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Statewide opinion polling for the 2008 United States presidential election

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Template:Future election in the United States

This article provides a collection of scientific, state-wide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the United States of America (U.S.) presidential election, 2008.


Maps of most recent polling data

Clinton vs. McCain Obama vs. McCain
Clinton leads by over 5% (249) Obama leads by over 5% (202)
Clinton leads by 1% to 5% (25) Obama leads by 1% to 5% (36)
Within 1% (16) Within 1% (12)
McCain leads by 1% to 5% (87) McCain leads by 1% to 5% (78)
McCain leads by over 5% (178) McCain leads by over 5% (210)
Totals Totals
McCain leads: 248 electoral votes

Clinton leads: 274 electoral votes

McCain leads: 288 electoral votes

Obama leads: 238 electoral votes

The lower map in each pair has been adjusted so that state size represents electoral strength. Maps based on different algorithm than "Predicted results" section below (see here), and by nature are a bit slow to show major shifts. Map and totals updated on June 2 2008.

Opinion polling

General election

AlabamaAlabama

9 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Rasmussen Reports May 27, 2008 Hillary Clinton 34% John McCain 54%
Barack Obama 32% John McCain 60%
Capital Survey Research Center/
Alabama Education Association
April 16-April 24 2008 Hillary Clinton 36.2% John McCain 55.2%
Barack Obama 36.2% John McCain 55.3%
Survey USA April 11-April 13 2008 Hillary Clinton 34% John McCain 60%
Barack Obama 32% John McCain 64%
Rasmussen Reports April 2, 2008 Hillary Clinton 40% John McCain 51%
Barack Obama 37% John McCain 55%
University of South Alabama March 24-March 27 2008 Hillary Clinton 30% John McCain 52%
Barack Obama 33% John McCain 57%
Survey USA March 14-March 16 2008 Hillary Clinton 38% John McCain 56%
Barack Obama 35% John McCain 62%
Survey USA February 26-February 28 2008 Hillary Clinton 41% John McCain 51%
Barack Obama 40% John McCain 54%
Survey USA February 15-February 17 2008 Hillary Clinton 37% John McCain 57%
Barack Obama 34% John McCain 58%
Survey USA January 16-January 17 2008 Hillary Clinton 37% John McCain 58%
Barack Obama 29% John McCain 63%

AlaskaAlaska

3 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Rasmussen Reports May 14 2008 Hillary Clinton 36% John McCain 53%
Barack Obama 41% John McCain 50%
Rasmussen Reports April 7 2008 Hillary Clinton 32% John McCain 57%
Barack Obama 43% John McCain 48%
Survey USA February 26-February 29 2008 Hillary Clinton 34% John McCain 56%
Barack Obama 43% John McCain 48%

ArizonaArizona

10 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Behavior Research Center May 12-May 20 2008 Hillary Clinton 36% John McCain 51%
Barack Obama 39% John McCain 50%
Arizona State University/KAET April 24-April 27 2008 Hillary Clinton 37% John McCain 53%
Barack Obama 38% John McCain 47%
Rasmussen Reports April 15 2008 Hillary Clinton 32% John McCain 60%
Barack Obama 37% John McCain 57%
Northern Arizona University March 30-April 8 2008 Hillary Clinton 34% John McCain 56%
Barack Obama 33% John McCain 55%
Survey USA February 26-February 28 2008 Hillary Clinton 39% John McCain 54%
Barack Obama 39% John McCain 51%
Arizona State University February 21-February 24 2008 Hillary Clinton 33% John McCain 57%
Barack Obama 38% John McCain 49%

ArkansasArkansas

6 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Rasmussen Reports May 12 2008 Hillary Clinton 53% John McCain 39%
Barack Obama 33% John McCain 57%
Rasmussen Reports March 18 2008 Hillary Clinton 43% John McCain 50%
Barack Obama 30% John McCain 59%
Opinion Research March 6-March 11 2008 Hillary Clinton 51% John McCain 36%
Barack Obama 27% John McCain 43%
Survey USA February 26-February 28 2008 Hillary Clinton 51% John McCain 40%
Barack Obama 33% John McCain 53%

CaliforniaCalifornia

55 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Field Research Corporation May 16-May 27 2008 Hillary Clinton 53% John McCain 36%
Barack Obama 52% John McCain 35%
Los Angeles Times/KTLA May 20-May 21 2008 Hillary Clinton 43% John McCain 40%
Barack Obama 47% John McCain 40%
Rasmussen Reports May 19-May 20 2008 Hillary Clinton 54% John McCain 35%
Barack Obama 52% John McCain 38%
Survey USA May 16-May 18 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 41%
Public Policy Institute of California May 12-May 18 2008 Hillary Clinton 51% John McCain 39%
Barack Obama 54% John McCain 37%
USA Election Polls May 14 2008 Hillary Clinton 51% John McCain 37%
Barack Obama 49% John McCain 35%
Rasmussen Reports April 16 2008 Hillary Clinton 47% John McCain 42%
Barack Obama 50% John McCain 43%
Survey USA April 11-April 13 2008 Hillary Clinton 53% John McCain 40%
Barack Obama 50% John McCain 43%
Public Policy Institute of California March 11-March 18 2008 Hillary Clinton 46% John McCain 43%
Barack Obama 49% John McCain 40%
Survey USA March 14-March 16 2008 Hillary Clinton 56% John McCain 38%
Barack Obama 54% John McCain 40%
Rasmussen Reports March 12 2008 Hillary Clinton 46% John McCain 39%
Barack Obama 53% John McCain 38%
Survey USA February 26-February 28 2008 Hillary Clinton 50% John McCain 40%
Barack Obama 51% John McCain 40%
Survey USA February 15-February 17 2008 Hillary Clinton 58% John McCain 35%
Barack Obama 61% John McCain 34%
Survey USA January 20-January 21 2008 Hillary Clinton 57% John McCain 38%
Barack Obama 50% John McCain 44%

