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→‎Individual Polls: - Colmar Brunton Poll October 2008 added
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!bgcolor="{{New Zealand First/meta/color}}"|<font color="white">[[Winston Peters]]</font>
!bgcolor="{{New Zealand First/meta/color}}"|<font color="white">[[Winston Peters]]</font>
|-
|-
|One News-Comar Brunton<ref name="14 September 2008 - ONE News"/> || [[6 September]]–[[11 September]] [[2008]] || 31 || 0.1 || 40 || 3
|One News-Colmar Brunton<ref name="14 September 2008 - ONE News"/> || [[6 September]]–[[11 September]] [[2008]] || 31 || 0.1 || 40 || 3
|-
|-
|Fairfax Media–Nielsen<ref name="20 September 2008"/> || [[10 September]]–[[16 September]] [[2008]] || 30 || - || 41 || 2
|Fairfax Media–Nielsen<ref name="20 September 2008"/> || [[10 September]]–[[16 September]] [[2008]] || 30 || - || 41 || 2
Line 549: Line 549:
|TV3–TNS<ref name="28 September 2008">[http://curiablog.wordpress.com/2008/08/25/tv3tns-poll-august-2008/ Curia Blog]</ref> || Released [[28 September]] [[2008]] || 32 || - || 34 || -
|TV3–TNS<ref name="28 September 2008">[http://curiablog.wordpress.com/2008/08/25/tv3tns-poll-august-2008/ Curia Blog]</ref> || Released [[28 September]] [[2008]] || 32 || - || 34 || -
|-
|-
|One News-Comar Brunton<ref name="5 October 2008 - ONE News"/>|| [[27 September]]–[[2 October]] [[2008]] || 31|| - || 41 || 3
|One News-Colmar Brunton<ref name="5 October 2008 - ONE News"/>|| [[27 September]]–[[2 October]] [[2008]] || 31|| - || 41 || 3
|-
|-
|TV3–TNS<ref name="10 October 2008">[http://www.3news.co.nz/News/Helen-Clark-back-in-the-running-poll-shows/tabid/209/articleID/75328/cat/41/Default.aspx#top]</ref> || Released [[10 October]] [[2008]] || 31.6 || - || 31 || -
|TV3–TNS<ref name="10 October 2008">[http://www.3news.co.nz/News/Helen-Clark-back-in-the-running-poll-shows/tabid/209/articleID/75328/cat/41/Default.aspx#top]</ref> || Released [[10 October]] [[2008]] || 31.6 || - || 31 || -
|-
|One News-Colmar Brunton<ref name="12 October 2008 - ONE News"/>|| [[4 October]]–[[9 October]] [[2008]] || 31|| - || 39 || 2
|}
|}


Revision as of 10:47, 12 October 2008

Template:Future election

Opinion polling has been commissioned throughout the duration of the 48th New Zealand Parliament and in the leadup to the 2008 election by various organisations, the main four being Television New Zealand, TV3, the New Zealand Herald and Roy Morgan Research. The sample size, margin of error and confidence interval of each poll varies by organisation and date.

Party vote and key events in the leadup to the 2008 election

Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between survey firms.

Graphical summary

Poll results for all political parties that have exceeded the 5.0% MMP threshold. Shaded grey areas show the 95% confidence interval around the Loess smoother estimate of the mean. Figures to the right show the estimate from the smoothing line as of 10 October 2008, with 95% confidence interval.

