Elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina 2018

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The 2018 elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina took place on October 7th.

At the level of the entire state of Bosnia and Herzegovina, the three-member state presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina and the members of the House of Representatives (Bosnian: Predstavnički Dom ), one of the two chambers of parliament, were elected.

At the level of the entity Republika Srpska , the president with his two representatives and the parliament of the Republika Srpska , consisting of 83 members, were also elected.

At the level of the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina , its parliament , consisting of 98 members, was elected. Likewise, the respective assembly of the people's representation was elected in the ten cantons of the federation .

Starting position

Nationalism and separatist tendencies in the Republika Srpska are causing unrest. Clientele politics prevail in the economy . At 25%, Bosnia and Herzegovina has one of the highest unemployment rates in Europe, which is one of the reasons why around 40,000 people leave the country every year. In the election campaign, however, the issues of unemployment and the rule of law hardly played a role. On the other hand, the main topic was the protest movement “Justice for David”, which had formed following the death of a young man. David Dragičević was found dead in a river in Banja Luka in March 2018 . While police claim he used drugs and drowned, his father is convinced that David died as a result of police abuse and that authorities are covering it up. In the course of the election campaign, the growing protest movement was also directed against arbitrariness and abuse of power by the police, the judiciary and politics.

68 political parties and 36 coalitions as well as 34 independent candidates ran for election. The electoral system is often referred to in the media as the most complicated in Europe. Election observers were provided by the OSCE and by the NGO “Pod Lupom” (Under the Magnifying Glass) .

Results

Election of the State Presidium

In the election of the three-member state presidency, Šefik Džaferović won as the Bosniak candidate , Željko Komšić as the Croatian candidate , who is taking office for the third time, and Milorad Dodik as the Serbian candidate . The two previous members of the State Presidium, who were also running, Dragan Čović (Croatian) and Mladen Ivanić (Serbian), lost.

Bosniak candidates
candidate Political party be right %
Šefik Džaferović SDA 208.943 36.52
Denis Bećirović SDP 192.321 33.62
Fahrudin Radončić SBB 074,597 13.04
Mirsad Hadžikadić Platforma za progres 057,098 09.98
Senad Sepic Nezavisni blok 029,577 05.17
Amer Jerlagic SBiH 009,526 01.67
Croatian candidates
candidate Political party be right %
Željko Komšić DF bra 221,573 53.95
Dragan Čović HDZ BiH 142,771 34.76
Diana Zelenika HDZ 1990 024,651 06.00
Boriša Falatar NS 015,690 03.82
Jerko Ivanković Lijanović NSRzB 006.011 01.48
Serbian candidates
candidate Political party be right %
Milorad Dodik SNSD / СНСД 352.933 53.89
Mladen Ivanić Alliance for Victory (Savez za Pobjedu) 281.222 42.94
Mirjana Popović SNS / СНС 010,826 01.65
Gojko Kličković Prva SDS / Прва СДС 009,906 01.51

Election of the House of Representatives of Bosnia and Herzegovina

The State House of Representatives has 42 seats, 28 members are elected in the Bosniak-Croatian part of the country and 14 in the Republika Srpska. The Party of Democratic Action ( SDA ) was the only party to win seats in both parts of the country. The turnout was around 54 percent. The Central Election Commission had 30 days to confirm the final election result, only afterwards coalition negotiations were held.

The formation of a government proved difficult. Only 14 months after the election was a new government confirmed by parliament on December 23, 2019. It includes SDA, SNSD, SBB, HDZ and DF.