ColoradoColorado

9 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Rasmussen Reports May 19 2008 Hillary Clinton 44% John McCain 47%
Barack Obama 48% John McCain 42%
Rasmussen Reports April 16 2008 Hillary Clinton 36% John McCain 50%
Barack Obama 46% John McCain 43%
New Leadership USA/
TargetPoint
March 31-April 7 2008 Hillary Clinton 40% John McCain 52%
Barack Obama 39% John McCain 51%
Rasmussen Reports March 17 2008 Hillary Clinton 38% John McCain 52%
Barack Obama 46% John McCain 46%
Survey USA February 26-February 28 2008 Hillary Clinton 42% John McCain 48%
Barack Obama 50% John McCain 41%
Rasmussen Reports February 11 2008 Hillary Clinton 35% John McCain 49%
Barack Obama 46% John McCain 39%

ConnecticutConnecticut

7 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Rasmussen Reports May 29 2008 Hillary Clinton 48% John McCain 42%
Barack Obama 47% John McCain 44%
Quinnipiac University March 19-March 24 2008 Hillary Clinton 45% John McCain 42%
Barack Obama 52% John McCain 35%
Rasmussen Reports March 11 2008 Hillary Clinton 47% John McCain 44%
Barack Obama 50% John McCain 38%
Survey USA February 26-February 28 2008 Hillary Clinton 50% John McCain 40%
Barack Obama 55% John McCain 34%

DelawareDelaware

3 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Survey USA February 26-February 28 2008 Hillary Clinton 46% John McCain 41%
Barack Obama 50% John McCain 41%

FloridaFlorida

27 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Quinnipiac University May 13-May 20 2008 Hillary Clinton 48% John McCain 41%
Barack Obama 41% John McCain 45%
Rasmussen Reports May 19, 2008 Hillary Clinton 47% John McCain 41%
Barack Obama 40% John McCain 50%
Quinnipiac University April 23-April 29 2008 Hillary Clinton 49% John McCain 41%
Barack Obama 43% John McCain 44%
Rasmussen Reports April 10, 2008 Hillary Clinton 45% John McCain 44%
Barack Obama 38% John McCain 53%
Quinnipiac University March 24-March 31 2008 Hillary Clinton 44% John McCain 42%
Barack Obama 37% John McCain 46%
Public Policy Polling March 15-March 16 2008 Hillary Clinton 43% John McCain 47%
Barack Obama 39% John McCain 50%
Rasmussen Reports March 12 2008 Hillary Clinton 40% John McCain 47%
Barack Obama 43% John McCain 47%
Survey USA February 26-February 28 2008 Hillary Clinton 51% John McCain 42%
Barack Obama 45% John McCain 47%
Mason Dixon February 21-February 24 2008 Hillary Clinton 40% John McCain 49%
Barack Obama 37% John McCain 47%
Rasmussen Reports February 16 2008 Hillary Clinton 43% John McCain 49%
Barack Obama 37% John McCain 53%
Quinnipiac University February 6-February 12 2008 Hillary Clinton 42% John McCain 44%
Barack Obama 39% John McCain 41%

Georgia (U.S. state)Georgia

15 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
InsiderAdvantage/Majority Opinion May 19, 2008 Barack Obama 35% John McCain 45%
Strategic Vision May 9-May 11 2008 Barack Obama 40% John McCain 54%
Rasmussen Reports May 6 2008 Hillary Clinton 37% John McCain 48%
Barack Obama 39% John McCain 53%
Rasmussen Reports March 20 2008 Hillary Clinton 34% John McCain 54%
Barack Obama 40% John McCain 53%
Survey USA February 26-February 28 2008 Hillary Clinton 35% John McCain 56%
Barack Obama 41% John McCain 54%

HawaiiHawaii

4 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Survey USA February 26-February 29 2008 Hillary Clinton 43% John McCain 39%
Barack Obama 61% John McCain 31%

IdahoIdaho

4 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Survey USA February 26-February 28 2008 Hillary Clinton 27% John McCain 63%
Barack Obama 39% John McCain 52%

IllinoisIllinois

21 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Survey USA February 26-February 28 2008 Hillary Clinton 48% John McCain 37%
Barack Obama 60% John McCain 31%
Research 2000 January 21-January 24 2008 Hillary Clinton 54% John McCain 40%
Barack Obama 58% John McCain 37%

