Presidential election in Ukraine 2019
The 2019 presidential election in Ukraine took place in two rounds on March 31, 2019 and April 21, 2019. In the second ballot, incumbent Petro Poroshenko and the actor Volodymyr Selenskyj faced each other in the runoff election . Zelenskyi clearly won the election with 73.22% of the vote. The turnout in the second ballot was 61.37%.
course
Called to take part in the presidential election in Ukraine were 34,544,993 voters. The announcement of the election process and thus the beginning of the election campaign was on December 30, 2018 by the Central Election Commission of Ukraine . The lawyer and former Minister of Ecology and Natural Resources of Ukraine Ihor Shevchenko registered on December 31, 2018.
The first round of voting took place on March 31st. Their official result had to be reported by April 10, the result was published on April 3, 2019. If none of the candidates manage to achieve an absolute majority in the first ballot, a run-off election was planned for April 21, 2019. On April 23, 2019, the final results of the second round of voting were announced, the deadline was May 4. The oath of office of the newly elected president was taken on May 20, 2019 at a meeting of the Verkhovna Rada and from that point on he was able to exercise his powers, the deadline was June 3.
According to the Central Election Commission, the presidential election will cost 2.354 billion UAH , which corresponds to around 75 million euros.
prehistory
After the early 2014 presidential election , which followed the anti-government protests in Ukraine with the dismissal of President Viktor Yanukovych , the 2019 election took place at the end of incumbent President Petro Poroshenko's term of office .
Due to the Russian annexation of Crimea and the rule of pro-Russian rebels in parts of the Donbas in eastern Ukraine , around 12 percent of Ukrainian voters have not been able to take part in the election since 2014.
Candidates
A record number of candidates was expected in the 2019 presidential election. The candidates were able to register between December 31, 2018 and February 3, 2019. On February 9, 2019, the final list of presidential candidates was announced. The electoral commission refused to register more than 40 applicants for candidacy whose documents did not comply with the law or whose nomination process was incorrect.
The following presidential candidates - sorted alphabetically - were ultimately up for election:
- Hennadij Balaschow
- Roman Bessmertnyj
- Olha Bohomolez
- Inna Bohoslowska
- Yuri Boiko
- Viktor Bondar
- Oleksandr Danylyuk
- Yuri Derevyanko
- Mykola Haber
- Anatoly Hryzenko
- Serhiy Kaplin
- Yuri Karmasin
- Arkady Kornatskyj
- Ruslan Koschulynskyi
- Viktor Kryvenko
- Vitaly Kuprij
- Illja Kywa
- Oleh Lyashko
- Julia Lytwynenko
- Oleksandr Moros
- Valentyn Nalyvaychenko
- Roman Nassirow
- Serhiy Nossenko
- Andrij Nowak
- Volodymyr Petrov
- Petro Poroshenko
- Ruslan Ryhovanov
- Vitaly Skozyk
- Ihor Shevchenko
- Oleksandr Shevchenko
- Vasyl Shuravlyov
- Volodymyr Selenskyj
- Ihor Smeschko
- Oleksandr Solovyov
- Serhiy Taruta
- Yulia Tymoshenko
- Yuri Tymoshenko
- Oleksandr Vashchenko
- Oleksandr Wilkul
First ballot
Survey
The last polls before the election predicted a victory in the first round of the actor Volodymyr Zelenskyj with 25-27%. Behind this, the opinion polls saw a relatively close fight for second place and thus for a place in the runoff election between the previous President Petro Poroshenko and Julija Tymoshenko ; the latter was seen in the final phase of the election campaign as an outsider in the struggle for the office of head of state.
Behind them are the party leader of the bourgeois position, Anatolij Hryzenko and Jurij Boiko from the opposition bloc , each with 8 to 11 percent, and the chairman of the Radical Party, Oleh Lyaschko, with 5-6 percent.
