State election in Saxony-Anhalt 2021

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Bottom line
 %
40
30th
20th
10
0
37.1
20.8
11.0
8.4
6.4
5.9
3.1
1.5
1.4
4.4
Gains and losses
compared to 2016
 % p
   8th
   6th
   4th
   2
   0
  -2
  -4
  -6
+7.3
−3.5
−5.3
−2.2
+1.5
+0.7
+0.9
+1.5
−0.1
−0.8
Distribution of seats
      
A total of 97 seats

The election for the eighth state parliament of Saxony-Anhalt took place on June 6, 2021.

The CDU around Prime Minister Reiner Haseloff won the election with a significant increase in votes. The gap to the second-placed AfD increased significantly from over 5 to over 16 percentage points compared to the 2016 election . The AfD lost votes for the first time in an eastern German state in a state election.

The clearest loser in the election was Die Linke , which had to accept its worst result so far in Saxony-Anhalt. The SPD also lost, losing 2.2 percentage points. The FDP managed to re-enter the state parliament after ten years, the Greens were able to improve slightly, but remained the smallest parliamentary group.

On the day after the election, the FDP and the Greens declared that they would not join a coalition with the CDU and SPD as third partners, which together already achieve a majority in the state parliament.

organization

Election date

According to Article 43 of the state constitution, the state elections take place at the earliest in the 58th and at the latest in the 62nd month after the beginning of the electoral term. The electoral period of the state parliament elected on March 13, 2016 began with its first session on April 12, 2016.

In November 2019, with the votes of the government factions of the CDU, SPD and Greens, the state parliament set June 6, 2021 as the election date, the last Sunday within the constitutional deadline. The late date was justified with the weather. In addition to the opposition factions, the taxpayers' association also criticized the date because it would lead to advantages for members of parliament in terms of retirement benefits.

Suffrage

The number of Landtag electoral districts in Saxony-Anhalt was reduced from 43 to 41, the minimum number of MPs thereby fell from 87 to 83. The Landtag can, however, increase through overhang and compensatory mandates .

Each voter has two votes: The first vote is used to elect a member of each constituency. With the second vote , which is decisive for the allocation of seats in the state parliament , the state list of a party is elected.

The seats are calculated using the Hare-Niemeyer method .

Starting position

Previous election 2016

Election to the state parliament 2016
 %
30th
20th
10
0
29.8
24.3
16.3
10.6
5.2
4.9
9.0
Otherwise.

The 2016 election was dominated by the AfD party , which was standing for the first time and immediately received 24.3 percent of the vote and became the second strongest party. The CDU was after slight losses strongest party with about 30 percent. The left and the SPD were the clear losers , with only 16.3 and 10.6 percent respectively. The Greens again made it into parliament with 5.2 percent, while the FDP just missed it with 4.9 percent.

After the election, the CDU, SPD and the Greens formed Germany's first “ Kenya coalition ”. Reiner Haseloff (CDU) was re-elected Prime Minister and head of the state government . In parliament, the government has a narrow majority with 46 of the 87 seats.

Parties previously represented in the state parliament

Parliamentary group / national association Alignment 2016 since 2019
Voices (%) Seats Seats
CDU CDU Saxony-Anhalt
Christian Democratic Union of Germany 		Christian Democracy
Conservatism 		29.8%
30/87
30/87
AfD AfD Saxony-Anhalt
alternative for Germany 		Right-wing populism
nationalism 		24.3%
25/87
21/87
left The Left Saxony-Anhalt
The Left 		Left populism
Democratic socialism 		16.3%
16/87
16/87
SPD SPD Saxony-Anhalt
Social Democratic Party of Germany 		Social democracy 10.6%
11/87
11/87
Green Alliance 90 / The Greens Saxony-Anhalt
Alliance 90 / The Greens 		Green politics 5.2%
5/87
5/87
FW Free voters
Free voters 		Value conservatism
regionalism 		2.2%
0/87
1/87
independent Independents
Independent 		- -
0/87
3/87

Parties and Applicants

Legal

Parties could submit nominations until April 19, 2021. Parties that are not represented in the state parliament or with a representative elected in Saxony-Anhalt in the German Bundestag must provide support signatures. Due to the COVID-19 pandemic , the minimum number has been reduced significantly - from 1000 to 300 for state nominations and from 100 to 30 for district nominations.

Associations that are not represented by their own nomination in the state parliament or that did not participate in the 2017 federal election in Saxony-Anhalt with a state list had to report their participation by April 6, 2020; the state election committee decided on their party status.