IndianaIndiana

11 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Downs Center/
Survey USA
April 28-April 30 2008 Hillary Clinton 48% John McCain 45%
Barack Obama 48% John McCain 47%
Research 2000/
South Bend Tribune
April 23-April 24 2008 Hillary Clinton 41% John McCain 52%
Barack Obama 43% John McCain 51%
Selzer & Co./WTHR/
Indianapolis Star
April 20-April 23 2008 Hillary Clinton 46% John McCain 46%
Barack Obama 49% John McCain 41%
Downs Center/
Survey USA
April 14-April 16 2008 Hillary Clinton 42% John McCain 53%
Barack Obama 44% John McCain 51%
Survey USA February 26-February 28 2008 Hillary Clinton 36% John McCain 53%
Barack Obama 41% John McCain 50%
Survey USA February 3-February 4 2008 Hillary Clinton 42% John McCain 51%
Barack Obama 40% John McCain 50%

IowaIowa

7 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Survey USA May 21-May 22 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 38%
Rasmussen Reports May 13, 2008 Hillary Clinton 42% John McCain 45%
Barack Obama 44% John McCain 42%
Research2000 April 21-April 23 2008 Hillary Clinton 43% John McCain 42%
Barack Obama 49% John McCain 41%
Survey USA April 11-April 13 2008 Hillary Clinton 42% John McCain 48%
Barack Obama 49% John McCain 42%
Rasmussen Reports March 31, 2008 Hillary Clinton 36% John McCain 51%
Barack Obama 46% John McCain 42%
Survey USA March 14-March 16 2008 Hillary Clinton 44% John McCain 48%
Barack Obama 50% John McCain 44%
Survey USA February 26-February 28 2008 Hillary Clinton 41% John McCain 46%
Barack Obama 50% John McCain 41%
Des Moines Register February 17-February 20 2008 Hillary Clinton 40% John McCain 49%
Barack Obama 53% John McCain 36%
Rasmussen Reports February 18 2008 Hillary Clinton 37% John McCain 47%
Barack Obama 44% John McCain 41%
Survey USA February 15-February 17 2008 Hillary Clinton 41% John McCain 52%
Barack Obama 51% John McCain 41%
Survey USA January 4-January 6 2008 Hillary Clinton 44% John McCain 48%
Barack Obama 55% John McCain 38%

KansasKansas

6 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Survey USA May 16-May 18 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 49%
Rasmussen Reports May 13 2008 Hillary Clinton 39% John McCain 53%
Barack Obama 34% John McCain 55%
Survey USA April 11-April 13 2008 Hillary Clinton 36% John McCain 57%
Barack Obama 37% John McCain 54%
Survey USA March 14-March 16 2008 Hillary Clinton 36% John McCain 55%
Barack Obama 39% John McCain 51%
Survey USA February 26-February 28 2008 Hillary Clinton 42% John McCain 51%
Barack Obama 41% John McCain 50%
Survey USA February 15-February 17 2008 Hillary Clinton 35% John McCain 59%
Barack Obama 44% John McCain 50%
Survey USA January 16-January 17 2008 Hillary Clinton 40% John McCain 53%
Barack Obama 39% John McCain 53%

KentuckyKentucky

8 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Rasmussen Reports May 22 2008 Hillary Clinton 51% John McCain 42%
Barack Obama 32% John McCain 57%
Mason Dixon/WKYT/
Lexington Herald-Leader
May 7-May 9 2008 Hillary Clinton 41% John McCain 53%
Barack Obama 33% John McCain 58%
Survey USA April 11-April 13 2008 Hillary Clinton 46% John McCain 48%
Barack Obama 29% John McCain 63%
Survey USA March 14-March 16 2008 Hillary Clinton 43% John McCain 53%
Barack Obama 28% John McCain 64%
Survey USA February 26-February 28 2008 Hillary Clinton 41% John McCain 50%
Barack Obama 33% John McCain 54%
Survey USA February 3-February 4 2008 Hillary Clinton 43% John McCain 53%
Barack Obama 32% John McCain 61%

LouisianaLouisiana

9 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Rasmussen Reports May 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 40% John McCain 47%
Barack Obama 41% John McCain 50%
Rasmussen Reports April 9, 2008 Hillary Clinton 36% John McCain 58%
Barack Obama 41% John McCain 52%
Survey USA February 26-February 28 2008 Hillary Clinton 41% John McCain 51%
Barack Obama 39% John McCain 54%

MaineMaine

4 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Rasmussen Reports May 14 2008 Hillary Clinton 51% John McCain 38%
Barack Obama 51% John McCain 38%
Rasmussen Reports April 1 2008 Hillary Clinton 47% John McCain 42%
Barack Obama 49% John McCain 39%
Survey USA February 26-February 28 2008 Hillary Clinton 48% John McCain 42%
Barack Obama 53% John McCain 39%

MarylandMaryland

10 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Survey USA February 26-February 28 2008 Hillary Clinton 49% John McCain 40%
Barack Obama 53% John McCain 40%

