Helmut Norpoth
Helmut Norpoth (* 1943 in Essen ) is an American political scientist .
Life
Helmut Norpoth studied at the Free University of Berlin until 1966 and then at the University of Michigan , which he graduated with a Masters in 1967. He then received his PhD from the University of Michigan in 1976. He then taught at the University of Cologne and the University of Texas . From 1979 he worked at Stony Brook University , where he was appointed assistant professor in 1980 and a full professorship in 1985. Norpoth teaches and researches at Stony Brook University .
Among other things, he deals with election predictions. He developed the "Primary Model", which is based on data from presidential elections from 1912 onwards. The model gained a certain prominence in connection with the presidential election in the United States in 2016 , as he predicted an election victory for Donald Trump based on this model .
Publications (selection)
- Voter behavior in the Federal Republic , Frankfurt / Main, New York 1980.
- Hit the bull's eye with red-green: the forecast model is baptized by fire , Mannheim 2004.
Web links
Individual evidence
- ^ Helmut Norpoth Curriculum Vitae . In: Stony Brook University . Archived from the original on November 4, 2016. Info: The archive link was automatically inserted and has not yet been checked. Please check the original and archive link according to the instructions and then remove this notice. Retrieved October 28, 2016.
- ↑ Collins, Ben: Meet the Professor Whose 'Primary Model' Says Trump Has 87% Chance to Win . In: The Daily Beast . October 27, 2016. Retrieved November 3, 2016.
| personal data | |
|---|---|
| SURNAME | Norpoth, Helmut |
| BRIEF DESCRIPTION | American political scientist |
| DATE OF BIRTH | 1943 |
| PLACE OF BIRTH | eat |