Ireland's economy

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Ireland
Flag of Ireland.svg
currency Euro (EUR)
Trade
organizations
EU , WTO , OECD
Key figures
Gross domestic
product (GDP)
€ 296.1 billion (nominal) (2017)
€ 315.4 billion (PPP) (2017)
GDP per capita € 61,700 (nominal) (2017)
€ 64,300 (PPP) (2017)
GDP by economic sector Agriculture : 1.0% (2010)
Industry and energy : 25.9% (2010)
Construction : 5.5% (2010)
Trade, transport, communication: 16.9% (2010)
Financial services : 26.8% (2010)
Other services: 22.4% (2010)
growth   + 7.8% (2017)
inflation rate 1.7% (2012)
Employed 1.84 million (2012)
Employed persons by economic sector Agriculture : 4.7% (2012)
Industry : 12.6% (2012)
Financial services : 5.4%
Construction : 5.4%
Trade, transport, communication: 24.0% (2012)
Activity rate 40.1% (real, 2012)
Unemployed 323,000 (2012)
Unemployment rate 5.3% (2018M05)
Foreign trade
export € 90.9 billion (2012)
Export goods Machines and equipment, computers, chemicals, medical devices, medicines, agricultural products
Export partner USA 23.2%, UK 15.4%, Belgium 14.3%, Germany 8.1%, France 5%, Switzerland 4% (2010)
import € 48.7 billion (2012)
Import goods Computer accessories, machines and equipment, chemicals, petroleum products, textiles, clothing
Import partner GB 32.1%, USA 14.1%, Germany 7.7%, China 6.4%, Netherlands 4.9% (2010)
Foreign trade balance € 42.4 billion (2012)
public finances
Public debt 68.0% of GDP (2017)
Government revenue 25.7% of GDP (2017)
Government spending 26.1% of GDP (2017)
Budget balance −0.4% of GDP (2017)

The Irish economy is heavily dependent on exports , major trading partners are the United States and the United Kingdom . Until the financial crisis there was in Ireland above-average economic growth , but since 2008/09, the economic situation deteriorated dramatically. However, Ireland's gross domestic product grew by 7.8% in 2015, making Ireland the largest economic growth in Europe and the sixth largest economic growth in the world.

Economic structure

Finance industry

The financial system is dominated by the banking group Allied Irish Banks , the Bank of Ireland , Ulster Bank (subsidiary of the Royal Bank of Scotland Group) and the National Irish Bank (subsidiary of Danske Bank ). The Irish Life and Permanent is significant not only in banking but also in the insurance business. Dublin is the seat of a stock exchange , the Irish Stock Exchange , on which around 50 companies are listed.

aviation

Irish-based airlines, for example Ryanair , Aer Lingus , Aer Arann , Air Contractors and the subsidiary Cityjet of Air France . In particular, Ryanair, founded in 1985, rose to become Europe's  leading low-cost airline with increasing deregulation of civil aviation within the EU  - for example in the course of the Open Skies Agreement .

Agribusiness

Beef and dairy products are the most important agricultural export products at around 60% . In 2002, 445,000 tonnes of beef worth € 1,185 million were exported, making Ireland the largest exporter of beef in the EU and one of the largest in the world.

The Irish Dairy Board , founded in 1961, the Irish dairy industry's marketing organization, promotes Irish dairy products around the world under the name “ Kerrygold ”.

The Kerry Group is Ireland's premier food company. It is the world leader in food additives and flavors , but also a major manufacturer of branded products for the Irish and UK markets.

Mining and gas extraction

Be in Ireland important European mines where zinc and lead are promoted (Galmoy, Lisheen and Tara). Important natural gas fields are the Corrib gas field and the Kinsale natural gas field, which has been exploited for a number of years. The Barryroe gas / oil field was found in the Celtic Sea in 2012 and is located near the exploited Kinsale natural gas field. It is uncertain whether funding will ever be given there. In addition, some smaller, internationally operating natural resources companies are based and listed in Ireland.

energy

The only refinery in Ireland is in Whitegate near Cork. The Whitegate refinery is with 3 million tons per year a small refinery in international comparison and is operated by the Canadian Irving Oil .

tourism

With over 9.5 million tourists, Ireland was the 39th most visited country in the world in 2016. Tourism revenue for the same year was $ 5.2 billion. The most important destination is the capital Dublin. Most of the tourists come from the UK, US and mainland Europe. There are a total of two UNESCO World Heritage Sites in the country .