Political party Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina Republika Srpska total
be right % Seats be right % Seats be right % Seats
Stranka demokratske akcije (SDA) 252.081 25.48 8th 29,673 4.45 1 281,754 17.01 9
Savez nezavisnih socijaldemokrata (SNSD) 4,663 0.47 - 260.930 39.10 6th 265,593 16.03 6th
Srpska Demokratska Stranka (SDS-NDP-NS-SRS) - - - 162.414 24.34 3 162.414 9.80 3
Socijaldemokratska partija Bosne i Hercegovine (SDP) 14.0781 14.23 5 9,672 1.45 - 150,453 9.08 5
Electoral alliance HDZ BiH , HSS , HKDU BiH, HSP-HNS, HSP DR AS BiH, HDU BiH, HSS SR 145.487 14.71 5 4,385 0.66 - 149,872 9.05 5
DF-GS, Željko Komšić: BiH Pobjeđuje! 96180 9.72 3 - - - 96.180 5.81 3
Partija demokratskog progresa (PDP - Mladen Ivanić) - - - 83,832 12.56 2 83,832 5.06 2
Demokratski Narodni Savez (DNS) 652 0.07 - 68,637 10.29 1 69,289 4.18 1
Savez za bolju budućnost Bosne i Hercegovine (SBB-Fahrudin Radončić) 67,597 6.83 2 1,394 0.21 - 68.991 4.16 2
Naša stranka 48,402 4.89 2 - - - 48,402 2.92 2
Nezavisni blok 41,511 4.20 1 - - - 41,511 2.51 1
Pokret demokratske akcije (PDA) 38,417 3.88 1 - - - 38,417 2.32 1
Socijalistička Partija - - - 31,321 4.69 1 31,321 1.89 1
A-SDA za evropsku Bosni i Hercegovinu - Zajedno 29,763 3.01 1 756 0.11 - 30,519 1.84 1
Hrvatsko zajedništvo ( HDZ 1990 , HSP BIH ) 28,962 2.93 - - - - 28,962 1.75 -
Narod i Pravda 23353 2.36 - - - - 23353 1.41 -
Stranka za Bosnu i Hercegovinu (SBiH) 17,830 1.80 - - - - 17,830 1.08 -
Bosanskohercegovačka Patriotska Stranka (BPS-Sefer Halilović) 16,433 1.66 - - - - 16,433 0.99 -
Nezavisna bosanskohercegovačka lista 12,505 1.26 - - - - 12,505 0.75 -
Laburistička stranka Bosne i Hercegovine 7,735 0.78 - - - - 7,735 0.47 -
Prva srpska demokratska stranka (Prva SDS) - - - 7,513 1.13 - 7,513 0.45 -
Stranka penzionera / umirovljenika BiH 7.185 0.73 - - - - 7.185 0.43 -
Bosanska stranka - Mirnes Ajanović (BOSS) 5,771 0.58 - - - - 5,771 0.35 -
Srpska napredna stranka - - - 4,750 0.71 - 4,750 0.29 -
Savez za novu politiku 728 0.07 - 1,381 0.21 - 2,109 0.13 -
LDS za boljitak 1,833 0.19 - - - - 1,833 0.11 -
Hrvatska stranka Bosne i Hercegovine 1,095 0.11 - - - - 1,095 0.07 -
Lijevo Krilo 264 0.03 - 666 0.10 - 930 0.06 -
total 989.228 100 28 667.324 100 14th 1,656,552 100 42
Invalid votes 95,808 60,600 156.408

Election of the National Assembly of the Republika Srpska

Party or electoral alliance be right % Mandates
Savez nezavisnih socijaldemokrata (SNSD) 218.203 31.87 28
Srpska Demokratska Stranka (SDS-SRSRS-SRS) 123,515 18.04 16
Demokratski Narodni Savez (DNS) 098,851 14.44 12
Partija demokratskog progresa (PDP RS - Mladen Ivanić) 069,948 10.22 9
Socijalistička Partija 056.106 08.19 7th
Zajedno za BiH 029,556 04.32 4th
NDP Dragan Čavić-NS-SNS-Sloboda 028,183 04.12 4th
Ujedinjena Srpska 021,187 03.09 3
Proevropski blok 011,157 01.63 -
Pokret uspješna Srpska - dr Zlatko Maksimović 006.330 00.92 -
Prva srpska demokratska stranka (Prva SDS) 006,288 00.92 -
Srpska Napredna Stranka 003,595 00.53 -
Electoral alliance HDZ BiH, HSS, HKDU BiH, HSP-HNS, HSP DR AS BiH, HDU BiH, HSS SR 002,083 00.30 -
Savez za novu politiku 001,612 00.24 -
Pokret demokratske akcije PDA BiH 001,547 00.23 -
Savez Ostanak 001,420 00.21 -
Nezavisna bosanskohercegovačka lista 001,114 00.16 -
Komunistička partija 001,089 00.16 -
Ekoloska partija Republike Srpske 000651 00.10 -
Hrvatska Demokratska Zajednica 1990 - HDZ 1990 000523 00.08 -
Prva Stranka 000463 00.07 -
Bosanska stranka - Mirnes Ajanović (BOSS) 000363 00.05 -
Savez Mladih Snaga (SMS) 000301 00.04 -
Zavičajni socijaldemokrati - Mile Marčeta 000299 00.04 -
Savez Za Demokratsku Srpsku 000231 00.03 -
Građanski savez 000046 00.01 -
Ivana Bubić - Independent candidate 000036 00.01 -
Mladen Nikolić - Independent candidate 000034 00.00 -
Lijevo Krilo 000007th 00.00 -
Dobroslav Todić - Independent candidate 000007th 00.00 -
Era Bojan - Independent candidate 000001 00.00 -

Election of the President of the Republic of Srpska

The incumbent Prime Minister Željka Cvijanović of the SNSD was elected President of the Republika Srpska with 47.48 percent of the vote , succeeding Milorad Dodik .

