Statewide opinion polling for the 2008 United States presidential election

This article provides a collection of scientific, state-wide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the United States of America (U.S.) presidential election, 2008.

• 
  Democratic nominee
  Barack Obama
• 
  Republican nominee
  John McCain
• 
  Democratic Vice Presidential nominee
  Joe Biden
• 
  Republican Vice Presidential nominee
  Sarah Palin

Opinion polling

For an archive of older polls, please see Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008/Archive.

Alabama

9 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Rasmussen Reports	September 22,2008	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	60%
Survey USA	September 16-17 2008	Barack Obama	34%	John McCain	64%
American Research Group	September 13-16 2008	Barack Obama	36%	John McCain	58%
University of South Alabama/ Press-Register	September 8-15 2008	Barack Obama	25%	John McCain	52%
Capital Survey Research Center/ Alabama Education Association	September 3-9 2008	Barack Obama	35%	John McCain	55%
Capital Survey Research Center/ Alabama Education Association	July 29-August 4 2008	Barack Obama	34%	John McCain	47%
Rasmussen Reports	July 31,2008	Barack Obama	38%	John McCain	58%

Alaska

3 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Others	%
Rasmussen Reports	October 6, 2008	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	55%
Fairleigh Dickinson University	September 17-21 2008	Barack Obama	37%	John McCain	55%
Research 2000/ Daily Kos	September 15-17 2008	Barack Obama	38%	John McCain	55%
American Research Group	September 9-11 2008	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	55%
Rasmussen Reports	September 9 2008	Barack Obama	33%	John McCain	64%
American Viewpoint **	September 2 2008	Barack Obama	33%	John McCain	57%
Ivan Moore Research	August 30 - September 2 2008	Barack Obama	34.9%	John McCain	53.5%
Hays Research Group **	August 6-7 2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	40%	Ralph Nader	2%
Rasmussen Reports	July 30 2008	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	48%
Ivan Moore Research	July 18-22 2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	47%
Rasmussen Reports	July 17 2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	49%
Research 2000/ Daily Kos	July 14-16 2008	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	51%

Arizona

10 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Rasmussen Reports	September 29,2008	Barack Obama	38%	John McCain	59%
Arizona State University/Cronkite/Eight	September 25-28 2008	Barack Obama	38%	John McCain	45%
American Research Group	September 11-14 2008	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	56%
Walter Cronkite School of Journalism and Mass Communication	August 20,2008	Barack Obama	30%	John McCain	40%
Mason Dixon	August 13 -15 2008	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	47%
Public Policy Polling(PPP)	July 30-31,2008	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	52%
Rasmussen Reports	July 30,2008	Barack Obama	38%	John McCain	57%

Arkansas

6 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Rasmussen Reports	September 22,2008	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	51%
American Research Group	September 20-22 2008	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	53%
Rasmussen Reports	July 17 2008	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	52%

California

55 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	October 4-5,2008	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	39%
Survey USA	September 23-24,2008	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	43%
Rasmussen Reports	September 22,2008	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	39%
American Research Group	September 18-20 2008	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	39%
Public Policy Institute of California	September 9-16 2008	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	40%
Field Research Corporation	September 5-14 2008	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	36%
Rasmussen Reports	August 21 2008	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	41%
Public Policy Institute of California	August 12-19 2008	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	39%
Rasmussen Reports	July 24 2008	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	42%
Public Policy Institute of California	July 8-22 2008	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	35%
Field Research Corporation	July 8-14 2008	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	30%
Zogby International *	June 11-30 2008	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	32%
Rasmussen Reports	June 23 2008	Barack Obama	58%	John McCain	30%

Colorado

9 electoral votes chart

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Others	%
InsiderAdvantage/Poll Position	October 6, 2008	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	45%
Fox News/Rasmussen Reports	October 5 2008	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	45%
Mason Dixon/Denver Post	September 29-October 1 2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	44%
Fox News/Rasmussen Reports	September 28 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	48%
American Research Group	September 23-25 2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	48%
Insider Advantage/Poll Position	September 23 2008	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	41%
Rasmussen Reports	September 23 2008	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	47%
CNN/Time Magazine	September 21-23 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	45%
Ciruli Associates/ Economic Development Council of Colorado	September 19-23 2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	43%
Public Policy Polling	September 20-21 2008	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	44%
Quinnipiac University/ Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post	September 14-21 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	45%
Insider Advantage/Poll Position	September 17 2008	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	41%
Allstate/National Journal/FD	September 11-15 2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	44%
Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports	September 14,2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	48%
American Research Group	September 10-13 2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	46%
Zogby Interactive *	September 9-12 2008	Barack Obama	45.5%	John McCain	47.5%
InsiderAdvantage/Poll Position	September 10,2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	46%
Public Policy Polling	September 9,2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	46%
Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports	September 7,2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	46%
Tarrance Group **	September 2-3 2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	47%
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	August 24-26 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	47%
Hill Research Consultants **	August 23-24 2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	40%
Suffolk University	August 21-24 2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	39%
Quinnipiac University	August 15-21 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	47%
Zogby Interactive *	August 15-19 2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	38%	Bob Barr	8%
						Ralph Nader	2%
						Other	8%
Mason Dixon	August 13 -15 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	43%
Rasmussen Reports	August 13 2008	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	49%
Rocky Mtn News/CBS4	August 11-13 2008	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	44%	Bob Barr	3%
						Ralph Nader	2%
						Other	2%
Public Policy Polling	August 5-7 2008	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	44%
FrederickPolls	July 16-22 2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	41%
Quinnipiac University/ Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post	July 14-22 2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	46%	Other	3%
Rasmussen Reports	July 21 2008	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	47%
Public Policy Polling	July 9-10 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	43%
Zogby International *	June 11-30 2008	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	38%	Bob Barr	8%
						Ralph Nader	2%
						Other	4%