Pharmaceutical Industry

The pharmaceutical industry accounts for over half of Ireland's exports.

Irish company

Economic data

The Irish economy recovered from a slump during the financial crisis. The unusually high economic growth of 25.6% in 2015 is based in large part on the acquisition of the Irish medical technology company Covidien by its US competitor Medtronic , with the future company headquarters being in Dublin. The reason for choosing where this company and other multinational corporations are based in Ireland is tax avoidance called “ Double Irish With a Dutch Sandwich ”. As a result of this company acquisition, Ireland's sovereign debt ratio also fell significantly in the same year. How the Irish economic situation will look without such business decisions is largely unclear and much debated in Ireland.

Change in gross domestic product (GDP), real Eurostat

year 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Change in% yoy 5.5 5.2 −3.9 −4.6 1.8 3.9 0.0 1.6 8.3 25.6 5.1 6.7

Development of GDP (nominal), Eurostat

absolute (in billion euros) per inhabitant (in thousands of euros)
year 2014 2015 2016 year 2014 2015 2016
GDP in billions of euros 194.5 262.0 275.5 GDP per inhabitant (in € thousand) 42.2 56.4 58.8

Foreign Trade Development (GTAI)

in billion euros and its change compared to the previous year in percent
2014 2015 2016
Billion euros % yoy Billion euros % yoy Billion euros % year-on-year
Exports 60.7 +11.8 69.0 +13.7 69.5 +0.7
Imports 91.8 +4.5 111.7 +21.7 116.4 +4.2
balance +31.8 +42.7 +46.9

Main trading partner of Ireland (2016), source: GTAI

Export (in percent) to Import (in percent) of
United StatesUnited States United States 26.2 United KingdomUnited Kingdom United Kingdom 29.3
United KingdomUnited Kingdom United Kingdom 12.8 United StatesUnited States United States 15.5
BelgiumBelgium Belgium 12.7 FranceFrance France 12.7
GermanyGermany Germany 6.7 GermanyGermany Germany 10.3
SwitzerlandSwitzerland Switzerland 5.5 NetherlandsNetherlands Netherlands 4.8
NetherlandsNetherlands Netherlands 5.1 China People's RepublicPeople's Republic of China People's Republic of China 4.0
FranceFrance France 4.2 BelgiumBelgium Belgium 2.4
other countries 26.8 other countries 21.1

National debt and budget balance 2005–2017

year 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
National debt 26.1% 23.6% 23.9% 42.4% 61.7% 86.3% 109.6% 119.5% 119.5% 105.3% 78.7% 75.4% 68.0%
Budget balance 1.6% 2.8% 0.3% −7.0% −13.8% −32.1% −12.6% −8.0% −5.7% −3.7% −2.0% −0.9% −0.4%
Source: Eurostat

Economic history

The first 10 years

With the Anglo-Irish Treaty of December 1921, the Irish Free State was created . William Thomas Cosgrave (from 1922 to 1932), chairman of the Cumann na nGaedheal party , pursued a relative free trade policy . Ireland was largely an agricultural state at the time. The Irish Sugar Manufacturing Company was founded in 1926 to support agriculture and the Agricultural Credit Corporation in September 1927 . The Irish currency was pegged to the British pound, even during the Great Depression , when the country's few industrial companies got into trouble.

The self-sufficient state

From 1932 the governments were more concerned with the country's economic and political independence. Taoiseach Éamon de Valera introduced high import tariffs during the Anglo-Irish trade war (1932 to 1938), which massively damaged the agricultural industry. The average customs duties rose from 9 percent in 1931 to 45 percent in 1936. On the other hand, the urban population benefited from these measures; industrial production rose by 46.1 percent between 1931 and 1938. However, the 1932 Control of Manufactures Act required that the majority of the capital in companies be in Irish hands. Up until the 1970s, companies were also bought up by the state and continued to run or a state stake was acquired. These included, for example, the agricultural bank ACCBank (1927), Irish Sugar (1933) Aer Lingus (1936), the life insurer Irish Life (1939), Irish Steel (1947) and the natural gas company Bord Gáis (1975). The economic policy of the alternate Prime Ministers Éamon de Valera and John A. Costello (from 1932 to 1959) was not very successful. In the years 1948 to 1952 Ireland received by the Marshall Plan technical assistance, loans and grants worth a total of 146.2 million US dollars .

