Flood disaster in the Krasnodar Territory in 2012

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Flood disaster in Krasnodar
Friday, July 6th, 2012, 09:30 UTC
Friday, July 6th, 2012, 09:30 UTC
( Terra , NASA LANCE-MODIS)
General weather situation Black Sea Depth
Weather event Heavy rain with flash floods
Data
rain 6-7 July
consequences
affected areas Black Sea Region , especially Krasnodar Region , RU; Flash flood near Krymsk
Victim approx. 573

The flood disaster in the Krasnodar region was a natural disaster that began on July 6, 2012, when prolonged, extremely heavy rain began to fall in the southern Russian region of Krasnodar on the north-eastern Black Sea coast . This rainfall caused flash floods , landslides and floods that killed at least 170 people and injured 300 others. The focus of the disaster was in Krymsk and the surrounding area. In Rajon Krymsk were more secure than 150 corpses after the city and its surrounding area was flooded by an eyewitness reports seven meter high tidal wave.

Meteorological demolition

Rainfall
place July 6th July 7th
until 10:00 a.m.		 total
Gelendzhik 231 mm 51 mm 282 mm
Novorossiysk 88 mm 187 mm 275 mm
Krymsk 65 mm 156 mm 221 mm

Thunderstorms of a cyclone reaching up to 12 km high slowly moved from the eastern part of the Black Sea over the west of southern Russia and remained almost stationary there, which is why there were long periods of heavy rain in southern Russia. The height of the system played just as much a role for the thermal and dynamic processes as the mountainous landscape. Due to the unstable atmospheric situation, persistent rainfall began in the region from July 4th. Up to 126mm of rain fell in the region by July 5th. There was a risk of tornadoes above the water . The heavy rain continued on July 6th. According to the state meteorological service, 280 mm of precipitation fell in Gelendzhik within just a few hours , which corresponds to the average rainfall of four to five months. The rain lasted all night.

Other areas in southern Russia and in the northern Caucasus also recorded high levels of precipitation on the night of July 6th. In Volgograd there was 43 mm of precipitation, and the wind speed reached 100 km / h in gusts. The region around Rostov-on-Don received up to 23 mm of rain, Adygea 33 mm, in Dagestan 31 mm of precipitation and hail with a grain size of up to 27 mm fell in less than an hour .

At the same time, there were severe monsoon floods in eastern India on the Brahmaputra , while in north-eastern central Russia, after a long drought, numerous forest fires broke out by mid-June. In southern Europe, too, there was an abnormally unstable weather phase, with extreme heat, severe thunderstorms and storms. This is a - after the Europe-Central Asia-cold wave in January / February - more extreme effects of the Arctic Oscillation , probably in connection with the folding La Niña -to- El Niño is seen.

200 hPa Heights 11d rm
(world map, Black Sea top left)
500 hPa Heights 5d rm
(northern hemisphere pole-centered, Russia right)


Pressure anomalies June 7, 2012 - July 6, 2012: The mighty central Russian high pressure area pushing northwards into the polar region at the beginning of the period, the low pressure zone shifting from northern India to the eastern Anatolian region, the all-time high-low pressure zone that bisects Europe Gradient, the high of which shifts over Eastern Europe at the end of the period, and the resulting overturning polar oscillation wave that grafts a deep core over the Black Sea.

Images: NOAA NCEP CPC CDAS 30-day animation; 11- resp. 5-day smoothed, base of anomaly mean 1979–95

Model study on the effects of ocean warming

A study from 2015 came to the conclusion that similar extreme weather events will occur more frequently around the world due to the rise in sea temperature. The simulations of the weather at Krymsk showed in a model way how catastrophic effects result from exceeding a threshold value. This phenomenon, known as the tipping point , led to significantly more humid air in the upper atmosphere near Krymsk and, as a result, to exceptionally heavy local rainfall. The authors state: "Over the entire eastern Mediterranean and Black Sea, the atmosphere has become significantly more unstable due to ocean warming" .

tidal wave

Krymsk region - Novorossiysk - Gelendzhik ; marked: area with reported flood victims

On Saturday, July 7th, around 2:00 a.m. local time (10:00 p.m. UTC on July 6th), a tidal wave struck the city of Krymsk, on the banks of the Adagum River . Houses were flooded right up to the roof ridge and numerous residents escaped to the roofs.

Thousands of houses were flooded, around a hundred of which were destroyed by the flood. 2,800 people were brought to safety. 13,000 residents of the region were directly affected by the flood. The highway A146 from Krasnodar to Novorossiysk was interrupted. In Gelendzhik, at least five people died from electric shock as a result of the flood .