Top candidates

According to the polls, the six largest parties are running with the following top candidates:

Parties

The national election proposals of the following 22 parties were approved (in the order as on the ballot papers):

Coalition statements before the election

The continuation of the previous so-called “ Kenya coalition ” made up of the CDU, SPD and the Greens was generally seen as a possible option by all those involved. A so-called “ Germany coalition ” made up of the CDU, SPD and FDP was also up for debate. Leading CDU politicians favored this alliance over a coalition with the Greens. All other parties continued to exclude cooperation with the AfD. In the course of the legislative period, individual CDU members sometimes suggested rapprochement with the AfD, but these were barely audible in the end. The CDU ruled out a coalition with the left.

Survey

Sunday question

Last polls before the election

Institute date CDU AfD left SPD Green FDP FW Otherwise.
INSA 06/04/2021 27% 26% 12% 10% 8th % 7% 3% 7%
Research group elections 06/03/2021 30% 23% 11.5% 10% 9% 6.5% 3% 7%
Research group elections 05/28/2021 29% 23% 11% 10% 9% 8th % 3% 7%
Infratest dimap 05/27/2021 28% 24% 10% 11% 9% 8th % 3% 7%
INSA 05/26/2021 25% 26% 13% 10% 11% 8th % - 7%
State election 2016 03/13/2016 29.8% 24.3% 16.3% 10.6% 5.2% 4.9% 2.2% 8.9%

Older polls

November 2016 - April 2021
Institute Period of survey Release Date Number of respondents CDU AfD left SPD Green FDP Others head Start
INSA April 20-27, 2021 04/29/2021 1,042 26% 24% 13% 10% 12% 6% 9% 2
Infratest dimap April 16-21, 2021 04/23/2021 1,202 27% 20% 12% 12% 11% 8th % 10% 7th
INSA January 19-25, 2021 01/27/2021 1,084 30% 23% 16% 10% 9% 5% 7% 7th
INSA November 23-30, 2020 02.12.2020 1,084 29% 23% 17% 10% 10% 4% 7% 6th
GMS July 15-29, 2020 07/29/2020 1.003 33% 19% 16% 12% 10% 4% NPD / rights 1%
FW 1%
Other 4% 		14th
Infratest dimap May 28th-June 3rd, 2020 06/05/2020 1.003 34% 19% 16% 13% 8th % 4% 6% 15th
INSA 02.03.-16.03.2020 March 20, 2020 1.005 25% 25% 18% 11% 11% 4% 6% a draw
Infratest dimap August 21-25, 2018 08/28/2018 1,000 28% 21% 19% 14% 6% 8th % 4% 7th
CONOSCOPE 30.01.-08.03.2018 May 22, 2018 1,100 35% 15% 20% 16% 5% 6% 3% 15th
Infratest dimap June 12-17, 2017 06/22/2017 1,000 40% 13% 20% 13% 6% 5% 3% 20th
Infratest dimap November 15-19, 2016 11/22/2016 1,000 33% 22% 18% 15% 5% - 7% 11
State election 2016 - 03/13/2016 1,147,498
(61.1%) 		29.8% 24.3% 16.3% 10.6% 5.2% 4.9% FW 2.2%
NPD 1.9%
Others 4.9% 		5.5

course

Survey values ​​averaged over monthly survey results, from the 2016 election to the 2021 election

More surveys

Direct election of Prime Minister

Institute date Reiner Haseloff ( CDU ) Oliver Kirchner ( AfD ) none of those asked
Research group elections 06/03/2021 68% 9% 23%
Research group elections 05/28/2021 68% 7% 25%
Infratest dimap 08/28/2018 56% 10% 16%

Evaluation of possible coalitions

The values ​​of the surveys reflect the opinion of the respondents as to which of the surveyed coalitions they rate as good or bad. The missing values ​​for 100% did not provide any information.

Institute date rating CDU
SPD
FDP 		CDU
SPD
Greens 		CDU
FDP
Greens 		CDU
AfD
Research group elections 05/28/2021 Well 37% 32% 19% 14%
bad 33% 48% 60% 76%

Government participation

The values ​​of the surveys reflect the opinion of the respondents as to which party should be part of a new state government. The missing values ​​for 100% did not provide any information.

