Super bowl indicator
The Super Bowl indicator is a phenomenon that states that the stock market performance of a certain year depends on the result of the American Football Super Bowl , or can be predicted based on the result. This pseudo-macroeconomic concept says that if an American Football Conference (AFC) team wins there will be a bear market , if a National Football Conference (NFC) team wins there will be a bull market . Leonard Koppett realized in the 1970s that this “indicator” had never been wrong up to that point.
accuracy
As of January 2015, the indicator was correct in 39 of 48 cases, measured against the S&P 500 index - a still astonishingly high success rate of 81%.
Results
| year | team | Conference | Stock market | accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Rams | NFC | No | |
| 2001 | Ravens | AFC | Yes | |
| 2002 | Patriots | AFC | Yes | |
| 2003 | Buccaneers | NFC | Yes | |
| 2004 | Patriots | AFC | No | |
| 2005 | Patriots | AFC | Yes | |
| 2006 | Steelers | AFC | Yes | |
| 2007 | Colts | AFC | Yes | |
| 2008 | Giants | NFC | No | |
| 2009 | Steelers | AFC | Yes | |
| 2010 | Saints | NFC | Yes | |
| 2011 | Packers | NFC | Yes | |
| 2012 | Giants | NFC | Yes | |
| 2013 | Ravens | AFC | No | |
| 2014 | Seahawks | NFC | Yes | |
| 2015 | Patriots | AFC | Yes | |
| 2016 | Broncos | AFC | No | |
| 2017 | Patriots | AFC | No | |
| 2018 | Eagles | NFC | Yes | |
| 2019 | Patriots | AFC | No |
Individual evidence
- ↑ Don Peppers: Big Data. Super bowl. Small minds. ( English ) February 4, 2013. Accessed December 31, 2015.
- ^ Benjamin Snyder: Super Bowl Stock Predictor Has a Streak Going ( English ) In: Wall Street Journal . January 15, 2016. Retrieved January 17, 2017.
- ^ Bob Johnson: Would you base your market bets on the Super Bowl? ( English ) In: CNBC . Accessed December 31, 2015.
- ↑ Barbara & David P. Mikkelson: The Super Bowl Indicator ( English ). Accessed December 31, 2015.