Greenhouse effect
The greenhouse effect is the effect of greenhouse gases in an atmosphere on the temperature of the planet's surface, such as that of the earth. It causes a temperature increase there. The effect arises from the fact that the atmosphere is largely transparent for the short-wave radiation arriving from the sun , but not very transparent for the long-wave infrared radiation emitted by the warm earth's surface and the warmed air .
The analogy between the atmospheric greenhouse effect and a greenhouse has in common that light penetrates the system almost unhindered, while the resulting heat can leave the system less easily. The more the heat flow to the outside is insulated, the higher the temperature rises inside until a balance is reached between converted light energy and heat loss. The mechanisms are different: In the greenhouse, the warm air rising from the floor cannot escape through the glass walls. As a result, the air temperature rises until the heated glass walls release the corresponding heat output to the environment. In the atmosphere, on the other hand, the effect is based on thermal radiation and backscattering from greenhouse gases.
Research history
discovery
The greenhouse effect was discovered in 1824 by the French mathematician and physicist Joseph Fourier , combined with the assumption that the earth's atmosphere has insulating properties that prevent part of the incoming thermal radiation from being reflected into space. Building on this, the British naturalist John Tyndall was able to identify some of the gases responsible for the greenhouse effect such as water vapor and carbon dioxide by means of precise measurements in 1862 . In a publication published in 1896, the Swedish physicist and chemist Svante Arrhenius (1859–1927) succeeded in describing the atmospheric greenhouse effect more precisely for the first time , taking into account the ice-albedo feedback . The first proof of the increase in the atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration and thus the anthropogenic greenhouse effect was made in 1958 by Charles D. Keeling . A large number of measuring stations for carbon dioxide were set up on Keeling's initiative; the most famous is on the Mauna Loa in Hawaii . In addition to a global network of stations, there are several earth observation satellites in operation or in the planning stage, whose task, among other things, is to collect data on greenhouse gas concentrations, radiation levels, cloud formation or aerosol distribution .
Historical course
Since the beginning of the industrial age , additional greenhouse gas shares have been released in the atmosphere from combustion processes and agriculture: carbon dioxide , methane , nitrous oxide and the indirectly caused formation of tropospheric ozone . This increase is called the anthropogenic greenhouse effect and is the reason for the global warming that has occurred since the beginning of the industrial age and has continued to increase in the 21st century . Several components of the greenhouse effect have now been verified by measurements, such as the increase in radiative forcing due to anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions, as well as the assumption published in 1908 that the tropopause shifts upwards with increasing CO 2 concentration. The current level of carbon dioxide is the highest in at least 800,000 years. According to paleoclimatological analyzes , no significantly higher CO 2 values occurred during the last 14 million years (since the climatic optimum of the Middle Miocene ) .
Possible developments
The most important greenhouse gases responsible for the greenhouse effect on earth today are water vapor (share 62%), followed by carbon dioxide (share 22%). Global warming also increases z. B. through the water vapor feedback or the decrease in CO 2 storage in the warmer ocean, the concentration of these greenhouse gases further. It is discussed again and again whether these positive feedbacks in the climate system can in principle set in motion a galloping greenhouse effect , which in the past must also have taken place on the planet Venus, for example . Even without a completely destabilizing feedback, one or more tipping points in the Earth's climate system can easily be exceeded as a result of the warming , from which the climate levels off to a new state of equilibrium with rising sea levels and a significant decrease in biodiversity . Such a development would seriously change the image of the earth, above all due to the associated shift in climate and vegetation zones and the extensive melting of the West Antarctic and Greenland ice sheets .
Physical mode of action
Radiation balance
Fundamental to the physical understanding of the temperature of the earth is its radiation balance . Energy in the form of electromagnetic radiation radiates from the sun towards the earth. From this, the earth receives an output of 1367 watts per square meter on the cross-sectional area of the day side - about that of a hotplate. The matter that the radiation hits reflects back around 30% of it directly in the case of Earth. The rest of the absorbed part heats the matter until it in turn emits the same amount of heat output. Globally, the earth radiates about the same amount of electromagnetic energy back into space as it receives on average from the sun.
Mean equilibrium temperature
The mean equilibrium temperature that is established on earth can first be calculated with the simplified assumption that there is no atmosphere: In this case, it would be −18 ° C in the global, daily and seasonal mean. Only at this mean temperature is there an equilibrium in which, on average, just as much thermal radiation is given off to the −270 ° C cold universe as the radiation energy from the sun is absorbed.