Institute date Government participation CDU AfD left SPD Green FDP
INSA 05/19/2021 Prime Minister's Party 26.6% 10.9% 5.3% 8.2% 5.9% -
Ruling party 21.0% 12.0% 22.2% 32.1% 24.3% 22.0%

Results

Result of the state elections in Saxony-Anhalt in 2021
Political party short form First votes Second votes Seats
number % +/- number % +/- electoral
circles 		list total +/-
Christian Democratic Union of Germany CDU 362,334 34.1 Increase2.svg 4.6 394.810 37.1 Increase2.svg 7.4 40 - 40 Increase2.svg 10
Alternative for Germany AfD 231,871 21.8 Decrease2.svg 1.3 221,487 20.8 Decrease2.svg 3.4 1 22nd 23 Decrease2.svg 2
The left left 135,421 12.8 Decrease2.svg 5.9 116,927 11.0 Decrease2.svg 5.3 - 12th 12th Decrease2.svg 4th
Social Democratic Party of Germany SPD 116.504 11.0 Decrease2.svg 3.3 89,475 8.4 Decrease2.svg 2.2 - 9 9 Decrease2.svg 2
Free Democratic Party FDP 70.714 6.7 Increase2.svg 1.2 68,277 6.4 Increase2.svg 1.6 - 7th 7th Increase2.svg 7th
Alliance 90 / The Greens Green 60,495 5.7 Increase2.svg 0.4 63,145 5.9 Increase2.svg 0.8 - 6th 6th Increase2.svg 1
Free voters FW 57,527 5.4 Increase2.svg 3.3 33.291 3.1 Increase2.svg 1.0 -
Basic Democratic Party of Germany the base 7,564 0.7 New 15,623 1.5 New -
Human Environment Animal Welfare Party Animal welfare party 1,056 0.1 Increase2.svg 0.1 15,279 1.4 Decrease2.svg 0.0 -
Garden party Garden party 3.216 0.3 Increase2.svg 0.1 8,583 0.8 Increase2.svg 0.4 -
The party POLITICAL PARTY 3,909 0.4 Increase2.svg 0.3 7,768 0.7 Increase2.svg 0.2 -
Action party for animal welfare Animal protection here! - - - 6.238 0.6 New -
Alliance for human rights, animal and nature protection Animal Welfare Alliance 4,518 0.4 Increase2.svg 0.2 5,109 0.5 Decrease2.svg 0.6 -
Health Research Party Health research - - - 3,951 0.4 New -
Pirate Party Germany Pirates - - - 3.815 0.4 New -
National Democratic Party of Germany NPD 160 0.0 Increase2.svg 0.0 2,888 0.3 Decrease2.svg 1.6 -
WiR2020 WiR2020 - - - 1,649 0.2 New -
Free citizens of Central Germany FBM 2,932 0.3 Decrease2.svg 0.2 1,613 0.2 Decrease2.svg 0.2 -
Party of humanists The humanists - - - 1.405 0.1 New -
Ecological Democratic Party ÖDP 145 0.0 New 1,062 0.1 New -
Saxony-Anhalt climate list Climate list ST - - - 827 0.1 New -
Liberal Conservative Reformers LKR - - - 475 0.0 Decrease2.svg 0.8 -
Individual applicants 3,153 0.3 Decrease2.svg 0.1 - - - -
total 1,061,519 100.0 1,063,697 100.0 41 56 97 +10
Valid votes 1,061,519 98.4 Increase2.svg 1.4 1,063,697 98.6 Increase2.svg 0.7 - -
Invalid votes 17,526 1.6 Decrease2.svg 1.5 15,348 1.4 Decrease2.svg 0.7 - -
voter turnout 1,079,045 60.3 Decrease2.svg 0.8 1,079,045 60.3 Decrease2.svg 0.8 - -
Eligible voters 1,788,930

For the elected MPs, see the list of members of the State Parliament of Saxony-Anhalt (8th electoral term) .

Results in the urban and rural districts

First vote

The CDU won 40 of the 41 direct mandates. The AfD was only able to hold one of the 15 direct mandates it won in 2016 , the one in Zeitz . The Left also lost its only direct mandate in Köthen , which it had acquired in 2016 . Prime Minister Reiner Haseloff was the only candidate to win the direct mandate with an absolute majority , 53.9% in the Wittenberg state electoral district .