Individual Polls

Poll Date bgcolor=Template:New Zealand Labour Party/meta/color|Labour bgcolor=Template:New Zealand National Party/meta/color|National bgcolor=Template:New Zealand First/meta/color|NZ First bgcolor=Template:Māori Party/meta/color|Māori Party bgcolor=Template:Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand/meta/color|Greens bgcolor=Template:ACT New Zealand/meta/color|ACT bgcolor=Template:United Future New Zealand/meta/color|United Future bgcolor=Template:New Zealand Progressive Party/meta/color|Progressive
2005 election result 17 September 2005 41.1 39.1 5.7 2.1 5.3 1.5 2.7 1.2
TV3–TNS[1] 27 October–2 November 2005 44 37 3.5 2.5 7 1.5 2.5 0.7
TV3–TNS[2] 26 January–2 February 2006 44 38 3.4 1.7 7 1.2 1.5 0.5
TV3–TNS[3] 23 March–29 March 2006 43 40 4.3 3 6 1.1 1.9 0.2
TV3–TNS[4] 4 May–10 May 2006 42 41 3.8 2.2 6 1.8 1.9 0.2
One News–Colmar Brunton[5] 22 May–25 May 2006 38 47 4 3 5 1.1 1.4 0.1
TV3–TNS[6] 29 June–5 July 2006 46 39 3.8 1.3 6 0.8 1.1 0.4
One News–Colmar Brunton[7] 7 August–10 August 2006 43 45 3 2.6 3 0.9 1.5 0.4
Herald–DigiPoll[8] 31 August 2006[1] 38.7 46.4 2.8 3.4 5.8 0.7 1.1 0.2
TV3–TNS[9] 24 August–30 August 2006 43 40 3.2 2.8 7 1 1.2 0.2
Roy Morgan Research[10] 28 August–10 September 2006 41 38 5.5 3 8.5 1.5 2 0.5
September 13, 2006 - National Party leader Don Brash takes leave to sort out marital problems amidst rumours he had an affair.
Poll Date bgcolor=Template:New Zealand Labour Party/meta/color|Labour bgcolor=Template:New Zealand National Party/meta/color|National bgcolor=Template:New Zealand First/meta/color|NZ First bgcolor=Template:Māori Party/meta/color|Māori Party bgcolor=Template:Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand/meta/color|Greens bgcolor=Template:ACT New Zealand/meta/color|ACT bgcolor=Template:United Future New Zealand/meta/color|United Future bgcolor=Template:New Zealand Progressive Party/meta/color|Progressive
Herald–DigiPoll[11] 22 September–24 September 2006 38 45.7 2.8 4.1 6.8 1.4 0.7 0.3
One News–Colmar Brunton[12] 18 September–21 September 2006 38 49 1.4 3.3 6 0.8 0.7 0.1
Roy Morgan Research[13] 16 September–1 October 2006 36 41.5 7 2.5 8.5 1.5 2.5 -
Roy Morgan Research[14] 2 October–15 October 2006 40 40 5 1.5 8.5 2 1.5 0.5
One News–Colmar Brunton[15] 16 October–19 October 2006 36 49 2.5 2.4 6 0.5 0.9 0.2
Roy Morgan Research[16] 16 October–29 October 2006 38.5 41 3 2.5 8 1.5 3 -
TV3–TNS[17] 26 October–1 November 2006 42 40 2.4 3.4 7 1.5 1.9 0.2
Roy Morgan Research[18] 30 October–12 November 2006 38.5 42.5 5 2.5 7.5 0.5 1.5 0.5
Roy Morgan Research[19] 13 November–26 November 2006 37.5 42.5 4.5 2 8 1.5 3 -
27 November 2006: John Key becomes leader of the National Party
Herald–DigiPoll[20] 14 November–2 December 2006 41.7 42.8 3.4 2 6.1 1 1.6 0.4
Roy Morgan Research[21] 27 November–12 December 2006 37.5 44.5 4 1 9.5 0.5 2 0.5
Roy Morgan Research[22] 3 January–21 January 2007 41 41 4 2 7.5 1.5 1 0.5
TV3–TNS[23] 25 January–1 February 2007 44 41 2.8 2 8 0.8 0.8 0.1
Roy Morgan Research[24] 23 January–5 February 2007 39.5 41.5 4 2 8 1.5 2.5 0.5
13 February, 2007 - Taito Phillip Field is expelled from the Labour Party caucus after saying he would stand for election at the 2008 election, either with Labour or as an independent.
Poll Date bgcolor=Template:New Zealand Labour Party/meta/color|Labour bgcolor=Template:New Zealand National Party/meta/color|National bgcolor=Template:New Zealand First/meta/color|NZ First bgcolor=Template:Māori Party/meta/color|Māori Party bgcolor=Template:Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand/meta/color|Greens bgcolor=Template:ACT New Zealand/meta/color|ACT bgcolor=Template:United Future New Zealand/meta/color|United Future bgcolor=Template:New Zealand Progressive Party/meta/color|Progressive