If there is an atmosphere, the same effective temperature of −18 ° C must also prevail on its outside so that the radiation equilibrium can exist. From space, thermal images of the earth would also confirm this mean temperature of −18 ° C. However, a significantly higher mean temperature of +14 ° C is measured below the atmosphere on the earth's surface. The difference of 32 ° C is attributed to the greenhouse effect.
Comparison with other planets
Comparisons with other planets or calculations of idealized planetary models illustrate the effects of the greenhouse effect.
An example without any atmosphere can be found at the moon . It receives the same radiation power per area as the earth and has an average surface temperature of −55 ° C. It is lower than the expected −18 ° C on earth, as the moon can radiate heat for half a month on the shadow side, while the temperature on the sunny side saturates.
There is a huge difference in our neighboring planet Venus : Instead of the calculated -46 ° C of the radiation equilibrium, an average of 464 ° C was actually measured under the dense and almost pure CO 2 atmosphere on the planet's surface. The cause is very clear here: the greenhouse effect.
Spectra of emitted radiation
The most common wavelength of the photons of the sun light are around 500 nm. This corresponds to green light, wherein the sum of all the visible rays of the sun is perceived as white light. From this radiation maximum one can infer the surface temperature of the sun: about 5600 ° C or 5900 K. The same applies to thermal radiation , which is radiated from heated objects in the form of electromagnetic waves at terrestrial temperatures and whose most frequent wavelength is around 10,000 nm ( infrared radiation ). Wien's law of displacement describes the crucial connection : the lower the temperature of a radiator, the greater the wavelength of the radiation it emits. Below the maximum, the spectrum tends towards long waves, so that half of the sunlight also consists of infrared radiation.
Mechanism of the greenhouse effect
In the spectral range of visible sunlight, the earth's air envelope (like glass panes in a greenhouse) only absorbs little radiation - one speaks of high transparency . The radiation can therefore penetrate the greenhouse almost unhindered. Only the infrared part can heat parts of the atmosphere directly. The matter inside the greenhouse, i.e. essentially the earth's surface, absorbs a large part of the photons and warms up as a result. The heat is radiated from there directly or indirectly through the heated air upwards again electromagnetically.
Since most of the energy radiated back from the earth consists only of infrared radiation, the greenhouse effect becomes noticeable: the atmosphere is less permeable to infrared radiation due to the greenhouse gases . The same applies to the analogue of the glass roof, which stops both thermal radiation and rising warm air. Greenhouse gases play a decisive role in the atmosphere . Due to the asymmetry of the charge distribution, they have the property of absorbing energy from the thermal radiation very efficiently from the electromagnetic field. The energy is used to stimulate internal vibrations, in which negative and positive charges oscillate against each other or rotate around each other. The individual molecules mediate a two-way exchange of energy between the thermal radiation and the surrounding gases. Net energy is transported from the earth's surface to the greenhouse gas and finally to space. The thermal fluctuations, which also radiate energy against the temperature gradient towards the earth, reduce the effective cooling capacity of the surface, which results in a higher equilibrium temperature.
Greenhouse gases
In the earth's atmosphere, greenhouse gases such as water vapor , carbon dioxide , methane and ozone have had a greenhouse effect that has had a decisive influence on the history of the climate in the past and on today's climate . The greenhouse gases are permissible for the short-wave portion of solar radiation , whereas long-wave heat radiation is absorbed and emitted in different wavelengths depending on the greenhouse gas.
The molecules of a greenhouse gas are physically characterized by a certain asymmetry. The center of gravity of all positive charges has to be somewhat distant from that of the negative charges, which corresponds to a dipole moment . As a result, an external alternating electric field can periodically deflect parts of the molecule in opposite directions and thus stimulate them to oscillate. The amplitude of this oscillation becomes particularly strong when the resonance frequency agrees well with the excitation frequency, which is the case with greenhouse gases and thermal radiation. The molecular vibration absorbs energy and radiates it again in different directions, partly back towards earth. Symmetrical molecules like O 2 and N 2 do not have such a dipole moment and are therefore almost completely transparent to thermal radiation.
