Criticism of fractional-reserve banking: Difference between revisions

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Content deleted Content added
Adding a couple of cites to keep Gregalton happy...
Remove refs that do not meet reliable sources
Line 8: Line 8:
==Basic debate==
==Basic debate==


The debt-based monetary system is a departure from traditional monetary systems, which were backed by gold deposits or the [[gold standard]], or other precious metals. Because of this departure, it is the subject of continuing political and economic debate.<ref>{{cite book |last= Cox |first= Jim |title= The Concise Guide to Economics |url= http://www.conciseguidetoeconomics.com/ |edition= 2nd edition |origdate= 1995 |accessdate= 2007-12-15 |year= 1997 |publisher= Savannah-Pikeville Press |isbn= 1-57087-292-9 |chapter= The Gold Standard |chapterurl= http://www.conciseguidetoeconomics.com/book/goldStandard/ }}</ref> <ref>[http://www.dailyreckoning.com.au/gold-19/2007/12/14/ Gold: The Only Alternative to the U.S. Dollar]</ref>
The debt-based monetary system is a departure from traditional monetary systems, which were backed by gold deposits or the [[gold standard]], or other precious metals. Because of this departure, it is the subject of continuing political and economic debate.<ref>{{cite book |last= Cox |first= Jim |title= The Concise Guide to Economics |url= http://www.conciseguidetoeconomics.com/ |edition= 2nd edition |origdate= 1995 |accessdate= 2007-12-15 |year= 1997 |publisher= Savannah-Pikeville Press |isbn= 1-57087-292-9 |chapter= The Gold Standard |chapterurl= http://www.conciseguidetoeconomics.com/book/goldStandard/ }}</ref>


Some argue that since debt and the interest on the debt can only be paid in the same form of money, the total debt (principal plus interest) can never be paid unless more money is created through the same process. For example: if 100 credits are created and loaned into the economy at 10% per year, at the end of the year 110 credits will be needed to pay the loan and extinguish the debt. However, since the additional 10 credits does not yet exist, it too must be borrowed.<ref>{{cite book |last= Rowbotham |first= Michael |title= The Grip of Death: A Study of Modern Money, Debt Slavery and Destructive Economics | year= 1998 |publisher= Jon Carpenter Publishing |isbn= 9781897766408 }}</ref>
Some argue that since debt and the interest on the debt can only be paid in the same form of money, the total debt (principal plus interest) can never be paid unless more money is created through the same process. For example: if 100 credits are created and loaned into the economy at 10% per year, at the end of the year 110 credits will be needed to pay the loan and extinguish the debt. However, since the additional 10 credits does not yet exist, it too must be borrowed.<ref>{{cite book |last= Rowbotham |first= Michael |title= The Grip of Death: A Study of Modern Money, Debt Slavery and Destructive Economics | year= 1998 |publisher= Jon Carpenter Publishing |isbn= 9781897766408 }}</ref>
Line 16: Line 16:
==Basic nature of system==
==Basic nature of system==
{{Citecheck|date=December 2007}}{{peacock}}
{{Citecheck|date=December 2007}}{{peacock}}
Regardless whether there is a necessity for the [[money supply]] to grow [[exponential]]ly in a debt-based system, it is not seriously disputed that when a bank loan is repaid, the money is extinguished, in a reverse process by which the money was originally created, “Money is created when loans are issued and debts incurred, money is extinguished when loans are repaid” ''John B. Henderson, Senior Specialist in Price Economics, Congressional Research Service of the Library of Congress''.<ref>[http://www.populistamerica.com/with_all_our_wealth_how_did_we_get_so_far_in_debt References on money creation and lending]</ref>
Regardless whether there is a necessity for the [[money supply]] to grow [[exponential]]ly in a debt-based system, it is not seriously disputed that when a bank loan is repaid, the money is extinguished, in a reverse process by which the money was originally created, “Money is created when loans are issued and debts incurred, money is extinguished when loans are repaid” ''John B. Henderson, Senior Specialist in Price Economics, Congressional Research Service of the Library of Congress''.


On January 24, 1939, ''Robert H. Hemphill, Credit Manager of the Federal Reserve in Atlanta'' stated:
On January 24, 1939, ''Robert H. Hemphill, Credit Manager of the Federal Reserve in Atlanta'' stated:
Line 23: Line 23:
It is also self-evident why such a system would exist and continue to thrive, despite any real or perceived economic or environmental problems or social inequities inherent in this form of money creation: it is an extremely profitable venture for those given to the legal power to create [[money]] through [[fractional reserve banking]] techniques (at least in the short to medium term, before any long-term effects surface). Accordingly, the economic, environmental and social effects arising from a [[central government]]'s concessional granting of the legal power to create [[money]] through [[fractional reserve banking]] techniques to the [[private bank]]s of the world has been subject to much heated political debate for well over two centuries.<ref>{{cite book |last= Brown |first= Ellen H. |title= Web of Debt |url= http://books.google.com/books?id=ILMGrEC524UC |accessdate= 2007-12-15 |year= 2007 |publisher= Third Millennium Press |location= Baton Rouge, Louisiana |isbn= 0979560802 }}</ref> <ref>{{cite book |last= Rowbotham |first= Michael |title= The Grip of Death: A Study of Modern Money, Debt Slavery and Destructive Economics | year= 1998 |publisher= Jon Carpenter Publishing |isbn= 9781897766408 }}</ref>
It is also self-evident why such a system would exist and continue to thrive, despite any real or perceived economic or environmental problems or social inequities inherent in this form of money creation: it is an extremely profitable venture for those given to the legal power to create [[money]] through [[fractional reserve banking]] techniques (at least in the short to medium term, before any long-term effects surface). Accordingly, the economic, environmental and social effects arising from a [[central government]]'s concessional granting of the legal power to create [[money]] through [[fractional reserve banking]] techniques to the [[private bank]]s of the world has been subject to much heated political debate for well over two centuries.<ref>{{cite book |last= Brown |first= Ellen H. |title= Web of Debt |url= http://books.google.com/books?id=ILMGrEC524UC |accessdate= 2007-12-15 |year= 2007 |publisher= Third Millennium Press |location= Baton Rouge, Louisiana |isbn= 0979560802 }}</ref> <ref>{{cite book |last= Rowbotham |first= Michael |title= The Grip of Death: A Study of Modern Money, Debt Slavery and Destructive Economics | year= 1998 |publisher= Jon Carpenter Publishing |isbn= 9781897766408 }}</ref>


In contrast to [[debt money]], "true" [[fiat currency]] is issued by the [[government]] debt-free as no requirement for its eventual return is made as a condition of its creation.<ref>[http://www.honestmoneyreport.com/investPyramid.php Honest Money Report]</ref> [[Fiat currency]] (such as notes and coins) can circulate perpetually in the economy as "stable" or even [[sound money]] (if backed by [[gold]] or [[silver]]) and although not as stable as [[hard currency]], government-issued notes and coins do not have the same effects of debt-based money described below.<ref>[http://www.entrewave.com/freebooks/docs/a_pdfs/gnhm.pdf Honest Money]</ref> It should be noted however that [[fiat currency]] can be a source of [[hyperinflation]] if its production is not controlled, as the government has the potential to issue unlimited amounts of fiat currency - ''provided'' it is accepted as "money" by the [[private bank]]ing system (which may or may not occur depending on the political relationship at the time between the [[Treasury]] and the [[private bank]]ing system). It should also be noted that due to the [[exponential growth]] of debt-based money, "true" [[fiat currency]] (notes and coins in circulation) now account for a tiny fraction of the total M3 [[money supply]] in all developed, debt-based [[capitalist]] economies (M0 generally being less than 10% of the total M2 [[money supply]] - and a tiny fraction of the total M3 [[money supply]] - in most developed economies).<ref>[http://www.moneyweek.com/file/5138/m3-0212.html Why the Money Supply Made News]</ref>
In contrast to [[debt money]], "true" [[fiat currency]] is issued by the [[government]] debt-free as no requirement for its eventual return is made as a condition of its creation. [[Fiat currency]] (such as notes and coins) can circulate perpetually in the economy as "stable" or even [[sound money]] (if backed by [[gold]] or [[silver]]) and although not as stable as [[hard currency]], government-issued notes and coins do not have the same effects of debt-based money described below.<ref>[http://www.entrewave.com/freebooks/docs/a_pdfs/gnhm.pdf Honest Money]</ref> It should be noted however that [[fiat currency]] can be a source of [[hyperinflation]] if its production is not controlled, as the government has the potential to issue unlimited amounts of fiat currency - ''provided'' it is accepted as "money" by the [[private bank]]ing system (which may or may not occur depending on the political relationship at the time between the [[Treasury]] and the [[private bank]]ing system). It should also be noted that due to the [[exponential growth]] of debt-based money, "true" [[fiat currency]] (notes and coins in circulation) now account for a tiny fraction of the total M3 [[money supply]] in all developed, debt-based [[capitalist]] economies (M0 generally being less than 10% of the total M2 [[money supply]] - and a tiny fraction of the total M3 [[money supply]] - in most developed economies).<ref>[http://www.moneyweek.com/file/5138/m3-0212.html Why the Money Supply Made News]</ref>


Similarly, [[gold]], [[silver]] and other [[precious metals]] have in the past been used as a form of debt-free [[money]] and their introduction into the economy is not debt-based as no future repayment is required as a condition of their introduction into the [[money supply]]. Because of the difficulty in increasing the supply of [[precious metals]] quickly, some [[monetary reform]]ers believe a return to the [[gold standard]], or a similar system of "hard" or "real" asset-backed currency, is the only way to stabilize the growth of the money supply. These [[monetary reform]]ers often refer to the [[gold standard]] as "sound money" or "honest money", as they believe only full and active participation in the [[free market]], and exertion of personal effort and talent in that market, can result in the sustained accumulation of real wealth in a [[gold standard]]-based economy.
Similarly, [[gold]], [[silver]] and other [[precious metals]] have in the past been used as a form of debt-free [[money]] and their introduction into the economy is not debt-based as no future repayment is required as a condition of their introduction into the [[money supply]]. Because of the difficulty in increasing the supply of [[precious metals]] quickly, some [[monetary reform]]ers believe a return to the [[gold standard]], or a similar system of "hard" or "real" asset-backed currency, is the only way to stabilize the growth of the money supply. These [[monetary reform]]ers often refer to the [[gold standard]] as "sound money" or "honest money", as they believe only full and active participation in the [[free market]], and exertion of personal effort and talent in that market, can result in the sustained accumulation of real wealth in a [[gold standard]]-based economy.
Line 49: Line 49:
More broadly, many [[monetary reform]]ers believe that [[debt money]] has created all the features of an [[economic bubble]], with structural instability in financial markets, which produces waves of booms and bust due to the "bubble-like" credit cycle.<ref>{{cite book |last= Rowbotham |first= Michael |title= The Grip of Death: A Study of Modern Money, Debt Slavery and Destructive Economics | year= 1998 |publisher= Jon Carpenter Publishing |isbn= 9781897766408 }}</ref> <ref>[http://www.iimagazine.com/article.aspx?articleID=1234345 Ponzi Nation]</ref>
More broadly, many [[monetary reform]]ers believe that [[debt money]] has created all the features of an [[economic bubble]], with structural instability in financial markets, which produces waves of booms and bust due to the "bubble-like" credit cycle.<ref>{{cite book |last= Rowbotham |first= Michael |title= The Grip of Death: A Study of Modern Money, Debt Slavery and Destructive Economics | year= 1998 |publisher= Jon Carpenter Publishing |isbn= 9781897766408 }}</ref> <ref>[http://www.iimagazine.com/article.aspx?articleID=1234345 Ponzi Nation]</ref>


The total property value of America is about $38 trillion while the total debt burden is $48 trillion.<ref>Speeches David Walker, U.S. Comptroller General, Campaign Warns of Fiscal Doom', St. Paul Pioneer Press, Oct. 30, 2006</ref> <ref>America's Total Debt Report - Michael Hodges</ref> If in the hypothetical case that the debt was called in simultaneously, it is self-evident that the system would be exposed as insolvent and the "value" of the assets would be substantially less than the total debt outstanding. It is only kept solvent by continual, massive injections of fresh [[debt money]] into the economy from new borrowing to pay for the outstanding interest on existing loans and the principal on any maturing loans.
The total property value of America is about $38 trillion while the total debt burden is $48 trillion.<ref>Speeches David Walker, U.S. Comptroller General, Campaign Warns of Fiscal Doom', St. Paul Pioneer Press, Oct. 30, 2006</ref> If in the hypothetical case that the debt was called in simultaneously, it is self-evident that the system would be exposed as insolvent and the "value" of the assets would be substantially less than the total debt outstanding. It is only kept solvent by continual, massive injections of fresh [[debt money]] into the economy from new borrowing to pay for the outstanding interest on existing loans and the principal on any maturing loans.