One News–Colmar Brunton[25] 12 February–15 February 2007 39 46 2.2 3.1 7 1.3 0.5 0.4
Roy Morgan Research[26] 6 February–18 February 2007 36 48.5 3 1.5 8.5 1 1.5 -
Roy Morgan Research[27] 19 February–4 March 2007 36 45 2 3.5 8.5 2.5 1.5 0.5
Roy Morgan Research[28] 5 March–18 March 2007 37.5 45 4 3.5 7.5 1 1.5 -
One News–Colmar Brunton[29] 17 March–22 March 2007 37 46 2 3.4 7 1.5 1.6 0.1
TV3–TNS[30] 22 March–28 March 2007 44 42 1.2 3.4 5.6 1.2 0.7 0.2
Roy Morgan Research[31] 19 March–2 April 2007 35.5 46 3.5 2.5 9.5 1 1 -
Roy Morgan Research[32] 3 April–16 April 2007 33.5 45.5 6 2 8.5 1 2 -
One News–Colmar Brunton[33] 14 April–19 April 2007 39 49 2 1.7 6 1 0.6 0.2
Roy Morgan Research[34] 23 April–6 May 2007 36 49.5 4.5 1.5 6 0.5 1.5 -
TV3–TNS[35] 3 May–9 May 2007 36 48 2.4 3.7 8 0.5 0.6 0.1
May 16, 2007 - Parliament passes the Crimes (Substituted Section 59) Amendment Act 2007
Roy Morgan Research[36] 7 May–20 May 2007 32 49 4.5 2.5 7 1.5 1.5 -
Herald–DigiPoll[37] 18 May–24 May 2007 33.6 50.9 3.2 1.7 6.1 0.7 0.8 0.4
One News–Colmar Brunton[38] 19 May–24 May 2007 31 56 2.1 2.9 6 0.4 1 0.2
Roy Morgan Research[39] 21 May–3 June 2007 33.5 50.5 3.5 1.5 6.5 0.5 2 0.5
June 7, 2007 - The Reserve Bank intervenes in the currency market by selling New Zealand Dollars in an attempt halt the increase in value of the currency.
Poll Date bgcolor=Template:New Zealand Labour Party/meta/color|Labour bgcolor=Template:New Zealand National Party/meta/color|National bgcolor=Template:New Zealand First/meta/color|NZ First bgcolor=Template:Māori Party/meta/color|Māori Party bgcolor=Template:Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand/meta/color|Greens bgcolor=Template:ACT New Zealand/meta/color|ACT bgcolor=Template:United Future New Zealand/meta/color|United Future bgcolor=Template:New Zealand Progressive Party/meta/color|Progressive
Roy Morgan Research[40] 4 June–17 June 2007 36 49.5 3 1.5 6.5 1.5 0.5 0.5
Herald–DigiPoll[41] 4 June–22 June, 2007 40.1 48.2 3 2.4 4 0.6 0.3 -
Roy Morgan Research[42] 18 June–1 July 2007 34 48.5 2.5 2 8.5 1 1.5 1
July 1, 2007 - Introduction of several government policies, including 20 hours funded childcare for 3 and 4 year olds and the Kiwisaver retirement savings scheme.
One News–Colmar Brunton[43] 30 June–5 July 2007 36 52 2.3 2.6 5 0.3 0.6 0.4
TV3–TNS[44] 5 July–11 July 2007 36 48 2.6 2.7 6 1.2 1.1 -
UMR Research[45] c. 15 July 2007 36 50 2.3 2.6 7.1 0.4 0.8 -
Roy Morgan Research[46] 2 July–15 July 2007 36 47 5 2 6.5 1.5 1 0.5
Herald–DigiPoll[47] 5 July–19 July, 2007 42 48.5 2 1.8 4 0.4 0.3 -
Roy Morgan Research[48] 16 July–29 July 2007 35 49 4 3 6 0.5 0.5 0.5
One News–Colmar Brunton[49] 4 August–9 August 2007 36 53 2.6 1 5 1.2 0.5 0.2
UMR Research[45] c. 15 August 2007 35 49 2.9 2.1 7.7 0.6 1.1 -
Roy Morgan Research[50] 30 July–12 August 2007 31 50.5 4 3 7 1.5 2 0.5
Roy Morgan Research[51] 20 August–2 September 2007 34 48 2.5 3 9.5 1 0.5 0.5
TV3–TNS[1] 30 August–5 September 2007 37 47 3.2 1.8 7 1.5 0.1 -
Fairfax Media Poll[52] 15 September 2007[1] 36 50 3 2 6 1 1 0
One News–Colmar Brunton[53] 8 September–13 September 2007 39 49 2.9 2.8 5 0.8 0.5 0.3
Roy Morgan Research[54] 3 September–16 September 2007 35 49 2.5 3 7.5 1.5 1 -
UMR Research[55] 13 September–19 September 2007 34 51 2.8 2.6 6.7 0.9 0.4 -
Herald–DigiPoll[56] 29 September 2007[1] 39.6 44.8 3.1 2.8 7.2 1.1 0.4 0.2
Roy Morgan Research[57] 17 September–30 September 2007 33 48.5 3 2.5 9.5 1 1.5 0.5
One News–Colmar Brunton[58] 6 October–11 October 2007 37 49 1.9 2.8 6 0.6 0.4 0.1
Roy Morgan Research[59] 1 October–14 October 2007 39 45.5 3 2 7.5 0.5 1.5 -
UMR Research[45] 11 October–15 October 2007 38 49 2.6 1.2 6.9 0.8 0.5 -
15 October, 2007 - Operation 8 police raids on activists.