The largest part of the greenhouse effect is caused by water vapor in the atmosphere with a share of approx. 36–70% (without taking into account the effects of clouds) . Carbon dioxide in the earth's atmosphere contributes around 9–26% to the greenhouse effect, methane around 4–9% and tropospheric ozone around 3–7%. The climate impact of ozone differs greatly between stratospheric ozone and tropospheric ozone. Stratospheric ozone absorbs the short-wave UV component in the incident sunlight and thus has a cooling effect (based on the earth's surface). Tropospheric ozone is created from the products of anthropogenic combustion processes and, like other greenhouse gases, has a warming effect due to its IR absorption.
An exact percentage of the effect of the individual greenhouse gases on the greenhouse effect cannot be given, as the influence of the individual gases varies depending on the degree of latitude and mixing (the higher percentage values indicate the approximate proportion of the gas itself, the lower values result from the mixtures of the Gases).
With the great mass of the earth, heat storage plays a significant role, which can be seen from the fact that the warmest time on earth in summer only occurs after the highest point of the sun (the " solstice "). The highest point of the sun is on June 21st in the northern hemisphere and on December 21st in the southern hemisphere. Because of this large storage effect, the energy balances in the atmosphere are always calculated using the mean value over the entire earth's surface.
Energy balance
The heat processes on the earth's surface and in the atmosphere are driven by the sun. The strength of solar radiation in the earth's orbit is known as the solar constant and has a value of around 1367 W / m². Depending on the distance from the earth and solar activity, this fluctuates between 1325 W / m² and 1420 W / m²; In the graphic on the right, a solar constant of 1365.2 W / m² was used.
So-called energy balances are calculated with an average value of the irradiation on the earth's surface: The earth receives solar radiation on the area of the earth's cross-section and has a surface of . These two areas have a ratio of 1: 4; H. averaged over the entire globe, radiation of 341.3 W / m² reaches the surface. Clouds, air and soil (especially ice and snow, see albedo ) reflect around 30% of the radiated solar energy back into space - that is around 102 W / m². The remaining 70% is absorbed (78 W / m² from the atmosphere, 161 W / m² from the ground) - that is a total of 239 W / m². If the earth were only exposed to radiation of 239 W / m², the earth's surface would assume an average temperature of about −18 ° C if the heat were evenly distributed over the earth.
Because according to the Stefan-Boltzmann law :
- ,
with power, area, Stefan-Boltzmann constant . The earth has an albedo of 0.3, i.e. H. 30% of the incident radiation is reflected. So the effective radiation is and the equation for the radiation equilibrium of the earth without atmosphere becomes:
- .
Moved after results
and with the parameters of the planet earth:
- .
But there is further radiation from the heated greenhouse gases with 333 W / m², the so-called atmospheric counter-radiation . The earth's surface absorbs a total of 161 W / m² + 333 W / m² = 494 W / m² - and these are emitted in several ways at the actual mean earth surface temperature of +14 ° C. Part of it is given off by radiation, which is again described by Planck's law of radiation .
The energy radiated from the earth's surface has a different spectral (color) distribution than the incident sunlight, which has a spectral distribution corresponding to a color temperature of about 6000 K and is hardly absorbed by the atmospheric gases. The spectral distribution of the energy radiated from the earth's surface is determined by the +14 ° C of the earth's surface, so that only about 40 W / m² are radiated directly from the earth's surface into space. The remaining 199 W / m² are partly emitted by radiation to the atmosphere that is opaque for this wavelength portion (caused by greenhouse gases); 17 W / m² are brought into the upper air layers by convection, where this energy is then radiated; 80 W / m² are released through evapotranspiration . The atmosphere has two surfaces: one towards space and one towards earth. The radiation from the atmosphere is the same on either side if the temperature of the earth is constant. An energy of 338 W / m² is thus emitted half on each side of the atmosphere - i.e. 169 W / m² each. For comparison: a black body with a radiation of 150 W / m² has a temperature of approximately −40 ° C. If the radiation is greater in one direction than in the other, the earth is heated or cooled. The difference is the radiative forcing . With this quantity, the new equilibrium temperature of the earth resulting from the changed balance can easily be calculated.
Due to the radiation into space from the atmosphere with 169 W / m², the radiation from the clouds with 30 W / m², the 40 W / m² from the earth's surface and the albedo proportion of 102 W / m², this is roughly equal to the mean irradiation of 342 W / m², d. That is, radiation is roughly the same as radiation. This can also be seen in the fact that the temperature of the earth changes only slowly - from which it necessarily follows that the earth releases the absorbed solar energy again - but because of the low earth temperature, the energy is mainly emitted as long-wave infrared radiation ( Wien's law of displacement ).
