Parliamentary election in Turkey 2018
The early election to the 27th Grand National Assembly of Turkey took place on June 24, 2018 at the same time as the presidential election to determine the 600 members of the national parliament of Turkey . With the election, the constitutional amendments came into force, which had been legally approved in the 2017 referendum . Among other things, the office of Prime Minister was abolished and the number of MPs increased by 50.
The formation of electoral alliances gave the smaller parties an opportunity to overcome the current 10 percent hurdle for entry into parliament. The winner of the election was the Cumhur İttifakı (People's Alliance) made up of the ruling conservative AKP and the far-right MHP , which together achieved an absolute majority of the votes.
To the starting position
After the previous election in 2015, the AKP had an absolute majority of the parliamentary seats. The Kemalist- social-democratic Cumhuriyet Halk Partisi (CHP) was the second strongest force, alongside the right-wing extremist Milliyetçi Hareket Partisi (MHP) and the socialist-Kurdish Halkların Demokratik Partisi (HDP) were represented in parliament.
At the end of 2016, MHP politician Meral Akşener was expelled from her party. In October 2017 she founded the İyi Parti (İYİ) to run for the next presidential and parliamentary elections.
In November 2017, MHP Chairman Devlet Bahçeli publicly questioned the ten percent threshold. It is an obstacle that is difficult to overcome and that may need reform. Although the CHP criticized the fact that this consideration was only being discussed on the basis of the current surveys in the MHP, it also said that the threshold clause should be changed. A three percent clause may be conceivable, said the party spokesman for the CHP.
The electoral alliance between the ruling Adalet ve Kalkınma Partisi (AKP) and the MHP, which has been in practice since 2016, was officially announced by Erdoğan on February 20 under the name “ Alliance of the People ” (Cumhur İttifakı) . In addition to the common electoral list in the parliamentary elections, it also included the fact that the MHP renounced its own presidential candidate and instead supported Erdoğan. The Büyük Birlik Partisi (BBP) could also join this alliance , but the MHP refused (the BBP emerged as a spin-off from the MHP). The Party of Happiness (SP) refused to join this alliance despite some attempts by the AKP.
On the night of March 12th to 13th, 2018, a majority in parliament passed a motion by the AKP and MHP to amend the electoral law. This change allowed electoral alliances. If the valid votes of the parties in an alliance together reach ten percent, then the individual parties have also overcome the ten percent hurdle. The AKP had previously announced that it would enter into an alliance with the MHP; this would help the MHP to enter parliament.
The regular date for the next election would have been November 2019. On April 17, 2018, Devlet Bahçeli commented on early elections and suggested August 26, 2018 as the election date. The opposition parties CHP, İYİ, HDP and the SP announced after these statements that they were ready for any election. The next day Bahçeli and President Erdoğan held a meeting and a few hours later the President announced June 24, 2018 as the election date. The reasons given were macroeconomic decisions, the civil war in neighboring Syria and the situation in Iraq , as well as the “old” (parliamentary) system. The early elections were approved by parliament on April 19 with 386 of a possible 537 votes.
As the CHP announced on April 22nd, 15 of its MPs resigned from the party in order to join the İyi Parti and give the İYİ with its previous five MPs a status as a group in parliament and thus participate in the early elections.
On May 5th, the four opposition parties CHP, İYİ, SP and DP announced the official establishment of the electoral alliance (“ Alliance of the Nation ”). Of the three parties that could actually have participated in the election, the Bağımsız Türkiye Partisi (BTP) opted for a boycott. The Democrat Parti (through the İYİ) and the Büyük Birlik Partisi (through the AKP) each introduced their candidates via the electoral lists of other parties.