Institute | date | Yulia Tymoshenko | Volodymyr Selenskyj | Anatoly Hryzenko | Yuri Boiko | Petro Poroshenko | Oleh Lyashko | Svyatoslav Vakarchuk | Yevheny Murayev | Andrij Sadowyj | Vadym Rabinovych | Oleksandr Shevchenko | Oleksandr Wilkul | Others |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rating | March 27, 2019 | 17.2% | 26.6% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 17.2% | 5.4% | - | - | - | - | - | 4.0% | - |
Razumkov | March 26, 2019 | 14.8% | 24.8% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 22.1% | 6.0% | - | - | - | - | - | 4.6% | - |
Democratic initiative | March 26, 2019 | 12.8% | 27.6% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 18.2% | 5.2% | - | - | - | - | - | 4.0% | - |
Institute for Social Studies | February 2019 | 16.2% | 25.1% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 16.6% | 7.7% | - | - | 5.6% | - | - | - | - |
Sociological group "РЕЙТИНГ" | January 2019 | 15.1% | 17.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 5.1% | - | 2.7% | 1.9% | - | 1.8% | 1.4% | 28.3% |
Institute for Social Studies | December 2018 | 20% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | - | 3.9% | - | 6.9% |
Razumkov & Rating | November 2018 | 21% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 6.0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 33.0% |
Mychajlo Drahomanow Sociological Center | November 2018 | 15.1% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 11.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | - | 28.9% |
Kaz, Razumkov & Rating | November 2018 | 20.7% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | - | 10.9% |
Forecasts
According to forecasts on election day of the first round of elections on March 31, a victory for the candidate Volodymyr Zelenskyi, followed by Petro Poroshenko. Yulia Tymoshenko is beaten in third place, followed by Jurij Boiko from the opposition bloc and Anatolij Hryzenko. Since the election winner could not win an absolute majority, there was a second ballot between Zelensky and Poroshenko on April 21, 2019.
Institute / client | Volodymyr Selenskyj | Petro Poroshenko | Yulia Tymoshenko | Yuri Boiko | Anatoly Hryzenko |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Національний екзит-пол | 30.4% | 17.8% | 14.2% | 9.8% | 7.1% |
Екзит-пол SOCIS | 29.25% | 19.19% | 13.75% | 9.24% | 7.91% |
Екзит-пол 112 + NewsOne | 30.7% | 18.6% | 13.9% | 10.3% | 7.3% |
Екзит-пол ТСН | 30.1% | 18.5% | 14.0% | 9.1% | 7.6% |
choice
voter turnout
The turnout in the first ballot was 63.52%.
Result
The Central Electoral Commission of Ukraine published the figures in the following table on April 3, 2019 after 100% of the votes were counted.
candidate | Result | |
---|---|---|
Percentage ownership % | be right | |
Volodymyr Selenskyj | 30.24 | 5,713,825 |
Petro Poroshenko | 15.95 | 3,014,523 |
Yulia Tymoshenko | 13.40 | 2,532,230 |
Yuri Boiko | 11.67 | 2,205,974 |
Anatoly Hryzenko | 6.91 | 1,306,411 |
Ihor Smeschko | 6.04 | 1,141,302 |
Oleh Lyashko | 5.48 | 1,035,944 |
Oleksandr Wilkul | 4.15 | 784.246 |
Ruslan Koschulynskyi | 1.62 | 307.240 |
Yuri Tymoshenko | 0.62 | 117,693 |
Others | 2.80 | 734.473 |
Invalid | 1.18 | 222,948 |
Second ballot
The second ballot was held on April 21, 2019, with 29,989 polling stations open between 7 a.m. and 7 p.m. CEST for around 30 million voters in 200 constituencies. The election campaign ended two days before with a live TV broadcast of a speech duel between the presidential candidates in the Kiev Olympic Stadium, which was designed for 70,000 visitors . According to police, more than 20,000 people watched the event on site, with more than 10,000 security guards present on the stadium grounds, according to official information. In an exchange of blows, Zelenskyi presented himself as the result of Poroshenko's mistakes. The incumbent, in turn, accused the challenger of political inexperience, weakness in front of Putin and dependence on Ihor Kolomoysky . While Poroshenko tried to portray himself as the true guarantor of Ukrainian statehood, Zelenskyi presented himself as the representative of a new, more open country that is not ruled by corrupt oligarchs.