Connecticut

7 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	September 24-25 2008	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	38%
American Research Group	September 17-19 2008	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	39%
Rasmussen Reports	September 16,2008	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	41%
Rasmussen Reports	July 31,2008	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	36%
Research 2000/ Daily Kos	June 30-July 2 2008	Barack Obama	57%	John McCain	35%
Rasmussen Reports	July 1,2008	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	35%

Delaware

3 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	September 22-23 2008	Barack Obama	57%	John McCain	37%
Fairleigh Dickinson University	September 17-21 2008	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	36%
American Research Group	September 13-15 2008	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	40%
Rasmussen Reports	September 13 2008	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	43%

District of Columbia

3 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
American Research Group	September 11-13 2008	Barack Obama	82%	John McCain	13%

Florida

27 electoral votes chart

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Others	%
NBC/Mason-Dixon	October 4-October 6 2008	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	46%
Fox News/Rasmussen Reports	October 5,2008	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	45%
InsiderAdvantage/Poll Position	September 30, 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	46%
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	September 28-30 2008	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	47%	Ralph Nader	3%
Suffolk University/WSVN	September 27-30 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	42%
Quinnipiac University	September 27-29 2008	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	43%
Fox News/Rasmussen Reports	September 28, 2008	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	48%
Public Policy Polling	September 27-28 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	46%
SurveyUSA	September 27-28 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	48%
American Research Group	September 23-25 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	46%
Rasmussen Reports	September 24, 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	48%
Strategic Vision	September 20-22, 2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	48%
Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports	September 21,2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	51%
NBC/Mason Dixon	September 16-18, 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%
Florida Times-Union/ South Florida Sun-Sentinel/ Research 2000	September 15-18 2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	46%
SurveyUSA	September 16-17 2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	51%	Others	1%
American Research Group	September 14-17 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	46%	Others	3%
Miami Herald/ St. Petersberg Times/ Schroth, Eldon & Associates/ The Polling Company	September 14-17 2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	47%
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	September 14-16, 2008	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	48%
Allstate/National Journal/FD	September 11-15, 2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	44%
Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports	September 14,2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	49%
Zogby Interactive *	September 9-12 2008	Barack Obama	41.8%	John McCain	52.1%
Insider Advantage/Poll Position	September 10 2008	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	50%	Others	4%
Quinnipiac University	September 5-9 2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	50%	Others	1%
Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports	September 7,2008	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	48%
Public Policy Polling	September 6-7,2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	50%
Mason Dixon	August 25-26 2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	44%
Strategic Vision	August 22-24 2008	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	49%	Bob Barr	1%
Quinnipiac University	August 17-24 2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	47%	Others	2%
Kitchens Group **	August 18-21 2008	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	42%	Others	6%
American Research Group	August 18-20 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	47%
Zogby Interactive *	August 15-19 2008	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	43%	Bob Barr	5%
						Ralph Nader	1%
						Other	12%
Rasmussen Reports	August 18,2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	48%
InsiderAdvantage/ Majority Opinion Research	August 11 2008	Barack Obama	44.2%	John McCain	47.8%
Survey USA	August 1-3 2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	50%
Public Policy Polling	July 30-August 2 2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	47%
Quinnipiac University	July 23-29 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	44%
Fabrizio,McLaughlin & Associates/ Florida Chamber of Commerce **	July 20-28 2008	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	45%
Rasmussen Reports	July 22,2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	47%
American Research Group	July 19-21 2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	47%
War Room Logistics	July 7-8 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	44%

Georgia

15 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Rasmussen Reports	October 7 2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	54%
Strategic Vision	October 5-October 7 2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	50%
Research 2000/Daily Kos	September 29-October 1 2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	50%
InsiderAdvantage/Poll Position	September 30, 2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	50%
Survey USA	September 28-29 2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	52%
American Research Group	September 18-21 2008	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	57%
Rasmussen Reports	September 18 2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	54%
InsiderAdvantage/Poll Position	September 17 2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	51%
Survey USA	September 14-16 2008	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	57%
Public Opinion Strategies	September 9-11 2008	Barack Obama	35%	John McCain	56%
InsiderAdvantage/Poll Position	September 10 2008	Barack Obama	38%	John McCain	56%
Strategic Vision	September 7-9 2008	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	52%
Rasmussen Reports	August 14 2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	53%
Rasmussen Reports	July 17 2008	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	53%
InsiderAdvantage/Poll Position/ Majority Opinion Research	July 2 2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	46%

Hawaii

4 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Rasmussen Reports	September 23 2008	Barack Obama	68%	John McCain	27%
American Research Group	September 7-12 2008	Barack Obama	63%	John McCain	32%
Survey USA	February 26-29 2008	Barack Obama	61%	John McCain	31%

Idaho

4 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Research 2000/Daily Kos	September 16-17 2008	Barack Obama	33%	John McCain	62%
American Research Group	September 8-10 2008	Barack Obama	25%	John McCain	68%
Rasmussen Reports	September 9,2008	Barack Obama	29%	John McCain	68%
Greg Smith & Associates	August 18-22 2008	Barack Obama	29%	John McCain	52%
Research 2000/Daily Kos	July 28-30 2008	Barack Obama	37%	John McCain	53%

Illinois

21 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
St Louis Post-Dispatch/Research 2000	September 15-18 2008	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	36%
Rasmussen Reports	September 17,2008	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	40%
Big Ten Poll	September 14-17 2008	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	37%
American Research Group	September 13-16 2008	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	45%
Rasmussen Reports	August 12,2008	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	40%
Rasmussen Reports	July 8,2008	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	41%

Indiana

11 electoral votes chart

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
CNN/Time/Opinion Research	October 3-6 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	51%
Research 2000/WISH-TV	September 29-October 3 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	46%
Research 2000	September 28-29,2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	46%
Survey USA	September 28-29,2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	48%
Rasmussen Reports	September 17-18,2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	49%
American Research Group	September 14-18,2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	47%
Big Ten Poll	September 14-17, 2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	47%
Indianapolis Star/WTHR/ Selzer & Co.	September 14-16, 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	44%
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	September 14-16, 2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	51%
Howey-Gauge	August 29-30 2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	45%
Rasmussen Reports	August 19-21 2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	49%
Survey USA	August 16-18 2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	50%