Participating parties
As announced by the High Election Committee , eight parties were eligible to participate (alphabetical order):
| logo | Party name | acronym | Alignment | Chairman | Electoral alliance | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adalet ve Kalkınma Partisi | ACP | Islamic - conservative | Recep Tayyip Erdoğan | People's Alliance | ||
|
Cumhuriyet Halk Partisi | CHP | Kemalist , social democratic | Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu | Alliance of the Nation | |
| Halkların Democracy Partisi | HDP |
democratic-socialist , pro-Kurdish |
Pervin Buldan and Sezai Temelli |
|||
| Hür Dava Partisi | Hüda Par | ( pan ) Islamist , pro-Kurdish | Zekeriya Yapıcıoğlu | |||
|
İyi Parti | İYİ | nationalist , Kemalist , national conservative | Meral Akşener | Alliance of the Nation | |
|
Milliyetçi Hareket Partisi | MHP | nationalist , right-wing extremist | Devlet Bahçeli | People's Alliance | |
|
Saadet Partisi | SP | Islamist , Millî Görüş | Karamollaoğlu Temple | Alliance of the Nation | |
|
Vatan Partisi | Eurasist , left-wing nationalist | Dogu Perinçek | |||
Result
Overall result
| Party name | acronym | be right | Seats | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| number | % | +/- | number | +/- | |||
| Adalet ve Kalkınma Partisi | ACP | 21,338,693 | 42.56 | −6.94 | 295 | −22 | |
| Cumhuriyet Halk Partisi | CHP | 11,354,190 | 22.65 | −2.67 | 146 | +12 | |
| Halkların Democracy Partisi | HDP | 5,867,302 | 11.70 | +0.94 | 67 | +9 | |
| Milliyetçi Hareket Partisi | MHP | 5,565,331 | 11.10 | −0.80 | 50 | +10 | |
| İyi Parti | İYI | 4,993,479 | 9.96 | New | 43 | New | |
| Saadet Partisi | SP | 672.139 | 1.34 | +0.66 | 0 | ± 0 | |
| Hür Dava Partisi | Hüda Par | 155,539 | 0.31 | New | 0 | New | |
| Vatan Partisi | 114,872 | 0.23 | −0.02 | 0 | ± 0 | ||
| Independent | - | 75,633 | 0.15 | +0.04 | 0 | ± 0 | |
| total | 51.183.729 | 100.00 | ± 0 | 600 | ± 0 | ||
| Valid votes | 50.137.175 | ||||||
| Invalid votes | 697.464 | ||||||
| voter turnout | 51.183.729 | 86.23 | |||||
| Registered voters | 59,354,840 | ||||||
| Source: Haberturk.com | |||||||
Survey
| Period / Date | Institute | Respondents | ACP | MHP | CHP | İYİ | SP | HDP | Otherwise. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| People's Alliance | Alliance of the Nation | ||||||||
| June 14-20, 2018 | OPTIMAR | 2,100 | 53.6 | 34.1 | 11.2 | 1.1 | |||
| June 14, 2018 | Legal ban on further polls (ten days before the election) comes into force | ||||||||
| June 12-14, 2018 | Consensus | 10,000 | 52 | 41 | 7th | - | |||
| June 13, 2018 | AKAM | 2,460 | 45.6 | 39.9 | 13.6 | 0.9 | |||
| June 6th to 13th, 2018 | REMRES | 5,674 | 45.1 | 42.5 | 12.1 | 0.3 | |||
| June 8-11, 2018 | Metropolis | 2,888 | 49.4 | 38.1 | 12.3 | 0.2 | |||
| 7th June 2018 | Gezici | - | 49.3 | 38.7 | 11.1 | 0.9 | |||
| June 1 to June 6, 2018 | MAK | 5,400 | 52.7 | 36.6 | 9.2 | 1.5 | |||
| May 28 to June 3, 2018 | REMRES | 4,482 | 44.2 | 44.0 | 11.5 | 0.3 | |||
| May 29 to June 1, 2018 | sonar | 3,000 | 49.3 | 39.5 | 10.0 | 1.2 | |||