The heat flow from the earth's mantle is practically irrelevant. It is about 0.06 W / m².
The heat flow ( power ) from fuels used by humans is even lower and is 0.026 watts per square meter. It is calculated from the world energy consumption (in 2004) of 432 exajoules and the size of the earth's surface of around 510 million km².
In summary: The reflection from the atmosphere to the earth leads to additional warming of the earth's surface. This explains the average measured global temperature of 14 ° C instead of the theoretically calculated equilibrium temperature without atmosphere of −18 ° C.
the atmosphere |
Remainder of the greenhouse effect |
---|---|
as until now | 100% |
without H 2 O, CO 2 , O 3 | 50% |
without H 2 O | 64% |
without clouds | 86% |
without CO 2 | 88% |
without O 3 | 97% |
without all greenhouse gases | 0% |
Source: Ramanathan and Coakley (1978) p. a. |
The height distribution from where the thermal radiation reaches the earth's surface is also important. Only the share of radiation from low altitudes is directly significant for the greenhouse effect, because only this radiation reaches the ground without being absorbed again by the greenhouse gases (see next paragraph). The “low” is very wavelength-dependent, because the length after which the radiation is absorbed again ( absorption length ) depends on the wavelength and the concentration. If the absorption length is greater than the thickness of the atmosphere, the atmosphere is almost transparent at these wavelengths. Since the strength of a radiation depends on the temperature of the source, the radiation strength increases when the absorption length becomes shorter: because of the decrease in temperature with altitude, the mean temperature increases over the shorter absorption length. This means that the atmospheric counter-radiation in a wavelength range can become even stronger with increasing amounts of greenhouse gases, even if the atmosphere in this wavelength range is already as good as opaque.
The temperature profile up to an altitude of approx. 11 km is practically only adiabatic, the energy lost through the emission of greenhouse gases is replaced by convection and radiation absorption. The absorbed radiation comes from various sources:
- Solar radiation (very low proportion)
- Radiation from the earth's surface
- Radiation from deeper layers
- Radiation from higher layers
The proportion of long-wave thermal radiation emitted by greenhouse gases such as
- Carbon dioxide (CO 2 ),
- Methane (CH 4 ),
- Laughing gas (N 2 O)
and other gases is called the dry greenhouse effect . The inclusion of water vapor leads to the moist greenhouse effect . About 62% of the greenhouse effect is caused by water vapor and about 22% by carbon dioxide.
The complete combustion of ( anthropogenic ) hydrocarbons with the empirical formula C x H y results in x molecules of CO 2 and y / 2 molecules of H 2 O, both of which contribute to the global greenhouse effect.
The temperature profile as a function of the pressure height is interesting (the highest pressure on the earth's surface is 1.013 bar). The pressure decreases upwards because the gas mass is lower. The same pressure changes correspond to the same number of gas particles. In the troposphere, the temperature curve is best described by an adiabatic with the exponent 0.19. Above the troposphere, the gas mass is low and there is no longer an adiabatic course. The peak of the real atmosphere at low pressures is caused by the UV absorption of oxygen (ozone formation and decomposition). The existence of the troposphere can also be explained by the curvature of the curve in the troposphere: If the curve were a straight line, the energy absorbed by the greenhouse gases would on average be equal to the energy emitted - but because of the curvature and its type, the energy emitted is greater than the absorbed energy, so the air is cooled and sinks down. This sets in motion a vertical circulation which, according to the gas laws with constant heat content (the radiation loss is small compared to the heat content), leads to an adiabatic course.
The importance of the global greenhouse effect can therefore also be seen in the extremely different surface temperatures of the planets Venus , Earth and Mars . These temperature differences depend not only on the distance to the sun, but above all on the different atmospheres (due to various causes).
Anthropogenic greenhouse effect
The anthropogenic greenhouse effect is the intensification of the natural greenhouse effect through human activities. This mainly results from the release of various greenhouse gases such as carbon dioxide (CO 2 ), methane (CH 4 ), nitrous oxide (N 2 O) and tropospheric ozone (O 3 ). Its consequence is global warming , i. H. an increase in the global average temperature since the beginning of industrialization, or particularly strongly in the last 30 years, by around 1 degree Celsius. In the meantime, this effect is not only understood theoretically. B. be measured with satellites that record the energy radiation on the earth and the energy radiated from the earth. Satellite data show that the heat radiation from the earth into space decreases with the increasing concentration of greenhouse gases, as is expected with an increased greenhouse gas concentration. The decline takes place in the wavelength range of greenhouse gases such as carbon dioxide, methane and ozone, the proportion of which in the atmosphere increases due to anthropogenic emissions.
