Canadian General Election 2019

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2015General election 2019
(in %)
 %
40
30th
20th
10
0
34.41
33.07
15.93
7.69
6.50
1.64
0.76
PPC
Otherwise.
Gains and losses
compared to 2015
 % p
   4th
   2
   0
  -2
  -4
  -6
  -8th
+2.50
-6.40
-3.80
+3.02
+3.07
+1.64
-0.03
PPC
Otherwise.
Distribution of seats in the new lower house
24
32
3
157
1
121
24 32 157 121 
A total of 338 seats

The 43 Canadian general election ( english 43rd Canadian General Election , French 43e élection fédérale canadienne ) was held on October 21 of 2019. The 338 members of the Canadian House of Commons (English House of Commons , French Chambre des Communes ) were elected.

The Liberal Party , led by Prime Minister Justin Trudeau , remained the strongest force, but lost its previous absolute majority and is expected to form a minority government. Its 33.1% voter share is the lowest of any ruling party in Canadian history. While that could Conservative Party of Andrew Scheer win with 34.4% a slightly higher share of the vote, but to this failed due to the high voter concentration in Alberta and Saskatchewan barely noticeable seat profits down because she cut below average in the rest of the country.

background

The 2015 general election resulted in a majority government of the Liberal Party of Canada led by Justin Trudeau . The Conservative Party of Canada became the official opposition and the New Democrats (NDP) became the third largest party. While members of the Bloc Québécois and the Greens were elected to parliament, both did not reach the required number of MPs for official group status. Shortly after the election, the outgoing Prime Minister and party leader of the Conservatives, Stephen Harper, as well as the party leader of the Bloc Québécois Gilles Duceppe, announced his resignation.

The conservative party elected a new chairman on May 27, 2017 for the first time in 13 years. In the decisive ballot, Andrew Scheer prevailed with less than one percent advantage over Maxime Bernier . In the following year, Bernier founded his own party, the People's Party of Canada , which he tried to establish in the political spectrum on the right of the Conservative Party.

The chairman of the NDP, Thomas Mulcair , initially remained in office after the election, but received only 48% of the votes when the leadership of the NDP was reviewed in April 2016. As a result, the party held a new election on October 1, 2017, in which Jagmeet Singh , until then an NDP MP in the Legislative Assembly of Ontario , was elected as his successor. He made it into the Canadian House of Commons in the Burnaby South constituency by-election in February 2019. At the Bloc Québécois, Martine Ouellet succeeded Duceppe in 2017, who lost a vote of confidence the following year and was replaced by Yves-François Blanchet on January 17, 2019 .

Leading candidates of the parties elected to parliament by 2019:

Electoral reform not implemented

In June 2015, Justin Trudeau promised to reform the electoral system if he is elected, saying: "We pledge to ensure that 2015 is the last election to be held on a first-past-the-post principle " . The New Democrats and the Greens also called for reform in their election programs, while the Conservatives supported a referendum on voting rights.

In the new legislative period, a special committee for electoral reform with representatives from all five parties in parliament was formed. The report of the Committee on Strengthening Democracy in Canada, Principles, Process and Public Engagement for Electoral Reform , was presented in December 2016 and recommended the introduction of a proportional electoral system after a national referendum, but without committing to a specific proposal for its design . In February 2017, the government withdrew its support for electoral reform. She cited, among other things, a survey on the web portal mydemocracy.ca , in which 360,000 Canadians had participated, which had "no clear preference or even a consensus".

Opinion polls

The following graph shows the average values ​​of the opinion polls since the official start of the election campaign on September 11th:

Opinion polling during the campaign period of 2019 Canadian federal election.svg
Overview of the constituencies

Results

The turnout was 65.95%, around 2.5 percentage points lower than in 2015.

Overall result

Interim result after 99.67% of the votes counted:

Political party Chairman candidates
data
Seats
2015
upon
dissolution
Seats
2019
+/- be right proportion of +/-
Liberal Party Justin Trudeau 184 177 157 - 27 33.1% - 6.4%
  Conservative Party Andrew Scheer 099 095 121 + 22 34.4% + 3.5%
New Democratic Party Jagmeet Singh 044 039 024 - 20 15.9% - 2.8%
Bloc Québécois Yves-François Blanchet 010 010 032 + 22 07.7% + 3.0%
Green party Elizabeth May 001 002 003 + 02 06.5% + 3.0%
Independent   000 008th 001 + 01

Result by provinces and territories

Political party BC FROM SK MB ON QC NB NS PE NL NU NT YT total
Liberal Party Seats 11 0 0 4th 79 35 6th 10 4th 6th 0 1 1 157
Percentage ownership % 26.1 13.7 11.6 26.3 41.5 34.2 37.6 41.4 43.6 44.7 31.0 40.0 33.4 33.1
  Conservative Party Seats 17th 33 14th 7th 36 10 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 121
Percentage ownership % 34.1 69.2 64.3 45.4 33.2 16.0 32.8 25.6 27.4 28.0 25.8 25.8 33.1 34.4
New Democratic Party Seats 11 1 0 3 6th 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 24
Percentage ownership % 24.4 11.5 19.5 20.7 16.8 10.7 9.4 19.0 7.6 23.9 41.2 21.8 21.8 15.9
Bloc Québécois Seats 32 32
Percentage ownership % 32.5 7.7
Green party Seats 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 3
Percentage ownership % 12.4 2.8 2.5 5.1 6.2 4.4 17.0 11.0 20.9 3.1 2.1 10.6 10.3 6.5
People's party Seats 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Percentage ownership % 1.7 2.2 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.5 2.1 1.2 0.1 2.1 1.8 1.4 1.6
Independent Seats 1 0 0 0 0 0 1
Percentage ownership % 0.9 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 1.5 0.4

The independent candidate elected is Jody Wilson-Raybould , who served in Justin Trudeau's 29th Canadian cabinet until February 2019 .

Web links

Commons : Canadian General Election 2019  - Collection of Images, Videos and Audio Files

Individual evidence

  1. ^ Sarah Turnbull: Trudeau says new cabinet will be sworn in Nov. 20, rules out coalition. CTV , October 23, 2019, accessed on October 25, 2019 .
  2. ^ Joseph Brean: All-time low share of popular vote is enough for Liberals to win power. National Post , October 22, 2019, accessed October 25, 2019 .
  3. ^ Kathleen Harris: Andrew Scheer elected new Conservative leader. CBC News , May 27, 2017, accessed October 22, 2019 .
  4. ^ Charlie Pinkerton: Maxime Bernier announces the People's Party of Canada. iPolitics.ca, September 14, 2018, accessed October 22, 2019 .
  5. ^ Ian Bailey: NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh wins Burnaby South by-election, clearing key hurdle ahead of federal campaign. The Globe and Mail , February 25, 2019, accessed October 22, 2019 .
  6. ^ Niko Block: Electoral Reform in Canadan. The Canadian Encyclopedia , February 1, 2017, accessed October 22, 2019 .
  7. Aaron Wherry, John Paul Tasker: Minister 'disappointed' as electoral reform committee recommends referendum on proportional representation. CBC News , December 1, 2016, accessed October 22, 2019 .
  8. Opposition accuses Trudeau of 'betrayal' as Liberals abandon promise of electoral reform. CBC News , February 1, 2017, accessed on October 22, 2019 .
  9. Canadian election drew nearly 66% of registered voters. CBC News , October 22, 2019, accessed October 22, 2019 .
  10. Preliminary Results. Elections Canada, October 22, 2019, accessed October 22, 2019 .