State election in Saxony 2014

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← 2009State election in Saxony 20142019 →
Final country result
 %
40
30th
20th
10
0
39.4
18.9
12.4
9.7
5.7
4.9
3.8
1.6
3.5
Otherwise.
Gains and losses
compared to 2009
 % p
 10
   8th
   6th
   4th
   2
   0
  -2
  -4
  -6
  -8th
-0.8
-1.7
+2.0
+9.7
-0.7
-0.7
-6.2
+0.2
-1.9
Otherwise.
Template: election chart / maintenance / notes
Remarks:
In 2009, the Free Saxons started after the state association of Free Voters had refused to run in the previous state election.
     
A total of 126 seats

In the state elections in Saxony in 2014 , the members of the Saxon state parliament were elected for the sixth legislative period on August 31, 2014 . The 60 constituencies have been redesigned. The state election took place on the last day before classes began after the summer school holidays; two weeks after the election, the state elections took place in Brandenburg and Thuringia . The turnout was a historically low 49.1 percent (only in the state elections in Saxony-Anhalt in 2006 , the turnout was still lower at 44.4 percent).

Official end result

The CDU achieved the largest share of the list votes with 39.4 percent and won almost all direct mandates (exception: constituency 28 Leipzig 2 went to the party Die Linke ). The Left and the SPD came in second and third with 18.9 percent and 12.4 percent, respectively. With 9.7 percent, the AfD moved into a state parliament for the first time. The Greens stayed in parliament with 5.7 percent. The NPD was unable to move in for the third time in a row: with 4.9 percent, it just failed the five percent hurdle - fewer than 900 votes were missing. The FDP , which had previously ruled together with the CDU , clearly missed re-entry into the state parliament with 3.8 percent of the votes, lost its last participation in government at the state level and thus also its influence in the Federal Council.

Eligible voters 3,376,627 voter turnout
Voters 1,659,497 49.1%
Direct votes proportion of Seats List votes proportion of change Seats change
Valid votes 1,630,435 98.2 1,637,499 98.7
Invalid votes 29,062 1.8 21,998 1.3
CDU 646.729 39.7 59 645.414 39.4 −0.8 59 +1
The left 341,798 21.0 1 309,581 18.9 −1.7 27 −2
SPD 215,689 13.2 202.396 12.4 +2.0 18th +4
AfD 105.024 6.4 159,611 9.7 +9.7 14th +14
Green 102.614 6.3 93,857 5.7 −0.7 8th −1
NPD 83,717 5.1 81.051 4.9 −0.7 0 −8
FDP 66,330 4.1 61,840 3.8 −6.2 0 −14
Free voters 32,389 2.0 26,434 1.6 +1.6
Animal welfare party - - 18,611 1.1 −1.0
Pirates 25,946 1.6 18,157 1.1 −0.8
The party 3,008 0.2 11,588 0.7 +0.7
BüSo 5,874 0.4 3,340 0.2 0.0
per Germany - - 3.149 0.2 +0.2
DSU 252 0.0 2,470 0.2 0.0
Konrad Skatula 418 0.0
wagner 316 0.0
WF MFU 141 0.0
Crowd 113 0.0
Free citizens 77 0.0
First majority of votes for the state elections in Saxony in 2014

initial situation

Distribution of seats in 2009
      
A total of 132 seats

From the state election in 2009 , the CDU was like emerged from all elections since 1990 as the strongest force. At that time, Prime Minister Stanislaw Tillich transformed the cabinet from a black-red coalition to a black-yellow coalition. At the time of the state elections in 2014, this coalition was the only remaining CDU and FDP in Germany at state level and the only one in which the FDP was involved. A continuation of this coalition was questionable at the time of the election, as the FDP was mostly under the threshold clause ( five percent hurdle ) in election polls . The election campaign of the CDU was tailored to Tillich and, in the case of the FDP, to chairman Holger Zastrow , who did not hold any joint election campaign events with the FDP's national leadership.

The largest opposition party in Saxony was Die Linke . According to polls, there was only an option to appoint the Prime Minister in cooperation with the SPD and the Greens. However, this option was rejected beforehand by the other parties.

For the SPD and the CDU, the state elections in Saxony were the second mood test after the European elections , after they had again entered into a grand coalition at the federal level in 2013 . Despite the generally positive perception of the government's work to date, the SPD was hardly able to increase in surveys. The election campaign was tailored to the top candidate Martin Dulig , who also included his family in the election campaign.