The changing Irish economy

In the 1950s, economic growth was below 2 percent and over 400,000 Irish (3 million residents) emigrated.

Efforts to attract foreign investments into the country began in 1955 in order to facilitate exports from Ireland to Great Britain and the other Commonwealth countries. German companies were among the largest investors at the time. In 1958, the Control of Manufactures Act was amended so that the majority of export-oriented industrial companies no longer had to be under Irish control. The government of Seán Lemass (from 1959 to 1966) promoted economic relations with foreign countries, since in 1959 75 percent of all exports went to the United Kingdom. Ireland joined the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) in 1960 and the Anglo-Irish Free Trade Agreement was signed on December 15, 1965.

The first application for membership on July 31, 1961 to join the European Community (EC) failed. The application to join the European Community on May 10, 1967, however, was successful and contract negotiations could begin in June 1970. The contract with the EC was signed on January 22nd, 1972 and confirmed in a referendum . Ireland, Great Britain and Denmark joined the EC on January 1, 1973.

The fixed exchange rate between the Irish pound , the Irish currency that existed until 2001, and the British pound of one to one (since 1928) was abolished on March 30, 1979 when Ireland became a member of the European Monetary System . This was problematic for Ireland, as in 1978 the United Kingdom still accounted for around 50 percent of all exports and imports.

In the late 1970s and early 1980s, the second oil price crisis (1979/80) led to a decline in economic growth. In 1977 and 1978 the economy had grown by over 7 percent, until 1982 it grew by 2 to 3 percent, in 1983 the GDP fell by 0.24 percent. The inflation increased from about 10 percent in 1979 to about 20 percent, where it remained until the 1983rd As of 1985 it was below 5 percent. Due to the weak economic development, ineffective spending and the abolition of the wealth tax in 1978, the national debt rose sharply under the government of Jack Lynch and her successors. In response to the crisis, his successors, Charles J. Haughey and Garret FitzGerald, cut spending and significantly increased tax rates on employee incomes. The lowest income tax rate was abolished, which meant that even low- wage earners had to pay 35 percent tax on their income. The tax revenue also financed large educational programs, especially in the communications technology sector, which later became economically important .

Celtic tiger

(Source: Eurostat )

Between 1995 and 2007 Ireland's GDP grew by an average of 6 percent per year, which is why Ireland was referred to as the "Celtic Tiger" in analogy to the tiger states of Southeast Asia, the collective term for South Korea , Singapore , Hong Kong and Taiwan , sometimes also for Malaysia and the Philippines . The development of the GDP was strongly influenced by foreign direct investment in Ireland. Investments in Ireland were made in particular from the USA in search of a location for exporting to the European economic area. From 1989 onwards, companies such as Dell , Intel and Microsoft invested in Ireland and from the early 1990s onwards, clusters in the communications technology industry were formed. The Irish government was also able to use the new revenue to reduce the national debt. It fell from over 90 percent of GDP in 1993 to below 50 percent in 1999. In the 1990s, corporate taxes were also significantly reduced to attract foreign companies. The standard tariff fell from 40 percent (1995) to 12.5 percent in 2003. In addition, a reduced tariff of 10 percent was introduced for production facilities (today standardized to 12.5 percent, which is still one of the lowest values ​​within the EU means).

However, the GDP was artificially increased, as profits from the companies are only shifted to Ireland for accounting purposes due to the low tax rates and do not actually flow into the country. Adjusted for inflation, GDP per capita rose to one of the highest levels in the EU. The gross national income rose less strongly, but among other things unemployment actually fell (2000–2007 it was around 5 percent). As a result of the statutory minimum wage introduced in 2000, the monthly income of full-time adult employees is not less than 1,183 euros.

There was major immigration to Ireland from the late 1990s . Many Irish went back to Ireland and, especially after the EU's eastward expansion , many immigrants came from Eastern Europe . The population increased from 3.789 million in 2000 to 4.339 million in 2007.

As a result of the persistently low interest rates and poor bank regulation , there was increasing investment in loan-financed real estate from the mid-1990s . The subsequent expansion of the finance and construction industries led to a real estate bubble . The number of new houses built every year rose from 33,600 (1996) to over 93,000 (2006). At the same time, the national average prices rose almost fourfold. Ireland became one of the countries with the highest home ownership rates in the world.

