Election to the National Assembly for Wales 2016

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2011Election to the
National Assembly 2016
2021
(Party list votes in%)
 %
40
30th
20th
10
0
31.5
20.8
18.8
13.0
6.5
4.4
3.0
2.0
Otherwise.
Gains and losses
compared to 2011
 % p
 10
   8th
   6th
   4th
   2
   0
  -2
  -4
  -6
-5.4
+2.9
-3.7
+8.4
-1.5
+4.4
-0.4
-4.7
Otherwise.
Distribution of seats
29
12
1
11
7th
29 12 11 7th 
A total of 60 seats

On May 5, 2016 was election to the National Assembly for Wales ( National Assembly for Wales instead). It was the sixth election of a Welsh regional parliament since - after a Welsh referendum in 1997 - the Government of Wales Act 1998 created a Welsh National Assembly . On the same day the general election in Scotland and the election of the Northern Ireland Assembly as well as local elections in England (including the election of the Mayor of London ) took place.
The Labor Party lost votes, but remained the strongest party. UKIP was able to gain significant votes, while the Conservatives lost votes. The Welsh regional party Plaid Cymru gained more votes, overtook the Conservatives and became the second largest party.

As a result of the election, there was a coalition government between the Labor Party and the Liberal Democrats (“ Lab-Lib Pact ”).

prehistory

The last election to the Welsh Parliament took place in 2011 and was won by the Labor Party , traditionally strong in Wales . The second strongest party were the Conservatives and the Welsh regional party Plaid Cymru followed in third place . As First Minister (Wales) ( First Minister of Wales ) was Carwyn Jones , who had held the office since 2009, confirmed. In the election, Labor won 30 out of 60 seats, narrowly missing an absolute majority. The Labor government under Jones was thus dependent on outside parliamentary support for legislative proposals. Throughout the legislature, the Welsh government under Jones stood in contrast to the British government in London under Prime Minister Cameron . Above all, the Jones administration opposed the austerity policy pursued from London and accused London of hitting the economically largely structurally weak Wales particularly hard with unsocial austerity measures. The London government in turn accused the government of Wales of economic policy incompetence.

Election date

The Welsh National Assembly's legislative term was originally 4 years. With the Fixed-Term Parliaments Act of 2011, the election date for the British House of Commons was set on the first Thursday in May every five years. In order to avoid a time collision with this election date, the election date for the Welsh National Assembly has been postponed by one year from 2015. The Wales Act 2014 set the legislative period to 5 years for the future. There were also discussions about the timing of the referendum on the continued membership of the United Kingdom in the European Union , which Prime Minister Cameron had set for 23 June 2016. The politicians in Wales would have preferred a longer time interval between the two election events.

Electoral system

Majorities in the 40 constituencies (the color scheme corresponds to that of the table)
20 MPs were chosen via regional party lists in 5 electoral regions

The mixed-member proportional system was used as the electoral system , a mixed process that includes elements of majority voting as well as proportional representation . For this purpose, Wales was divided into 40 constituencies, of which between seven and nine were combined into a total of five electoral regions and the boundaries of which were based on the constituencies for the European elections .

The voters had two votes. With they could opt for a candidate in their constituency, enough to win after the first-past-the-post system , the relative majority . The other vote was for the electoral region, with party lists to choose from. For conversion into seats mandate was D'Hondt method was used, more different in the various lists divisors gave, namely the number of won in the constituencies each constituency seats plus one. As a result, with the same number of votes, parties that had won fewer constituencies were compensated for their mandates.