Iowa

7 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Research 2000/KCCI	September 29-30 2008	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	39%
Rasmussen Reports	September 25,2008	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	43%
Marist College	September 18-21 2008	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	41%
American Research Group	September 17-20 2008	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	44%
Survey USA	September 17-18, 2008	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	43%
Quad-City Times/ Lee Enterprises	September 15-17, 2008	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	39%
Big Ten Poll	September 14-17, 2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	45%
Des Moines Register/ Selzer & Co.	September 8-10, 2008	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	40%
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	August 31-September 2, 2008	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	40%
Hawkeye Poll	August 13, 2008	Barack Obama	49.5%	John McCain	43.1%
Rasmussen Reports	August 7, 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	44%
Rasmussen Reports	July 10, 2008	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	41%

Kansas

6 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	September 21-22 2008	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	53%
Rasmussen Reports	September 18,2008	Barack Obama	38%	John McCain	58%
American Research Group	September 7-10 2008	Barack Obama	31%	John McCain	63%
Survey USA	August 18-20 2008	Barack Obama	35%	John McCain	58%
Rasmussen Reports	August 11 2008	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	55%
Rasmussen Reports	July 14 2008	Barack Obama	35%	John McCain	58%

Kentucky

8 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Rasmussen Reports	September 30,2008	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	52%
Louisville Courier-Journal/Mason-Dixon	September 22-25 2008	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	53%
Survey USA	September 21-22 2008	Barack Obama	38%	John McCain	57%
Research 2000/Daily Kos	September 15-17 2008	Barack Obama	37%	John McCain	55%
American Research Group	September 8-12 2008	Barack Obama	37%	John McCain	57%
Survey USA	August 9-11 2008	Barack Obama	37%	John McCain	55%
Research 2000/Daily Kos	July 28-30 2008	Barack Obama	35%	John McCain	56%
Rasmussen Reports	July 29,2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	52%

Louisiana

9 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Rasmussen Reports	September 25, 2008	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	55%
American Research Group	September 9-12 2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	50%
Rasmussen Reports	August 17, 2008	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	57%
Rasmussen Reports	July 9, 2008	Barack Obama	37%	John McCain	56%

Maine

4 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Rasmussen Reports	October 2 2008	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	46%
Survey USA	September 22-23 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	44%
Rasmussen Reports	September 17 2008	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	46%
American Research Group	September 8-10 2008	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	41%
Research 2000/ Daily Kos	September 8-10 2008	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	38%
Rasmussen Reports	August 12 2008	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	39%
Rasmussen Reports	July 17 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	41%

Maryland

10 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Rasmussen Reports	September 20 2008	Barack Obama	60%	John McCain	37%
American Research Group	September 17-19 2008	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	39%
Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies	August 29-September 5,2008	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	38%
Rasmussen Reports	August 18,2008	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	43%

Massachusetts

12 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Rasmussen Reports	September 23,2008	Barack Obama	58%	John McCain	38%
Survey USA	September 22-23 2008	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	39%
American Research Group	September 20-22 2008	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	39%
Rasmussen Reports	August 5 2008	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	38%
Suffolk University	July 31-August 3 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	38%

Michigan

17 electoral votes chart

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Others	%
Public Policy Polling	September 29-October 1 2008	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	41%
Selzer/Detroit Free Press/WDIV	September 22-24 2008	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	38%
Strategic Vision	September 22-24 2008	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	45%
CNN/Time Magazine	September 21-23 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	43%
NBC/Mason-Dixon	September 18-23,2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	46%
EPIC-MRA/Detroit News	September 20-22,2008	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	38%
Allstate/National Journal/FD	September 18-22,2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	39%
Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports	September 21,2008	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	44%
Quinnipiac University/ Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post	September 14-21,2008	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	44%
American Research Group	September 16-19 2008	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	46%
Marketing Resource Group of Lansing	September 15-19 2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	46%
Marist College	September 16-17, 2008	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	43%
EPIC-MRA/Detroit News	September 14-17 2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	42%
Big Ten Poll	September 14-17, 2008	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	44%
Zogby Interactive *	September 9-12 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	43.3%
Rasmussen Reports	September 10 2008	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	46%
InAdv/PollPosition	September 10 2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	45%
Time/CNN	September 7-9 2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	42%
Public Policy Polling	September 6-7 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	46%
Strategic Vision	September 5-7,2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	44%
EPIC-MRA/Detroit News	August 18-21 2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	41%
Selzer/Detroit Free Press/WDIV	August 17-20 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	39%
Zogby Interactive *	August 15-19 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	37%	Bob Barr	5%
						Ralph Nader	1%
						Other	12%
Rasmussen Reports	August 7 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	45%
Public Policy Polling	July 23-27 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	43%
Quinnipiac University/ Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post	July 14-22 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	42%
EPIC-MRA/ Detroit News	July 13-16 2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	41%
Rasmussen Reports	July 10 2008	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	42%

Minnesota

10 electoral votes chart

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Rasmussen Reports	October 7 2008	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	45%
Minnesota Public Radio News/Humphrey Institute	October 3-5 2008	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	40%
Star Tribune/ Princeton Survey Research Associates International	September 30-October 2,2008	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	37%
SurveyUSA	September 30-October 1, 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	47%
Minnesota Public Radio News/Humphrey Institute	September 29-October 1 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	43%
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	September 28-30, 2008	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	43%
Quinnipiac University/ Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post	September 14-21 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%
American Research Group	September 18-20 2008	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	47%
Rasmussen Reports	September 18 2008	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	44%
Big Ten Poll	September 14-17, 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%
Star Tribune Minnesota/ Princeton Survey Research Associates International	September 10-12 2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	45%
Survey USA	September 10-11 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	47%
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	August 31-September 2, 2008	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	41%
Minnesota Public Radio/ University of Minnesota	August 7-17 2008	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	38%
Survey USA	August 13-14 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%
Rasmussen Reports	August 13 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	45%
Rasmussen Reports	July 22 2008	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	39%
Quinnipiac University/ Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post	July 14-22 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	44%
Rasmussen Reports	July 10 2008	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	37%

