Election to the 19th state parliament in Bavaria

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The Landtag in Munich ( Maximilianeum )

The election for the 19th state parliament in Bavaria is expected to take place in autumn 2023.

meeting

According to the Bavarian Constitution, the election is to be set on a Sunday "at the earliest 59 months, at the latest 62 months" after the previous state election , which took place on October 14, 2018. It will therefore take place between September 17 and December 10, 2023, if there are no early elections.

Starting position

Election to the state parliament 2018
 %
40
30th
20th
10
0
37.2
17.6
11.6
10.2
9.7
5.1
3.2
5.5
Otherwise.

The CSU suffered heavy losses of over 10 percentage points, but was still by far the strongest party. Significant growth and the second strongest force were the Greens , followed by the Free Voters . The AfD reached just over 10 percent when it first appeared, while the SPD became only the fifth-strongest party after major losses. The FDP barely reached the state parliament with 5.1 percent, the left clearly missed it.

The CSU lost its absolute majority in the state parliament, but quickly found a junior partner in the free voters. The governing coalition holds 112 of the 205 seats in parliament. Markus Söder thus remained Prime Minister.

Parties previously represented in the state parliament

Parliamentary group / national association Order code
drawing 		Seats
Christian-Social Union in Bavaria CSU 85
Alliance 90 / The Greens GREEN 38
Free voters FW 27
Social Democratic Party of Germany SPD 22nd
Alternative for Germany AfD 20th
Free Democratic Party of Germany FDP 11
Non-attached 2

Candidates

Delegates to the internal constellation meetings can be appointed at the earliest 43 months after the previous election.

Survey

Current polls

GMS survey from August 21, 2020
compared to the state election in 2018
 %
50
40
30th
20th
10
0
47
18th
9
7th
6th
3
3
7th
Otherwise.
Gains and losses
compared to 2018
(rounded to half a percent)
 % p
 10
   8th
   6th
   4th
   2
   0
  -2
  -4
  -6
+10
+0.5
-0.5
-3
-5.5
-2
± 0
+1.5
Otherwise.
Institute date CSU Green FW AfD SPD FDP left Otherwise.
GMS 08/21/2020 47% 18% 6% 7% 9% 3% 3% BP 2%
otherwise. 5%
INSA 08/11/2020 47% 18% 7% 7% 10% 3% 3% 5%
GMS 07/28/2020 49% 19% 5% 7% 7% 3% 3% BP 1%
otherwise. 6%
Infratest dimap 07/22/2020 49% 20% 5% 7% 7% 3% 3% 6%
GMS June 16, 2020 48% 16% 8th % 6% 9% 4% 3% BP 1%
otherwise. 5%
INSA 05/30/2020 46% 17% 8th % 7% 10% 4% 3% 5%
Infratest dimap 05/27/2020 48% 19% 8th % 5% 9% 3% 3% 5%
GMS 05/05/2020 47% 15% 9% 7% 10% 3% 3% BP 1%
otherwise. 5%
Infratest dimap April 8th, 2020 49% 17% 8th % 6% 10% - 3% 7%
GMS 02/25/2020 38% 20% 11% 11% 9% 3% 4% BP 1%
otherwise. 3%
Infratest dimap January 15, 2020 36% 25% 10% 10% 7% 4% 3% 5%
GMS 03/01/2020 38% 20% 10% 10% 8th % 6% 4% BP 1%
otherwise. 3%
State election 2018 14.10.2018 37.2% 17.6% 11.6% 10.2% 9.7% 5.1% 3.2% 5.4%

Older polls

2019
Institute date CSU Green FW AfD SPD FDP left Otherwise.
GMS 08/10/2019 37% 22% 11% 10% 8th % 5% 3% BP 1%
otherwise. 3%
INSA 09/25/2019 36% 22% 10% 11% 9% 5% 3% 4%
GMS 07/23/2019 37% 22% 11% 9% 7% 5% 3% BP 1%
otherwise. 5%
GMS 06/25/2019 37% 23% 9% 9% 8th % 5% 3% BP 1%
otherwise. 5%
Forsa 01/28/2019 38% 23% 12% 8th % 6% 5% 3% 5%
Infratest dimap 09/01/2019 35% 21% 13% 8th % 9% 6% 3% 5%
GMS 03/01/2019 38% 18% 11% 10% 9% 5% 4% 5%
State election 2018 14.10.2018 37.2% 17.6% 11.6% 10.2% 9.7% 5.1% 3.2% 5.4%

course

Survey values ​​averaged over monthly survey results, from the 2018 election to August 11, 2020

See also

Web links

Individual evidence

  1. ↑ Article 16 (1) sentence 3 Bavarian Constitution
  2. ↑ Article 18 Bavarian Constitution
  3. ↑ Söders reputation increases by 11 percentage points , on presseportal.de