Election to the 20th German Bundestag / polls and forecasts

This article reports on surveys and forecasts for the election to the 20th German Bundestag , which according to Article 39 of the Basic Law will take place on August 29th at the earliest and October 24th, 2021 at the latest, if there is no dissolution of the Bundestag under Article 63 or Article 68 or an extension of the electoral term in a state of defense under Article 115 h .

Sunday question

INSA survey from August 31, 2020

compared to the 2017 federal election

 %

40

30th

20th

10

0

36.5

17.5

16

11

7.5

6th

5.5

union

Green

SPD

AfD

left

FDP

Otherwise.

Gains and losses

compared to 2017
(rounded to half a percentage point)

 % p

 10

   8th

   6th

   4th

   2

   0

  -2

  -4

  -6

+3.5

+8.5

-4.5

-1.5

-1.5

-4.5

+0.5

union

Green

SPD

AfD

left

FDP

Otherwise.

Current polls

The following table shows the surveys for the past two weeks.

Institute	date	union	SPD	AfD	FDP	left	Green	Otherwise.
INSA	08/31/2020	36.5%	16%	11%	6%	7.5%	17.5%	5.5%
Forsa	08/29/2020	36%	16%	9%	5%	7%	19%	8th %
Cantar	08/29/2020	36%	16%	11%	6%	8th %	18%	5%
Research group elections	08/28/2020	38%	16%	9%	5%	8th %	19%	5%
YouGov	08/28/2020	36%	16%	11%	5%	8th %	18%	6%
Allensbach	08/27/2020	38%	17%	9%	5.5%	7%	19%	4.5%
INSA	08/24/2020	35.5%	17%	11%	6.5%	9%	16%	5%
Forsa	08/22/2020	36%	16%	9%	5%	7%	19%	8th %
Cantar	08/22/2020	36%	17%	10%	7%	8th %	16%	6%
Infratest dimap	08/20/2020	37%	16%	10%	6%	8th %	17%	6%
Bundestag election 2017	09/24/2017	32.9%	20.5%	12.6%	10.7%	9.2%	8.9%	5%

Older polls

January - August 2020

Institute date union SPD AfD FDP left Green Otherwise. INSA 08/17/2020 36% 18% 11% 6% 8th % 16% 5% Forsa 08/15/2020 36% 16% 9% 6% 6% 20% 7% Cantar 08/15/2020 36% 18% 11% 6% 8th % 16% 5% INSA 08/12/2020 36% 18% 11% 7% 9% 15% 4% INSA 08/10/2020 36.5% 16% 11% 6.5% 8.5% 16% 5.5% Forsa 08/08/2020 38% 14% 8th % 6% 8th % 18% 8th % Cantar 08/08/2020 38% 15% 11% 6% 8th % 18% 4% Infratest dimap 08/06/2020 38% 15% 11% 6% 7% 18% 5% YouGov 08/06/2020 36% 14% 11% 6% 9% 18% 6% INSA 08/03/2020 36.5% 15% 11% 6.5% 8.5% 16.5% 6% Forsa 08/01/2020 38% 14% 8th % 6% 8th % 18% 8th % Cantar 08/01/2020 37% 16% 10% 6% 8th % 17% 6% Research group elections 07/31/2020 38% 14% 9% 5% 8th % 21% 5% GMS 07/27/2020 38% 14% 10% 6% 6% 19% 7% INSA 07/27/2020 36.5% 15% 11% 7% 8th % 16% 6.5% Forsa 07/25/2020 38% 14% 9% 6% 8th % 18% 7% Cantar 07/25/2020 37% 15% 11% 6% 8th % 18% 5% Infratest dimap 07/24/2020 37% 14% 11% 5% 7% 20% 6% Allensbach 07/22/2020 38% 15.5% 9% 5.5% 7.5% 20% 4.5% INSA 07/20/2020 36.5% 16% 10% 7.5% 7.5% 16% 6.5% Forsa 07/18/2020 38% 14% 9% 6% 8th % 18% 7% Cantar 07/18/2020 38% 16% 10% 6% 8th % 17% 5% INSA 07/13/2020 37% 14.5% 11% 7% 8.5% 16.5% 5.5% Forsa 07/11/2020 38% 14% 10% 6% 7% 18% 7% Cantar 07/11/2020 38% 15% 11% 6% 8th % 17% 5% Research group elections 07/10/2020 39% 15% 9% 5% 7% 20% 5% INSA 07/06/2020 36% 15% 11% 7% 8th % 17% 6% Forsa 04/07/2020 38% 14% 10% 5% 8th % 18% 7% Cantar 04/07/2020 37% 16% 10% 6% 8th % 19% 4% Infratest dimap 07/02/2020 37% 16% 10% 5% 7% 20% 5% INSA 06/29/2020 36.5% 16% 10.5% 7% 8th % 17% 5% Forsa 06/27/2020 38% 14% 10% 6% 8th % 17% 7% Cantar 06/27/2020 37% 16% 10% 6% 8th % 18% 5% Research group elections 06/26/2020 40% 15% 9% 5% 7% 19% 5% YouGov 06/26/2020 37% 15% 11% 5% 9% 17% 6% Infratest dimap 06/25/2020 37% 16% 10% 5% 7% 20% 5% INSA 06/22/2020 36.5% 15% 10% 6% 8.5% 18.5% 5.5% Forsa 06/20/2020 39% 14% 9% 5% 8th % 18% 7% Cantar 06/20/2020 38% 15% 10% 7% 8th % 17% 5% Allensbach 06/18/2020 40% 16% 9.5% 4.5% 7% 18.5% 4.5% INSA June 15, 2020 37% 15% 10% 7% 8th % 18% 5% GMS June 15, 2020 39% 15% 9% 6% 8th % 17% 6% Forsa 06/13/2020 40% 14% 8th % 6% 8th % 17% 7% Cantar 06/13/2020 39% 15% 9% 7% 7% 17% 6% Research group elections 06/12/2020 39% 15% 9% 4% 7% 20% 6% INSA June 8th, 2020 38% 14% 10% 6.5% 8.5% 17.5% 5.5% Forsa 06/06/2020 40% 16% 8th % 6% 8th % 15% 7% Cantar 06/06/2020 38% 15% 8th % 7% 8th % 16% 8th % Infratest dimap 04.06.2020 38% 15% 9% 6% 8th % 19% 5% INSA 06/02/2020 38.5% 14% 10% 5.5% 8th % 18% 6% Forsa 05/30/2020 40% 15% 9% 5% 8th % 16% 7% Cantar 05/30/2020 40% 16% 9% 8th % 7% 15% 5% Research group elections 05/29/2020 39% 15% 9% 4% 8th % 19% 6% YouGov 05/28/2020 37% 15% 11% 5% 9% 16% 7% INSA 05/25/2020 37% 15% 9.5% 6% 8th % 18% 6.5% Forsa 05/23/2020 40% 15% 9% 5% 8th % 16% 7% Cantar 05/23/2020 38% 16% 10% 7% 8th % 15% 6% Allensbach 05/22/2020 38% 15.5% 9% 5.5% 7% 19% 6% INSA May 18, 2020 37% 14% 10.5% 6% 7.5% 18% 7% Forsa May 16, 2020 39% 15% 9% 6% 8th % 16% 7% Cantar May 16, 2020 39% 16% 11% 6% 8th % 14% 6% Research group elections 05/15/2020 38% 15% 10% 5% 8th % 18% 6% Infratest dimap 05/14/2020 38% 15% 10% 6% 7% 18% 6% INSA 05/11/2020 37.5% 14% 11% 6.5% 7.5% 16.5% 7% Forsa 05/09/2020 40% 15% 10% 6% 7% 15% 7% Cantar 05/09/2020 38% 17% 12% 5% 8th % 14% 6% Infratest dimap 05/07/2020 39% 16% 9% 5% 8th % 18% 5% INSA 05/04/2020 37.5% 15% 11% 6% 7.5% 17% 6% Forsa May 2nd, 2020 38% 17% 10% 6% 8th % 14% 7% Cantar May 2nd, 2020 37% 15% 12% 6% 9% 15% 6% YouGov 04/30/2020 37% 16% 11% 5% 9% 16% 6% INSA April 27, 2020 38% 15.5% 10.5% 7% 7% 16% 6% GMS April 27, 2020 38% 16% 10% 6% 8th % 16% 6% Forsa 04/25/2020 39% 16% 9% 6% 8th % 15% 7% Cantar 04/25/2020 38% 16% 11% 6% 9% 15% 5% Research group elections April 24, 2020 39% 16% 9% 5% 7% 18% 6% Allensbach April 24, 2020 38% 16% 9% 6% 7% 19% 5% INSA April 20, 2020 38.5% 15% 10.5% 7% 7.5% 16% 5.5% Forsa April 18, 2020 39% 16% 10% 5% 8th % 15% 7% Cantar April 18, 2020 37% 18% 9% 7% 8th % 16% 5% Infratest dimap April 16, 2020 38% 17% 9% 5% 7% 19% 5% INSA 04/14/2020 37.5% 16% 10.5% 7% 7.5% 16% 5.5% Forsa 04/11/2020 37% 17% 10% 5% 8th % 16% 7% Cantar 04/11/2020 37% 17% 10% 6% 9% 16% 5% Research group elections 04/09/2020 35% 17% 10% 5% 7% 20% 6% INSA 04/06/2020 38% 16% 10% 5.5% 7% 18% 5.5% Forsa 04/04/2020 37% 17% 9% 6% 8th % 16% 7% Cantar 04/04/2020 33% 18% 11% 6% 9% 18% 5% YouGov 04/03/2020 34% 16% 12% 6% 9% 18% 5% Infratest dimap 04/02/2020 34% 16% 10% 5% 7% 22% 6% INSA March 30, 2020 35% 15% 12% 6.5% 7.5% 18% 6% Forsa March 28, 2020 36% 16% 9% 6% 8th % 17% 8th % Cantar March 28, 2020 32% 18% 11% 6% 9% 19% 5% Research group elections March 27, 2020 33% 15% 10% 6% 8th % 22% 6% Forsa March 26, 2020 36% 16% 9% 6% 8th % 17% 8th % Allensbach March 25, 2020 29% 16.5% 11.5% 7% 8th % 23% 5% INSA 03/23/2020 33.5% 15% 12% 6.5% 7% 20% 6% Forsa March 21, 2020 32% 15% 9% 7% 9% 20% 8th % Cantar March 21, 2020 28% 16% 13% 7% 9% 21% 6% Infratest dimap March 19, 2020 30% 14% 10% 7% 9% 23% 7% INSA March 16, 2020 28.5% 14.5% 13% 6.5% 9.5% 23% 5% Forsa March 14, 2020 29% 14% 11% 6% 10% 22% 8th % Cantar March 14, 2020 26% 17% 14% 7% 8th % 21% 7% INSA March 9th, 2020 26.5% 15.5% 14% 6.5% 9.5% 22% 6% Forsa 07.03.2020 26% 15% 11% 6% 10% 24% 8th % Cantar 07.03.2020 24% 17% 14% 7% 9% 22% 7% YouGov 03/06/2020 27% 15% 14% 6% 10% 21% 7% Research group elections 03/06/2020 26% 16% 14% 6% 8th % 23% 7% Infratest dimap 05.03.2020 27% 16% 12% 6% 9% 23% 7% INSA 02.03.2020 26.5% 16% 13.5% 6% 10% 23% 5% Forsa 02/29/2020 27% 16% 10% 5% 10% 24% 8th % Cantar 02/29/2020 25% 16% 14% 6% 10% 22% 7% INSA February 24, 2020 26.5% 14.5% 13% 7% 10.5% 22% 6.5% Forsa 02/22/2020 27% 14% 10% 7% 10% 24% 8th % Cantar 02/22/2020 27% 15% 14% 7% 10% 20% 7% Allensbach 02/18/2020 27.5% 14.5% 13% 8th % 9.5% 23% 4.5% INSA 02/17/2020 26.5% 14.5% 15% 7.5% 9.5% 20.5% 6.5% Forsa 02/15/2020 27% 14% 11% 6% 10% 24% 8th % Cantar 02/15/2020 28% 15% 15% 6% 10% 20% 6% Infratest dimap 02/13/2020 26% 16% 14% 7% 9% 22% 6% INSA 02/10/2020 27.5% 12.5% 14% 8th % 10% 22% 6% Forsa 02/08/2020 28% 14% 10% 8th % 9% 23% 8th % Cantar 02/08/2020 28% 15% 15% 8th % 9% 20% 5% Research group elections 02/07/2020 27% 14% 14% 6% 10% 22% 7% Infratest dimap 02/06/2020 27% 14% 14% 8th % 9% 22% 6% INSA 02/03/2020 28% 13% 14% 9% 8th % 22% 6% Forsa 02/01/2020 28% 12% 11% 9% 9% 23% 8th % Cantar 02/01/2020 27% 15% 14% 8th % 9% 21% 6% Allensbach 01/30/2020 28.5% 14% 13% 8th % 8th % 23.5% 5% INSA 01/27/2020 27% 14% 15% 9% 8.5% 20.5% 6% Forsa 01/25/2020 28% 12% 12% 9% 9% 23% 7% Cantar 01/25/2020 26% 14% 15% 9% 10% 21% 5% Infratest dimap 01/24/2020 26% 14% 14% 8th % 8th % 24% 6% INSA 01/20/2020 27.5% 13% 15% 8.5% 9.5% 21% 5.5% Forsa January 18, 2020 28% 13% 13% 8th % 9% 22% 7% Cantar January 18, 2020 26% 15% 14% 9% 9% 21% 6% Research group elections January 16, 2020 27% 14% 14% 7% 9% 23% 6% INSA 01/13/2020 27% 12.5% 15% 9.5% 9% 21% 6% Forsa 11/01/2020 28% 12% 13% 9% 8th % 22% 8th % Cantar 11/01/2020 27% 14% 14% 9% 9% 21% 6% Infratest dimap 01/09/2020 27% 13% 14% 9% 8th % 23% 6% INSA 01/06/2020 29% 13% 14% 9% 8.5% 21.5% 5% GMS 03/01/2020 28% 13% 14% 9% 8th % 21% 7% Bundestag election 2017 09/24/2017 32.9% 20.5% 12.6% 10.7% 9.2% 8.9% 5%

2019

Institute date union SPD AfD FDP left Green Otherwise. INSA December 23, 2019 28% 13% 15% 10% 8th % 21% 5% Forsa December 21, 2019 28% 13% 13% 8th % 8th % 22% 8th % Emnid December 21, 2019 27% 15% 14% 9% 9% 20% 6% Allensbach December 19, 2019 28.5% 15% 15% 7% 8.5% 21% 5% YouGov December 18, 2019 27% 13% 15% 7% 10% 21% 7% INSA December 16, 2019 27% 13% 15% 8.5% 9.5% 21% 6% Forsa December 14, 2019 28% 12% 13% 8th % 9% 22% 8th % Emnid December 14, 2019 28% 16% 13% 9% 9% 20% 5% Research group elections December 13, 2019 27% 13% 14% 8th % 9% 23% 6% Infratest dimap 12/12/2019 27% 14% 15% 8th % 8th % 21% 7% INSA December 09, 2019 28% 14% 15% 8.5% 8.5% 20.5% 5.5% Forsa 07/12/2019 28% 11% 14% 9% 8th % 22% 8th % Emnid 07/12/2019 28% 16% 13% 9% 8th % 20% 6% Infratest dimap 05.12.2019 25% 13% 15% 9% 8th % 23% 7% GMS December 03, 2019 27% 14% 15% 9% 8th % 21% 6% INSA 02.12.2019 26.5% 13.5% 15% 8.5% 9% 21.5% 6% Forsa 11/30/2019 27% 14% 13% 8th % 8th % 22% 8th % Emnid 11/30/2019 28% 15% 14% 8th % 9% 20% 6% Research group elections 11/29/2019 27% 13% 14% 7% 10% 23% 6% YouGov 11/27/2019 26% 13% 15% 7% 10% 22% 7% INSA 11/25/2019 26.5% 14.5% 14% 8.5% 9.5% 22% 5% Forsa 11/23/2019 26% 14% 13% 9% 9% 21% 8th % Emnid 11/23/2019 28% 15% 13% 9% 9% 20% 6% Allensbach November 19, 2019 29.5% 14% 14.5% 7.5% 8th % 21.5% 5% INSA 11/18/2019 25% 15.5% 15% 8.5% 10% 21% 5% Forsa 11/16/2019 26% 15% 13% 9% 10% 19% 8th % Emnid 11/16/2019 27% 17% 14% 8th % 10% 18% 6% Infratest dimap 11/14/2019 25% 15% 14% 7% 9% 22% 8th % INSA 11/11/2019 25.5% 15.5% 15% 8th % 9.5% 20.5% 6% Forsa 11/09/2019 26% 13% 13% 9% 10% 21% 8th % Emnid 11/09/2019 26% 16% 14% 10% 10% 18% 6% Research group elections 11/08/2019 27% 14% 14% 7% 10% 22% 6% Infratest dimap 07/11/2019 26% 14% 14% 8th % 9% 22% 7% YouGov 06/11/2019 27% 13% 14% 7% 10% 22% 7% INSA 04/11/2019 25.5% 13.5% 16% 8th % 10% 21% 6% Forsa 11/02/2019 28% 13% 13% 8th % 10% 20% 8th % Emnid 11/02/2019 27% 16% 15% 9% 9% 18% 6% INSA October 28, 2019 26% 13.5% 15.5% 7.5% 9% 23% 5.5% Forsa 10/26/2019 29% 14% 13% 8th % 8th % 20% 8th % Emnid 10/26/2019 29% 15% 14% 8th % 9% 20% 5% INSA October 21, 2019 27% 13.5% 15% 7.5% 9% 22.5% 5.5% Forsa October 19, 2019 27% 14% 13% 8th % 8th % 22% 8th % Emnid October 19, 2019 29% 15% 13% 7% 9% 20% 7% Research group elections October 18, 2019 29% 14% 13% 6% 8th % 24% 6% Infratest dimap October 17, 2019 28% 14% 14% 7% 8th % 22% 7% Allensbach October 16, 2019 29.5% 16% 13% 6.5% 7% 23.5% 4.5% INSA October 14, 2019 28% 14% 15% 7.5% 8th % 21.5% 6% Forsa October 12, 2019 27% 14% 12% 8th % 8th % 23% 8th % Emnid October 12, 2019 28% 14% 15% 7% 8th % 21% 7% Infratest dimap 10/10/2019 28% 13% 14% 7% 8th % 24% 6% GMS 08/10/2019 27% 14% 15% 8th % 7% 22% 7% INSA 07.10.2019 27% 13% 16% 8.5% 9% 21% 5.5% Forsa 05/10/2019 28% 14% 13% 8th % 7% 22% 8th % Emnid 05/10/2019 27% 15% 15% 8th % 8th % 21% 6% YouGov 03/10/2019 26% 13% 15% 8th % 8th % 22% 8th % INSA 09/30/2019 26.5% 13% 16% 8th % 8th % 22% 6.5% Forsa 09/28/2019 27% 13% 13% 9% 7% 23% 8th % Emnid 09/28/2019 27% 16% 15% 7% 8th % 21% 6% Research group elections 09/27/2019 27% 13% 14% 6% 7% 27% 6% INSA 09/23/2019 26% 14% 16% 8th % 8th % 22% 6% Forsa 09/21/2019 27% 15% 13% 8th % 7% 22% 8th % Emnid 09/21/2019 29% 15% 14% 8th % 8th % 21% 5% Infratest dimap 09/20/2019 27% 14% 14% 8th % 8th % 23% 6% Allensbach 09/17/2019 29% 15% 14% 7% 8th % 22% 5% INSA 16.09.2019 26.5% 13.5% 16% 7.5% 7.5% 22.5% 6.5% Forsa 14.09.2019 27% 15% 14% 8th % 7% 22% 7% Emnid 14.09.2019 28% 16% 15% 8th % 7% 21% 5% GMS 13.09.2019 27% 16% 12% 7% 8th % 23% 7% YouGov 09/11/2019 27% 15% 14% 6% 8th % 22% 8th % INSA 09.09.2019 27% 13.5% 15.5% 8th % 7.5% 22% 6.5% Forsa 07.09.2019 27% 15% 13% 8th % 6% 23% 8th % Emnid 07.09.2019 29% 16% 14% 7% 8th % 21% 5% Infratest dimap 05.09.2019 27% 14% 15% 7% 7% 23% 7% Research group elections 05.09.2019 28% 15% 13% 6% 7% 24% 7% INSA 02.09.2019 26% 14.5% 15% 8.5% 7% 23.5% 5.5% Forsa 08/31/2019 27% 15% 12% 9% 7% 23% 7% Emnid 08/31/2019 29% 15% 14% 7% 7% 22% 6% INSA 08/26/2019 26% 13% 15% 8th % 8th % 24% 6% Forsa 08/24/2019 26% 14% 13% 9% 8th % 23% 7% Emnid 08/24/2019 27% 15% 14% 8th % 8th % 23% 5% Infratest dimap 08/23/2019 26% 14% 14% 7% 7% 25% 7% Allensbach 08/21/2019 29.5% 13.5% 12.5% 7% 8th % 24% 5.5% INSA August 19, 2019 26.5% 13% 14.5% 9% 8th % 24.5% 4.5% Forsa 08/17/2019 25% 13% 13% 9% 8th % 24% 8th % Emnid 08/17/2019 27% 14% 14% 8th % 9% 22% 6% INSA 08/12/2019 27.5% 12% 14.5% 9% 8th % 23.5% 5.5% Forsa 08/10/2019 26% 12% 13% 8th % 8th % 25% 8th % Emnid 08/10/2019 26% 14% 14% 9% 9% 22% 6% Research group elections 08/09/2019 28% 13% 13% 7% 7% 25% 7% INSA 08/05/2019 27.5% 11.5% 15% 9% 9% 23.5% 4.5% Forsa 08/03/2019 27% 13% 13% 9% 8th % 23% 7% Emnid 08/03/2019 26% 13% 14% 9% 8th % 23% 7% Infratest dimap 08/01/2019 26% 12% 14% 8th % 7% 26% 7% YouGov July 31, 2019 26% 13% 14% 8th % 8th % 24% 7% INSA 07/29/2019 27% 12.5% 14.5% 9% 8th % 24.5% 4.5% Forsa 07/27/2019 27% 13% 13% 9% 7% 24% 7% Emnid 07/27/2019 26% 14% 13% 9% 8th % 23% 7% Infratest dimap 07/26/2019 26% 13% 12% 9% 8th % 26% 6% Allensbach 07/24/2019 29.5% 14.5% 11.5% 7% 8.5% 23% 6% GMS 07/23/2019 28% 13% 12% 8th % 8th % 25% 6% INSA 07/22/2019 28.5% 12.5% 14.5% 8th % 8th % 22.5% 6% Forsa 07/20/2019 27% 13% 12% 8th % 8th % 24% 8th % Emnid 07/20/2019 27% 14% 13% 9% 9% 22% 6% Research group elections 07/19/2019 28% 13% 12% 8th % 8th % 25% 6% INSA 07/15/2019 26% 14% 14% 9% 9% 23% 5% Forsa 07/13/2019 26% 13% 13% 7% 8th % 25% 8th % Emnid 07/13/2019 26% 15% 13% 8th % 9% 24% 5% INSA 07/08/2019 27% 13.5% 14% 8th % 8.5% 24% 5% Forsa 07/06/2019 26% 12% 12% 8th % 8th % 26% 8th % Emnid 07/06/2019 26% 13% 14% 7% 9% 24% 7% Infratest dimap 04/07/2019 25% 13% 13% 8th % 8th % 26% 7% YouGov 07/03/2019 26% 13% 13% 7% 8th % 25% 8th % INSA 07/01/2019 27% 13% 14% 8th % 8th % 24% 6% Forsa 06/29/2019 26% 12% 12% 8th % 8th % 26% 8th % Emnid 06/29/2019 26% 13% 14% 8th % 8th % 25% 6% Infratest dimap 06/28/2019 26% 13% 12% 9% 7% 25% 8th % GMS 06/25/2019 26% 13% 13% 8th % 8th % 26% 6% INSA 06/24/2019 25.5% 12.5% 13.5% 8.5% 9% 25.5% 5.5% Forsa 06/22/2019 24% 12% 13% 8th % 8th % 27% 8th % Emnid 06/22/2019 27% 12% 14% 7% 8th % 25% 7% Research group elections June 21, 2019 27% 14% 13% 7% 7% 26% 6% Allensbach June 21, 2019 29% 12% 12% 8th % 8th % 25% 6% INSA 06/17/2019 25% 13% 13.5% 9% 9% 25% 5.5% Forsa June 15, 2019 24% 11% 13% 9% 8th % 27% 8th % Emnid June 15, 2019 25% 12% 13% 8th % 8th % 27% 7% INSA 06/11/2019 24% 13% 13.5% 9% 7.5% 26.5% 6.5% Forsa 06/08/2019 24% 12% 12% 8th % 8th % 27% 9% Emnid 06/08/2019 27% 12% 12% 8th % 7% 27% 7% Infratest dimap 06/06/2019 25% 12% 13% 8th % 7% 26% 9% Research group elections 06/06/2019 27% 13% 13% 7% 7% 26% 7% INSA 06/03/2019 26% 14% 13% 8th % 8th % 25% 6% Forsa 06/01/2019 26% 12% 11% 8th % 7% 27% 9% Emnid 06/01/2019 28% 16% 13% 8th % 8th % 20% 7% INSA May 27, 2019 27.5% 15.5% 13.5% 9.5% 9% 19% 6% Forsa May 27, 2019 28% 17% 13% 8th % 8th % 18% 8th % Emnid 05/25/2019 29% 17% 13% 9% 9% 17% 6% Allensbach 05/23/2019 30% 17.5% 13% 9% 8.5% 17% 5% YouGov May 21, 2019 29% 18% 12% 8th % 9% 18% 6% INSA 05/20/2019 28% 15.5% 14% 10% 9% 18.5% 5% Forsa 05/20/2019 29% 16% 13% 8th % 9% 19% 6% Emnid May 18, 2019 29% 16% 13% 9% 9% 18% 6% INSA 05/13/2019 28.5% 16% 14% 9.5% 9% 19% 4% Forsa 05/13/2019 30% 15% 13% 8th % 8th % 20% 6% Emnid 05/11/2019 29% 16% 13% 9% 9% 19% 5% Research group elections 05/10/2019 30% 16% 14% 7% 8th % 20% 5% GMS 05/09/2019 29% 17% 13% 8th % 9% 19% 5% INSA 05/06/2019 28.5% 16% 14% 9% 8.5% 20% 4% Forsa 05/06/2019 29% 15% 13% 8th % 9% 20% 6% Emnid 05/04/2019 28% 17% 13% 9% 9% 19% 5% YouGov 05/03/2019 29% 18% 13% 9% 9% 17% 5% Infratest dimap 05/02/2019 28% 18% 12% 8th % 9% 20% 5% INSA 04/29/2019 28% 16% 14% 10% 9% 19% 4% Forsa 04/29/2019 27% 17% 13% 8th % 9% 20% 6% Emnid 04/27/2019 28% 17% 13% 9% 10% 18% 5% Forsa 04/22/2019 28% 17% 13% 9% 8th % 19% 6% INSA 04/21/2019 30% 16% 14% 10% 10% 17% 3% Emnid April 20, 2019 28% 18% 13% 8th % 9% 19% 5% Allensbach 04/18/2019 30% 18.5% 12.5% 9% 8th % 18% 4% Infratest dimap April 17, 2019 29% 16% 13% 8th % 8th % 21% 5% INSA April 15, 2019 30.5% 15.5% 14% 9% 9% 18% 4% Forsa 04/13/2019 29% 16% 12% 10% 8th % 19% 6% Emnid 04/13/2019 30% 17% 12% 9% 9% 17% 6% Research group elections 04/12/2019 28% 17% 13% 8th % 9% 20% 5% INSA 04/08/2019 29% 15.5% 14% 10% 8.5% 19% 4% Forsa 04/06/2019 29% 16% 12% 10% 8th % 20% 5% Emnid 04/06/2019 31% 17% 12% 8th % 9% 18% 5% Infratest dimap 04/04/2019 29% 17% 12% 9% 8th % 20% 5% GMS 04/04/2019 30% 15% 13% 10% 9% 18% 5% INSA 04/01/2019 29.5% 16.5% 13.5% 10% 8.5% 17.5% 4.5% Forsa 03/30/2019 28% 16% 12% 10% 8th % 20% 6% Emnid 03/30/2019 30% 16% 13% 9% 9% 17% 6% YouGov March 28, 2019 30% 18% 12% 9% 9% 17% 5% Research group elections March 28, 2019 30% 15% 13% 9% 9% 19% 5% Allensbach March 27, 2019 30% 18% 12% 8.5% 8.5% 19% 4% INSA 03/25/2019 30.5% 15.5% 13.5% 9% 9% 17.5% 5% Forsa 03/23/2019 30% 16% 11% 9% 8th % 20% 6% Emnid 03/23/2019 31% 17% 14% 8th % 8th % 17% 5% Infratest dimap 03/21/2019 29% 18% 12% 9% 8th % 19% 5% INSA 03/18/2019 29.5% 16% 14.5% 9% 9% 17.5% 4.5% Forsa March 16, 2019 31% 15% 12% 10% 7% 19% 6% Emnid March 16, 2019 31% 16% 13% 8th % 9% 17% 6% Research group elections 03/15/2019 31% 16% 12% 8th % 8th % 19% 6% Infratest dimap March 14, 2019 29% 17% 13% 8th % 9% 19% 5% INSA 03/11/2019 30.5% 15% 14.5% 10% 9% 17.5% 3.5% Forsa 09.03.2019 31% 15% 12% 9% 8th % 19% 6% Emnid 09.03.2019 31% 17% 14% 8th % 9% 16% 5% Forsa 04.03.2019 30% 16% 11% 9% 8th % 20% 6% Emnid 02.03.2019 29% 18% 14% 8th % 10% 16% 5% INSA 01.03.2019 29% 17% 14.5% 10% 10% 15.5% 4% GMS 02/28/2019 31% 16% 14% 9% 9% 18% 3% YouGov 02/27/2019 30% 18% 13% 9% 9% 17% 4% INSA 02/25/2019 29.5% 18% 14% 9.5% 9% 15.5% 4.5% Forsa 02/23/2019 30% 16% 12% 9% 7% 20% 6% Emnid 02/23/2019 29% 19% 13% 9% 9% 16% 5% Research group elections 02/22/2019 31% 15% 13% 7% 9% 20% 5% Infratest dimap 02/21/2019 30% 18% 12% 8th % 8th % 18% 6% Allensbach 02/19/2019 30% 18% 13.5% 8th % 8th % 18.5% 4% INSA 02/18/2019 30% 18% 14% 9% 9.5% 15% 4.5% Forsa 02/16/2019 29% 17% 12% 10% 6% 21% 5% Emnid 02/16/2019 30% 19% 13% 8th % 10% 15% 5% Infratest dimap 02/14/2019 29% 17% 13% 9% 8th % 19% 5% INSA 02/11/2019 29.5% 15.5% 14% 8.5% 10.5% 18.5% 3.5% Forsa 02/09/2019 31% 15% 12% 10% 8th % 19% 5% Emnid 02/09/2019 30% 17% 13% 9% 9% 17% 5% Research group elections 02/08/2019 30% 16% 12% 8th % 9% 20% 5% INSA 02/04/2019 30% 14.5% 14% 8.5% 10.5% 18.5% 4% Forsa 02/02/2019 32% 15% 12% 9% 8th % 19% 5% Emnid 02/02/2019 29% 16% 15% 10% 8th % 18% 4% YouGov January 31, 2019 32% 15% 14% 8th % 9% 18% 4% INSA 01/28/2019 30% 15% 14% 9% 10% 18% 4% Forsa 01/26/2019 32% 14% 11% 9% 9% 20% 5% Emnid 01/26/2019 29% 16% 14% 9% 9% 19% 4% Research group elections 01/25/2019 31% 14% 13% 8th % 9% 20% 5% Infratest dimap 01/25/2019 28% 15% 15% 9% 8th % 20% 5% GMS 01/24/2019 31% 14% 13% 10% 9% 19% 4% Allensbach 01/23/2019 31.5% 16.5% 13% 8.5% 8.5% 18% 4% INSA 01/21/2019 31% 13.5% 13% 9.5% 9.5% 19.5% 4% Forsa 01/19/2019 32% 15% 12% 9% 8th % 19% 5% Emnid 01/19/2019 30% 15% 14% 8th % 9% 18% 6% INSA 01/14/2019 29% 14.5% 14.5% 9.5% 10.5% 18% 4% Forsa 01/12/2019 32% 15% 12% 9% 8th % 19% 5% Emnid 01/12/2019 31% 15% 14% 8th % 9% 18% 5% Research group elections 11/01/2019 29% 14% 14% 8th % 9% 21% 5% Infratest dimap 10/01/2019 29% 15% 14% 9% 9% 20% 4% INSA 07/01/2019 30% 15% 15% 10% 10% 17% 3% Forsa 05/01/2019 32% 15% 12% 8th % 9% 19% 5% INSA 03/01/2019 29% 15% 14% 10% 10% 18% 4% Bundestag election 2017 09/24/2017 32.9% 20.5% 12.6% 10.7% 9.2% 8.9% 5%