Mississippi

6 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Rasmussen Reports	September 30 2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	52%
American Research Group	September 13-16 2008	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	55%
Research 2000/ Daily Kos	September 8-10 2008	Barack Obama	37%	John McCain	55%
Rasmussen Reports	August 21 2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	56%
Rasmussen Reports	July 28 2008	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	54%
Research 2000/ Daily Kos	July 21-23 2008	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	51%

Missouri

11 electoral votes chart

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Fox News/Rasmussen Reports	October 5 2008	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	47%
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	September 28-30 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	48%
Survey USA	September 23-24 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	48%
St Louis Post-Dispatch/Research 2000	September 22-24 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	48%
St Louis Post-Dispatch/Research 2000	September 15-18 2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	49%
American Research Group	September 11-15 2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	50%
Zogby Interactive *	September 9-12 2008	Barack Obama	42.4%	John McCain	48.5%
Rasmussen Reports	September 11,2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	51%
Time/CNN/Opinion Research	September 7-9 2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	48%
Public Policy Polling	August 13-17 2008	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	50%
Rasmussen Reports	August 7 2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	50%
Survey USA	July 29-31 2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	49%
Research 2000/ St. Louis Post Dispatch	July 7-10 2008	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	43%
Rasmussen Reports	July 7 2008	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	47%
Public Policy Polling	July 2-5 2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	47%

Montana

3 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Other	%
Rasmussen Reports	October 1 2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	52%
Research 2000/Daily Kos	September 22-24 2008	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	52%
CNN/Time Magazine	September 21-23 2008	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	49%	Bob Barr	1%
						Ralph Nader	1%
American Research Group	September 7-9 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	49%
Rasmussen Reports	September 8 2008	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	53%
Rasmussen Reports	July 31 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	47%

Nebraska

5 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Rasmussen Reports	September 30 2008	Barack Obama	37%	John McCain	56%
American Research Group	September 12-17 2008	Barack Obama	34%	John McCain	60%
Rasmussen Reports	July 28 2008	Barack Obama	36%	John McCain	55%
Rasmussen Reports	June 23 2008	Barack Obama	36%	John McCain	52%

Nevada

5 electoral votes chart

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Others	%
InsiderAdvantage/Poll Position	October 6, 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	47%
Reno Gazette-Journal/ Channel 2 News/ Research 2000	October 3-6 2008	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	43%
Rasmussen Reports	October 2, 2008	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	47%
InsiderAdvantage/Poll Position	September 30, 2008	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	47%
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	September 28-30 2008	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	47%
American Research Group	September 27-29 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	49%
Suffolk University	September 17-21 2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	46%
Project New West/ Myers Research/ Grove Insight	September 14-19 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%
American Research Group	September 12-14 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	49%
Zogby Interactive *	September 9-12 2008	Barack Obama	42.5%	John McCain	50.1%
Rasmussen Reports	September 11,2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	49%
Insider Advantage/Poll Position	September 10 2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	46%
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	August 24-26 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	44%
Research 2000/ Reno Gazette-Journal/KTVN	August 18-20,2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	43%
Mason-Dixon/ Las Vegas Review Journal	August 13-15,2008	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	46%
Zogby Interactive *	August 15-19 2008	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	38%	Bob Barr	10%
						Ralph Nader	3%
						Other	10%
Rasmussen Reports	August 11,2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	48%
Rasmussen Reports	July 16,2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%

New Hampshire

4 electoral votes chart

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Others	%
CNN/Time/Opinion Research	October 3-6 2008	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	45%
Survey USA	October 4-5, 2008	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	40%
Rasmussen Reports	October 1, 2008	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	43%
St. Anselm/SRBI	September 25-30 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	37%
Concord Monitor/Research 2000	September 22-24 2008	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	44%
Strategic Vision	September 22-24 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	45%
Suffolk University	September 20-24 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	45%
Rasmussen Reports	September 23 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	49%
Allstate/National Journal/FD	September 18-22 2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	43%
Marist College	September 17-21 2008	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	45%
University of New Hampshire	September 14-21 2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	47%
American Research Group	September 13-15 2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	48%	Others	1%
Zogby Interactive *	September 9-12 2008	Barack Obama	42.8%	John McCain	49.1%
CNN/Time/Opinion Research	September 9,2008	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	43%
Rasmussen Reports	August 20,2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	46%
Zogby Interactive *	August 15-19 2008	Barack Obama	38%	John McCain	42%	Bob Barr	11%
						Ralph Nader	1%
						Other	9%
American Research Group	August 18-20 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	45%
Rasmussen Reports	July 23,2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	45%
American Research Group	July 19-21 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%
University of New Hampshire	July 11-20 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	43%

New Jersey

15 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Other	%
Rasmussen Reports	October 7, 2008	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	42%
Farleigh Dickinson University	September 29-October 5 2008	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	37%
Survey USA	September 27-28 2008	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	42%
Strategic Vision	September 26-28 2008	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	39%
American Research Group	September 19-21 2008	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	42%	Other	1%
Rasmussen Reports	September 16 2008	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	42%
Strategic Vision	September 14-16 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	43%
Monmouth University/ Gannett New Jersey	September 11-14 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	41%
Quinnipiac University	September 10-14 2008	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	45%
The Bergen Record/ Research 2000	September 9-11 2008	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	41%
Marist College	September 5-8 2008	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	45%
Farleigh Dickinson University	September 4-7 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	41%
Quinnipiac University	August 4-10 2008	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	41%
Rasmussen Reports	August 4 2008	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	42%
Monmouth University/ Gannett New Jersey	July 17-21 2008	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	36%
Strategic Vision	July 11-13 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	38%
Rasmussen Reports	July 7 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	44%

