Statewide opinion polling for the 2008 United States presidential election

Main article: United States presidential election, 2008

This article provides a collection of scientific, state-wide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the United States of America (U.S.) presidential election, 2008.

Opinion polling

General election

Alabama

9 Electoral Votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	February 26-28, 2008	Hillary Clinton	41%	John McCain	51%
		Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	54%
Survey USA	February 15-17, 2008	Hillary Clinton	37%	John McCain	57%
		Barack Obama	34%	John McCain	58%
Survey USA	January 16-17, 2008	Hillary Clinton	37%	John McCain	58%
		Barack Obama	29%	John McCain	63%

Alaska

3 Electoral Votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	February 26-29, 2008	Hillary Clinton	34%	John McCain	56%
		Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	48%

Arizona

10 Electoral Votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	February 26-28, 2008	Hillary Clinton	39%	John McCain	54%
		Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	51%
Arizona State University	February 21-24, 2008	Hillary Clinton	33%	John McCain	57%
		Barack Obama	38%	John McCain	49%

Arkansas

6 Electoral Votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	February 26-28, 2008	Hillary Clinton	51%	John McCain	40%
		Barack Obama	33%	John McCain	53%

California

55 Electoral Votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	Febryary 26-28, 2008	Hillary Clinton	50%	John McCain	40%
		Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	40%
Survey USA	Febryary 15-17, 2008	Hillary Clinton	58%	John McCain	35%
		Barack Obama	61%	John McCain	34%
Survey USA	January 20-21, 2008	Hillary Clinton	57%	John McCain	38%
		Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	44%

Colorado

9 Electoral Votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	February 26-28, 2008	Hillary Clinton	42%	John McCain	48%
		Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	41%
Rasmussen Reports	February 11, 2008	Hillary Clinton	35%	John McCain	49%
		Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	39%

Connecticut

7 Electoral Votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	February 26-28, 2008	Hillary Clinton	50%	John McCain	40%
		Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	34%

Delaware

3 Electoral Votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	February 26-28, 2008	Hillary Clinton	46%	John McCain	41%
		Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	41%

Florida

27 Electoral Votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	February 26-28, 2008	Hillary Clinton	51%	John McCain	42%
		Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	47%
Mason Dixon	February 21-24, 2008	Hillary Clinton	40%	John McCain	49%
		Barack Obama	37%	John McCain	47%
Rasmussen Reports	February 16, 2008	Hillary Clinton	43%	John McCain	49%
		Barack Obama	37%	John McCain	53%
Quinnipiac University	February 6-12, 2008	Hillary Clinton	42%	John McCain	44%
		Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	41%

Georgia

15 Electoral Votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	February 26-28, 2008	Hillary Clinton	35%	John McCain	56%
		Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	54%

Hawaii

4 Electoral Votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	February 26-29, 2008	Hillary Clinton	43%	John McCain	39%
		Barack Obama	61%	John McCain	31%

Idaho

4 Electoral Votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	February 26-28, 2008	Hillary Clinton	27%	John McCain	63%
		Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	52%

Illinois

21 Electoral Votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	February 26-28, 2008	Hillary Clinton	48%	John McCain	37%
		Barack Obama	60%	John McCain	31%
Research 2000	January 21-24, 2008	Hillary Clinton	54%	John McCain	40%
		Barack Obama	58%	John McCain	37%

Indiana

11 Electoral Votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	February 26-28, 2008	Hillary Clinton	36%	John McCain	53%
		Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	50%
Survey USA	February 3-4, 2008	Hillary Clinton	42%	John McCain	51%
		Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	50%

Iowa

7 Electoral Votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	February 26-28, 2008	Hillary Clinton	41%	John McCain	46%
		Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	41%
Des Moines Register	February 17-20, 2008	Hillary Clinton	40%	John McCain	49%
		Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	36%
Rasmussen Reports	February 18, 2008	Hillary Clinton	37%	John McCain	47%
		Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	41%
Survey USA	February 15-17, 2008	Hillary Clinton	41%	John McCain	52%
		Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	41%
Survey USA	January 4-6, 2008	Hillary Clinton	44%	John McCain	48%
		Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	38%

Kansas

6 Electoral Votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	February 26-28, 2008	Hillary Clinton	42%	John McCain	51%
		Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	50%
Survey USA	February 15-17, 2008	Hillary Clinton	35%	John McCain	59%
		Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	50%
Survey USA	January 16-17, 2008	Hillary Clinton	40%	John McCain	53%
		Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	53%