The "cyclical" side-effect of debt-based money inevitably means that those caught at the end of any [[business cycle]] (or those caught in economies with declining productivity, low population growth or aging populations) suffer most financially, as the contraction in the growth of credit slows the economy just as these newly indebted businesses and consumers find they have been left out of the growth cycle in debt creation.<ref>{{cite book |last= Rowbotham |first= Michael |title= The Grip of Death: A Study of Modern Money, Debt Slavery and Destructive Economics | year= 1998 |publisher= Jon Carpenter Publishing |isbn= 9781897766408 }}</ref> <ref>[http://www.iimagazine.com/article.aspx?articleID=1234345 Ponzi Nation]</ref> This "[[boomerang]]" effect in the creation (and subsequent return) of [[debt money]] also inevitably means that the private [[banks]] systematically gain greater control over the real assets of an economy over time, as these cycles create waves of [[foreclosure]], allowing the banks and their associates to "harvest" real assets and real wealth "on the cheap" (less the now-worthless [[Ownership equity|equity]] contribution of the [[bankrupt]] [[investor]]) - or strictly speaking, in [[Murray Rothbard]]'s words, "for nothing", given that the whole system of [[fractional reserve banking]] involves the creation of money "out of nothing" and in his view amounts to monetary [[fraud]].<ref>[http://www.mises.org/rothbard/moneyback.asp Taking Money Back, by Murray Rothbard]</ref> <ref>{{cite book |last= Rowbotham |first= Michael |title= The Grip of Death: A Study of Modern Money, Debt Slavery and Destructive Economics | year= 1998 |publisher= Jon Carpenter Publishing |isbn= 9781897766408 }}</ref> <ref>[http://www.iimagazine.com/article.aspx?articleID=1234345 Ponzi Nation]</ref>
The "cyclical" side-effect of debt-based money inevitably means that those caught at the end of any [[business cycle]] (or those caught in economies with declining productivity, low population growth or aging populations) suffer most financially, as the contraction in the growth of credit slows the economy just as these newly indebted businesses and consumers find they have been left out of the growth cycle in debt creation.<ref>{{cite book |last= Rowbotham |first= Michael |title= The Grip of Death: A Study of Modern Money, Debt Slavery and Destructive Economics | year= 1998 |publisher= Jon Carpenter Publishing |isbn= 9781897766408 }}</ref> <ref>[http://www.iimagazine.com/article.aspx?articleID=1234345 Ponzi Nation]</ref> This "[[boomerang]]" effect in the creation (and subsequent return) of [[debt money]] also inevitably means that the private [[banks]] systematically gain greater control over the real assets of an economy over time, as these cycles create waves of [[foreclosure]], allowing the banks and their associates to "harvest" real assets and real wealth "on the cheap" (less the now-worthless [[Ownership equity|equity]] contribution of the [[bankrupt]] [[investor]]) - or strictly speaking, in [[Murray Rothbard]]'s words, "for nothing", given that the whole system of [[fractional reserve banking]] involves the creation of money "out of nothing" and in his view amounts to monetary [[fraud]].<ref>[http://www.mises.org/rothbard/moneyback.asp Taking Money Back, by Murray Rothbard]</ref> <ref>{{cite book |last= Rowbotham |first= Michael |title= The Grip of Death: A Study of Modern Money, Debt Slavery and Destructive Economics | year= 1998 |publisher= Jon Carpenter Publishing |isbn= 9781897766408 }}</ref> <ref>[http://www.iimagazine.com/article.aspx?articleID=1234345 Ponzi Nation]</ref>
Line 62: Line 62:
On a national level, if the issuance of [[government bonds]] becomes unsustainable, sovereign [[bankruptcy]] can occur - and has occurred many times in history.<ref>[http://epublications.bond.edu.au/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1263&context=blr Sovereign Bankruptcy]</ref> [[Sovereign debt]] crises due to the inability of nations to pay interest on [[government bonds]] have occurred in [[third world]] countries as a result of high levels of unsustainable [[third world debt]]. The [[Latin American debt crisis]] is an example of sovereign debt levels becoming unsustainable, resulting in a [[currency crisis]] and economic collapse, as [[interest rates]] rise precipitously due to the inability of the national government to attract financiers to purchase new [[government bonds]] to inject new [[debt money]] into the ailing economy.
On a national level, if the issuance of [[government bonds]] becomes unsustainable, sovereign [[bankruptcy]] can occur - and has occurred many times in history.<ref>[http://epublications.bond.edu.au/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1263&context=blr Sovereign Bankruptcy]</ref> [[Sovereign debt]] crises due to the inability of nations to pay interest on [[government bonds]] have occurred in [[third world]] countries as a result of high levels of unsustainable [[third world debt]]. The [[Latin American debt crisis]] is an example of sovereign debt levels becoming unsustainable, resulting in a [[currency crisis]] and economic collapse, as [[interest rates]] rise precipitously due to the inability of the national government to attract financiers to purchase new [[government bonds]] to inject new [[debt money]] into the ailing economy.


At such times, it is the responsibility of the [[IMF]] to come in as a kind of supranational [[central bank]] to mediate between the national government and international financiers. The role of the [[IMF]] as [[central bank]] to the world has similar responsibilities and risks inherent in [[central bank]]ing which are described below in relation to the role of the [[Federal Reserve]]. If the [[IMF]] repeatedly intervenes to save financiers from loss when sovereign bankruptcy occurs, this has a tendency to induce [[moral hazard]] and can encourage the financing of reckless government spending and borrowing.<ref>[http://www.rgemonitor.com/41 IMF Reform and International Lender of Last Resort, RGE Monitor]</ref> <ref>[http://info.interactivist.net/article.pl?sid=02/11/07/199213&mode=thread&tid=8 Banking Bunkum, by Henry C.K. Liu]</ref>
At such times, it is the responsibility of the [[IMF]] to come in as a kind of supranational [[central bank]] to mediate between the national government and international financiers. The role of the [[IMF]] as [[central bank]] to the world has similar responsibilities and risks inherent in [[central bank]]ing which are described below in relation to the role of the [[Federal Reserve]]. If the [[IMF]] repeatedly intervenes to save financiers from loss when sovereign bankruptcy occurs, this has a tendency to induce [[moral hazard]] and can encourage the financing of reckless government spending and borrowing.<ref>[http://www.rgemonitor.com/41 IMF Reform and International Lender of Last Resort, RGE Monitor]</ref>


A [[single currency]] regime such as the [[Euro]] can mask national liquidity or solvency crises, by ensuring that a national currency is not quickly exchangeable for another, thereby restricting the ability of national governments to depreciate their currencies and allow the real value of [[government bond]] interest repayments to decline relative to other currencies.<ref>[http://news.goldseek.com/RichardDaughty/1192374060.php The Mogambo Theory of Currency Relativity]</ref>
A [[single currency]] regime such as the [[Euro]] can mask national liquidity or solvency crises, by ensuring that a national currency is not quickly exchangeable for another, thereby restricting the ability of national governments to depreciate their currencies and allow the real value of [[government bond]] interest repayments to decline relative to other currencies.<ref>[http://news.goldseek.com/RichardDaughty/1192374060.php The Mogambo Theory of Currency Relativity]</ref>
Line 70: Line 70:
{{Unencyclopedic}}
{{Unencyclopedic}}
{{Weasel|date=December 2007}}
{{Weasel|date=December 2007}}
Some [[monetary reform]]ers predict that there will be an increased incidence of financial crises in the developed world, as economic and [[population growth]] inevitably slows and as the success of [[laissez-faire]] economic political policies result in a reduction in redistributive [[tax]] policies which, combined with the debt-legacy of the [[welfare state]], allows an intense and unsustainable concentration of wealth and political power in the financial services sector.<ref>[http://greatreddragon.com/ Great Red Dragon]</ref>
Some [[monetary reform]]ers predict that there will be an increased incidence of financial crises in the developed world, as economic and [[population growth]] inevitably slows and as the success of [[laissez-faire]] economic political policies result in a reduction in redistributive [[tax]] policies which, combined with the debt-legacy of the [[welfare state]], allows an intense and unsustainable concentration of wealth and political power in the financial services sector.


Some [[monetary reform]]ers (in particular, [http://www.webofdebt.com/ Helen Hodgson Brown] in her 2007 book, ''Web of Debt'') argue that by necessity the promotion of the [[pyramid scheme]] inherent in [[private bank]]ing ''must'' be conducted by a tiny, secretive, ever-watchful minority because, unlike, for example, labor-intensive [[agriculture]], which is self-sustaining, banking is not. If the majority of the populace were bankers nothing would be produced other than [[debt]] and [[inflation]] (and very detailed [[insolvency]] laws). Historically, [[usury]] has therefore often been criticized as ''inherently'' parasitic and non-self-sustaining.<ref>[http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=-9050474362583451279 Money As Debt]</ref> <ref>{{cite book |last= Brown |first= Ellen H. |title= Web of Debt |url= http://books.google.com/books?id=ILMGrEC524UC |accessdate= 2007-12-15 |year= 2007 |publisher= Third Millennium Press |location= Baton Rouge, Louisiana |isbn= 0979560802 }}</ref>
Some [[monetary reform]]ers (in particular, [http://www.webofdebt.com/ Helen Hodgson Brown] in her 2007 book, ''Web of Debt'') argue that by necessity the promotion of the [[pyramid scheme]] inherent in [[private bank]]ing ''must'' be conducted by a tiny, secretive, ever-watchful minority because, unlike, for example, labor-intensive [[agriculture]], which is self-sustaining, banking is not. If the majority of the populace were bankers nothing would be produced other than [[debt]] and [[inflation]] (and very detailed [[insolvency]] laws). Historically, [[usury]] has therefore often been criticized as ''inherently'' parasitic and non-self-sustaining.<ref>[http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=-9050474362583451279 Money As Debt]</ref> <ref>{{cite book |last= Brown |first= Ellen H. |title= Web of Debt |url= http://books.google.com/books?id=ILMGrEC524UC |accessdate= 2007-12-15 |year= 2007 |publisher= Third Millennium Press |location= Baton Rouge, Louisiana |isbn= 0979560802 }}</ref>


