Australian cyclone season 2014-2015
![]() All the storms of the season | |
Formation of the first storm |
3rd December 2014 |
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Dissolution of the last storm |
5th July 2015 |
Strongest storm | Marcia - 930 hPa ( mbar ), 110 kn (205 km / h ) (10 minutes) |
Tropical lows | 17th |
Tropical cyclones | 9 |
Heavy tropical cyclones | 7th |
Total number of victims | 1 |
Total damage | $ 762 million (2015) |
Australian cyclone seasons 2012–13 , 2013–14 , 2014–15, 2015–16 , 2016–17 |
category | Wind 10 minutes continuously |
Gusts |
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Trop. Deep |
<34 kn <63 km / h |
- |
one |
34–47 kn 63–87 km / h |
<66 kn <122 km / h |
Two |
48–63 kn 88–142 km / h |
67–90 kn 122–167 km / h |
Three |
64–85 kn 143–158 km / h |
91–121 kn 167–224 km / h |
Four |
86–110 kn 159–204 km / h |
122–150 kn 205–278 km / h |
five |
> 111 kn > 205 km / h |
> 151 kn > 279 km / h |
The 2014–2015 Australian cyclone season officially began on November 1, 2014 and will end on April 30, 2015 . The operational plan of the World Meteorological Organization also provides for a “tropical cyclone year” for the waters in the southern hemisphere . This started on July 1, 2014 and will end on June 30, 2015.
The Australian cyclone season includes storms that form south of the equator between 90th and 160th degrees east. These include Australia , Papua New Guinea , the western part of the Solomon Islands , East Timor and the southern areas of Indonesia . Tropical cyclones in this area are monitored by five Tropical Cyclone Warning Centers (TCWCs): the Bureau of Meteorology in Perth , Darwin and Brisbane , Australia; the TCWC Jakarta in Indonesia and the TCWC Port Moresby in Papua New Guinea.
The Joint Typhoon Warning Center issues unofficial warnings for this region for U.S. facilities. The extension "S" is used if the storm forms west of 135 ° east longitude and a "P" if this happens east of this line.
Season forecasts
region |
Probability above average |
average |
Actual activity |
---|---|---|---|
Entire region | 34% | 11 | 1 |
west | 43% | 7th | 1 |
Northwest | 38% | 5 | 0 |
north | 46% | 3 | 0 |
east | 42% | 4th | 0 |
Source: BoM season forecast |
Before the start of the cyclone season, the Australian Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) published its forecast for the upcoming cyclone season in October 2014. The BoM announced forecasts for the entire Australian region and for sub-regions, taking into account that the conditions were on the threshold of El Niño and that the development of an El Niño is to be expected during the cyclone season. For the Australian region as a whole, according to the BoM, there was a 34 percent probability that the season will take an average course with around 11 tropical cyclones. In the west of the region, between 90 ° east longitude and 125 ° east longitude, the BoM expects activity close to the average with seven cyclones and with a probability of 43% an above-average course of the season. The TCWC Perth indicated that it is likely that two tropical cyclones and at least one severe cyclone will hit Western Australia .
For the northwest sub-region between longitude 105 ° east and longitude 130 ° east, below average activity was predicted, with a 38% probability of more cyclones than usual. In the north - i.e. between 125 ° east longitude and 142.5 ° east longitude - there is a 46% probability of an above-average course of the season, but the TCWC Darwin pointed out that all climatological indicators point to a typical course of the cyclonic season in the north Point out of Australia. According to this, two to three cyclones would form in the area, of which at least one could be expected to cross the coast of the Northern Territory . For the eastern part of the Australian region between 142.5 ° east longitude and 160 ° east longitude, an almost average cyclone season was predicted; however, the TCWC Brisbane indicated that the start of the active portion of the season might be a little later than usual.
Storms
Tropical low
Tropical low ( BoM ) | |||
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Duration | July 13th - July 17th | ||
intensity | Unknown wind force |
On July 13, the TCWC Perth reported that a weak tropical low had formed about 860 km northwest of the Cocos Islands . Initially the system moved in a southerly direction, but began to move westward during the following day. Without being able to intensify, it moved further west on July 15 and was now on the western edge of the Australian area of responsibility. On the night of July 17th, the low pressure area crossed 90 degrees east longitude and thus also left the area of responsibility of the TCWC Perth.