Kentucky

8 Electoral Votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	February 26-28, 2008	Hillary Clinton	41%	John McCain	50%
		Barack Obama	33%	John McCain	54%
Survey USA	February 3-4, 2008	Hillary Clinton	43%	John McCain	53%
		Barack Obama	32%	John McCain	61%

Louisiana

9 Electoral Votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	February 26-28, 2008	Hillary Clinton	41%	John McCain	51%
		Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	54%

Maine

4 Electoral Votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	February 26-28, 2008	Hillary Clinton	48%	John McCain	42%
		Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	39%

Maryland

10 Electoral Votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	February 26-28, 2008	Hillary Clinton	49%	John McCain	40%
		Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	40%

Massachusetts

12 Electoral Votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	February 26-28, 2008	Hillary Clinton	55%	John McCain	37%
		Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	42%
Survey USA	February 15-17, 2008	Hillary Clinton	52%	John McCain	43%
		Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	46%
Survey USA	January 20-21, 2008	Hillary Clinton	49%	John McCain	45%
		Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	50%

Michigan

17 Electoral Votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	February 26-28, 2008	Hillary Clinton	44%	John McCain	44%
		Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	45%
Rasmussen Reports	February 17, 2008	Hillary Clinton	44%	John McCain	44%
		Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	39%

Minnesota

10 Electoral Votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	February 26-28, 2008	Hillary Clinton	47%	John McCain	43%
		Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	42%
Survey USA	February 15-17, 2008	Hillary Clinton	49%	John McCain	45%
		Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	40%
Rasmussen Reports	February 16, 2008	Hillary Clinton	42%	John McCain	47%
		Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	38%
Survey USA	January 20-21, 2008	Hillary Clinton	45%	John McCain	49%
		Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	49%

Mississippi

6 Electoral Votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	February 26-28, 2008	Hillary Clinton	42%	John McCain	51%
		Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	54%

Missouri

11 Electoral Votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	February 26-28, 2008	Hillary Clinton	44%	John McCain	48%
		Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	48%
Survey USA	February 15-17, 2008	Hillary Clinton	51%	John McCain	44%
		Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	43%
Rasmussen Reports	February 12, 2008	Hillary Clinton	42%	John McCain	43%
		Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	42%

Montana

3 Electoral Votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	February 26-28, 2008	Hillary Clinton	33%	John McCain	53%
		Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	47%

Nebraska

5 Electoral Votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	February 26-28, 2008	Hillary Clinton	30%	John McCain	57%
		Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	45%

Nevada

5 Electoral Votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	February 26-28, 2008	Hillary Clinton	41%	John McCain	49%
		Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	41%
Rasmussen Reports	February 12, 2008	Hillary Clinton	40%	John McCain	49%
		Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	38%

New Hampshire

4 Electoral Votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	February 26-28, 2008	Hillary Clinton	41%	John McCain	49%
		Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	44%
Rasmussen Reports	February 11, 2008	Hillary Clinton	43%	John McCain	41%
		Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	36%

New Jersey

15 Electoral Votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	February 26-28, 2008	Hillary Clinton	47%	John McCain	42%
		Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	43%
Rasmussen Reports	February 27, 2008	Hillary Clinton	50%	John McCain	39%
		Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	45%
Fairleigh Dickinson University	February 18-24, 2008	Hillary Clinton	43%	John McCain	39%
		Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	38%
Quinnipiac University	February 13-18, 2008	Hillary Clinton	47%	John McCain	41%
		Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	39%

New Mexico

5 Electoral Votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	February 26-28, 2008	Hillary Clinton	47%	John McCain	47%
		Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	43%
Rasmussen Reports	February 17-18, 2008	Hillary Clinton	38%	John McCain	50%
		Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	44%
Survey USA	February 15-17, 2008	Hillary Clinton	50%	John McCain	45%
		Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	40%
Survey USA	January 20-21, 2008	Hillary Clinton	42%	John McCain	51%
		Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	50%

New York

31 Electoral Votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	February 26-28, 2008	Hillary Clinton	55%	John McCain	33%
		Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	38%
Survey USA	February 15-17, 2008	Hillary Clinton	52%	John McCain	41%
		Barack Obama	57%	John McCain	36%
Siena College	February 11-14, 2008	Hillary Clinton	49%	John McCain	42%
		Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	40%
Survey USA	January 20-21, 2008	Hillary Clinton	53%	John McCain	40%
		Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	43%

North Carolina

15 Electoral Votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	February 26-28, 2008	Hillary Clinton	41%	John McCain	49%
		Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	47%
Public Policy Polling	February 18, 2008	Hillary Clinton	43%	John McCain	48%
		Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	47%