Some [[monetary reform]]ers argue that, given the inherently parasitic nature of [[usury]], it is vital that the indebted "victims" who must sink deeper into [[debt]] for the system to survive do so voluntarily and willingly and are not made aware of the consequences of purchasing consumables with [[debt money]].<ref>[http://www.jsmineset.com/ARhome.asp?VAfg=1&RQ=EDL,1&AR_T=1&GID=&linkid=5295&T_ARID=5352 Today's Sociopathic Financial World, by Jim Sinclair]</ref> Hence terms commonly used in the [[mainstream media]] to describe the exponential growth in [[debt]] and [[debt money]] are often [[Orwellian]] in that they are the exact opposite of the terms an honest person would normally use. For example, the terms "[[debt]]" and "[[usury]]" are now virtually extinct, with "[[debt]]" being replaced by its [[antonym]], "[[credit]]"; the cycle in "[[debt]] creation" is referred to euphemistically as the "[[credit cycle]]"; a shrinking of "[[debt money]]" as a "[[credit crunch]]" or "[[credit squeeze]]"; and the unsustainable growth in [[debt]] and the associated growth of derivatives that live off [[debt]] during the upward phase of the [[debt money]] cycle as "[[innovation]]" in financial markets (a term rarely used after the implosion of a financial [[bubble]]).<ref>[http://www.nytimes.com/2007/12/03/opinion/03krugman.html?em&ex=1196917200&en=ac60abcdbd977d07&ei=5087%0A Innovating Our Way to Financial Crisis, by Paul Krugman]</ref>
Some [[monetary reform]]ers argue that, given the parasitic nature of [[usury]], it is vital that the indebted "victims" who must sink deeper into [[debt]] for the system to survive do so voluntarily and willingly and are not made aware of the consequences of purchasing consumables with [[debt money]].{{cn}} For example, the terms "[[debt]]" and "[[usury]]" are now virtually extinct, with "[[debt]]" being replaced by its [[antonym]], "[[credit]]"; the cycle in "[[debt]] creation" is referred to euphemistically as the "[[credit cycle]]"; a shrinking of "[[debt money]]" as a "[[credit crunch]]" or "[[credit squeeze]]"; and the unsustainable growth in [[debt]] and the associated growth of derivatives that live off [[debt]] during the upward phase of the [[debt money]] cycle as "[[innovation]]" in financial markets).<ref>[http://www.nytimes.com/2007/12/03/opinion/03krugman.html?em&ex=1196917200&en=ac60abcdbd977d07&ei=5087%0A Innovating Our Way to Financial Crisis, by Paul Krugman]</ref>
Some [[monetary reform]]ers see the prevalence of the debt-based monetary system ultimately resulting in a political [[crisis]], between the vast majority of dispossessed who have had any accumulated net wealth periodically "stolen" during periods of "[[credit crunch]]" (and find themselves in permanent inter-generational [[debt]], being forced to work involuntarily in the money-economy simply to house themselves and survive in the debt-based economy), and a tiny minority of inter-generational, super-rich elites connected close to the font of the [[money supply]] (being the [[private banking]] sector), who will strongly resist calls for redistributive economic policies by using all of their financial strength and [[lobbying]] power in an attempt to entrench and sustain their artificially [[privilege]]d status. Given that the profession of this [[privilege]]d minority is to produce nothing other than [[debt]] and [[inflation]], and given that they face being rendered impotent if the power to print debt-free [[money]] was returned to [[government]], it is to be expected that those associated and aligned with the [[private banking]] interests will use any means necessary to preserve their power, as they have no other skill other than the issuance and distribution of [[debt money]].<ref>[http://news.goldseek.com/GoldSeek/1192819378.php The Forgotten War]</ref>
Some [[monetary reform]]ers see the prevalence of the debt-based monetary system ultimately resulting in a political [[crisis]], between the vast majority of dispossessed who have had any accumulated net wealth periodically "stolen" during periods of "[[credit crunch]]" (and find themselves in permanent inter-generational [[debt]], being forced to work involuntarily in the money-economy simply to house themselves and survive in the debt-based economy), and a tiny minority of inter-generational, super-rich elites connected close to the font of the [[money supply]] (being the [[private banking]] sector), who will strongly resist calls for redistributive economic policies by using all of their financial strength and [[lobbying]] power in an attempt to entrench and sustain their artificially [[privilege]]d status. Given that the profession of this [[privilege]]d minority is to produce nothing other than [[debt]] and [[inflation]], and given that they face being rendered impotent if the power to print debt-free [[money]] was returned to [[government]], it is to be expected that those associated and aligned with the [[private banking]] interests will use any means necessary to preserve their power, as they have no other skill other than the issuance and distribution of [[debt money]].{{cn}}


Some [[monetary reform]]ers believe that this [[privilege]]d minority also always seek special government protection for the banking sector to protect it from financial [[insolvency]] when the debt-based financial system inevitably experiences periodic collapses due to the "bubble-like" nature of the growth in the [[money supply]]. This is referred to in some circles as "[[systemic risk]]" in the financial sector, as banks inevitably face periods of actual or near [[insolvency]] due to the mismatching of the high [[exponential growth]] in [[debt money]] and slower growth in the real economy.<ref>[http://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/mishkin20070928a.htm Systemic Risk and the International Lender of Last Resort, by Federic S. Mishkin]</ref> During these periods there are sporadic collapses in the value of inflated assets, resulting in a sudden collapse in the demand for new [[debt money]], and an associated contraction in the growth of the [[money supply]]. Without government [[bail out]]s these waves of boom and bust would inevitably wipe out marginal lenders, resulting in a concentration of the banking industry into an [[oligopoly]]/[[oligarchy]] or [[monopoly]].
Some [[monetary reform]]ers believe that this [[privilege]]d minority also always seek special government protection for the banking sector to protect it from financial [[insolvency]] when the debt-based financial system inevitably experiences periodic collapses due to the "bubble-like" nature of the growth in the [[money supply]]. This is referred to in some circles as "[[systemic risk]]" in the financial sector, as banks inevitably face periods of actual or near [[insolvency]] due to the mismatching of the high [[exponential growth]] in [[debt money]] and slower growth in the real economy.<ref>[http://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/mishkin20070928a.htm Systemic Risk and the International Lender of Last Resort, by Federic S. Mishkin]</ref> During these periods there are sporadic collapses in the value of inflated assets, resulting in a sudden collapse in the demand for new [[debt money]], and an associated contraction in the growth of the [[money supply]].


===Types of downturns===
===Types of downturns===
Line 86: Line 86:
A "[[credit squeeze]]" occurs where new [[debt money]] is difficult to access without a high [[credit rating]]. At such times marginal borrowers, or those who have borrowed at the end of any debt-induced asset bubble, get "squeezed" out of further borrowing and a contraction in the growth of new [[debt money]] occurs, triggering a slow down in the growth of inflated assets. Those assets can then be "harvested" by the [[private banks]] through widespread [[foreclosure]] or [[bankruptcy]] and re-sold to those with the money to buy the distressed assets.<ref>[http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article2882.html Market Fundamentalism, by Richard C. Cook]</ref>
A "[[credit squeeze]]" occurs where new [[debt money]] is difficult to access without a high [[credit rating]]. At such times marginal borrowers, or those who have borrowed at the end of any debt-induced asset bubble, get "squeezed" out of further borrowing and a contraction in the growth of new [[debt money]] occurs, triggering a slow down in the growth of inflated assets. Those assets can then be "harvested" by the [[private banks]] through widespread [[foreclosure]] or [[bankruptcy]] and re-sold to those with the money to buy the distressed assets.<ref>[http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article2882.html Market Fundamentalism, by Richard C. Cook]</ref>
A "[[credit crunch]]" occurs where new [[debt money]] is not available at any [[interest rate]] - even for those with previously acceptable [[credit rating]]s - due to widespread [[insolvency]] in the banking system. At such times, it is the banking system itself that is [[insolvent]] and other financial institutions (including overseas financiers) become reluctant to lend to the domestic banking system, resulting in the domestic banking system being unable to issue loans even to credit worthy borrowers.<ref>[http://www.prudentbear.com/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=4748&Itemid=58 Credit Crunch, by Satyajit Das]</ref>
A "[[credit crunch]]" occurs where new [[debt money]] is not available at any [[interest rate]] - even for those with previously acceptable [[credit rating]]s - due to widespread [[insolvency]] in the banking system. At such times, it is the banking system itself that is [[insolvent]] and other financial institutions (including overseas financiers) become reluctant to lend to the domestic banking system, resulting in the domestic banking system being unable to issue loans even to credit worthy borrowers.
At any stage during the downward spiral of a "[[credit crunch]]", the [[central bank]] in a modern economy can try to save the system from complete economic [[meltdown]] by purchasing (either indefinitely or temporarily) the failed debts of the [[private bank]]s. However, doing so results in cash being transferred to the [[private banks]] in exchange for [[bad debt]], thereby violating the general economic precept to avoid [[moral hazard]] and effectively makes liquid the failed lending decisions of the [[private bank]]s.<ref>[http://www.rgemonitor.com/blog/roubini/228924/ Privitizing Profits and Socializing Losses, by Nouriel Roubini]</ref> In the U.S. banking system this is called "opening the Fed discount window", where the [[Federal Reserve]] temporarily purchases the failed investment portfolios of distressed [[private bank]]s in exchange for cash, thereby allowing them to escape liability for mistaken lending practices that have resulted in these portfolios losing value as the borrowers default on their loan payments and are made [[bankrupt]]. However, this rescue measure may only delay, rather than avoid, the realization of losses in the banking system, as the central bank cannot "force" new borrowing into the system to inject new [[debt money]] into the [[money supply]]. Somebody has to be a [[counterparty]] to borrow the [[debt money]] that is being offered. If all market participants realize a "[[bubble]]" has formed in asset markets, there will be few (or no) buyers for new [[debt money]], as no one wants to borrow to buy inflated assets no one else will buy. Money markets can therefore remain illiquid even with intense [[central bank]] support.
At any stage during the downward spiral of a "[[credit crunch]]", the [[central bank]] in a modern economy can try to save the system from complete economic [[meltdown]] by purchasing (either indefinitely or temporarily) the failed debts of the [[private bank]]s. However, doing so results in cash being transferred to the [[private banks]] in exchange for [[bad debt]], thereby violating the general economic precept to avoid [[moral hazard]] and effectively makes liquid the failed lending decisions of the [[private bank]]s.<ref>[http://www.rgemonitor.com/blog/roubini/228924/ Privitizing Profits and Socializing Losses, by Nouriel Roubini]</ref> In the U.S. banking system this is called "opening the Fed discount window", where the [[Federal Reserve]] temporarily purchases the failed investment portfolios of distressed [[private bank]]s in exchange for cash, thereby allowing them to escape liability for mistaken lending practices that have resulted in these portfolios losing value as the borrowers default on their loan payments and are made [[bankrupt]]. However, this rescue measure may only delay, rather than avoid, the realization of losses in the banking system, as the central bank cannot "force" new borrowing into the system to inject new [[debt money]] into the [[money supply]]. Somebody has to be a [[counterparty]] to borrow the [[debt money]] that is being offered. If all market participants realize a "[[bubble]]" has formed in asset markets, there will be few (or no) buyers for new [[debt money]], as no one wants to borrow to buy inflated assets no one else will buy. Money markets can therefore remain illiquid even with intense [[central bank]] support.


