State election in Hamburg 2011

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2008Election for citizenship 20112015
Votes in percent
 %
50
40
30th
20th
10
0
48.4
21.9
11.2
6.7
6.4
2.1
3.4
Otherwise.
Gains and losses
compared to 2008
 % p
 15th
 10
   5
   0
  -5
-10
-15
-20
-25
+14.3
-20.7
+1.6
+1.9
± 0.0
+1.9
+1.1
Otherwise.
     
A total of 121 seats

The election for the 20th Hamburg citizenship on February 20, 2011 was decided by the citizenship on December 15, 2010 after the black-green coalition that had ruled since 2008 had broken down and the Senators of the GAL in the Ahlhaus Senate announced their resignation on November 29, 2010 had. The election resulted in the absolute majority of the SPD in the state parliament, which elected Olaf Scholz as first mayor on March 7, 2011 and the senators he had proposed on March 23, 2011 ( Senate Scholz I ).

At the same time, new district assemblies were elected on February 20, 2011 , albeit with a shortened term until June 13, 2014.

The renewed change in the electoral law in Hamburg (with a total of 20 votes to be distributed at the citizenship and district assembly) led to a count of several days, the official final result of which was determined on March 4th, 2011, before the citizenship met for the first meeting on March 7th.

The turnout of 57.3 percent was still well below the worst result of 2008.

Suffrage

In 2011 there was a new right to vote: due to a referendum (2004) , in addition to the state list, MPs from the 17 newly formed constituencies, in which five votes were to be given to individual candidates or the respective party list, were already in the citizenship for the 2008 election has been chosen. A new referendum led to the strengthening of the personalized proportional representation system, in which 5 votes (by cumulating or variegating) had to be distributed to individual candidates or a party list in the state list, while only individual candidates were now available for election in the constituencies. The same applied to the elections to the district assemblies, which in future are to take place at the same time as the European elections . There were therefore a total of 20 votes to be given on the four ballot papers, which were issued in the form of four booklets due to the numerous candidates.

Election result

State election 2011
Political party be right Voting share Seats
SPD 1,667,804 48.4% 62
CDU 753,805 21.9% 28
Green / GAL 384.502 11.2% 14th
FDP 229.125 6.7% 9
The left 220.428 6.4% 8th
Pirates 73.126 2.1% -
NPD 30,648 0.9% -
The party 23,994 0.7% -
Free voters 23,135 0.7% -
pensioner 15,847 0.5% -
ÖDP 10,464 0.3% -
Bü-Wed 8,380 0.2% -
BIG Hamburg 3,344 0.1% -
Participation in the 2011 elections
number percent
Eligible voters 1,254,638 -
Voters / turnout 718.876 57.3%
invalid ballot papers 21,278 3.0%
valid ballot papers 696,568 97.0%
valid votes 3,444,602 -

On May 15, 2011 a partial re-election took place in the district of Harburg in the polling stations Kirchenhang 33 (constituency 71006) and Grumbrechtstrasse 63 (constituency 71108). It brought no change in mandate. On the other hand, there are effects in the Harburg district assembly.

Election analysis

The SPD won 62 of 121 seats in the citizenry. With a share of the vote of 48.4 percent, it achieved its best result since 1982. The CDU lost almost half of its share of the vote and got its worst result to date with 21.9 percent. With a minus of 20.7 percentage points, the CDU suffered the highest losses ever in an election to a German state parliament. Electoral researchers justify the heavy losses with the failure of the black-green coalition, for which voters mainly blamed the CDU. In addition, the First Mayor and CDU candidate Ahlhaus had significantly lower popularity ratings than his predecessor von Beust, who resigned in August 2010. Ahlhaus's term of office lasted less than six months and was marked by the collapse of the black-green coalition, which is why he could not benefit from an office bonus.

With a share of the vote of 11.2 percent, the Greens were able to gain slightly, but they too fell short of expectations and were only able to benefit little from the positive trend in Germany. The GAL missed its election goal of being able to form a red-green coalition. The FDP improved to 6.7 percent and thus achieved its best result since 1974. It was able to move back into the citizenship for the first time since 2001. Their good performance was favored by the heavy losses suffered by the CDU, which enabled them to assert themselves against the generally poor German polls. The left remained stable with its result of the previous election at 6.4 percent. This allowed the party to move into the citizenship for the second time in a row. Of the remaining eight parties and electoral associations, all of which failed to pass the five percent hurdle, only the Pirate Party achieved a significant result with 2.1 percent.