North Dakota

3 Electoral Votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	February 26-28, 2008	Hillary Clinton	35%	John McCain	54%
		Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	42%

Ohio

20 Electoral Votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	February 26-28, 2008	Hillary Clinton	50%	John McCain	40%
		Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	40%
Rasmussen Reports	February 17, 2008	Hillary Clinton	43%	John McCain	46%
		Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	42%
Survey USA	February 15-17, 2008	Hillary Clinton	52%	John McCain	42%
		Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	44%
Quinnipiac University	February 6-12, 2008	Hillary Clinton	43%	John McCain	44%
		Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	42%

Oklahoma

7 Electoral Votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	February 26-28, 2008	Hillary Clinton	42%	John McCain	50%
		Barack Obama	34%	John McCain	57%

Oregon

7 Electoral Votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	February 26-28, 2008	Hillary Clinton	43%	John McCain	48%
		Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	41%
Survey USA	February 15-17, 2008	Hillary Clinton	41%	John McCain	49%
		Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	47%
Rasmussen Reports	February 13, 2008	Hillary Clinton	42%	John McCain	45%
		Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	40%
Survey USA	January 11-13, 2008	Hillary Clinton	45%	John McCain	49%
		Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	47%

Pennsylvania

21 Electoral Votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	February 26-28, 2008	Hillary Clinton	47%	John McCain	46%
		Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	47%
Quinnipiac University	February 21-25, 2008	Hillary Clinton	44%	John McCain	42%
		Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	40%
Franklin and Marshall College	February 13-18, 2008	Hillary Clinton	46%	John McCain	46%
		Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	44%
Muhlenberg College	February 9-17, 2008	Hillary Clinton	42%	John McCain	43%
		Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	42%
Rasmussen Reports	February 14, 2008	Hillary Clinton	42%	John McCain	44%
		Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	39%
Quinnipiac University	February 6-12, 2008	Hillary Clinton	46%	John McCain	40%
		Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	41%

Rhode Island

4 Electoral Votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	February 26-28, 2008	Hillary Clinton	54%	John McCain	37%
		Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	38%
Brown University	February 9-10, 2008	Hillary Clinton	43%	John McCain	32%
		Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	30%

South Carolina

8 Electoral Votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	February 26-28, 2008	Hillary Clinton	42%	John McCain	48%
		Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	48%

South Dakota

3 Electoral Votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	February 26-28, 2008	Hillary Clinton	40%	John McCain	52%
		Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	47%

Tennessee

11 Electoral Votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	February 26-28, 2008	Hillary Clinton	46%	John McCain	46%
		Barack Obama	38%	John McCain	54%
Middle Tennessee State University	February 11-23, 2008	Hillary Clinton	38%	John McCain	45%
		Barack Obama	36%	John McCain	50%

Texas

34 Electoral Votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Public Strategies/WFAA Dallas/BELO	February 28-March 1, 2008	Hillary Clinton	46%	John McCain	50%
		Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	49%
Survey USA	February 26-28, 2008	Hillary Clinton	42%	John McCain	49%
		Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	47%
Survey USA	February 23-25, 2008	Hillary Clinton	43%	John McCain	49%
		Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	49%

Utah

5 Electoral Votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	February 26-28, 2008	Hillary Clinton	27%	John McCain	65%
		Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	50%

Vermont

3 Electoral Votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	February 26-28, 2008	Hillary Clinton	49%	John McCain	39%
		Barack Obama	63%	John McCain	29%

Virginia

13 Electoral Votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	February 26-28, 2008	Hillary Clinton	40%	John McCain	50%
		Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	47%
Rasmussen Reports	February 19, 2008	Hillary Clinton	41%	John McCain	51%
		Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	49%
Survey USA	February 15-17, 2008	Hillary Clinton	45%	John McCain	48%
		Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	45%
Survey USA	January 16-17, 2008	Hillary Clinton	43%	John McCain	52%
		Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	52%

Washington

11 Electoral Votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Rasmussen Reports	February 28, 2008	Hillary Clinton	40%	John McCain	48%
		Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	45%
Survey USA	February 26-28, 2008	Hillary Clinton	44%	John McCain	46%
		Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	38%
Survey USA	February 3-4, 2008	Hillary Clinton	46%	John McCain	46%
		Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	38%

West Virginia

5 Electoral Votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	February 26-28, 2008	Hillary Clinton	47%	John McCain	42%
		Barack Obama	35%	John McCain	53%