===Potential future impact===
===Potential future impact===
Some monetary economists describe the opening of the Fed discount window after the bursting of an asset bubble as "pushing on a piece of string", as this measure does not solve the key problem - creating new [[debt money]] to keep up the growth in the [[money supply]].<ref>[http://financial.tom-hanna.org/?p=849 Has the Fed been pushing on a string?]</ref> <ref>[http://www.dailyreckoning.com/Issues/2007/DR112807.html Pushing on a String, by Bill Bonner of Daily Reckoning]</ref> <ref>[http://www.mises.org/story/2695 Don't Discount the Fed Discount Window]</ref> <ref>[http://www.federalreserve.gov/Pubs/FEDS/2004/200401/200401pap.pdf Monetary Policy in Deflation: The Liquidity Trap in History and Practice]</ref>
Some monetary economists describe the opening of the Fed discount window after the bursting of an asset bubble as "pushing on a piece of string", as this measure does not solve the key problem - creating new [[debt money]] to keep up the growth in the [[money supply]].<ref>[http://www.mises.org/story/2695 Don't Discount the Fed Discount Window]</ref> <ref>[http://www.federalreserve.gov/Pubs/FEDS/2004/200401/200401pap.pdf Monetary Policy in Deflation: The Liquidity Trap in History and Practice]</ref>


To encourage fresh borrowing, [[central bank]]s generally combine these rescue measures with an [[interest rate]] cut to encourage more new borrowing to allow the existing (failed) debts to be [[liquidate]]d at or close to their original value. When [[Alan Greenspan]] repeatedly resorted to this tactic to revive illiquid [[money market]]s this became known in the market as the "[[Greenspan put]]", as the effect of these repeated reductions in [[interest rate]]s was similar to a [[put option]] in the [[stockmarket]], insuring [[bank]]s' lending mistakes would be covered up by the [[Federal Reserve]].<ref>[http://prudentbear.com/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=4841&Itemid=58 Regulatory Debauchery]</ref>
To encourage fresh borrowing, [[central bank]]s generally combine these rescue measures with an [[interest rate]] cut to encourage more new borrowing to allow the existing (failed) debts to be [[liquidate]]d at or close to their original value. When [[Alan Greenspan]] repeatedly resorted to this tactic to revive illiquid [[money market]]s this became known in the market as the "[[Greenspan put]]", as the effect of these repeated reductions in [[interest rate]]s was similar to a [[put option]] in the [[stockmarket]], insuring [[bank]]s' lending mistakes would be covered up by the [[Federal Reserve]].{{cn}}


===Inequities in system===
===Inequities in system===
Line 103: Line 103:
Many [[monetary reform]]ers consider technical terms such as "[[systemic risk]]" and "[[financial contagion]]" simply as [[code word]]s for a time when the [[pyramid scheme]] of debt inevitably faces periods of collapse due the mismatch between the volatile, unstable growth of [[debt money]] and the [[liquidity]] requirements of the slower-growing real economy. These economists consider any calls for government or [[central bank]] intervention at such times as an illegitimate policy of "saving" the system from being exposed as a financial [[fraud]] on the general (indebted) populace. It may also trigger a [[currency crisis]] because overseas financiers can no longer trust the integrity of the domestic monetary system to process [[bad debts]] appropriately by permitting financial institutions to go [[bankrupt]] and be acquired by other financial institutions. Instead the [[central bank]] signals its willingness to save the current players in the banking sector by printing money and inflating its way out of the crisis, thereby debasing the value of the domestic [[currency]].
Many [[monetary reform]]ers consider technical terms such as "[[systemic risk]]" and "[[financial contagion]]" simply as [[code word]]s for a time when the [[pyramid scheme]] of debt inevitably faces periods of collapse due the mismatch between the volatile, unstable growth of [[debt money]] and the [[liquidity]] requirements of the slower-growing real economy. These economists consider any calls for government or [[central bank]] intervention at such times as an illegitimate policy of "saving" the system from being exposed as a financial [[fraud]] on the general (indebted) populace. It may also trigger a [[currency crisis]] because overseas financiers can no longer trust the integrity of the domestic monetary system to process [[bad debts]] appropriately by permitting financial institutions to go [[bankrupt]] and be acquired by other financial institutions. Instead the [[central bank]] signals its willingness to save the current players in the banking sector by printing money and inflating its way out of the crisis, thereby debasing the value of the domestic [[currency]].


This is referred to by some [[monetary reform]]ers and [[economist]]s as "[[Socialism]] for the rich and [[Capitalism]] for the poor", as many indebted [[consumers]] will still lose their [[house]]s and be declared [[bankrupt]] regardless whether or not the [[central bank]] intervenes to save marginal lenders who have been made [[insolvent]] through their mis-timing of the [[credit cycle]].<ref>[http://www.rgemonitor.com/blog/roubini/228924/ Privatizing Profits and Socializing Losses, by Nouriel Roubini]</ref> <ref>[http://www.prudentbear.com/index.php/FeaturedCommentaryHome Regulatory Debauchery]</ref> Moreover, ironically and paradoxally, future generations of innocent taxpayers will ultimately finance any [[bail out]] of reckless lenders, as the money used to fund any [[bail out]] will be funds diverted from the general revenue of the central government.<ref>[http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/f4cf8426-654d-11dc-bf89-0000779fd2ac.html A run on the bank]</ref>
This is referred to by some [[monetary reform]]ers and [[economist]]s as "[[Socialism]] for the rich and [[Capitalism]] for the poor", as many indebted [[consumers]] will still lose their [[house]]s and be declared [[bankrupt]] regardless whether or not the [[central bank]] intervenes to save marginal lenders who have been made [[insolvent]] through their mis-timing of the [[credit cycle]].<ref>[http://www.rgemonitor.com/blog/roubini/228924/ Privatizing Profits and Socializing Losses, by Nouriel Roubini]</ref> Moreover, ironically and paradoxally, future generations of innocent taxpayers will ultimately finance any [[bail out]] of reckless lenders, as the money used to fund any [[bail out]] will be funds diverted from the general revenue of the central government.<ref>[http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/f4cf8426-654d-11dc-bf89-0000779fd2ac.html A run on the bank]</ref>


Many central bankers still refer to [[Walter Bagehot]]'s 1873 commentary on monetary crises, ''Lombard Street'', in an attempt to gain insights into the way in which central bankers should revive illiquid banking systems. [[Walter Bagehot]]'s exhortation to "lend freely" at times of monetary crisis to lift the system into liquidity and encourage new debt creation may work temporarily, but in circumstances where fundamental changes are occurring in the underlying economy (for example, where demographic changes - such as an aging population - result in too few new indebted consumers, or where extreme inequality results in the inability of impoverished workers to either qualify for, or be encouraged to, borrow) this will only result in a delay in (and perhaps exacerbation of) the collapse of any debt-created "bubble".
Many central bankers still refer to [[Walter Bagehot]]'s 1873 commentary on monetary crises, ''Lombard Street'', in an attempt to gain insights into the way in which central bankers should revive illiquid banking systems. [[Walter Bagehot]]'s exhortation to "lend freely" at times of monetary crisis to lift the system into liquidity and encourage new debt creation may work temporarily, but in circumstances where fundamental changes are occurring in the underlying economy (for example, where demographic changes - such as an aging population - result in too few new indebted consumers, or where extreme inequality results in the inability of impoverished workers to either qualify for, or be encouraged to, borrow) this will only result in a delay in (and perhaps exacerbation of) the collapse of any debt-created "bubble".


A prime example of the fatal effects of combining aging demographics with reckless bank lending can be found in the case of the [[Japanese asset price bubble]].<ref>[http://elainemeinelsupkis.typepad.com/money_matters/2007/12/today-we-visit.html Today we visit Sumitomo Bank in Japan]</ref> <ref>[http://www.economist.com/displaystory.cfm?story_id=10286992 The Japanese and American Bubbles: Been There, Done Some of That]</ref> Once the downward spiral of a financial implosion begins, it is almost impossible to stop if there are no new indebted "victims" to replace those that have either retired, or died.
A prime example of the fatal effects of combining aging demographics with reckless bank lending can be found in the case of the [[Japanese asset price bubble]].<ref>[http://www.economist.com/displaystory.cfm?story_id=10286992 The Japanese and American Bubbles: Been There, Done Some of That]</ref> Once the downward spiral of a financial implosion begins, it is almost impossible to stop if there are no new indebted "victims" to replace those that have either retired, or died.


===Potential societal impact===
===Potential societal impact===


Some more extreme [[monetary reform]]ers and [[conspiracy theorists]] anticipate the declaration of [[martial law]] and the imposition of [[fascist]]-style restrictions on [[civil rights]] and [[freedom of speech]] by the political [[Establishment]] to physically protect it from [[anarchy]] or military [[coup]] when the [[bubble]] of [[debt]] completely bursts, either through a precipitous [[currency crisis]] or debt-created [[depression]].<ref>[http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/article18360.htm Soup Kitchen U.S.A. by Mike Whitney]</ref> <ref>[http://www.house.gov/paul/congrec/congrec2007/cr120507h.htm New security legislation threats freedoms]</ref> Some [[conspiracy theorists]] also anticipate the forced elimination - by any means necessary - of any actual or potential competing [[currencies]] or voluntary mediums of exchange that could threaten the viability or legitimacy of the [[monopoly]] [[currency]], which could include the compulsory confiscation of all privately-owned [[gold]] ([[gold]] being the ultimate reserve [[currency]], still used by [[central banks]] as a universally accepted medium of exchange for the settlement of international [[debt]]s). <ref>[http://news.goldseek.com/GoldSeek/1196605589.php America's Trade Debts Lead to a Likely Gold Confiscation]</ref> <ref>[http://www.libertydollar.org/ld/legal/raid.htm FBI Raids Liberty Dollar]</ref> <ref>[http://www.lewrockwell.com/rothbard/solution.html The Solution]</ref> <ref>[http://prudentinvestor.blogspot.com/2007/09/us-mint-suspends-gold-coin-sales-due-to.html US Mint Suspends Gold Coin Sales]</ref> <ref>[http://www.swissamerica.com/article.php?art=06-2004/200406140537f.txt Why a Gold Standard Now?]</ref>
Some more extreme [[monetary reform]]ers and [[conspiracy theorists]] anticipate the declaration of [[martial law]] and the imposition of [[fascist]]-style restrictions on [[civil rights]] and [[freedom of speech]] by the political [[Establishment]] to physically protect it from [[anarchy]] or military [[coup]] when the [[bubble]] of [[debt]] completely bursts, either through a precipitous [[currency crisis]] or debt-created [[depression]].<ref>[http://www.house.gov/paul/congrec/congrec2007/cr120507h.htm New security legislation threats freedoms]</ref> Some [[conspiracy theorists]] also anticipate the forced elimination - by any means necessary - of any actual or potential competing [[currencies]] or voluntary mediums of exchange that could threaten the viability or legitimacy of the [[monopoly]] [[currency]], which could include the compulsory confiscation of all privately-owned [[gold]] ([[gold]] being the ultimate reserve [[currency]], still used by [[central banks]] as a universally accepted medium of exchange for the settlement of international [[debt]]s).{{cn}}


There have been many monetary crises throughout history and prior to widespread [[anarchy]] or [[revolution]], in the late stages of volatile, heavily indebted [[laissez faire]] [[capitalism]], there are a number of warning signs of impending [[chaos]] caused by a complete breakdown of trust in the debt-based [[monetary system]]. Just prior to the complete collapse of the [[pyramid scheme]] of public and private [[debt]], the economic system tends to feed on itself, and in the past, where debt-created [[depression]]s or periods of [[hyperinflation]] have occurred in [[Europe]], the [[U.S.]] and [[China]], there has been a sustained spike in predatory economic behavior, with [[short-term]] high [[profit]]/high [[cash flow]] exploitative [[criminal activity]] becoming increasingly rampant (such as [[drug trafficking]], [[arms trafficking]], [[prostitution]] (including [[male prostitution]] and [[child prostitution]]), widespread legalized (taxable) [[gambling]] and violent [[extortion]] involving [[organized crime]]), as the heavily indebted central government and producers are forced to find more extreme (previously considered unethical) methods to extract any remaining wealth from increasingly desperate and impoverished [[consumers]], who are either unwilling or unable to go into further [[debt]] without forceful coercion.<ref>[http://eh.net/bookreviews/library/0560 Culture and Inflation in Weimar Germany, by Bernd Widding]</ref> [[Long-term]] investment and sustained [[capital investment]] are almost impossible in this environment because the "measuring stick" of [[return on investment]] (the real value of [[money]]) is so uncertain at times of debt-induced [[credit crunch]], [[depression]] or [[hyperinflation]].
There have been many monetary crises throughout history and prior to widespread [[anarchy]] or [[revolution]], in the late stages of volatile, heavily indebted [[laissez faire]] [[capitalism]], there are a number of warning signs of impending [[chaos]] caused by a complete breakdown of trust in the debt-based [[monetary system]]. Just prior to the complete collapse of the [[pyramid scheme]] of public and private [[debt]], the economic system tends to feed on itself, and in the past, where debt-created [[depression]]s or periods of [[hyperinflation]] have occurred in [[Europe]], the [[U.S.]] and [[China]], there has been a sustained spike in predatory economic behavior, with [[short-term]] high [[profit]]/high [[cash flow]] exploitative [[criminal activity]] becoming increasingly rampant (such as [[drug trafficking]], [[arms trafficking]], [[prostitution]] (including [[male prostitution]] and [[child prostitution]]), widespread legalized (taxable) [[gambling]] and violent [[extortion]] involving [[organized crime]]), as the heavily indebted central government and producers are forced to find more extreme (previously considered unethical) methods to extract any remaining wealth from increasingly desperate and impoverished [[consumers]], who are either unwilling or unable to go into further [[debt]] without forceful coercion.<ref>[http://eh.net/bookreviews/library/0560 Culture and Inflation in Weimar Germany, by Bernd Widding]</ref> [[Long-term]] investment and sustained [[capital investment]] are almost impossible in this environment because the "measuring stick" of [[return on investment]] (the real value of [[money]]) is so uncertain at times of debt-induced [[credit crunch]], [[depression]] or [[hyperinflation]].