| May 26th to 31st, 2018 | PİAR | 2,620 | 42.1 | 43.1 | 14.1 | 0.7 | |||
| May 22-23, 2018 | Mediar | 4,268 | 44.9 | 42.5 | 11.4 | 1.2 | |||
| May 22, 2018 | MAK | 5,000 | 54.0 | 34.2 | 9.0 | 2.8 | |||
| May 17-23, 2018 | REMRES | 4,276 | 43.9 | 43.7 | 12.1 | 0.3 | |||
| May 6th to 9th, 2018 | REMRES | 3,653 | 43.9 | 43.5 | 12.2 | 0.4 | |||
| 5th May 2018 | The nation's alliance is formed. | ||||||||
| 2nd May 2018 | REMRES | 2,586 | 44.2 | 43.4 | 12.1 | 0.3 | |||
| 4th May 2018 | Consensus | 1,000 | 49.9 | 43.8 | 6.7 | 0.5 | |||
| 1st May 2018 | PİAR | - | 44.2 | 23.4 | 17.5 | 2.5 | 12.0 | 0.2 | |
| April 26-29, 2018 | Mediar Analiz | 2,660 | 42.5 | 22.9 | 17.1 | 3.1 | 13.2 | 1.2 | |
| April 25, 2018 | sonar | - | 46.9 | 23.8 | 14.5 | - | 11.3 | 3.5 | |
| April 18, 2018 | The early election date will be announced. | ||||||||
| March 6-18, 2018 | PİAR | 5,620 | 43.2 | 23.1 | 21.7 | - | 11.7 | 0.3 | |
| March 6-18, 2018 | PİAR | 5,620 | 39.6 | 5.8 | 22.2 | 16.9 | - | 12.2 | 0.8 |
| 20th February 2018 | Erdoğan announces the electoral alliance with the MHP | ||||||||
| February 4th to 14th, 2018 | PİAR | 2,440 | 40.2 | 7.3 | 25.5 | 13.3 | - | 12.0 | 1.7 |
| February 4th to 14th, 2018 | PİAR | 2,440 | 45.2 | 25.5 | 14.0 | - | 13.5 | 1.9 | |
| 3rd to 10th January 2018 | sonar | 3,000 | 40.1 | 7.0 | 25.3 | 14.2 | - | 10.7 | 2.4 |
| December 2nd to 17th, 2017 | Gezici | 4,238 | 42.0 | 7.29 | 20.1 | 20.2 | - | 8.73 | 1.0 |
| November 1st to 6th, 2017 | sonar | 3,000 | 38.5 | 7.8 | 23.5 | 16.1 | - | 10.3 | 3.8 |
| September 2nd to 10th, 2017 | Objectif Araştırma | 4,322 | 39.9 | 4.0 | 23.4 | 21.0 | - | 10.1 | 1.6 |
| July 10-16, 2017 | MAK | 5,400 | 50.5 | 12.7 | 26.5 | - | - | 8.0 | 2.3 |
| 5th to 14th July 2017 | Consensus | 1,500 | 54.5 | 7.6 | 26.8 | - | - | 8.5 | 2.6 |
| November 1, 2015 | Parliamentary elections | 49.3 | 12.0 | 25.6 | - | 0.7 | 10.6 | 1.8 | |
Surveys among Turkish citizens abroad
| Period / Date | Institute | Respondents | country | ACP | MHP | CHP | İYİ | SP | HDP | Otherwise. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| People's Alliance | Alliance of the Nation | |||||||||
| June 1st to 5th, 2018 | TAVAK | 1,184 |
 Germany
|
47.1 | 15.5 | 8.3 | 1.9 | 17.9 | 0.2 | |
| November 1, 2015 | Parliamentary elections | 59.7 | 7.5 | 14.8 | - | 0.5 | 15.9 | 1.6 | ||
Predicted distribution of seats
| date | Institute | Respondents | People's Alliance | CHP | HDP | İYİ | Others | majority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 24, 2018 | Parliamentary elections |
344/600 |
144/600 |
67/600 |
42/600 |
3/600 |
AKP-MHP-BBP | |
| April 26-29, 2018 | Mediar Analiz | 2,660 |
280/600 |
150/600 |
80/600 |
90/600 |
0/600 |
- |
| February 4th to 14th, 2018 | PİAR | 2,440 |
275/600 |
145/600 |
95/600 |
85/600 |
0/600 |
- |
| November 1, 2015 | Parliamentary elections |
357/550 |
134/550 |
59/550 |
- |
0/550 |
ACP | |
Individual evidence
- ↑ Bahçeli: Seçim barajı Türkiye için çok ağır . In: NTV . November 8, 2017 ( online [accessed November 9, 2017]).
- ↑ 'Seçim barajı konusunda açık çekimizin arkasındayız'. Retrieved November 9, 2017 .