Election of the Parliament of the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina

The Parliament of the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina consists of the Lower House and the Upper House, which are called the "House of Representatives" and "House of Peoples", respectively, as in the state parliament. While the members of the lower house are directly elected, the upper house members are elected by the cantonal assemblies. According to the constitution, this should have happened within one month of the confirmation of the election results for the canton parliaments, but has not yet happened in all cantons, which is why the upper house has not yet been constituted (as of January 28, 2019). Associated with this is a delay in the election of the Upper House of the State Upper House, as 10 of its 15 members have to be elected by the Upper House of the Federation.

The results of the House of Commons election:

Party or electoral alliance be right % Mandates
Stranka demokratske akcije (SDA) 252.773 25.24 27
Socijaldemokratska partija Bosne i Hercegovine (SDP) 145.453 14.52 16
Electoral alliance HDZ BiH , HSS , HKDU BiH, HSP-HNS, HSP DR AS BiH, HDU BiH, HSS SR 143,705 14.35 16
DF-GS, Željko Komšić: BiH Pobjeđuje! 093,696 09.36 10
Savez za bolju budućnost Bosne i Hercegovine (SBB-Fahrudin Radončić) 070,683 07.06 8th
Naša stranka 050,945 05.09 6th
Pokret demokratske akcije (PDA) 037,731 03.77 4th
Nezavisni blok 034,912 03.49 4th
A-SDA za evropsku Bosni i Hercegovinu - Zajedno 027,429 02.74 2
Hrvatsko zajedništvo ( HDZ 1990 , HSP BIH , HNL) 025,663 02.56 2
Narod i Pravda 023,222 02.32 2
Stranka za Bosnu i Hercegovinu (SBiH) 023.007 02.30 -
Nezavisna bosanskohercegovačka lista 015,113 01.51 -
Bosanskohercegovačka Patriotska Stranka (BPS-Sefer Halilović) 014,033 01.40 -
Stranka penzionera / umirovljenika BiH 008,152 00.81 -
Laburistička stranka Bosne i Hercegovine 007,656 00.76 1
Bosanska stranka - Mirnes Ajanović (BOSS) 007.092 00.71 -
Hrvatska republikanska stranka 006,670 00.67 -
Srpska lista / Српска листа 005,244 00.52 -
LDS za boljitak 002.158 00.22 -
DNZ BiH - Krajiška stranka 001,865 00.19 -
Hrvatska stranka Bosne i Hercegovine 001,481 00.15 -
Srpska napredna stranka 000896 00.09 0-
Komunistička partija 000593 00.06 -
Savez za Stari Grad 000474 00.05 -
Demokratska Stranka BiH 000367 00.04 -
Prva Stranka 000258 00.03 -
Savez za novu politiku 000155 00.01 -

Election of the cantonal parliaments

criticism

Before election day

In the run-up to the election, there were allegations of election manipulation: There are supposed to be hundreds of thousands of card files in the electoral lists, employees of state-owned companies and in administration are said to have been threatened with dismissal if they vote for the "wrong" parties. About 350,000 people had not received an identity card from the authorities, which was a prerequisite for participating in the election. Many people abroad who were registered as postal voters stated that they had not applied to vote. The opposition claimed that the voting was to be manipulated.

In 2017, the Constitutional Court declared the provisions for the election of the parliament of the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina to be unconstitutional. Since there has been no change in the law since then, the probability is high that individual parties will not recognize the result and new elections will have to be held.

Election of the Croatian member of the State Presidium

According to the constitution, the state presidency consists of one Bosniak, one Croat and one Serbian member. The Serbian representative is elected by the voters within the Republika Srpska, the Bosniak and Croatian representative within the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina. Therefore, neither Serbs in the Federation, nor Bosniaks and Croats in the Republika Srpska, can have a say in the representatives of their ethnic group.

In the previous elections in 2006 and 2010, Željko Komšić (then a member of the social democratic SDP ) was elected Croatian member of the Presidium, which was already criticized by parts of the Croatian population. It was criticized that Komšić received most of his votes from Bosniak voters. This is possible because every voter within the Federation can freely choose from all Bosniak and Croatian candidates and the population of Bosniaks in the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina according to the 2013 census is more than three times larger than that of the Croats.