Constituency winners CDU (40) AfD (1)


area electoral
legitimate 		electoral
participation 		CDU AfD left SPD FDP Green FW Others
Dessau-Rosslau 65,076 58.3% 36.4% 19.5% 13.6% 11.3% 9.1% 7.7% 2.4% -
Halle (Saale) 181,768 62.0% 29.2% 15.8% 15.3% 12.3% 8.2% 12.7%0 4.0% 2.8%
Magdeburg 183,678 64.3% 30.8% 15.9% 13.4% 11.5% 6.9% 11.5%0 2.4% 7.6%
Altmarkkreis Salzwedel 68.171 61.5% 36.6% 18.6% 13.4% 12.0% 5.0% 4.3% 7.6% 2.5%
Anhalt-Bitterfeld 123.031 58.8% 36.3% 25.3% 14.2% 07.2% 5.7% 3.6% 7.6% 0.1%
Börde 129,480 61.3% 37.0% 22.7% 10.8% 10.9% 6.9% 3.8% 5.4% 2.4%
Burgenland district 145.095 56.3% 32.7% 25.5% 10.4% 12.6% 6.4% 2.9% 5.0% 4.5%
resin 179,055 58.7% 32.0% 20.2% 13.8% 15.2% 7.0% 4.7% 5.9% 1.1%
Jerichower Land 74,771 62.1% 36.4% 21.9% 11.1% 12.8% 6.4% 4.5% 2.6% 4.2%
Mansfeld-Südharz 113.183 58.7% 33.3% 27.9% 14.8% 08.7% 7.6% 2.8% 0.7% 4.2%
Saalekreis 152.344 63.1% 36.6% 26.2% 11.8% 09.3% 6.9% 4.4% 3.8% 1.1%
Salzlandkreis 157.091 55.0% 34.1% 24.5% 13.1% 10.1% 8.9% 3.3% 5.5% 0.5%
Stendal 91,642 60.1% 28.7% 23.1% 10.9% 08.9% 5.6% 3.7% 17.7%0 1.4%
Wittenberg 104,469 62.4% 44.9% 20.9% 09.1% 07.1% 5.3% 4.1% 4.7% 3.9%

Second vote

area electoral
legitimate 		electoral
participation 		CDU AfD left SPD FDP Green FW Others
Dessau-Rosslau 65,076 58.3% 40.1% 18.4% 10.8% 8.0% 7.0% 7.6% 1.9% 6.5%
Halle (Saale) 181,768 62.0% 32.1% 15.0% 13.1% 8.8% 7.2% 13.9%0 2.1% 7.5%
Magdeburg 183,678 64.3% 32.9% 15.1% 12.6% 9.6% 6.8% 10.8%0 1.9% 10.3%0
Altmarkkreis Salzwedel 68.171 61.5% 37.6% 18.5% 12.0% 9.5% 5.9% 5.0% 4.4% 7.3%
Anhalt-Bitterfeld 132.031 58.8% 38.8% 24.1% 11.3% 6.8% 5.7% 3.7% 3.3% 6.3%
Börde 140,581 63.0% 37.4% 22.3% 10.2% 8.8% 6.7% 4.1% 3.3% 7.3%
Burgenland district 145.095 56.3% 38.6% 24.9% 09.8% 7.7% 6.2% 3.6% 2.4% 5.7%
resin 179,055 58.7% 38.3% 19.3% 10.9% 10.3%0 6.3% 5.2% 3.1% 6.6%
Jerichower Land 74,771 62.1% 39.6% 21.0% 10.4% 9.3% 5.8% 4.3% 2.7% 6.6%
Mansfeld-Südharz 113.183 58.7% 37.5% 25.8% 11.1% 7.9% 6.0% 2.7% 1.5% 7.3%
Saalekreis 152.344 63.1% 38.1% 23.8% 09.6% 7.3% 7.2% 4.1% 2.5% 6.9%
Salzlandkreis 157.091 55.0% 38.1% 23.7% 11.1% 7.9% 6.9% 3.4% 2.7% 6.2%
Stendal 91,642 60.1% 34.2% 22.4% 10.1% 7.8% 5.2% 4.4% 10.4%0 5.5%
Wittenberg 104,469 62.4% 42.8% 20.9% 09.1% 7.1% 5.3% 4.1% 4.7% 6.0%

consequences

Possible coalition Seats
Total seats 97
Absolute majority (from 49 seats)
            CDU, SPD, FDP 56
            CDU, SPD, Greens 55
            CDU, FDP, Greens 53
            CDU, SPD 49

The day after the election, the CDU announced that it would hold exploratory talks with the SPD, FDP and the Greens for a possible coalition. On the evening of the election, several CDU politicians had spoken out in favor of including the FDP in the coalition. The Greens rejected a new edition of the Kenya coalition. The FDP also ruled out a coalition with the CDU and SPD because of the narrow majority. Two days later, however, the FDP rowed back and declared that it was open to exploring a so-called Germany coalition with the CDU and the SPD.