Survey
The opinion polls assumed a clear victory for Volodymyr Selenskyj. The last poll before election Sunday on April 21 was carried out by the polling institute “Rating”, whose data is based on the time window between April 12 and 16. It was released on April 18th. The respondents responded to the question “Who will you vote for in the second round of the presidential elections?” As follows: 52% named Zelenskyj, 19% Poroshenko, 19% had not yet made a decision and 10% did not intend to vote. Of those who want to vote in the runoff election, 58% intend to vote for Zelenskyi, 22% for Poroshenko and 20% have been undecided so far.
Before the first ballot
Institute | date | Volodymyr Selenskyj | Petro Poroshenko |
---|---|---|---|
Rating | December 27, 2018 | 29% | 14% |
BDM | January 14, 2019 | 30% | 13% |
Rating | January 24, 2019 | 34% | 20% |
KIIS | February 10, 2019 | 40% | 18% |
Razumkov | February 14, 2019 | 32% | 19% |
Sociopolis | 15th February 2019 | 42% | 18% |
PPI | February 18, 2019 | 70% | 30% |
SORA, SM, UICI | March 31, 2019 | 49.4% | 19.8% |
After the first ballot
Institute | date | Volodymyr Selenskyj | Petro Poroshenko |
---|---|---|---|
Rating | April 10, 2019 | 51% | 21% |
Edison Research | April 13, 2019 | 55.1% | 30.9% |
KIIS | April 16, 2019 | 72.2% | 25.4% |
Rating | April 18, 2019 | 52% | 19% |
elections
voter turnout
In the second ballot, the turnout was 61.37 percent.
Result
The Central Electoral Commission of Ukraine published the following figures on April 23, 2019 after all votes were counted. According to this, Zelenskyi won a majority in all regions of Ukraine , except for Lviv Oblast , where Poroshenko was victorious.
candidate | Result | |
---|---|---|
Percentage ownership % | be right | |
Volodymyr Selenskyj | 73.22 | 13,541,528 |
Petro Poroshenko | 24.45 | 4,522,320 |
Invalid | 2.31 | 427.989 |
On May 20, 2019, the inauguration of Volodymyr Zelenskyi as Ukrainian President took place in Kiev .
Web links
- Election results by regions of Ukraine (Ukrainian)
Individual evidence
- ↑ The Central Election Commission officially announced Zelensky's victory in the presidential elections in Ukraine. hromadske.ua/, accessed April 30, 2019 (Ukrainian).
- ↑ interfax.com.ua inderfax of February 15, 2019, accessed on March 31, 2019.
- ↑ Election campaign started in Ukraine: The first candidate was named in obozrevatel on December 31, 2018; Retrieved January 1, 2019 (Ukrainian).
- ↑ 2019 presidential election on channel 24 , October 22; Retrieved November 17, 2018 (Ukrainian).
- ↑ Presidential elections will cost more than 2.3 billion UAH on unian.ua on January 3, 2019; Retrieved January 6, 2019 (Ukrainian).
- ↑ Paul D'Anieri: Gerrymandering Ukraine? Electoral Consequences of Occupation . In: East European Politics and Societies . tape 33 , no. 1 , August 9, 2018, ISSN 0888-3254 , p. 89-108 , doi : 10.1177 / 0888325418791020 .
- ↑ CVU predicts record number of presidential candidates in pravda.com on June 27, 2018; Retrieved November 19, 2018 (Ukrainian).
- ↑ a b Survey Ukraine: Tymoshenko is ahead of Poroshenko , in: Deutsche Wirtschaftsnachrichten from November 16, 2018; accessed on November 16, 2018.