The Alternative for Germany (AfD) appeared for the first time in a state election in Saxony. In the federal and European elections, the AfD was able to achieve its strongest nationwide result in Saxony. The party received more than ten percent of the vote in the European elections in Saxony.

In 2004 the NPD achieved its best result so far in a state election in Saxony. Since then, the values ​​in surveys and elections in Saxony have tended to decline.

The following table shows the results of the previous elections in Saxony.

choice
 date
 CDU
 left
 SPD
 Green
 NPD
 AfD
 FDP
 Pirates
 Animal welfare party
European elections 05/25/2014 34.5% 18.3% 15.6% 6.0% 3.6% 10.1% 2.6% 1.6% 1.5%
Local election 05/25/2014 40.5% 16.5% 11.4% 4.1% 4.6% 5.4% 5.3% 0.2% n / A.
Bundestag election 09/27/2013 42.6% 20.0% 14.6% 4.9% 3.3% 6.8% 3.1% 2.5% n / A.

Participating parties

Parties wishing to take part in the election had to submit their election proposals to the regional returning officer by June 26, 2014. Previously, parties that were not represented in the German Bundestag or a German state parliament on the basis of their own election proposals or were recognized as parties within the meaning of the party law in the last Bundestag election had to report their participation in the election by June 2, 2014. Three associations indicated their participation, of which only the German Social Union was recognized as a party within the meaning of the Political Parties Act.

Parties that were not represented in the Bundestag or in a state parliament had to submit 1,000 support signatures in order to be admitted to the state list; The signatures of 100 eligible voters were sufficient for a constituency nomination. On July 4th, the state election committee decided on the approval of the 15 state lists submitted.

The national lists of the following parties were eligible for election (in the order in which they appeared on the ballot):

Abbreviation Political party Top candidate Number of members
CDU Christian Democratic Union of Germany Stanislaw Tillich 12,000
left The left Rico Gebhardt 9,686
SPD Social Democratic Party of Germany Martin Dulig 4,588
FDP Free Democratic Party Holger Zastrow 2,200
Green Alliance 90 / The Greens Antje Hermenau 1,370
NPD National Democratic Party of Germany Holger Szymanski 761
Animal welfare party Human Environment Animal Welfare Party Andreas Hantzsche 28
Pirates Pirate Party Germany Sandra Willer 805
BüSo Civil rights movement Solidarity Karsten Werner 80
DSU German Social Union Roberto Rink 110
AfD Alternative for Germany Frauke Petry 680
per Germany Citizens' movement for Germany Mirko Schmidt 296
Free voters Free voters Steffen Große 86
The party Party for work, the rule of law, animal welfare, elite support and grassroots initiative Tobias Göthert 360

The state list of the party-free voters (DPFW) was not allowed to vote.

Coalition statements before the election

The polls suggested that the CDU would once again become the strongest force in the Free State. In this case, the incumbent and, according to opinion polls, future Prime Minister Stanislaw Tillich (CDU) would lead the coalition negotiations. In addition to the SPD, the Greens also hoped for a coalition with the CDU. However, a black-green coalition was considered unlikely, since the Greens were fighting lignite mining in Saxony.

Shortly before the election, Tillich was able to imagine a coalition with the FDP, the SPD and the Greens. For Carsten Linnemann, the chairman of the CDU / CSU SME Association, a coalition with the Greens was a conceivable alternative if the FDP was not to make it into the state parliament. Tillich also did not rule out a coalition with the AfD, although the CDU's federal leadership had previously spoken out against it. After a CDU presidium meeting, General Secretary Peter Tauber reiterated the position that there could be no cooperation with the AfD for important reasons, which applies to the federal and state levels.

According to surveys, the Left was not considered by the CDU as the strongest opposition party. She wanted to form a coalition primarily with the SPD. The SPD is cautious to critical of such an alliance.

Government formation

The CDU sounded out with the Greens and the SPD . The explorations between the Union and the Greens ended with no results, with the Greens citing energy policy and education policy as sticking points . As a result, Antje Hermenau resigned on September 20th. Coalition negotiations between the CDU and the SPD began on September 19. On November 9, 2014, the SPD announced that 82.2 percent of its members had approved the coalition agreement between the CDU and the SPD.