New Mexico

5 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Others	%
Albuquerque Journal/ Research & Polling	September 29-October 2 2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	40%	Ralph Nader	1%
Rasmussen Reports	October 1,2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	44%
SurveyUSA	September 29-30 2008	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	44%
Public Policy Polling	September 17-19 2008	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	42%
SurveyUSA	September 14-16 2008	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	44%
American Research Group	September 14-16 2008	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	44%
Allstate/National Journal/FD	September 11-15 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	42%
Zogby Interactive *	September 9-12 2008	Barack Obama	45.6%	John McCain	44.1%
Rasmussen Reports	September 8 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	49%
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	August 24-26 2008	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	40%
Rasmussen Reports	August 20 2008	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	44%
Zogby Interactive *	August 15-19 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	37%	Bob Barr	5%
						Ralph Nader	1%
						Other	11%
Mason Dixon	August 13 -15 2008	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	45%
Rasmussen Reports	July 24 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	43%

New York

31 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Survey USA	September 23-24 2008	Barack Obama	57%	John McCain	38%
American Research Group	September 14-16 2008	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	38%
Rasmussen Reports	September 15 2008	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	42%
Siena College	September 8-10 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	41%
Siena College	August 11-14 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	39%
Rasmussen Reports	August 4 2008	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	36%
Quinnipiac University	July 31-August 4 2008	Barack Obama	57%	John McCain	36%
Siena College	July 17-29 2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	26%
Siena College	July 7-10 2008	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	37%

North Carolina

15 electoral votes chart

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
SurveyUSA	October 5-6 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	49%
CNN/Time/Opinion Research	October 3-6 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	49%
Public Policy Polling	October 4-5, 2008	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	44%
Rasmussen Reports	September 30, 2008	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	47%
American Research Group	September 27-29 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	49%
Public Policy Polling	September 27-28, 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%
Rasmussen Reports	September 23, 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	47%
Civitas Institute/ Tel Opinion Research	September 17-20 2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	45%
Public Policy Polling	September 17-19, 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	46%
Rasmussen Reports	September 18, 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	50%
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	September 14-16, 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	48%
American Research Group	September 13-16 2008	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	52%
Zogby Interactive *	September 9-12 2008	Barack Obama	48.1%	John McCain	46.6%
Research 2000/ Daily Kos	September 8-10 2008	Barack Obama	38%	John McCain	55%
Civitas Institute/ Tel Opinion Research	September 6-10 2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	47%
Public Policy Polling	September 9,2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	48%
SurveyUSA	September 6-8 2008	Barack Obama	38%	John McCain	58%
Garin Hart Yang	September 5-7 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	49%
Democracy Corps/ Greenberg Quinlan Rosner	August 20-26 2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	47%
Public Policy Polling	August 23 2008	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	45%
InsiderAdvantage	August 19 2008	Barack Obama	42.8%	John McCain	44.5%
Zogby International *	August 15-August 19 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	39%
Civitas Institute/ Tel Opinion Research	August 14-17 2008	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	46%
Rasmussen Reports	August 13 2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	50%
Survey USA	August 9-11 2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	49%
Research 2000/Daily Kos	July 28-30 2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	47%
Public Policy Polling	July 23-27 2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	47%
Civitas Institute/ Tel Opinion Research	July 14-16 2008	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	43%
Rasmussen Reports	July 15 2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	48%
Survey USA	July 12-14 2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	50%

North Dakota

3 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Research 2000/Daily Kos	September 16-17,2008	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	53%
American Research Group	September 15-17,2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	52%
Rasmussen Reports	September 8,2008	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	55%
North Dakota United Transportation Union/ DFM Research **	August 23-27 2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	40%
Research 2000/ Daily Kos	July 21-July 23 2008	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	45%
Rasmussen Reports	July 8,2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	47%

Ohio

20 electoral votes chart

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Others	%
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	October 3-6,2008	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	47%
Fox News/Rasmussen Reports	October 5,2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	48%
Public Policy Polling	October 4-5,2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	43%
ABC News/Washington Post	October 3-5 2008	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	45%
Columbus Dispatch	September 24-October 4 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	42%
Democracy Corps/ Greenberg Quinlan Rosner **	September 29-October 1 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	43%
Insider Advantage/PollPosition	September 29,2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%
Survey USA	September 28-29, 2008	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	49%
Quinnipiac University	September 27-29 2008	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	42%
Fox News/Rasmussen Reports	September 28,2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	48%
Rasmussen Reports	September 23,2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	47%
Insider Advantage/PollPosition	September 22,2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	46%
Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports	September 21,2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	50%
Big Ten Poll	September 14-17, 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	45%
University of Cincinnati/ The Ohio News Organization	September 12-16, 2008	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	48%
Marist College	September 11-15, 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%
Allstate/National Journal/FD	September 11-15, 2008	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	42%
Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports	September 14,2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	48%
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	September 13-14, 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	47%
Public Policy Polling	September 13-14 2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	48%
Survey USA	September 12-14 2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	49%
American Research Group	September 10-13 2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	50%
Suffolk University	September 10-13 2008	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	46%
Zogby Interactive *	September 9-12 2008	Barack Obama	43.9%	John McCain	49.8%
InAdv/PollPosition	September 10,2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	48%
University of Cincinnati	September 5-10 2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	48%	Other	5%
Strategic Version	September 7-9,2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	48%
Quinnipiac University	September 5-9,2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	44%
Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports	September 7,2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	51%
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	August 31-September 2, 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%
Quinnipiac University	August 17-24,2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	43%
The Columbus Dispatch	August 12-21,2008	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	42%
Rasmussen Reports	August 20,2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	48%
Zogby Interactive *	August 15-19 2008	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	36%	Bob Barr	8%
						Ralph Nader	1%
						Other	13%
Public Policy Polling	August 12-14 2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	45%
Quinnipiac University	July 23-29 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	44%
Rasmussen Reports	July 21,2008	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	52%
Public Policy Polling	July 17-20 2008	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	40%