2018

Institute date union SPD AfD FDP left Green Otherwise. YouGov December 28, 2018 30% 16% 14% 8th % 10% 18% 4% Forsa December 22, 2018 31% 14% 13% 8th % 8th % 20% 6% Emnid December 22, 2018 29% 15% 14% 9% 9% 19% 5% INSA December 22, 2018 29% 14% 15% 9% 9% 19% 5% Allensbach December 20, 2018 29% 16.5% 14% 8.5% 9% 19% 4% INSA December 17, 2018 29% 15% 15% 9.5% 9.5% 18% 4% Forsa December 15, 2018 32% 15% 12% 8th % 8th % 19% 6% Emnid December 15, 2018 30% 15% 14% 8th % 8th % 20% 5% Research group elections December 14, 2018 30% 15% 15% 7% 9% 19% 5% Infratest dimap December 14, 2018 31% 15% 13% 8th % 8th % 20% 5% GMS December 13, 2018 30% 14% 15% 9% 9% 19% 4% INSA December 10, 2018 29% 15% 15% 10% 10% 17% 4% Forsa December 10, 2018 32% 14% 13% 8th % 8th % 19% 6% Emnid December 8, 2018 29% 15% 14% 9% 9% 19% 5% Forsa 07.12.2018 29% 14% 13% 8th % 8th % 22% 6% Infratest dimap December 06, 2018 30% 14% 14% 8th % 8th % 20% 6% INSA 03.12.2018 27.5% 13.5% 16% 9.5% 11% 18% 4.5% Forsa December 01, 2018 27% 14% 14% 9% 8th % 22% 6% Emnid December 01, 2018 28% 15% 15% 9% 9% 19% 5% Allensbach 11/30/2018 28% 17% 13.5% 9.5% 9% 19% 4.5% Infratest dimap 11/30/2018 28% 14% 15% 9% 8th % 21% 5% YouGov 11/28/2018 27% 15% 14% 9% 10% 21% 4% INSA 11/26/2018 27.5% 14% 16% 8.5% 10% 19% 5% Forsa 11/24/2018 27% 14% 14% 9% 8th % 23% 5% Emnid 11/24/2018 26% 15% 15% 9% 9% 21% 5% Research group elections 11/23/2018 27% 14% 16% 8th % 9% 22% 4% INSA November 19, 2018 25.5% 14.5% 15.5% 9.5% 10% 20% 5% Forsa 11/17/2018 28% 14% 12% 9% 9% 23% 5% Emnid 11/17/2018 26% 15% 15% 8th % 9% 21% 6% Infratest dimap 11/15/2018 26% 14% 14% 8th % 9% 23% 6% INSA 11/12/2018 25.5% 14% 16.5% 9% 10% 20% 5% Forsa 11/11/2018 27% 14% 13% 9% 9% 23% 5% Emnid 11/10/2018 25% 15% 15% 8th % 9% 22% 6% Research group elections 11/09/2018 27% 14% 14% 9% 9% 22% 5% YouGov 07/11/2018 25% 14% 16% 10% 10% 21% 4% INSA 05.11.2018 24.5% 13.5% 16.5% 10% 11% 19% 5.5% Forsa 03/11/2018 27% 13% 13% 9% 9% 24% 5% Emnid 03/11/2018 25% 14% 15% 9% 10% 21% 6% INSA October 29, 2018 25% 14% 16.5% 9.5% 11% 20% 4% Forsa October 27, 2018 26% 14% 14% 9% 10% 21% 6% Emnid October 27, 2018 24% 15% 16% 10% 10% 20% 5% INSA 10/22/2018 26% 15% 17% 9% 10.5% 19% 3.5% Forsa October 20, 2018 27% 14% 15% 9% 9% 21% 5% Emnid October 20, 2018 25% 15% 15% 10% 10% 19% 6% Research group elections October 19, 2018 27% 14% 16% 8th % 10% 20% 5% Infratest dimap October 18, 2018 25% 14% 16% 11% 9% 19% 6% Allensbach October 18, 2018 29% 19% 15% 8.5% 9% 15% 4.5% INSA October 15, 2018 26.5% 15% 18% 9.5% 10.5% 17% 3.5% Forsa October 13, 2018 28% 16% 14% 9% 9% 19% 5% Emnid October 13, 2018 26% 17% 15% 9% 11% 17% 5% Infratest dimap 10/11/2018 26% 15% 16% 10% 10% 17% 6% GMS 10/11/2018 27% 15% 18% 10% 10% 16% 4% INSA 08/10/2018 26% 16% 18% 10% 11% 15% 4% Forsa 06.10.2018 28% 16% 14% 9% 10% 18% 5% Emnid 06.10.2018 27% 17% 16% 9% 10% 16% 5% INSA October 01, 2018 26% 16% 18.5% 10% 11.5% 14.5% 3.5% Forsa 29.09.2018 28% 16% 15% 8th % 10% 17% 5% Emnid 29.09.2018 27% 16% 17% 10% 11% 15% 4% Research group elections 09/28/2018 28% 17% 16% 8th % 10% 17% 4% YouGov 09/27/2018 27% 17% 18% 9% 11% 14% 4% GMS 09/27/2018 27% 16% 18% 9% 10% 15% 5% INSA 09/24/2018 27% 16% 18% 10% 11.5% 14.5% 3% Forsa 09/22/2018 28% 17% 15% 9% 10% 16% 5% Emnid 09/22/2018 28% 17% 16% 9% 11% 14% 5% INSA 09/21/2018 27.5% 16.5% 17.5% 10% 11% 14.5% 3% Infratest dimap 09/20/2018 28% 17% 18% 9% 10% 15% 3% Allensbach September 18, 2018 31.5% 19.5% 15% 8.5% 9% 12.5% 4% INSA 09/17/2018 28.5% 17% 17.5% 9% 10.5% 13% 4.5% Forsa 09/15/2018 30% 18% 13% 8th % 10% 16% 5% Emnid 09/15/2018 30% 18% 15% 9% 10% 13% 5% Research group elections 14.09.2018 30% 20% 15% 7% 8th % 16% 4% GMS 09/11/2018 29% 17% 16% 9% 9% 14% 6% INSA 09/10/2018 28% 17% 17.5% 9% 10.5% 13.5% 4.5% Forsa 09/08/2018 31% 16% 14% 9% 10% 15% 5% Emnid 09/08/2018 29% 17% 15% 9% 10% 14% 6% Infratest dimap 09/06/2018 29% 18% 16% 8th % 10% 14% 5% INSA 03.09.2018 28.5% 16% 17% 9.5% 10% 13.5% 5.5% Forsa 09/01/2018 30% 17% 16% 8th % 8th % 16% 5% Emnid 09/01/2018 30% 19% 15% 9% 9% 14% 4% Research group elections 08/31/2018 31% 18% 17% 8th % 8th % 14% 4% YouGov 08/30/2018 28% 17% 17% 9% 11% 13% 5% INSA 08/27/2018 28% 16.5% 16.5% 10% 10.5% 13.5% 5% Forsa 08/25/2018 30% 18% 14% 8th % 10% 15% 5% Emnid 08/25/2018 30% 18% 14% 9% 9% 15% 5% Infratest dimap 08/24/2018 29% 18% 17% 8th % 9% 14% 5% INSA 08/20/2018 28% 16.5% 16% 10% 12% 13.5% 4% Forsa 08/18/2018 30% 18% 14% 9% 10% 15% 4% Emnid 08/18/2018 30% 17% 15% 9% 9% 15% 5% Allensbach 08/15/2018 31% 20% 14.5% 9% 9% 12.5% 4% INSA 08/13/2018 29% 17.5% 17% 9.5% 11% 12.5% 3.5% Forsa 08/11/2018 30% 18% 14% 10% 9% 15% 4% Emnid 08/11/2018 31% 17% 14% 8th % 10% 15% 5% Research group elections 08/10/2018 31% 18% 16% 8th % 9% 15% 3% INSA 08/06/2018 30% 17% 17% 8.5% 11% 12.5% 4% Forsa 08/04/2018 31% 18% 14% 10% 9% 13% 5% Emnid 08/04/2018 30% 18% 15% 8th % 9% 15% 5% Infratest dimap 08/02/2018 29% 18% 17% 7% 9% 15% 5% GMS 08/01/2018 30% 17% 16% 10% 10% 13% 4% INSA 07/30/2018 29% 18% 17.5% 9% 10.5% 12% 4% Forsa 07/28/2018 32% 18% 14% 9% 9% 13% 5% Emnid 07/28/2018 29% 18% 15% 9% 10% 14% 5% Infratest dimap 07/27/2018 30% 18% 16% 8th % 8th % 15% 5% YouGov July 25, 2018 30% 17% 17% 9% 11% 12% 4% INSA 07/23/2018 29% 18% 17.5% 9% 10.5% 12% 4% Forsa 07/21/2018 31% 18% 15% 8th % 10% 13% 5% Emnid 07/21/2018 30% 19% 15% 9% 10% 12% 5% Allensbach 07/17/2018 30.5% 20% 15% 9.5% 9% 12% 4% INSA July 16, 2018 29% 17% 17.5% 9.5% 10% 13% 4% Forsa 07/14/2018 31% 17% 16% 9% 9% 13% 5% Emnid 07/14/2018 30% 18% 16% 9% 10% 12% 5% Research group elections 07/13/2018 31% 18% 15% 7% 11% 14% 4% GMS 07/12/2018 30% 17% 17% 9% 10% 12% 5% INSA 07/09/2018 29% 17% 17.5% 9.5% 11% 12% 4% Forsa 07/07/2018 30% 17% 16% 10% 9% 13% 5% Emnid 07/07/2018 30% 17% 17% 9% 9% 12% 6% Infratest dimap 07/05/2018 30% 18% 16% 8th % 9% 14% 5% INSA 07/02/2018 29% 19% 16.5% 9% 11% 12% 3.5% Forsa 06/30/2018 31% 17% 15% 10% 10% 12% 5% Emnid 06/30/2018 32% 19% 14% 9% 9% 12% 5% Research group elections 06/29/2018 32% 18% 14% 9% 10% 14% 3% Infratest dimap 06/27/2018 32% 19% 14% 8th % 9% 13% 5% YouGov 06/27/2018 30% 17% 16% 10% 11% 12% 4% INSA June 25, 2018 29% 19.5% 16% 9% 11% 11% 4.5% Forsa 06/24/2018 30% 17% 15% 9% 10% 13% 6% Emnid June 23, 2018 31% 18% 16% 9% 10% 12% 4% Allensbach June 20, 2018 33% 21% 13% 9.5% 9.5% 11% 3% INSA 06/18/2018 29% 19% 16% 8th % 12% 11% 5% Forsa June 16, 2018 30% 16% 15% 10% 9% 14% 6% Emnid June 16, 2018 33% 18% 15% 8th % 11% 11% 4% Infratest dimap 06/14/2018 31% 18% 15% 8th % 10% 13% 5% Forsa 06/13/2018 34% 18% 13% 9% 8th % 12% 6% INSA 06/11/2018 31% 17% 16% 8th % 12% 11% 5% Forsa 06/09/2018 33% 18% 13% 9% 10% 12% 5% Emnid 06/09/2018 32% 19% 14% 8th % 11% 12% 4% Research group elections 06/08/2018 33% 20% 13% 8th % 10% 13% 3% INSA 04.06.2018 32% 17% 16% 8th % 11.5% 11% 4.5% Forsa 02.06.2018 34% 18% 13% 8th % 10% 12% 5% Emnid 02.06.2018 32% 18% 15% 7% 11% 13% 4% YouGov 05/30/2018 33% 17% 16% 9% 11% 11% 3% INSA May 28, 2018 32% 17% 15.5% 8th % 12% 11.5% 4% Forsa May 27, 2018 33% 18% 13% 8th % 10% 13% 5% Emnid 05/26/2018 33% 17% 14% 8th % 11% 13% 4% INSA May 22, 2018 32.5% 16.5% 15.5% 8th % 11% 11.5% 5% Forsa May 19, 2018 33% 18% 13% 9% 9% 12% 6% Emnid May 19, 2018 33% 17% 14% 9% 10% 13% 4% Research group elections May 18, 2018 34% 20% 14% 8th % 9% 12% 3% Infratest dimap May 18, 2018 33% 17% 14% 8th % 10% 13% 5% GMS 05/17/2018 34% 16% 14% 9% 10% 12% 5% Allensbach 05/17/2018 34% 20% 11.5% 9% 10% 11% 4.5% INSA May 14, 2018 32.5% 17% 15.5% 8th % 11% 11.5% 4.5% Forsa 05/12/2018 34% 17% 13% 8th % 10% 13% 5% Emnid 05/12/2018 33% 17% 14% 9% 10% 12% 5% Infratest dimap 05/09/2018 32% 18% 15% 8th % 9% 13% 5% INSA 07/05/2018 32.5% 17% 15.5% 8.5% 10.5% 11.5% 4.5% Forsa 05/05/2018 34% 18% 13% 9% 10% 11% 5% Emnid 05/05/2018 34% 17% 14% 8th % 10% 12% 5% INSA 04/30/2018 33% 17% 15.5% 9% 10.5% 11.5% 3.5% Forsa 04/28/2018 34% 17% 12% 9% 10% 13% 5% Emnid 04/28/2018 32% 18% 14% 9% 11% 12% 4% Research group elections 04/27/2018 34% 20% 13% 7% 10% 13% 3% GMS 04/27/2018 33% 17% 13% 9% 11% 12% 5% YouGov 04/26/2018 32% 18% 15% 9% 10% 12% 4% Allensbach 04/25/2018 34% 20.5% 12% 10% 9% 11% 3.5% INSA 04/23/2018 31.5% 18% 15.5% 9.5% 10.5% 12% 3% Forsa 04/23/2018 34% 18% 12% 9% 10% 13% 4% Emnid 04/21/2018 33% 18% 13% 9% 11% 12% 4% Infratest dimap April 19, 2018 32% 17% 15% 10% 10% 12% 4% INSA 04/16/2018 31.5% 18.5% 15% 9% 11% 11.5% 3.5% Forsa 04/14/2018 34% 19% 12% 9% 10% 12% 4% Emnid 04/14/2018 33% 18% 14% 9% 11% 11% 4% Research group elections 04/13/2018 33% 19% 13% 8th % 9% 14% 4% INSA 04/09/2018 31.5% 17.5% 15.5% 9% 12% 11.5% 3% Emnid 04/07/2018 34% 17% 13% 8th % 11% 12% 5% Forsa 04/07/2018 32% 20% 13% 9% 10% 11% 5% Infratest dimap 04/05/2018 33% 18% 14% 9% 10% 12% 4% INSA 04/02/2018 32% 18% 15% 10% 12% 10% 3% Emnid March 31, 2018 34% 18% 12% 8th % 11% 12% 5% Forsa March 31, 2018 33% 18% 13% 9% 10% 12% 5% YouGov 28.03.2018 34% 17% 15% 8th % 11% 11% 4% INSA 03/26/2018 32.5% 17% 15% 10% 12% 10.5% 3% Emnid March 24, 2018 34% 18% 13% 9% 10% 12% 4% Forsa March 24, 2018 31% 19% 14% 9% 11% 12% 4% Infratest dimap March 22, 2018 33% 19% 13% 9% 10% 12% 4% GMS March 22, 2018 33% 18% 13% 10% 10% 11% 5% Allensbach 03/21/2018 34% 19% 12.5% 10% 10% 11% 3.5% INSA 03/19/2018 32% 17.5% 15% 10% 12% 10.5% 3% Forsa 03/17/2018 34% 19% 13% 8th % 10% 11% 5% Emnid 03/17/2018 33% 19% 14% 9% 10% 11% 4% Research group elections March 16, 2018 32% 19% 13% 9% 11% 12% 4% INSA 03/12/2018 32% 17.5% 15% 9.5% 12% 11% 3% Forsa 03/11/2018 34% 18% 12% 9% 10% 13% 4% Emnid 03/10/2018 33% 19% 13% 8th % 10% 12% 5% Forsa 05.03.2018 34% 19% 13% 9% 9% 12% 4% INSA 05.03.2018 33% 15% 15% 10% 12% 12% 3% Emnid 03.03.2018 33% 16% 15% 9% 11% 12% 4% Forsa 03.03.2018 35% 18% 13% 9% 9% 12% 4% Infratest dimap 01.03.2018 34% 18% 15% 9% 9% 11% 4% YouGov 02/28/2018 32% 16% 16% 8th % 12% 12% 4% INSA 02/26/2018 32.5% 15.5% 16% 9% 12% 12% 3% Emnid February 24, 2018 33% 17% 15% 10% 11% 11% 3% Forsa February 24, 2018 35% 18% 13% 9% 9% 12% 4% Research group elections 02/23/2018 33% 17% 14% 8th % 11% 12% 5% Allensbach 02/23/2018 32% 17.5% 13% 11% 9.5% 12% 5% Infratest dimap 02/22/2018 34% 17% 14% 9% 10% 12% 4% INSA February 19, 2018 32% 15.5% 16% 9% 11% 13% 3.5% Emnid 02/17/2018 33% 19% 14% 9% 10% 11% 4% Forsa 02/17/2018 34% 16% 13% 9% 10% 13% 5% Infratest dimap 02/15/2018 33% 16% 15% 9% 11% 13% 3% INSA 02/12/2018 29.5% 16.5% 15% 10.5% 11.5% 13% 4% Forsa 02/11/2018 31% 17% 13% 10% 10% 13% 5% Emnid 02/10/2018 34% 20% 12% 9% 9% 11% 5% Forsa 02/09/2018 31% 18% 13% 10% 10% 13% 5% GMS 02/08/2018 32% 18% 14% 9% 9% 13% 5% INSA 02/05/2018 30.5% 17% 15% 10% 11% 12.5% 4% Forsa 02/05/2018 33% 18% 13% 9% 9% 13% 5% Emnid 02/03/2018 33% 20% 13% 9% 10% 11% 4% Research group elections 02/02/2018 31% 19% 14% 7% 11% 14% 4% Infratest dimap 02/01/2018 33% 18% 14% 10% 11% 11% 3% INSA 01/29/2018 33.5% 17.5% 14% 9% 11% 11% 4% Forsa 01/29/2018 34% 18% 12% 9% 10% 12% 5% Emnid 01/27/2018 34% 20% 12% 8th % 10% 11% 5% Infratest dimap 01/26/2018 33% 19% 12% 10% 10% 11% 5% YouGov 01/25/2018 34% 19% 14% 8th % 11% 10% 4% Allensbach 01/25/2018 34% 21% 12% 10% 8.5% 10.5% 4% INSA 01/23/2018 31.5% 18% 14% 10% 11% 10% 5.5% Forsa 01/22/2018 34% 17% 13% 8th % 11% 12% 5% Forsa 01/21/2018 34% 18% 12% 8th % 10% 12% 6% Emnid January 20, 2018 33% 21% 13% 8th % 10% 10% 5% Research group elections 01/19/2018 33% 20% 12% 8th % 10% 12% 5% Forsa January 18, 2018 34% 18% 12% 8th % 10% 12% 6% INSA January 15, 2018 31.5% 18.5% 14% 9.5% 11.5% 10% 5% Forsa January 15, 2018 33% 20% 11% 9% 9% 12% 6% Emnid 01/13/2018 34% 21% 13% 8th % 9% 11% 4% INSA 01/08/2018 31.5% 19.5% 13.5% 10% 11% 10% 4.5% Forsa 07/01/2018 34% 20% 10% 9% 9% 12% 6% Emnid 01/06/2018 33% 20% 12% 9% 9% 12% 5% Infratest dimap 04/01/2018 33% 21% 13% 9% 9% 11% 4% GMS 03/01/2018 32% 20% 14% 9% 10% 11% 4% INSA 02/01/2018 32.5% 19.5% 13% 10% 11% 10% 4% Bundestag election 2017 09/24/2017 32.9% 20.5% 12.6% 10.7% 9.2% 8.9% 5%