Poll Date bgcolor=Template:New Zealand Labour Party/meta/color|Labour bgcolor=Template:New Zealand National Party/meta/color|National bgcolor=Template:New Zealand First/meta/color|NZ First bgcolor=Template:Māori Party/meta/color|Māori Party bgcolor=Template:Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand/meta/color|Greens bgcolor=Template:ACT New Zealand/meta/color|ACT bgcolor=Template:United Future New Zealand/meta/color|United Future bgcolor=Template:New Zealand Progressive Party/meta/color|Progressive
Herald–DigiPoll[60] 8 October–28 October 2007 38.8 51.2 1.8 1.8 5.4 0.2 0.2 -
Roy Morgan Research[61] 15 October–28 October 2007 40.5 45 3.5 1.5 6.5 1 1.5 -
Roy Morgan Research[62] 29 October–11 November 2007 34 48 5.5 2.5 7.5 1 1 -
12 November, 2007 - The New Zealand Herald dedicates its front page to criticism of the Electoral Finance Bill under headline "Democracy under attack".
Herald–DigiPoll[63] 8 November–26 November 2007 38.1 51.3 2.1 3 3.5 0.7 0.4 0.3
Fairfax Media Poll[64] 17 November 2007[1] 40 45 3 3 5 1 1 0
Roy Morgan Research[65] 12 November–25 November 2007 35 48 5 2.5 6.5 1.5 0.5 0.5
TV3–TNS[1] 8 December–13 December 2007 36 51 2.2 2.8 4.8 0.9 0.7 -
One News–Colmar Brunton[66] 8 December–13 December 2007 35 54 2.2 1.7 4.6 0.8 0.5 0.1
Roy Morgan Research[67] 26 November–9 December 2007 34.5 47.5 5 2 6 1.5 0.5 0.5
Roy Morgan Research[68] 3 January–20 January 2008 33.5 52 3.5 2 6.5 1 0.5 0.5
Herald–DigiPoll[69] 10 January–24 January 2008 38.7 47.5 3 1 9.1 0.7 0 0
TV3–TNS[1] 23 January–30 January 2008 35 49 3 3 7 0.5 0.5 -
29 January, 30 January, 2008 - John Key and Helen Clark open their election year campaigns with speeches focusing on youth issues.
Poll Date bgcolor=Template:New Zealand Labour Party/meta/color|Labour bgcolor=Template:New Zealand National Party/meta/color|National bgcolor=Template:New Zealand First/meta/color|NZ First bgcolor=Template:Māori Party/meta/color|Māori Party bgcolor=Template:Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand/meta/color|Greens bgcolor=Template:ACT New Zealand/meta/color|ACT bgcolor=Template:United Future New Zealand/meta/color|United Future bgcolor=Template:New Zealand Progressive Party/meta/color|Progressive
Roy Morgan Research[70] 21 January–3 February 2008 36.5 45.5 4 2 9 2 0.5 0.5
One News–Colmar Brunton[71] 9 February–14 February 2008 34 53 1.7 3.3 6 0.9 0.2 -
Roy Morgan Research[72] 4 February–17 February 2008 32.5 51.5 3 3 8 0.5 0.5 0.5
Fairfax Media–Nielsen[73] 13 February–19 February 2008 32 55 3 2 6 1 0 0
TV3–TNS[1] 19 February–26 February 2008 35 51 3 2 7 1 0.1 0.1
Herald–DigiPoll[74] 11 February–28 February 2008 36.5 54.5 2.1 1.5 4.4 0.4 0.4 0
Roy Morgan Research[75] 18 February–2 March 2008 35 49.5 4 2 7 1 0.5 0.5
One News–Colmar Brunton[76] 8 March–13 March 2008 35 50 2.5 3.3 7 0.9 0.3 0.1
Roy Morgan Research[77] 3 March–16 March 2008 34 51 3 2 6.5 1.5 1 0.5
Herald–DigiPoll[78] 6 March–27 March 2008 39.3 49.9 1.1 3.7 3.9 1.1 0 -
Roy Morgan Research[79] 24 March–6 April 2008 34.5 47 4 3 9 1.5 0.5 0.5
TV3–TNS[80] 10 April–16 April 2008 38 48 3.4 2.9 5.8 0.5 0.3 -
One News–Colmar Brunton[81] 12 April–17 April 2008 35 54 1.5 3.2 3.7 1.1 0.2 0.1
Roy Morgan Research[82] 7 April–20 April 2008 35.5 50 3.5 2.5 6.5 1.5 0.5 -
Fairfax Media–Nielsen[83] 9 April–22 April 2008 34 52 3 3 6 0 1 1
Herald–DigiPoll[84] 5 April–26 April 2008 37.2 52.1 1.5 2.9 5.2 0.4 0.1 0
Poll Date bgcolor=Template:New Zealand Labour Party/meta/color|Labour bgcolor=Template:New Zealand National Party/meta/color|National bgcolor=Template:New Zealand First/meta/color|NZ First bgcolor=Template:Māori Party/meta/color|Māori Party bgcolor=Template:Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand/meta/color|Greens bgcolor=Template:ACT New Zealand/meta/color|ACT bgcolor=Template:United Future New Zealand/meta/color|United Future bgcolor=Template:New Zealand Progressive Party/meta/color|Progressive
