State election in Saxony 2019

The state elections in Saxony in 2019 on September 1, 2019 were the seventh election to the Saxon state parliament since the re-establishment of the Free State of Saxony in 1990. The state elections in Brandenburg took place on the same day .

Were elected 119 MPs from five parties that the on October 1, 2019 the 7th Parliament of Saxony have constituted.

In December 2019, the previous Prime Minister Kretschmer formed the Kretschmer II cabinet, legitimized by this election, in a Kenya coalition with the Greens and the SPD.

initial situation

In the 2014 state elections , the CDU received 39.4% of the vote, the Left 18.9%, the SPD 12.4%, the AfD 9.7%, the Greens 5.7%, the NPD 4.9% and the FDP 3.8%. CDU and SPD signed a coalition agreement; Stanislaw Tillich (CDU) was re-elected as Prime Minister and formed the Tillich III cabinet . Martin Dulig (SPD) became Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of State for Economy, Labor and Transport .

In the federal election on September 24, 2017 , the CDU in Saxony received 26.9% of the second vote; the AfD was just ahead of that with 27.0%. Tillich then resigned as prime minister and party chairman; Michael Kretschmer took over both positions in December 2017 .

In the 2019 European elections , the AfD in Saxony received 25.3%, while the CDU only received 23%. The CDU achieved its worst result in an election in Saxony since 1990.

Coalition statements before the election

Possible coalition	Seats
Total seats	119
Absolute majority (from 60 seats)
CDU, Greens and SPD	67

Prime Minister Michael Kretschmer ruled out any form of cooperation with the AfD and the Left Party for the CDU. The Greens were open to a coalition with the CDU. After the SPD top candidate Martin Dulig initially did not want to lead a coalition election campaign, a week before the election date he still campaigned for a coalition with the CDU and the Greens . For the FDP, the top candidate Holger Zastrow also ruled out coalitions with the AfD and the Left Party.

Participating parties

Top candidates of the parties represented in the state parliament
Michael Kretschmer
CDU
Rico Gebhardt
Left
Martin Dulig
SPD
Jörg Urban
AfD
Katja Meier
Greens
Wolfram Günther
Green

State lists and district election proposals had to be submitted by June 27, 2019. Parties that were not represented in the Bundestag or in a state parliament had to submit 1,000 support signatures in order to be admitted to the state list; The signatures of 100 eligible voters were sufficient for a constituency nomination.

On July 5, 2019, the state election committee decided on the admission of the submitted state lists to the state elections. One candidate was removed from the list of the Bündnis 90 / Die Grünen party, and three from the Reason Party . At the AfD, the list was only approved with its first 18 applicants. The AfD had drawn up its state list at two meetings from February 8 to 10, 2019 (list places 1 to 18) and from March 15 to 17, 2019 (places 19 to 61). In the opinion of the state electoral committee, the second assembly was not a continuation of the first, but a separate assembly from the first, which is inadmissible. A change in the electoral procedure at the second meeting was also criticized.

On July 10th, six of the deleted AfD list candidates filed a complaint with the Saxon Constitutional Court and applied for a temporary injunction against the decision of the election committee. Another constitutional complaint was filed by a citizen, and the AfD also announced that it would be appealing to the Federal Constitutional Court . On July 25, the Constitutional Court of Saxony issued an interim order according to which list positions 19 to 30 are to be permitted because their deletion was "very likely to be illegal".