The turnout fell for the third time in a row, from 71% in 2001 to 68.7% in 2004 and 63.5% in 2008 and finally 57.3% in 2011.

initial situation

2008 general election
(in %)
 %
50
40
30th
20th
10
0
42.6
34.1
9.6
6.4
4.8
2.5
Otherwise.

In the general election on February 24, 2008 , the CDU ( Senate von Beust II ) , which had ruled alone until then, had fallen back from an absolute to a relative majority of mandates. Mayor Ole von Beust had therefore formed a coalition government with the GAL ( Senate von Beust III ). On July 18, 2010, the day of the referendum on the school reform in Hamburg , Ole von Beust announced his resignation on August 25, 2010, regardless of the outcome of the referendum. In this referendum, the extension of primary school time from four to six years, which he favored, was rejected by a majority of the citizens.

After von Beust's resignation and the election of Christoph Ahlhaus as First Mayor on August 25, 2010, the GAL announced on November 28, 2010 that it would end the coalition prematurely and spoke out in favor of new elections. Thereupon, on December 15, 2010, the citizens unanimously decided to hold new elections on February 20, 2011 in accordance with Article 11, Paragraph 1 of the Constitution of the Free and Hanseatic City of Hamburg .

The following table shows the results of the previous elections in Hamburg.

choice
date
CDU
SPD
Green / GAL
left
FDP
Pirates
Others
Bundestag election 09/27/2009 27.8% 27.4% 15.6% 11.2% 13.2% 2.6% 2.1%
European elections 06/09/2009 29.7% 25.4% 20.5% 6.7% 11.1% 1.2% 5.6%
Citizenship election 02/24/2008 42.6% 34.1% 9.6% 6.4% 4.8% 0.2% 2.3%
District Assembly Election 02/24/2008 38.1% 32.2% 14.6% 7.5% 5.6% - 1.9%

Opinion polls indicated a significant increase in votes in the SPD and GAL and a majority for red-green as early as the dissolution of the citizenship on December 15, 2010. An absolute majority in the SPD, for which around 46 percent of the votes were required because of the 5 percent threshold, appeared conceivable, but not certain. The return of the FDP to the citizenry was considered unlikely.

Institute
Survey
method
date
CDU
SPD
Green / GAL
left
FDP
Others
Trend Research Online panel December 15, 2010 24% 45% 16% 8th % 3% 4%
Infratest dimap by phone 12/13/2010 22% 43% 19% 7% 4% 5%
Trend Research Online panel 07/12/2010 22% 45% 17% 7% 3% 6% *
Trend Research Online panel 12/02/2010 24% 44% 17% 7% 4% 5%
Psephos by phone December 01, 2010 28% 45% 14% 6% 3% 4%
Research group elections by phone December 01, 2010 22% 41% 21% 7% 4% 5%
Psephos by phone 11/12/2010 35% 40% 12% 6% 4% 3%

*) including 3% Scheuerl party

According to an Infratest dimap survey, 15 percent in January 2011, 28 percent on February 2 and 41 percent on February 10, felt well informed about the new voting rights.

Parties

The following parties and electoral associations stood for election with a state list:

Political party Abbreviation Constituency lists Members 2008 result Top candidate
Christian Democratic Union of Germany CDU 17th 9,500 42.6% Christoph Ahlhaus
Social Democratic Party of Germany SPD 17th 10,700 34.1% Olaf Scholz
Alliance 90 / The Greens , Hamburg Regional Association, Green Alternative List GREEN / GAL 17th 1,883 9.6% Anja Hajduk
The left. THE LEFT 17th 1,507 6.4% Dora Heyenn
Free Democratic Party FDP 17th 1,300 4.8% Katja Suding
Party for work, the rule of law, animal welfare, elite support and grassroots initiative The party 1 430 0.3% Heinz Strunk
Pirate Party Germany PIRATES 11 453 0.2% Claudius Holler
Ecological Democratic Party - The Green Alternative ÖDP 2 50 0.1% Verena Häggberg
Alliance for Innovation and Justice BIG Hamburg 0 100 - Yasemin Candan
Bourgeois center Bü-Wed 0 19th - Mareile Kirsch
Free voters Hamburg FREE VOTERS 5 - Wolf Achim Wiegand
National Democratic Party of Germany NPD 15th 140 - Torben glue
Pensioners Party Germany PENSIONER 1 60 - Ralph Scharsig