Survey

Sunday question

Institute date CDU left SPD FDP Green NPD Pirates AfD Free voters Others
Result 08/31/2014 39.4% 18.9% 12.4% 3.8% 5.7% 4.9% 1.1% 9.7% 1.6% 2.5%
Research group elections 08/28/2014 40.5% 19% 15% 3% 5.5% 5% n / A. 7% n / A. 5%
Infratest dimap 08/21/2014 40% 19% 14% 3.5% 6.5% 5% n / A. 7% n / A. 5%
Research group elections 08/21/2014 39% 20% 15% 3% 6% 5% n / A. 7% n / A. 5%
uniQma 08/18/2014 42% 18% 13% 3% 6% 4% 1 % 6% 2% 5%
IN Field 08/09/2014 43% 20% 14% 3% 7% 3% n / A. 5% n / A. 5%
INSA 08/08/2014 40% 19% 14% 5% 5% 4% n / A. 6% n / A. 6%
Result 2009 40.2% 20.6% 10.4% 10.0% 6.4% 5.6% 1.9% - 1.4%* 3.5%
Older polls
Institute date CDU left SPD FDP Green NPD Pirates AfD Free voters Others
Infratest dimap 07/10/2014 42% 21% 13% 4% 7% 3% n / A. 7% n / A. 3%
Forsa 06/20/2014 42% 18% 15% 3% 6% 3% n / A. 8th % n / A. 5%
uniQma 06/13/2014 45% 16% 13% 3% 6% 3% 2% 7% 2% 3%
Infratest dimap 04/30/2014 43% 18% 16% 4% 6% 4% n / A. 6% n / A. 3%
dimap 03/29/2014 45% 17% 15% 4% 6% 4% n / A. 6% n / A. n / A.
INSA 03/08/2014 43% 22% 15% 2% 5% 1 % n / A. 7% 2% n / A.
uniQma 02/01/2014 49% 15% 17% 2% 6% 1 % 2% 6% n / A. 2%
Infratest dimap 08/20/2013 45% 14% 14% 5% 11% 3% 3% n / A. n / A. 5%
Emnid 04/09/2013 43% 19% 16% 5% 7% 4% 4% n / A. n / A. 2%
TNS Infratest 09/08/2012 41% 19% 16% 4% 7% 3% 7% n / A. n / A. 3%
dimap 05.09.2012 44% 15% 16% 5% 8th % 2% 4% n / A. n / A. 6%

n. a .: not specified

(* ) Predecessor organization: Free Saxony

Coalition request

Institute date Survey methodology Red-red-green black Black red Black green Black yellow Black-blue
Infratest dimap 08/21/2014 very good / good
less good / bad 		35%
61% 		32%
66% 		54%
42% 		30%
65% 		30%
67% 		14%
79%
uniQma 08/18/2014 Preference 25% 24% 24% 10% 09% n / A.

Note: The surveys by uniQma and Infratest dimap are not directly comparable, as they are each based on a different survey method. While uniQma asks for a coalition preference, Infratest dimap asks each coalition option individually.

Prime Minister preference

Institute date Tillich (CDU) Gebhardt (left) Dulig (SPD)
Infratest dimap 08/31/2014 58% 9% 17%
Research group elections 08/31/2014 63% 14% -
Research group elections 08/28/2014 65% 13% -
Infratest dimap 08/21/2014 57% 6% 14%
Research group elections 08/21/2014 62% 14% -

Sympathy values

The Saxons questioned answered in the affirmative to the following proportions as to whether they liked the top candidate:

Institute date Tillich (CDU) Dulig (SPD) Hermenau (Greens) Big (Free Voters) Gebhardt (left) Zastrow (FDP) Petry (AfD) Willer (pirates) Szymanski (NPD)
uniQma 08/18/2014 77% 73% 55% 55% 54% 46% 40% 22% 15%
Infratest dimap 07/07/2014 71% 23% 20% - 16% 26% 17% - 12%
uniQma 02/01/2014 82% 70% 62% - 54% 48% 35% - -

Actions to choose from

The Wahl-O-Mat of the Federal Agency for Civic Education for the state elections was used by 213,000 users until August 29, 2014. In 2004 the Wahl-o-mat in Saxony had a total of 72,000 users.

