State election in Saxony-Anhalt 1998
The state elections in Saxony-Anhalt in 1998 took place on April 26th. It led to slight gains for the SPD, double-digit losses for the CDU and the DVU's entry into the state parliament for the first time.
Starting position
In the state elections in 1994 , neither the black-yellow coalition under Prime Minister Christoph Bergner (CDU) nor a red-green coalition received a majority, as the CDU was the strongest party just before the SPD and the FDP failed to enter the state parliament . Therefore, under Prime Minister Reinhard Höppner (SPD), a red-green minority government was formed with tolerance of the PDS ( Magdeburg model ).
Election campaign
In 1998, the DVU competed in Saxony-Anhalt for the first time in an election in one of the new federal states. The campaign slogans were aimed primarily at the politicians who were already represented in parliament: “Not the people - the political bigwigs should go stamping!” And “Germans don't let yourself be pissed off . DVU - The protest in the election against filth from above ” . In particular, politically dissatisfied people were advertised with the slogan "Vote Protest - Vote German" . The financial cost of the election campaign was around 1.5 million euros.
Survey
Various surveys were carried out prior to the election. At 38 to 47%, the polls for the SPD were always well above the actual result of 35.9%. With values of 22 to 33% (actual result: 22.0%), the CDU was rated partly correct, partly a little too strong. The polls for the PDS at 16 to 20% were always close to the election result of 19.6%. In the polls, the Greens were first given a chance of entering the state parliament with values of up to 7% and the FDP predicted a result behind the Greens, this trend was reversed in the week before the election, so that the FDP was ahead with 4% the Greens with 3%, which corresponded to the actual result of 4.2% for the FDP and 3.2% for the Greens. The DVU was rated clearly too low in all surveys; the polls of a maximum of 6% were well below the election result of 12.9%.
| Institute | date | SPD | CDU | PDS | FDP | GREEN | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Infratest dimap | 01/29/1998 | 38% | 33% | 16% | 3% | 7% | 3% |
| Infratest dimap | 03/12/1998 | 45% | 25% | 16% | 4% | 5% | 5% |
| Forsa | 03/18/1998 | 44% | 24% | 19% | 3% | 4% | REP 4% Other 2% |
| Research group elections | 04/08/1998 | 44% | 25% | 17% | 4% | 4% | 6% |
| Forsa | 04/08/1998 | 44% | 24% | 20% | 3% | 4% | REP 3% Other 2% |
| Infratest dimap | 04/09/1998 | 47% | 25% | 16% | 3% | 4% | 5% |
| Polis | 04/20/1998 | 44% | 22% | 19% | 4% | 5% | DVU / REP 6% Others 3% |
| Forsa | 04/20/1998 | 41% | 22% | 19% | 4% | 3% | DVU 6% Others 5% |
| Infratest dimap | 04/23/1998 | 42% | 26% | 17% | 5% | 3% | DVU 6% Other 1% |
| Official end result | 04/26/1998 | 35.9% | 22.0% | 19.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% |
DVU 12.9% Others 2.2% |
Election result
Official end result
The result was the following:
| Eligible voters | 2,148,365 |
| Voters | 1,535,433 |
| voter turnout | 71.5% (+ 16.7% p) |
| Valid first votes absolutely | 1,468,929 |
| Valid first votes in% | 95.7% (-1.0% p) |
| Invalid first votes absolutely | 66.504 |
| Invalid first votes in% | 4.3% (+1.0%) |
| Valid second votes absolutely | 1,495,531 |
| Valid second votes in% | 97.4% (+1.4%) |
| Invalid second votes absolutely | 39.902 |
| Invalid second votes in% | 2.6% (-1.4% p) |
| Political party | First votes absolutely |
Share in% |
Gains / losses |
Second votes absolutely |
Share in% |
Gains / losses |