2017

Institute date union SPD AfD FDP left Green Otherwise. YouGov December 28, 2017 33% 21% 13% 9% 10% 10% 4% Forsa December 27, 2017 34% 19% 12% 8th % 10% 12% 5% Emnid December 23, 2017 33% 21% 12% 8th % 10% 11% 5% INSA December 23, 2017 33% 20.5% 13% 10.5% 10% 9.5% 3.5% Allensbach December 21, 2017 34% 21% 11% 10% 9% 11.5% 3.5% INSA December 19, 2017 31% 21% 14% 9% 11% 10% 4% Forsa December 16, 2017 33% 20% 12% 8th % 10% 12% 5% Emnid December 16, 2017 32% 22% 13% 8th % 9% 11% 5% Infratest dimap December 14, 2017 32% 20% 13% 9% 9% 12% 5% INSA 12/12/2017 31% 22% 13.5% 9% 10.5% 10.5% 3.5% Forsa December 10, 2017 34% 20% 11% 8th % 9% 12% 6% Emnid 09.12.2017 33% 21% 12% 9% 10% 11% 4% Research group elections December 08, 2017 32% 23% 12% 8th % 9% 12% 4% Infratest dimap 07.12.2017 32% 21% 13% 9% 10% 11% 4% INSA 05.12.2017 31% 22% 13% 10% 11% 10% 3% Forsa 04.12.2017 34% 20% 10% 8th % 9% 13% 6% GMS 04.12.2017 32% 21% 13% 10% 10% 10% 4% Emnid 02.12.2017 33% 21% 12% 9% 10% 10% 5% Allensbach 11/30/2017 33% 21.5% 11% 10% 9% 11% 4.5% YouGov 11/29/2017 32% 21% 13% 9% 10% 10% 5% Forsa 11/27/2017 33% 19% 11% 10% 9% 12% 6% INSA 11/27/2017 32% 22% 13% 10% 10% 10% 3% Emnid 11/25/2017 33% 22% 11% 9% 10% 10% 5% INSA 11/23/2017 32% 21% 12% 12% 10% 10% 3% INSA 11/21/2017 30% 21% 14% 11% 11% 10% 3% INSA 11/21/2017 31% 21% 14% 10% 11.5% 9.5% 3% Infratest dimap 11/20/2017 32% 22% 11% 10% 10% 11% 4% Forsa 11/20/2017 31% 21% 12% 10% 9% 12% 5% Forsa 11/20/2017 32% 20% 12% 12% 8th % 11% 5% Emnid 11/18/2017 31% 21% 13% 10% 9% 11% 5% Research group elections 11/17/2017 33% 21% 11% 10% 9% 12% 4% Infratest dimap 11/16/2017 31% 21% 12% 11% 10% 11% 4% INSA 11/14/2017 32% 20% 13.5% 10.5% 10.5% 9% 4.5% Forsa 11/13/2017 32% 20% 12% 12% 9% 10% 5% Emnid 11/11/2017 30% 22% 13% 11% 10% 10% 4% Infratest dimap 11/09/2017 30% 21% 13% 12% 9% 11% 4% INSA 07/11/2017 31% 22% 13.5% 10.5% 10.5% 8.5% 4% Forsa 11/06/2017 32% 21% 12% 11% 9% 10% 5% Emnid 04/11/2017 31% 21% 12% 10% 10% 11% 5% Forsa 11/01/2017 33% 20% 11% 11% 9% 11% 5% INSA 10/30/2017 31% 21% 13% 11% 10% 10% 4% Emnid 28.10.2017 31% 22% 12% 11% 9% 10% 5% Research group elections October 27, 2017 33% 21% 12% 10% 9% 11% 4% Allensbach 10/25/2017 33% 20.5% 12% 12% 9% 9.5% 4% Forsa 10/25/2017 31% 22% 11% 11% 10% 10% 5% INSA October 24, 2017 33% 21% 13% 10% 10% 9% 4% Emnid October 21, 2017 32% 21% 12% 11% 9% 10% 5% Infratest dimap October 20, 2017 31% 21% 12% 12% 9% 11% 4% GMS October 19, 2017 31% 21% 13% 12% 10% 9% 4% Forsa October 18, 2017 32% 20% 12% 11% 9% 11% 5% INSA 16.10.2017 32% 21.5% 13% 10% 9% 9.5% 5% Emnid 14.10.2017 31% 21% 12% 11% 10% 10% 5% Research group elections October 13, 2017 31% 21% 12% 11% 10% 11% 4% Infratest dimap October 12, 2017 32% 20% 11% 11% 10% 10% 6% Forsa 10/11/2017 32% 20% 12% 11% 9% 11% 5% INSA 10/10/2017 32% 22% 13% 11% 9% 9% 4% Emnid 07.10.2017 32% 22% 12% 10% 10% 9% 5% Forsa 04.10.2017 32% 20% 12% 11% 10% 10% 5% INSA 10/01/2017 31% 21% 13% 12% 9% 10% 4% Emnid 09/30/2017 33% 21% 12% 11% 10% 10% 3% Research group elections 09/29/2017 32% 21% 12% 10% 10% 11% 4% Bundestag election 2017 09/24/2017 32.9% 20.5% 12.6% 10.7% 9.2% 8.9% 5%

Mean values ​​of the Sunday questions

The surveys sometimes produce significantly different results. a. can be traced back to the individual survey methods used by the institutes. The determination of the mean values ​​from the various surveys is therefore - in addition to the surveys themselves - a further instrument for the most realistic possible forecasts.

Average value according to the latest survey per institute

compared to the 2017 federal election

 %

40

30th

20th

10

0

36.8

18.2

16.1

10

7.6

5.5

5.7

union

Green

SPD

AfD

left

FDP

Otherwise.

Gains and losses

compared to 2017

 % p

 10

   8th

   6th

   4th

   2

   0

  -2

  -4

  -6

+3.9

+9.3

-4.4

-2.6

-1.6

-5.2

+0.7

union

Green

SPD

AfD

left

FDP

Otherwise.

Average values ​​of the current survey of all institutes

With the mean values ​​from the last Sunday questions of the individual institutes, the political mood can be determined as up-to-date as possible. The table below is dynamic; H. an older one is replaced by the latest survey from an institute and the mean value from all surveys is calculated. If the last publication of an institute was more than two weeks ago, it will no longer be taken into account.

Institute	date	union	SPD	AfD	FDP	left	Green	Otherwise.
Allensbach	07/22/2020	38%	17%	9%	5.5%	7%	19%	4.5%
Forsa	08/29/2020	36%	16%	9%	5%	7%	19%	8th %
Research group elections	08/28/2020	38%	16%	9%	5%	8th %	19%	5%
GMS	last survey older than two weeks
Infratest dimap	08/20/2020	37%	16%	10%	6%	8th %	17%	6%
INSA	08/31/2020	36.5%	16%	11%	6%	7.5%	17.5%	5.5%
Cantar	08/29/2020	36%	16%	11%	6%	8th %	18%	5%
YouGov	08/28/2020	36%	16%	11%	5%	8th %	18%	6%
Average	08/31/2020	36.8%	16.1%	10.0%	5.5%	7.6%	18.2%	5.7%

Monthly mean

The table below shows the monthly mean values ​​for the individual parties. The time of the survey of the mean value corresponds to the last day of the respective month and contains the mean value of all surveys of the respective month. The number in brackets after the respective month indicates the number of surveys taken into account.

month	year	union	SPD	AfD	FDP	left	Green	Otherwise.
August (22)	2020	36.7%	16.0%	10.1%	06.0%	7.9%	17.5%0	5.8%
July (18)	2020	37.5%	14.8%	10.1%	05.9%	7.6%	18.3%0	5.8%
June (20)	2020	38.3%	15.0%	09.5%	05.9%	7.9%	17.7%0	5.8%
May (20)	2020	38.4%	15.3%	10.1%	05.8%	7.8%	16.4%0	6.3%
April (20)	2020	37.1%	16.4%	10.0%	05.8%	7.9%	17.1%0	5.8%
March (20)	2020	29.6%	15.6%	11.9%	06.4%	8.8%	21.2%0	6.6%
Bundestag election 2017	09/24/2017	32.9%	20.5%	12.6%	10.7%	9.2%	8.9%	5.0%
Older averages month year union SPD AfD FDP left Green Otherwise. February (18) 2020 27.1% 14.4% 13.1% 07.3% 9.5% 22.0%0 6.6% January (15) 2020 27.3% 13.4% 13.9% 08.7% 8.7% 21.9%0 6.1% December (16) 2019 27.4% 13.7% 14.3% 08.5% 8.6% 21.3%0 6.3% November (21) 2019 26.6% 14.4% 14.0% 08.1% 9.5% 20.8%0 6.6% October (18) 2019 27.8% 14.1% 14.1% 07.5% 8.1% 21.9%0 6.6% September (20) 2019 27.3% 14.6% 14.3% 07.5% 7.5% 22.5%0 6.5% August (18) 2019 26.8% 13.3% 13.7% 08.3% 7.9% 23.6%0 6.3% July (20) 2019 26.8% 13.3% 13.1% 08.1% 8.3% 24.2%0 6.4% June (20) 2019 25.9% 12.7% 12.8% 08.1% 7.8% 25.7%0 7.1% May (18) 2019 28.8% 16.5% 13.1% 08.6% 8.8% 18.8%0 5.4% April (18) 2019 29.1% 16.6% 12.9% 09.1% 8.7% 18.8%0 4.9% March (20) 2019 30.0% 16.4% 12.9% 08.9% 8.6% 18.1%0 5.2% February (19) 2019 30.0% 16.7% 13.1% 08.8% 8.7% 18.1%0 4.7% January (19) 2019 30.4% 14.8% 13.4% 08.9% 9.1% 18.9%0 4.5% December (19) 2018 29.6% 14.7% 14.1% 08.6% 8.8% 19.3%0 5.1% November (19) 2018 26.4% 14.3% 14.7% 08.9% 9.3% 21.3%0 5.0% October (18) 2018 26.4% 15.4% 16.0% 09.4% 10.1%0 18.0%0 4.8% September (23) 2018 28.7% 17.2% 16.1% 08.8% 10.0%0 14.6%0 4.6% August (19) 2018 29.8% 17.7% 15.5% 08.8% 9.7% 14.0%0 4.5% July (19) 2018 30.0% 17.8% 16.1% 08.9% 9.8% 12.7%0 4.6% June (21) 2018 31.6% 18.2% 14.6% 08.6% 10.3%0 12.1%0 4.5% May (18) 2018 33.1% 17.5% 14.1% 08.4% 10.2%0 12.1%0 4.6% April (20) 2018 32.8% 18.2% 13.7% 09.0% 10.5%0 11.9%0 3.9% March (21) 2018 33.2% 18.0% 13.6% 09.1% 10.5%0 11.6%0 4.0% February (22) 2018 32.4% 17.3% 14.0% 09.2% 10.4%0 12.3%0 4.3% January (21) 2018 33.1% 19.3% 12.7% 08.9% 10.0%0 11.1%0 4.9% December (18) 2017 32.7% 20.9% 12.3% 09.0% 9.8% 11.0%0 4.4% November (23) 2017 31.6% 20.8% 12.4% 10.8% 9.6% 10.6%0 4.3% October (19) 2017 31.7% 21.0% 12.2% 11.0% 9.5% 10.0%0 4.6% September (2) 2017 32.5% 21.0% 12.0% 10.5% 10.0%0 10.5%0 3.5% Bundestag election 2017 09/24/2017 32.9% 20.5% 12.6% 10.7% 9.2% 8.9% 5.0%

course

Course of the mean values, as of August 6, 2020

Government opportunities and coalitions

Parliamentary majorities

The following table is not about the distribution of seats, but about the representation of parliamentary majorities based on the second vote polls. Parties below the 5 percent threshold are not included. The figures show the percentage of seats in parliament. Those constellations are listed that are currently realistic for reasons of political content.

Potential alliances that, according to surveys, would have a majority are marked accordingly. The coalition that would have the largest majority is also shown in bold.

month	year	Union SPD	Union Green FDP	Union FDP	Union Greens	Green SPD FDP	Green SPD Left	Union alone	SPD Left	Green SPD
August	2020	55.9%	63.8%	45.3%	57.5%	41.9%	43.9%	38.9%	25.4%	35.6%
July	2020	55.6%	65.5%	46.1%	59.2%	41.4%	43.2%	39.8%	23.9%	35.1%
June	2020	56.6%	65.7%	46.9%	59.4%	41.0%	43.1%	40.6%	24.3%	34.7%
May	2020	57.3%	64.6%	47.1%	58.4%	40.0%	42.2%	40.9%	24.7%	33.8%
April	2020	56.8%	63.7%	45.6%	57.5%	41.7%	43.8%	39.4%	25.7%	35.5%
March	2020	48.4%	61.2%	38.5%	54.3%	46.3%	48.8%	31.6%	26.1%	39.4%
Bundestag election 2017	09/24/2017	56.2%	55.3%	45.9%	44.0%	42.2%	40.6%	34.6%	31.2%	30.9%
Overview of older majorities month year Union SPD Union Green FDP Union FDP Union Greens Green SPD FDP Green SPD Left Union alone SPD Left Green SPD February 2020 44.5% 60.4% 36.8% 52.6% 46.8% 49.2% 29.0% 25.6% 39.0% January 2020 43.3% 61.7% 38.3% 52.4% 46.8% 46.8% 29.1% 23.5% 37.6% December 2019 43.8% 60.9% 38.3% 51.9% 46.3% 46.4% 29.2% 23.7% 37.3% November 2019 43.9% 59.4% 37.2% 50.7% 46.4% 47.8% 28.5% 25.6% 37.7% October 2019 44.8% 61.2% 37.8% 53.2% 46.6% 47.2% 29.7% 23.7% 38.5% September 2019 44.7% 61.2% 37.2% 53.2% 47.7% 47.6% 29.1% 23.6% 39.7% August 2019 42.9% 62.7% 37.5% 53.9% 48.3% 47.9% 28.6% 22.6% 39.5% July 2019 42.7% 63.1% 37.2% 54.4% 48.7% 48.8% 28.6% 22.9% 40.0% June 2019 41.5% 64.2% 36.5% 55.5% 50.0% 49.7% 27.9% 22.0% 41.3% May 2019 47.9% 59.4% 39.6% 50.3% 46.3% 46.5% 30.4% 26.7% 37.2% April 2019 48.0% 59.8% 40.1% 50.3% 46.7% 46.3% 30.6% 26.6% 37.1% March 2019 48.9% 60.1% 41.0% 50.7% 45.7% 45.4% 31.7% 26.4% 36.3% February 2019 49.0% 59.7% 40.7% 50.4% 45.8% 45.6% 31.5% 26.6% 36.5% January 2019 47.4% 60.9% 41.2% 51.6% 44.6% 44.8% 31.9% 25.0% 35.3% December 2018 46.6% 60.4% 40.1% 51.4% 44.7% 45.0% 31.1% 24.7% 35.7% November 2018 42.9% 59.6% 37.2% 50.2% 46.9% 47.3% 27.8% 24.9% 37.5% October 2018 43.9% 56.5% 37.6% 46.6% 45.0% 45.7% 27.7% 26.8% 35.0% September 2018 48.1% 54.7% 39.3% 45.4% 42.6% 43.8% 30.1% 28.5% 33.4% August 2018 49.7% 55.1% 40.4% 45.9% 42.4% 43.3% 31.2% 28.6% 33.2% July 2018 50.1% 54.1% 40.7% 44.8% 41.3% 42.4% 31.4% 29.0% 32.1% June 2018 52.2% 54.9% 42.2% 45.9% 40.8% 42.6% 33.1% 29.8% 31.8% May 2018 53.1% 56.2% 43.6% 47.4% 39.8% 41.6% 34.7% 29.0% 30.9% April 2018 53.1% 55.9% 43.5% 46.6% 40.7% 42.2% 34.2% 29.8% 31.3% March 2018 53.3% 56.1% 44.0% 46.7% 40.2% 41.7% 34.5% 29.7% 30.8% February 2018 52.1% 56.4% 43.6% 46.8% 40.6% 41.9% 34.0% 29.0% 31.0% January 2018 55.1% 55.8% 44.2% 46.5% 41.3% 42.5% 34.8% 30.8% 32.0% December 2017 56.0% 55.0% 43.6% 45.6% 42.7% 43.6% 34.1% 32.1% 33.4% November 2017 54.9% 55.4% 44.3% 44.0% 44.2% 42.9% 33.0% 31.9% 32.9% October 2017 55.2% 55.2% 44.8% 43.7% 44.0% 42.5% 33.2% 32.0% 32.5% September 2017 55.4% 55.4% 44.6% 44.6% 43.5% 43.0% 33.6% 32.1% 32.6% Bundestag election 2017 09/24/2017 56.2% 55.3% 45.9% 44.0% 42.2% 40.6% 34.6% 31.2% 30.9%

course

Course of parliamentary majorities, as of August 6, 2020

Sunday question by region and groups of people

West and East Germany

Traditionally, after a federal election, the results are divided into old states with West Berlin and new states with East Berlin. Some of the surveys deviate from this breakdown. Likewise, reference is made to a higher range of fluctuation in the surveys for eastern Germany.

West Germany

Institute	date	union	SPD	FDP	AfD	Green	left	Otherwise.
YouGov	08/28/2020	38%	17%	5%	9%	19%	7%	5%
YouGov	08/06/2020	38%	15%	6%	10%	19%	7%	6%
Forsa	07/18/2020	39%	14%	7%	7%	20%	6%	7%
Forsa	04/25/2020	40%	17%	6%	7%	17%	6%	7%
Bundestag election 2017	09/24/2017	34.1%	21.9%	11.4%	10.7%	9.8%	7.4%	4.7%
Older polls Institute date union SPD FDP AfD Green left Otherwise. Emnid 08/10/2019 27% 14% 9% 12% 24% 8th % 6% Emnid 08/03/2019 27% 13% 9% 12% 25% 7% 7% Infratest dimap 08/01/2019 27% 13% 9% 12% 28% 5% 6% Forsa 07/13/2019 27% 14% 8th % 10% 27% 6% 8th % Emnid April 20, 2019 29% 19% 9% 11% 20% 7% 5% Emnid 09/15/2018 31% 19% 10% 13% 14% 8th % 5% Emnid 09/08/2018 30% 18% 9% 13% 15% 9% 6% Infratest dimap 09/06/2018 30% 19% 9% 14% 15% 8th % 5% INSA 07/23/2018 29% 20% 10% 16% 12% 10% 3% Bundestag election 2017 09/24/2017 34.1% 21.9% 11.4% 10.7% 9.8% 7.4% 4.7%

East Germany

Institute	date	CDU	AfD	left	SPD	FDP	Green	Otherwise.
YouGov	08/28/2020	28%	19%	13%	11%	5%	14%	9%
YouGov	08/06/2020	28%	17%	16%	12%	6%	14%	7%
Forsa	07/18/2020	33%	19%	16%	13%	4%	9%	6%
Forsa	04/25/2020	33%	19%	17%	14%	3%	6%	8th %
Bundestag election 2017	09/24/2017	27.6%	21.9%	17.8%	13.9%	7.5%	5.0%	6.3%
Older polls Institute date CDU AfD left SPD FDP Green Otherwise. Emnid 08/10/2019 22% 24% 16% 12% 7% 11% 8th % Emnid 08/03/2019 22% 23% 14% 11% 7% 13% 10% Infratest dimap 08/01/2019 23% 22% 15% 11% 6% 15% 8th % Forsa 07/13/2019 23% 23% 17% 9% 5% 15% 8th % Emnid April 20, 2019 22% 23% 18% 14% 5% 12% 6% Forsa December 15, 2018 29% 26% 16% 8th % 6% 9% 6% Emnid 29.09.2018 22% 27% 18% 13% 8th % 8th % 4% Emnid 09/22/2018 22% 26% 18% 15% 7% 7% 5% Emnid 09/15/2018 24% 25% 18% 14% 7% 6% 6% Emnid 09/08/2018 25% 24% 17% 14% 7% 7% 6% Infratest dimap 09/06/2018 23% 27% 18% 15% 6% 7% 4% INSA 07/23/2018 27% 23% 17% 12% 7% 9% 5% Emnid 02/17/2018 26% 25% - 14% - - - Bundestag election 2017 09/24/2017 27.6% 21.9% 17.8% 13.9% 7.5% 5.0% 6.3%

Federal states

Baden-Württemberg

Institute	date	CDU	SPD	Green	FDP	AfD	left	Otherwise.
Forsa	02/04/2019	33%	10%	24%	10%	12%	6%	5%
Bundestag election 2017	09/24/2017	34.4%	16.4%	13.5%	12.7%	12.2%	6.4%	4.5%
Older polls Institute date CDU SPD Green FDP AfD left Otherwise. Forsa 02/25/2018 35% 13% 17% 11% 12% 8th % 4% Bundestag election 2017 09/24/2017 34.4% 16.4% 13.5% 12.7% 12.2% 6.4% 4.5%

Bavaria

Institute	date	CSU	SPD	AfD	FDP	Green	left	FW	Otherwise.
GMS	December 03, 2019	35%	10%	13%	08th %	21%	5%	3%	5%
Bundestag election 2017	09/24/2017	38.8%	15.3%	12.4%	10.2%	9.8%	6.1%	2.7%	4.7%
Older polls Institute date CSU SPD AfD FDP Green left FW Otherwise. INSA 09/25/2019 32.5% 10% 13% 6.5% 22.5% 4.5% 7.5% 3.5% GMS 06/25/2019 36% 9% 11% 09% 24% 4% 4% 3% INSA 06/27/2018 37% 14% 16% 07% 13% 5% 4% 4% Forsa June 25, 2018 36% 13% 15% 09% 14% 7% - 6% Forsa 02/25/2018 40% 13% 12% 08th % 14% 6% - 7% GMS 02/12/2018 39% 14% 14% 08th % 12% 5% 3% 5% GMS 02/01/2018 38% 15% 14% 09% 10% 5% 4% 5% INSA 12/13/2017 37% 15% 13% 09% 12% 6% 4% 4% GMS 11/30/2017 36% 15% 14% 09% 11% 6% 4% 5% Forsa 11/10/2017 36% 15% 13% 11% 12% 6% - 7% Bundestag election 2017 09/24/2017 38.8% 15.3% 12.4% 10.2% 9.8% 6.1% 2.7% 4.7%

Berlin

Institute	date	CDU	left	SPD	Green	AfD	FDP	Otherwise.
Forsa	02/11/2020	21%	16%	12%	26%	10%	6%	9%
Bundestag election 2017	09/24/2017	22.7%	18.8%	17.9%	12.6%	12%	8.9%	7.1%
Older polls Institute date CDU left SPD Green AfD FDP Otherwise. Forsa December 26, 2019 21% 16% 13% 24% 10% 7% 9% Forsa December 03, 2019 20% 16% 14% 24% 11% 7% 8th % Forsa 06/11/2019 22% 15% 13% 24% 11% 6% 9% Forsa October 02, 2019 22% 15% 13% 24% 11% 7% 8th % Forsa 08/31/2019 22% 17% 12% 24% 10% 7% 8th % Forsa 07/29/2019 22% 17% 14% 24% 10% 6% 7% Forsa 07/01/2019 21% 16% 14% 24% 11% 7% 7% Forsa 06/03/2019 19% 16% 14% 25% 12% 7% 7% Forsa 04/26/2019 20% 16% 14% 24% 13% 7% 6% Forsa 04/04/2019 21% 16% 13% 24% 12% 8th % 6% Forsa 05.03.2019 24% 15% 13% 23% 12% 7% 6% Forsa 02/05/2019 23% 17% 12% 23% 12% 7% 6% Forsa 01/01/2019 21% 16% 13% 23% 14% 8th % 5% Forsa December 06, 2018 19% 17% 12% 25% 15% 8th % 4% Forsa 10/26/2018 18% 18% 12% 26% 14% 8th % 4% Forsa October 01, 2018 19% 20% 14% 22% 15% 7% 3% Forsa 03.09.2018 21% 19% 15% 20% 15% 6% 4% Forsa 07/31/2018 21% 20% 15% 18% 15% 7% 4% Forsa 07/01/2018 21% 19% 17% 18% 13% 8th % 4% Forsa 06/01/2018 23% 19% 16% 18% 12% 8th % 4% Forsa 05/04/2018 23% 19% 17% 16% 12% 8th % 5% Forsa 04/04/2018 23% 20% 17% 15% 13% 8th % 4% Forsa 02/26/2018 25% 19% 17% 15% 11% 8th % 5% Forsa January 31, 2018 24% 19% 18% 15% 11% 7% 6% Forsa 02/01/2018 24% 19% 18% 15% 11% 6% 7% Forsa 11/26/2017 23% 18% 19% 14% 11% 8th % 7% Forsa 11/01/2017 23% 17% 20% 13% 11% 9% 6% Bundestag election 2017 09/24/2017 22.7% 18.8% 17.9% 12.6% 12% 8.9% 7.1%

Brandenburg

Institute	date	CDU	AfD	SPD	left	FDP	Green	Otherwise.
Forsa	01/01/2019	23%	20%	12%	18%	7%	14%	6%
Bundestag election 2017	09/24/2017	26.7%	20.2%	17.6%	17.2%	7.1%	5%	6.3%
Older polls Institute date CDU AfD SPD left FDP Green Otherwise. Forsa 11/10/2017 26% 20% 16% 19% 8th % 6% 5% Bundestag election 2017 09/24/2017 26.7% 20.2% 17.6% 17.2% 7.1% 5% 6.3%

Hamburg

Institute	date	CDU	SPD	Green	left	FDP	AfD	Otherwise.
Forsa	01/06/2020	21%	16%	29%	11%	8th %	9%	6%
Bundestag election 2017	09/24/2017	27.2%	23.5%	13.9%	12.2%	10.8%	7.8%	4.5%
Older polls Institute date CDU SPD Green left FDP AfD Otherwise. University of Hamburg March 20, 2019 20% 24% 32% 8th % 10% 3% 3% Forsa 07/01/2019 22% 17% 26% 10% 11% 9% 5% Bundestag election 2017 09/24/2017 27.2% 23.5% 13.9% 12.2% 10.8% 7.8% 4.5%