Oklahoma

7 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
TVPoll.com	October 4-5 2008	Barack Obama	29.1%	John McCain	65.5%
Survey USA	September 28-29 2008	Barack Obama	34%	John McCain	64%
TVPoll.com	September 26-28 2008	Barack Obama	26.5%	John McCain	67.6%
TVPoll.com	September 20-22 2008	Barack Obama	26.2%	John McCain	65.8%
Research 2000/Daily Kos	September 16-18,2008	Barack Obama	36%	John McCain	59%
American Research Group	September 15-18,2008	Barack Obama	34%	John McCain	61%
TVPoll.com	September 14 2008	Barack Obama	26.9%	John McCain	69.1%
Rasmussen Reports	September 11,2008	Barack Obama	32%	John McCain	63%
TVPoll.com	September 7 2008	Barack Obama	27.9%	John McCain	65.9%
Survey USA	September 5-7 2008	Barack Obama	32%	John McCain	65%
Sooner Poll/ Tulsa World	July 19-23 2008	Barack Obama	24%	John McCain	56%

Oregon

7 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Other	%
Research 2000/Daily Kos	September 22-24 2008	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	39%
Survey USA	September 22-23 2008	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	41%
American Research Group	September 19-22 2008	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	41%
Rasmussen Reports	September 15,2008	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	47%
Portland Tribune/ Davis, Hibbitts & Midghall	September 11-14 2008	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	40%
Hoffman Research Group **	September 8-9 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	39%	Bob Barr	1%
						Ralph Nader	1%
Rasmussen Reports	August 7 2008	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	42%
Survey USA	August 2-4 2008	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	45%
Rasmussen Reports	July 15 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	40%

Pennsylvania

21 electoral votes chart

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Others	%
Strategic Vision	October 5-7 2008	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	40%
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call	October 3-7 2008	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	38%
Rasmussen Reports	October 6 2008	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	41%
SurveyUSA	October 5-6 2008	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	40%
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call	October 1-5 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	38%
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call	September 30-October 3 2008	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	39%
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call	September 27-October 1 2008	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	41%
Quinnipiac University	September 27-29 2008	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	39%
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call	September 25-29 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	41%
Fox News/Rasmussen Reports	September 28,2008	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	42%
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call	September 24-28 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	42%
Franklin & Marshall	September 23-28 2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	38%
Rasmussen Reports	September 24,2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	45%
Survey USA	September 23-24 2008	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	44%
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call	September 21-24 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	43%
CNN/Time Magazine	September 21-23 2008	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	43%	Bob Barr	1%
						Ralph Nader	3%
American Research Group	September 20-22 2008	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	46%
Strategic Vision	September 20-22, 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	46%
Allstate/National Journal/FD	September 18-22, 2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	41%
Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports	September 21, 2008	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	45%
NBC/Mason Dixon	September 16-18, 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	44%
Big Ten Poll	September 14-17, 2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	45%
Marist College	September 11-15, 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	44%
Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports	September 14, 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	47%
Zogby Interactive *	September 9-12 2008	Barack Obama	44.3%	John McCain	49.1%
Quinnipiac University	September 5-9, 2008	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	45%
Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports	September 8, 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%
Strategic Vision	September 5-7, 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	August 24-26 2008	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	43%
Quinnipiac University	August 17 - 24, 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	42%
Rasmussen Reports	August 19, 2008	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	45%
Zogby Interactive *	August 15-19 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	37%	Bob Barr	5%
						Ralph Nader	3%
						Other	8%
Susquehanna Polling & Research	August 11-14 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	41%
Franklin and Marshall College	August 4-10 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	41%
Quinnipiac University	July 23-29 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	42%
Strategic Vision	July 25-27 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	40%
Rasmussen Reports	July 23, 2008	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	45%

Rhode Island

4 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Rhode Island College	September 17-24 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	34%
Brown University	September 15-16 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	34%
Rasmussen Reports	September 13,2008	Barack Obama	58%	John McCain	39%
American Research Group	September 11-13 2008	Barack Obama	59%	John McCain	33%
Brown University	August 18-20 2008	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	30%

South Carolina

8 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Research 2000/Daily Kos	September 22-24 2008	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	54%
Survey USA	September 21-22 2008	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	58%
Rasmussen Reports	September 18,2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	51%
American Research Group	September 14-17 2008	Barack Obama	37%	John McCain	59%
Research 2000/Daily Kos	July 22-23 2008	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	53%
Public Policy Polling	July 9-11 2008	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	45%

South Dakota

3 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Other	%
American Research Group	September 19-21 2008	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	55%	Other	1%
Rasmussen Reports	September 9 2008	Barack Obama	37%	John McCain	54%
Rasmussen Reports	July 9 2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	47%

Tennessee

11 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Rasmussen Reports	September 29 2008	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	58%
Middle Tennessee State University	September 15-27 2008	Barack Obama	36%	John McCain	48%
Mason-Dixon	September 22-24 2008	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	55%
American Research Group	September 16-19 2008	Barack Obama	36%	John McCain	59%
Rasmussen Reports	August 20, 2008	Barack Obama	35%	John McCain	60%
Ayres, McHenry & Associates **	August 10-12 2008	Barack Obama	36%	John McCain	51%

Texas

34 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Rasmussen Reports	September 29 2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	52%
American Research Group	September 13-16 2008	Barack Obama	36%	John McCain	57%
Rasmussen Reports	August 21,2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	54%
University of Texas	July 18-30,2008	Barack Obama	33%	John McCain	43%
Rasmussen Reports	July 29,2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	52%

Utah

5 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
American Research Group	September 10-13 2008	Barack Obama	29%	John McCain	65%
Rasmussen Reports	September 10 2008	Barack Obama	32%	John McCain	64%
Deseret News/ Dan Jones & Associates	September 8 -11 2008	Barack Obama	24%	John McCain	62%
Mason Dixon	August 13 -15 2008	Barack Obama	23%	John McCain	62%