Angry residents accused the authorities of failing to warn in good time and of hiding the truth about the causes. Russian Minister for Civil Protection Vladimir Putschkov admitted that officials from the local authorities made mistakes. The local leader of the opposition party Yabloko , Sergei Mitrokhin, accused the authorities of Twitter, the spillway , the contactors to open the DHW storage Neberdschajewskoje, thus causing the tidal wave. These allegations were rejected by the regional government as "total nonsense", reported RIA Novosti . The drinking water reservoir is located on the Neberdschai , which flows into the Adagum and, like other rivers in this catchment area , swelled strongly.

The loading of oil in the port of Novorossiysk has ceased.

Reactions

More than 1000 helpers were flown in to save the affected population and to help with clean-up work. Russian President Vladimir Putin traveled to the affected region to assess the situation and ordered an investigation. The judiciary is investigating an unknown person for negligent homicide . National mourning was ordered for one day across the country.

Web links

Commons : Flood disaster in the Krasnodar Territory 2012  - Collection of images

Weather maps and satellite images:

proof

  1. ↑ a b c d Christina Nagel: Anger about the authorities mixes with the grief . In: tagesschau.de , ARD radio studio Moscow, July 9, 2012. Archived from the original on July 11, 2012. 
  2. ↑ a b c d e f Julia Smirnowa: Masses of water plunge Russia's south into chaos . July 8, 2012. Retrieved July 9, 2012. 
  3. ↑ a b Over 100 die in Russia as floods and landslides hit Krasnodar region (English) , The Guardian . July 7, 2012. Retrieved July 8, 2012.  
  4. ↑ a b c d 07.07.2012: Сильнейшие грозовые ливни обрушились на Юг Европейской России ( Russian ) Roshydromet. Hydrometeorological Research Center of the Russian Federation .. July 7, 2012. Retrieved July 9, 2012.
  5. ↑ 07.07.2012: О катастрофических дождях на черноморском побережье Краснодарского края - анализ ситуации ( Russian. ) Hydrometeorological Research Center of the Russian Federation .. July 7, 2012. Retrieved July 9, 2012.
  6. ^ Severe floods and landslides in Northeastern India , thewatchers.adorraeli.com, 2012/07/03
  7. ↑ Russia Declares state of emergency as dog reds of wildfires rage across northern interior , 21.06.2012 6-9 июля на юге, юго-западе Хабаровского края сохранится высокая, местами чрезвычайная пожарная опасность ( Memento of the original on 13 September 2012 at the Internet Archive ) Info: The archive link was inserted automatically and has not yet been checked. Please check the original and archive link according to the instructions and then remove this notice. , Rosshydromet, Новость (News), Jul 10, 2012 - about smoke from the forest fires near Khabarovsk and Komsomolsk-na-Amur, downgrading the fire risk from the fifth level by the middle of the following week
     @1@ 2Template: Webachiv / IABot / www.meteorf.ru
  8. ↑ See for example weather review June 2012  ( page no longer available , search in web archives )  Info: The link was automatically marked as defective. Please check the link according to the instructions and then remove this notice. , ZAMG@1@ 2Template: Toter Link / www.zamg.ac.at  
  9. ↑ World Meteorological Organization: El Niño / La Niña Update , June 26, 2012 ( pdf , wmo.int> Programs> World Climate Services Program (WCP)> Climate Applications and Services (WCASP) / CLIPS);
    Commonwealth of Australia, Bureau of Meteorology: Increasing risk of El Niño in 2012 . February 1, 2012 ( pdf , Bureau Home> Climate> ENSO Wrap-Up)
  10. ↑ Meredith, Edmund ( Helmholtz Center for Ocean Research ) et al. in Nature Geoscience : Crucial role of Black Sea warming in amplifying the 2012 Krymsk precipitation extreme Our results reveal a physical mechanism linking a sudden amplificat ion of coastal convective precipitation extremes to gradual SST increase. The increased lower tropospheric humidity provides a richer moisture source for convective precipitation and contributes to low-level instability. More importantly, the near-surface warming reduces static stability, allowing deep convection to be more easily triggered. published July 13, 2015
  11. ↑ Der Spiegel : The ocean warming brought the floods of July 14, 2015, accessed on July 15, 2015
  12. ↑ a b c d e Russia flash floods: 144 killed in Krasnodar region (English) , British Broadcasting Corporation . July 8, 2012. Retrieved July 9, 2012.  
  13. ↑ a b Christina Nagel: Were there no warnings from the authorities? . In: tagesschau.de , ARD radio studio Moscow, July 7, 2012. Archived from the original on July 8, 2012. Retrieved on July 8, 2012. 

Coordinates: 44 ° 48 ′ 0 ″  N , 37 ° 54 ′ 0 ″  E