speed
In contrast to the natural climate changes that take place on geological time scales, anthropogenic climate change occurs in an extremely short time. According to more recent studies, the currently observed release of carbon dioxide occurs faster than in all known warming phases of the last 66 million years. The same is true for the rate of temperature change currently observed. The global warming from the last ice age to the present warm period was a warming of about one degree per 1000 years. The increase in greenhouse gas concentrations over the past 100 years has led to an increase in the global average temperature of around 0.85 degrees. In a “business as usual” scenario ( representative concentration path RCP 8.5), the most likely future temperature increase of approx. 5 ° C by 2100 would even occur at a rate of 5 ° C / 100 years.
mechanism
Only a small part of the net heat radiation from earth into space comes from layers of the atmosphere close to the ground, because in the lower layers of the air, infrared radiation is usually absorbed again by the layers of air above. It does not take place in a narrowly delimited area, but in an area that extends from areas close to the ground to an altitude of approx. 15 km and on average from a height of 5.5 km. The equilibrium radiation temperature of the earth's surface would be −18 ° C without an atmosphere. For reasons of thermodynamics , the temperature in the atmosphere drops by 6.5 K / km when you move upwards. An increase in the greenhouse gas concentration causes the layer in which there is a radiation equilibrium temperature of −18 ° C to move upwards. For every kilometer of increase in the layer in which there is radiation equilibrium, the temperature on the earth's surface also increases by 6.5 ° C. As early as 1901, Nils Ekholm postulated the increase in the tropopause: “Radiation from the earth into space does not go there directly from the ground, but from a layer that is located at a considerable height above the ground. The higher the force with which the air can absorb the radiation emitted by the ground, the higher the layer. However, the temperature of this layer decreases with increasing altitude. Since colder air can radiate less heat, the higher this radiating layer is, the more the ground warms up. ”The British meteorologist Ernest Gold published in 1908 that it was to be expected that the tropopause would be due to the increasing CO 2 concentration thereby increased greenhouse effect rises higher. This could be confirmed by measurements at the beginning of the 21st century. Contrary to some representations in the media, the greenhouse effect cannot be saturated because the heat radiation can be absorbed and re-emitted as often as desired; every additional absorption increases the heat transfer resistance . As already described, most of the radiation does not take place near the ground, but at a height of several thousand meters. It is considerably colder there than near the ground. The water vapor content of air is highly dependent on temperature, so that cold air can contain considerably less of this greenhouse gas than warm air. An increase in the concentration of carbon dioxide has a greater effect than measurements at sea level would suggest, because there is hardly any water vapor where the earth's energy is mainly radiated into space. The effect of the greenhouse effect by changing the concentration of carbon dioxide would therefore increase even if no change in absorption were measurable at sea level.
The relationship between CO 2 concentration and instant radiative forcing is logarithmic for CO 2 concentrations up to about 3000 ppm.
As early as 1856, Eunice Foote investigated the greenhouse effect of various gases. As a woman, Foote was not allowed to present her results to the " American Association for the Advancement of Science ", but she managed to publish her research in the scientific journal " The American Journal of Science and Arts ". Foote concluded from her data: "If, as some assume, at some point in the history of the earth a greater proportion of it [of carbon dioxide] was added to the air than it is today, then this inevitably should have resulted in an increased temperature."
Criticism and misunderstandings
The results of climate research on the anthropogenic greenhouse effect and global warming can hardly be checked by individuals and laypeople and therefore appear abstract. At the same time, the effect in the atmosphere is based on abstract physical processes, which are not known from everyday experience, despite the clear analogue to the glass house. The supposedly common sense can be deceiving here and leads some people to skepticism or even to deny globally recognized research results (see also climate denial ).
The criticism is usually based on misunderstandings and misjudgments. For example, the very low concentration of CO 2 in the atmosphere is mistaken for a weak effect. The total amount of CO 2 molecules present in the atmosphere is the only decisive factor for backscattering, while neutral gases are penetrated by radiation almost unhindered, like a vacuum. Without the other gases, the pure CO 2 in the atmosphere would correspond to a 3-meter-thick layer under normal pressure, one meter of which has been added since industrialization. Although the CO 2 is also thermally influenced by shocks when it is mixed with the neutral gases, only a limited number of shocks can take place per unit of time, so that the resulting cooling capacity of the ambient air does not increase arbitrarily with increasing dilution.