A voter association and six individual candidates took part in the election in individual constituencies:

electoral
circle
designation Abbreviation (Top) candidate
10 North MPs WNA Dorle Olszewski
2 General rights and obligations of the minorities in Hamburg
- With me Marouf Shadab for you in the Senate
ARP Marouf Shadab
1 Education secures pensions BsR Ralf Appelt
6th Detlef Grumann: Independent - for a fair working environment For a fair working environment Detlef Grumann
9 Hans-Dieter Neumann, independent - Hans-Dieter Neumann
3 Romuald Jasinski integration for people and with people Romuald Jasinski - Integration Romuald Jasinski
1 The future needs truth MUSTAFA Mustafa Akpolat

Parties that have not been represented in the Bundestag or in a Landtag without interruption since the last election had to show 1,000 support signatures for approval of the Land list, and 100 signatures each for constituency lists. The Sarazzi Party - for referendums SPV Atom-Stuttgart21 could not provide the necessary supporting signatures and has submitted an application for extraordinary approval. In addition, an application was submitted to the Hamburg Constitutional Court with the aim of being exempted from collecting 1,000 support signatures due to the shortened lead time for this election. Even the Free Voters Germany Independent Group Germany Party Union Association (DIE FREIE Hamburg) could not collect the necessary support signatures to a sufficient extent. The Free Union had announced its participation, but had not submitted a country list. The German Conservatives were not allowed to vote because they had submitted their announcement late. Only for the election of the district assembly in constituency 14 did the Human Economy Party (HUMANWIRTSCHAFT) stand.

Constituencies and mandates

Constituencies for the election of the Hamburg citizenship and the district assemblies
No. Constituency Seats district Districts
1 Hamburg-center 5 Hamburg-center Old town, HafenCity, Neustadt, St. Pauli, St. Georg, Hammerbrook, Borgfelde, Hamm, Horn, Neuwerk
2 Billstedt-Wilhelmsburg-Finkenwerder 5 Hamburg-center Billstedt, Billbrook, Rothenburgsort, Veddel, Wilhelmsburg, Kleiner Grasbrook, Steinwerder, Waltershof, Finkenwerder
3 Altona 5 Altona Altona-Altstadt, Altona-Nord, Ottensen, Bahrenfeld, Groß Flottbek, Othmarschen, Sternschanze
4th Blankenese 5 Altona Lurup, Osdorf, Nienstedten, Blankenese, Iserbrook, Sülldorf, Rissen
5 Rotherbaum-Harvestehude-Eimsbüttel-Ost 3 Eimsbüttel Rotherbaum, Harvestehude, Hoheluft-West, Eimsbüttel
6th Stellingen-Eimsbüttel-West 3 Eimsbüttel Eidelstedt, Stellingen, Eimsbüttel
7th Lokstedt-Niendorf-Schnelsen 4th Eimsbüttel Lokstedt, Niendorf, Schnelsen
8th Eppendorf-Winterhude 4th Hamburg North Hoheluft-Ost, Eppendorf, Winterhude
9 Barmbek-Uhlenhorst-Dulsberg 5 Hamburg North Uhlenhorst, Hohenfelde, Barmbek-Nord, -Süd, Dulsberg
10 Fuhlsbüttel-Alsterdorf-Langenhorn 4th Hamburg North Groß Borstel, Alsterdorf, Ohlsdorf, Fuhlsbüttel, Langenhorn
11 Wandsbek 4th Wandsbek Eilbek, Wandsbek, Marienthal, Jenfeld, Tonndorf
12 Bramfeld-Farmsen-Berne 4th Wandsbek Farmsen-Berne, Bramfeld, Steilshoop
13 Alstertal forest villages 5 Wandsbek Wellingsbüttel, Sasel, Poppenbüttel, Hummelsbüttel, Lemsahl-Mellingstedt, Duvenstedt, Wohldorf-Ohlstedt, Bergstedt, Volksdorf
14th Rahlstedt 4th Wandsbek Rahlstedt
15th Bergedorf 5 Bergedorf Allermöhe, Neuallermöhe, Altengamme, Bergedorf, Billwerder, Curslack, Kirchwerder, Lohbrügge, Moorfleet, Neuengamme, Ochsenwerder, Reitbrook, Spadenland, Tatenberg
16 Harburg 3 Harburg Harburg, Neuland, Gut Moor, Wilstorf, Rönneburg, Langenbek, Sinstorf, Marmstorf, Eißendorf, Heimfeld
17th South Elbe 3 Harburg Altenwerder, Moorburg, Hausbruch, Neugraben-Fischbek, Francop, Neuenfelde, Cranz, Eißendorf, Heimfeld