Hesse

Institute	date	CDU	SPD	AfD	FDP	Green	left	Otherwise.
Forsa	02/25/2018	31%	19%	12%	10%	14%	10%	4%
Bundestag election 2017	09/24/2017	30.9%	23.5%	11.9%	11.5%	9.7%	8.1%	4.4%

Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania

Institute	date	CDU	AfD	left	SPD	FDP	Green	Otherwise.
Forsa	January 16, 2020	27%	20%	16%	8th %	6%	14%	9%
Bundestag election 2017	09/24/2017	33.1%	18.6%	17.8%	15.1%	6.2%	4.3%	4.9%
Older polls Institute date CDU AfD left SPD FDP Green Otherwise. Forsa 09/27/2019 28% 21% 14% 10% 6% 14% 7% Forsa January 17, 2019 32% 20% 16% 11% 5% 11% 5% Forsa 06/30/2018 30% 21% 19% 12% 5% 8th % 5% Forsa January 18, 2018 33% 18% 18% 15% 5% 6% 5% Bundestag election 2017 09/24/2017 33.1% 18.6% 17.8% 15.1% 6.2% 4.3% 4.9%

Lower Saxony

Institute	date	CDU	SPD	FDP	AfD	Green	left	Otherwise.
Forsa	04.06.2020	40%	20%	5%	7%	16%	6%	6%
Bundestag election 2017	09/24/2017	34.9%	27.4%	9.3%	9.1%	8.7%	7.0%	3.6%
Older polls Institute date CDU SPD FDP AfD Green left Otherwise. Forsa 02/11/2019 33% 19% 8th % 9% 19% 7% 5% Forsa 02/25/2018 36% 24% 9% 8th % 12% 7% 4% Bundestag election 2017 09/24/2017 34.9% 27.4% 9.3% 9.1% 8.7% 7.0% 3.6%

North Rhine-Westphalia

Institute	date	CDU	SPD	FDP	AfD	Green	left	Otherwise.
Forsa	08/17/2019	27%	17%	10%	9%	25%	6%	6%
Bundestag election 2017	09/24/2017	32.6%	26.0%	13.1%	9.4%	7.6%	7.5%	3.8%
Older polls Institute date CDU SPD FDP AfD Green left Otherwise. Forsa 02/25/2018 34% 21% 11% 9% 11% 8th % 6% Bundestag election 2017 09/24/2017 32.6% 26.0% 13.1% 9.4% 7.6% 7.5% 3.8%

Rhineland-Palatinate

Institute	date	CDU	SPD	AfD	FDP	Green	left	Otherwise.
Forsa	02/11/2019	34%	16%	10%	10%	18%	7%	5%
Bundestag election 2017	09/24/2017	35.9%	24.1%	11.2%	10.4%	7.6%	6.8%	3.9%
Older polls Institute date CDU SPD AfD FDP Green left Otherwise. Infratest dimap 03/08/2018 34% 23% 12% 9% 12% 7% 3% Infratest dimap December 14, 2017 39% 24% 9% 8th % 12% 5% 3% Bundestag election 2017 09/24/2017 35.9% 24.1% 11.2% 10.4% 7.6% 6.8% 3.9%

Age groups

Institute	date	Age group	union	SPD	AfD	FDP	left	Green	Otherwise.
YouGov	08/28/2020	18 to 34 years	23%	12%	9%	5%	7%	35%	10%
		35 to 54 years	33%	13%	12%	6%	9%	18%	8th %
		55 years and older	44%	20%	11%	4%	8th %	10%	3%
YouGov	08/06/2020	18 to 34 years	28%	12%	6%	7%	8th %	30%	8th %
		35 to 54 years	32%	11%	17%	6%	8th %	19%	7%
		55 years and older	42%	17%	10%	6%	10%	12%	4%
Older polls Institute date Age group union SPD AfD FDP left Green Otherwise. YouGov 06/26/2020 18 to 34 years 29% 10% 10% 7% 11% 26% 7% 35 to 54 years 35% 12% 14% 6% 8th % 18% 7% 55 years and older 43% 20% 9% 3% 9% 12% 4% Forsa 06/13/2020 18 to 20 years 24% 9% 7% 4% 7% 42% 7% YouGov 05/28/2020 18 to 34 years 31% 9% 7% 7% 8th % 28% 9% 35 to 54 years 37% 13% 14% 5% 10% 15% 7% 55 years and older 40% 19% 11% 4% 9% 11% 6% Forsa 05/09/2020 18 to 24 years 28% 14% 5% 7% 6% 33% 7% 25 to 34 years 33% 12% 8th % 8th % 10% 17% 12% 35 to 44 years 37% 13% 13% 5% 8th % 16% 8th % 45 to 59 years 40% 13% 14% 6% 6% 14% 7% 60 to 69 years 44% 16% 9% 5% 7% 12% 7% 70 years and older 49% 21% 6% 5% 7% 6% 6% YouGov 04/30/2020 18 to 34 years 30% 12% 7% 7% 11% 26% 7% 35 to 54 years 35% 13% 14% 6% 8th % 15% 9% 55 years and older 42% 20% 11% 3% 8th % 12% 4% Forsa 04/25/2020 18 to 29 years 29% 14% - - - 26% - 60 years and older 46% 19% - - - 9% - YouGov 04/03/2020 18 to 34 years 25% 14% 9% 8th % 9% 28% 7% 35 to 54 years 34% 12% 16% 5% 11% 16% 6% 55 years and older 39% 20% 11% 6% 8th % 14% 3% YouGov 03/06/2020 18 to 34 years 18% 15% 8th % 9% 14% 26% 10% 35 to 54 years 24% 12% 19% 6% 8th % 21% 9% 55 years and older 34% 17% 13% 5% 10% 18% 4% YouGov December 18, 2019 18 to 34 years 14% 9% 11% 9% 10% 33% 14% 35 to 54 years 28% 10% 19% 7% 9% 21% 6% 55 years and older 32% 17% 14% 6% 11% 15% 5% YouGov 11/27/2019 18 to 34 years 15% 13% 9% 10% 10% 31% 12% 35 to 54 years 25% 9% 20% 6% 9% 21% 9% 55 years and older 32% 16% 15% 6% 10% 18% 3% YouGov 06/11/2019 18 to 34 years 20% 13% 11% 8th % 10% 27% 11% 35 to 54 years 28% 10% 21% 7% 9% 21% 9% 55 years and older 30% 15% 13% 7% 11% 20% 4% YouGov 03/10/2019 18 to 34 years 20% 12% 12% 10% 7% 27% 12% 35 to 54 years 24% 11% 22% 8th % 8th % 18% 9% 55 years and older 30% 15% 12% 7% 8th % 22% 6% YouGov 09/11/2019 18 to 34 years 19% 13% 6% 8th % 10% 33% 11% 35 to 54 years 28% 11% 19% 5% 6% 20% 11% 55 years and older 31% 19% 15% 5% 8th % 18% 5% YouGov July 31, 2019 18 to 34 years 19% 9% 11% 9% 7% 33% 12% 35 to 54 years 21% 12% 20% 9% 8th % 22% 8th % 55 years and older 33% 15% 12% 7% 8th % 21% 4% YouGov 07/03/2019 18 to 34 years 17% 9% 11% 9% 8th % 36% 10% 35 to 54 years 24% 12% 14% 6% 8th % 24% 12% 55 years and older 32% 16% 13% 6% 8th % 21% 5% YouGov May 21, 2019 18 to 34 years 18% 19% 9% 12% 9% 24% 8th % 35 to 54 years 25% 16% 16% 8th % 11% 17% 7% 55 years and older 36% 19% 11% 7% 8th % 16% 4% YouGov 05/03/2019 18 to 24 years 17% 12% 6% 20% 7% 30% 8th % 25 to 44 years 25% 16% 16% 8th % 8th % 17% 9% 45 to 64 years 27% 17% 15% 7% 13% 18% 3% 65 years and older 39% 22% 9% 5% 9% 13% 3% YouGov March 28, 2019 18 to 24 years 24% 8th % 5% 14% 8th % 27% 14% 25 to 44 years 27% 19% 15% 8th % 8th % 15% 8th % 45 to 64 years 29% 18% 15% 10% 10% 16% 4% 65 years and older 34% 23% 10% 7% 9% 15% 2% YouGov 02/27/2019 18 to 24 years 25% 14% 8th % 13% 6% 26% 7% 25 to 44 years 27% 14% 14% 11% 9% 20% 5% 45 to 64 years 27% 19% 15% 9% 10% 15% 5% 65 years and older 38% 22% 11% 6% 9% 13% 1 % Forsa 02/16/2019 18 to 29 years 22% 13% - - - 27% - YouGov January 31, 2019 18 to 24 years 26% 14% 10% 9% 7% 29% 5% 25 to 44 years 29% 11% 17% 8th % 9% 21% 4% 45 to 64 years 28% 15% 16% 9% 11% 17% 4% 65 years and older 42% 18% 11% 6% 6% 13% 3% YouGov 11/28/2018 18 to 24 years 20% 16% 6% 11% 8th % 34% 6% 25 to 44 years 27% 13% 15% 9% 7% 22% 7% 45 to 64 years 22% 14% 16% 9% 13% 21% 4% 65 years and older 35% 18% 13% 9% 9% 16% 1 % YouGov 07/11/2018 18 to 24 years 13% 10% 8th % 24% 13% 26% 5% 25 to 44 years 3% 13% 19% 10% 9% 21% 5% 45 to 64 years 22% 14% 17% 9% 10% 23% 5% 65 years and older 35% 17% 13% 7% 11% 17% 1 % YouGov 09/27/2018 18 to 24 years 15% 20% 5% 19% 7% 28% 6% 25 to 44 years 28% 13% 21% 8th % 10% 14% 6% 45 to 64 years 25% 15% 22% 8th % 12% 14% 4% 65 years and older 33% 22% 14% 9% 12% 9% 2% YouGov 08/30/2018 18 to 24 years 21% 19% 6% 16% 9% 16% 13% 25 to 44 years 28% 16% 21% 8th % 10% 12% 5% 45 to 64 years 26% 15% 19% 9% 12% 14% 5% 65 years and older 33% 21% 12% 8th % 12% 12% 3% YouGov July 25, 2018 18 to 24 years 23% 19% 5% 14% 8th % 24% 7% 25 to 44 years 28% 12% 23% 9% 11% 10% 6% 45 to 64 years 27% 15% 18% 9% 14% 12% 5% 65 years and older 39% 24% 14% 7% 7% 9% 1 % YouGov 06/27/2018 18 to 24 years 27% 22% 7% 14% 7% 20% 2% 25 to 44 years 33% 14% 15% 9% 8th % 14% 7% 45 to 64 years 27% 15% 18% 10% 12% 14% 4% 65 years and older 32% 20% 17% 9% 13% 6% 3% YouGov 05/30/2018 18 to 24 years 26% 20% 10% 13% 5% 21% 4% 25 to 44 years 28% 13% 21% 11% 12% 11% 4% 45 to 64 years 31% 17% 15% 9% 13% 12% 3% 65 years and older 42% 19% 14% 6% 9% 6% 2% YouGov 04/26/2018 18 to 24 years 34% 13% 4% 16% 7% 22% 3% 25 to 44 years 28% 16% 18% 8th % 11% 13% 7% 45 to 64 years 26% 18% 19% 9% 12% 13% 4% 65 years and older 43% 21% 10% 8th % 7% 8th % 2% YouGov 28.03.2018 18 to 24 years 22% 19% 7% 12% 6% 26% 8th % 25 to 44 years 30% 16% 21% 9% 8th % 9% 7% 45 to 64 years 33% 15% 17% 7% 14% 11% 3% 65 years and older 43% 21% 9% 7% 11% 8th % 1 % YouGov 02/28/2018 18 to 24 years 26% 17% 10% 10% 7% 27% 3% 25 to 44 years 29% 15% 20% 8th % 10% 13% 5% 45 to 64 years 27% 15% 18% 7% 15% 13% 5% 65 years and older 43% 18% 11% 8th % 12% 6% 2% YouGov 01/25/2018 18 to 24 years 27% 16% 11% 14% 7% 20% 5% 25 to 44 years 24% 18% 20% 10% 9% 13% 6% 45 to 64 years 33% 19% 15% 6% 14% 10% 3% 65 years and older 47% 21% 7% 7% 10% 5% 2% YouGov December 28, 2017 18 to 24 years 28% 16% 11% 10% 05% 22% 8th % 25 to 44 years 32% 16% 14% 13% 05% 13% 7% 45 to 64 years 27% 24% 16% 06% 14% 09% 4% 65 years and older 44% 23% 08th % 08th % 10% 05% 0% YouGov 11/29/2017 18 to 24 years 24% 18% 5% 14% 10% 18% 10% 25 to 44 years 31% 17% 15% 11% 8th % 11% 8th % 45 to 64 years 28% 23% 15% 8th % 12% 10% 4% 65 years and older 41% 23% 11% 8th % 9% 6% 2%

gender

Women

Institute	date	union	SPD	Green	FDP	AfD	left	Otherwise.
YouGov	08/28/2020	37%	17%	18%	4%	9%	8th %	7%
YouGov	08/06/2020	36%	14%	21%	5%	8th %	9%	7%
Bundestag election 2017	09/24/2017	36.4%	20.5%	10.2%	9.7%	9.2%	8.8%	5.1%
Older polls Institute date union SPD Green FDP AfD left Otherwise. YouGov 06/26/2020 38% 16% 20% 5% 7% 8th % 7% YouGov 05/28/2020 37% 15% 19% 4% 9% 7% 9% Forsa 05/09/2020 44% 16% 18% 4% 6% 6% 6% YouGov 04/30/2020 37% 16% 17% 5% 8th % 9% 6% Forsa 04/25/2020 43% 17% 17% 4% 4% - - YouGov 04/03/2020 32% 16% 23% 5% 9% 9% 7% YouGov 03/06/2020 28% 15% 25% 5% 9% 9% 9% YouGov December 18, 2019 28% 12% 24% 6% 12% 8th % 9% YouGov 11/27/2019 25% 14% 25% 6% 11% 10% 8th % YouGov 06/11/2019 25% 15% 27% 7% 11% 9% 7% YouGov 03/10/2019 26% 15% 25% 7% 11% 8th % 8th % YouGov 09/11/2019 26% 17% 25% 5% 10% 6% 10% YouGov July 31, 2019 26% 14% 28% 9% 9% 7% 8th % YouGov 07/03/2019 27% 15% 27% 7% 9% 6% 9% YouGov May 21, 2019 29% 17% 21% 6% 10% 9% 7% YouGov 05/03/2019 33% 17% 19% 8th % 9% 8th % 6% YouGov March 28, 2019 31% 18% 20% 7% 11% 8th % 5% YouGov 02/27/2019 30% 18% 20% 8th % 10% 9% 4% YouGov January 31, 2019 33% 14% 21% 7% 12% 9% 5% YouGov 11/28/2018 30% 14% 22% 9% 11% 10% 4% Emnid 11/10/2018 27% 14% 28% 8th % 7% 10% 6% YouGov 07/11/2018 27% 14% 23% 7% 14% 10% 4% YouGov 09/27/2018 31% 17% 16% 8th % 12% 12% 4% YouGov 08/30/2018 28% 18% 16% 8th % 14% 11% 6% YouGov July 25, 2018 31% 16% 15% 7% 15% 12% 5% YouGov 06/27/2018 31% 17% 15% 10% 14% 10% 3% YouGov 05/30/2018 36% 17% 13% 7% 14% 10% 3% YouGov 04/26/2018 35% 19% 13% 7% 12% 10% 5% YouGov 28.03.2018 36% 16% 14% 6% 12% 12% 4% YouGov 02/28/2018 36% 18% 13% 7% 13% 10% 4% YouGov 01/25/2018 36% 17% 12% 6% 12% 12% 5% YouGov December 28, 2017 35% 22% 10% 9% 9% 10% 5% YouGov 11/29/2017 34% 20% 9% 9% 11% 11% 6% Bundestag election 2017 09/24/2017 36.4% 20.5% 10.2% 9.7% 9.2% 8.8% 5.1%

Men

Institute	date	union	SPD	AfD	FDP	left	Green	Otherwise.
YouGov	08/28/2020	35%	15%	13%	6%	8th %	18%	5%
YouGov	08/06/2020	36%	14%	14%	7%	9%	15%	5%
Bundestag election 2017	09/24/2017	29.2%	20.5%	16.3%	11.8%	9.7%	7.6%	4.9%
Older polls Institute date union SPD AfD FDP left Green Otherwise. YouGov 06/26/2020 36% 14% 15% 5% 10% 15% 5% YouGov 05/28/2020 37% 15% 13% 6% 11% 13% 5% Forsa 05/09/2020 36% 14% 14% 8th % 8th % 12% 8th % YouGov 04/30/2020 37% 16% 14% 5% 9% 15% 6% Forsa 04/25/2020 36% 15% 13% 8th % - 13% - YouGov 04/03/2020 36% 16% 15% 7% 9% 14% 3% YouGov 03/06/2020 26% 15% 19% 7% 11% 17% 5% YouGov December 18, 2019 26% 14% 17% 8th % 12% 19% 6% YouGov 11/27/2019 27% 12% 19% 8th % 10% 19% 6% YouGov 06/11/2019 29% 11% 16% 7% 11% 18% 7% YouGov 03/10/2019 26% 12% 19% 9% 8th % 19% 8th % YouGov 09/11/2019 28% 13% 18% 7% 10% 19% 6% YouGov July 31, 2019 26% 12% 18% 7% 9% 20% 6% YouGov 07/03/2019 25% 12% 17% 7% 9% 23% 7% YouGov May 21, 2019 29% 19% 14% 10% 9% 15% 5% YouGov 05/03/2019 26% 19% 16% 10% 10% 15% 4% YouGov March 28, 2019 29% 18% 13% 10% 10% 14% 5% YouGov 02/27/2019 30% 18% 16% 10% 9% 14% 4% YouGov January 31, 2019 31% 16% 16% 9% 9% 16% 3% YouGov 11/28/2018 24% 16% 16% 9% 10% 20% 4% Emnid 11/10/2018 23% 16% 22% 7% 8th % 16% 8th % YouGov 07/11/2018 23% 14% 18% 12% 10% 19% 4% YouGov 09/27/2018 23% 17% 24% 10% 10% 13% 4% YouGov 08/30/2018 28% 16% 20% 10% 11% 10% 4% YouGov July 25, 2018 29% 18% 19% 9% 11% 12% 3% YouGov 06/27/2018 29% 17% 18% 11% 12% 9% 5% YouGov 05/30/2018 30% 17% 18% 11% 12% 9% 3% YouGov 04/26/2018 29% 17% 18% 11% 10% 11% 3% YouGov 28.03.2018 32% 18% 18% 10% 10% 8th % 4% YouGov 02/28/2018 29% 15% 19% 9% 14% 11% 4% YouGov 01/25/2018 32% 20% 16% 10% 10% 8th % 3% YouGov December 28, 2017 31% 20% 16% 9% 10% 10% 3% YouGov 11/29/2017 30% 22% 15% 9% 9% 10% 4% Bundestag election 2017 09/24/2017 29.2% 20.5% 16.3% 11.8% 9.7% 7.6% 4.9%

More surveys

Surveys on the direct election of the Federal Chancellor

Current polls

Institute	date	Markus Söder ( Union )	Friedrich Merz (Union)	Armin Laschet (Union)	Olaf Scholz ( SPD )	Robert Habeck ( Greens )	Others	nobody / don't know
Forsa	08/29/2020	37%	-	-	17%	17%	-	29%
Forsa	08/22/2020	37%	-	-	16%	19%	-	28%
Forsa	08/15/2020	38%	-	-	16%	19%	-	27%
INSA	08/11/2020	26.4%	-	-	18.2%	13.0%	-	42.4%
		-	13.7%	-	20.6%	13.5%	-	52.2%
		-	-	8.9%	22.0%	13.1%	-	56.0%
		-	-	-	21.9%	13.7%	Spahn 12.3%	52.1%
Forsa	08/08/2020	41%	-	-	14%	20%	-	25%
		-	22%	-	19%	21%	-	38%
		-	-	16%	19%	20%	-	45%

Older polls

July 2020
Institute date Markus Söder ( Union ) Friedrich Merz (Union) Armin Laschet (Union) Olaf Scholz ( SPD ) Robert Habeck ( Greens ) Others nobody / don't know Forsa 08/01/2020 41% - - 14% 20% - 25% - - 16% 19% 20% - 45% Forsa 07/25/2020 41% - - 14% 20% - 25% Forsa 07/11/2020 40% - - 26% - - 34% - 20% - 37% - - 43% - - 15% 39% - - 46% 46% - - - 24% - 30% - 26% - - 31% - 43% - - 21% - 30% - 49%

January - February 2020

Institute date Annegret Kramp- Karrenbauer ( Union ) Olaf Scholz ( SPD ) Robert Habeck ( Greens ) Others nobody / don't know Forsa 02/15/2020 - 31% - Merz 30% 39% Forsa 02/08/2020 15% 34% - - 51% 16% - 32% - 52% - 25% 24% - 51% Forsa 02/01/2020 15% 34% - - 51% 16% - 32% - 52% Forsa 01/25/2020 14% 33% - - 53% 15% - 32% - 53% - 25% 24% - 51% Forsa January 18, 2020 14% 33% - - 53% 15% - 32% - 53% - 25% 25% - 50% Forsa 11/01/2020 14% 31% - - 55% - 23% 25% - 52% 22% - - Esken 12% 66%

2019

Institute date Annegret Kramp- Karrenbauer ( Union ) Andrea Nahles ( SPD ) Olaf Scholz (SPD) Robert Habeck ( Greens ) Others nobody / don't know Forsa December 21, 2019 15% - 31% - - 54% 16% - - 32% - 52% - - 25% 25% - 50% Forsa 07/12/2019 17% - 29% - - 54% 18% - - 32% - 50% - - 22% 25% - 53% Forsa 11/30/2019 17% - 33% - - 50% 19% - - 32% - 49% - - 25% 23% - 52% Forsa 11/23/2019 14% - 34% - - 52% 16% - - 32% - 52% - - 25% 23% - 52% Forsa 11/16/2019 14% - 35% - - 51% 15% - - 31% - 54% - - 26% 24% - 50% Forsa 11/09/2019 13% - 34% - - 53% 14% - - 31% - 55% - - 25% 24% - 51% 15% - - - Walter-Borjans 15% 70% - - - 37% Walter-Borjans 12% 51% Forsa 11/02/2019 13% - 34% - - 53% 14% - - 31% - 55% Forsa 10/26/2019 15% - 32% - - 53% 16% - - 31% - 53% Forsa October 19, 2019 15% - 32% - - 53% 16% - - 30% - 54% - - 26% 24% - 50% Forsa 05/10/2019 15% - 33% - - 52% 18% - - 31% - 51% - - 26% 24% - 50% Forsa 09/28/2019 15% - 31% - - 54% 17% - - 32% - 51% - - 24% 25% - 51% Forsa 09/21/2019 17% - 33% - - 50% 18% - - 34% - 48% - - 26% 28% - 46% Forsa 14.09.2019 18% - 32% - - 50% 18% - - 32% - 50% Forsa 07.09.2019 16% - 32% - - 52% 16% - - 32% - 52% - - 25% 27% - 48% Forsa 08/31/2019 16% - 33% - - 51% 16% - - 32% - 50% - - 26% 27% - 47% Forsa 08/24/2019 15% - 32% - - 53% 15% - - 30% - 55% - - 26% 27% - 47% Forsa 08/10/2019 16% - 27% - - 57% 16% - - 28% - 56% - - 20% 26% - 54% Forsa 08/03/2019 17% - 28% - - 55% 17% - - 27% - 56% - - 21% 24% - 55% Forsa 07/27/2019 18% - 29% - - 53% 18% - - 30% - 52% Forsa 07/20/2019 17% - 29% - - 54% 17% - 31% - - 52% - - 23% 27% - 50% Forsa 07/13/2019 19% - 27% - - 54% 19% - - 32% - 49% - - 22% 29% - 49% Forsa 06/29/2019 20% - 27% - - 53% 20% - - 34% - 46% - - 21% 30% - 49% Forsa 06/22/2019 18% - 28% - - 54% 18% - - 34% - 48% - - 21% 30% - 49% Forsa June 15, 2019 19% - 27% - - 54% 19% - - 33% - 48% - - 22% 28% - 50% Emnid June 15, 2019 24% - - 51% - 25% - - - 39% Merz 33% 28% - - - 40% Lash 29% 31% Forsa 06/08/2019 19% - 28% - - 53% 21% - - 34% - 45% - - 23% 28% - 49% Emnid 06/08/2019 36% - - 40% - 24% YouGov 07.06.2019 13% - 9% 25% - 53% Forsa 06/01/2019 24% 13% - - - 63% 21% - 26% - - 52% Forsa May 27, 2019 30% 13% - - - 57% 26% - 25% - - 49% Forsa 05/20/2019 31% 13% - - - 56% 26% - 25% - - 49% Forsa 05/13/2019 31% 12% - - - 57% 25% - 23% - - 52% Forsa 05/06/2019 31% 11% - - - 58% 27% - 21% - - 52% Forsa 04/29/2019 30% 13% - - - 57% 26% - 23% - - 51% Forsa 04/22/2019 30% 13% - - - 57% 26% - 24% - - 50% Forsa 04/13/2019 28% - - 25% - 47% 32% 14% - - - 54% 28% - 25% - - 47% Forsa 04/06/2019 34% 17% - - - 49% 29% - 26% - - 45% Forsa 03/30/2019 33% 15% - - - 52% 28% - 25% - - 47% Forsa 03/23/2019 36% 15% - - - 49% 31% - 24% - - 45% Forsa March 16, 2019 41% 15% - - - 44% 37% - 24% - - 39% Forsa 09.03.2019 42% 14% - - - 44% 38% - 22% - - 40% Forsa 04.03.2019 44% 12% - - - 44% 40% - 21% - - 39% Forsa 02/23/2019 45% 13% - - - 42% 40% - 20% - - 40% Forsa 02/16/2019 46% 14% - - - 40% 41% - 21% - - 38% Forsa 01/26/2019 47% 13% - - - 40% 42% - 22% - - 36% Forsa 01/19/2019 46% 12% - - - 42% 42% - 22% - - 36% Forsa 01/12/2019 47% 12% - - - 41% 42% - 23% - - 35% Forsa 05/01/2019 47% 11% - - - 42% 44% - 21% - - 35%