As potential new [[borrower]]s and international financiers are scared away from participating in the [[pyramid scheme]] of debt and borrowing further, the [[monetary system]] seizes up, starved of the fresh injections of [[debt money]] it needs for its survival, thereby precipitating economic [[anarchy]], widespread [[lawlessness]] and [[insolvency]] of the monetary and banking system.<ref>[http://www.oftwominds.com/blognov07/empire-debt1.html Empire of Debt]</ref>
As potential new [[borrower]]s and international financiers are scared away from participating in the [[pyramid scheme]] of debt and borrowing further, the [[monetary system]] seizes up, starved of the fresh injections of [[debt money]] it needs for its survival, thereby precipitating economic [[anarchy]], widespread [[lawlessness]] and [[insolvency]] of the monetary and banking system.


This has often occurred after a failed [[aggressive war]], as international financiers realize the heavily indebted [[government]] they funded will not gain the [[resources]] it planned to seize as a result of the waging of [[aggressive war]]. When this pay-off does not materialize, the government is left with the [[debt]] of war without the ability to offset this [[government debt]] through the imposition of [[reparations]] on the defeated [[nation]] and the acquisition of the defeated state's [[resources]]. This occurred to [[Germany]] after the [[First World War]] and [[Japan]] after the [[Second World War]].
This has often occurred after a failed [[aggressive war]], as international financiers realize the heavily indebted [[government]] they funded will not gain the [[resources]] it planned to seize as a result of the waging of [[aggressive war]]. When this pay-off does not materialize, the government is left with the [[debt]] of war without the ability to offset this [[government debt]] through the imposition of [[reparations]] on the defeated [[nation]] and the acquisition of the defeated state's [[resources]]. This occurred to [[Germany]] after the [[First World War]] and [[Japan]] after the [[Second World War]].
Line 121: Line 121:
Whatever the trigger, the key warning sign of any impending monetary crisis and economic [[anarchy]] is a sudden [[currency crisis]]. Early warning signs that the [[private banks]] themselves are aware of an impending breakdown in the [[solvency]] of the [[financial system]] would be: a spike in the prices for [[oil]] (which is an internationally accepted, inherently limited, store of value, and therefore can act as a modern form of [[hard currency]], oil sometimes being referred to as "black gold"), [[gold]] and other inherently limited [[natural resources]] essential for non-discretionary industrial production; a spike in the [[futures contract]]s for "non-perishable" agricultural [[commodities]] such as [[sugar]], [[coffee]], [[wheat]], [[soybean]]s and [[rice]], as investors realize the debt-based monetary system has squeezed supplies of [[arable land]]; a sudden flight of money to [[Treasury bills]]; and/or a sudden spike in the [[interest rate]] differential between short-term [[Treasury bills]] and asset-backed corporate paper (or a sudden spike in the [[LIBOR]] rate in [[London]]).<ref>[http://www.telegraph.co.uk/money/main.jhtml?xml=/money/2007/12/03/cnrates103.xml&CMP=ILC-mostviewedbox Pleas for rate cut as interbank loans dive]</ref>
Whatever the trigger, the key warning sign of any impending monetary crisis and economic [[anarchy]] is a sudden [[currency crisis]]. Early warning signs that the [[private banks]] themselves are aware of an impending breakdown in the [[solvency]] of the [[financial system]] would be: a spike in the prices for [[oil]] (which is an internationally accepted, inherently limited, store of value, and therefore can act as a modern form of [[hard currency]], oil sometimes being referred to as "black gold"), [[gold]] and other inherently limited [[natural resources]] essential for non-discretionary industrial production; a spike in the [[futures contract]]s for "non-perishable" agricultural [[commodities]] such as [[sugar]], [[coffee]], [[wheat]], [[soybean]]s and [[rice]], as investors realize the debt-based monetary system has squeezed supplies of [[arable land]]; a sudden flight of money to [[Treasury bills]]; and/or a sudden spike in the [[interest rate]] differential between short-term [[Treasury bills]] and asset-backed corporate paper (or a sudden spike in the [[LIBOR]] rate in [[London]]).<ref>[http://www.telegraph.co.uk/money/main.jhtml?xml=/money/2007/12/03/cnrates103.xml&CMP=ILC-mostviewedbox Pleas for rate cut as interbank loans dive]</ref>


Shortly thereafter, some [[monetary reform]]ers predict that there would be desperate, but ultimately futile [[central bank]] intervention, a [[currency crisis]], a panic run on a number of marginal, [[insolvent]] [[banks]] and [[hedge funds]] as desperate wealthy investors try to get [[cash]] out before the [[pyramid scheme]] collapses to invest in inherently limited, non-perishable, in-demand commodities such as [[oil]] and [[gold]] (and undeveloped agricultural and industrial [[land]] in areas of the world with strong [[economic growth]]), followed by a [[recession]] or [[depression]] in the broader heavily indebted economy as the [[money supply]] contracts.<ref>[http://www.newyorkfed.org/research/staff_reports/sr291.pdf Hedge Funds, Financial Intermediation and Systemic Risk]</ref> <ref>[http://www.jsmineset.com/ARhome.asp?VAfg=1&RQ=EDL,1&AR_T=1&GID=&linkid=5533&T_ARID=5588&sCID=204&sPID=2&cTID=0&cCat=&PRID=0&cSubCat=&archive=&highstr=&UArts= This is it! by Jim Sinclair]</ref> <ref>[http://www.kitco.com/ind/Turk/turk_nov122007.html Liquidity pump won't work]</ref> <ref>[http://www.gata.org/files/Deepcaster12-15-2007.doc Market Intervention Accelerating]</ref>
Shortly thereafter, some [[monetary reform]]ers predict that there would be desperate, but ultimately futile [[central bank]] intervention, a [[currency crisis]], a panic run on a number of marginal, [[insolvent]] [[banks]] and [[hedge funds]] as desperate wealthy investors try to get [[cash]] out before the [[pyramid scheme]] collapses to invest in inherently limited, non-perishable, in-demand commodities such as [[oil]] and [[gold]] (and undeveloped agricultural and industrial [[land]] in areas of the world with strong [[economic growth]]), followed by a [[recession]] or [[depression]] in the broader heavily indebted economy as the [[money supply]] contracts.<ref>[http://www.newyorkfed.org/research/staff_reports/sr291.pdf Hedge Funds, Financial Intermediation and Systemic Risk]</ref>


===Potential solutions===
===Potential solutions===
{{Weasel|date=December 2007}}
{{Weasel|date=December 2007}}
Critics assert that, <!-- please note, this is the phrase needed in order to retain these sections. -->
Critics assert that, <!-- please note, this is the phrase needed in order to retain these sections. -->
although time is the only real remedy for monetary crises, as it allows re-inflation of the markets through the gradual injection of new [[debt money]] into the system, time is something financiers and investors are least likely to want to give up when faced with not getting their [[money]] out of the imploding investment [[bubble]]. In extreme cases [[bank]]s could set up "independent" corporate investment vehicles to buy the assets associated with the [[bad debt]],<ref>[http://www.dealbreaker.com/2007/10/citigroup_looks_to_lend_money.php Citigroup looks to lend money]</ref> thereby allowing [[borrower]]s to liquidate their investments and allow time for the markets to re-inflate, however the holding costs involved in this measure would be extremely high and would not guarantee that the losses could be averted if no new gullible investors could be found to offload these distressed assets. More fundamentally, these short-term "parachutes" used after bubbles burst do not save ordinary borrowers from [[foreclosure]] and [[bankruptcy]], nor do they address the pernicious long-term dysfunctional aspects of [[fractional reserve banking]] described above. These problems are temporarily averted, only to be dealt with yet again by the next generation of indebted governments and peoples.<ref>[http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/article18431.htm The Era of Global Financial Instability, by Mike Whitney]</ref>
although time is the only real remedy for monetary crises, as it allows re-inflation of the markets through the gradual injection of new [[debt money]] into the system, time is something financiers and investors are least likely to want to give up when faced with not getting their [[money]] out of the imploding investment [[bubble]]. In extreme cases [[bank]]s could set up "independent" corporate investment vehicles to buy the assets associated with the [[bad debt]], thereby allowing [[borrower]]s to liquidate their investments and allow time for the markets to re-inflate, however the holding costs involved in this measure would be extremely high and would not guarantee that the losses could be averted if no new gullible investors could be found to offload these distressed assets. More fundamentally, these short-term "parachutes" used after bubbles burst do not save ordinary borrowers from [[foreclosure]] and [[bankruptcy]], nor do they address the pernicious long-term dysfunctional aspects of [[fractional reserve banking]] described above. These problems are temporarily averted, only to be dealt with yet again by the next generation of indebted governments and peoples.


Given these repeated financial crises arising from the debt-based monetary system, many [[monetary reform]]ers predict that there will inevitably be a return to the [[gold standard]], a fundamental change in the way money is produced and distributed (with a return to the prevalence of government-issued debt-free [[fiat currency]] and/or [[free banking]]) - or a complete financial "[[meltdown]]" as fewer young people in developed economies can be found who are willing to go into debt in sufficient magnitude to pay off the debts that have already been accumulated.<ref>[http://www.goldensextant.com/SavingtheSystem.html Saving the System, by Robert K. Landis]</ref> <ref>[http://www.gata.org/files/Deepcaster12-15-2007.doc Market Intervention Accelerating]</ref> As extreme inequality increases, [[foreclosure]]s mount and financial crises repeatedly erupt, these [[monetary reform]]ers believe a political crisis will eventually result in calls for fundamental [[monetary reform]].
Given these repeated financial crises arising from the debt-based monetary system, many [[monetary reform]]ers predict that there will inevitably be a return to the [[gold standard]], a fundamental change in the way money is produced and distributed (with a return to the prevalence of government-issued debt-free [[fiat currency]] and/or [[free banking]]) - or a complete financial "[[meltdown]]" as fewer young people in developed economies can be found who are willing to go into debt in sufficient magnitude to pay off the debts that have already been accumulated. As extreme inequality increases, [[foreclosure]]s mount and financial crises repeatedly erupt, these [[monetary reform]]ers believe a political crisis will eventually result in calls for fundamental [[monetary reform]].


These on-going, worsening, [[debt]]-created crises in the economy and society (and the unsustainable damage to the [[environment]] caused by debt-created [[overconsumption]]) could turn monetary and economic policies either to the extreme left or to the extreme right, as there are a number of competing solutions to the debt-based monetary "problem".
These on-going, worsening, [[debt]]-created crises in the economy and society (and the unsustainable damage to the [[environment]] caused by debt-created [[overconsumption]]) could turn monetary and economic policies either to the extreme left or to the extreme right, as there are a number of competing solutions to the debt-based monetary "problem".

Revision as of 03:36, 16 December 2007

Template:Totally-disputed

A debt-based monetary system is an economic system where money is created primarily through fractional reserve banking techniques, using the private banking system.

This form of money is called "debt-based" because as a condition of its creation it must be paid back at some time in the future.

Although debt money is a form of fiat currency (because it is not backed by a real asset such as gold or silver), it can be distinguished from "true" fiat currency in that it is intrinsically "temporary" money, requiring its eventual repayment as a condition of its creation.