MassachusettsMassachusetts

12 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Rasmussen Reports May 28 2008 Hillary Clinton 60% John McCain 30%
Barack Obama 51% John McCain 38%
Rasmussen Reports April 23 2008 Hillary Clinton 55% John McCain 36%
Barack Obama 51% John McCain 39%
Survey USA April 11-April 13 2008 Hillary Clinton 56% John McCain 41%
Barack Obama 48% John McCain 46%
Rasmussen Reports March 18 2008 Hillary Clinton 54% John McCain 39%
Barack Obama 49% John McCain 42%
Survey USA March 14-March 16 2008 Hillary Clinton 55% John McCain 42%
Barack Obama 47% John McCain 47%
Survey USA February 26-February 28 2008 Hillary Clinton 55% John McCain 37%
Barack Obama 49% John McCain 42%
Survey USA February 15-February 17 2008 Hillary Clinton 52% John McCain 43%
Barack Obama 48% John McCain 46%
Survey USA January 20-January 21 2008 Hillary Clinton 49% John McCain 45%
Barack Obama 45% John McCain 50%

MichiganMichigan

17 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Survey USA May 27 2008 Barack Obama 37% John McCain 41%
EPIC-MRA May 19-May 22 2008 Barack Obama 40% John McCain 44%
Rasmussen Reports May 7 2008 Hillary Clinton 44% John McCain 44%
Barack Obama 44% John McCain 45%
EPIC-MRA April 4 - April 9, 2008 Hillary Clinton 37% John McCain 45%
Barack Obama 43% John McCain 41%
Rasmussen Reports March 25 2008 Hillary Clinton 42% John McCain 45%
Barack Obama 42% John McCain 43%
Rasmussen Reports March 10 2008 Hillary Clinton 43% John McCain 46%
Barack Obama 41% John McCain 44%
Survey USA February 26-February 28 2008 Hillary Clinton 44% John McCain 44%
Barack Obama 46% John McCain 45%
Rasmussen Reports February 17 2008 Hillary Clinton 44% John McCain 44%
Barack Obama 47% John McCain 39%

MinnesotaMinnesota

10 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Rasmussen Reports May 22 2008 Hillary Clinton 53% John McCain 38%
Barack Obama 53% John McCain 38%
Rasmussen Reports April 22 2008 Hillary Clinton 47% John McCain 42%
Barack Obama 52% John McCain 38%
Survey USA April 11-April 13 2008 Hillary Clinton 47% John McCain 46%
Barack Obama 49% John McCain 43%
Rasmussen Reports March 19 2008 Hillary Clinton 46% John McCain 47%
Barack Obama 47% John McCain 43%
Survey USA March 14-March 16 2008 Hillary Clinton 49% John McCain 46%
Barack Obama 46% John McCain 47%
Survey USA February 26-February 28 2008 Hillary Clinton 47% John McCain 43%
Barack Obama 49% John McCain 42%
Survey USA February 15-February 17 2008 Hillary Clinton 49% John McCain 45%
Barack Obama 55% John McCain 40%
Rasmussen Reports February 16 2008 Hillary Clinton 42% John McCain 47%
Barack Obama 53% John McCain 38%
Survey USA January 20-January 21 2008 Hillary Clinton 45% John McCain 49%
Barack Obama 42% John McCain 49%

MississippiMississippi

6 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Rasmussen Reports May 27 2008 Hillary Clinton 38% John McCain 48%
Barack Obama 44% John McCain 50%
Research 2000/Daily Kos May 19-May 21 2008 Hillary Clinton 36% John McCain 55%
Barack Obama 39% John McCain 54%
Survey USA February 26-February 28 2008 Hillary Clinton 42% John McCain 51%
Barack Obama 41% John McCain 54%

MissouriMissouri

11 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Survey USA May 16-May 18 2008 Hillary Clinton 48% John McCain 46%
Barack Obama 45% John McCain 48%
Rasmussen Reports May 6 2008 Hillary Clinton 43% John McCain 45%
Barack Obama 41% John McCain 47%
Survey USA April 11-April 13 2008 Hillary Clinton 47% John McCain 46%
Barack Obama 42% John McCain 50%
Rasmussen Reports March 24 2008 Hillary Clinton 41% John McCain 50%
Barack Obama 38% John McCain 53%
Survey USA March 14-March 16 2008 Hillary Clinton 46% John McCain 48%
Barack Obama 39% John McCain 53%
Survey USA February 26-February 28 2008 Hillary Clinton 44% John McCain 48%
Barack Obama 42% John McCain 48%
Survey USA February 15-February 17 2008 Hillary Clinton 51% John McCain 44%
Barack Obama 49% John McCain 43%
Rasmussen Reports February 12 2008 Hillary Clinton 42% John McCain 43%
Barack Obama 40% John McCain 42%

MontanaMontana

3 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Mason Dixon/
Lee Newspapers
May 19-May 21 2008 Hillary Clinton 40% John McCain 51%
Barack Obama 39% John McCain 47%
Rasmussen Reports April 6, 2008 Hillary Clinton 36% John McCain 54%
Barack Obama 43% John McCain 48%
Survey USA February 26-February 28 2008 Hillary Clinton 33% John McCain 53%
Barack Obama 39% John McCain 47%

NebraskaNebraska

5 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Survey USA May 16-May 18 2008 Barack Obama 40% John McCain 49%
Rasmussen Reports May 15 2008 Hillary Clinton 34% John McCain 57%
Barack Obama 39% John McCain 50%
Survey USA February 26-February 28 2008 Hillary Clinton 30% John McCain 57%
Barack Obama 42% John McCain 45%