Roy Morgan Research[85] 21 April–4 May 2008 35.5 49.5 4.5 2 6.5 1 1 -
Fairfax Media–Nielsen[86] 7 May–13 May 2008 29 56 5 2 6 1 0 0
Roy Morgan Research[87] 5 May–18 May 2008 35 49 4 2.5 7.5 1 .5 -
Herald–DigiPoll[88] 5 May–28 May 2008 36.2 51.5 1.9 2.2 6.4 0.7 0.4 0
TV3–TNS[89] 23 May–29 May 2008 35 50 3.9 2 5.8 1 0.2 0.1
One News–Colmar Brunton[90] 24 May–29 May 2008 29 55 4.4 2.5 7 1.2 0.2 0.1
Roy Morgan Research[91] 19 May–1 June 2008 32 50.5 4 3 7 1.5 1 -
Roy Morgan Research[92] 2 June–15 June 2008 31.5 52.5 4 2 7 2 0.5 -
Fairfax Media–Nielsen[93] 11 June–17 June 2008 30 54 3 2 7 1 1 -
One News–Colmar Brunton[94] 14 June–19 June 2008 29 55 3.2 4.4 7 0.8 0.4 0
Herald–DigiPoll[95] 6 June–25 June 2008 32.4 54.9 3.3 1.8 5.9 0.8 0.1 -
Roy Morgan Research[96] 16 June–29 June 2008 30.5 51.5 4 2.5 8 2 1 -
Poll Date bgcolor=Template:New Zealand Labour Party/meta/color|Labour bgcolor=Template:New Zealand National Party/meta/color|National bgcolor=Template:New Zealand First/meta/color|NZ First bgcolor=Template:Māori Party/meta/color|Māori Party bgcolor=Template:Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand/meta/color|Greens bgcolor=Template:ACT New Zealand/meta/color|ACT bgcolor=Template:United Future New Zealand/meta/color|United Future bgcolor=Template:New Zealand Progressive Party/meta/color|Progressive
Roy Morgan Research[97] 30 June–13 July 2008 31 52 6.5 1 7.5 0.5 1 -
Fairfax Media–Nielsen[98] 9 July–15 July 2008 35 51 4 2 5 1 0 -
One News–Colmar Brunton[99] 12 July–17 July 2008 35 52 2.4 1.7 6 1.2 0.3 0
TV3–TNS[100] Released 18 July 2008 35 48 4 2 7 1 0.3 0
Herald–DigiPoll[101] Released 29 July 2008 30.8 55.4 4.1 2.6 5.5 0.2 0.9 -
Roy Morgan Research[102] 14 July–27 July 2008 32.5 47.5 5 3 8 2.5 0.5 -
Roy Morgan Research[103] 28 July–10 August 2008 34 48 6.5 2 7.5 1.5 0 -
Fairfax Media–Nielsen[104] 6 August–12 August 2008 35 54 3 2 4 1 0 -
One News–Colmar Brunton[105] 9 August–14 August 2008 37 51 2.6 3.1 3.5 0.6 0.7 0.1
TV3–TNS[106] 14 August–20 August 2008 37 48 3 2 6 2 1 0
Roy Morgan Research[107] 18 August–31 August 2008 38 44.5 2.5 3.5 8 1.5 1 -
Herald–DigiPoll[108] 3 August–25 August 2008 36.3 50 2.1 3.1 5.1 2.3 0 -
One News-Comar Brunton[109] 6 September–11 September 2008 35 53 1.8 1.8 5 2 0 0
11 September 2008 - Parliament passes a law creating an emissions trading scheme. [110]
12 September 2008 - Helen Clark announces the election will be held 8 November 2008. [111]
Poll Date bgcolor=Template:New Zealand Labour Party/meta/color|Labour bgcolor=Template:New Zealand National Party/meta/color|National bgcolor=Template:New Zealand First/meta/color|NZ First bgcolor=Template:Māori Party/meta/color|Māori Party bgcolor=Template:Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand/meta/color|Greens bgcolor=Template:ACT New Zealand/meta/color|ACT bgcolor=Template:United Future New Zealand/meta/color|United Future bgcolor=Template:New Zealand Progressive Party/meta/color|Progressive
Roy Morgan Research[112] 1 September–14 September 2008 36.5 47.5 5 1.5 6.5 1.5 0.5 -
Fairfax Media–Nielsen[113] 10 September–16 September 2008 34 52 3 3 5 1 - -
Herald–DigiPoll[114] 15 September–24 September 2008 35.7 51.4 2.8 1.9 4.9 1.1 0.4 0.4
TV3–TNS[115] 18 September–24 September 2008 36 49 3 2 5 2 0 0
One News-Comar Brunton[116] 27 September–2 October 2008 33 52 2.0 2.5 7 1.5 0.7 0.3
Roy Morgan Reserach[117] 22 September –5 October 2008 37.5 40.5 4 2 9 3.5 1 1
TV3–TNS[118] Released 10 October 2008 39 45 2.7 2.5 6.7 1.8 0.1 0.1
One News-Comar Brunton[119] 4 October–9 October 2008 33 51 2.6 2.8 8 1.6 0.1 0.3