District Assembly Election

District assembly election 2011
 %
50
40
30th
20th
10
0
44.9
23.2
14.2
7.0
6.0
2.7
1.9
Otherwise.
Gains and losses
compared to 2008
 % p
 14th
 12
 10
   8th
   6th
   4th
   2
   0
  -2
  -4
  -6
  -8th
-10
-12
-14
-16
-18
+13.1
-16.3
-1.0
-1.0
+1.5
+2.0
+1.6
Otherwise.
Preliminary results of the
2011 district assembly election
Political party be right Voting share Seats
SPD 1,551,728 44.9% 172
CDU 803.558 23.2% 89
Green / GAL 492,477 14.2% 52
left 241,304 7.0% 25th
FDP 207.195 6.0% 20th
Pirates 93,667 2.7% 3
NPD 36,676 1.1%
Free voters 20,598 0.6%
The party 8,265 0.2%
WNA 2.162 0.1%

See also

Web links

Individual evidence

  1. a b c Final result of the 2011 mayor election (PDF; 226 kB)
  2. a b Final result of the 2008 state election compared to the 2004 state election, Statistical Office for Hamburg and Schleswig-Holstein (PDF file; 5 kB)
  3. hamburg.de : Hamburg election on February 20, 2011: Countdown is running ( Memento from March 11, 2018 in the Internet Archive )
  4. Archive link ( Memento from December 3, 2010 in the Internet Archive )
  5. http://www.hamburg.de/wahlen/nofl/2785344/2011-02-15-bis-pm-lpk-vor-der-wahl.html#anker_7
  6. http://www.abendblatt.de/politik/article1790375/SPD-bei-48-3-Prozent-die-CDU-holt-21-9-Prozent.html
  7. ^ Free and Hanseatic City of Hamburg: Landesstimmen. In: Wahlen-in-deutschland.de, Valentin Schröder. Retrieved March 11, 2018 : "WBT (voter participation)"
  8. Ole von Beust: The declaration of resignation in full . July 18, 2010 ( welt.de [accessed January 27, 2019]).
  9. Hamburg's Mayor von Beust: "Four years of primary school are not enough" . In: Spiegel Online . January 7, 2010 ( spiegel.de [accessed January 26, 2019]).
  10. Archived copy ( Memento from December 1, 2010 in the Internet Archive )
  11. radiohamburg.de: SPD clear before CDU.
  12. ndr.de: Survey: Red-Green in Hamburg clearly ahead, December 13, 2010. ( Memento from December 14, 2010 in the Internet Archive )
  13. ^ Abendblatt.de: New election: This is how the people of Hamburg would vote today
  14. zdf.de: ZDF Politbarometer Extra from December 1, 2010 ( Memento of the original from December 4, 2010 in the Internet Archive ) Info: The archive link was inserted automatically and has not yet been checked. Please check the original and archive link according to the instructions and then remove this notice. @1@ 2Template: Webachiv / IABot / wahltool.zdf.de
  15. wahlrecht.de: polls on the state elections in Hamburg .
  16. http://www.tagesschau.de/multimedia/bilder/deutschlandtrend/crbilderstrecke196_mtb-1_pos-7.html ( Memento from February 13, 2011 in the Internet Archive )
  17. State Returning Officer Nominations for the election of the citizenship and district assembly on February 20, 2011 (pdf; 19 kB)
  18. http://www.abendblatt.de/hamburg/kommunales/article1788272/Piraten-Rentner-und-andere-Wahlalternativen.html
  19. https://web.archive.org/web/20090308095546/http://www.nordabiminale.de/
  20. Maps for the constituency division for the election of the 20th Hamburg citizenship. In: Information on the election of the 20th Hamburg citizenship - North Statistics Office. Retrieved January 3, 2019 .
  21. http://www.hamburg.de/innenbehoerde/nofl/2616974/2010-11-30-bis-pm-wahl-altona.html
  22. a b Hamm and Neuallermöhe - Senate sets the course for two new districts Authority for Interior and Sports
  23. Archive link ( Memento of the original from March 2, 2011 in the Internet Archive ) Info: The archive link was inserted automatically and has not yet been checked. Please check the original and archive link according to the instructions and then remove this notice. @1@ 2Template: Webachiv / IABot / www.xyz.statistik-nord.de