NevadaNevada

5 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Rasmussen Reports May 20 2008 Hillary Clinton 46% John McCain 41%
Barack Obama 40% John McCain 46%
Rasmussen Reports April 21 2008 Hillary Clinton 38% John McCain 49%
Barack Obama 43% John McCain 48%
Rasmussen Reports March 19 2008 Hillary Clinton 44% John McCain 43%
Barack Obama 45% John McCain 41%
Survey USA February 26-February 28 2008 Hillary Clinton 41% John McCain 49%
Barack Obama 46% John McCain 41%
Rasmussen Reports February 12 2008 Hillary Clinton 40% John McCain 49%
Barack Obama 50% John McCain 38%

New HampshireNew Hampshire

4 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Rasmussen Reports May 21 2008 Hillary Clinton 51% John McCain 41%
Barack Obama 48% John McCain 43%
Dartmouth College April 28-May 2 2008 Hillary Clinton 36% John McCain 45%
Barack Obama 39% John McCain 42%
Rasmussen Reports April 30 2008 Hillary Clinton 44% John McCain 47%
Barack Obama 41% John McCain 51%
University of New Hampshire April 25-April 30 2008 Hillary Clinton 44% John McCain 47%
Barack Obama 43% John McCain 49%
Rasmussen Reports March 16 2008 Hillary Clinton 41% John McCain 47%
Barack Obama 43% John McCain 46%
Survey USA February 26-February 28 2008 Hillary Clinton 41% John McCain 49%
Barack Obama 46% John McCain 44%
Rasmussen Reports February 11 2008 Hillary Clinton 43% John McCain 41%
Barack Obama 49% John McCain 36%

New JerseyNew Jersey

15 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Monmouth University/
Gannett New Jersey
April 24-April 28 2008 Hillary Clinton 52% John McCain 38%
Barack Obama 56% John McCain 32%
Fairleigh Dickinson University March 24-March 30 2008 Hillary Clinton 48% John McCain 43%
Barack Obama 47% John McCain 42%
Rasmussen Reports March 27 2008 Hillary Clinton 42% John McCain 45%
Barack Obama 45% John McCain 46%
Survey USA February 26-February 28 2008 Hillary Clinton 47% John McCain 42%
Barack Obama 43% John McCain 43%
Rasmussen Reports February 27 2008 Hillary Clinton 50% John McCain 39%
Barack Obama 43% John McCain 45%
Fairleigh Dickinson University February 18-February 24 2008 Hillary Clinton 43% John McCain 39%
Barack Obama 42% John McCain 38%
Quinnipiac University February 13-February 18 2008 Hillary Clinton 47% John McCain 41%
Barack Obama 46% John McCain 39%

New MexicoNew Mexico

5 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Survey USA May 16-May 18 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 44%
Rasmussen Reports May 14 2008 Hillary Clinton 47% John McCain 41%
Barack Obama 50% John McCain 41%
Survey USA April 11-April 13 2008 Hillary Clinton 46% John McCain 49%
Barack Obama 44% John McCain 50%
Rasmussen Reports April 8 2008 Hillary Clinton 43% John McCain 46%
Barack Obama 45% John McCain 42%
Survey USA March 14-March 16 2008 Hillary Clinton 51% John McCain 45%
Barack Obama 51% John McCain 45%
Survey USA February 26-February 28 2008 Hillary Clinton 47% John McCain 47%
Barack Obama 50% John McCain 43%
Rasmussen Reports February 17-February 18 2008 Hillary Clinton 38% John McCain 50%
Barack Obama 44% John McCain 44%
Survey USA February 15-February 17 2008 Hillary Clinton 50% John McCain 45%
Barack Obama 55% John McCain 40%
Survey USA January 20-January 21 2008 Hillary Clinton 42% John McCain 51%
Barack Obama 41% John McCain 50%

New York (state)New York

31 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Rasmussen Reports May 28 2008 Hillary Clinton 59% John McCain 29%
Barack Obama 52% John McCain 33%
Siena College May 12-May 15 2008 Hillary Clinton 51% John McCain 39%
Barack Obama 49% John McCain 38%
Siena College April 13-April 16 2008 Hillary Clinton 46% John McCain 42%
Barack Obama 45% John McCain 40%
Quinnipiac University April 14-April 15 2008 Hillary Clinton 49% John McCain 37%
Barack Obama 47% John McCain 39%
Survey USA April 11-April 13 2008 Hillary Clinton 55% John McCain 39%
Barack Obama 52% John McCain 43%
WNBC/Marist College April 3-April 4 2008 Hillary Clinton 48% John McCain 46%
Barack Obama 46% John McCain 48%
Quinnipiac University March 16-March 18 2008 Hillary Clinton 50% John McCain 40%
Barack Obama 49% John McCain 38%
Survey USA March 14-March 16 2008 Hillary Clinton 54% John McCain 41%
Barack Obama 52% John McCain 44%
Rasmussen Reports March 11 2008 Hillary Clinton 50% John McCain 38%
Barack Obama 51% John McCain 38%
Survey USA February 26-February 28 2008 Hillary Clinton 55% John McCain 33%
Barack Obama 52% John McCain 38%
Survey USA February 15-February 17 2008 Hillary Clinton 52% John McCain 41%
Barack Obama 57% John McCain 36%
Siena College February 11-February 14 2008 Hillary Clinton 49% John McCain 42%
Barack Obama 47% John McCain 40%
Survey USA January 20-January 21 2008 Hillary Clinton 53% John McCain 40%
Barack Obama 49% John McCain 43%

