Christoph Hofinger

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Christoph Hofinger (* 1967 in Innsbruck ) is an Austrian social researcher . Together with Günther Ogris , he founded the private research institute SORA Institute for Social Research and Consulting in 1996 and has been running it with him ever since. In Austria, SORA regularly prepares projections and analyzes of voter flows for the ORF .

Life

Hofinger studied German, journalism and psychology at the University of Vienna and then completed a post-graduate course in sociology at the Institute for Advanced Studies . He has been active in social and political research since 1989.

Hofinger is known to a wider public from the ORF special broadcasts for state parliament, federal president and national council elections, where he presents the projections and analyzes that are current during the election evening, usually together with Günther Ogris from the ORF studio. In addition, Hofinger has been presenting the Working Climate Index for several years now, which has been well received in the Austrian media.

As one of Austria's leading pollsters, Hofinger appears regularly in public, in TV interviews and in the press, especially in election campaigns. After the state elections in Carinthia in 2009, in which the election results differed significantly from the polls previously published, BZÖ politicians like Herbert Scheibner or Stefan Petzner attacked Hofinger's institute massively, accusing him of "manipulating" and deliberately "falsifying" polls. Hofinger spoke of "credit damage" and announced that he would be examining a legal action. Hofinger is regularly critical of the dominant position of opinion polls in political reporting in the media, for example in the often quoted statement: “Anyone who publishes surveys should state the error rate. Even if it makes the whole thing unexciting. "

The weekly magazine Falter describes Hofinger as an "exception of the pleasant kind" among opinion researchers, as he is "mostly correct with his forecasts" and knows how to "explain them unobtrusively".

Functions in international organizations

Teaching activities

Publications (selection)

  • With Andreas Holzer, Florian Oberhuber, Martina Zandonella: New framework for old topics . In: Thomas Hofer , Barbara Tóth (Eds.): Wahl 2017. Loser, Leaks & Leadership . ÄrzteVerlag, Vienna 2017, ISBN 978-3-9503276-4-9 , p. 188-199 .
  • With Gerlinde Manz-Christ (ed.) (2011): Emotions in Politics and Campaigning . How Neuroscience, Linguistics and Social Psychology Change the Political Profession. Prestige Books, Sydney. ISBN 978-8-178-51086-6 .
  • With Peter Filzmaier, Flooh Perlot and Aleksandra Ptaszyńska (2009): “ The National Council election 2008: Results and voting behavior ”, in: Peter Filzmaier, Peter Plaikner, Karl Duffek (eds.): “Keyword voting” . Cologne, Weimar - Böhlau Verlag, pp. 13–40.
  • With Günther Ogris and Tina Brunauer (2009): "Trau, schau, whom ...? - Projections and polling polls: methods and accuracy" , in: Peter Filzmaier, Peter Plaikner, Karl Duffek (eds.): " Keyword elections. “Cologne, Weimar - Böhlau Verlag Vienna.
  • With Günther Ogris and Eva Zeglovits (2007): “ It Ain't Over 'til It's Over. Electoral Volatility in Austria from the 1970s through 2006 ”, in: Günter Bischof and Fritz Plasser (eds.): The Changing Austrian Voter, Contemporary Austrian Studies , vol. XVI.
  • With Günther Ogris and Brigitte Salfinger (2007): “ What goes up must come down. Voter flows and motives for the National Council election 2006 ”, in: Fritz Plasser, Peter Ulram (ed.): “ Alternating elections . Analysis of the 2006 National Council election ” . Vienna: Facultas-WUV-Verlag, pp. 195–211.
  • With Sigrid Nitsch, Brigitte Salfinger: Everything Bawag or what? In: Thomas Hofer , Barbara Tóth (ed.): Election 2006. Chancellor, campaigns, capers - analyzes of the election of the National Council . LIT , Vienna 2007, ISBN 978-3-7000-0618-3 , pp. 135-149 .
  • With Answer Lang and Eva Zeglovits (2005): “Austrian Presidential Elections: Authenticity as the Key to Success” , in: EAPC: “Election Time. The European Yearbook of Political Campaigning 2004 ” , pp. 36–50.
  • With Günther Ogris and Eva Thalhammer (2003): “ The flow of the century: Course of the election campaign, election motives and voter flows in the context of the National Council election 2002 ”, in: Fritz Plasser, Peter Ulram (ed.): “Wahlbehavior in motion. Analyzes on the National Council election 2002 ” (series of publications by the Center for Applied Political Research; 28), Vienna: WUV-Universitätsverlag, pp. 159–190.
  • With Brigitte Salfinger and Sabine Westphal (2003): “Tyrolean voter dynamics 1945-2003 in the Austrian context” , in: Ferdinand Karlhofer and Anton Pelinka (eds.): “ Politics in Tirol ”, Innsbruck: Studienverlag GesmbH, pp. 309–338.
  • With Günther Ogris and Ursula Breitenfelder (2001): “The turning point. Polarizations, topics and voter flows ” , in: Andreas Kohl et al. (Ed.): Austrian Yearbook for Politics 2000, Vienna and Munich: Verlag für Geschichte und Politik / Oldenbourg, pp. 17–34.
  • With Kathrin Grützmann (1996): “ A Master Equation Model to Analyze the Electoral Flow at Austrian National Elections 1970-1990 ”, in: D. Detombe, C. Dijkum (ed.): “Analyzing Societal Problems” , Deventer, p. 279-294.
  • 1994: “ Draft of a master equation model to describe the dynamics in the Austrian National Council elections 1970 to 1990 ” (IHS series - Sociology series; 6), Vienna.