The state lists of the following parties were allowed to vote:

Abbreviation	Political party	Top candidate
CDU	Christian Democratic Union of Germany	Michael Kretschmer
THE LEFT	The left	Rico Gebhardt
SPD	Social Democratic Party of Germany	Martin Dulig
AfD	Alternative for Germany	Jörg Urban
GREEN	Alliance 90 / The Greens	Katja Meier and Wolfram Günther
NPD	National Democratic Party of Germany	Peter Schreiber
FDP	Free Democratic Party	Holger Zastrow
FREE VOTERS	Free voters	Cathleen Martin
Animal welfare party	Human Environment Animal Welfare Party	Jürgen Wunderlich
PIRATES	Pirate Party Germany	Knut Michael
The party	The party	Tom Rodig
BüSo	Civil rights movement Solidarity	Michael Gründler
ADPM	Departure of German Patriots - Central Germany	Egbert Ermer
Blue #TeamPetry	The blue party	Frauke Petry
KPD	Communist Party of Germany	Torsten Reichelt
ÖDP	Ecological Democratic Party	Sebastian Högen
The humanists	Party of humanists	Dominic Ressel
PDV	Party of reason	Thomas Flach
Health research	Health Research Party	Andreas Kabus

The state lists of

Democracy on the move because it did not get the 1000 supporter signatures required
The III. Gone , because the political association does not have the necessary structures to be considered a party

Election results

	Direct voting	proportion of	Seats	List votes	proportion of	Verän- alteration	Total seats	Verän- alteration
Eligible voters	3,288,643
Voters	2,188,486	Wahlbe- pation 66.5%
Valid votes	2,159,850	98.7	60	2,166,457	99.0		119 ^*
Invalid votes	28,636	1.3		22,029	1.0
CDU	703.006	32.5	41	695.560	32.1	- 07.3	45	−14
AfD	613,585	28.4	15th	595,671	27.5	+17.7	38 ^*	+24
The left	265,871	12.3	1	224.354	10.4	- 08.5	14th	−13
Green	192.489	8.9	3	187.015	8.6	+ 02.9	12	+ 04
SPD	166.920	7.7	-	167.289	7.7	- 04.6	10	- 08
FDP	100,639	4.7	-	97,438	4.5	+ 00.7	-	± 00
Free voters	98,353	4.6	-	72,897	3.4	+ 01.8	-	± 00
The party	12,557	0.6	-	33,618	1.6	+ 00.8	-	± 00
Animal welfare party	-	-	-	33,476	1.5	+ 00.4	-	± 00
NPD	-	-	-	12,947	0.6	- 04.3	-	± 00
Health research	-	-	-	11,652	0.5	+ 00.5	-	± 00
Blue #TeamPetry	1,508	0.1	-	7,806	0.4	+ 00.4	-	± 00
PIRATES	-	-	-	6,632	0.3	- 00.8	-	± 00
ÖDP	-	-	-	6,000	0.3	+ 00.3	-	± 00
The humanists	-	-	-	4,305	0.2	+ 00.2	-	± 00
ADPM	-	-	-	3,948	0.2	+ 00.2	-	± 00
PDV	-	-	-	2,268	0.1	+ 00.1	-	± 00
KPD	-	-	-	1,951	0.1	+ 00.1	-	± 00
BüSo	2,190	0.1	-	1,630	0.1	- 00.1	-	± 00
Others	2,732	0.1	-	-	-	-	-	± 00
^The AfD was entitled to 39 seats, one could not be filled because of the deletion of the list positions 31-61 by the state election committee. → Participating parties*
Source: wahlen.sachsen.de

First majority in the constituencies

Votes in 2014 compared to 2019 - behavior at the polls (estimate)