Result

Election to the National Assembly for Wales 2016
Political party Personalized proportional representation Overall
mandates
Direct constituency mandates Region (list mandates)
Constituency
votes
In % +/- Constituency
mandates
+/- List
votes
In % +/- List
mandates
+/- Overall
mandates
+/- In %
Labor 353,866 34.7%   7.6% 27   1 319.196 31.5%   5.4% 2 0 29   1 48.3%
Plaid Cymru 209.376 20.5%   1.3% 6th   1 211,548 20.8%   3.0% 6th 0 12   1 20.0%
Conservatives 215,597 21.1%   3.9% 6th 0 190.846 18.8%   3.7% 5   3 11   3 18.3%
UKIP 127.038 12.5%   12.5% 0 0 132,138 13.0%   8.5% 7th   7 7th   7 11.7%
Liberal Democrats 78.165 7.7%   2.9% 1 0 65.504 6.5%   1.6% 0   4 1   4 1.7%
Abolish the Welsh Assembly Party - - - - - 44,286 4.4%   4.4% 0 0 0 0 0.0%
  Greens 25.202 2.5%   2.3% 0 0 30.211 3.0%   0.5% 0 0 0 0 0.0%
Other 3,107 0.3%   0.3% 0 0 19,437 1.9%   2.3% 0 0 0 0 0.0%
Independent 7,032 0.7%   0.6% 0 0 1,577 0.1% ± 0.0% 0 0 0 0 0.0%
total 1,019,383 100.0% 40 1,014,743 100.0% 20th 60 100.0%
Number of eligible voters voter turnout
In % +/-
2,248,050 45.3%   3.1%

Summary of the election results

Direct constituency mandates
Labor
  
34.7%
Conservative
  
21.1%
Plaid Cymru
  
20.5%
UKIP
  
12.5%
Lib. Dem.
  
7.7%
Greens
  
2.5%
Otherwise.
  
1.0%
Region (list mandates)
Labor
  
31.5%
Plaid Cymru
  
20.8%
Conservative
  
18.8%
UKIP
  
13.0%
Lib. Dem.
  
6.5%
Abolish
  
4.4%
Greens
  
3.0%
Otherwise.
  
2.0%
Parliament seats
Labor
  
48.3%
Plaid Cymru
  
20.0%
Conservative
  
18.3%
UKIP
  
11.7%
Lib. Dem.
  
1.7%

Summary according to direct mandates (constituency) and list mandates (region)

Mid and West Wales

Election to the National Assembly for Wales 2016: Mid and West Wales
Constituency Elected MPs Political party
Brecon and Radnorshire Kirsty Williams Liberal Democrats held
Carmarthen East and Dinefwr Adam Price Plaid Cymru held
Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire Angela Burns Conservative held
Ceredigion Elin Jones Plaid Cymru held
Dwyfor Meirionnydd Dafydd Elis-Thomas Plaid Cymru held
Llanelli Lee Waters Labor held
Montgomeryshire Russell George Conservative held
Preseli Pembrokeshire Paul Davies Conservative held
Election to the National Assembly for Wales 2016: Mid and West Wales
Political party Elected candidates Seats ± be right % ±
Plaid Cymru Simon Thomas 1 ± 0 56,754 26.3% −0.5%
Conservative 0 ± 0 44,461 20.6% −4.6%
Labor Joyce Watson
Eluned Morgan
2 ± 0 41,975 19.4% −3.1%
UKIP Neil Hamilton 1 +1 25,042 11.6% + 7.2%
Liberal Democrats 0 −1 23,554 10.9% −1.9%

North Wales

National Assembly Election for Wales 2016: North Wales
Constituency Elected MPs Political party
Aberconwy Janet Finch-Saunders Conservative held
Alyn and Deeside Carl Sargeant Labor held
Arfon Siân Gwenllian Plaid Cymru held
Clwyd South Ken skates Labor held
Clwyd West Darren Millar Conservative held
Delyn Hannah Blythyn Labor held
Vale of Clwyd Ann Jones Labor held
Wrexham Lesley Griffiths Labor held
Ynys Môn Rhun ap Iorwerth Plaid Cymru held
National Assembly Election for Wales 2016: North Wales
Political party Elected candidates Seats ± be right % ±
Labor 0 ± 0 57,528 28.1% −4.0%
Plaid Cymru Llyr Huws Gruffydd 1 ± 0 47,701 23.3% +1.9%
Conservative Mark Isherwood 1 −1 45,468 22.2% −4.6%
UKIP Nathan Gill
Michelle Brown
2 +2 25,518 12.5% + 7.5%
Liberal Democrats 0 −1 9,315 4.6% −1.3%