Some skeptics of the greenhouse effect argue that greenhouse gases that radiate heat towards the earth's surface (169 W / m²) would conduct energy from a cooler body (around −40 ° C) to a warmer body (earth's surface around +14 ° C), which supposedly contradicts the second law of thermodynamics . In fact, even with a higher greenhouse temperature, more energy flows from the warmed surface of the earth to the cooler greenhouse gas. The thermal exchange of radiation by means of infrared photons, however, basically takes place in both directions. This can be seen from the physical interpretation of the temperature , which describes in a system which energy its degrees of freedom absorb on average. In the case of molecules, these are the vibration excitations and speed components. However, even at a balanced temperature, this energy is not evenly distributed microscopically, but is constantly superimposed to form random fluctuations according to the Boltzmann statistics . If you apply the term temperature to individual molecules, you will find a very specific number of molecules that are warmer than the earth's surface even in the cold greenhouse gas. These pass their heat energy on to the colder atoms on the earth's surface with a certain probability, so that an energy flow of 169 W / m² is created. The opposite case is much more common, however, so that according to the II. Law of thermodynamics, net more energy is transported from the warm earth's surface to the colder greenhouse gases. Compared to the full temperature gradient to the −270 ° C cold universe, the effective cooling capacity is significantly reduced by the greenhouse gas, so that an increased temperature in the greenhouse earth is established in equilibrium.
Greenhouse effect in the glass house
→ Main article: Glass house effect
For more than 100 years it has been known that the warming of a greenhouse is for the most part not a result of the fact that, as with the atmospheric greenhouse effect, the thermal radiation penetrates more poorly than the solar radiation. The following happens behind glass: The substances in the room absorb solar radiation and heat up, and consequently also the indoor air, above the level of the ambient temperature. The glass prevents cooling by preventing convection . To demarcate both effects, the effect in the greenhouse is sometimes called greenhouse effect referred to. In the English-speaking world and in international specialist literature, the term greenhouse effect is used throughout , but almost always in relation to the atmospheric greenhouse effect.
In addition to using the effect in under-glass cultures and greenhouses , the passive use of the sun also saves heating energy in architecture . With large glass fronts and winter gardens facing south , the building mass is warmed by the sun's rays. In the case of well-insulated low-energy and passive houses , in particular, the glass surfaces need to be shaded at lunchtime so that the buildings do not overheat. This effect also occurs in a car parked in the sun.
literature
- Christian-Dietrich Schönwiese : climatology. 4th, revised and updated edition. UTB, Stuttgart 2013, ISBN 978-3-8252-3900-8 .
- W. Roedel: Physics of our environment: The atmosphere . 3. Edition. Springer, Berlin / Heidelberg 2000, ISBN 3-540-67180-3 , 1.3 Terrestrial radiation, p. 38-41 .
- J. Hansen, D. Johnson, A. Lacis, S. Lebedeff, P. Lee, D. Rind, G. Russell: Climate Impact of Increasing Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide . In: Science . tape 213 , no. 4511 , August 28, 1981, p. 957 , doi : 10.1126 / science.213.4511.957 ( washington.edu [PDF]).
Web links
- Website of the IPCC and its publications and data including the fourth assessment report ( IPCC Fourth Assessment Report: Climate Change 2007 (AR4) ) (English)
- How does the greenhouse effect work? in the "Communication" section of the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology
- Model experiment to demonstrate the greenhouse effect
- Bad Meteorology: The Greenhouse Effect , does away with popular notions of the "greenhouse"
- Statement by the German Meteorological Society on the fundamentals of the greenhouse effect; PDF file; 1999 (43 kB) ( overview of DMG statements )
- The website klimafakten.de provides basic knowledge and counters false claims about the anthropogenic greenhouse effect
Lectures (Youtube, English)
- University of Queensland (UQx), Denial101x Making Sense of Climate Science Denial: Lecture 3.3.1.1: The greenhouse effect
- University of Queensland (UQx), Denial101x Making Sense of Climate Science Denial: Lecture 3.3.2.1: Increasing greenhouse effect
- David Archer : Lecture 5: The greenhouse effect
Individual evidence
- ^ JBJ Fourier: Remarques Générales Sur Les Températures, in: Du Globe Terrestre Et Des Espaces Planétaires . In: Burgess (ed.): Annales de Chimie et de Physique . tape 27 , 1824, p. 136-167 .