Vermont

3 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
American Research Group	September 18-22 2008	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	38%
Research 2000	September 14 2008	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	36%
Rasmussen Reports	September 13 2008	Barack Obama	60%	John McCain	36%

Virginia

13 electoral votes chart

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Others	%
Public Policy Polling	October 6-October 7 2008	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	43%
Fox News/Rasmussen Reports	October 5 2008	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	48%
SurveyUSA	October 4-5 2008	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	43%
Suffolk University	October 3-5 2008	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	39%
Mason-Dixon/ Richmond Times-Dispatch	September 28-October 1,2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	48%
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	September 28-30,2008	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	44%
Insider Advantage/Poll Position	September 29,2008	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	45%
American Research Group	September 27-29 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	49%
Fox News/Rasmussen Reports	September 28, 2008	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	47%
Rasmussen Reports	September 25, 2008	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	45%
NBC/Mason-Dixon	September 17-22 2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	47%
Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports	September 21, 2008	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	50%
Survey USA	September 19-21 2008	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	45%
ABC News/Washington Post	September 18-21 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	46%
American Research Group	September 17-20 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	48%
Insider Advantage/Poll Position	September 17,2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	48%
Allstate/National Journal/FD	September 11-15,2008	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	48%
Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports	September 14,2008	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	48%
Public Policy Polling	September 13-14 2008	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	46%
Survey USA	September 12-14 2008	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	46%
Christopher Newport University	September 10-14 2008	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	48%
Zogby Interactive *	September 9-12 2008	Barack Obama	43.8%	John McCain	50.3%
Time/CNN/Opinion Research	September 9,2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	49%
Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports	September 7,2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	49%
Survey USA	September 5-7 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	49%
Public Policy Polling	August 20-22 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%
Zogby Interactive *	August 15-19 2008	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	41%	Bob Barr	5%
						Ralph Nader	1%
						Other	10%
InsiderAdvantage/ Majority Opinion Research	August 12 2008	Barack Obama	42.6%	John McCain	43.1%
Rasmussen Reports	August 12 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	48%
Survey USA	August 8-10 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	48%
Public Policy Polling	July 17-20 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	44%
Rasmussen Reports	July 16 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	48%

Washington

11 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Rasmussen Reports	October 2, 2008	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	43%
Survey USA	September 21-22 2008	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	43%
American Research Group	September 16-18 2008	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	44%
Strategic Vision	September 14-16 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	42%
Rasmussen Reports	September 10,2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	47%
Elway Poll	September 6-8 2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	37%
Survey USA	September 5-7 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	45%
Survey USA	August 11-12 2008	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	44%
Rasmussen Reports	August 6 2008	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	42%
Elway Poll	July 27-31 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	35%
Strategic Vision	July 25-27 2008	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	37%
Survey USA	July 13-15 2008	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	39%
Moore Information	July 9-10 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	37%
Rasmussen Reports	July 9 2008	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	43%

West Virginia

5 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Other	%
Rasmussen Reports	September 24 2008	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	50%
CNN/Time Magazine	September 21-23 2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	49%	Ralph Nader	5%
						Cynthia McKinney	1%
American Research Group	September 14-16 2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	49%
Mark Blankenship Enterprises	September 6-7 2008	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	44%

Wisconsin

10 electoral votes chart

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Other	%
Rasmussen Reports	October 6, 2008	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	44%
Survey USA	October 5-6 2008	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	42%
CNN/Time/Opinion Research	October 3-6 2008	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	46%
Strategic Vision	September 22-26 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	40%
WISC-TV/Research 2000	September 23-24 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	43%
American Research Group	September 18-21, 2008	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	45%	Other	1%
Quinnipiac University/ Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post	September 14-21 2008	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	42%
Big Ten Poll	September 14-17, 2008	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	44%
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	September 14-16, 2008	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	47%
Rasmussen Reports	September 15,2008	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	46%
Strategic Vision	September 5-7,2008	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	43%
Strategic Vision	August 8-10 2008	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	42%
Rasmussen Reports	August 5 2008	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	44%
Wisconsin Policy Research Institute	August 3-4 2008	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	38%
Quinnipiac University/ Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post	July 14-22 2008	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	39%
Rasmussen Reports	July 8 2008	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	42%

Wyoming

3 electoral votes

Poll Source	Date administered	Democrat	%	Republican	%
Research 2000/Daily Kos	September 22-24 2008	Barack Obama	36%	John McCain	57%
American Research Group	September 9-11 2008	Barack Obama	28%	John McCain	66%
Rasmussen Reports	September 10,2008	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	58%
Mason Dixon	August 13 -15 2008	Barack Obama	25%	John McCain	62%

Notes

• * a scientific poll conducted via the Internet (not used in calculating results below).
• ** a poll commissioned by an organization affiliated with a specific candidate (not used in calculating results below).

Latest results (using latest polling when available)

The numbers in parentheses indicate the number of electoral votes awarded to each state. A total of 538 electoral votes are distributed among the states and DC. A state is indicated as 'for Obama' or 'for McCain' or 'tied' based upon a single poll - the most recent. This list is thus for indicative purposes only. Margins of 10% or more are considered "safe". Margins of 5% to 9% are considered "likely" and margins of 1% to 4% are considered "leaning". Margins of multiple polls concluded the same day are averaged out.

