Election to the 19th state parliament of Lower Saxony

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State Parliament of Lower Saxony ( Leineschloss )

The election to the 19th state parliament of Lower Saxony is expected to take place in 2022.

Suffrage

The seats in the state parliament are assigned according to the D'Hondt procedure . There is a five percent hurdle .

If a party receives more seats through the first votes in the constituencies than it is entitled to through the second share of votes, these mandates remain as overhang mandates . The number of seats is increased by these overhang seats and an equal number of compensation seats and the distribution of seats is recalculated using the D'Hondt method. If there are also overhang mandates after this, they remain in place without compensation.

Starting position

Previous election 2017

Election to the state parliament 2017
 %
40
30th
20th
10
0
36.9
33.6
8.7
7.5
6.2
4.6
2.5
Otherwise.

The SPD gained more votes and became the strongest party with 36.9 percent, followed by the CDU with 33.5 percent. The Greens and FDP lost their approval, but were again the third and fourth strongest force in the state parliament. The AfD reached 6.1 percent when it first appeared and thus reached the state parliament, which the left narrowly missed with 4.6 percent.

Due to the losses of the Greens, the red-green state government lost its majority and was replaced by a red-black coalition made up of the SPD and CDU. Stephan Weil remained Prime Minister. With 105 out of 137 seats, this government coalition has the second largest parliamentary majority of all 16 German state governments, only in Saarland this is even more pronounced.

Parties previously represented in the state parliament

Parliamentary group / national association Order code
drawing
Seats
Social Democratic Party of Germany SPD 54
Christian Democratic Union of Germany CDU 50
Alliance 90 / The Greens GREEN 12
Free Democratic Party FDP 11
Alternative for Germany AfD 9
Non-attached 1

Other parties and candidates

Parties that are not represented in the federal or state parliament or that obtained at least 5 percent of the valid votes in Lower Saxony in the last federal election must submit at least 2,000 supporters 'signatures for a state list and 100 supporters' signatures for each district election proposal. Individual applicants also need 100 support signatures each.

Survey

Current polls

Forsa survey from June 4, 2020
compared to the 2017 state election
 %
40
30th
20th
10
0
32
30th
16
6th
5
5
6th
Otherwise.
Gains and losses
compared to 2017
(rounded to half percentage points)
 % p
   8th
   6th
   4th
   2
   0
  -2
  -4
  -6
  -8th
-1.5
-7
+7.5
+1.5
-2.5
-1
+3.5
Otherwise.
Institute date SPD CDU Green FDP AfD left Otherwise.
Forsa 04.06.2020 30% 32% 16% 5% 5% 6% 6%
Forsa 02/11/2019 28% 30% 17% 7% 8th % 5% 5%
Infratest dimap 11/22/2018 26% 28% 24% 6% 9% 4% 3%
INSA 11/21/2018 26% 27% 17% 10% 12% 5% 3%
Forsa 02/25/2018 33% 33% 10% 8th % 6% 6% 4%
State election 2017 October 15, 2017 36.9% 33.6% 8.7% 7.5% 6.2% 4.6% 2.5%

course

Survey values ​​averaged over monthly survey results, from the 2017 election to June 4, 2020

Direct election of Prime Minister

Institute date Stephan Weil 2018.jpg Stephan Weil ( SPD ) Althusmann.jpg Bernd Althusmann ( CDU ) none of the questions asked
Forsa 04.06.2020 55% 14% -
Infratest dimap 11/22/2018 53% 26% 9%

See also

Web links

Individual evidence

  1. Explanations on Lower Saxony suffrage , on wahlracht.de
  2. Survey: 76 percent satisfied with Corona policy in the country , on sueddeutsche.de, accessed on June 4, 2020.
  3. Direct election of Prime Minister , on infratest-dimap.de, accessed on November 22, 2018.