After Željko Komšić was not allowed to run again after two legislatures in 2014, Dragan Čović ( HDZ BiH ) was elected Croatian representative, who, unlike Komšić, also received the majority of votes in the majority Croatian communities in Herzegovina. In the 2018 elections, Komšić was able to run again, which made Čović publicly feared that the Bosniak population could use their majority vote again to elect Komšić instead of himself as Croatian representative. As a possible solution, Čović suggested the creation of a third (Croatian) entity, which has already been discussed over and over again. a. but was rejected by the Bosniak representative Bakir Izetbegović and contradicts the Dayton Treaty .

Ultimately, Komšić received around 220,000 votes, significantly more than the defeated candidate Čović with around 140,000 votes. In fact, in many cases, Komšić was elected by Bosniaks. He received 4,842 votes (39.41%) in the Opština Goražde , where, according to the 2013 census, 19,692 Bosniaks and only 23 Croats lived. On the other hand, he got only 63 votes (0.52%) in Široki Brijeg (according to the census 28,929 Croatian inhabitants), while Dragan Čović received the most votes with 10,339 (85.05%).

In response, the defeated candidate Čović declared that the result would lead to a "never seen crisis" in Bosnia and Herzegovina and paralyze the country's political bodies. He is also supported by politicians from Croatia, such as the Croatian President Kolinda Grabar-Kitarović . On October 11, 2018, Komšić was declared a persona non grata by the mayors of three predominantly Croatian communities . 13 more congregations followed the next day. Croatian Prime Minister Andrej Plenković raised the issue at an EU summit, which led to criticism from Denis Zvizdić , Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina , who accused him of undermining Bosnia's sovereignty.

Web link

  • Results on the website of the Central Electoral Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (Bosnian, Croatian, Serbian, English).

Individual evidence

  1. a b Stephan Wabl: 5 questions and answers about the elections in Bosnia. In: Profile . October 5, 2018, accessed October 7, 2018 .
  2. a b Karsten Dümmel : Bosnia after the elections. The “neverending story” in Bosnia-Herzegovina. Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung , October 10, 2018, accessed on October 27, 2018 .
  3. ^ A b c Martin Steinmüller-Schwarz: Bosnia-Herzegovina: Elections in ethnic-national hostage. In: ORF . October 7, 2018, accessed October 7, 2018 .
  4. ^ Separatist Dodik makes it to the state presidency. In: Wiener Zeitung . October 8, 2018, accessed October 12, 2018 .
  5. ^ A year without a government: Ironical protest in Bosnia. In: orf.at . October 7, 2019, accessed October 7, 2019.
  6. Bosnia and Herzegovina has a government again after 14 months. In: derstandard.at . December 27, 2019, accessed December 27, 2019.
  7. Hartmut Rank: Bosnia-Herzegovina's (un) possible choice: A legal-political analysis. Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung , January 28, 2019, accessed on March 2, 2019 .
  8. Thomas Brey: Elections in a torn country: Elites in Bosnia want to keep the chaos. In: n-tv . October 7, 2018, accessed October 7, 2018 .
  9. Komšić: "Bosnia's path should lead west". In: Deutsche Welle . October 11, 2018, accessed October 12, 2018 .
  10. Popis 2013 and BiH. Retrieved October 12, 2018 .
  11. Predsednik protiv svoje države. In: Deutsche Welle . October 9, 2018, accessed October 12, 2018 (Serbian).
  12. Centralna izborna komisija BiH. Retrieved October 12, 2018 (Bosnian).
  13. Popis 2013 and BiH. Retrieved October 12, 2018 .
  14. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Herzegovina-Croatians suffer election failure. In: Spiegel Online . October 8, 2018, accessed October 8, 2018 .
  15. Two Bosnian politicians who don't like their own state. In: The Standard . Retrieved October 12, 2018 .
  16. ^ Tri općine iz Hercegovine Željka Komšića proglasile nepoželjnom osobom. Radio Sarajevo, October 11, 2018, accessed on October 12, 2018 (Bosnian).
  17. ^ CoM Chairman: Croatian PM is patronizing Bosnia. In: n1info.com. October 19, 2018, accessed October 22, 2018 .
  18. Croatia has a responsibility towards Bosnian Croats, PM says. In: n1info.com. October 19, 2018, accessed October 22, 2018 .