- ^ Svante Arrhenius: On the influence of carbonic acid in the air upon the temperature of the ground . In: Philosophical Magazine and Journal of Science . 41, No. 251, April 1896, pp. 237-276.
- ↑ Current and historical CO 2 values (Mauna Loa Observatory, Hawaii).
- ↑ Cristen Adams, Celine Boisvenue, Adam Bourassa, Ryan Cooney, Doug Degenstein, Guillaume Drolet, Louis Garand, Ralph Girard, Markey Johnson, Dylan BA Jones, Felicia Kolonjari, Bruce Kuwahara, Randall V. Martin, Charles E. Miller, Norman O. 'Neill, Aku Riihelä, Sébastien Roche, Stanley P. Sander, William R. Simpson, Gurpreet Singh, Kimberly Strong, Alexander P. Trishchenko, Helena van Mierlo, Zahra Vaziri Zanjani, Kaley A. Walker. Debra Wunch: The Atmospheric Imaging Mission for Northern Regions: AIM-North . In: Canadian Journal of Remote Sensing . 45, No. 3–4, September 2019, pp. 423–442.
- ↑ a b D. R. Feldman, WD Collins, PJ Gero, MS Torn, EJ Mlawer, TR Shippert: Observational determination of surface radiative forcing by CO2 from 2000 to 2010 . (PDF) In: Nature . 519, February 2015, pp. 339–343. doi : 10.1038 / nature14240 .
- ↑ a b B. D. Santer, MF Wehner, TML Wigley, R. Sausen, GA Meehl, KE Taylor, C. Ammann, J. Arblaster, WM Washington, JS Boyle, W. Brüggemann: Contributions of Anthropogenic and Natural Forcing to Recent Tropopause Height Changes . (PDF) In: Science . 301, No. 5632, July 2003, pp. 479-483. doi : 10.1126 / science.1084123 .
- ↑ Animation by CIRES / NOAAː Representation of the carbon dioxide concentration in the atmosphere using different time scales .
- ^ Yi Ge Zhang, Mark Pagani, Zhonghui Liu, Steven M. Bohaty, Robert DeConto: A 40-million-year history of atmospheric CO 2 . (PDF) In: The Royal Society (Philosophical Transactions A) . 371, No. 2001, September 2013. doi : 10.1098 / rsta.2013.0096 .
- ↑ Leconte, J., Forget, F., Charnay, B. et al .: Increased insolation threshold for runaway greenhouse processes on Earth-like planets. In: Nature . tape 504, 268–271 , 2013, doi : 10.1038 / nature12827 . In this publication it is argued that the threshold for such an effect will not be reached on Earth.
- ↑ David L. Kidder, Thomas R. Worsley: A human-induced hothouse climate? . (PDF) In: GSA Today (The Geological Society of America) . 22, No. 2, February 2012, pp. 4-11. doi : 10.1130 / G131A.1 .
- ↑ Peter U. Clark, Jeremy D. Shakun, Shaun A. Marcott, Alan C. Mix, Michael Eby, Scott Kulp, Anders Levermann, Glenn A. Milne, Patrik L. Pfister, Benjamin D. Santer, Daniel P. Schrag, Susan Solomon, Thomas F. Stocker , Benjamin H. Strauss, Andrew J. Weaver, Ricarda Winkelmann, David Archer, Edouard Bard, Aaron Goldner, Kurt Lambeck, Raymond T. Pierrehumbert, Gian-Kasper Plattner: Consequences of twenty-first-century policy for multi-millennial climate and sea-level change . (PDF) In: Nature Climate Change . 6, April 2016, pp. 360–369. doi : 10.1038 / nclimate2923 .
- ^ PD Jones, M. New, DE Parker, S. Martin, IG Rigor: Surface air temperature and its changes over the past 150 years . In: Reviews of Geophysics . tape 37 , no. 2 , 1999, p. 173-199 , doi : 10.1029 / 1999RG900002 ( online, PDF ).
- ↑ A fast rotation can effectively halve the irradiated power for both sides, while a long one-sided irradiation with full power only requires a slightly higher temperature to radiate it again due to the radiation law of the fourth power of the temperature, which is a smaller average with the Night side results. For more information, see z. B. The Faster a Planet Rotates, the Warmer its Average Temperature , Roy W. Spencer, September 28, 2016
- ^ NASA, Venus Fact Sheet . December 23, 2016.