- ↑ CHP'den seçim barajı önerisi . In: NTV . November 8, 2017 ( online [accessed November 9, 2017]).
- ^ Deutsche Welle (www.dw.com): AKP-MHP işbirliğinin adı "Cumhur İttifakı" | TÜRKİYE | DW | 02/20/2018. Retrieved February 20, 2018 (Turkish).
- ↑ Cumhurbaşkanı Erdoğan, BBP lideri Destici ile görüşüyor . In: Hürriyet . ( Online [accessed February 20, 2018]).
- ↑ Sputnik: MHP, BBP'yi ittifakta istemiyor: 'Uygun bulmuyoruz'. Retrieved March 19, 2018 (Turkish).
- ↑ Temel Karamollaoğlu'ndan 'Cumhur İttifakı' açıklaması: Ben deli miyim? ( Online [accessed March 19, 2018]).
- ↑ zeit.de March 13, 2018
- ↑ Turkey: Erdogan's ally calls for early elections . In: The press . ( Online [accessed April 18, 2018]).
- ↑ Mynet: Erken seçim kararına muhalefetten ilk yorumlar . In: Mynet Haber . ( Online [accessed April 19, 2018]).
- ↑ Erdoğan recognize seçim tarihini açıkladı . ( Online [accessed April 18, 2018]).
- ↑ Erdogan wants to vote in June . In: news.ORF.at . April 18, 2018 ( online [accessed April 19, 2018]).
- ↑ Erken seçim teklifi Meclis'te kabul edildi . In: NTV . April 20, 2018 ( online [accessed April 21, 2018]).
- ↑ SON DAKİKA: 15 CHP milletvekili istifa edip İyi Parti'ye geçti . In: NTV . April 22, 2018 ( online [accessed April 22, 2018]).
- ↑ Millet İttifakı imzaları tamam . In: Hürriyet . ( Online [accessed May 5, 2018]).
- ↑ BTP seçime girmeme kararı aldı . In: www.haberturk.tv . ( Online [accessed June 13, 2018]).
- ↑ Democrat Parti'den 4 isim İYİ Parti listesinden aday oldu . In: Yeni Çağ Gazetesi . ( Online [accessed June 13, 2018]).
- ↑ Cumhur İttifakı genişledi . In: www.haberturk.com . ( Online [accessed June 13, 2018]).
- ↑ YSK'dan açıklama geldi! İşte seçime girecek partiler . In: yeniakit . ( Online [accessed September 13, 2018]).
- ↑ 24 Haziran 2018 Genel Seçim Sonuçları. Retrieved July 4, 2018 .
- ↑ Sputnik: OPTİMAR seçim anketini açıkladı: HDP barajı geçiyor, Erdoğan'ın oy oranı yüzde 51.6. Retrieved June 22, 2018 (Turkish).
- ↑ propaganda serbestliği ve seçim yasakları yarın başlıyor . ( Online [accessed June 20, 2018]).
- ↑ KamuAjans: Seçim Anketinde Hangi Parti Önde Gidiyor? İşte 24 Haziran Seçim Anketinin Sonuçları . In: KamuAjans . ( Online [accessed June 18, 2018]).
- ↑ AKAM anketi: 'HDP etkisiyle' çoğunluk muhalefette, Erdoğan'la İnce ikinci turda - Diken . In: Diken . June 13, 2018 ( online [accessed June 14, 2018]).
- ↑ REMRES survey June 2018 (2). Retrieved May 14, 2018 (Turkish).
- ↑ Metropoll 24 Haziran son seçim anketi: Parti ittifak oy oranları . In: İndigo Dergisi . June 15, 2018 ( online [accessed June 16, 2018]).
- ↑ 24 Haziran'a doğru son seçim anketleri: Erdoğan önde ancak sürpriz olabilir . In: euronews . June 13, 2018 ( online [accessed June 16, 2018]).
- ↑ MAK anketi: Erdoğan birinci turda yüzde 51.5, vekil dağılımı HDP'ye endeksli - Diken . In: Diken . June 9, 2018 ( online [accessed June 11, 2018]).
- ↑ REMRES survey June 2018. Accessed June 10, 2018 (Turkish).
- ↑ İlk turda adayların oy oranları ne olacak: İşte son anket . ( Online [accessed June 10, 2018]).