Basic debate

The debt-based monetary system is a departure from traditional monetary systems, which were backed by gold deposits or the gold standard, or other precious metals. Because of this departure, it is the subject of continuing political and economic debate.[1]

Some argue that since debt and the interest on the debt can only be paid in the same form of money, the total debt (principal plus interest) can never be paid unless more money is created through the same process. For example: if 100 credits are created and loaned into the economy at 10% per year, at the end of the year 110 credits will be needed to pay the loan and extinguish the debt. However, since the additional 10 credits does not yet exist, it too must be borrowed.[2]

Others argue that there is in fact no mathematical necessity for the money supply in a debt-based system to grow, since the interest portion of loan payments is not taken out of circulation, but goes into the lender’s account, where it can be spent back into circulation and eventually be used to pay off some loan principal.[citation needed] Given that the total debt-based money supply is exactly equal to the total principal outstanding on all loans, there is always enough money in circulation to meet loan payments for the current amortization period, except for the case of nearly all loans in existence coming due at the same time, with no other outstanding loans large enough to cover the interest portions of the final payments (generally a tiny fraction of the final payment).[citation needed] These monetary economists argue that the money supply could (at least theoretically) be stable and yet not cause widespread insolvency in the broader economy. This would however require the delicate balancing of the maturing of some loans with the issuance of new debt to compensate for the diminution in the money supply caused by the repayment of those maturing loans.[citation needed]

Basic nature of system

Regardless whether there is a necessity for the money supply to grow exponentially in a debt-based system, it is not seriously disputed that when a bank loan is repaid, the money is extinguished, in a reverse process by which the money was originally created, “Money is created when loans are issued and debts incurred, money is extinguished when loans are repaid” John B. Henderson, Senior Specialist in Price Economics, Congressional Research Service of the Library of Congress.

On January 24, 1939, Robert H. Hemphill, Credit Manager of the Federal Reserve in Atlanta stated: "We are completely dependent on the commercial Banks. Someone has to borrow every dollar we have in circulation, cash or credit.' If the Banks create ample synthetic money we are prosperous; if not, we starve. We are absolutely without a permanent money system. When one gets a complete grasp of the picture, the tragic absurdity of our hopeless position is almost incredible, but there it is. [The banking problem] is the most important subject intelligent persons can investigate and reflect upon.”[3]

It is also self-evident why such a system would exist and continue to thrive, despite any real or perceived economic or environmental problems or social inequities inherent in this form of money creation: it is an extremely profitable venture for those given to the legal power to create money through fractional reserve banking techniques (at least in the short to medium term, before any long-term effects surface). Accordingly, the economic, environmental and social effects arising from a central government's concessional granting of the legal power to create money through fractional reserve banking techniques to the private banks of the world has been subject to much heated political debate for well over two centuries.[4] [5]

In contrast to debt money, "true" fiat currency is issued by the government debt-free as no requirement for its eventual return is made as a condition of its creation. Fiat currency (such as notes and coins) can circulate perpetually in the economy as "stable" or even sound money (if backed by gold or silver) and although not as stable as hard currency, government-issued notes and coins do not have the same effects of debt-based money described below.[6] It should be noted however that fiat currency can be a source of hyperinflation if its production is not controlled, as the government has the potential to issue unlimited amounts of fiat currency - provided it is accepted as "money" by the private banking system (which may or may not occur depending on the political relationship at the time between the Treasury and the private banking system). It should also be noted that due to the exponential growth of debt-based money, "true" fiat currency (notes and coins in circulation) now account for a tiny fraction of the total M3 money supply in all developed, debt-based capitalist economies (M0 generally being less than 10% of the total M2 money supply - and a tiny fraction of the total M3 money supply - in most developed economies).[7]

Similarly, gold, silver and other precious metals have in the past been used as a form of debt-free money and their introduction into the economy is not debt-based as no future repayment is required as a condition of their introduction into the money supply. Because of the difficulty in increasing the supply of precious metals quickly, some monetary reformers believe a return to the gold standard, or a similar system of "hard" or "real" asset-backed currency, is the only way to stabilize the growth of the money supply. These monetary reformers often refer to the gold standard as "sound money" or "honest money", as they believe only full and active participation in the free market, and exertion of personal effort and talent in that market, can result in the sustained accumulation of real wealth in a gold standard-based economy.

Economic and political criticisms

[unbalanced opinion?]

Some believe that "if unchecked, the economic and political chaos that comes from currency destruction inevitably leads to tyranny".[8]

Some economists (particularly the Austrian School) and political commentators (particularly Libertarian thinkers such as Murray Rothbard) believe that a debt-based monetary system amounts to a subtle form of monetary "fraud" in that it creates real money (and therefore real wealth) "out of nothing" through the use of fractional reserve banking techniques.[9]

Some monetary reformers (such as Michael Rowbotham and Ellen Hodgson Brown) also argue that this system of money supply is perverse and inherently "anti-democratic", and inevitably creates an inflationary exponential growth bias in the economy which causes gross over-consumption and is unnecessary, environmentally damaging and unstable. They argue that the already indebted are forced to induce new consumers to spend and go into debt so that existing loans can be repaid with this new debt-created money. If this is not achieved, the result is foreclosure for those businesses that do not successfully induce new consumers to go into debt for their benefit - and, more broadly, insolvency in the banking system and economic collapse due to the sudden contraction in the growth of the money supply.[10] [11]

Some political thinkers such as Michael Rowbotham and some economists (such as the Keynesian monetary economist Hyman Minsky) argue that this system of money supply has all the essential characteristics of a monetized Ponzi or pyramid scheme, where the newly indebted find themselves compelled to induce others into debt to enable them to pay off their own debts.[12] [13]

It is therefore argued by a number of monetary reformers that the pyramid scheme of fractional reserve banking and the associated exponential growth of debt money in the economy inevitably creates a form of Darwinian "survival of those who can induce others into debt" as it forces the economy towards indebted consumerism and as it pulls in newly indebted "consumers" to inject more debt money into the economy to pay off the existing debts that have already been accumulated by producers who have borrowed to set up and expand their businesses. Some monetary reformers see hyperinflation in the "essential", "non-discretionary" markets of housing, education and health care (areas of the economy vulnerable to intense, leveraged, competitive bidding for inherently limited high-quality supply); the left-liberal encouragement of increased (debt-sourced) government spending in social welfare and the neo-conservative encouragement of increased (debt-sourced) government spending in defence; increased secularism (which encourages materialism and consumerism and discourages non-marketable religious activities); the introduction of women into the workforce (caused in part by the long-term decline in average real wages for men - which in turn is a result of the exponential growth in housing debt); the associated marketization of childcare and the marketing to children as potential new consumers; and the push for increased immigration and free trade all as a natural consequence of the exponential growth of debt money and the associated inexorable expansion of debt-based consumerism.[14]

Michael Rowbotham argues that a self-destructive side-effect of the debt-based monetary system is its effect on agriculture. As Michael Rowbotham points out, residential development produces one of the greatest continuous injections of debt money into the economy. Therefore, significant super-normal profits can be generated by re-zoning agricultural land and replacing it with low-density housing. Urban poverty can often be the final result of the financial incentives inherent in a system which rewards short-term urban development.[15] In the United States for example, 8,900 km² (about 2.2 million acres) of land was added to urban areas between 1992 and 2002, much of it arable land now paved.

If this is allowed to continue unchecked, forests and fertile arable land (specifically farmland on the fringes of existing urban developments) will be systematically destroyed and replaced by low-density housing, ultimately condemning local populations to permanent, irredeemable reliance on imported food to survive.[16] If for any reason the monetary system broke down, this population (nominally "rich" but poor in terms of direct access to food supply) could find food security a major public policy issue.[17]

Effects on economic health

Given that the solvency of the fractional reserve banking system requires a continual massive stream of new debtors, some left-leaning monetary reformers also consider the waging of aggressive wars and modern imperialism as an essential component in the survival of any debt-based economic system.[18] [19]

More broadly, many monetary reformers believe that debt money has created all the features of an economic bubble, with structural instability in financial markets, which produces waves of booms and bust due to the "bubble-like" credit cycle.[20] [21]

The total property value of America is about $38 trillion while the total debt burden is $48 trillion.[22] If in the hypothetical case that the debt was called in simultaneously, it is self-evident that the system would be exposed as insolvent and the "value" of the assets would be substantially less than the total debt outstanding. It is only kept solvent by continual, massive injections of fresh debt money into the economy from new borrowing to pay for the outstanding interest on existing loans and the principal on any maturing loans.

The "cyclical" side-effect of debt-based money inevitably means that those caught at the end of any business cycle (or those caught in economies with declining productivity, low population growth or aging populations) suffer most financially, as the contraction in the growth of credit slows the economy just as these newly indebted businesses and consumers find they have been left out of the growth cycle in debt creation.[23] [24] This "boomerang" effect in the creation (and subsequent return) of debt money also inevitably means that the private banks systematically gain greater control over the real assets of an economy over time, as these cycles create waves of foreclosure, allowing the banks and their associates to "harvest" real assets and real wealth "on the cheap" (less the now-worthless equity contribution of the bankrupt investor) - or strictly speaking, in Murray Rothbard's words, "for nothing", given that the whole system of fractional reserve banking involves the creation of money "out of nothing" and in his view amounts to monetary fraud.[25] [26] [27]

Michael Rowbotham, in his book The Grip of Death, argues that the overwhelming prevalence of debt-based money in the modern economy is systematically concentrating real wealth in the hands of the private banks through a form of subtle monetary fraud, as the populace is forced into debt "slavery" simply to own a home and educate their children, only to have any accumulated net wealth periodically "stolen" during periods of static or negative credit growth.[28]

In countries with slowing economic growth caused by low population growth or an aging population, it is therefore inevitable with a debt-based monetary system that, in the absence of a strong and effective redistributive tax system or the issuance of debt-free fiat currency to the financially dispossessed, there will be a systematic and inexorable concentration of intense wealth in the financial services sector, accompanied by sporadic "bubble-like" financial crises, with volatile periods of hyperinflation in asset markets and deflation in the consumable goods market as price-conscious indebted consumers inevitably search for cheaper (generally imported) consumer goods, as their net disposable income is "squeezed" by higher and higher debt servicing levels, and their net wealth is periodically "stolen" during periods of monetary contraction.[29]

Political and legal solutions

Bankruptcy laws differ to a small degree in different jurisdictions but in all developed economies unpaid debt results in legal penalties, property confiscation on behalf of the creditor and income sequestration. Although in Christian, Jewish and Muslim religious practice there have been traditions of debt relief or laws against usury, in no modern Western jurisdiction are any debts periodically forgiven or cancelled in recognition of the inherent impossibility of repaying debts in circumstances where the debt-based monetary cycle has inevitably resulted in too little new debt money being injected into the money supply to pay for the currently outstanding debts.

On a national level, if the issuance of government bonds becomes unsustainable, sovereign bankruptcy can occur - and has occurred many times in history.[30] Sovereign debt crises due to the inability of nations to pay interest on government bonds have occurred in third world countries as a result of high levels of unsustainable third world debt. The Latin American debt crisis is an example of sovereign debt levels becoming unsustainable, resulting in a currency crisis and economic collapse, as interest rates rise precipitously due to the inability of the national government to attract financiers to purchase new government bonds to inject new debt money into the ailing economy.

At such times, it is the responsibility of the IMF to come in as a kind of supranational central bank to mediate between the national government and international financiers. The role of the IMF as central bank to the world has similar responsibilities and risks inherent in central banking which are described below in relation to the role of the Federal Reserve. If the IMF repeatedly intervenes to save financiers from loss when sovereign bankruptcy occurs, this has a tendency to induce moral hazard and can encourage the financing of reckless government spending and borrowing.[31]

A single currency regime such as the Euro can mask national liquidity or solvency crises, by ensuring that a national currency is not quickly exchangeable for another, thereby restricting the ability of national governments to depreciate their currencies and allow the real value of government bond interest repayments to decline relative to other currencies.[32]

Policy Implications

Inherent problems with system

Template:Unencyclopedic

Some monetary reformers predict that there will be an increased incidence of financial crises in the developed world, as economic and population growth inevitably slows and as the success of laissez-faire economic political policies result in a reduction in redistributive tax policies which, combined with the debt-legacy of the welfare state, allows an intense and unsustainable concentration of wealth and political power in the financial services sector.