2018

Institute date Angela Merkel ( Union ) Annegret Kramp- Karrenbauer (Union) Andrea Nahles ( SPD ) Olaf Scholz (SPD) Martin Schulz (SPD) Others nobody / don't know Forsa December 22, 2018 - 47% 12% - - - 41% - 43% - 21% - - 36% Forsa December 15, 2018 - 48% 12% - - - 40% - 43% - 20% - - 37% - 48% - - 16% - 36% - 43% - - - Gabriel 21% 36% Forsa 07.12.2018 - 50% 14% - - - 36% - 43% - 21% - - 36% - - 24% - - Merz 33% 43% - - - 35% - Merz 29% 36% Forsa December 01, 2018 - - 25% - - Merz 34% 41% - - - 34% - Merz 29% 37% 46% - 11% - - - 43% 41% - - 21% - - 38% Forsa 11/24/2018 47% - 10% - - - 43% 41% - - 20% - - 39% Forsa 11/17/2018 - 48% 15% - - - 37% - 41% - 26% - - 33% - - 23% - - Merz 36% 41% - - - 36% - Merz 32% 32% - - 14% - - Spahn 19% 67% - - - 32% - Spahn 14% 54% 47% - 11% - - - 42% 40% - - 22% - - 38% Forsa 11/11/2018 45% - 11% - - - 44% Forsa 03/11/2018 - - 13% - - Merz 37% 50% - - - 28% - Merz 31% 41% 45% - 10% - - - 45% 38% - - 21% - - 41% Forsa October 27, 2018 43% - 10% - - - 47% 37% - - 20% - - 43% Forsa October 20, 2018 43% - 10% - - - 47% 38% - - 21% - - 41% Forsa October 13, 2018 43% - 12% - - - 45% 38% - - 21% - - 41% Forsa 06.10.2018 43% - 13% - - - 44% 38% - - 21% - - 41% Forsa 29.09.2018 43% - 13% - - - 44% 37% - - 21% - - 42% Forsa 09/22/2018 44% - 13% - - - 43% 38% - - 21% - - 41% Forsa 09/15/2018 46% - 14% - - - 40% 42% - - 20% - - 38% Forsa 09/08/2018 46% - 13% - - - 41% 42% - - 20% - - 38% Forsa 09/01/2018 47% - 13% - - - 40% 42% - - 20% - - 38% Forsa 08/25/2018 47% - 13% - - - 40% 42% - - 23% - - 35% Forsa 08/18/2018 47% - 14% - - - 39% 42% - - 22% - - 36% Forsa 08/11/2018 46% - 14% - - - 40% 41% - - 23% - - 36% Forsa 08/04/2018 48% - 14% - - - 38% 42% - - 22% - - 36% Forsa 07/28/2018 49% - 14% - - - 37% 42% - - 22% - - 36% Forsa 07/21/2018 48% - 13% - - - 39% 42% - - 23% - - 35% Forsa 07/14/2018 48% - 12% - - - 40% 42% - - 21% - - 37% Forsa 07/07/2018 46% - 14% - - - 40% 42% - - 21% - - 37% Forsa 06/30/2018 46% - 14% - - - 40% 42% - - 22% - - 36% Forsa June 23, 2018 46% - 15% - - - 39% 42% - - 22% - - 36% Forsa June 16, 2018 46% - 13% - - - 41% 42% - - 20% - - 38% Forsa 06/09/2018 49% - 14% - - - 37% 44% - - 21% - - 35% Forsa 02.06.2018 49% - 13% - - - 38% 44% - - 20% - - 36% INSA 05/29/2018 30% - - - - Wagenknecht 23% 23% Forsa May 27, 2018 50% - 12% - - - 38% 44% - - 20% - - 36% Forsa May 19, 2018 49% - 13% - - - 38% 45% - - 20% - - 35% Forsa 05/12/2018 50% - 13% - - - 37% 46% - - 20% - - 34% Forsa 05/05/2018 49% - 13% - - - 38% 47% - - 20% - - 33% Forsa 04/28/2018 49% - 13% - - - 38% 44% - - 20% - - 36% Forsa 04/23/2018 50% - 13% - - - 37% Forsa 04/14/2018 51% - 15% - - - 34% 46% - - 21% - - 33% Forsa 04/07/2018 49% - 15% - - - 36% 44% - - 21% - - 35% Forsa March 31, 2018 51% - 13% - - - 36% 46% - - 21% - - 33% Forsa March 24, 2018 50% - 13% - - - 37% 45% - - 21% - - 34% Forsa 03/17/2018 50% - 13% - - - 37% 45% - - 21% - - 34% Forsa 03/11/2018 48% - 12% - - - 40% 43% - - 23% - - 34% Forsa 03.03.2018 48% - 14% - - - 38% 45% - - 20% - - 35% Forsa February 24, 2018 48% - 14% - - - 38% Forsa 02/17/2018 47% - 16% - - - 37% Forsa 02/11/2018 46% - 23% - - - 31% 44% - - 29% - - 27% Forsa 02/09/2018 46% - 23% - - - 31% 45% - - 27% - - 28% 44% - - - 12% - 44% Forsa 02/05/2018 46% - - - 14% - 40% Forsa 01/29/2018 47% - - - 15% - 38% Forsa 01/21/2018 46% - - - 18% - 36% Forsa January 15, 2018 46% - - - 19% - 35% Forsa 07/01/2018 47% - - - 18% - 35%

October - December 2017

Institute date Angela Merkel ( Union ) Andrea Nahles ( SPD ) Martin Schulz (SPD) nobody / don't know Forsa December 27, 2017 47% - 19% 34% Forsa December 16, 2017 48% - 21% 31% Forsa December 10, 2017 49% - 20% 31% Forsa 04.12.2017 50% - 19% 31% Forsa 11/27/2017 51% - 19% 30% Forsa 11/20/2017 49% - 20% 31% Forsa 11/13/2017 50% - 22% 28% Forsa 11/06/2017 58% 17% - 25% Forsa 52% - 22% 26% Forsa 11/01/2017 49% - 21% 30% Forsa 10/25/2017 48% - 21% 31% Forsa October 18, 2017 48% - 20% 32% Forsa 10/11/2017 49% - 21% 30% Forsa 04.10.2017 49% - 22% 29%

Coalition polls

Preferred coalition polls

Institute	date	Union SPD	Union Greens	Union FDP	Union Green FDP	Green SPD Left	Green SPD
Research group elections	08/28/2020	16%	18%	7%	2%	8th %	12%
YouGov	08/12/2020	22%	22%	-	-	23%	-
Research group elections	07/31/2020	16%	18%	6%	2%	6%	13%
Research group elections	07/10/2020	20%	19%	8th %	2%	4%	11%
Research group elections	06/26/2020	19%	21%	8th %	2%	5%	9%
Older polls Institute date Union SPD Union Greens Union FDP Union Green FDP Green SPD Left Green SPD Research group elections 06/12/2020 20% 15% 8th % 1 % 6% 11% Research group elections 05/29/2020 20% 17% 8th % 1 % 5% 10% Research group elections 05/15/2020 17% 19% 9% 2% 4% 9% Research group elections April 24, 2020 20% 18% 7% 2% 5% 10% Research group elections March 27, 2020 16% 18% 7% 3% 6% 11% Research group elections 03/06/2020 12% 17% 7% 2% 8th % 14% Research group elections 02/07/2020 8th % 19% 7% 4% 7% 13% Research group elections January 16, 2020 8th % 18% 7% 4% 8th % 13% Research group elections December 13, 2019 9% 16% 8th % 5% 7% 10% Research group elections 11/29/2019 9% 13% 9% 4% 7% 11% Research group elections 11/08/2019 9% 13% 8th % 4% 7% 10% Research group elections October 18, 2019 10% 17% 8th % 3% 6% 11% Research group elections 09/27/2019 9% 19% 6% 4% 6% 10% Research group elections 05.09.2019 10% 14% 7% 4% 7% 13% Research group elections 08/09/2019 8th % 17% 7% 3% 6% 11% Research group elections 07/19/2019 8th % 16% 9% 5% 7% 10% Research group elections June 21, 2019 6% 19% 6% 4% 9% 11% YouGov 06/06/2019 9% 14% - 15% 25% - Research group elections 06/06/2019 9% 19% 6% 7% 6% 11% Research group elections 05/10/2019 11% 14% 10% 3% 6% 13% Research group elections 04/12/2019 11% 15% 8th % 3% 5% 15% Research group elections March 28, 2019 10% 14% 11% 4% 5% 12% Research group elections 03/15/2019 13% 12% 12% 4% 5% 12% Research group elections 02/22/2019 13% 13% 11% 5% 5% 12% Research group elections 02/08/2019 12% 14% 11% 4% 5% 12% Research group elections 01/25/2019 11% 15% 9% 6% 4% 12% Research group elections 11/01/2019 11% 14% 9% 7% 4% 10% Research group elections December 14, 2018 11% 15% 10% 5% 4% 13% Research group elections 11/23/2018 8th % 15% 9% 4% 5% 12% Research group elections 11/09/2018 10% 15% 9% 5% 7% 12% Research group elections October 19, 2018 5% 14% 9% 5% 5% 13% Research group elections 09/28/2018 11% 8th % 7% 6% 5% 10% Research group elections 14.09.2018 15% 7% 8th % 4% 8th % 11% Research group elections 08/31/2018 16% 7% 11% 4% 6% 8th % Research group elections 08/10/2018 13% 9% 8th % 5% 6% 9% Research group elections 07/13/2018 14% 6% 9% 5% 6% 10% Research group elections 06/29/2018 14% 6% 11% 5% 6% 9% Research group elections 06/08/2018 18% 6% 10% - - 10% Research group elections May 18, 2018 19% 8th % 9% - - 9% Research group elections 04/27/2018 16% 7% 10% - - 10% Research group elections 04/13/2018 14% 9% 13% - - 11% Research group elections March 16, 2018 18% 5% 13% - - 10%

Surveys to evaluate coalitions

Institute	date	rating	Union SPD	Union Greens	Union FDP	Union Green FDP	Green SPD Left	Green SPD FDP	Union AfD
Research group elections	08/28/2020	"Good / rather good"	35%	48%	-	-	31%	32%	-
YouGov	08/28/2020		28%	23%	21%	-	21%	13%	10%
Cantar	08/23/2020		32%	39%	37%	24%	33%	23%	-
Older polls Institute date rating Union SPD Union Greens Union FDP Union Green FDP Green SPD Left Green SPD Green SPD FDP Union AfD Union AfD FDP YouGov 05/03/2019 "Good / rather good" 20% 20% 25% 17% 21% 25% 14% 10% 9% YouGov March 28, 2019 19% 19% 24% 16% 22% 24% 13% 10% 9% YouGov 02/27/2019 22% 21% 24% 17% 20% 24% 14% 10% 8th % YouGov January 31, 2019 20% 21% 25% 17% 20% 24% 15% 10% 9% YouGov 11/28/2018 20% 21% 21% 17% 20% 23% 14% 10% 9% YouGov 07/11/2018 15% 21% 22% 18% 18% 21% 13% 11% 10% YouGov 09/27/2018 22% 17% 22% 18% 21% 24% 13% 12% 11% YouGov 08/30/2018 23% 16% 22% 14% 20% 23% 13% 13% 11% YouGov July 25, 2018 24% 17% 21% 15% 18% 22% 14% 13% 10% YouGov 06/27/2018 23% 17% 22% 16% 21% 22% 13% 11% 9% YouGov 05/30/2018 26% 16% 22% 16% 18% 21% 13% 12% 10% YouGov 04/26/2018 24% 17% 21% 15% 18% 22% 14% 12% 9% YouGov 28.03.2018 30% 18% 23% 17% 20% 19% 13% 12% 10% YouGov 02/28/2018 28% 18% 23% 18% 21% 19% 12% 11% 10% YouGov 01/25/2018 29% 17% 23% 17% 19% 20% 13% 10% 10% YouGov December 28, 2017 26% 17% 21% 16% 18% 20% 12% 10% 08th % YouGov 11/29/2017 31% 19% 21% 16% 18% 19% 12% 11% 11%

CDU / CSU

Surveys with independent CDU or CSU

There are Sunday questions, the results of which are published by the Union parties separately for the CSU in Bavaria and the CDU in the rest of Germany.

Institute	date	CDU	SPD	AfD	FDP	left	Green	CSU	Otherwise.
INSA	08/24/2020	28%	17%	11%	6.5%	9%	16%	7.5%	5%
INSA	08/17/2020	28%	18%	11%	6%	8th %	16%	8th %	5%
INSA	08/10/2020	28%	16%	11%	6.5%	8.5%	16%	8.5%	5.5%
INSA	08/03/2020	28.5%	15%	11%	6.5%	8.5%	16.5%	8th %	6%
INSA	07/27/2020	28.5%	15%	11%	7%	8th %	16%	8th %	6.5%
Bundestag election 2017	09/24/2017	26.8%	20.5%	12.6%	10.7%	9.2%	8.9%	6.2%	5%
Older polls Institute date CDU SPD AfD FDP left Green CSU Otherwise. INSA 07/20/2020 29.5% 16% 10% 7.5% 7.5% 16% 7% 6.5% INSA 07/13/2020 29% 14.5% 11% 7% 8.5% 16.5% 8th % 5.5% INSA 07/06/2020 29% 15% 11% 7% 8th % 17% 7% 6% INSA 06/29/2020 28.5% 16% 10.5% 7% 8th % 17% 8th % 5% INSA 06/22/2020 29.5% 15% 10% 6% 8.5% 18.5% 7% 5.5% INSA June 15, 2020 31% 14% 10% 7% 8th % 18% 6% 5% INSA June 8th, 2020 31% 14% 10% 6.5% 8.5% 17.5% 7% 5.5% INSA 06/02/2020 30.5% 14% 10% 5.5% 8th % 18% 8th % 6% INSA 05/25/2020 30% 15% 9.5% 6% 8th % 18% 7% 6.5% INSA May 18, 2020 30% 14% 10.5% 6% 7.5% 18% 7% 7% INSA 05/11/2020 29.5% 14% 11% 6.5% 7.5% 16.5% 8th % 7% INSA 05/04/2020 30% 15% 11% 6% 7.5% 17% 7.5% 6% INSA April 27, 2020 29% 15.5% 10.5% 7% 7% 16% 9% 6% INSA April 20, 2020 29.5% 15% 10.5% 7% 7.5% 16% 9% 5.5% INSA 04/14/2020 29.5% 16% 10.5% 7% 7.5% 16% 8th % 5.5% INSA 04/06/2020 29% 16% 10% 5.5% 7% 18% 9% 5.5% INSA March 30, 2020 27.5% 15% 12% 6.5% 7.5% 18% 7.5% 6% INSA 03/23/2020 26.5% 15% 12% 6.5% 7% 20% 7% 6% INSA March 16, 2020 22% 14.5% 13% 6.5% 9.5% 23% 6.5% 5% INSA March 9th, 2020 20.5% 15.5% 14% 6.5% 9.5% 22% 6% 6% INSA 02.03.2020 20.5% 16% 13.5% 6% 10% 23% 6% 5% INSA February 24, 2020 20% 14.5% 13% 7% 10.5% 22% 6.5% 6.5% INSA 02/17/2020 21% 14.5% 15% 7.5% 9.5% 20.5% 5.5% 6.5% INSA 02/10/2020 22% 12.5% 14% 8th % 10% 22% 5.5% 6% INSA 02/03/2020 22% 13% 14% 9% 8th % 22% 6% 6% INSA 01/27/2020 20% 14% 15% 9% 8.5% 20.5% 7% 6% INSA 01/20/2020 21.5% 13% 15% 8.5% 9% 21% 6% 6% INSA 01/13/2020 21% 12.5% 15% 9.5% 9% 21% 6% 6% INSA 01/06/2020 23% 13% 15% 9% 8.5% 21.5% 6% 5% INSA December 23, 2019 21% 13% 15% 10% 8th % 21% 7% 5% INSA December 16, 2019 21% 13% 15% 8.5% 9.5% 21% 6% 6% INSA December 09, 2019 22.5% 14% 15% 8.5% 8.5% 20.5% 5.5% 5.5% INSA 02.12.2019 21% 13.5% 15% 8.5% 9% 21.5% 5.5% 6% INSA 11/25/2019 22% 14.5% 14% 8.5% 9.5% 22% 4.5% 5% INSA 11/18/2019 20% 15.5% 15% 8.5% 10% 21% 5% 5% INSA 11/11/2019 19.5% 15.5% 15% 8th % 9.5% 20.5% 6% 6% INSA 04/11/2019 19.5% 13.5% 16% 8th % 10% 21% 6% 6% INSA October 28, 2019 20% 13.5% 15.5% 7.5% 9% 23% 6% 5.5% INSA October 21, 2019 21% 13.5% 15% 7.5% 9% 22.5% 6% 5.5% INSA October 14, 2019 21% 14% 15% 7.5% 8th % 21.5% 7% 6% INSA 07.10.2019 21% 13% 16% 8.5% 9% 21% 6% 5.5% INSA 09/30/2019 21.5% 13% 16% 8th % 8th % 22% 5% 6.5% INSA 09/23/2019 20.8% 14% 16% 8th % 8th % 22% 5.2% 6% INSA 16.09.2019 20.4% 13.5% 16% 7.5% 7.5% 22.5% 6.1% 6.5% INSA 09.09.2019 21% 13.5% 15.5% 8th % 7.5% 22% 6% 6.5% INSA 02.09.2019 20.2% 14.5% 15% 8.5% 7% 23.5% 5.8% 5.5% INSA 08/26/2019 21% 13% 15% 8th % 8th % 24% 5% 6% INSA August 19, 2019 21.5% 13% 14.5% 9% 8th % 24.5% 5% 4.5% INSA 08/12/2019 21.5% 12% 14.5% 9% 8th % 23.5% 6% 5.5% INSA 08/05/2019 21% 11.5% 15% 9% 9% 23.5% 6.5% 4.5% INSA 07/29/2019 21.5% 12.5% 14.5% 9% 8th % 24.5% 5.5% 4.5% INSA 07/22/2019 22.7% 12.5% 14.5% 8th % 8th % 22.5% 5.8% 6% INSA 07/15/2019 20% 14% 14% 9% 9% 23% 6% 5% INSA 07/08/2019 20.8% 13.5% 14% 8th % 8.5% 24% 6.2% 5% INSA 07/01/2019 23% 13% 14% 8th % 8th % 24% 4% 6% INSA 06/24/2019 19.5% 12.5% 13.5% 8.5% 9% 25.5% 6% 5.5% INSA 06/17/2019 20% 13% 13.5% 9% 9% 25% 5% 5.5% INSA 06/11/2019 18% 13% 13.5% 9% 7.5% 26.5% 6% 6.5% INSA 06/03/2019 21% 14% 13% 8th % 8th % 25% 5% 6% INSA May 27, 2019 21% 15.5% 13.5% 9.5% 9% 19% 6.5% 5% INSA 05/20/2019 22% 15.5% 14% 10% 9% 18.5% 6% 5% INSA 05/13/2019 23.5% 16% 14% 9.5% 9% 19% 5% 4% INSA 05/06/2019 22.5% 16% 14% 9% 8.5% 20% 6% 4% INSA 04/29/2019 23% 16% 14% 10% 9% 19% 5% 4% INSA 04/21/2019 24.4% 16% 14% 10% 10% 17% 5.6% 3% INSA April 15, 2019 25.1% 15.5% 14% 9% 9% 18% 5.4% 4% INSA 04/08/2019 23.5% 15.5% 14% 10% 8.5% 19% 5.5% 4% INSA 04/01/2019 23.5% 16.5% 13.5% 10% 8.5% 17.5% 6% 4.5% INSA 03/25/2019 23.5% 15.5% 13.5% 9% 9% 17.5% 7% 5% INSA 03/18/2019 22.5% 16% 14.5% 9% 9% 17.5% 7% 4.5% INSA 03/11/2019 23.5% 15% 14.5% 10% 9% 17.5% 7% 3.5% INSA 01.03.2019 23% 17% 14.5% 10% 10% 15.5% 6% 4% INSA 02/25/2019 23.5% 18% 14% 9% 9.5% 15.5% 6% 4.5% INSA 02/18/2019 25% 18% 14% 9% 9.5% 15% 5% 4.5% INSA 02/11/2019 23.5% 15.5% 14% 8.5% 10.5% 18.5% 6% 3.5% INSA 02/04/2019 24% 14.5% 14% 8.5% 10.5% 18.5% 6% 4% INSA 01/28/2019 24% 15% 14% 9% 10% 18% 6% 4% INSA 01/21/2019 25% 13.5% 13% 9.5% 9.5% 19.5% 6% 4% INSA 01/14/2019 22.5% 14.5% 14.5% 9.5% 10.5% 18% 6.5% 4% INSA 07/01/2019 23.5% 15% 15% 10% 10% 17% 6.5% 3% INSA 03/01/2019 23% 15% 14% 10% 10% 18% 6% 4% INSA December 22, 2018 23% 14% 15% 9% 9% 19% 6% 5% INSA December 17, 2018 23% 15% 15% 9.5% 9.5% 18% 6% 4% INSA December 10, 2018 23% 15% 15% 10% 10% 17% 6% 4% INSA 03.12.2018 21.5% 13.5% 16% 9.5% 11% 18% 6% 4.5% INSA 11/26/2018 22% 14% 16% 8.5% 10% 19% 5.5% 5% INSA November 19, 2018 20% 14.5% 15.5% 9.5% 10% 20% 5.5% 5% INSA 11/12/2018 20.5% 14% 16.5% 9% 10% 20% 5% 5% INSA 05.11.2018 19% 13.5% 16.5% 10% 11% 19% 5.5% 5.5% INSA October 29, 2018 19% 14% 16.5% 9.5% 11% 20% 6% 4% INSA 10/22/2018 21% 15% 17% 9% 10.5% 19% 5% 3.5% INSA October 15, 2018 21% 15% 18% 9.5% 10.5% 17% 5.5% 3.5% INSA 08/10/2018 21% 16% 18% 10% 11% 15% 5% 4% INSA October 01, 2018 20% 16% 18.5% 10% 11.5% 14.5% 6% 3.5% INSA 09/24/2018 23% 16% 18% 10% 11.5% 14.5% 4% 3% INSA 09/17/2018 23.5% 17% 17.5% 9% 10.5% 13% 5% 4.5% INSA 09/10/2018 21% 17% 17.5% 9% 10.5% 13.5% 7% 4.5% INSA 03.09.2018 22.7% 16% 17% 9.5% 10% 13.5% 5.8% 5.5% INSA 08/27/2018 23% 16.5% 16.5% 10% 10.5% 13.5% 5% 5% INSA 08/20/2018 22% 16.5% 16% 10% 12% 13.5% 6% 4% INSA 08/13/2018 22% 17.5% 17% 9.5% 11% 12.5% 7% 3.5% INSA 08/06/2018 24% 17% 17% 8.5% 11% 12.5% 6% 4% Forsa 08/04/2018 27% 18% 14% 10% 9% 13% 4% 5% INSA 07/30/2018 24% 18% 17.5% 9% 10.5% 12% 5% 4% Forsa 07/28/2018 27% 18% 14% 9% 9% 13% 5% 5% INSA 07/23/2018 24% 18% 17.5% 9% 10.5% 12% 5% 4% Forsa 07/21/2018 26% 18% 15% 8th % 10% 13% 5% 5% INSA July 16, 2018 24% 17% 17.5% 9.5% 10% 13% 5% 4% Forsa 07/14/2018 26% 17% 16% 9% 9% 13% 5% 5% INSA 07/09/2018 24% 17% 17.5% 9.5% 11% 12% 5% 4% INSA 07/02/2018 23% 19% 16.5% 9% 11% 12% 6% 3.5% Forsa 06/30/2018 26% 17% 15% 10% 10% 12% 5% 5% INSA June 25, 2018 23% 19.5% 16% 9% 11% 11% 6% 4.5% INSA 06/18/2018 23% 19% 16% 8th % 12% 11% 6% 5% INSA 06/11/2018 24% 17% 16% 8th % 12% 11% 7% 5% INSA 04.06.2018 27% 17% 16% 8th % 11.5% 11% 5% 4.5% INSA May 28, 2018 25.6% 17% 15.5% 8th % 12% 11.5% 6.4% 4% INSA May 22, 2018 26.9% 16.5% 15.5% 8th % 11% 11.5% 5.6% 4.5% INSA May 14, 2018 26.9% 17% 15.5% 8th % 11% 11.5% 5.6% 4.5% INSA 07/05/2018 25.3% 17% 15.5% 8.5% 10.5% 11.5% 7.2% 4.5% INSA 04/30/2018 26.7% 17% 15.5% 9% 10.5% 11.5% 6.3% 3.5% INSA 04/23/2018 26% 18% 15.5% 9.5% 10.5% 12% 5.5% 3% INSA 04/16/2018 25.2% 18.5% 15% 9% 11% 11.5% 6.3% 3.5% INSA 04/09/2018 27% 17.5% 15.5% 9% 12% 11.5% 4.5% 3% INSA 04/02/2018 26.7% 18% 15% 10% 12% 10% 5.3% 3% INSA 03/26/2018 26.9% 17% 15% 10% 12% 10.5% 5.6% 3% INSA 03/19/2018 25% 17.5% 15% 10% 12% 10.5% 7% 3% INSA 03/12/2018 25.9% 17.5% 15% 9.5% 12% 11% 6.1% 3% INSA 05.03.2018 28.5% 15% 15% 10% 12% 12% 4.5% 3% INSA 02/26/2018 26.8% 15.5% 16% 9% 12% 12% 5.7% 3% INSA February 19, 2018 25.2% 15.5% 16% 9% 11% 13% 6.8% 3.5% INSA 02/12/2018 24.1% 16.5% 15% 10.5% 11.5% 13% 5.4% 4% INSA 02/05/2018 24.6% 17% 15% 10% 11% 12.5% 5.9% 4% INSA 01/29/2018 26.7% 17.5% 14% 9% 11% 11% 6.8% 4% INSA 01/23/2018 25.6% 18% 14% 10% 11% 10% 5.9% 5.5% INSA January 15, 2018 25.4% 18.5% 14% 9.5% 11.5% 10% 6.1% 5% INSA 01/08/2018 25.2% 19.5% 13.5% 10% 11% 10% 6.3% 4.5% INSA 02/01/2018 26.9% 19.5% 13% 10% 11% 10% 5.6% 4% INSA December 23, 2017 26.9% 20.5% 13% 10.5% 10% 9.5% 6.1% 3.5% INSA December 19, 2017 24.8% 21% 14% 9% 11% 10% 6.2% 4% INSA 12/12/2017 25.6% 22% 13.5% 9% 10.5% 10.5% 5.4% 3.5% INSA 05.12.2017 25% 22% 13% 10% 11% 10% 6% 3% INSA 11/27/2017 25.2% 22% 13% 10% 10% 10% 6.8% 3% INSA 11/21/2017 24.7% 21% 14% 10% 11.5% 9.5% 6.3% 3% INSA 11/14/2017 25.7% 20% 13.5% 10.5% 10.5% 9% 6.3% 4.5% INSA 07/11/2017 24.6% 22% 13.5% 10.5% 10.5% 8.5% 6.4% 4% INSA 10/30/2017 25.7% 21% 13% 11% 10% 10% 5.3% 4% INSA October 24, 2017 28.1% 21% 13% 10% 10% 9% 4.9% 4% INSA 16.10.2017 26.7% 21.5% 13% 10% 9% 9.5% 5.3% 5% INSA 10/10/2017 25.7% 22% 13% 11% 9% 9% 6.3% 4% Bundestag election 2017 09/24/2017 26.8% 20.5% 12.6% 10.7% 9.2% 8.9% 6.2% 5%

Surveys with nationwide CDU or CSU

A representative survey was published, assuming the case that the CDU and CSU would each compete nationwide.

