29/2010
37.5%
33.0%
12.0%
0 7.5%
0 5.5%
0 4.5%
Forsa
04/28/2010
39%
33%
10%
0 7%
0 6%
0 5%
Emnid
04/24/2010
38%
34%
11%
0 8th %
0 6%
0 3%
Omniquest
04/23/2010
37.5%
36.8%
12.8%
0 5.1%
0 4.8%
0 2.9%
Forsa
04/21/2010
38%
34%
0 9%
0 8th %
0 6%
0 5%
Forsa
04/14/2010
39%
34%
11%
0 6%
0 5%
0 5%
Infratest dimap
04/11/2010
38%
34%
12%
0 7%
0 6%
0 3%
GMS
04/09/2010
39%
32%
12%
0 7%
0 6%
0 4%
Emnid
04/04/2010
38%
32%
12%
0 8th %
0 7%
0 3%
Emnid
03/24/2010
38%
32%
11%
0 8th %
0 7%
0 4%
Research group elections
03/19/2010
37%
33%
12%
0 8th %
0 6%
0 4%
Emnid
03/12/2010
37%
33%
12%
0 8th %
0 7%
0 3%
Infratest dimap
03/04/2010
35%
33%
13%
10%
0 6%
0 3%
Forsa
03/03/2010
38%
34%
11%
0 6%
0 6%
0 5%
GMS
02/25/2010
39%
31%
12%
0 7%
0 6%
0 5%
Forsa
02/03/2010
41%
32%
11%
0 6%
0 5%
0 5%
Infratest dimap
01/22/2010
36%
32%
12%
0 9%
0 6%
0 5%
Forsa
01/19/2010
42%
31%
11%
0 6%
0 5%
0 5%
Infratest dimap
11/22/2009
36%
30%
11%
10%
0 8th %
0 5%
Forsa
11/18/2009
41%
31%
0 9%
0 9%
0 6%
0 4%
GMS
08/12/2009
39%
29%
0 9%
12%
0 5%
0 6%
Infratest dimap
06/14/2009
38%
27%
12%
14%
0 6%
0 3%
Forsa
05/06/2009
42%
30%
0 8th %
11%
0 5%
0 4%
Party preference among the minority of Turkish origin
Institute
date
CDU
SPD
GREEN
FDP
LEFT
Others
Institute for Turkish Studies
??. ??. 2009
4.3%
59.6%
22.5%
0 2.1%
0 11.1%
0.4%
The website election.de made several constituency forecasts. According to the last constituency forecast of May 8, 2010, the CDU 59 and the SPD 69 constituencies should decide for themselves. In 2005 the CDU had won in 89 constituencies. The SPD should therefore gain 30 direct mandates. According to this forecast, the other parties should not receive any direct mandates. In the election the CDU received 67 and the SPD 61 seats. Compared to the 2005 election, the SPD won 22 direct mandates.
Top candidates
Institute
date
Rüttgers
force
another)
Infratest dimap
07/11/2010
-
50%
50%
State election
05/09/2010
-
-
-
Forsa
05/06/2010
41%
38%
21%
GMS
05/02/2010
41%
40%
19%
Emnid
05/05/2010
47%
39%
14%
Research group elections
04/30/2010
41%
43%
13%
Infratest dimap
04/30/2010
41%
41%
18%
Forsa
04/14/2010
45%
28%
27%
Infratest
04/11/2010
47%
43%
10%
GMS
04/09/2010
43%
36%
20%
Emnid
04/09/2010
40%
35%
25%
Infratest
03/04/2010
44%
43%
13%
Forsa
01/19/2010
51%
23%
26%
Forsa
11/18/2009
52%
21%
27%
Forsa
06/03/2009
54%
19%
27%
Surveys during government formation
Institute
date
CDU
SPD
GREEN
FDP
LEFT
Others
Infratest dimap
07/11/2010
32%
36%
17%
0 5%
0 6%
4%
Emnid
05/27/2010
34%
35%
12%
0 6%
0 7%
6%
Individual evidence
↑ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa Election surveys on the state elections in North Rhine-Westphalia .
↑ Now the heartbeat finale begins ... , picture , May 3, 2010.
^ Majority for red-green in NRW, Kölner Stadt-Anzeiger from April 23, 2010
↑ Study on the Turks in North Rhine-Westphalia .
^ Election: LTW North Rhine-Westphalia constituency forecast - as of May 8, 2010
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