Barack Obama − Joe Biden

• Total states (27 states & D.C. − 349 electoral votes)
• Safe states (16 states & D.C. − 231 electoral votes)
  • California (55)
  • Connecticut (7)
  • Delaware (3)
  • District of Columbia (3)
  • Hawaii (4)
  • Illinois (21)
  • Iowa (7)
  • Maryland (10)
  • Massachusetts (12)
  • Michigan (17)
  • New Jersey (15)
  • New York (31)
  • Oregon (7)
  • Pennsylvania (21)
  • Rhode Island (4)
  • Vermont (3)
  • Washington (11)
• Likely states (8 states − 60 electoral votes)
  • Colorado (9)
  • Maine (4)
  • Minnesota (10)
  • New Hampshire (4)
  • Nevada (5)
  • New Mexico (5)
  • Virginia (13)
  • Wisconsin (10)
• Leaning states (3 states − 58 electoral votes)
  • Florida (27)
  • Missouri (11)
  • Ohio (20)

John McCain − Sarah Palin

• Total states (23 states − 189 electoral votes)
• Safe states (15 states − 94 electoral votes)
  • Alabama (9)
  • Alaska (3)
  • Arizona (10)
  • Idaho (4)
  • Kansas (6)
  • Kentucky (8)
  • Louisiana (9)
  • Nebraska (5)
  • North Dakota (3)
  • Oklahoma (7)
  • South Carolina (8)
  • South Dakota (3)
  • Tennessee (11)
  • Utah (5)
  • Wyoming (3)
• Likely states (6 states − 69 electoral votes)
  • Arkansas (6)
  • Georgia (15)
  • Mississippi (6)
  • Montana (3)
  • Texas (34)
  • West Virginia (5)
• Leaning states (2 states − 26 electoral votes)
  • Indiana (11)
  • North Carolina (15)

Tied

• Total states (0 states − 0 electoral votes)

Maps of recent polling data

Map and totals updated at 10-8-08 10:30PM EST. Maps are based on a weighted average for the previous 10 polling results, and as such may be slow to show changes in countrywide opinion: see Image:McCainObamaMatchupTWINtop.svg for details. The map on the right is altered to convey the proportional amount of electoral votes of each state. The number of electoral votes of a given state is based on its population. Candidates must win at least 270 electoral votes to win the election; Congress votes in case of a tie.

Safe Obama - over 10% (188)	Likely Obama - over 5% (264) (76)	Leans Obama - over 1% (338) (74)	Tossup - within 1% (26)	Leans McCain - over 1% (174) (11)	Likely McCain - over 5% (163) (23)	Safe McCain - over 10% (140)
District of Columbia (3) - 69.0% Hawaii (4) - 38.3% Vermont (3) - 19.9% Maryland (10) - 17.3% Massachusetts (12) - 17.3% Rhode Island (4) - 17.0% Delaware (3) - 16.8% New York (31) - 15.1% Illinois (21) - 14.8% Connecticut (7) - 14.7% California (55) - 14.3% Pennsylvania (21) - 11.4% Iowa (7) - 10.6% Oregon (7) - 10.5%	New Jersey (15) - 9.3% Washington (11) - 8.0% Minnesota (10) - 7.9% New Hampshire (4) - 6.8% New Mexico (5) - 6.5% Maine (4) - 6.2% Michigan (17) - 6.2% Wisconsin (10) - 6.2%	Virginia (13) - 4.6% Colorado (9) - 3.8% Florida (27) - 3.1% Ohio (20) - 3.0% Nevada (5) - 2.2%	North Carolina (15) - 0.6% Obama Missouri (11) - 0.5% McCain	Indiana (11) - 2.4%	Georgia (15) - 10.0% Montana (3) - 9.1% West Virginia (5) - 5.9%	Utah (5) - 35.5% Oklahoma (7) - 34.7% Idaho (4) - 34.5% Wyoming (3) - 24.8% Alabama (9) - 23.8 Nebraska (5) - 20.7% Kansas (6) - 18.5% Tennessee (11) - 17.6% Alaska (3) - 17.1% South Dakota (3) - 16.3% South Carolina (8) - 15.3% Arizona (10) - 14.8% Kentucky (8) - 14.2% Louisiana (9)- 13.2% Texas (34) - 12.0% North Dakota (3) - 11.6% Mississippi (6) - 11.2% Arkansas (6) - 10.5%

Totals

• Obama leads: 353 electoral votes
• McCain leads: 174 electoral votes

A vanguard of polling experts such as FiveThirtyEight.com advocate an alternative approach: instead of simply accepting the average of the most recent polls, they weigh all polls according to recentness, the reputation of the pollster, the apparent sample bias, and demographic data. FiveThirtyEight.com's approach yields the following results:

Charts of polling data in battleground states

Updated October 7, 2008

Michigan

17 electoral votes data | Obama +6.2%

Minnesota

10 electoral votes data | Obama +6.8%

Wisconsin

10 electoral votes data | Obama +5.1%

Pennsylvania

21 electoral votes data | Obama +9.1%

Colorado

9 electoral votes data | Obama +3.7%

New Hampshire

5 electoral votes data | Obama +6.8%

Nevada

5 electoral votes data | Obama +1.1%

Virginia

13 electoral votes data | Obama +4.6%

Ohio

20 electoral votes data | Obama +2.4%

Florida

27 electoral votes data | Obama +3.2%

Indiana

11 electoral votes data | McCain +2.3%
File:Indiana Obama versus McCain Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election 2008.jpg

Missouri

11 electoral votes data | McCain +0.5%

North Carolina

15 electoral votes data | Obama +1.3%

See also

• Nationwide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
• Nationwide opinion polling for the Democratic Party 2008 presidential candidates
• Statewide opinion polling for the Democratic Party presidential primaries, 2008
• Nationwide opinion polling for the Republican Party 2008 presidential candidates
• Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primaries, 2008
• Straw polls for the 2008 United States presidential election
• Straw polls for the Republican Party 2008 presidential nomination

External links

• FiveThirtyEight.com: Detailed analysis of state-by-state general election polling
• Electoral-Vote.com
• Pollster.com graphic display of aggregated polls
• Election-Projection.net 2008 state-by-state and Electoral College Vote Projections
• Rasmussen Reports: Balance of Power Calculator
• Real Clear Politics
• Princeton Election Consortium
• Survey USA
• CNN's Electoral Map
• American Research Group's Ballot Lead Calculator