The CDU, SPD and FDP announced on July 7, 2021 that they wanted to enter into coalition negotiations and thus aim for a German coalition.

See also

Web links

Commons : State election in Saxony-Anhalt 2021  - collection of images, videos and audio files

Individual evidence

  1. ↑ a b Result of the state election of Saxony-Anhalt in 2021 , at wahlresults.sachsen-anhalt.de
  2. ↑ The date for the state elections in 2021 is set - higher costs for taxpayers , on mdr.de
  3. ↑ Potential coalition partners position themselves , deutschlandfunk.de from June 7, 2021, accessed June 8, 2021
  4. ↑ Mitteldeutsche Zeitung : State election Saxony-Anhalt 2021: Left and AfD criticize late election date
  5. ↑ Volksstimme: Landtag is to be reduced by eight seats
  6. ↑ Act on Parliamentary Reform 2014 , Articles 6 and 12 Paragraph 6 (PDF; 657 KB)
  7. ↑ Notices of participation and nominations , on wahlen.sachsen-anhalt.de
  8. ↑ Law of March 19, 2021 (GVBl. LSA p. 98) (PDF; 728 KB)
  9. ↑ Approved state election proposals for Saxony-Anhalt 2021 , at wahlen.sachsen-anhalt.de
  10. ↑ fr.de
  11. ↑ These coalitions are conceivable in Saxony-Anhalt , on mdr.de
  12. ↑ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p Wahlrecht.de : Election polls on the state elections in Saxony-Anhalt .
  13. ↑ Saxony-Anhalt: CDU clearly ahead of AfD , on zdf.de, accessed on June 3, 2021.
  14. ↑ a b Saxony-Anhalt: CDU stronger than AfD , on zdf.de, accessed on May 28, 2021.
  15. ↑ Direct election of Prime Minister , on infratest-dimap.de, accessed on March 28, 2021.
  16. ↑ By the editorial team on Wed, May 19, 2021: INSA survey: Head-to-head races between CDU and AfD in Saxony-Anhalt. May 19, 2021, accessed on May 19, 2021 (German).
  17. ↑ a b Results in Dessau-Roßlau , on wahlresults.sachsen-anhalt.de
  18. ↑ a b results in Halle (Saale) , on wahlresults.sachsen-anhalt.de
  19. ↑ a b Results in Magdeburg , on Wahlresults.sachsen-anhalt.de
  20. ↑ a b Results in the Altmarkkreis Salzwedel , on Wahlresults.sachsen-anhalt.de
  21. ↑ a b results in Anhalt-Bitterfeld , on Wahlresults.sachsen-anhalt.de
  22. ↑ a b results in Börde , on wahlresults.sachsen-anhalt.de
  23. ↑ a b Results in the Burgenland district , on Wahlresults.sachsen-anhalt.de
  24. ↑ a b Results in the Harz Mountains , on Wahlresults.sachsen-anhalt.de
  25. ↑ a b Results in Jerichower Land , on wahlresults.sachsen-anhalt.de
  26. ↑ a b Results in Mansfeld-Südharz , on Wahlresults.sachsen-anhalt.de
  27. ↑ a b Results in the Saalekreis , on wahlresults.sachsen-anhalt.de
  28. ↑ a b Results in the Salzlandkreis , on Wahlresults.sachsen-anhalt.de
  29. ↑ a b Results in Stendal , on wahlresults.sachsen-anhalt.de
  30. ↑ a b results in Wittenberg , on wahlresults.sachsen-anhalt.de
  31. ↑ Negotiations after the state election in Saxony-Anhalt: Greens reject Kenya coalition , on fr.de.
  32. ↑ FDP does not want to govern with CDU and SPD , on n-tv.de.
  33. ↑ FDP now open to talks about the German coalition. spiegel.de , accessed on June 9, 2021 .
  34. ↑ Saxony-Anhalt: CDU wants to form a coalition with the SPD and FDP. In: sueddeutsche.de . July 7, 2021, accessed July 7, 2021 .
  35. ^ Exploratory talks in Saxony-Anhalt: CDU wants coalition with SPD and FDP. In: taz.de . July 7, 2021, accessed July 7, 2021 .