Constitutionality

Due to the approval of the AfD state list despite the previous deletion of Arvid Samtleben by the AfD state board, the election was viewed as unconstitutional by the legal scholars Martin Morlok (University of Düsseldorf) and Sophie Schönberger (University of Konstanz). Morlok was of the opinion that there was no avoiding new elections. Schönberger explained: “The state election committee should have rejected the entire AfD list. The deletion of an elected candidate by the board for political reasons is a clear violation of the principle of intra-party democracy. ”A complaint by Samtleben against the changed AfD list had been rejected by the state election officer. Samtleben said at the time: “That was very surprising as there were no conversations between me and the people I trust. That means, they paint the landlord's way. ”AfD state chairwoman Frauke Petry had declared before the electoral examination committee that Samtleben's whereabouts on the list would have been“ an imposition for AfD members and especially for AfD voters ”. In addition, he lacked commitment and support in his district association. The Thuringian AfD state chairman Björn Höcke considered the incident to be a "formal error that Frauke Petry can easily eliminate by presenting the relevant evidence".

See also

literature

  • Eckhard Jesse : The Saxon state elections on August 31, 2014: Caesura for the party system after the second, not large “grand coalition”? . In: Journal for Parliamentary Questions 46 (2015) 1, pp. 3–20.

Web links

Individual evidence

  1. ↑ State Statistical Office of the Free State of Saxony: State Election 2014 - results page Election to the 6th Saxon State Parliament , August 31, 2014
  2. ↑ www.statistik.sachsen.de
  3. ↑ Holger Zastrow: Saxony's FDP is campaigning without a federal party. In: zeit.de. July 25, 2014, accessed December 7, 2014 .
  4. ↑ Stefan Kaufmann: High flyers and break pilots. In: handelsblatt.com. August 5, 2014, accessed December 7, 2014 .
  5. ↑ Approval for the federal government at a record high. In: Spiegel Online. August 8, 2014, accessed December 7, 2014 .
  6. ↑ Stefan Schirmer: SPD Saxony: I am Martin. In: zeit.de. August 7, 2014, accessed December 7, 2014 .
  7. ↑ Fabian Reinbold: Much Germany, few alternatives. In: Spiegel Online. August 7, 2014, accessed December 7, 2014 .
  8. ↑ www.statistik.sachsen.de
  9. ↑ www.bundeswahlleiter.de ( Memento from October 21, 2014 in the Internet Archive )
  10. ↑ www.statistik.sachsen.de
  11. ↑ www.statistik.sachsen.de
  12. ↑ Media information from the regional returning officer: End of the submission deadline - 15 parties and associations have submitted state lists
  13. ↑ a b Media information from the regional returning officer: 14 state lists of parties approved for state elections , accessed on July 21, 2014.
  14. ↑ www.statistik.sachsen.de
  15. ↑ www.bpb.de
  16. ↑ Tillich does not rule out coalition talks with AfD. In: tagesspiegel.de. Retrieved December 7, 2014 .
  17. ↑ Parties: Union middle class boss Linnemann open to black and green. In: Focus Online. August 2, 2014, accessed December 7, 2014 .
  18. ↑ www.tagesschau.de ( Memento from August 27, 2014 in the Internet Archive )
  19. ↑ www.rbb-online.de
  20. ↑ Martin Machowecz: Red-Red Coalition: Are They Going Together? In: zeit.de. July 12, 2014, accessed December 7, 2014 .
  21. ↑ www.stern.de
  22. ↑ www.spd-sachsen.de
  23. ↑ www.forschungsgruppe.de ( Memento from August 21, 2014 in the Internet Archive )
  24. ↑ www.tagesschau.de
  25. ↑ www.lvz-online.de
  26. ↑ wahl.tagesschau.de
  27. ↑ www.zdf.de
  28. ↑ www.heute.de ( Memento from September 5, 2014 in the Internet Archive )
  29. ↑ www.tagesschau.de
  30. ↑ www.heute.de ( Memento from August 21, 2014 in the Internet Archive )
  31. ↑ www.lvz-online.de ( Memento from August 21, 2014 in the Internet Archive )
  32. ↑ www.infratest-dimap.de ( Memento from August 20, 2014 in the Internet Archive )
  33. ↑ www.lvz-online.de
  34. ↑ www.sz-online.de
  35. ↑ www.bpb.de
  36. ↑ Does Saxony have to re-elect because of Frauke Petry? Welt Online, October 15, 2016.