Parliamentary election in Israel in 2021

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The election for the 24th Knesset is expected to take place on March 23, 2021.

background

Starting position

After the 2020 election , Benjamin Netanyahu from Likud and Benny Gantz , the top candidate on the blue and white joint list ( Kachol Lavan ) signed a coalition agreement that provided that Netanyahu would be appointed prime minister for the first 18 months and Gantz then prime minister. However, the parliament was automatically dissolved early because the governing coalition was unable to agree on a new budget by December 23, 2020. The election will be the fourth in 2 years.

Suffrage

The voters have one vote to choose a list. The 120 seats are distributed proportionally according to the D'Hondt procedure among the lists that receive at least 3.25% of the vote. The seats assigned to the list are assigned to their candidates according to the order of the list. Parties entered in the party register or groups of two or more parties can submit a joint list. Due to the fragmented political landscape, parties often form common lists in order to prevent failure of the threshold clause. Two lists can also enter into a list connection . In this case, their votes are added together for the allocation of seats, provided that both of them overcome the threshold clause. Within the list connection, the seats are allocated according to the D'Hondt method.

Survey

Opinion polls again see Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud as the strongest force. The coalition partner Blau Weiß (Kachol Lavan), on the other hand, is forecast to suffer heavy losses.

Panels Politics poll of December 24, 2020
(seats, compared to 2020 election)
Likud
  
 26 (- 09)
  
 
NH
  
 21 (+18)
  
 
YES - Telem
  
 15 (- 02)
  
 
Jamina
  
 14 (+ 09)
  
 
VL
  
 11 (- 04)
  
 
Schas
  
 8 (- 01)
  
 
VTJ
  
 7 (± 00)
  
 
JB
  
 7 (± 00)
  
 
Meretz
  
 7 (+ 04)
  
 
KL
  
 4 (-10)
  
 
Others
  
 0 (- 05)
  
 
date Institute Likud YES - Telem VL KL Schas VTJ JB Jamina NH Meretz Avoda JH Gescher Otzma
Sit after the dissolution 35 17th 15th 14th 9 7th 7th 5 3 3 3 1 1 -
12/24/20 Panels Politics 26th 15th 11 4th 8th 7th 7th 14th 21st 7th (1.4%) (0.3%) (0.0%) (1.0%)
12/24/20 Panels Politics 25th 15th 11 4th 8th 7th 7th 15th 22nd 6th (0.7%) - - -
12/22/20 Panels Politics 28 15th 11 5 8th 8th 7th 14th 18th 6th - - - -
12/22/20 Cantar 28 13 11 6th 8th 7th 6th 15th 20th 6th - - - -
12/22/20 Midgam / iPanel 29 16 11 5 8th 8th 7th 13 18th 5 (1.7%) (0.1%) (0.2%) -
12/21/20 Panels Politics 29 13 11 6th 8th 7th 7th 14th 20th 5 - - - -
12/20/20 Panel Project HaMidgam 28 16 11 5 7th 7th 6th 14th 19th 7th - - - -
12/17/20 Panels Politics 29 13 11 7th 8th 8th 7th 13 19th 5 - - - -
December 15-16, 2020 Maagar Mohot 27 14th 11 7th 8th 8th 8th 11 20th 6th - - - -
12/15/20 Panels Politics 27 15th 11 5 8th 8th 7th 14th 20th 5 - - - -
12/15/20 Midgam / iPanel 27 14th 11 6th 8th 8th 6th 13 21st 6th (2.1%) (0.5%) (0.4%) -
12/11/20 Maagar Mohot 28 12 13 7th 9 7th 6th 12 20th 6th (1.3%) - (0.1%) (0.5%)
9-10 December 2020 Panels Politics 27 13 12 7th 9 7th 8th 16 16 5 (1.0%) (0.6%) (0.7%) (0.7%)
12/9/20 Cantar 25th 15th 11 7th 8th 7th 6th 17th 18th 6th - - - -
12/9/20 Panel Project HaMidgam 28 16 11 6th 7th 7th 7th 16 15th 7th - - - -
12/9/20 Midgam / iPanel 26th 15th 11 6th 8th 8th 6th 18th 16 6th - - - -
December 8–9, 2020 Direct polls 28 13 11 6th 10 8th 8th 16 16 4th - - - -
12/8/20 Panels Politics 25th 14th 11 6th 9 7th 7th 19th 17th 5 - - - -