North CarolinaNorth Carolina

15 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Public Policy Polling May 28-May 29 2008 Hillary Clinton 34% John McCain 39%
Barack Obama 40% John McCain 43%
Survey USA May 17-May 19 2008 Hillary Clinton 49% John McCain 43%
Barack Obama 43% John McCain 51%
Civitas Institute/
Tel Opinion Research
May 14-May 17 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 44%
Public Policy Polling May 8-May 9 2008 Hillary Clinton 38% John McCain 46%
Barack Obama 42% John McCain 49%
Rasmussen Reports May 8 2008 Hillary Clinton 40% John McCain 43%
Barack Obama 45% John McCain 48%
Rasmussen Reports April 10 2008 Hillary Clinton 40% John McCain 51%
Barack Obama 47% John McCain 47%
Citivas Institute April 9-April 10 2008 Hillary Clinton 37% John McCain 50%
Barack Obama 39% John McCain 48%
Rasmussen Reports March 20 2008 Hillary Clinton 34% John McCain 50%
Barack Obama 42% John McCain 51%
Survey USA February 26-February 28 2008 Hillary Clinton 41% John McCain 49%
Barack Obama 45% John McCain 47%
Public Policy Polling February 18 2008 Hillary Clinton 43% John McCain 48%
Barack Obama 42% John McCain 47%

North DakotaNorth Dakota

3 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Dakota Wesleyan University March 24-April 3 2008 Hillary Clinton 30% John McCain 59%
Barack Obama 38% John McCain 44%
Survey USA February 26-February 28 2008 Hillary Clinton 35% John McCain 54%
Barack Obama 46% John McCain 42%

OhioOhio

20 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Quinnipiac University May 13-May 20 2008 Hillary Clinton 48% John McCain 41%
Barack Obama 40% John McCain 44%
Survey USA May 16-May 18 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 39%
Rasmussen Reports May 15 2008 Hillary Clinton 50% John McCain 43%
Barack Obama 44% John McCain 45%
Quinnipiac University April 23-April 29 2008 Hillary Clinton 48% John McCain 38%
Barack Obama 42% John McCain 43%
Survey USA April 11-April 13 2008 Hillary Clinton 53% John McCain 42%
Barack Obama 45% John McCain 47%
Rasmussen Reports April 8 2008 Hillary Clinton 42% John McCain 47%
Barack Obama 40% John McCain 47%
Quinnipiac University March 24-March 31 2008 Hillary Clinton 48% John McCain 39%
Barack Obama 43% John McCain 42%
Public Policy Polling March 15-March 17 2008 Hillary Clinton 45% John McCain 44%
Barack Obama 41% John McCain 49%
Survey USA March 14-March 16 2008 Hillary Clinton 50% John McCain 44%
Barack Obama 43% John McCain 50%
Rasmussen Reports March 13 2008 Hillary Clinton 40% John McCain 46%
Barack Obama 40% John McCain 46%
Survey USA February 26-February 28 2008 Hillary Clinton 50% John McCain 40%
Barack Obama 50% John McCain 40%
Rasmussen Reports February 17 2008 Hillary Clinton 43% John McCain 46%
Barack Obama 41% John McCain 42%
Survey USA February 15-February 17 2008 Hillary Clinton 52% John McCain 42%
Barack Obama 47% John McCain 44%
Quinnipiac University February 6-February 12 2008 Hillary Clinton 43% John McCain 44%
Barack Obama 40% John McCain 42%

OklahomaOklahoma

7 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Survey USA February 26-February 28 2008 Hillary Clinton 42% John McCain 50%
Barack Obama 34% John McCain 57%

OregonOregon

7 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Rasmussen Reports May 7 2008 Hillary Clinton 46% John McCain 40%
Barack Obama 52% John McCain 38%
Survey USA April 11-April 13 2008 Hillary Clinton 47% John McCain 46%
Barack Obama 51% John McCain 42%
Rasmussen Reports March 26 2008 Hillary Clinton 40% John McCain 46%
Barack Obama 48% John McCain 42%
Survey USA March 14-March 16 2008 Hillary Clinton 50% John McCain 44%
Barack Obama 50% John McCain 41%
Survey USA February 26-February 28 2008 Hillary Clinton 43% John McCain 48%
Barack Obama 49% John McCain 41%
Survey USA February 15-February 17 2008 Hillary Clinton 41% John McCain 49%
Barack Obama 48% John McCain 47%
Rasmussen Reports February 13 2008 Hillary Clinton 42% John McCain 45%
Barack Obama 49% John McCain 40%
Survey USA January 11-January 13 2008 Hillary Clinton 45% John McCain 49%
Barack Obama 47% John McCain 47%