Institute	date	CDU	SPD	AfD	FDP	left	Green	CSU	Otherwise.
INSA	06/19/2018	22%	17%	11%	6%	12%	10%	18%	4%
Bundestag election 2017	09/24/2017	26.8%	20.5%	12.6%	10.7%	9.2%	8.9%	6.2%	5%

Analysis of potential

Institute	date	Election chance	union	SPD	AfD	FDP	left	Green
INSA	08/24/2020	"for sure"	25%	12%	9%	4%	6%	10%
		"Sure and maybe"	49.5%	40%	16%	23.5%	24%	39%
		"Generally not"	24%	22%	71%	29%	37%	28%
INSA	08/17/2020	"for sure"	27%	12%	8th %	3%	6%	10%
		"Sure and maybe"	50%	39%	15%	24%	21%	41%
		"Generally not"	22%	23%	73%	29%	38%	26%
Older potential analyzes Institute date Election chance union SPD AfD FDP left Green INSA 08/10/2020 "for sure" 27% 10% 9% 4% 5% 11% "Sure and maybe" 49.5% 35% 16% 24.5% 22.5% 37% "Generally not" 22% 23% 71% 28% 40% 29% INSA 08/03/2020 "for sure" 26% 10% 8th % 4% 6% 11% "Sure and maybe" 51.5% 37% 16% 24.5% 22.5% 38.5% "Generally not" 22% 22% 72% 27% 37% 29% INSA 07/27/2020 "for sure" 26% 10% 8th % 4% 5% 11% "Sure and maybe" 50.5% 37% 16% 23% 23% 37% "Generally not" 24% 24% 71% 31% 38% 30% INSA 07/20/2020 "for sure" 26% 10% 8th % 4% 5% 10% "Sure and maybe" 50.5% 36% 15% 25.5% 22.5% 36% "Generally not" 23% 24% 73% 28% 37% 29% INSA 07/13/2020 "for sure" 27% 10% 9% 4% 6% 11% "Sure and maybe" 50% 36.5% 16% 25% 22.5% 38.5% "Generally not" 24% 23% 72% 28% 39% 30% INSA 07/06/2020 "for sure" 26% 10% 8th % 4% 5% 11% "Sure and maybe" 50% 38% 15% 25% 24% 37% "Generally not" 22% 22% 72% 28% 37% 28% INSA 06/29/2020 "for sure" 27% 11% 8th % 4% 6% 11% "Sure and maybe" 50.5% 38% 15.5% 24% 23% 40% "Generally not" 23% 22% 75% 30% 39% 28% INSA 06/22/2020 "for sure" 27% 9% 8th % 3% 6% 13% "Sure and maybe" 49.5% 36% 14% 22% 22.5% 41.5% "Generally not" 22% 22% 73% 30% 37% 24% INSA June 8th, 2020 "for sure" 28% 9% 8th % 4% 5% 11% "Sure and maybe" 52% 37% 15% 21.5% 20.5% 38.5% "Generally not" 22% 24% 74% 30% 39% 29% INSA 06/02/2020 "for sure" 28% 9% 8th % 3% 5% 12% "Sure and maybe" 50.5% 37% 16% 20.5% 22% 41% "Generally not" 25% 22% 73% 32% 40% 27% INSA 05/25/2020 "for sure" 27% 10% 7% 3% 5% 12% "Sure and maybe" 49% 37% 13.5% 21% 20% 39% "Generally not" 22% 23% 75% 31% 39% 29% INSA May 18, 2020 "for sure" 28% 9% 8th % 4% 5% 11% "Sure and maybe" 51% 35% 14.5% 23% 21.5% 39% "Generally not" 21% 22% 74% 30% 41% 28% INSA 05/11/2020 "for sure" 27% 10% 8th % 4% 5% 11% "Sure and maybe" 49.5% 36% 16% 21.5% 19.5% 36.5% "Generally not" 23% 23% 72% 31% 41% 30% INSA 05/04/2020 "for sure" 28% 10% 8th % 4% 5% 12% "Sure and maybe" 51.5% 36% 16% 22% 20.5% 38% "Generally not" 22% 19% 72% 29% 36% 27% INSA April 27, 2020 "for sure" 29% 11% 8th % 4% 5% 10% "Sure and maybe" 50% 33.5% 15.5% 24% 21% 38% "Generally not" 22% 23% 73% 28% 37% 26% INSA April 20, 2020 "for sure" 28% 10% 8th % 4% 5% 10% "Sure and maybe" 51.5% 36% 15.5% 23% 21.5% 38% "Generally not" 22% 22% 71% 30% 37% 28% INSA 04/14/2020 "for sure" 28% 11% 8th % 4% 5% 11% "Sure and maybe" 52.5% 37% 14.5% 23% 20.5% 39% "Generally not" 21% 22% 74% 28% 36% 27% INSA 04/06/2020 "for sure" 28% 11% 8th % 3% 5% 12% "Sure and maybe" 51% 37% 14% 22.5% 22% 38% "Generally not" 21% 21% 74% 27% 35% 26% INSA March 30, 2020 "for sure" 26% 11% 9% 4% 5% 13% "Sure and maybe" 50% 36% 16% 22.5% 20.5% 40% "Generally not" 21% 21% 73% 28% 36% 28% INSA 03/23/2020 "for sure" 24% 11% 9% 4% 5% 14% "Sure and maybe" 47.5% 37% 16% 22.5% 22% 40% "Generally not" 21% 23% 72% 28% 36% 26% INSA March 16, 2020 "for sure" 21% 10% 10% 4% 6% 15% "Sure and maybe" 43.5% 37.5% 16% 22.5% 23.5% 40% "Generally not" 26% 21% 73% 29% 38% 27% INSA March 9th, 2020 "for sure" 20% 10% 11% 4% 6% 15% "Sure and maybe" 41.5% 38.5% 18% 23.5% 25.5% 42% "Generally not" 28% 22% 71% 31% 38% 27% INSA 02.03.2020 "for sure" 19% 11% 11% 4% 7% 16% "Sure and maybe" 40.5% 38% 16.5% 22% 24% 43% "Generally not" 28% 22% 72% 29% 36% 27% INSA February 24, 2020 "for sure" 19% 10% 10% 4% 7% 15% "Sure and maybe" 40.5% 34.5% 17% 23% 24.5% 42% "Generally not" 27% 23% 71% 30% 36% 27% INSA 02/17/2020 "for sure" 20% 10% 12% 5% 7% 14% "Sure and maybe" 40.5% 35.5% 19% 21.5% 24.5% 40.5% "Generally not" 29% 25% 71% 33% 36% 28% INSA 02/10/2020 "for sure" 20% 9% 11% 5% 6% 15% "Sure and maybe" 41.5% 33.5% 18% 24% 25% 41% "Generally not" 24% 22% 71% 29% 34% 25% INSA 02/03/2020 "for sure" 22% 9% 11% 5% 6% 15% "Sure and maybe" 42% 31% 18% 28% 24% 41% "Generally not" 27% 26% 70% 28% 36% 28% INSA 01/27/2020 "for sure" 21% 10% 11% 5% 6% 14% "Sure and maybe" 42% 33% 20% 28% 24.5% 41.5% "Generally not" 28% 28% 71% 29% 38% 29% INSA 01/20/2020 "for sure" 21% 9% 11% 5% 6% 13% "Sure and maybe" 42.5% 33% 20% 26.5% 23.5% 41% "Generally not" 23% 24% 69% 23% 34% 26% INSA 01/13/2020 "for sure" 20% 8th % 11% 5% 5% 14% "Sure and maybe" 42% 32.5% 20% 25.5% 23% 42% "Generally not" 27% 26% 69% 27% 40% 29% INSA 01/06/2020 "for sure" 22% 9% 10% 6% 5% 13% "Sure and maybe" 45% 31% 19% 29% 24.5% 39.5% "Generally not" 24% 26% 69% 27% 37% 27% INSA December 23, 2019 "for sure" 20% 9% 12% 6% 6% 14% "Sure and maybe" 44% 32% 20% 30% 24% 43% "Generally not" 26% 25% 70% 26% 37% 29% INSA December 16, 2019 "for sure" 21% 9% 11% 5% 7% 14% "Sure and maybe" 42% 34% 18% 26.5% 24.5% 42% "Generally not" 28% 25% 69% 27% 35% 26% INSA 02.12.2019 "for sure" 20% 9% 11% 5% 6% 15% "Sure and maybe" 41.5% 33.5% 19% 25.5% 26% 40.5% "Generally not" 28% 23% 69% 28% 33% 27% INSA 11/25/2019 "for sure" 20% 11% 11% 5% 6% 15% "Sure and maybe" 40.5% 33.5% 19% 25.5% 26.5% 42% "Generally not" 27% 25% 70% 28% 34% 26% INSA 11/18/2019 "for sure" 17% 10% 11% 5% 6% 14% "Sure and maybe" 41% 35.5% 20% 25.5% 25% 40% "Generally not" 26% 23% 66% 24% 33% 26% INSA 11/11/2019 "for sure" 18% 11% 12% 5% 7% 14% "Sure and maybe" 41.5% 35.5% 19% 26% 24.5% 40.5% "Generally not" 28% 25% 70% 26% 36% 27% INSA 04/11/2019 "for sure" 19% 9% 12% 5% 7% 14% "Sure and maybe" 41.5% 32.5% 20% 26% 25% 41% "Generally not" 28% 24% 69% 27% 34% 28% INSA October 28, 2019 "for sure" 19% 10% 12% 4% 6% 15% "Sure and maybe" 45% 33.5% 19.5% 24.5% 24% 43% "Generally not" 25% 23% 69% 26% 37% 25% INSA October 21, 2019 "for sure" 21% 9% 11% 4% 6% 15% "Sure and maybe" 44% 34.5% 20% 25.5% 24% 40.5% "Generally not" 25% 23% 70% 27% 37% 29% INSA October 14, 2019 "for sure" 22% 9% 12% 4% 5% 15% "Sure and maybe" 44% 33% 19% 26.5% 23% 41.5% "Generally not" 26% 23% 68% 26% 36% 27% INSA 09/30/2019 "for sure" 19% 9% 12% 5% 6% 15% "Sure and maybe" 40.5% 33% 20% 26% 24% 41% "Generally not" 27% 22% 70% 26% 34% 27% INSA 09/23/2019 "for sure" 20% 9% 12% 4% 5% 15% "Sure and maybe" 41% 34% 21% 26% 22% 40% "Generally not" 26% 25% 69% 26% 36% 29% INSA 16.09.2019 "for sure" 20% 10% 12% 4% 5% 15% "Sure and maybe" 42.5% 35.5% 20% 22.5% 22.5% 42.5% "Generally not" 26% 22% 69% 28% 35% 26% INSA 09.09.2019 "for sure" 20% 10% 12% 5% 5% 15% "Sure and maybe" 43% 33.5% 20.5% 26% 21.5% 42% "Generally not" 26% 24% 69% 26% 36% 27% INSA 02.09.2019 "for sure" 20% 10% 11% 5% 5% 16% "Sure and maybe" 42% 36.5% 20% 24.5% 23% 43.5% "Generally not" 26% 22% 69% 26% 36% 27% INSA 08/26/2019 "for sure" 19% 9% 12% 5% 5% 17% "Sure and maybe" 41% 32% 19% 26% 23% 42% "Generally not" 28% 25% 69% 26% 35% 27% INSA August 19, 2019 "for sure" 20% 9% 11% 5% 5% 17% "Sure and maybe" 40.5% 31% 18.5% 26% 24% 41.5% "Generally not" 27% 22% 70% 25% 32% 26% INSA 08/12/2019 "for sure" 21% 8th % 11% 5% 5% 16% "Sure and maybe" 43.5% 32% 18.5% 26% 22% 44.5% "Generally not" 26% 25% 72% 25% 36% 27% INSA 08/05/2019 "for sure" 21% 8th % 11% 5% 6% 16% "Sure and maybe" 41.5% 33.5% 19% 28% 22% 43.5% "Generally not" 27% 25% 70% 26% 36% 28% INSA 07/29/2019 "for sure" 21% 10% 11% 5% 5% 16% "Sure and maybe" 42% 29.5% 20.5% 28% 22% 42.5% "Generally not" 25% 23% 68% 22% 34% 28% INSA 07/22/2019 "for sure" 22% 10% 11% 4% 6% 15% "Sure and maybe" 42.5% 31.5% 18.5% 24% 21% 43.5% "Generally not" 28% 25% 71% 27% 39% 27% INSA 07/15/2019 "for sure" 19% 9% 10% 6% 6% 16% "Sure and maybe" 41% 34% 19% 27% 24% 43% "Generally not" 27% 22% 68% 24% 33% 22% INSA 07/08/2019 "for sure" 21% 9% 10% 5% 5% 15% "Sure and maybe" 40% 32.5% 17% 24% 23.5% 44% "Generally not" 29% 24% 70% 28% 33% 24% INSA 07/01/2019 "for sure" 20% 9% 10% 4% 5% 16% "Sure and maybe" 41% 31% 18% 24% 21% 42% "Generally not" 28% 24% 70% 25% 35% 28% INSA 06/24/2019 "for sure" 19% 9% 10% 5% 5% 17% "Sure and maybe" 39.5% 30.5% 17.5% 25.5% 25% 43.5% "Generally not" 30% 25% 70% 25% 35% 25% INSA 06/17/2019 "for sure" 19% 10% 10% 5% 5% 16% "Sure and maybe" 41% 32% 18.5% 25% 23% 44% "Generally not" 26% 24% 69% 24% 35% 26% INSA 06/11/2019 "for sure" 18% 9% 10% 6% 5% 18% "Sure and maybe" 38% 30% 17.5% 24% 21.5% 46.5% "Generally not" 29% 26% 70% 26% 33% 24% INSA 06/03/2019 "for sure" 18% 10% 10% 5% 5% 17% "Sure and maybe" 41% 31% 17% 26% 23% 47% "Generally not" 26% 22% 69% 21% 29% 21% INSA May 27, 2019 "for sure" 22% 12% 10% 6% 7% 14% "Sure and maybe" 40.5% 34.5% 16.5% 27.5% 22% 42% "Generally not" 28% 21% 69% 22% 32% 22% INSA 05/20/2019 "for sure" 23% 12% 11% 7% 6% 13% "Sure and maybe" 41% 34.5% 18% 27% 22% 38.5% "Generally not" 26% 23% 70% 24% 35% 26% INSA 05/13/2019 "for sure" 21% 11% 11% 6% 6% 12% "Sure and maybe" 45.5% 39% 19% 27.5% 22% 37% "Generally not" 24% 19% 68% 21% 33% 23% INSA 05/06/2019 "for sure" 23% 11% 11% 5% 6% 13% "Sure and maybe" 43.5% 35% 18% 26% 21.5% 39% "Generally not" 29% 25% 69% 27% 37% 28% INSA 04/29/2019 "for sure" 21% 12% 12% 7% 6% 13% "Sure and maybe" 42% 36% 19% 29% 21% 37% "Generally not" 26% 20% 68% 22% 34% 26% INSA 04/21/2019 "for sure" 22% 10% 11% 6% 7% 12% "Sure and maybe" 46% 37% 19% 31% 23% 37% "Generally not" 25% 21% 66% 21% 34% 26% INSA 04/01/2019 "for sure" 21% 11% 10% 6% 6% 11% "Sure and maybe" 43.5% 38.5% 18.5% 30% 23.5% 39.5% "Generally not" 27% 20% 69% 21% 34% 25% Forsa 03/30/2019 "Sure and maybe" 39% 31% - 28% - 38% INSA 03/25/2019 "for sure" 23% 11% 10% 5% 6% 11% "Sure and maybe" 42.5% 36.5% 17.5% 27% 22% 37.5% "Generally not" 27% 23% 71% 24% 34% 25% INSA 03/18/2019 "for sure" 21% 11% 10% 5% 6% 11% "Sure and maybe" 47.5% 35% 19.5% 28% 24% 35.5% "Generally not" 25% 24% 69% 25% 37% 27% INSA 03/11/2019 "for sure" 22% 11% 11% 6% 6% 12% "Sure and maybe" 45.5% 35% 18.5% 31% 23% 36.5% "Generally not" 25% 23% 70% 22% 36% 30% INSA 01.03.2019 "for sure" 20% 10% 11% 5% 6% 9% "Sure and maybe" 45% 39% 19.5% 30% 24% 38.5% "Generally not" 24% 20% 68% 21% 33% 24% INSA 02/25/2019 "for sure" 23% 13% 11% 6% 5% 9% "Sure and maybe" 43.5% 39% 18% 28.5% 21% 35.5% "Generally not" 26% 22% 66% 24% 37% 27% INSA 02/18/2019 "for sure" 22% 11% 11% 5% 6% 9% "Sure and maybe" 45% 40% 19% 30% 22.5% 36% "Generally not" 26% 21% 69% 23% 36% 27% INSA 02/11/2019 "for sure" 21% 11% 11% 5% 7% 12% "Sure and maybe" 43.5% 37.5% 18% 25.5% 25.5% 39.5% "Generally not" 26% 22% 69% 27% 36% 26% INSA 02/04/2019 "for sure" 23% 10% 10% 5% 6% 12% "Sure and maybe" 45% 35.5% 18% 27.5% 24.5% 38.5% "Generally not" 25% 23% 69% 25% 37% 27% INSA 01/28/2019 "for sure" 22% 10% 10% 5% 6% 11% "Sure and maybe" 46% 36% 19% 28% 24% 38% "Generally not" 22% 23% 66% 23% 35% 27% INSA 01/21/2019 "for sure" 23% 10% 9% 5% 6% 12% "Sure and maybe" 46% 37.5% 16% 28.5% 23.5% 39.5% "Generally not" 23% 20% 70% 22% 34% 21% INSA 01/14/2019 "for sure" 22% 11% 10% 5% 7% 11% "Sure and maybe" 44% 34.5% 18.5% 26.5% 22.5% 38% "Generally not" 24% 20% 68% 23% 35% 24% INSA December 17, 2018 "for sure" 22% 11% 11% 5% 6% 12% "Sure and maybe" 45% 36% 19% 27.5% 24.5% 40% "Generally not" 24% 21% 69% 23% 36% 25% INSA December 10, 2018 "for sure" 21% 10% 11% 6% 6% 10% "Sure and maybe" 44% 38% 20% 27% 23% 38% "Generally not" 25% 23% 67% 22% 34% 26% INSA 03.12.2018 "for sure" 21% 10% 13% 5% 8th % 11% "Sure and maybe" 41.5% 33.5% 20% 27.5% 25% 38% "Generally not" 26% 22% 68% 24% 37% 26% INSA 11/26/2018 "for sure" 21% 10% 12% 5% 7% 11% "Sure and maybe" 41.5% 35% 21% 26.5% 23% 40% "Generally not" 25% 25% 65% 28% 38% 26% INSA November 19, 2018 "for sure" 18% 10% 11% 6% 7% 12% "Sure and maybe" 42.5% 35.5% 20.5% 27.5% 23% 43% "Generally not" 27% 20% 68% 23% 34% 23% INSA 11/12/2018 "for sure" 20% 10% 12% 6% 6% 12% "Sure and maybe" 39.5% 35% 20.5% 25% 22% 41% "Generally not" 28% 22% 69% 23% 34% 26% INSA 05.11.2018 "for sure" 18% 10% 12% 6% 7% 12% "Sure and maybe" 39.5% 37.5% 21.5% 28% 26% 43% "Generally not" 28% 22% 66% 23% 33% 25% INSA October 29, 2018 "for sure" 17% 9% 12% 6% 7% 13% "Sure and maybe" 40% 37% 20% 30% 24% 43% "Generally not" 29% 25% 68% 23% 34% 24% INSA 10/22/2018 "for sure" 18% 9% 12% 5% 7% 13% "Sure and maybe" 39% 33% 21% 28% 23.5% 40% "Generally not" 26% 23% 66% 23% 34% 25% INSA October 15, 2018 "for sure" 19% 10% 14% 6% 8th % 10% "Sure and maybe" 37.5% 34% 22% 27.5% 23.5% 35% "Generally not" 28% 24% 64% 22% 33% 27% INSA 08/10/2018 "for sure" 19% 11% 13% 5% 8th % 9% "Sure and maybe" 40% 37% 22% 28% 24% 37% "Generally not" 25% 21% 68% 22% 33% 25% Infratest dimap October 01, 2018 "under no circumstance" 29% 23% 71% 29% 51% 31% INSA October 01, 2018 "for sure" 19% 11% 14% 6% 8th % 9% "Sure and maybe" 39% 39% 23.5% 29% 24.5% 37.5% "Generally not" 28% 21% 65% 20% 33% 26% INSA 09/24/2018 "for sure" 20% 11% 14% 5% 7% 9% "Sure and maybe" 41% 36% 23% 27% 25.5% 35.5% "Generally not" 29% 23% 66% 24% 35% 27% INSA 09/10/2018 "for sure" 21% 12% 14% 5% 6% 8th % "Sure and maybe" 44% 37% 21.5% 24% 25.5% 32.5% "Generally not" 27% 23% 65% 27% 34% 27% INSA 03.09.2018 "for sure" 21% 10% 12% 6% 7% 8th % "Sure and maybe" 41.5% 41% 22% 27.5% 25% 35.5% "Generally not" 26% 20% 64% 22% 34% 22% INSA 08/27/2018 "for sure" 21% 11% 12% 6% 6% 8th % "Sure and maybe" 43% 37.5% 21.5% 27% 24.5% 33.5% "Generally not" 26% 20% 63% 22% 34% 25% INSA 08/20/2018 "for sure" 20% 11% 12% 6% 8th % 8th % "Sure and maybe" 43% 39.5% 21% 28% 25% 35.5% "Generally not" 28% 22% 67% 25% 34% 27% INSA 08/13/2018 "for sure" 21% 12% 13% 5% 8th % 8th % "Sure and maybe" 41% 40.5% 22% 28.5% 24% 33.5% "Generally not" 28% 21% 65% 24% 34% 28% INSA 08/06/2018 "for sure" 21% 11% 13% 5% 7% 7% "Sure and maybe" 42% 38% 22% 23.5% 24% 31.5% "Generally not" 29% 22% 63% 27% 32% 27% INSA 07/30/2018 "for sure" 23% 12% 13% 5% 7% 7% "Sure and maybe" 43% 39% 21.5% 26% 22.5% 31% "Generally not" 27% 20% 66% 25% 36% 29% Forsa 07/30/2018 "Sure and maybe" 41% 34% 16% 22% 21% 34% INSA 07/23/2018 "for sure" 21% 12% 13% 5% 7% 7% "Sure and maybe" 42% 38% 22.5% 26% 23.5% 33% "Generally not" 26% 21% 67% 24% 33% 27% INSA July 16, 2018 "for sure" 21% 11% 13% 5% 6% 8th % "Sure and maybe" 41% 38% 21.5% 27.5% 24% 32% "Generally not" 28% 21% 64% 21% 33% 28% INSA 07/09/2018 "for sure" 21% 11% 13% 5% 7% 7% "Sure and maybe" 42% 38% 21.5% 27.5% 24% 33% "Generally not" 26% 20% 66% 23% 32% 26% INSA 07/02/2018 "for sure" 20% 13% 13% 5% 7% 7% "Sure and maybe" 41% 38% 20.5% 27% 24% 31% "Generally not" 27% 20% 66% 23% 32% 26% INSA June 25, 2018 "for sure" 21% 13% 12% 5% 8th % 7% "Sure and maybe" 41% 38.5% 21% 25% 25% 32% "Generally not" 28% 22% 64% 26% 33% 27% INSA 06/18/2018 "for sure" 21% 14% 12% 4% 8th % 7% "Sure and maybe" 41% 38% 21% 24% 24% 30% "Generally not" 27% 19% 67% 27% 34% 26% INSA May 28, 2018 "for sure" 24% 12% 12% 5% 7% 7% "Sure and maybe" 46% 40% 21.5% 25% 26% 31.5% "Generally not" 28% 22% 66% 24% 33% 27% INSA May 14, 2018 "for sure" 25% 12% 11% 4% 7% 7% "Sure and maybe" 44.5% 37% 20.5% 28% 24% 29.5% "Generally not" 26% 22% 68% 22% 33% 26% INSA 07/05/2018 "for sure" 25% 12% 11% 5% 6% 7% "Sure and maybe" 45.5% 37% 19.5% 25.5% 23.5% 30.5% "Generally not" 26% 20% 67% 23% 33% 26% INSA 04/30/2018 "for sure" 24% 11% 12% 5% 7% 8th % "Sure and maybe" 47% 41% 19.5% 27% 25.5% 33.5% "Generally not" 25% 19% 65% 23% 31% 24% INSA 04/23/2018 "for sure" 24% 13% 12% 5% 7% 8th % "Sure and maybe" 44.5% 41% 19.5% 28.5% 24.5% 32% "Generally not" 26% 20% 66% 22% 32% 24% INSA 04/09/2018 "for sure" 24% 13% 11% 5% 8th % 7% "Sure and maybe" 43.5% 35.5% 19.5% 25% 24% 29.5% "Generally not" 28% 19% 67% 22% 31% 24% YouGov 02/28/2018 "for sure" 25% 14% 14% 8th % 10% 12% "Sure and maybe" 42% 33% 20% 27% 25% 31% "certainly not" 37% 40% 71% 45% 54% 45% "Sure and probably not" 52% 62% 77% 68% 70% 63%