Preferred Prime Minister

Graphical summary

Summary of Preferred Prime Minister Polls. Figures to the right show the estimate from the smoothing line as of 10 October 2008, with 95% confidence interval.

Individual Polls

Poll Date bgcolor="Template:New Zealand Labour Party/meta/color"|Helen Clark bgcolor="Template:New Zealand National Party/meta/color"|Don Brash bgcolor="Template:New Zealand National Party/meta/color"|John Key bgcolor="Template:New Zealand First/meta/color"|Winston Peters
TV3–TNS[1] 27 October - 2 November 2005 43 19 - 8
TV3–TNS[1] 26 January - 2 February 2006 39 16 - 7
TV3–TNS[3] 23 March–29 March 2006 38 15 - 6
TV3–TNS[1] 4 May - 10 May 2006 34 18 - 6
TV3–TNS[1] 29 June - 5 July 2006 38 13 0 6
TV3–TNS[1] 24 August - 30 August 2006 38 17 0 5
Herald–DigiPoll[8] 31 August 2006[1] 52.4 22.4 8.5 5
Herald–DigiPoll[11] 22 September–24 September 2006 50.8 25.9 9.2 4.8
TV3–TNS[17] 26 October–1 November 2006 35 15 - -
Herald–DigiPoll[20] 14 November–2 December 2006 54.2 3.9 28.5 -
TV3–TNS[23] 25 January–1 February 2007 35 1 24 5
One News–Colmar Brunton[25] 12 February–15 February 2007 32 - 27 3
One News–Colmar Brunton[29] 17 March–22 March 2007 32 - 29 4
TV3–TNS[30] 22 March–28 March 2007 37 1 28 4
One News–Colmar Brunton[33] 14 April–19 April 2007 37 1 29 3
TV3–TNS[35] 3 May–9 May 2007 30 1 32 5
Herald–DigiPoll[37] 18 May–24 May 2007 42.1 - 45.5 5.4
One News–Colmar Brunton[38] 19 May–24 May 2007 27 0.3 38 2
Poll Date bgcolor="Template:New Zealand Labour Party/meta/color"|Helen Clark bgcolor="Template:New Zealand National Party/meta/color"|Don Brash bgcolor="Template:New Zealand National Party/meta/color"|John Key bgcolor="Template:New Zealand First/meta/color"|Winston Peters
One News–Colmar Brunton[43] 30 June–5 July 2007 29 0.5 35 2
TV3–TNS[1] 5 July - 11 July 2007 31 1 31 4
Herald–DigiPoll[47] 5 July–19 July 2007 48.7 - 37.9 7
One News–Colmar Brunton[49] 4 August–9 August 2007 30 0.7 33 4
TV3–TNS[1] 30 August - 5 September 2007 28 1 32 6
Fairfax Media Poll[52] 15 September 2007[1] 34 - 41 3
One News–Colmar Brunton[53] 8 September–13 September 2007 33 0.3 31 4
Herald–DigiPoll[56] 29 September 2007[1] 46.8 - 42.2 -
One News–Colmar Brunton[58] 6 October–11 October 2007 33 0.2 33 3
Herald–DigiPoll[60] 8 October–28 October 2007 50.8 - 37.3 5
Fairfax Media Poll[64] 17 November 2007[1] 38 - 36 -
Herald–DigiPoll[63] 8 November–26 November 2007 48.7 - 36.7 8.1
TV3–TNS[1] 5 December - 12 December 2007 28 - 33 6
One News–Colmar Brunton[66] 8 December–13 December 2007 30 0.2 35 2
Herald–DigiPoll[69] 10 January–24 January 2008 49.7 - 39.2 3.8
TV3–TNS[1] 23 January - 30 January 2008 29 - 33 6
One News–Colmar Brunton[71] 9 February–14 February 2008 27 0.4 36 4
Fairfax Media–Nielsen[73] 13 February–19 February 2008 29 - 44 -
TV3–TNS[1] 19 February - 26 February 2008 28 - 35 5
Herald–DigiPoll[74] 11 February–28 February 2008 44.3 0.2 46.3 3.3
One News–Colmar Brunton[76] 8 March–13 March 2008 31 - 36 5
Herald–DigiPoll[78] 6 March–27 March 2008 45.6 - 45.9 3.9
Poll Date bgcolor="Template:New Zealand Labour Party/meta/color"|Helen Clark bgcolor="Template:New Zealand National Party/meta/color"|Don Brash bgcolor="Template:New Zealand National Party/meta/color"|John Key bgcolor="Template:New Zealand First/meta/color"|Winston Peters
TV3–TNS[80] 10 April - 16 April 2008 32 - 29 6
One News–Colmar Brunton[81] 12 April - 17 April 2008 29 - 35 4
Fairfax Media–Nielsen[83] 9 April–22 April 2008 33 - 42 -
Herald–DigiPoll[84] 5 April–26 April 2008 45.3 - 48 -
Fairfax Media–Nielsen[86] 7 May–13 May 2008 28 - 45 5
Herald–DigiPoll[88] 5 May–28 May 2008 42.3 - 44.6 6.7
TV3–TNS[89] 23 May–29 May 2008 29 - 35 6
One News–Colmar Brunton[90] 24 May - 29 May 2008 28 - 36 6
Fairfax Media–Nielsen[93] 11 June–17 June 2008 30 - 43 2
One News–Colmar Brunton[94] 14 June–19 June 2008 27 0.2 38 4
Fairfax Media–Nielsen[98] 9 July–15 July 2008 32 - 39 3
One News–Colmar Brunton[99] 12 July–17 July 2008 31 0.3 38 4
TV3–TNS[100] Released 18 July 2008 28 - 32 6
Herald–DigiPoll[101] Released 29 July 2008 44 - 47.1 4.9
Fairfax Media–Nielsen[104] 6 August–12 August 2008 31 - 43 2
One News–Colmar Brunton[105] 9 August–14 August 2008 33 - 36 3
TV3–TNS[106] 14 August–20 August 2008 31 - 34 3
Herald–DigiPoll[108] 3 August–25 August 2008 45 - 46.6 5.6
Poll Date bgcolor="Template:New Zealand Labour Party/meta/color"|Helen Clark bgcolor="Template:New Zealand National Party/meta/color"|Don Brash bgcolor="Template:New Zealand National Party/meta/color"|John Key bgcolor="Template:New Zealand First/meta/color"|Winston Peters
One News-Colmar Brunton[109] 6 September–11 September 2008 31 0.1 40 3
Fairfax Media–Nielsen[113] 10 September–16 September 2008 30 - 41 2
Herald–DigiPoll[114] 15 September–24 September 2008 43.1 - 45.5 4
TV3–TNS[115] Released 28 September 2008 32 - 34 -
One News-Colmar Brunton[116] 27 September–2 October 2008 31 - 41 3
TV3–TNS[118] Released 10 October 2008 31.6 - 31 -
One News-Colmar Brunton[119] 4 October–9 October 2008 31 - 39 2