Electoral behavior in 2014 compared to 2019 (according to the number of voters) (Source: Infratest dimap / ARD (estimate based on pre-election and post-election surveys, election and population statistics))
2014 (Voter)	CDU 2019	left 2019	SPD 2019	AfD 2019	Green 2019	FDP 2019	Other Parties 2019	Non-voters 2019	Deceased	Moved
CDU (645,000)	390,000	6,000	12,000	84,000	17,000	16,000	12,000	23,000	61,000	24,000
Left (309,000)	30,000	141,000	19,000	27,000	15,000	6,000	13,000	15,000	32,000	11,000
SPD (203,000)	34,000	13,000	73,000	10,000	18,000	5,000	5,000	18,000	19,000	8,000
AfD (159,000)	3,000	1,000		125,000		2,000	4,000	5,000	11,000	8,000
Greens (93,000)	13,000	3,000	5,000	2,000	52,000	1,000	5,000	2,000	4,000	6,000
FDP (62,000)	13,000	1,000	1,000	8,000	1,000	23,000	3,000	4,000	5,000	3,000
Other parties (165,000)	13,000	4,000	3,000	38,000	5,000	1,000	67,000	14,000	8,000	12,000
Non-voters (1,738,000)	162,000	37,000	41,000	246,000	32,000	28,000	58,000	907,000	129,000	98,000
First-time voters (2019) (170,000)	12,000	11,000	5,000	17,000	20,000	7,000	24,000	74,000
Newcomers (184,000)	26,000	9,000	7,000	38,000	27,000	10,000	8,000	59,000
All in all	696,000	226,000	166,000	595,000	187,000	99,000	199,000	1,121,000	269,000	170,000

Survey

Sunday question

Institute	date	CDU	left	SPD	AfD	Green	FDP	FW	Otherwise.
State election 2019	09/01/2019	32.1%	10.4%	7.7%	27.5%	8.6%	4.5%	3.4%	5.8%
Research group elections	08/29/2019	32%	14%	8.5%	24.5%	11%	5%	-	5%
INSA	08/27/2019	29%	15%	8th %	25%	11%	5%	4%	3%
Research group elections	08/23/2019	31%	14%	9%	25%	10%	5%	-	3%
Infratest dimap	08/22/2019	30%	16%	7%	24%	11%	5%	4%	3%
FB Czaplicki	08/20/2019	28%	16%	8th %	26%	13%	5%	3%	1 %
INSA	08/06/2019	28%	16%	8th %	25%	12%	5%	-	6%
Infratest dimap	07/02/2019	26%	15%	9%	26%	12%	5%	3%	4%
IM Field / FB Czaplicki	June 15, 2019	24%	15%	8th %	24%	14%	6%	4%	5%
INSA	06/13/2019	24%	16%	7%	25%	16%	6%	4%	2%
INSA	04/26/2019	28%	16%	10%	26%	9%	6%	3%	2%
INSA	04/05/2019	28%	17%	9%	25%	9%	6%	-	6%
IM Field / FB Czaplicki	March 22, 2019	27%	17%	11%	18%	16%	5%	2%	4%
State election 2014	08/31/2014	39.4%	18.9%	12.4%	9.7%	5.7%	3.8%	1.6%	8.4%

Older polls

2015 - 2018

Institute	date	CDU	left	SPD	AfD	Green	NPD	FDP	Otherwise.
INSA	December 17, 2018	29%	18%	10%	25%	9%	-	6%	3%
IN Field	11/23/2018	29%	17%	11%	24%	8th %	-	6%	5%
uniQma	07.09.2018	28.9%	18.6%	11.4%	23.9%	6.8%	-	5.6%	4.5%
INSA	08/30/2018	28%	18%	11%	25%	7%	-	7%	4%
Infratest dimap	08/28/2018	30%	18%	11%	25%	6%	-	5%	5%
INSA	06/12/2018	32%	19%	9%	24%	6%	-	6%	4%
IN Field	07.12.2017	33%	18%	12%	23%	4%	-	7%	3%
IN Field	October 31, 2017	31%	17%	14%	21%	4%	-	7%	5%
Infratest dimap	06/22/2017	41%	15%	10%	21%	4%	-	5%	4%
Infratest dimap	11/22/2016	34%	16%	12%	25%	7%	-	-	6%
INSA	05/10/2016	37.5%	16%	13%	21.5%	6%	1.5%	2%	2.5%
Infratest dimap	09/16/2015	38%	17%	13%	13%	7%	5%	3%	4%
State election 2014	08/31/2014	39.4%	18.9%	12.4%	9.7%	5.7%	4.9%	3.8%	5.1%

course

Sunday questions on the state elections by Infratest Dimap (D), IM Field (M), INSA (I), Forschungsgruppe Wahlen (G), FB Czaplicki (C) and uniQma (Q) and the result of the 2014 election.