Direct mandate forecasts

Constituency winner

Institute	date	Direct mandates	union	SPD	left	AfD	Green
INSA	08/24/2020	299	279	10	3	-	7th
election.de	08/23/2020	299	283	7th	4th	1	4th
INSA	08/17/2020	299	268	21st	3	-	7th
Bundestag election 2017	09/24/2017	299	231	59	5	3	1
Older forecasts Institute date Direct mandates union SPD left AfD Green INSA 08/10/2020 299 284 5 4th 1 5 INSA 08/03/2020 299 288 2 3 - 6th INSA 07/27/2020 299 287 4th 2 - 6th INSA 07/20/2020 299 285 5 4th - 5 election.de July 16, 2020 299 286 4th 4th 1 4th INSA 07/13/2020 299 285 3 3 - 8th INSA 07/06/2020 299 284 3 5 1 6th INSA 06/29/2020 299 284 4th 3 1 7th INSA 06/22/2020 299 285 2 3 - 9 election.de 06/14/2020 299 288 4th 4th - 3 INSA June 8th, 2020 299 287 2 3 - 7th INSA 06/02/2020 299 287 1 3 1 7th election.de 05/12/2020 299 288 4th 4th 1 2 INSA 05/11/2020 299 287 2 3 1 6th INSA 05/04/2020 299 286 3 3 - 7th INSA April 27, 2020 299 288 3 2 1 5 INSA April 20, 2020 299 288 2 3 - 6th INSA 04/14/2020 299 288 2 3 - 6th election.de April 8th, 2020 299 266 20th 3 1 9 INSA 04/06/2020 299 287 2 4th 1 5 INSA March 30, 2020 299 283 2 3 3 8th INSA 03/23/2020 299 266 8th 3 1 21st INSA March 16, 2020 299 229 16 3 7th 44 election.de 03/10/2020 299 187 49 5 19th 39 INSA March 9th, 2020 299 181 36 3 22nd 47 INSA 02.03.2020 299 192 45 7th 4th 51 INSA February 24, 2020 299 199 27 11 17th 45 INSA 02/17/2020 299 192 25th 12 32 38 election.de 02/11/2020 299 215 29 5 17th 33 INSA 02/10/2020 299 216 7th 7th 25th 44 INSA 02/03/2020 299 236 10 3 7th 43 INSA 01/27/2020 299 204 21st 4th 32 38 INSA 01/20/2020 299 216 7th 5 32 39 election.de 01/14/2020 299 216 28 4th 19th 32 INSA 01/06/2020 299 237 6th 3 16 37 INSA December 23, 2019 299 237 14th 3 4th 41 election.de December 17, 2019 299 215 29 4th 19th 32 INSA December 09, 2019 299 220 19th 3 20th 37 INSA 11/25/2019 299 212 27 4th 4th 52 election.de November 19, 2019 299 190 50 5 22nd 32 INSA 11/18/2019 299 190 44 3 15th 47 INSA 11/11/2019 299 177 40 6th 34 42 INSA 04/11/2019 299 208 22nd 5 18th 46 INSA October 28, 2019 299 192 18th 4th 30th 55 INSA October 21, 2019 299 215 16 3 17th 48 INSA October 14, 2019 299 226 18th 3 11 41 election.de October 14, 2019 299 214 27 3 19th 36 INSA 09/30/2019 299 223 18th 3 6th 49 INSA 09/23/2019 299 198 26th 3 24 48 election.de 09/17/2019 299 209 34 3 18th 35 INSA 16.09.2019 299 202 19th 3 30th 45 INSA 09.09.2019 299 215 14th 3 23 44 INSA 02.09.2019 299 195 25th 2 27 50 INSA 08/26/2019 299 206 14th 2 17th 60 election.de 08/21/2019 299 208 27 3 16 45 INSA August 19, 2019 299 208 18th 3 4th 66 INSA 08/12/2019 299 221 6th 3 20th 49 INSA 08/05/2019 299 221 5 5 17th 51 INSA 07/29/2019 299 218 14th 4th 4th 59 INSA 07/22/2019 299 243 5 3 5 43 election.de 07/17/2019 299 197 31 3 17th 51 INSA 07/15/2019 299 197 21st 3 16 62 INSA 07/08/2019 299 221 21st 4th 3 50 INSA 07/01/2019 299 208 15th 4th 17th 55 INSA 06/24/2019 299 194 14th 5 22nd 64 INSA 06/17/2019 299 180 23 10 25th 61 INSA 06/11/2019 299 177 25th 4th 25th 68 election.de 07.06.2019 299 207 35 3 17th 37 INSA 06/03/2019 299 205 22nd 3 4th 65 INSA 05/20/2019 299 224 32 4th 15th 24 election.de 05/17/2019 299 225 42 5 11 16 INSA 05/13/2019 299 232 36 4th 3 24 INSA 05/06/2019 299 218 32 5 14th 30th INSA 04/29/2019 299 219 46 3 3 28 election.de 04/16/2019 299 234 41 5 8th 11 INSA April 15, 2019 299 246 28 4th 1 20th INSA 04/01/2019 299 241 34 3 4th 17th INSA 03/25/2019 299 250 22nd 5 9 13 election.de March 20, 2019 299 243 34 5 8th 9 INSA 03/18/2019 299 236 28 10 7th 18th INSA 03/11/2019 299 259 17th 5 2 16 INSA 01.03.2019 299 225 55 5 4th 10 INSA 02/25/2019 299 220 64 4th 1 10 INSA 02/18/2019 299 230 51 4th 5 9 election.de 02/13/2019 299 242 31 5 9 12 INSA 02/11/2019 299 239 31 5 2 22nd INSA 02/04/2019 299 242 18th 5 14th 20th INSA 01/28/2019 299 244 16 15th 4th 20th INSA 01/21/2019 299 263 7th 5 4th 20th election.de January 17, 2019 299 240 26th 5 12 16 INSA 01/14/2019 299 228 18th 9 24 20th INSA 07/01/2019 299 238 18th 7th 20th 16 election.de December 18, 2018 299 240 27 5 11 16 INSA December 17, 2018 299 250 20th 5 4th 20th INSA December 10, 2018 299 243 30th 5 3 18th INSA 03.12.2018 299 235 15th 10 19th 20th election.de 11/29/2018 299 205 38 6th 25th 25th INSA 11/26/2018 299 221 24 5 22nd 27 INSA November 19, 2018 299 200 32 6th 25th 37 INSA 11/12/2018 299 197 31 6th 29 36 INSA 05.11.2018 299 204 29 12 21st 33 INSA October 29, 2018 299 206 33 5 14th 41 election.de October 24, 2018 299 189 49 6th 32 23 INSA 10/22/2018 299 213 37 5 12 32 election.de October 17, 2018 299 205 60 5 23 6th INSA October 15, 2018 299 205 35 13 27 19th INSA 08/10/2018 299 200 61 4th 24 10 INSA 09/24/2018 299 205 47 12 27 8th election.de 13.09.2018 299 213 61 5 17th 3 INSA 09/10/2018 299 214 58 9 13 5 INSA 03.09.2018 299 237 38 5 13 6th INSA 08/27/2018 299 236 46 5 7th 5 INSA 08/20/2018 299 235 40 10 8th 6th election.de 08/16/2018 299 213 61 5 17th 3 INSA 08/13/2018 299 229 57 4th 5 4th INSA 08/06/2018 299 232 55 4th 4th 4th INSA 07/30/2018 299 218 61 8th 9 3 INSA 07/23/2018 299 227 60 4th 3 5 election.de July 18, 2018 299 214 60 5 17th 3 INSA July 16, 2018 299 241 40 5 9 4th INSA 07/09/2018 299 236 50 5 4th 4th INSA 07/02/2018 299 221 65 5 3 5 INSA June 25, 2018 299 214 67 8th 7th 3 INSA 06/18/2018 299 211 61 16 6th 5 election.de June 15, 2018 299 229 59 5 4th 2 INSA 06/11/2018 299 244 35 9 8th 3 INSA 04.06.2018 299 261 29 4th 1 4th INSA May 28, 2018 299 256 31 4th 4th 4th election.de May 14, 2018 299 240 49 4th 4th 2 election.de 04/23/2018 299 239 48 5 4th 3 INSA 04/23/2018 299 240 48 4th 2 5 election.de March 20, 2018 299 237 51 5 4th 2 election.de 02/16/2018 299 230 54 5 7th 3 election.de 01/19/2018 299 240 49 5 2 3 Bundestag election 2017 09/24/2017 299 231 59 5 3 1

Forecast by probability

Institute	date	Direct mandates	forecast	union	SPD	left	AfD	Green
election.de	08/23/2020	299	"for sure"	178	-	1	-	-
			"probably"	73	2	2	-	2
			"Head Start"	32	5	1	1	2
Older forecasts Institute date Direct mandates forecast union SPD left AfD Green election.de July 16, 2020 299 "for sure" 187 - 1 - - "probably" 72 1 1 - 2 "Head Start" 27 3 2 1 2 election.de 06/14/2020 299 "for sure" 194 - 1 - - "probably" 72 1 1 - 2 "Head Start" 22nd 3 2 - 1 election.de 05/12/2020 299 "for sure" 188 - 1 - - "probably" 71 2 1 - 1 "Head Start" 29 2 2 1 1 election.de April 8th, 2020 299 "for sure" 151 1 1 - 1 "probably" 62 2 2 - 1 "Head Start" 53 17th - 1 7th election.de 03/10/2020 299 "for sure" 56 2 2 1 4th "probably" 82 16 1 3 11 "Head Start" 49 31 2 15th 24 election.de 02/11/2020 299 "for sure" 75 1 2 - 3 "probably" 80 7th 1 3 8th "Head Start" 60 21st 2 14th 22nd election.de 01/14/2020 299 "for sure" 79 1 2 - 2 "probably" 75 4th 1 4th 9 "Head Start" 62 23 1 15th 21st election.de December 17, 2019 299 "for sure" 78 1 2 - 1 "probably" 78 7th 1 4th 7th "Head Start" 59 21st 1 15th 24 election.de November 19, 2019 299 "for sure" 65 2 2 1 - "probably" 76 17th 1 3 9 "Head Start" 49 31 2 18th 23 election.de October 14, 2019 299 "for sure" 71 1 2 1 3 "probably" 80 6th 1 3 14th "Head Start" 63 20th - 15th 19th election.de 09/17/2019 299 "for sure" 58 1 1 - 2 "probably" 68 4th 2 2 5 "Head Start" 83 29 - 16 28 election.de 08/21/2019 299 "for sure" 59 1 2 - 4th "probably" 63 2 1 2 10 "Head Start" 86 24 - 14th 31 election.de 07/17/2019 299 "for sure" 49 1 2 - 5 "probably" 62 4th 1 3 16 "Head Start" 86 26th - 14th 30th election.de 07.06.2019 299 "for sure" 58 1 2 - 2 "probably" 66 4th 1 2 6th "Head Start" 83 30th - 15th 29 election.de 05/17/2019 299 "for sure" 70 1 2 - 2 "probably" 74 6th 1 1 2 "Head Start" 81 35 2 10 11 election.de 04/16/2019 299 "for sure" 75 1 2 - 2 "probably" 76 4th 1 1 2 "Head Start" 83 36 2 7th 7th election.de March 20, 2019 299 "for sure" 84 - 2 - 2 "probably" 80 4th 1 1 2 "Head Start" 79 30th 2 7th 5 election.de 02/13/2019 299 "for sure" 86 - 2 - 2 "probably" 75 3 1 1 2 "Head Start" 81 28 2 8th 8th election.de January 17, 2019 299 "for sure" 90 - 2 - 2 "probably" 73 2 1 1 2 "Head Start" 77 24 2 11 12 election.de December 18, 2018 299 "for sure" 89 - 2 - 2 "probably" 74 2 1 1 2 "Head Start" 77 25th 2 10 12 election.de 11/29/2018 299 "for sure" 63 1 1 1 3 "probably" 67 4th 2 3 3 "Head Start" 75 33 3 21st 19th election.de October 24, 2018 299 "for sure" 58 1 2 1 3 "probably" 71 6th 1 5 3 "Head Start" 60 42 3 26th 17th election.de October 17, 2018 299 "for sure" 71 2 1 1 - "probably" 52 6th 1 1 2 "Head Start" 82 52 3 20th 4th election.de 13.09.2018 299 "for sure" 122 5 3 1 - "probably" 28 18th 1 2 1 "Head Start" 63 38 1 14th 2 election.de 08/16/2018 299 "for sure" 123 5 3 1 - "probably" 26th 18th 1 2 1 "Head Start" 64 38 1 14th 2 election.de July 18, 2018 299 "for sure" 142 13 4th 3 - "probably" 30th 16 - 1 - "Head Start" 42 31 1 13 3 election.de June 15, 2018 299 "for sure" 118 2 2 - - "probably" 54 17th 2 1 - "Head Start" 57 40 1 3 2 election.de May 24, 2018 299 "for sure" 130 2 2 - - "probably" 59 12 2 1 - "Head Start" 51 35 - 3 2 election.de 04/23/2018 299 "for sure" 128 2 2 - - "probably" 61 12 2 1 - "Head Start" 50 34 1 3 3 election.de March 20, 2018 299 "for sure" 127 2 2 - - "probably" 59 13 2 1 - "Head Start" 51 36 1 3 2 election.de 02/16/2018 299 "for sure" 118 2 2 - - "probably" 57 14th 2 1 - "Head Start" 55 38 1 6th 3 election.de 01/19/2018 299 "for sure" 128 2 2 - - "probably" 63 12 2 1 - "Head Start" 49 35 1 1 3

Second place in constituency

Institute	date	Direct mandates	union	SPD	AfD	left	Green
election.de	08/23/2020	299	14th	155	33	11	86
Bundestag election 2017	09/24/2017	299	66	185	33	10	5
Older forecasts Institute date Direct mandates union SPD AfD left Green election.de July 16, 2020 299 11 155 34 12 87 election.de 06/14/2020 299 9 155 27 19th 89 election.de 05/12/2020 299 9 170 33 11 76 election.de April 8th, 2020 299 30th 141 33 12 83 election.de 03/10/2020 299 91 82 25th 13 88 election.de 02/11/2020 299 69 87 31 12 100 election.de 01/14/2020 299 71 85 35 7th 101 election.de December 17, 2019 299 72 94 33 8th 92 election.de November 19, 2019 299 91 90 27 10 81 election.de October 14, 2019 299 71 84 38 5 101 election.de 09/17/2019 299 74 88 38 5 94 election.de 08/21/2019 299 75 77 32 9 106 election.de 07/17/2019 299 85 71 31 10 102 election.de 07.06.2019 299 78 86 29 9 97 election.de 05/17/2019 299 64 120 30th 9 76 election.de 04/16/2019 299 55 123 30th 11 80 election.de March 20, 2019 299 50 127 36 9 77 election.de 02/13/2019 299 50 123 33 12 81 election.de January 17, 2019 299 53 114 37 9 86 election.de December 18, 2018 299 53 116 39 7th 84 election.de 11/29/2018 299 79 102 36 4th 78 election.de October 24, 2018 299 93 102 34 5 65 election.de October 17, 2018 299 88 132 46 2 31 election.de 13.09.2018 299 81 158 44 2 14th election.de 08/16/2018 299 81 159 43 2 14th election.de July 18, 2018 299 80 159 44 2 14th election.de June 15, 2018 299 67 175 40 7th 10 election.de May 24, 2018 299 57 183 44 6th 9 election.de 04/23/2018 299 59 179 39 8th 14th election.de March 20, 2018 299 60 184 43 7th 5 election.de 02/16/2018 299 66 169 39 9 160 election.de 01/19/2018 299 57 181 32 13 160 Bundestag election 2017 09/24/2017 299 66 185 33 10 5