PennsylvaniaPennsylvania

21 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Rasmussen Reports May 21, 2008 Hillary Clinton 50% John McCain 39%
Barack Obama 45% John McCain 43%
Quinnipiac University May 13-May 20 2008 Hillary Clinton 50% John McCain 37%
Barack Obama 46% John McCain 40%
Survey USA May 16-May 18 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 40%
Susquehanna
Polling & Research
May 1-May 6 2008 Hillary Clinton 49% John McCain 38%
Barack Obama 46% John McCain 39%
Quinnipiac University April 23-April 29 2008 Hillary Clinton 51% John McCain 37%
Barack Obama 47% John McCain 38%
Rasmussen Reports April 24, 2008 Hillary Clinton 47% John McCain 42%
Barack Obama 43% John McCain 44%
Strategic Vision April 18-April 20, 2008 Hillary Clinton 42% John McCain 46%
Barack Obama 40% John McCain 48%
Strategic Vision April 11-April 13, 2008 Hillary Clinton 44% John McCain 47%
Barack Obama 39% John McCain 49%
Rasmussen Reports April 9, 2008 Hillary Clinton 47% John McCain 38%
Barack Obama 47% John McCain 39%
Temple University March 27-April 9, 2008 Hillary Clinton 51% John McCain 40%
Barack Obama 47% John McCain 40%
Strategic Vision April 4-April 6 2008 Hillary Clinton 45% John McCain 42%
Barack Obama 41% John McCain 48%
Quinnipiac University March 24-March 31 2008 Hillary Clinton 48% John McCain 40%
Barack Obama 43% John McCain 39%
Strategic Vision March 28-March 30 2008 Hillary Clinton 47% John McCain 41%
Barack Obama 42% John McCain 47%
Rasmussen Reports March 10 2008 Hillary Clinton 44% John McCain 46%
Barack Obama 43% John McCain 44%
Susquehanna Polling March 5-March 10 2008 Hillary Clinton 47% John McCain 44%
Barack Obama 41% John McCain 45%
Strategic Vision March 7-March 9 2008 Hillary Clinton 42% John McCain 48%
Barack Obama 44% John McCain 47%
Survey USA February 26-February 28 2008 Hillary Clinton 47% John McCain 46%
Barack Obama 42% John McCain 47%
Quinnipiac University February 21-February 25 2008 Hillary Clinton 44% John McCain 42%
Barack Obama 42% John McCain 40%
Franklin and Marshall College February 13-February 18 2008 Hillary Clinton 46% John McCain 46%
Barack Obama 43% John McCain 44%
Muhlenberg College February 9-February 17 2008 Hillary Clinton 42% John McCain 43%
Barack Obama 39% John McCain 42%
Rasmussen Reports February 14 2008 Hillary Clinton 42% John McCain 44%
Barack Obama 49% John McCain 39%
Quinnipiac University February 6-February 12 2008 Hillary Clinton 46% John McCain 40%
Barack Obama 42% John McCain 41%

Rhode IslandRhode Island

4 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Survey USA February 26-February 28 2008 Hillary Clinton 54% John McCain 37%
Barack Obama 53% John McCain 38%
Brown University February 9-February 10 2008 Hillary Clinton 43% John McCain 32%
Barack Obama 42% John McCain 30%

South CarolinaSouth Carolina

8 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Survey USA February 26-February 28 2008 Hillary Clinton 42% John McCain 48%
Barack Obama 45% John McCain 48%

South DakotaSouth Dakota

3 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Rasmussen Reports March 4 2008 Hillary Clinton 38% John McCain 50%
Barack Obama 38% John McCain 48%
Survey USA February 26-February 28 2008 Hillary Clinton 40% John McCain 52%
Barack Obama 43% John McCain 47%

TennesseeTennessee

11 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Rasmussen Reports April 3, 2008 Hillary Clinton 38% John McCain 52%
Barack Obama 31% John McCain 58%
Survey USA February 26-February 28 2008 Hillary Clinton 46% John McCain 46%
Barack Obama 38% John McCain 54%
Middle Tennessee State University February 11-February 23 2008 Hillary Clinton 38% John McCain 45%
Barack Obama 36% John McCain 50%

TexasTexas

34 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Baselice & Associates May 20-May 25 2008 Hillary Clinton 36% John McCain 51%
Barack Obama 36% John McCain 52%
Research 2000/
Daily Kos
May 5-May 7 2008 Hillary Clinton 38% John McCain 53%
Barack Obama 39% John McCain 52%
Rasmussen Reports May 1 2008 Hillary Clinton 43% John McCain 49%
Barack Obama 43% John McCain 48%
Public Strategies/
WFAA Dallas/BELO
February 28-March 1 2008 Hillary Clinton 46% John McCain 50%
Barack Obama 42% John McCain 49%
Survey USA February 26-February 28 2008 Hillary Clinton 42% John McCain 49%
Barack Obama 46% John McCain 47%
Survey USA February 23-February 25 2008 Hillary Clinton 43% John McCain 49%
Barack Obama 41% John McCain 49%

UtahUtah

5 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Deseret News/
Dan Jones & Associates
May 13-May 19 2008 Hillary Clinton 20% John McCain 65%
Barack Obama 27% John McCain 62%
Survey USA February 26-February 28 2008 Hillary Clinton 27% John McCain 65%
Barack Obama 39% John McCain 50%