Seats | Seat difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPD | 578,850 | 39.4 | +7.1 | 536.501 | 35.9 | +1.9 | 47 | +11 |
| CDU | 396.670 | 27.0 | -8.1 | 329.282 | 22.0 | -12.4 | 28 | –9 |
| PDS | 342,647 | 23.3 | +2.8 | 293,475 | 19.6 | -0.2 | 25th | +4 |
| DVU | 192.352 | 12.9 | +12.9 | 16 | +16 | |||
| FDP | 88,631 | 6.0 | +2.2 | 63,250 | 4.2 | +0.7 | ||
| GREEN | 47.007 | 3.2 | -3.6 | 48,542 | 3.2 | -1.8 | ||
| future! | 11,434 | 0.8 | +0.8 | |||||
| REP | 1,663 | 0.1 | -0.4 | 10,239 | 0.7 | -0.7 | ||
| FORUM | 574 | 0.0 | ± 0.0 | 6,355 | 0.4 | +0.4 | ||
| DMP | 4.101 | 0.3 | +0.3 | |||||
| md-p | 579 | 0.0 | ± 0.0 | |||||
| PBC | 377 | 0.0 | ± 0.0 | |||||
| Individual applicants | 11,931 | 0.8 | +0.8 | |||||
| Other | -1.0 | -1.7 |
SPD
The SPD became the strongest party in Saxony-Anhalt for the first and to date (2016) only time, with a clear lead over the CDU and PDS. If it achieved an increase in votes of almost two percentage points for the second votes, it was able to increase its first vote share by more than seven percentage points and achieved 47 of 49 direct mandates.
CDU
According to the official final result, the CDU suffered double-digit losses. In 1994 it was the strongest party just ahead of the SPD, it was now almost 13 percentage points behind the SPD in second place and with only 22 percent achieved its worst result to date (2011) in Saxony-Anhalt and was below for the only time 30 percent. In the first votes, the losses were significantly lower than in the second votes, with Curt Becker in the Naumburg constituency and Thomas Webel in the Wolmirstedt constituency only two direct mandates (out of 49) nationwide .
PDS
The PDS lost votes slightly, but was able to roughly maintain its second vote result of 1994. In the first votes she was able to record gains of almost three percentage points, but lost her two direct mandates from 1994.
DVU
The DVU achieved its highest election result ever with 12.9% and was the first party to the right of the CDU to enter an East German state parliament. In the electoral group of 18 to 20 year olds, the DVU was the strongest party in Magdeburg. The DVU member Rudi Wiechmann became the age president of the state parliament.
FDP
The FDP achieved clear gains in both the first and second votes, but failed to make it into the state parliament with a second vote share of 4.2%.
GREEN
The Greens, who barely made it into the state parliament in 1994, lost significantly, lagged behind the FDP with a second vote share of 3.2% and thus clearly missed re-entry.
Consequences
Government formation
Since the Greens left the state parliament, Reinhard Höppner could not continue to govern with his red-green minority government. Although the SPD was only able to unite 40.5% of the seats in the state parliament, a sole SPD government was formed under tolerance of the PDS ( Magdeburg model ), the Höppner II cabinet .
Individual evidence
- ↑ a b State election 1998 - State Statistical Office Saxony-Anhalt. Retrieved November 1, 2010 .
- ↑ a b Steffen Kailitz : Political Extremism in the Federal Republic of Germany. An introduction . 1st edition. VS Verlag für Sozialwissenschaften, Wiesbaden 2004, ISBN 3-531-14193-7 , 3.3 "Deutsche Volksunion", p. 44 ( books.google.de [accessed December 12, 2010]).
- ↑ Steffen Kailitz: Political Extremism in the Federal Republic of Germany. An introduction . 1st edition. VS Verlag für Sozialwissenschaften, Wiesbaden 2004, ISBN 3-531-14193-7 , 3.3 "Deutsche Volksunion", p. 46 ( books.google.de [accessed December 12, 2010]).
- ↑ a b Graphic for the allocation of seats