Individual evidence

1. ↑ ^{a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao ap aq ar as at au av aw ax ay az ba bb bc bd be bf bg bh bi bj bk bl bm bn bo bp bq br bs bt bu bv bw bx by bz ca cb cc cd ce cf cg ch ci cj ck cl cm cn co cp cq cr cs ct cu cv cw cx cy cz da db dc dd de df dg dh di dj dk dl dm dn do dp dq dr ds dt du dv dw dx dy dz ea eb ec ed ee ef eg eh ei ej ek el em en eo ep eq er es et eu ev ew ex ey ez fa} Overview of the INSA surveys , on wahlrecht.de
2. ↑ ^{a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao ap aq ar as at au av aw ax ay az ba bb bc bd be bf bg bh bi bj bk bl bm bn bo bp bq br bs bt bu bv bw bx by bz ca cb cc cd ce cf cg ch ci cj ck cl cm cn co cp cq cr cs ct cu cv cw cx cy cz da db dc dd de df dg dh di dj dk dl dm dn do dp dq dr ds dt du dv dw dx dy dz ea eb ec ed ee ef eg eh ei ej ek el em en eo ep eq er es et eu ev ew ex ey ez fa fb} Overview of Forsa surveys , on wahlrecht.de
3. ↑ ^{a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai} Overview of the Kantar surveys , on wahlrecht.de
4. ↑ ^{a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao ap aq ar as at au av aw ax ay az ba bb bc} Overview of the polls by the research group Wahlen , on wahlrecht.de
5. ↑ ^{a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah} Overview of YouGov surveys , on wahlrecht.de
6. ↑ ^{a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj} Overview of the Allensbach surveys , on wahlrecht.de
7. ↑ ^{a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao ap aq ar as at au av aw ax ay az ba bb bc bd be bf bg bh bi bj bk bl bm bn bo bp bq br bs bt} Overview of Infratest dimap surveys , on Wahlrecht.de
8. ↑ ^{a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z} Overview of the GMS surveys , on wahlrecht.de
9. ↑ ^{a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao ap aq ar as at au av aw ax ay az ba bb bc bd be bf bg bh bi bj bk bl bm bn bo bp bq br bs bt bu bv bw bx by bz ca cb cc cd ce cf cg ch ci cj ck cl cm cn co cp cq cr cs ct cu cv cw cx cy cz da db dc dd de df dg dh di dj} Overview of the Emnid surveys , on Wahlrecht.de
10. ↑ ^{a b} New elections would not be a solution either , on n-tv.de.
11. ↑ pollytix election trend , on pollytix.de
12. ↑ ^{a b c} AfD in the east in front of the CDU , on welt.de
13. ↑ ^{a b c d e f} YouGov survey from August 28, 2020 , on yougov.de
14. ↑ ^{a b c d e} YouGov survey from August 6, 2020 , on yougov.de
15. ↑ ^{a b} AfD and Left in the East Strong , on presseportal.de
16. ↑ ^{a b c d e} Union remains at 39, AfD falls to 9 percent , on presseportal.de
17. ↑ ^{a b} tweet from BILD am Sonntag , on twitter.com
18. ↑ ^{a b} tweet from BILD am Sonntag , on twitter.com
19. ↑ Infratest dimap values ​​for West Germany , on wahlrecht.de
20. ↑ ^{a b} AfD in the east on par with the Union , on presseportal.de
21. ↑ ^{a b} tweet from BILD am Sonntag , on twitter.com
22. ↑ ^{a b} tweet from BILD am Sonntag , on twitter.com
23. ↑ ^{a b} AfD now the strongest party in the east , on bild.de.
24. ↑ tweet from Europe Elects , on twitter
25. ↑ Survey based on "old countries"
26. ↑ Infratest dimap values ​​for East Germany , on wahlrecht.de
27. ↑ AfD falls below the level of the federal election , on n-tv.de
28. ↑ ^{a b} survey related to "new countries"
29. ↑ ^{a b} tweet BILD am Sonntag , on twitter.com
30. ↑ tweet from Europe Elects , on twitter
31. ↑ AfD in the East almost as strong as the Union. In: Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung .
32. ↑ ^{a b} Overview of Baden-Württemberg polls on the next federal election , on wahlrecht.de
33. ↑ ^{a b c d e f g h i j k} Overview Bavaria surveys on the next federal election , on wahlrecht.de
34. ↑ ^{a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab} overview of Berlin polls on the next federal election , on wahlrecht.de
35. ↑ ^{a b} Overview of Brandenburg polls on the next federal election , on wahlrecht.de
36. ↑ ^{a b c} Overview of Hamburg polls on the next federal election , on wahlrecht.de
37. ↑ Overview of Hessen surveys on the next federal election , on wahlrecht.de
38. ↑ ^{a b c d e} Overview of general meetings on the next federal election , on wahlrecht.de
39. ↑ ^{a b c} Overview of Hessen surveys on the next federal election , on wahlrecht.de
40. ↑ ^{a b} Overview of NRW polls on the next federal election , on wahlrecht.de
41. ↑ ^{a b c} Overview of Rhineland-Palatinate surveys on the next federal election , on wahlrecht.de
42. ↑ ^{a b c} YouGov survey from June 26, 2020 , on yougov.de
43. ↑ The SPD gambled away its Corona profits on n-tv.de
44. ↑ ^{a b c} YouGov survey from May 28, 2020 , on yougov.de
45. ↑ Union continues to grow - to 40 percent , on n-tv.de.
46. ↑ ^{a b c} YouGov survey from April 30, 2020 , on yougov.de
47. ↑ ^{a b c} YouGov survey from April 3, 2020 , on yougov.de
48. ↑ ^{a b c} YouGov survey from March 6, 2020 , on yougov.de
49. ↑ ^{a b c} YouGov survey from December 18, 2019 , on yougov.de
50. ↑ ^{a b c} YouGov survey from November 27, 2019 , on yougov.de
51. ↑ ^{a b c} YouGov survey from November 6, 2019 , on yougov.de
52. ↑ ^{a b c} YouGov survey from October 3, 2019 , on yougov.de
53. ↑ ^{a b c} YouGov survey from September 11, 2019 , on yougov.de
54. ↑ ^{a b c} YouGov survey from July 31, 2019 , on yougov.de
55. ↑ ^{a b c} YouGov survey from July 3, 2019 , on yougov.de
56. ↑ ^{a b c} YouGov survey from May 21, 2019 , on yougov.de
57. ↑ ^{a b c d} YouGov survey from May 3, 2019 , on yougov.de
58. ↑ ^{a b c d} YouGov survey from March 28, 2019 , on yougov.de
59. ↑ ^{a b c d} YouGov survey from February 27, 2019 , on yougov.de
60. ↑ Green's strongest political force among schoolchildren and students , on presseportal.de
61. ↑ ^{a b c d} YouGov survey from January 31, 2019 , on yougov.de
62. ↑ ^{a b c d} YouGov survey from November 28, 2018 , on yougov.de
63. ↑ ^{a b c d} YouGov survey from November 7, 2018 , on yougov.de
64. ↑ ^{a b c d} YouGov survey from September 27, 2018 , on yougov.de
65. ↑ ^{a b c d} YouGov survey from August 30, 2018 , on yougov.de
66. ↑ ^{a b c d} YouGov survey from July 25, 2018 , on yougov.de
67. ↑ ^{a b c d} YouGov survey from June 27, 2018 , on yougov.de
68. ↑ ^{a b c d} YouGov survey from June 1, 2018 , on yougov.de
69. ↑ ^{a b c d} YouGov survey from April 26, 2018 , on yougov.de
70. ↑ ^{a b c d} YouGov survey from March 28, 2018 , on yougov.de
71. ↑ ^{a b c d e} YouGov survey from February 28, 2018 , on yougov.de
72. ↑ ^{a b c d} YouGov survey from January 25, 2018 , on yougov.de
73. ↑ ^{a b c d} YouGov survey from December 28, 2017 , on yougov.de
74. ↑ ^{a b c d} YouGov survey from November 29, 2017 , on yougov.de
75. ↑ ^{a b c d} Representative election statistics 2017 , on bundeswahlleiter.de
76. ↑ ^{a b} Union 40, SPD and Greens each 15 percent - Greens in the youngest group of voters in first place , on presseportal.de
77. ↑ ^{a b} tweet picture on Sunday with results , on twitter
78. ↑ Little change in the K question , on n-tv.de.de
79. ↑ Söder, Spahn and Merkel the biggest winners in the Corona crisis , on n-tv.de.de
80. ↑ The Scholz effect does not appear on n-tv.de.de
81. ↑ Survey on the SPD hammer: These are the chances for Olaf Scholz , on bild.de.
82. ↑ Germans are more concerned about the economy , on n-tv.de.
83. ↑ Chancellor election: 41 percent would vote Söder, 16 percent Laschet , on n-tv.de.
84. ↑ Söder leads on the chancellor question , on n-tv.de.de
85. ↑ As the Union's candidate for chancellor, only Söder Scholz and Habeck could currently beat , on n-tv.de.
86. ↑ 31 percent of German citizens would elect Merz as chancellor , on presseportal.de
87. ↑ FDP falls to five, AfD to nine percent , on n-tv.de.
88. ↑ CDU pulls Union into the bottom of the poll , on n-tv.de
89. ↑ SPD and AKK set themselves up in low polls , on n-tv.de.
90. ↑ Black-green convinces city and country , on n-tv.de
91. ↑ 73 percent want Merkel to rule until 2021 , on presseportal.de
92. ↑ SPD can grow a bit , on n-tv.de.
93. ↑ Scholz is losing ground on n-tv.de.
94. ↑ Black-green conquers government majority , on n-tv.de
95. ↑ Greens increase after the cuddle party convention , on n-tv.de.
96. ↑ Agreement on basic pension only uses the SPD , on n-tv.de.
97. ↑ CDU continues to lose approval , on n-tv.de.
98. ↑ Thuringia election pushes the left, AKK slips , on n-tv.de.
99. ↑ Union wins approval, AKK not , on n-tv.de.
100. ↑ A third of the CDU supporters would choose Kramp-Karrenbauer as chancellor , on n-tv.de.
101. ↑ Union keeps Greens at a distance , on n-tv.de.
102. ↑ ^{a b} SPD continues to sag , on n-tv.de.
103. ↑ AfD increases - but loses voters , on ntv.de.
104. ↑ East elections hardly have any impact on ntv.de.
105. ↑ Little approval for AKK , on ntv.de.
106. ↑ Scholz gives the SPD a bit of a boost , on ntv.de.
107. ↑ Greens are back on track thanks to the climate debate , on ntv.de.
108. ↑ Habeck wins with Chancellor Preference , on ntv.de.
109. ↑ AKK has not yet been able to score as a minister , on ntv.de.
110. ↑ As a minister, AKK is losing sympathy , on ntv.de.
111. ↑ ^{a b} Loss of sympathy for Kramp-Karrenbauer and Habeck , on presseportal.de
112. ↑ Scholz is gaining popularity on ntv.de.
113. ↑ Union catches up with Greens again , on ntv.de.
114. ↑ Greens are now leading the fourth week in a row , on ntv.de.
115. ↑ SPD only fourth strongest party , on ntv.de.
116. ↑ Habeck beats AKK on the chancellor question , on twitter.com
117. ↑ Is Germany ready for a green chancellor? , on n-tv.de
118. ↑ Union sinks to historical polls low on welt.de.
119. ↑ Greens catch up with Union, SPD crashes on bild.de.
120. ↑ Every second person wishes to be candidates for the Green Party , on t-online.de
121. ^ SPD historically bad, Greens before CDU , on n-tv.de
122. ↑ Union is weak, SPD on the rise , on n-tv.de
123. ↑ The black-green majority is shaking on n-tv.de.
124. ↑ Union is twice as strong as SPD again , on n-tv.de.
125. ↑ SPD sags significantly after the Kühnert debate , on n-tv.de.
126. ↑ Greens are getting closer to the Union , on n-tv.de.
127. ↑ Sympathy values ​​from AKK in descent , on welt.de
128. ↑ Every fifth person can imagine Chancellor Habeck at presseportal.de
129. ↑ Union parties recover easily , on n-tv.de
130. ↑ AKK continues to lose approval , on n-tv.de.
131. ↑ CDU boss loses especially with younger voters , on presseportal.de
132. ↑ Lose left, FDP increases , on n-tv.de
133. ↑ Joke only harms AKK - not the Union , on n-tv.de.
134. ↑ Change of course of the SPD without success , on n-tv.de.
135. ↑ SPD loses again , on n-tv.de.
136. ↑ SPD increases after reconsideration , on n-tv.de.
137. ↑ AfD falls to 11%, Greens increase on n-tv.de.
138. ↑ The SPD remains in the low , on n-tv.de.
139. ↑ Black-Green holds a narrow majority , on n-tv.de.
140. ↑ AKK remains far ahead of Nahles and Scholz , on n-tv.de
141. ↑ Union loses again, SPD too , on n-tv.de.
142. ↑ SPD is only fifth in the east , on tagesspiegel.de
143. ^ Citizens would choose AKK on n-tv.de.
144. ↑ Many voters consider Merz "uncomfortable" , on n-tv.de.
145. ↑ A optimistic mood does not help the Union , on n-tv.de.
146. ↑ AfD can look forward to the asylum debate on n-tv.de
147. ↑ Merz would lose to Scholz on presseportal.de
148. ↑ ^{a b} AfD loses in donation affair , on n-tv.de
149. ↑ Greens continue to grow on n-tv.de.
150. ^ Union and AfD lose before the Hessen election , on n-tv.de.
151. ↑ The SPD debacle on 14 percent , on n-tv.de
152. ↑ Black-Green is about to get the majority on n-tv.de.
153. ↑ Greens continue to grow on n-tv.de.
154. ↑ Greens replace SPD as the second strongest party , on n-tv.de.
155. ↑ Union and SPD sag even further , on n-tv.de.
156. ↑ SPD climbs out of the polls , on n-tv.de
157. ↑ AfD loses, "Stand up" inspires leftists , on n-tv.de
158. ↑ SPD just ahead of AfD and Greens , on n-tv.de
159. ↑ Nahles cannot score with voters on n-tv.de.
160. ↑ Black and red stuck in the summer low , on n-tv.de.
161. ↑ Greens overtake AfD , on n-tv.de
162. ↑ CSU pulls Union deeper into the crisis , on n-tv.de.
163. ↑ ^{a b} CSU less popular than in the federal election , on n-tv.de
164. ^ The Germans against Trump , on presseportal.de
165. ↑ ^{a b} majority thinks Seehofer is "troublemaker" , on n-tv.de.
166. ↑ Union dispute brings AfD record high , on n-tv.de
167. ↑ The CSU is harming itself with its refugee policy , on presseportal.de
168. ↑ Union loses after asylum dispute, AfD with record , on n-tv.de.
169. ↑ Union collapses, AfD just behind SPD , on n-tv.de
170. ↑ Union loses slightly - FDP wins , on n-tv.de.
171. ↑ Confidence in the SPD is falling on n-tv.de.
172. ↑ Wagenknecht can score points on a chancellor question on merkur.de
173. ↑ Satisfaction with Maas, Scholz and Altmaier , on presseportal.de
174. ↑ CDU and CSU are losing popularity on n-tv.de.
175. ↑ FDP only at 8 percent , on presseportal.de
176. ↑ SPD recovers minimally from low polls , on n-tv.de.
177. ↑ Nahles brings SPD no poll luck , on n-tv.de
178. ↑ Only 13 percent would choose Andrea Nahles as chancellor , on n-tv.de.
179. ↑ Union and Merkel are back on track , on n-tv.de.
180. ↑ SPD climbs annual high , on n-tv.de
181. ↑ CDU / CSU increase by 2 percent , on presseportal.de
182. ↑ Union smears , on n-tv.de.
183. ↑ GroKo partners are increasing slightly in surveys , on n-tv.de.
184. ↑ SPD supporters choose Merkel rather than Nahles , on n-tv.de.
185. ↑ Scholz would have better chances against Merkel , on n-tv.de.
186. ↑ SPD increases slightly, Nahles sags , on n-tv.de.
187. ↑ Chaos SPD crashes to the bottom of the poll , on n-tv.de.
188. ↑ Greens and AfD chasing the SPD , on n-tv.de
189. ↑ First survey after the negotiations on the grand coalition , on n-tv.de
190. ↑ Lowest mobilization of the SPD since 1918 , on n-tv.de.
191. ↑ SPD and Schulz continue in the polls low , on n-tv.de
192. ↑ SPD continues to lose ground , on n-tv.de.
193. ↑ Large survey after the soundings , on presseportal.de
194. ↑ "Schulz used the SPD little" , on n-tv.de.
195. ↑ Merkel clearly in front of Schulz , on n-tv.de
196. ↑ Greens continue top, FDP rather not , on n-tv.de.
197. ↑ The majority wants the SPD to co-rule on n-tv.de.
198. ↑ GroKo parties slightly in the plus - FDP not , on n-tv.de.
199. ↑ ^{a b} Even SPD supporters want a grand coalition , on n-tv.de.
200. ↑ ^{a b} Merkel cracks the 50 percent mark on n-tv.de
201. ↑ The draft horse Angela Merkel keeps the Union on course , on stern.de
202. ↑ Tailwind from election victory in Lower Saxony: SPD increases , on stern.de
203. ↑ Greens win after the federal election . n-tv.de
204. ↑ Union and SPD stop negative trend , on n-tv.de
205. ↑ Union and SPD worse than in the election , on n-tv.de
206. ↑ ^{a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r} Desired coalitions , on forschungsgruppe.de
207. ↑ Left alliance becomes coalition preference, on yougov.de
208. ↑ A clear majority expects the coalition to continue until 2021 , on zdf.de.
209. ↑ Majority rejects cooperation between the other parties and the AfD , on zdf.de.
210. ↑ Von der Leyen: Restrained support , on zdf.de
211. ↑ Black-green most popular coalition model , on zdf.de.
212. ↑ Majority for new elections and Green-Red-Red , on zeit.de
213. ↑ Greens are growing strongly - SPD and Union are losing on zdf.de.
214. ↑ Majority of Germans rejects CO2 tax , on zdf.de
215. ↑ Little approval of Brexit extension , on zdf.de
216. ↑ Brexit: majority against postponement , on zdf.de
217. ^ AKK: Doubt about suitability as Chancellor , on zdf.de
218. ↑ SPD remains in the low of the polls despite great approval for social policy , on zdf.de.
219. ↑ Clear majority for basic pension , on forschungsgruppe.de
220. ↑ Clear majority for coal exit , on forschungsgruppe.de
221. ↑ Greens increase significantly , on forschungsgruppe.de
222. ↑ Kramp-Karrenbauer and the Union on the rise , on zdf.de
223. ↑ SPD should expand left positions , on zdf.de.
224. ↑ Kramp-Karrenbauer with a slight lead over Merz , on zdf.de
225. ↑ Union and SPD as weak as never - Greens in second place , on zdf.de.
226. ^ Union and SPD at record low , on zdf.de
227. ↑ Union at record low - SPD and Greens gain , on zdf.de
228. ↑ AfD wins, now at 17 percent , on zdf.de
229. ↑ Majority attributes hot summer to climate change , on zdf.de
230. ↑ Europe cannot rely on the USA under Trump , on zdf.de
231. ↑ Majority agrees with the CSU border plan , on zdf.de.
232. ^ Abuses in the BAMF: majority for U committee , on zdf.de
233. ↑ Large majority: USA not a reliable partner , on zdf.de
234. ↑ US punitive tariffs: majority fears damage to the economy , on zdf.de.
235. ↑ Syria conflict: Fear of aggravation in the event of military intervention , on zdf.de
236. ↑ Cautious approval of the grand coalition , on zdf.de
237. ↑ Black-green most popular coalition model , on zdf.de.
238. ↑ Picture on Sunday 23 August 2020
239. ↑ ^{a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai} Overview INSA opinion trend, on insa-consulere.de
240. ↑ ^{a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao ap aq ar as at au av aw ax ay} overview INSA opinion trend 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
241. ↑ ^{a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao ap aq ar as at au av aw ax ay az ba bb bc bd be bf bg bh bi bj bk bl} Overview INSA opinion trend 2017/18 , on insa-consulere.de
242. ↑ Markus Söder CSU nationwide only at 4 percent , on n-tv.de.
243. ↑ Trump's capers end AfD soaring , on n-tv.de
244. ↑ CSU loses 4.8% compared to the federal election , on presseportal.de
245. ↑ After separation, CSU would become the second strongest force nationwide , on faz.net
246. ↑ Potential analysis from August 24, 2020 , on insa-consulere.de
247. ↑ Potential analysis from August 17, 2020 , on insa-consulere.de
248. ↑ Potential analysis from August 10, 2020 , on insa-consulere.de
249. ↑ Potential analysis from August 3, 2020 , on insa-consulere.de
250. ↑ Potential analysis from July 27, 2020 , on insa-consulere.de
251. ↑ Potential analysis from July 20, 2020 , on insa-consulere.de
252. ↑ Potential analysis from July 13, 2020 , on insa-consulere.de
253. ↑ Potential analysis from July 6, 2020 , on insa-consulere.de
254. ↑ Potential analysis from June 29, 2020 , on insa-consulere.de
255. ↑ Potential analysis from June 22, 2020 , on insa-consulere.de
256. ↑ Potential analysis from June 8, 2020 , on insa-consulere.de
257. ↑ Potential analysis from June 2, 2020 , on insa-consulere.de
258. ↑ Potential analysis from May 25, 2020 , on juergenfritzphil.files.wordpress.com
259. ↑ Potential analysis from May 18, 2020 , on insa-consulere.de
260. ↑ Potential analysis from May 11, 2020 , on insa-consulere.de
261. ↑ Potential analysis from May 4, 2020 , on insa-consulere.de
262. ↑ Potential analysis from April 27, 2020 , on insa-consulere.de
263. ↑ Potential analysis from April 20, 2020 , on insa-consulere.de
264. ↑ Potential analysis from April 14, 2020 , on insa-consulere.de
265. ↑ Potential analysis from April 6, 2020 , on insa-consulere.de
266. ↑ Potential analysis from March 30, 2020 , on insa-consulere.de
267. ↑ Potential analysis from March 23, 2020 , on insa-consulere.de
268. ↑ Potential analysis from March 16, 2020 , on insa-consulere.de
269. ↑ Potential analysis from March 9, 2020 , on insa-consulere.de
270. ↑ Potential analysis from March 2, 2020 , on insa-consulere.de
271. ↑ Potential analysis from February 24, 2020 , on insa-consulere.de
272. ↑ Potential analysis from February 17, 2020 , on insa-consulere.de
273. ↑ Potential analysis from February 10, 2020 , on insa-consulere.de
274. ↑ Potential analysis from February 3, 2020 , on insa-consulere.de
275. ↑ Potential analysis from January 27, 2020 , on insa-consulere.de
276. ↑ Potential analysis from January 20, 2020 , on insa-consulere.de
277. ↑ Potential analysis from January 13, 2020 , on insa-consulere.de
278. ↑ Potential analysis from January 6, 2020 , on insa-consulere.de
279. ↑ Potential analysis from December 23, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
280. ↑ Potential analysis from December 16, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
281. ↑ Potential analysis from December 2, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
282. ↑ Potential analysis from November 25, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
283. ↑ Potential analysis from November 18, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
284. ↑ Potential analysis from November 11, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
285. ↑ Potential analysis from November 4, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
286. ↑ Potential analysis from October 28, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
287. ↑ Potential analysis from October 21, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
288. ↑ Potential analysis from October 14, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
289. ↑ Potential analysis from September 30, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
290. ↑ Potential analysis from September 23, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
291. ↑ Potential analysis from September 16, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
292. ↑ Potential analysis from September 9, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
293. ↑ Potential analysis from September 2, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
294. ↑ Potential analysis from August 26, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
295. ↑ Potential analysis from August 19, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
296. ↑ Potential analysis from August 12, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
297. ↑ Potential analysis from August 5, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
298. ↑ Potential analysis from July 29, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
299. ↑ Potential analysis from July 22, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
300. ↑ Potential analysis from July 15, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
301. ↑ Potential analysis from July 8, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
302. ↑ Potential analysis from July 1, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
303. ↑ Potential analysis from June 24, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
304. ↑ Potential analysis from June 17, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
305. ↑ Potential analysis from June 11, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
306. ↑ Potential analysis from June 3, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
307. ↑ Potential analysis from May 27, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
308. ↑ Potential analysis from May 20, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
309. ↑ Potential analysis from May 13, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
310. ↑ Potential analysis from May 6, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
311. ↑ Potential analysis from April 29, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
312. ↑ Potential analysis from April 21, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
313. ↑ Potential analysis from April 1, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
314. ↑ Green voter potential as large as that of the Union , on presseportal.de
315. ↑ Potential analysis from March 25, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
316. ↑ Potential analysis from March 18, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
317. ↑ Potential analysis from March 11, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
318. ↑ Potential analysis from March 2, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
319. ↑ Potential analysis from February 25, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
320. ↑ Potential analysis from February 18, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
321. ↑ Potential analysis from February 11, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
322. ↑ Potential analysis from February 4, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
323. ↑ Potential analysis from January 28, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
324. ↑ Potential analysis from January 21, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
325. ↑ Potential analysis from January 14, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
326. ↑ Potential analysis from December 17, 2018 , on insa-consulere.de
327. ↑ Potential analysis from December 10, 2018 , on insa-consulere.de
328. ↑ Potential analysis from December 3, 2018 , on insa-consulere.de
329. ↑ Potential analysis from November 26, 2018 , on insa-consulere.de
330. ↑ Potential analysis from November 19, 2018 , on insa-consulere.de
331. ↑ Potential analysis from November 12, 2018 , on insa-consulere.de
332. ↑ Potential analysis from November 5, 2018 , on insa-consulere.de
333. ↑ Potential analysis from October 29, 2018 , on insa-consulere.de
334. ↑ Potential analysis from October 15, 2018 , on insa-consulere.de
335. ↑ Potential analysis from October 8, 2018 , on insa-consulere.de
336. ↑ Who would the Germans definitely not vote for? , on tagesschau.de
337. ↑ Potential analysis from October 1, 2018 , on insa-consulere.de
338. ↑ Potential analysis from September 24, 2018 , on insa-consulere.de
339. ↑ Potential analysis from September 10, 2018 , on insa-consulere.de
340. ↑ Potential analysis from August 20, 2018 , on insa-consulere.de
341. ↑ Potential analysis from August 13, 2018 , on insa-consulere.de
342. ↑ Potential analysis from August 6, 2018 , on insa-consulere.de
343. ↑ Union still has the greatest potential for voters , on presseportal.de
344. ↑ Potential analysis from July 9, 2018 , on insa-consulere.de
345. ↑ Potential analysis from July 2, 2018 , on insa-consulere.de
346. ↑ Potential analysis from June 25, 2018 , on insa-consulere.de
347. ↑ Potential analysis from May 28, 2018 , on insa-consulere.de
348. ↑ Overview of mandates won on August 24, 2020 , on insa-consulere.de
349. ↑ ^{a b} forecast winners in the constituencies August 2020 , on election.de
350. ↑ Overview of mandates won on August 17, 2020 , on insa-consulere.de
351. ↑ Overview of mandates won on August 10, 2020 , on insa-consulere.de
352. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from August 3, 2020 , on insa-consulere.de
353. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from July 27, 2020 , on insa-consulere.de
354. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from July 20, 2020 , on insa-consulere.de
355. ↑ ^{a b} Forecast winners in the constituencies July 2020 , on election.de
356. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from July 13, 2020 , on insa-consulere.de
357. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from July 6, 2020 , on insa-consulere.de
358. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from June 29, 2020 , on insa-consulere.de
359. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from June 22, 2020 , on insa-consulere.de
360. ↑ ^{a b} Forecast winners in the electoral districts June 2020 , on election.de
361. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from June 8, 2020 , on insa-consulere.de
362. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from June 2, 2020 , on insa-consulere.de
363. ↑ ^{a b} forecast winners in the electoral districts May 2020 , on election.de
364. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from May 11, 2020 , on insa-consulere.de
365. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from May 4, 2020 , on insa-consulere.de
366. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from April 27, 2020 , on insa-consulere.de
367. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from April 20, 2020 , on insa-consulere.de
368. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from April 14, 2020 , on insa-consulere.de
369. ↑ ^{a b} Forecast winners in the electoral districts April 2020 , on election.de
370. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from April 6, 2020 , on insa-consulere.de
371. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from March 30, 2020 , on insa-consulere.de
372. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from March 23, 2020 , on insa-consulere.de
373. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from March 16, 2020 , on insa-consulere.de
374. ↑ ^{a b} Forecast winners in the electoral districts March 2020 , on election.de
375. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from March 9, 2020 , on insa-consulere.de
376. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from March 2, 2020 , on insa-consulere.de
377. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from February 24, 2020 , on insa-consulere.de
378. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from February 17, 2020 , on insa-consulere.de
379. ↑ ^{a b} Forecast winners in the electoral districts February 2020 , on election.de
380. ↑ Overview of mandates won on February 10, 2020 , on insa-consulere.de
381. ↑ Overview of mandates won on February 3, 2020 , on insa-consulere.de
382. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from January 27, 2020 , on insa-consulere.de
383. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from January 20, 2020 , on insa-consulere.de
384. ↑ ^{a b} Forecast winners in the constituencies January 2020 , on election.de
385. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from January 6, 2020 , on insa-consulere.de
386. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from December 23, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
387. ↑ ^{a b} Forecast winners in the constituencies December 2019 , on election.de
388. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from December 9, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
389. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from November 25, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
390. ↑ ^{a b} Forecast winners in the electoral districts November 2019 , on election.de
391. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from November 18, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
392. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from November 11, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
393. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from November 4, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
394. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from October 28, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
395. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from October 21, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
396. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from October 14, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
397. ↑ ^{a b} Forecast winners in the constituencies October 2019 , on election.de
398. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from September 30, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
399. ↑ Overview of mandates won from September 23, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
400. ↑ ^{a b} forecast winners in the electoral districts September 2019 , on election.de
401. ↑ Overview of mandates won from September 16, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
402. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from September 9, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
403. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from September 2, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
404. ↑ Overview of mandates won on August 26, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
405. ↑ ^{a b} Forecast winners in the constituencies August 2019 , on election.de
406. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from August 19, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
407. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from August 12, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
408. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from August 5, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
409. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from July 29, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
410. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from July 22, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
411. ↑ ^{a b} Forecast winners in the constituencies July 2019 , on election.de
412. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from July 15, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
413. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from July 8, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
414. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from July 2, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
415. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from June 24, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
416. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from June 17, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
417. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from June 11, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
418. ↑ ^{a b} Forecast winners in the electoral districts June 2019 , on election.de
419. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from June 3, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
420. ↑ Overview of mandates won on May 20, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
421. ↑ ^{a b} Forecast winners in the electoral districts May 2019 , on election.de
422. ↑ Overview of mandates won on May 13, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
423. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from May 6, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
424. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from April 29, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
425. ↑ ^{a b} Forecast winners in the electoral districts April 2019 , on election.de
426. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from April 15, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
427. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from April 1, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
428. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from March 25, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
429. ↑ ^{a b} Forecast winners in the electoral districts March 2019 , on election.de
430. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from March 18, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
431. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from March 11, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
432. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from March 1, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
433. ↑ Overview of mandates won on February 25, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
434. ↑ Overview of mandates won on February 18, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
435. ↑ ^{a b} Forecast winners in the electoral districts February 2019 , on election.de
436. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from February 11, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
437. ↑ Overview of mandates won on February 4, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
438. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from January 28, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
439. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from January 21, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
440. ↑ ^{a b} Forecast winners in the constituencies January 2019 , on election.de
441. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from January 14, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
442. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from January 7, 2019 , on insa-consulere.de
443. ↑ ^{a b} Forecast winners in the constituencies December 2018 , on election.de
444. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from December 17, 2018 , on insa-consulere.de
445. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from December 11, 2018 , on insa-consulere.de
446. ↑ ^{a b} Forecast winners in the electoral districts November 2018 , on election.de
447. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from November 27, 2018 , on insa-consulere.de
448. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from November 20, 2018 , on insa-consulere.de
449. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from November 12, 2018 , on insa-consulere.de
450. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from November 19, 2018 , on insa-consulere.de
451. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from October 29, 2018 , on insa-consulere.de
452. ↑ ^{a b} Forecast winners in the constituencies October 2018 II , on election.de
453. ↑ ^{a b} Forecast winners in the constituencies October 2018 , on election.de
454. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from October 15, 2018 , on insa-consulere.de
455. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from October 8, 2018 , on insa-consulere.de
456. ↑ ^{a b} forecast winners in the electoral districts September 2018 , on election.de
457. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from September 10, 2018 , on insa-consulere.de
458. ↑ ^{a b} Forecast winners in the constituencies August 2018 , on election.de
459. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from August 13, 2018 , on insa-consulere.de
460. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from August 6, 2018 , on insa-consulere.de
461. ↑ ^{a b} Forecast winners in the constituencies July 2018 , on election.de
462. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from July 16, 2018 , on insa-consulere.de
463. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from July 9, 2018 , on insa-consulere.de
464. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from July 2, 2018 , on insa-consulere.de
465. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from June 25, 2018 , on insa-consulere.de
466. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from June 18, 2018 , on insa-consulere.de
467. ↑ ^{a b} Forecast winners in the electoral districts June 2018 , on election.de
468. ↑ Overview of mandate wins from June 11, 2018 , INSA Facebook page
469. ↑ ^{a b} forecast winners in the electoral districts May 2018 , on election.de
470. ↑ ^{a b} Forecast winners in the electoral districts April 2018 , on election.de
471. ↑ ^{a b} Forecast winners in the electoral districts March 2018 , on election.de
472. ↑ ^{a b} Forecast winners in the electoral districts February 2018 , on election.de
473. ↑ ^{a b} Forecast winners in the constituencies January 2018 , on election.de
474. ↑ Runner-up in the constituencies August 2020 , on election.de
475. ↑ Runner-up in the constituencies July 2020 , on election.de
476. ↑ Second place in the electoral districts of June 2020 , on election.de
477. ↑ Runner-up in the May 2020 constituencies , on election.de
478. ↑ Second place in the April 2020 constituencies , on election.de
479. ↑ Second place in the constituencies in March 2020 , on election.de
480. ↑ Second place in the electoral districts February 2020 , on election.de
481. ↑ Second place in the constituencies January 2020 , on election.de
482. ↑ Second place in the constituencies December 2019 , on election.de
483. ↑ Runner-up in the November 2019 constituencies , on election.de
484. ↑ Runner-up in the constituencies October 2019 , on election.de
485. ↑ Second place in the constituencies September 2019 , on election.de
486. ↑ Runner-up in the constituencies August 2019 , on election.de
487. ↑ Second place in the constituencies July 2019 , on election.de
488. ↑ Second place in the electoral districts June 2019 , on election.de
489. ↑ Runner-up in the May 2019 constituencies , on election.de
490. ↑ Runner-up in the April 2019 constituencies , on election.de
491. ↑ Runner-up in the March 2019 constituencies , on election.de
492. ↑ Second place in the electoral districts February 2019 , on election.de
493. ↑ Runner-up in the constituencies January 2019 , on election.de
494. ↑ Second place in the constituencies December 2018 , on election.de
495. ↑ Second place in the November 2018 constituencies , on election.de
496. ↑ Second place in the constituencies October 2018 II , on election.de
497. ↑ Second place in the constituencies October 2018 , on election.de
498. ↑ Second place in the constituencies September 2018 , on election.de
499. ↑ Runner-up in the constituencies in August 2018 , on election.de
500. ↑ Second place in the constituencies July 2018 , on election.de
501. ↑ Runner-up in the electoral districts June 2018 , on election.de
502. ↑ Second place in the constituencies May 2018 , on election.de
503. ↑ Second place in the constituencies April 2018 , on election.de
504. ↑ Second place in the electoral districts in March 2018 , on election.de
505. ↑ Second place in the electoral districts February 2018 , on election.de
506. ↑ Runner-up in the constituencies January 2018 , on election.de