See also

Notes

  1. ^ ab Dates surveyed unavailable: date shown is date polled released to media.

References

  1. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o Scoop.co.nz, 3 March 2008 Source, historical figures (MS Word format)
  2. ^ Just Left: TV3 Poll: 5 Feb 2006
  3. ^ a b The New Zealand Herald, 3 April 2006 Source
  4. ^ Scoop.co.nz, 13 May 2006, Template:PDF
  5. ^ ONE News, 29 May 2006 Source
  6. ^ Scoop.co.nz, 8 July 2006, Template:PDF
  7. ^ ONE News, 13 August 2006 Source
  8. ^ a b The New Zealand Herald, 31 August 2006 Source
  9. ^ Scoop.co.nz, 2 September 2006, Template:PDF
  10. ^ Roy Morgan Research, 16 September 2006 Source
  11. ^ a b The New Zealand Herald, 26 September 2006 Source
  12. ^ ONE News, 24 September 2006 Source
  13. ^ Roy Morgan Research, 7 October 2006 Source
  14. ^ Roy Morgan Research, 21 October 2006 Source
  15. ^ ONE News, 23 October 2006 Source
  16. ^ Roy Morgan Research, 4 November 2006 Source
  17. ^ a b TV3, 4 November 2006, Report
  18. ^ Roy Morgan Research, 18 November 2006 Source
  19. ^ Roy Morgan Research, 2 December 2006 Source
  20. ^ a b The New Zealand Herald, 5 December 2006 Source
  21. ^ Roy Morgan Research, 19 December 2006 Source
  22. ^ Roy Morgan Research, 30 January 2007 Source
  23. ^ a b TV3, 5 February 2007, Source
  24. ^ Roy Morgan Research, 13 February 2007 Source
  25. ^ a b ONE News, 19 February 2007, ONE News report, Party source, Preferred Prime Minister
  26. ^ Roy Morgan Research, 27 February 2007 Source
  27. ^ Roy Morgan Research, 14 March 2007 Source
  28. ^ Roy Morgan Research, 24 March 2007 Source
  29. ^ a b ONE News, 25 March 2007, ONE News report, Party support, Preferred Prime Minister
  30. ^ a b Scoop.co.nz, 1 April 2007, Template:PDF
  31. ^ Roy Morgan Research, 13 April 2007, Source
  32. ^ Roy Morgan Research, 24 April 2007, Source
  33. ^ a b ONE News, 22 April 2007, ONE News report, Party support, Preferred Prime Minister
  34. ^ Roy Morgan Research, 15 May 2007 Source
  35. ^ a b TV3, 13 May 2007, Template:PDF
  36. ^ Roy Morgan Research, 25 May 2007 Source
  37. ^ a b The New Zealand Herald, 26 May 2007 Source
  38. ^ a b ONE News, 27 May 2007, ONE News report, Party support, Preferred PM
  39. ^ Roy Morgan Research, 15 June 2007 Source
  40. ^ Roy Morgan Research, 27 June 2007 Source
  41. ^ The New Zealand Herald, 25 June 2007 Source
  42. ^ Roy Morgan Research, 11 July 2007 Source
  43. ^ a b ONE News, 8 July 2007, ONE News report, Party support, Preferred Prime Minister
  44. ^ TV3 (New Zealand), 15 July 2007 Template:PDF
  45. ^ a b c UMR Research, 15 October 2007 Template:PDFlink
  46. ^ Roy Morgan Research, 24 July 2007 Source
  47. ^ a b The New Zealand Herald, 23 July 2007 Source
  48. ^ Roy Morgan Research, 8 August 2007 Source
  49. ^ a b ONE News, 12 August 2007, ONE News report, Party support, Preferred Prime Minister
  50. ^ Roy Morgan Research, 21 August 2007 Source
  51. ^ Roy Morgan Research, 13 September 2007 Source
  52. ^ a b Fairfax Media, 15 September 2007 Source
  53. ^ a b ONE News, 16 September 2007, ONE News report, Party support, Preferred Prime Minister
  54. ^ Roy Morgan Research, 25 September 2007 Source
  55. ^ UMR Research, 19 September 2007 Template:PDFlink
  56. ^ a b The New Zealand Herald, 29 September 2007 Source; Curia newsletter, September 2007
  57. ^ Roy Morgan Research, 9 October 2007 Source
  58. ^ a b ONE News, 14 October 2007, ONE News report, Party support, Preferred Prime Minister
  59. ^ Roy Morgan Research, 26 October 2007 Source
  60. ^ a b The New Zealand Herald, 30 October 2007 Source, source
  61. ^ Roy Morgan Research, 9 November 2007 Source
  62. ^ Roy Morgan Research, 20 November 2007 Source
  63. ^ a b The New Zealand Herald, 28 November 2007 Source