Wisconsin

10 Electoral Votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	February 26-28, 2008	Hillary Clinton	48%	John McCain	44%
		Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	40%
Rasmussen Reports	February 21, 2008	Hillary Clinton	38%	John McCain	50%
		Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	43%
Survey USA	February 15-17, 2008	Hillary Clinton	42%	John McCain	49%
		Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	42%
Survey USA	January 20-21, 2008	Hillary Clinton	45%	John McCain	49%
		Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	46%

Wyoming

3 Electoral Votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	February 26-28, 2008	Hillary Clinton	28%	John McCain	61%
		Barack Obama	35%	John McCain	54%

Predicted results (Using Latest Polling When Available)

The numbers in parentheses indicate the number of electoral votes awarded to each state. A simple majority of electoral votes (270 out of 538) is needed to secure the presidency.

John McCain vs. Hillary Clinton

• First Place: John McCain with 29 states and 254 electoral votes
  • Alabama (9)
  • Alaska (3)
  • Arizona (10)
  • Colorado (9)
  • Georgia (15)
  • Idaho (4)
  • Indiana (11)
  • Iowa (7)
  • Kansas (6)
  • Kentucky (8)
  • Louisiana (9)
  • Mississippi (6)
  • Missouri (11)
  • Montana (3)
  • Nebraska (5)
  • Nevada (5)
  • New Hampshire (4)
  • North Carolina (15)
  • North Dakota (3)
  • Ohio (20)
  • Oklahoma (7)
  • Oregon (7)
  • South Carolina (8)
  • South Dakota (3)
  • Texas (34)
  • Utah (5)
  • Virginia (13)
  • Washington (11)
  • Wyoming (3)

• Second Place: Hillary Clinton with 19 states and 251 electoral votes
  • Arkansas (6)
  • California (55)
  • Connecticut (7)
  • Delaware (3)R
  • District of Columbia (3)R§
  • Florida (27)
  • Hawaii (4)
  • Illinois (21)
  • Maine (4)
  • Maryland (10)
  • Massachusetts (12)
  • Minnesota (10)
  • New Jersey (15)
  • New York (31)
  • Pennsylvania (21)
  • Rhode Island (4)
  • Vermont (3)
  • West Virginia (5)
  • Wisconsin (10)

• Too Close to Call 3 states with 33 electoral votes
  • Michigan (17)
  • New Mexico (5)
  • Tennessee (11)

John McCain vs. Barack Obama

• First Place: John McCain with 26 states and 256 electoral votes
  • Alabama (9)
  • Alaska (3)
  • Arizona (10)
  • Arkansas (6)
  • Florida (27)
  • Georgia (15)
  • Idaho (4)
  • Indiana (11)
  • Kansas (6)
  • Kentucky (8)
  • Louisiana (9)
  • Mississippi (6)
  • Missouri (11)
  • Montana (3)
  • Nebraska (5)
  • North Carolina (15)
  • Oklahoma (7)
  • Pennsylvania (21)
  • South Carolina (8)
  • South Dakota (3)
  • Tennessee (11)
  • Texas (34)
  • Utah (5)
  • Washington (11)
  • West Virginia (5)
  • Wyoming (3)

• Second Place: Barack Obama with 23 states and 254 electoral votes
  • California (55)
  • Colorado (9)
  • Connecticut (7)
  • Delaware (3)
  • District of Columbia (3)R§
  • Hawaii (4)
  • Illinois (21)
  • Iowa (7)
  • Maine (4)
  • Maryland (10)
  • Massachusetts (12)
  • Michigan (17)
  • Minnesota (10)
  • Nevada (5)
  • New Hampshire (4)
  • New Mexico (5)
  • New York (31)
  • North Dakota (3)
  • Ohio (20)
  • Oregon (7)
  • Rhode Island (4)
  • Vermont (3)
  • Wisconsin (10)

• Too Close to Call 2 states with 28 electoral votes
  • New Jersey (15)
  • Virginia (13)

Notes:

• "R" indicates a state where the only current (2008) data is The Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator

• "§" indicates a state that is listed as a safe Republican/Democratic state by The Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator

See also

• Nationwide opinion polling for the Democratic Party 2008 presidential candidates
• Statewide opinion polling for the Democratic Party presidential primaries, 2008
• Nationwide opinion polling for the Republican Party 2008 presidential candidates
• Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primaries, 2008
• Straw polls for the 2008 United States presidential election
• Straw polls for the Republican Party 2008 presidential nomination

External links

• Real Clear Politics
• Survey USA
• Electoral Votes