Tropical low 01U
Tropical low ( BoM ) | |||
---|---|---|---|
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Duration | November 30th - December 7th | ||
intensity | 30 kn (55 km / h ) (10 minutes) , 1000 hPa |
Tropical cyclone Bakung
Tropical Category 2 Cyclone ( BoM ) | |||
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Tropical storm | |||
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Duration | December 10th - December 13th (→ Südwestindik ) | ||
intensity | 50 kn (95 km / h ) (10 minutes) , 991 hPa |
On the morning of December 10th, TCWC Perth began observing a tropical depression that formed about 425 km northeast of the Cocos Islands .
Severe tropical cyclone Kate
Tropical Category 4 Cyclone ( BoM ) | |||
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Category 3 cyclone | |||
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Duration | December 21st - December 30th (→ Südwestindik ) | ||
intensity | 90 kn (165 km / h ) (10 minutes) , 952 hPa |
Heavy Tropical Cyclone Lam
Tropical Category 4 Cyclone ( BoM ) | |||
---|---|---|---|
Category 3 cyclone | |||
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Duration | February 13th - February 20th | ||
intensity | 100 kn (185 km / h ) (10 minutes) , 943 hPa |
On February 13th, the BoM began observing a weak tropical disturbance over the Gulf of Carpentaria . During the following days the disturbance steadily developed into a tropical cyclone. The system was located 200 km northwest of Weipa , Queensland on February 16 . On February 19, Cyclone Lam formed an eye and was therefore upgraded to a Category 2 cyclone by the JTWC and from Category 2 to Category 4 by the BoM on the Australian scale.
Severe tropical cyclone Marcia
Tropical Category 5 Cyclone ( BoM ) | |||
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Category 4 cyclone | |||
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Duration | February 15 - February 26 | ||
intensity | 110 kn (205 km / h ) (10 minutes) , 930 hPa |
Tropical cyclone Olwyn
Category 3 cyclone ( BoM ) | |||
---|---|---|---|
Category 2 cyclone | |||
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Duration | March 8th - March 14th | ||
intensity | 80 kn (150 km / h ) (10 minutes) , 960 hPa |
Tropical cyclone Nathan
Tropical Category 4 Cyclone ( BoM ) | |||
---|---|---|---|
Category 2 cyclone | |||
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|||
Duration | March 9th - March 24th | ||
intensity | 90 kn (165 km / h ) (10 minutes) , 963 hPa |
Season overview
![](https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/de/timeline/e1e00043454fbe4b8437ba0637783c7f.png)
Storm names
The various Tropical Cyclone Warning Centers give names to storms that form in their respective areas of responsibility. The storms keep their name as they move from one jurisdiction to another. However, storms that are under the responsibility of Météo-France on Réunion are no longer renamed there. Storms that come from there into the area of responsibility of the TCWC in Perth keep the name given in the south-western Indian Ocean. On the following lists of names, names that have not yet been assigned this cyclone season are shown in light gray .
TCWC Jakarta
The TCWC in Jakarta observes tropical cyclones that form between the equator and 10 ° south latitude and between 90 ° and 125 ° east longitude. Special storm warnings are being issued in this area by the Australian Bureau of Meteorology . Should a tropical cyclone form within this area of responsibility, the TCWC Jakarta will assign a name from the following list; the last name given by Jakarta was Anggrek in 2010. In the 2013-2014 season, the TCWC Jakarta did not name a storm. The next name used by this list is Cempaka.
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TCWC Port Moresby
Tropical cyclones that form between 10 ° south and the equator and between 141 ° and 160 ° east are named by the Tropical Cyclone Warning Center in Port Moresby , Papua New Guinea . The formation of tropical cyclones in this area is rare; during the 2007-2008 season there was only one storm, cyclone Guba. The following list names the names given by the TCWC in Port Moresby. It is unclear what the next name will be given. No storm has been named by the TCWC Port Moresby since 2007.
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TCWCs in Perth, Darwin and Brisbane
Since the beginning of the cyclone season 2008-2009, the Australian Bureau of Meteorology has only used a single list of names, but still operates three TCWCs, in Perth , Darwin and Brisbane . These monitor all tropical cyclones that form between 90 ° and 160 ° east longitude and issue special warnings when cyclones occur in the areas of responsibility of the TCWCs in Jakarta or Port Moresby. The first name used this season is Kate.