VermontVermont

3 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Survey USA February 26-February 28 2008 Hillary Clinton 49% John McCain 39%
Barack Obama 63% John McCain 29%

VirginiaVirginia

13 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Survey USA May 16-May 18 2008
Barack Obama 49% John McCain 42%
Virginia Commonwealth University May 12-May 18 2008 Hillary Clinton 38% John McCain 47%
Barack Obama 36% John McCain 44%
Rasmussen Reports May 8 2008 Hillary Clinton 41% John McCain 47%
Barack Obama 44% John McCain 47%
Survey USA April 11-April 13 2008 Hillary Clinton 39% John McCain 55%
Barack Obama 44% John McCain 52%
Rasmussen Reports March 27 2008 Hillary Clinton 36% John McCain 58%
Barack Obama 41% John McCain 52%
Survey USA March 14-March 16 2008 Hillary Clinton 47% John McCain 47%
Barack Obama 48% John McCain 47%
Survey USA February 26-February 28 2008 Hillary Clinton 40% John McCain 50%
Barack Obama 47% John McCain 47%
Rasmussen Reports February 19 2008 Hillary Clinton 41% John McCain 51%
Barack Obama 44% John McCain 49%
Survey USA February 15-February 17 2008 Hillary Clinton 45% John McCain 48%
Barack Obama 51% John McCain 45%
Survey USA January 16-January 17 2008 Hillary Clinton 43% John McCain 52%
Barack Obama 40% John McCain 52%

Washington (state)Washington

11 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Elway Poll May 26-May 29 2008 Hillary Clinton 41% John McCain 36%
Barack Obama 44% John McCain 38%
Rasmussen Reports May 12 2008 Hillary Clinton 47% John McCain 42%
Barack Obama 51% John McCain 40%
Survey USA May 12 2008 Hillary Clinton 49% John McCain 45%
Barack Obama 54% John McCain 42%
Survey USA April 14-April 16 2008 Hillary Clinton 48% John McCain 45%
Barack Obama 53% John McCain 40%
Survey USA April 7 2008 Hillary Clinton 45% John McCain 46%
Barack Obama 51% John McCain 44%
Rasmussen Reports March 27 2008 Hillary Clinton 43% John McCain 46%
Barack Obama 48% John McCain 43%
Elway Poll March 18-March 20 2008 Hillary Clinton 38% John McCain 41%
Elway Poll March 18-March 20 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 39%
Survey USA March 14-March 16 2008 Hillary Clinton 50% John McCain 45%
Barack Obama 52% John McCain 41%
Rasmussen Reports February 28 2008 Hillary Clinton 40% John McCain 48%
Barack Obama 44% John McCain 45%
Survey USA February 26-February 28 2008 Hillary Clinton 44% John McCain 46%
Barack Obama 52% John McCain 38%
Survey USA February 3-February 4 2008 Hillary Clinton 46% John McCain 46%
Barack Obama 55% John McCain 38%

West VirginiaWest Virginia

5 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Survey USA February 26-February 28 2008 Hillary Clinton 47% John McCain 42%
Barack Obama 35% John McCain 53%

WisconsinWisconsin

10 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Survey USA May 16-May 18 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 42%
Rasmussen Reports May 5 2008 Hillary Clinton 43% John McCain 47%
Barack Obama 43% John McCain 47%
University of Wisconsin April 15-April 24 2008 Hillary Clinton 44% John McCain 47%
Barack Obama 48% John McCain 41%
Survey USA April 11-April 13 2008 Hillary Clinton 46% John McCain 46%
Barack Obama 49% John McCain 44%
Wisconsin Public Radio/
St. Norbert College
March 25-April 5 2008 Hillary Clinton 42% John McCain 46%
Barack Obama 46% John McCain 42%
Rasmussen Reports March 26 2008 Hillary Clinton 39% John McCain 50%
Barack Obama 46% John McCain 48%
Survey USA February 14-February 16 2008 Hillary Clinton 46% John McCain 45%
Barack Obama 48% John McCain 44%
Survey USA February 26-February 28 2008 Hillary Clinton 48% John McCain 44%
Barack Obama 51% John McCain 40%
Rasmussen Reports February 21 2008 Hillary Clinton 38% John McCain 50%
Barack Obama 44% John McCain 43%
Survey USA February 15-February 17 2008 Hillary Clinton 42% John McCain 49%
Barack Obama 52% John McCain 42%
Survey USA January 20-January 21 2008 Hillary Clinton 45% John McCain 49%
Barack Obama 44% John McCain 46%

WyomingWyoming

3 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Survey USA February 26-February 28 2008 Hillary Clinton 28% John McCain 61%
Barack Obama 35% John McCain 54%

Latest results (using latest polling when available)

The numbers in parentheses indicate the number of electoral votes awarded to each state. A simple majority of electoral votes (270 out of 538) is needed to secure the presidency.

John McCain vs. Hillary Clinton


John McCain vs. Barack Obama

Notes:

  • "§" indicates a state that is listed as a safe Republican/Democratic state by The Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator. Red color (§) indicates a state that listed safe but is in the opposite column.

See also

External links