Some monetary reformers (in particular, Helen Hodgson Brown in her 2007 book, Web of Debt) argue that by necessity the promotion of the pyramid scheme inherent in private banking must be conducted by a tiny, secretive, ever-watchful minority because, unlike, for example, labor-intensive agriculture, which is self-sustaining, banking is not. If the majority of the populace were bankers nothing would be produced other than debt and inflation (and very detailed insolvency laws). Historically, usury has therefore often been criticized as inherently parasitic and non-self-sustaining.[33] [34]

Some monetary reformers argue that, given the parasitic nature of usury, it is vital that the indebted "victims" who must sink deeper into debt for the system to survive do so voluntarily and willingly and are not made aware of the consequences of purchasing consumables with debt money.[citation needed] For example, the terms "debt" and "usury" are now virtually extinct, with "debt" being replaced by its antonym, "credit"; the cycle in "debt creation" is referred to euphemistically as the "credit cycle"; a shrinking of "debt money" as a "credit crunch" or "credit squeeze"; and the unsustainable growth in debt and the associated growth of derivatives that live off debt during the upward phase of the debt money cycle as "innovation" in financial markets).[35]

Some monetary reformers see the prevalence of the debt-based monetary system ultimately resulting in a political crisis, between the vast majority of dispossessed who have had any accumulated net wealth periodically "stolen" during periods of "credit crunch" (and find themselves in permanent inter-generational debt, being forced to work involuntarily in the money-economy simply to house themselves and survive in the debt-based economy), and a tiny minority of inter-generational, super-rich elites connected close to the font of the money supply (being the private banking sector), who will strongly resist calls for redistributive economic policies by using all of their financial strength and lobbying power in an attempt to entrench and sustain their artificially privileged status. Given that the profession of this privileged minority is to produce nothing other than debt and inflation, and given that they face being rendered impotent if the power to print debt-free money was returned to government, it is to be expected that those associated and aligned with the private banking interests will use any means necessary to preserve their power, as they have no other skill other than the issuance and distribution of debt money.[citation needed]

Some monetary reformers believe that this privileged minority also always seek special government protection for the banking sector to protect it from financial insolvency when the debt-based financial system inevitably experiences periodic collapses due to the "bubble-like" nature of the growth in the money supply. This is referred to in some circles as "systemic risk" in the financial sector, as banks inevitably face periods of actual or near insolvency due to the mismatching of the high exponential growth in debt money and slower growth in the real economy.[36] During these periods there are sporadic collapses in the value of inflated assets, resulting in a sudden collapse in the demand for new debt money, and an associated contraction in the growth of the money supply.

Types of downturns

There are two main kinds of debt money contraction that can cause a collapse in the value of inflated assets.

A "credit squeeze" occurs where new debt money is difficult to access without a high credit rating. At such times marginal borrowers, or those who have borrowed at the end of any debt-induced asset bubble, get "squeezed" out of further borrowing and a contraction in the growth of new debt money occurs, triggering a slow down in the growth of inflated assets. Those assets can then be "harvested" by the private banks through widespread foreclosure or bankruptcy and re-sold to those with the money to buy the distressed assets.[37]

A "credit crunch" occurs where new debt money is not available at any interest rate - even for those with previously acceptable credit ratings - due to widespread insolvency in the banking system. At such times, it is the banking system itself that is insolvent and other financial institutions (including overseas financiers) become reluctant to lend to the domestic banking system, resulting in the domestic banking system being unable to issue loans even to credit worthy borrowers.

At any stage during the downward spiral of a "credit crunch", the central bank in a modern economy can try to save the system from complete economic meltdown by purchasing (either indefinitely or temporarily) the failed debts of the private banks. However, doing so results in cash being transferred to the private banks in exchange for bad debt, thereby violating the general economic precept to avoid moral hazard and effectively makes liquid the failed lending decisions of the private banks.[38] In the U.S. banking system this is called "opening the Fed discount window", where the Federal Reserve temporarily purchases the failed investment portfolios of distressed private banks in exchange for cash, thereby allowing them to escape liability for mistaken lending practices that have resulted in these portfolios losing value as the borrowers default on their loan payments and are made bankrupt. However, this rescue measure may only delay, rather than avoid, the realization of losses in the banking system, as the central bank cannot "force" new borrowing into the system to inject new debt money into the money supply. Somebody has to be a counterparty to borrow the debt money that is being offered. If all market participants realize a "bubble" has formed in asset markets, there will be few (or no) buyers for new debt money, as no one wants to borrow to buy inflated assets no one else will buy. Money markets can therefore remain illiquid even with intense central bank support.

Potential future impact

Some monetary economists describe the opening of the Fed discount window after the bursting of an asset bubble as "pushing on a piece of string", as this measure does not solve the key problem - creating new debt money to keep up the growth in the money supply.[39] [40]

To encourage fresh borrowing, central banks generally combine these rescue measures with an interest rate cut to encourage more new borrowing to allow the existing (failed) debts to be liquidated at or close to their original value. When Alan Greenspan repeatedly resorted to this tactic to revive illiquid money markets this became known in the market as the "Greenspan put", as the effect of these repeated reductions in interest rates was similar to a put option in the stockmarket, insuring banks' lending mistakes would be covered up by the Federal Reserve.[citation needed]

Inequities in system

Aside from the moral hazard issue, the key risk with this tactic (cutting interest rates to encourage new debt money creation) is that the central bank exposes the financial system to a currency crisis, as the growth in the money supply spirals out of control due to the need to save the banks from themselves.[41]

For these reasons, a collapse in the confidence of the solvency of the banking system is one of the most complex and difficult policy issues any government can face.

Many monetary reformers consider technical terms such as "systemic risk" and "financial contagion" simply as code words for a time when the pyramid scheme of debt inevitably faces periods of collapse due the mismatch between the volatile, unstable growth of debt money and the liquidity requirements of the slower-growing real economy. These economists consider any calls for government or central bank intervention at such times as an illegitimate policy of "saving" the system from being exposed as a financial fraud on the general (indebted) populace. It may also trigger a currency crisis because overseas financiers can no longer trust the integrity of the domestic monetary system to process bad debts appropriately by permitting financial institutions to go bankrupt and be acquired by other financial institutions. Instead the central bank signals its willingness to save the current players in the banking sector by printing money and inflating its way out of the crisis, thereby debasing the value of the domestic currency.

This is referred to by some monetary reformers and economists as "Socialism for the rich and Capitalism for the poor", as many indebted consumers will still lose their houses and be declared bankrupt regardless whether or not the central bank intervenes to save marginal lenders who have been made insolvent through their mis-timing of the credit cycle.[42] Moreover, ironically and paradoxally, future generations of innocent taxpayers will ultimately finance any bail out of reckless lenders, as the money used to fund any bail out will be funds diverted from the general revenue of the central government.[43]

Many central bankers still refer to Walter Bagehot's 1873 commentary on monetary crises, Lombard Street, in an attempt to gain insights into the way in which central bankers should revive illiquid banking systems. Walter Bagehot's exhortation to "lend freely" at times of monetary crisis to lift the system into liquidity and encourage new debt creation may work temporarily, but in circumstances where fundamental changes are occurring in the underlying economy (for example, where demographic changes - such as an aging population - result in too few new indebted consumers, or where extreme inequality results in the inability of impoverished workers to either qualify for, or be encouraged to, borrow) this will only result in a delay in (and perhaps exacerbation of) the collapse of any debt-created "bubble".

A prime example of the fatal effects of combining aging demographics with reckless bank lending can be found in the case of the Japanese asset price bubble.[44] Once the downward spiral of a financial implosion begins, it is almost impossible to stop if there are no new indebted "victims" to replace those that have either retired, or died.

Potential societal impact

Some more extreme monetary reformers and conspiracy theorists anticipate the declaration of martial law and the imposition of fascist-style restrictions on civil rights and freedom of speech by the political Establishment to physically protect it from anarchy or military coup when the bubble of debt completely bursts, either through a precipitous currency crisis or debt-created depression.[45] Some conspiracy theorists also anticipate the forced elimination - by any means necessary - of any actual or potential competing currencies or voluntary mediums of exchange that could threaten the viability or legitimacy of the monopoly currency, which could include the compulsory confiscation of all privately-owned gold (gold being the ultimate reserve currency, still used by central banks as a universally accepted medium of exchange for the settlement of international debts).[citation needed]

There have been many monetary crises throughout history and prior to widespread anarchy or revolution, in the late stages of volatile, heavily indebted laissez faire capitalism, there are a number of warning signs of impending chaos caused by a complete breakdown of trust in the debt-based monetary system. Just prior to the complete collapse of the pyramid scheme of public and private debt, the economic system tends to feed on itself, and in the past, where debt-created depressions or periods of hyperinflation have occurred in Europe, the U.S. and China, there has been a sustained spike in predatory economic behavior, with short-term high profit/high cash flow exploitative criminal activity becoming increasingly rampant (such as drug trafficking, arms trafficking, prostitution (including male prostitution and child prostitution), widespread legalized (taxable) gambling and violent extortion involving organized crime), as the heavily indebted central government and producers are forced to find more extreme (previously considered unethical) methods to extract any remaining wealth from increasingly desperate and impoverished consumers, who are either unwilling or unable to go into further debt without forceful coercion.[46] Long-term investment and sustained capital investment are almost impossible in this environment because the "measuring stick" of return on investment (the real value of money) is so uncertain at times of debt-induced credit crunch, depression or hyperinflation.

As potential new borrowers and international financiers are scared away from participating in the pyramid scheme of debt and borrowing further, the monetary system seizes up, starved of the fresh injections of debt money it needs for its survival, thereby precipitating economic anarchy, widespread lawlessness and insolvency of the monetary and banking system.

This has often occurred after a failed aggressive war, as international financiers realize the heavily indebted government they funded will not gain the resources it planned to seize as a result of the waging of aggressive war. When this pay-off does not materialize, the government is left with the debt of war without the ability to offset this government debt through the imposition of reparations on the defeated nation and the acquisition of the defeated state's resources. This occurred to Germany after the First World War and Japan after the Second World War.

Whatever the trigger, the key warning sign of any impending monetary crisis and economic anarchy is a sudden currency crisis. Early warning signs that the private banks themselves are aware of an impending breakdown in the solvency of the financial system would be: a spike in the prices for oil (which is an internationally accepted, inherently limited, store of value, and therefore can act as a modern form of hard currency, oil sometimes being referred to as "black gold"), gold and other inherently limited natural resources essential for non-discretionary industrial production; a spike in the futures contracts for "non-perishable" agricultural commodities such as sugar, coffee, wheat, soybeans and rice, as investors realize the debt-based monetary system has squeezed supplies of arable land; a sudden flight of money to Treasury bills; and/or a sudden spike in the interest rate differential between short-term Treasury bills and asset-backed corporate paper (or a sudden spike in the LIBOR rate in London).[47]

Shortly thereafter, some monetary reformers predict that there would be desperate, but ultimately futile central bank intervention, a currency crisis, a panic run on a number of marginal, insolvent banks and hedge funds as desperate wealthy investors try to get cash out before the pyramid scheme collapses to invest in inherently limited, non-perishable, in-demand commodities such as oil and gold (and undeveloped agricultural and industrial land in areas of the world with strong economic growth), followed by a recession or depression in the broader heavily indebted economy as the money supply contracts.[48]

Potential solutions

Critics assert that, although time is the only real remedy for monetary crises, as it allows re-inflation of the markets through the gradual injection of new debt money into the system, time is something financiers and investors are least likely to want to give up when faced with not getting their money out of the imploding investment bubble. In extreme cases banks could set up "independent" corporate investment vehicles to buy the assets associated with the bad debt, thereby allowing borrowers to liquidate their investments and allow time for the markets to re-inflate, however the holding costs involved in this measure would be extremely high and would not guarantee that the losses could be averted if no new gullible investors could be found to offload these distressed assets. More fundamentally, these short-term "parachutes" used after bubbles burst do not save ordinary borrowers from foreclosure and bankruptcy, nor do they address the pernicious long-term dysfunctional aspects of fractional reserve banking described above. These problems are temporarily averted, only to be dealt with yet again by the next generation of indebted governments and peoples.