South Wales Central

National Assembly Election for Wales 2016: South Wales Central
Constituency Elected MPs Political party
Cardiff Central Jenny Rathbone Labor held
Cardiff North Julie Morgan Labor held
Cardiff South and Penarth Vaughan Gething Labor held
Cardiff West Mark Drakeford Labor held
Cynon Valley Vikki Howells Labor held
Pontypridd Mick Antoniw Labor held
Rhondda Leanne Wood Plaid Cymru won by Labor
Vale of Glamorgan Jane Hutt Labor held
National Assembly Election for Wales 2016: South Wales Central
Political party Elected candidates Seats ± be right % ±
Labor 0 ± 0 78,366 33.9% −7.1%
Plaid Cymru Neil McEvoy 1 ± 0 48,357 20.9% +1.9%
Conservative Andrew RT Davies
David Melding
2 ± 0 42,185 18.3% −3.7%
UKIP Gareth Bennett 1 +1 23,958 10.4% + 6.4%
Liberal Democrats 0 −1 14,875 6.4% −1.5%

South Wales East

National Assembly Election for Wales 2016: South Wales East
Constituency Elected MPs Political party
Blaenau Gwent Alun Davies Labor held
Caerphilly Hefin David Labor held
Islwyn Rhianon Passmore Labor held
Merthyr Tydfil and Rhymney Dawn Bowden Labor held
Monmouth Nick Ramsay Conservative held
Newport East John Griffiths Labor held
Newport West Jayne Bryant Labor held
Torfaen Lynne Neagle Labor held
National Assembly Election for Wales 2016: South Wales East
Political party Elected candidates Seats ± be right % ±
Labor 0 ± 0 74,424 38.3% −7.3%
UKIP Mark Reckless
David Rowlands
2 +2 34,524 17.8% + 12.5%
Conservative Mohammad Asghar 1 −1 33,318 17.2% −2.4%
Plaid Cymru Steffan Lewis 1 −1 29,686 15.3% + 3.2%

South Wales West

National Assembly Election for Wales 2016: South Wales West
Constituency Elected MPs Political party
But of that David Rees Labor held
Bridgend Carwyn Jones Labor held
Gower Rebecca Evans Labor held
Neath Jeremy Miles Labor held
Ogmore Huw Irranca-Davies Labor held
Swansea East Michael John Hedges Labor held
Swansea West Julie James Labor held
National Assembly Election for Wales 2016: South Wales West
Political party Elected candidates Seats ± be right % ±
Labor 0 ± 0 66.903 39.5% −6.9%
Plaid Cymru Bethan Jenkins
David Lloyd
2 +1 29,050 17.2% + 3.4%
Conservative Suzy Davies 1 −1 25,414 15.0% −2.8%
UKIP Caroline Jones 1 +1 23.096 13.7% + 9.4%
Liberal Democrats 0 −1 10,946 6.5% −0.5%

Individual evidence

  1. a b Results. BBC News, May 6, 2016, accessed May 6, 2016 .
  2. Wales 'standing up' to austerity policies says Carwyn Jones. BBC News, June 14, 2013, accessed February 2, 2016 .
  3. Carwyn Jones: Let's tackle David Cameron's message of 'pain, pain and more pain' by offering voters hope. Wales online, February 9, 2015, accessed February 2, 2016 .
  4. Wales Act 2014. legislation.gov.uk, 2014, accessed February 2, 2016 .
  5. Ashley Cowburn: EU referendum: David Cameron dismisses ruling June out for vote. The Independent, February 3, 2016, accessed February 2, 2016 .
  6. ^ How the Assembly is Elected. National Assembly website, accessed December 2, 2018. (English)