- ↑ a b J. T. Kiehl, Kevin E. Trenberth : Earth's Annual Global Mean Energy Budget . In: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society . tape 78 , no. 2 , February 1997, ISSN 1520-0477 , p. 197-208 , doi : 10.1175 / 1520-0477 (1997) 078 <0197: EAGMEB> 2.0.CO; 2 , bibcode : 1997BAMS ... 78..197K .
- ↑ Water vapor: feedback or forcing? RealClimate, April 6, 2005, accessed May 1, 2006 .
- ↑ N. Nakicenovic, A. Grübler, A. McDonald: Global Energy Perspectives. Cambridge University Press, New York 1998.
- ↑ Veerabhadran Ramanathan , JA Coakley: Relative contributions of H 2 0, CO 2 and 0 3 to the greenhouse effect . In: Rev. Geophys and Space Phys . tape 16 , 1978, p. 465 .
- ↑ RealClimate.org
- ↑ Climate change is not a matter of belief . University of Hamburg. Retrieved September 28, 2019.
- ^ John E. Harries et al .: Increases in greenhouse forcing inferred from the outgoing longwave radiation spectra of the Earth in 1970 and 1997 . In: Nature . tape 410 , 2001, p. 355-357 , doi : 10.1038 / 35066553 .
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- ^ R. Tuckermann: Script Atmospheric Chemistry. (PDF; 1.8 MB). Slide 32.
- ↑ The Copenhagen Diagnosis (PDF; 3.5 MB), p. 10.
- ↑ a b c Spencer Weart: The Discovery of Global Warming: Simple Models of Climate. Center of History at the American Institute of Physics - online
- ^ A b Nils Ekholm: On the Variations of the Climate of the Geological and Historical Past and Their Causes . In: Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society . tape 27 , no. 117 , 1901, pp. 1-62 , doi : 10.1002 / qj.49702711702 ( online ). online ( Memento from April 29, 2012 in the Internet Archive )
- ^ E. Gold: The Isothermal Layer of the Atmosphere and Atmospheric Radiation. In: Proceedings of The Royal Society of London. Volume 82, issue 551, February 16, 1909, pp. 43-70.
- ^ Lewis D. Kaplan: On the Pressure Dependence of Radiative Heat Transfer in the Atmosphere . In: Journal of Meteorology . tape 9 , no. 1 , February 1952, p. 1-12 , doi : 10.1175 / 1520-0469 (1952) 009 <0001: OTPDOR> 2.0.CO; 2 .
- ↑ Huang, Yi; Bani Shahabadi, Maziar (November 28, 2014). "Why logarithmic?" J. Geophys. Res. Atmospheres. 119 (24): 13, 683-89
- ↑ a b Otto Wöhrbach: A women's rights activist found out that CO2 heats up the earth. In: Der Tagesspiegel. Verlag Der Tagesspiegel GmbH, July 17, 2019, accessed on January 17, 2020 (German).
- ^ Eunice Foote: Circumstances affecting the heat of the Sun's rays. In: American Journal of Science and Arts, 2ndSeries, v. XXII / no. LXVI, November 1856, p. 382-383. November 1, 1856, accessed January 17, 2020 .
- ↑ So little CO2 has such a big effect , by Mathias Tertilt, October 26, 2018, at www.quarks.de.
- ↑ CO 2 layer thickness = air pressure / acceleration due to gravity * CO2 mass fraction / CO2 mass density = 1bar / 9.8 m / s² * 0.06% / 1.98kg / m³ = 3.09 m. Before industrialization: 0.04% CO2.
- ↑ See e.g. B. Mojib Latif , Are we getting the climate out of sync? Background and forecasts. Fischer-Taschenbuch-Verlag, Frankfurt 2007, ISBN 978-3-596-17276-4 ., See chapter The public discussion .
- ^ G. Thomas Farmer, John Cook: Climate Change Science. A modern synthesis. Volume 1 - The Physical Climate. Dordrecht 2013, p. 21.
- ↑ For further explanation see also Can a duvet violate the second law of thermodynamics? by Stefan Rahmstorf , 20 Sep 2016, at scilogs.spektrum.de.
- ↑ For the basics of physics see z. B. one of the standard textbooks for studying physics: D. Meschede, Gerthsen Physik , 23rd revised edition, 2006, ISBN 3-540-25421-8 , Springer-Verlag, especially chapters 11.2 Radiation laws and 5.5.5 The 2nd main clause of Thermodynamics .