Given these repeated financial crises arising from the debt-based monetary system, many monetary reformers predict that there will inevitably be a return to the gold standard, a fundamental change in the way money is produced and distributed (with a return to the prevalence of government-issued debt-free fiat currency and/or free banking) - or a complete financial "meltdown" as fewer young people in developed economies can be found who are willing to go into debt in sufficient magnitude to pay off the debts that have already been accumulated. As extreme inequality increases, foreclosures mount and financial crises repeatedly erupt, these monetary reformers believe a political crisis will eventually result in calls for fundamental monetary reform.

These on-going, worsening, debt-created crises in the economy and society (and the unsustainable damage to the environment caused by debt-created overconsumption) could turn monetary and economic policies either to the extreme left or to the extreme right, as there are a number of competing solutions to the debt-based monetary "problem".

Proposals by economic reformers

Libertarians

Libertarians plan a return to genuine free markets, small government and sound money backed by a gold standard or silver standard, as originally contemplated by the Founding Fathers in the U.S. Constitution. Most Libertarians would eliminate all income taxes and encourage private charity to provide social services. Some Libertarians would also support experimentation with free banking or full-reserve banking, recognizing that when fractional reserve banking is combined with the gold standard a deflationary bias (and the systematic transfer of real wealth to the banking system) is normally inevitable. Those Libertarians who support full reserve banking would strongly support more flexible and forgiving bankruptcy laws in a fractional reserve banking environment, recognizing that no stigma should be attached to bankruptcy given the anti-Libertarian "unjust acquisition" of real wealth implicit in fractional reserve banking.

Regarding the current accumulation of government bonds and private debt, there is an arguable case that the creation of the Federal Reserve under the Federal Reserve Act of 1913 was unconstitutional and some Libertarians consider that at least some of this accumulated debt should be cancelled or forgiven prior to a return to the gold standard in recognition of its fundamental illegitimacy. Arguably this would be supported by the "just acquisition" jurisprudence of Libertarian legal philosopher Robert Nozick.

Leaving aside the legality of the Federal Reserve Act, it is commonly accepted by market-oriented economists that any policy where the central bank repeatedly provides bail outs to failed banks and reduces interest rates to encourage new (speculative) borrowing will risk chronic "moral hazard" and is a key factor in emboldening reckless lenders to inflate assets with excessive debt, thereby creating an environment conducive to the creation of financial bubbles and speculative excess in financial markets.[49]

Many Libertarians derisively refer to bail outs of the private banking system by the Federal Reserve and the associated reductions in interest rates to encourage more borrowing as "Socialism in reverse". For many Libertarians this simply encourages more speculative debt creation by the private banking system, and brings the economic system ever closer to monetary tyranny.

Libertarians would go further than regulating or cautioning the Federal Reserve to avoid repeated bail outs of failed banks - they support repeal of the Federal Reserve Act of 1913 and the elimination of the Federal Reserve itself, thereby removing this artificial insurance policy for the private banks, ensuring that they face the full consequences of poor lending decisions with the real prospect of being wiped out by bankruptcy. If the Federal Reserve Act was repealed, depositors would also have to be on guard to ensure their bank was not lending recklessly, thereby ensuring more conservative lending practices. This would however present the real prospect of old-fashioned "runs" on the banking system after any period of speculative excess.

Authors and analysts

Michael Rowbotham also seeks the cancellation of "unjust" debts (such as third world debt), but would also support the re-introduction of strongly redistributive tax policies involving higher financial transaction taxes (such as a Tobin tax), land taxes and inheritance taxes, and, crucially and most importantly, a social security safety net involving a guaranteed minimum debt-free income (sourced from government-issued debt-free money) for all citizens in the debt-based economy. Under this proposal, every adult citizen would be given a livable debt-free income (for example, $30,000 per annum, adjusted for inflation), transferred electronically into their bank account, simply by virtue of their citizenship. They could then use this debt-free money to pay off their mortgages or to live, debt-free, without being compelled to work as a "wage slave" in the market economy if they chose not to. The government would finance these payments simply by ordering the private banks to accept their electronic instructions as legal tender. It would therefore not result in the expansion of government debt.

Instead of money being created "indirectly" and "furtively" at the point of loan creation by the private banking system, it would be created directly and openly by the democratically elected government and issued to its citizenry by way of instruction to the private banking system.

Michael Rowbotham argues in his book, The Grip of Death, that this would not be inflationary (or at least would not be as inflationary or as dysfunctional as the present system). This would also reduce overconsumption and the associated environmental damage associated with debt-based consumerism. It would also give individuals the free time to engage once again in non-marketable religious, artistic and recreational activities if they chose to do so.[50]

Ellen Hodgson Brown, in her 2007 book, Web of Debt, also supports the issuance of debt-free fiat currency by the central government, in a manner similar to that proposed by Michael Rowbotham.[51]

Ex-U.S. Treasury Department analyst Richard C. Cook also supports the issuance of debt-free money and zero-interest credit by the central government and has provided a detailed blueprint of monetary reform recommendations to transition to a debt-free money supply.[52]

It is to be expected that these proposals might be opposed by private bank officials; reformers say this is because the proposals would reduce the banks' control over the money supply, dissipating this key decision-making power away from its current base. It would also be likely to reduce economic growth, dramatically increase the cost of labor and, potentially, simply increase asset price inflation as individuals used the additional income simply to bid up the cost of housing. However, this proposal would undoubtedly address the problem of inequality inherent in a debt-based monetary system and reduce the devastating impact of personal bankruptcy and allow individual citizens to quickly recover from financial hardship. It would also ensure that this social security measure (and government spending in general) would not have to be paid for by future generations from future streams of income tax.

Many monetary reformers and critics of debt-based monetary systems assert these systems will erode the economic rights and stability of much of society, due to private banks' inherently speculative fractional reserve banking activities, in which they have recourse to central banks to provide bail outs as lenders of last resort.[53] [54]

Some of the reasons these critics cite include laissez-faire economic policies, which they say increase the marketization and commodification of human activity, and strictly enforced bankruptcy laws, which permit the periodic transfer of assets from failed bankrupt investors to the private banks and their associates. They also assert that debt-based systems cause a nation's agricultural ability to decline, by creating arbitrarily over-extended debt financing for housing, which leads to urban sprawl which encroaches on arable land.

See also

References

  1. ^ Cox, Jim (1997). "The Gold Standard". The Concise Guide to Economics (2nd edition ed.). Savannah-Pikeville Press. ISBN 1-57087-292-9. Retrieved 2007-12-15. {{cite book}}: |edition= has extra text (help); External link in |chapterurl= (help); Unknown parameter |chapterurl= ignored (|chapter-url= suggested) (help); Unknown parameter |origdate= ignored (|orig-date= suggested) (help)
  2. ^ Rowbotham, Michael (1998). The Grip of Death: A Study of Modern Money, Debt Slavery and Destructive Economics. Jon Carpenter Publishing. ISBN 9781897766408.
  3. ^ Brown, Ellen H. (2007). Web of Debt. Baton Rouge, Louisiana: Third Millennium Press. p. 5. ISBN 0979560802. Retrieved 2007-12-15.
  4. ^ Brown, Ellen H. (2007). Web of Debt. Baton Rouge, Louisiana: Third Millennium Press. ISBN 0979560802. Retrieved 2007-12-15.
  5. ^ Rowbotham, Michael (1998). The Grip of Death: A Study of Modern Money, Debt Slavery and Destructive Economics. Jon Carpenter Publishing. ISBN 9781897766408.
  6. ^ Honest Money
  7. ^ Why the Money Supply Made News
  8. ^ Paper Ron Paul, Paper Money and Tyranny, Speech in U.S. House of Representative, September 5, 2003
  9. ^ Taking Money Back, by Murray Rothbard
  10. ^ Rowbotham, Michael (1998). The Grip of Death: A Study of Modern Money, Debt Slavery and Destructive Economics. Jon Carpenter Publishing. ISBN 9781897766408.
  11. ^ Ponzi Nation
  12. ^ Ponzi Nation
  13. ^ Lessons from the Sub-prime Meltdown
  14. ^ Brown, Ellen H. (2007). Web of Debt. Baton Rouge, Louisiana: Third Millennium Press. ISBN 0979560802. Retrieved 2007-12-15.
  15. ^ Urban Poverty Syndrome
  16. ^ Urban Poverty Syndrome
  17. ^ The Economist, "Cheap No More", December 6, 2007
  18. ^ Trocki, Carl. Opium, Empire and the Global Political Economy, Cornell University Press, Ithaca, 1990
  19. ^ U.S. Dollar will Crash, by Mike Whitney
  20. ^ Rowbotham, Michael (1998). The Grip of Death: A Study of Modern Money, Debt Slavery and Destructive Economics. Jon Carpenter Publishing. ISBN 9781897766408.
  21. ^ Ponzi Nation
  22. ^ Speeches David Walker, U.S. Comptroller General, Campaign Warns of Fiscal Doom', St. Paul Pioneer Press, Oct. 30, 2006
  23. ^ Rowbotham, Michael (1998). The Grip of Death: A Study of Modern Money, Debt Slavery and Destructive Economics. Jon Carpenter Publishing. ISBN 9781897766408.
  24. ^ Ponzi Nation
  25. ^ Taking Money Back, by Murray Rothbard
  26. ^ Rowbotham, Michael (1998). The Grip of Death: A Study of Modern Money, Debt Slavery and Destructive Economics. Jon Carpenter Publishing. ISBN 9781897766408.
  27. ^ Ponzi Nation
  28. ^ Rowbotham, Michael (1998). The Grip of Death: A Study of Modern Money, Debt Slavery and Destructive Economics. Jon Carpenter Publishing. ISBN 9781897766408.
  29. ^ Dollar Devaluation is Annihilating the Middle Class!
  30. ^ Sovereign Bankruptcy
  31. ^ IMF Reform and International Lender of Last Resort, RGE Monitor
  32. ^ The Mogambo Theory of Currency Relativity
  33. ^ Money As Debt
  34. ^ Brown, Ellen H. (2007). Web of Debt. Baton Rouge, Louisiana: Third Millennium Press. ISBN 0979560802. Retrieved 2007-12-15.
  35. ^ Innovating Our Way to Financial Crisis, by Paul Krugman
  36. ^ Systemic Risk and the International Lender of Last Resort, by Federic S. Mishkin
  37. ^ Market Fundamentalism, by Richard C. Cook
  38. ^ Privitizing Profits and Socializing Losses, by Nouriel Roubini
  39. ^ Don't Discount the Fed Discount Window
  40. ^ Monetary Policy in Deflation: The Liquidity Trap in History and Practice
  41. ^ Without a Practical Solution
  42. ^ Privatizing Profits and Socializing Losses, by Nouriel Roubini
  43. ^ A run on the bank
  44. ^ The Japanese and American Bubbles: Been There, Done Some of That
  45. ^ New security legislation threats freedoms
  46. ^ Culture and Inflation in Weimar Germany, by Bernd Widding
  47. ^ Pleas for rate cut as interbank loans dive
  48. ^ Hedge Funds, Financial Intermediation and Systemic Risk
  49. ^ Fed should not save the banks
  50. ^ Rowbotham, Michael (1998). The Grip of Death: A Study of Modern Money, Debt Slavery and Destructive Economics. Jon Carpenter Publishing. ISBN 9781897766408.
  51. ^ Brown, Ellen H. (2007). Web of Debt. Baton Rouge, Louisiana: Third Millennium Press. ISBN 0979560802. Retrieved 2007-12-15.
  52. ^ Market Fundamentalism, by Richard C. Cook
  53. ^ Brown, Ellen H. (2007). Web of Debt. Baton Rouge, Louisiana: Third Millennium Press. ISBN 0979560802. Retrieved 2007-12-15.
  54. ^ The Forgotten War

External links