See also

Individual evidence

  1. ↑ Parliament dissolved: Israel is facing new elections again. Accessed December 23, 2020 .
  2. ^ Electoral System of Israel. Retrieved December 12, 2019 .
  3. ^ Distribution of Knesset Seats. Retrieved December 12, 2019 .
  4. ^ The electoral system in Israel - an overview. (PDF) Embassy of the State of Israel, accessed January 18, 2020 .
  5. ↑ Small and large: These lists want to go to the 23rd Knesset. Israelnetz, January 16, 2020, accessed January 18, 2020 .
  6. ^ The Distribution of Knesset Seats Among the Lists - the Bader-Offer Method. Retrieved January 18, 2020 .
  7. ^ Israel's government collapses, not with a bang but a whimper, triggering fourth election in 2 years. Retrieved December 23, 2020 .
  8. ↑ Eric Bender: אפקט אלקין: סער עולה ל -21 מנדטים, הליכוד יורדת ל -26 . 25 December 2020. 
  9. ↑ יניב מורוזובסקי: סקר 103fm: אלקין מעביר 3 מנדטים מהליכוד לסער . December 24, 2020. Accessed December 24, 2020. 
  10. ↑ David Rosenberg: Poll: 'Never Netanyahu' bloc gets majority in the Knesset . December 23, 2020. Accessed December 23, 2020. 
  11. ↑ Michael Shemesh: סקר כאן חדשות: כמעט שוויון - סער מזנק בהתאמה לראשות הממשלה ונצמד לנתניהו . 22 December 2020. 
  12. ↑ Amit Segal: סקר מנדטים ראשון לבחירות 2021: נתניהו לא יכול להקים ממשלת ימין, כחול לבן קרובה לאחוז החסימה . December 22, 2020. 
  13. ↑ סקר: חולדאי מדרדר את גנץ ל -4 מנדטים . 22 December 2020. 
  14. ↑ סקר מנדטים: הליכוד מוביל, כחול לבן מתרסקת, וכמה יש לגוש מתנגדי נתניהו? . In: Maariv , December 22, 2020. 
  15. ↑ סקר חדשות 13: סער עולה ל -19 מנדטים - גנץ מתקרב לאחוז החסימה . In: Channel 13 , December 20, 2020. 
  16. ↑ אריק בנדר: סקר מעריב: כיצד משפיעה מפלגתו של גדעון סער על המפה, ומי המפסיד העיקרי . December 18, 2020. Retrieved December 18, 2020. 
  17. ↑ ניסים משעל: סקר 103FM: גדעון סער - המועמד המוביל להנהגת מפלגת ימין מאוחדת . December 17, 2020. Retrieved December 18, 2020. 
  18. ↑ יניב מורוזובסקי: סקר: סער ושאשא ביטון מזנקים ל־ 20 מנדטים . In: 103fm , December 16, 2020. 
  19. ↑ Amit Segal: סקר דרמטי: מפלגת סער ושאשא ביטון מזנקת ומתקרבת לנתניהו, בנט מתכווץ . December 15, 2020. Accessed December 16, 2020. 
  20. ↑ Mati Tuchfeld: סקר "ישראל היום" ו"מאגר מוחות ": מפלגת סער צפויה להשיג 20 מנדטים . December 11, 2020. Retrieved December 11, 2020. 
  21. ↑ Arik Bender: סקר מעריב: הליכוד מתייצבת ועולה ב -2 מנדטים; ימינה צונחת . December 11, 2020. 
  22. ↑ Michael Shemesh: סקר כאן חדשות: לנתניהו אין 61 מנדטים להרכבת ממשלה בלי גדעון סער . December 9, 2020. Retrieved December 9, 2020. 
  23. ↑ Udi Segal, Tamar Ish Shalom: סקר חדשות 13: המפלגה של סער יכולה למנוע מנתניהו להקים ממשלה . In: Channel 13 , December 9, 2020. 
  24. ↑ Amit Segal: סקר חדשות 12: סער נוסק, בנט ולפיד נחלשים, כחול לבן מתרסקת . December 9, 2020. 
  25. ↑ Template: Cite tweet
  26. ↑ יניב מורוזובסקי: סערת סער: מפלגה בראשותו זוכה ל־ 17 מנדטים . In: 103fm , December 9, 2020.