Direct election of Prime Minister

Institute	date	Michael Kretschmer ( CDU )	Rico Gebhardt ( The Left )	Jörg Urban ( AfD )
Research group elections	09/01/2019	57%	9%	-
Research group elections	09/01/2019	60%	-	12%
Research group elections	08/29/2019	62%	9%	-
Research group elections	08/29/2019	67%	-	9%
Research group elections	08/23/2019	65%	8th %	-
Research group elections	08/23/2019	68%	-	9%

Preferred coalition polls

The percentages of the uniQma survey indicate which proportion of respondents would most like the coalition from which they were selected. The missing values for 100% made no information. The values of the survey by Infratest dimap reflect the opinion of the respondents, which of the coalitions surveyed they rate positively (negative CDU / SPD 62%, CDU / SPD / GREEN / FDP 64%, CDU / AfD 70%).

Institute	date	CDU SPD	CDU SPD Green FDP	CDU Green SPD	Left Green SPD	CDU SPD FDP	CDU AfD	CDU Green FDP	CDU left	CDU FDP blue
Infratest dimap	07/02/2019	36%	32%	-	-	-	27%	-	-	-
uniQma	07.09.2018	-	-	18.7%	14.9%	13.5%	12.1%	7.8%	3.0%	2.6%

literature

Franz Schausberger : State election in Saxony 2019 . In: IRE -Occasional Papers . No. 8/2019. Salzburg 2019. p. 245 - p. 250. ISBN 978-3-902557-20-9 .

Web links

Election results ed. from the State Statistical Office of the Free State of Saxony
First and second vote results as well as directly elected candidates from the 60 constituencies focus.de
State election in Saxony 2019 on the information portal on political education

Individual evidence

↑ ^a ^b results

^ The next elections in Germany: In: Wahlrecht.de. August 29, 2018. Retrieved August 29, 2018 .

↑ The newly elected Saxon state parliament has been constituted. In: welt.de . October 1, 2019, accessed October 13, 2019 .

↑ Saxony's Kenya government is sealed | MDR.DE. Retrieved February 6, 2020 .

↑ tagesspiegel.de December 12, 2017: Tillich successor: Michael Kretschmer is the new Prime Minister of Saxony

↑ Communication and Public Relations Department: Election Results - sachsen.de. Retrieved September 2, 2019 .

↑ Michael Kretschmer (CDU), "No cooperation with AfD and Left Party" SWR 23 August 2019

↑ Habeck toying with the Saxon CDU ntv August 24, 2019

↑ SPD top candidate Dulig advertises Kenya alliance in Saxony Free Press August 27, 2019

↑ FDP top candidate Zastrow concludes coalition with AfD and Left Party from MDR August 6, 2019

↑ Andreas Debski: Linkssumpf, asylum fraud and bird shit: Saxony-AfD is preparing for election. In: lvz.de. February 10, 2019, accessed July 5, 2019 .

↑ Andreas Debski: Saxony-AfD torments itself by voting from lists. In: lvz.de. March 17, 2019, accessed July 5, 2019 .

↑ This is how the state election committee explains the shortening of the AfD list. In: welt.de. July 9, 2019, accessed July 28, 2019 .

↑ WELT: AfD Saxony files a constitutional complaint against the reduction of the state list . July 10, 2019 ( welt.de [accessed August 31, 2019]).

^ ZEIT ONLINE: State election: AfD Saxony submits a constitutional complaint . In: The time . July 10, 2019, ISSN 0044-2070 ( zeit.de [accessed August 31, 2019]).

↑ tagesschau.de: Sächsische AfD: Court allows larger list in state elections. Accessed August 31, 2019 .