Anika | Anthony | Alessia | Alfred | Ann | |
Billy | Bianca | Bruce | Blanche | Blake | |
Charlotte | Courtney | Catherine | Caleb | Claudia | |
Dominic | Dianne | Dylan | Debbie | Damien | |
Ellie | Errol | Edna | Ernie | Esther | |
Freddy | Fina | Fletcher | Frances | Ferdinand | |
Gabrielle | Grant | Gillian | Greg | Gretel | |
Herman | Hayley | Hadi | Hilda | Harold | |
Ilsa | Iggy | Ivana | Ira | Imogen | |
Jasper | Jenna | Jack | Joyce | Joshua | |
Kirrily | Koji | Kate | Kelvin | Kimi | |
Lincoln | Luana | Lam | Linda | Lucas | |
Megan | Mitchell | Marcia | Marcus | Marian | |
Neville | Narelle | Nathan | Nora | Noah | |
Olga | Osama | Olwyn | Owen | Odette | |
Paul | Peta | Quang | penny | Paddy | |
Robyn | Rubina | Raquel | Riley | Ruby | |
Sean | Sandra | Stan | Savannah | Seth | |
Tasha | Tim | Tatiana | Trevor | Tiffany | |
Vince | Victoria | Uriah | Veronica | Vernon | |
Zelia | Zane | Yvette | Wallace | - |
See also
- Atlantic hurricane seasons: 2014 , 2015
- Pacific hurricane seasons: 2014 , 2015
- Pacific Typhoon Seasons: 2014 , 2015
- Cyclone seasons in the North Indian: 2014 , 2015
- Cyclone season in the Southwest Indicator 2014–2015
- South Pacific cyclone season 2014–2015
Web links
- Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)
- Bureau of Meteorology (TCWCs Perth, Darwin and Brisbane)
- World Meteorological Organization Severe Weather
Individual evidence
- ↑ a b Tropical Cyclone Operational Plan for the South Pacific and South-East Indian Ocean ( English , PDF; 860 kB) In: RA V Tropical Cyclone Committee . World Meteorological Organization . Retrieved December 29, 2013.
- ↑ a b c d e f 2014–15 Australian Tropical Cyclone Outlook ( English ) Bureau of Meteorology. October 13, 2014. Archived from the original on October 13, 2013. Info: The archive link was automatically inserted and not yet checked. Please check the original and archive link according to the instructions and then remove this notice. Retrieved November 13, 2014.
- ↑ TCWC Perth: Western Australia Seasonal Tropical Cyclone Outlook ( English ) Bureau of Meteorology. October 13, 2014. Archived from the original on October 13, 2014. Retrieved on November 13, 2014.
- ^ TCWC Darwin: Tropical Cyclone Seasonal Outlook for the Northern Territory ( English ) Bureau of Meteorology. October 13, 2014. Archived from the original on November 12, 2014. Retrieved on November 13, 2014.
- ↑ TCWC Brisbane: Tropical Cyclone Seasonal Outlook for the Coral Sea ( English ) Bureau of Meteorology. October 13, 2014. Archived from the original on October 13, 2014. Retrieved on November 13, 2014.
- ^ Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region, Issued at 3:15 pm WST on Sunday 13 July 2014 . TCWC Perth. July 13, 2014. Archived from the original on July 16, 2014. Retrieved July 16, 2014.
- ^ Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region, Issued at 2:25 pm WST on Monday 14 July 2014 . TCWC Perth. July 14, 2014. Archived from the original on July 16, 2014. Retrieved July 16, 2014.
- ↑ Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region, Issued at 2:00 pm WST on Tuesday 15 July 2014 . TCWC Perth. July 15, 2014. Archived from the original on July 16, 2014. Retrieved July 16, 2014.
- ↑ Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region, Issued at 2:00 pm WST on Wednesday 16 July 2014 . TCWC Perth. July 16, 2014. Archived from the original on July 16, 2014. Retrieved July 17, 2014.
- ↑ Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region, Issued at 2:00 pm WST on Thursday 17 July 2014 . TCWC Perth. July 17, 2014. Archived from the original on July 17, 2014. Retrieved July 17, 2014.
- ^ Tropical Cyclone Naming ( English ) World Meteorological Organization . Retrieved December 29, 2013.
- ^ Gary Padgett: Monthly Global Tropical Cyclone Summary November 2007 ( English ) Australian Severe Weather. Retrieved December 29, 2013.
- ^ Tropical Cyclone Names ( English ) Bureau of Meteorology . Retrieved December 29, 2013.