  64. ^ a b Fairfax Media, 17 November 2007 Source
  65. ^ Roy Morgan Research, 4 December 2007 Source
  66. ^ a b ONE News, 17 December 2007, ONE News report Party support, Preferred Prime Minister
  67. ^ Roy Morgan Research, 18 December 2007 Source
  68. ^ Roy Morgan Research, 25 January 2008 Source
  69. ^ a b The New Zealand Herald, 26 January 2008 Source
  70. ^ Roy Morgan Research, 11 February 2008 Source
  71. ^ a b ONE News, 17 February 2008, ONE News report, Party support, Preferred Prime Minister
  72. ^ Roy Morgan Research, 22 February 2008 Source
  73. ^ a b Fairfax Media, 23 February 2008 Source
  74. ^ a b The New Zealand Herald, 3 March 2008 Source
  75. ^ Roy Morgan Research, 7 March 2008 Source
  76. ^ a b ONE News, 17 March 2008, ONE News report, Party support, Preferred Prime Minister
  77. ^ Roy Morgan Research, 20 March 2008 Source
  78. ^ a b The New Zealand Herald, 29 March 2008 Source
  79. ^ Roy Morgan Research, 11 April 2008 Source
  80. ^ a b Scoop.co.nz, 20 April 2008, Template:PDF
  81. ^ a b ONE News, 20 April 2008, ONE News report, Party support, Preferred Prime Minister
  82. ^ Roy Morgan Research, 24 April 2008 Source
  83. ^ a b Fairfax Media, 26 April 2008 Source; Curia newsletter, Issue 21, April 2008.
  84. ^ a b The New Zealand Herald, 30 April 2008 Source; Curia newsletter, Issue 21, April 2008.
  85. ^ Roy Morgan Research, 9 May 2008 Source
  86. ^ a b Fairfax Media, 17 May 2008 Source
  87. ^ Roy Morgan Research, 22 May 2008 Source
  88. ^ a b The New Zealand Herald, 30 May 2008 Source
  89. ^ a b Scoop.co.nz, 4 June 2008, Source DOC (519 KB)
  90. ^ a b ONE News, 1 June 2008, ONE News report, Party support, Preferred Prime Minister
  91. ^ Roy Morgan Research, 5 June 2008 Source
  92. ^ Roy Morgan Research, 19 June 2008 Source
  93. ^ a b Fairfax Media, 21 June 2008 Source
  94. ^ a b ONE News, 22 June 2008, ONE News report, Party support, Preferred Prime Minister
  95. ^ The New Zealand Herald, 28 June 2008 Source
  96. ^ Roy Morgan Research, 4 July 2008 Source
  97. ^ Roy Morgan Research, 18 July 2008 Source
  98. ^ a b Fairfax Media, 19 July 2008 Source
  99. ^ a b ONE News, 20 July 2008, ONE News report, Party support, Preferred Prime Minister
  100. ^ a b Curia Blog
  101. ^ a b The New Zealand Herald, 29 July 2008 Source
  102. ^ Roy Morgan Research, 1 August 2008 Source
  103. ^ Roy Morgan Research, 15 August 2008 Source
  104. ^ a b Fairfax Media, 16 August 2008 National Business Review article, Stuff.co.nz
  105. ^ a b ONE News, 17 August 2008, Source, Template:PDF, Template:PDF
  106. ^ a b Curia Blog
  107. ^ Roy Morgan Research, 4 September 2008 Source
  108. ^ a b The New Zealand Herald, 28 August 2008 Source
  109. ^ a b ONE News, 14 September 2008, ONE News report, Party support DOC, Preferred Prime Minister DOC
  110. ^ "Emissions trading scheme bill passes". Radio New Zealand. Retrieved 2008-10-07.
  111. ^ "Poll all about trust, says Clark". New Zealand Herald. 2008-09-13. Retrieved 2008-09-25.
  112. ^ Roy Morgan Research, 17 September 2008 Source
  113. ^ a b Fairfax Media, 20 September 2008 Source and Date range
  114. ^ a b The New Zealand Herald, 26 September 2008 Source
  115. ^ a b Curia Blog and Angus Ried Cite error: The named reference "28 September 2008" was defined multiple times with different content (see the help page).
  116. ^ a b ONE News, 5 October 2008, ONE News report, Party support DOC, Preferred Prime Minister DOC
  117. ^ Roy Morgan Research, 17 September 2008 Source
  118. ^ a b TV3 Report Cite error: The named reference "10 October 2008" was defined multiple times with different content (see the help page).
  119. ^ a b ONE News, 12 October 2008, ONE News report, Party support & Preferred Prime Minister DOC
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