↑ MDR: AfD Saxony wants to complain about list debacle

↑ That's why the AfD only gets 38 instead of 39 seats in the Saxon state parliament. In: stern.de. September 2, 2019, accessed September 18, 2019 .

↑ Andreas Evelt, Marcel Pauly: Analysis of state elections: AfD mobilizes almost a quarter of a million non-voters in Saxony . In: Spiegel Online . September 2, 2019 ( spiegel.de [accessed September 2, 2019]).

↑ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h ⁱ ^j ^k ^l ^m ⁿ ^o ^p ^q ^r ^s ^t ^u ^v ^w Wahlrecht.de : Election surveys on the state elections in Saxony .
↑ AfD in Saxony on a new high , on wallstreet: online
↑ Exclusive survey on the state election: Saxony is threatened with an AfD quake. In: image . December 20, 2018, accessed December 20, 2018 .
↑ CDU remains the strongest force in Saxony , on sz-online.de, accessed on November 1, 2017.
^ Election analysis Saxony 2019 , on Forschungsgruppe.de.de
↑ Politbarometer-Extra Brandenburg and Saxony August II 2019 , on Forschungsgruppe.de.de
↑ Politbarometer-Extra Brandenburg and Saxony August I 2019 , on Forschungsgruppe.de.de
↑ Saxony trend: CDU and AfD on par , on mdr.de, accessed on July 2, 2019.
↑ AfD second strongest force in Saxony - no majority for black and red , on lvz.de, accessed on September 7, 2018.

[sachsenergebnis-1] results

[2] The next elections in Germany: In: Wahlrecht.de. August 29, 2018. Retrieved August 29, 2018 .

[3] The newly elected Saxon state parliament has been constituted. In: welt.de . October 1, 2019, accessed October 13, 2019 .

[4] Saxony's Kenya government is sealed | MDR.DE. Retrieved February 6, 2020 .

[5] tagesspiegel.de December 12, 2017: Tillich successor: Michael Kretschmer is the new Prime Minister of Saxony

[6] Communication and Public Relations Department: Election Results - sachsen.de. Retrieved September 2, 2019 .

[7] Michael Kretschmer (CDU), "No cooperation with AfD and Left Party" SWR 23 August 2019

[8] Habeck toying with the Saxon CDU ntv August 24, 2019

[9] SPD top candidate Dulig advertises Kenya alliance in Saxony Free Press August 27, 2019

[10] FDP top candidate Zastrow concludes coalition with AfD and Left Party from MDR August 6, 2019

[11] Andreas Debski: Linkssumpf, asylum fraud and bird shit: Saxony-AfD is preparing for election. In: lvz.de. February 10, 2019, accessed July 5, 2019 .

[12] Andreas Debski: Saxony-AfD torments itself by voting from lists. In: lvz.de. March 17, 2019, accessed July 5, 2019 .

[13] This is how the state election committee explains the shortening of the AfD list. In: welt.de. July 9, 2019, accessed July 28, 2019 .

[14] WELT: AfD Saxony files a constitutional complaint against the reduction of the state list . July 10, 2019 ( welt.de [accessed August 31, 2019]).

[15] ZEIT ONLINE: State election: AfD Saxony submits a constitutional complaint . In: The time . July 10, 2019, ISSN 0044-2070 ( zeit.de [accessed August 31, 2019]).

[16] tagesschau.de: Sächsische AfD: Court allows larger list in state elections. Accessed August 31, 2019 .

[17] MDR: AfD Saxony wants to complain about list debacle

[18] That's why the AfD only gets 38 instead of 39 seats in the Saxon state parliament. In: stern.de. September 2, 2019, accessed September 18, 2019 .

[19] Andreas Evelt, Marcel Pauly: Analysis of state elections: AfD mobilizes almost a quarter of a million non-voters in Saxony . In: Spiegel Online . September 2, 2019 ( spiegel.de [accessed September 2, 2019]).