- ↑ Rating , on ratinggroup.ua
- ↑ Рівень довіри до суспільних інститутів та електоральні орієнтації громадян України , on razumkov.org.ua
- ↑ За тиждень до виборів Президента: рейтинги кандидатів, мотивації вибору, очікування громадя.org.uaн
- ^ Monitoring of the electoral moods of Ukrainians. February, 2019 ratinggroup.ua of March 4, 2019, accessed on March 12, 2019 (English).
- ↑ Соціологічна група "РЕЙТИНГ" , accessed on February 18, 2019 (Ukrainian).
- ↑ Тимошенко, Зеленський і Гриценко: названі лідери президентських перегонів obozrevatel.com, accessed January 5, 2019 (Ukrainian).
- ↑ 85% украинцев готовы принять участие в президентских выборах - опрос. In: unian.net. April 9, 2014, accessed November 23, 2018 (Russian).
- ↑ Summary of Large October-November 2018 Political Poll in Ukraine. In: foreignpolicyblogs.com. December 4, 2018, accessed January 3, 2019 .
- ↑ kiis.com.ua primary source (Ukrainian).
- ↑ Comedian Selensky goes into a duel with incumbent Poroshenko , in welt.de from March 31, 2019; accessed on March 31, 2019
- ↑ Results of the presidential elections in Ukraine 2019. Online voting in Ukraine-Pravda on March 31, 2019; accessed on March 31, 2019 (Ukrainian).
- ↑ Voter turnout on the official website of the Central Electoral Commission of Ukraine on April 1, 2019; Retrieved April 1, 2019 (Ukrainian).
- ↑ a b Results of the presidential elections in Ukraine 2019 on the website of the Central Electoral Commission of Ukraine on March 31, 2019; Retrieved April 2, 2019 (Ukrainian).
- ↑ Elections of the President of Ukraine, Main Electoral Commission , cvk.gov.ua, accessed on April 21, 2019
- ↑ dw.com
- ↑ spiegel.de
- ↑ tt.com
- ↑ nzz.ch
- ↑ kyivpost.com
- ↑ voanews.com
- ↑ derstandard.de
- ↑ faz.net
- ↑ krone.at
- ↑ dw.com
- ↑ Monitoring of the electoral moods of Ukrainians (April 12-16, 2019) , ratinggroup.ua of April 18, 2019, accessed on April 19, 2019.
- ↑ Общественно-политические взгляды населения Украины: опрос IRI , on ratinggroup.ua
- ^ Blue Dawn Monitoring. Общественно-политические настроения населения Украины. Январь 2019 , on slideshare.net
- ↑ Мониторинг электоральных настроений украинцев: январь 2019 , on ratinggroup.ua.
- ↑ Прес-релізи та звіти - Суспільно-політичні настрої Населення України за січень-лisютий 2019 рок.ua on kiis.com.ua.
- ↑ Рівень довіри до суспільних інститутів та електоральні орієнтації громадян України , on razumkov.org.ua
- ↑ Суспільно-політична та електоральна ситуація в Україні в середині лютого 2019 року , on sociopolis.ua.uk
- ↑ Визначено четвірку лідерів президентських перегонів. , on ppi.org
- ↑ Другий тур: стартові позиції кандидатів (частина 1: регіональний розподіл) , on smc.org.ua
- ↑ Моніторинг електоральних настроїв українців (5–10 квітня 2019) , on ratinggroup.ua
- ↑ Больше “Сегодня” и Edison Research будут проводить ежедневные исследования перед вторым туром выборов , on segodnya.ua
- ↑ voanews.com
- ↑ Monitoring of the electoral moods of Ukrainians (April 12-16, 2019) , on ratinggroup.ua
- ↑ Results of the presidential elections in Ukraine 2019 (second ballot) on the website of the Central Electoral Commission of Ukraine on April 23, 2019; accessed on April 23, 2019 (Ukrainian)
- ↑ Voter support for the presidential candidate by region on the website of the Central Electoral Commission of Ukraine on April 21, 2019; accessed on April 21, 2019 (Ukrainian)
- ↑ Volodymyr Selenskyj-New Ukrainian President dissolves parliament on spiegel.de ; accessed on May 20, 2019