Economic crisis from 2007 to 2013

Rating of Ireland by rating agencies
date Fitch S & P's Moody's source
April 29, 2010 AA
July 2, 2010 Aa1
July 19, 2010 AA- AA Aa2
October 10, 2010 A +
November 24, 2010 A.
December 10, 2010 BBB +
December 17, 2010 Baa1
February 1, 2011 A-
April 1, 2011 BBB +
April 15, 2011 Baa3
July 13, 2011 Ba1
17th January 2014 Baa3
17th May 2014 Baa1
5th August 2014 A-
5th December 2014 A.
5th June 2015 A +
May 14, 2016 A3
April 24, 2018 A + A2
Long-term Irish government bond yields have declined significantly since mid-2011

Ireland has been particularly hard hit by the global financial crisis and the subsequent euro crisis , because the long-term successful real estate industry and the dependence on foreign direct investment have become negative factors. Due to falling real estate prices (2009: −20.7 percent to 242,033 euros), many Irish households are over-indebted.

The total of outstanding loans, derivatives and mortgage loans from the poorly regulated Irish banks is nearly four times the gross domestic product. At the end of 2009, the state-run National Asset Management Agency (NAMA) was founded as a bad bank and has so far (June 2010) taken over from the five participating companies (Allied Irish Banks, Anglo Irish Bank , Bank of Ireland, Irish Nationwide Building Society and EBS Building Society) Liabilities worth 81 billion euros. Some companies received state guarantees, other companies received state capital aid, and in return the state bought shares in them. The Anglo Irish Bank was even completely nationalized. As the Irish government spent a great deal of money on the financial support of Irish banks and building societies, the national debt rose sharply. The national debt rose from 43.9 percent at the end of 2008 to 64.0 percent at the end of 2009 and is expected to be around 83.9 percent by the end of 2010.

The conservative Irish government under Brian Cowen decided to implement an austerity policy against the massive rise in national debt . Ireland has been in a recession since the first quarter of 2008, and in 2009 GDP shrank by 7.1 percent. The unemployment rate was over 8 percent at the end of 2008 and rose to over 13 percent in 2010, and the number of long-term unemployed (= more than 1 year out of work) has more than doubled to 5.3 percent. Ireland was also in deflation . In October 2009 prices fell by 4.4 percent compared to the same month last year.

Since the beginning of 2010, the rating agencies have been gradually downgrading Ireland. Ireland's debt burden at the end of June 2010 totaled US $ 731.2 billion, of which US $ 508.6 billion was with European creditors. In the fourth quarter of 2010 rumors arose about Ireland's impending insolvency and an impending application for EU aid, which the Irish government initially categorically rejected. However, due to the Irish financial and banking crisis (particularly the Anglo Irish Bank ), Prime Minister Brian Cowen asked the European Union and the International Monetary Fund for help on November 21, 2010 . The EU finance ministers decided on November 28, 2010 a three-year aid package of 85 billion euros from the European Stability Mechanism , of which Ireland raised 12.5 billion euros from the reserves of the state pension insurance and 5 billion euros from cash reserves. The United Kingdom (EUR 8 billion), Sweden (EUR 1 billion) and Denmark offer bilateral financial assistance. 10 billion euros are to be spent immediately to increase the banks' equity, with a further 25 billion euros available. The other 50 billion are earmarked for the state budget if needed. The Irish government also decided to take further drastic austerity measures: the increase in VAT , cuts in social benefits, savings in the public sector and an increase in various fees.

In the course of the euro crisis , the interest rate to be paid by Ireland for EU aid was reduced from initially 5.83 percent per year to around 3.5 percent and the term of the bonds was extended to 15 years.

After Ireland was last active on the capital market in September 2010, Ireland issued a bond of 500 million euros with a term of 3 months for the first time on July 5, 2012. The average interest rate was around 1.8 percent, slightly cheaper than comparable Spanish bonds.

The Irish government of Enda Kenny gave December 15, 2013 as the date for the exit from the euro rescue package. From this point on, Ireland should again finance itself completely through the capital market. This plan was also successfully implemented. The economic recovery also led to fiscal consolidation , so that some spending increases in the budget for 2015 became possible again.

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