Web links

Individual evidence

  1. ^ Christoph Hofinger: Hermann Burger . Life and work . Thesis. University of Vienna, Vienna 1991, OBV .
  2. ↑ Thomas Hofer , Barbara Tóth (ed., 2008): "Election 2008. Strategies - Winners - Sensations" , p. 172.
  3. ↑ z. B. Special broadcast by ORF on the state elections in Tyrol on June 8, 2008, announcement in the text "Tyrol chooses differently and lets high-computers tremble", in: Tiroler Tageszeitung from June 3, 2008, page 2 ("The well-known election researcher Christoph Hofinger presented on Sunday the projections for ORF. ")
  4. ↑ z. B. Special broadcast by ORF on the 2004 federal presidential election . Announcement of the broadcast, for example in the text “ Wahlkrimi im TV! “, In: TV-Media of April 21, 2004, page 10
  5. ↑ z. B. Special broadcast by ORF on September 28, 2008 on the National Council election, announcement in the text ORF: Eight hours live! in the newspaper Österreich, September 28, 2008, page 8
  6. ↑ Examples from previous years: “Working climate in descent”, in: Wiener Zeitung of May 30, 2009, page 11 “Unwohlstand”, in: profile No. 26/08, June 23, 2008, page 24 “Disenchanted part-time”, in: Salzburger Nachrichten of November 10, 2007, page 16 “Falling confidence among Austrian workers”, Kleine Zeitung of November 11, 2005, page 33 “Austrians dissatisfied with their job and working environment”, in Kurier of December 5, 2001, page 15 “Working climate is better than ever ”, in: Tiroler Tageszeitung from June 16, 2000
  7. ↑ " BZÖ accusation: falsified surveys ", in: Die Presse , March 4, 2009, page 3
  8. ↑ See for example Kleine Zeitung , September 28, 2008, page 6, or Neue Vorarlberger Tageszeitung, September 28, 2008, page 6
  9. ↑ " Hero of the Week ", Falter, October 1, 2008, page 11
  10. ↑ http://www.univie.ac.at/diplpowi/KoVoArchiv/KoVoSS05/kovo13.html
personal data
SURNAME Hofinger, Christoph
BRIEF DESCRIPTION Austrian social researcher
DATE OF BIRTH 1967
PLACE OF BIRTH innsbruck