- ↑ Mynet: Piar Araştırma Şirketi'nden 24 Haziran seçim anketi! AK Parti ve Erdoğan bu rakamları daha önce görmemişti . In: Mynet Haber . ( Online [accessed June 10, 2018]).
- ↑ Anket sonuçları açıklandı! Akşener, İnce ve Erdoğan'da son durum. Retrieved May 29, 2018 (Turkish).
- ↑ MAK anketine göre ülkenin en büyük sorunu ve adayların oy oranı . ( Online [accessed May 29, 2018]).
- ↑ REMRES survey May 2018. (No longer available online.) Archived from the original on May 25, 2018 ; accessed on May 27, 2018 (Turkish). Info: The archive link was inserted automatically and has not yet been checked. Please check the original and archive link according to the instructions and then remove this notice.
- ^ Opposition parties agree to unite against People's Alliance in upcoming Turkish elections . In: DailySabah . ( Online [accessed May 5, 2018]).
- ↑ REMRES poll (before the alliance of the nation is officially announced). (No longer available online.) Archived from the original on May 11, 2018 ; Retrieved May 11, 2018 (Turkish). Info: The archive link was inserted automatically and has not yet been checked. Please check the original and archive link according to the instructions and then remove this notice.
- ↑ Consensus'un anketine göre, Muharrem İnce ve Erdoğan'ın oy oranları ne? In: t24.com.tr . ( Online [accessed May 9, 2018]).
- ↑ Sputnik: Piar anketi: 'Cumhur İttifakı' nisanda yüzde 2.5 oy kaybetti. Retrieved May 1, 2018 (Turkish).
- ↑ Bu çok anket Sonuçları konuşulacak . In: odatv.com . ( Online [accessed April 30, 2018]).
- ↑ SONAR'dan seçim anketi: AKP-MHP ittifakı yüzde 46.9 | Evrensel.net . In: Evrensel.net . ( Online [accessed April 29, 2018]).
- ↑ WORLD: Turkey: Recep Tayyip Erdogan announces elections for June 24th . In: THE WORLD . April 18, 2018 ( online [accessed April 26, 2018]).
- ↑ Bu pazar seçim olsa anketi: 'Erdoğan'a oy veririm' diyenlerin oranı yüzde 30 . ( Online [accessed April 21, 2018]).
- ↑ Bu pazar seçim olsa anketi: 'Erdoğan'a oy veririm' diyenlerin oranı yüzde 30 . ( Online [accessed April 21, 2018]).
- ↑ Cumhurbaşkanı Erdoğan AKP-MHP ittifakının ismini açıkladı: Cumhur İttifakı . ( Online [accessed February 20, 2018]).
- ↑ Mynet: Ünlü anket şirketinin sahibi Twitter'dan paylaştı! İşte son anket . In: Mynet Haber . ( Online [accessed February 22, 2018]).
- ↑ Mynet: Ünlü anket şirketinin sahibi Twitter'dan paylaştı! İşte son anket . In: Mynet Haber . ( Online [accessed February 22, 2018]).
- ↑ Sputnik: SONAR'dan seçim anketi: MHP barajın altında. Retrieved January 15, 2018 (Turkish).
- ↑ Gezici Araştırma'dan yeni anket. Retrieved January 21, 2018 .
- ↑ Yurt Gazetesi (Mizah) (Basın Bildirisi) (Kayıt) (blog): Yeni seçim anketi: AKP yüzde 38.51, MHP baraj altında . In: Yurt Gazetesi . ( Online [accessed November 6, 2017]).
- ↑ https://tr.sputniknews.com/turkiye/201709131030132201-aksener-parti-oy-orani/
- ↑ Archived copy ( memento of the original dated August 5, 2017 in the Internet Archive ) Info: The archive link was inserted automatically and has not yet been checked. Please check the original and archive link according to the instructions and then remove this notice.
- ↑ https://www.gazeteduvar.com.tr/gundem/2018/04/26/sonarin-son-anketi-iktidar-secimi-kaybetti-ama-muhalefet-henuz-kazanamadi/
- ↑ Cem Dalaman: Almanya'daki Türk Seçmenin Nabzını Tutan Chains İlginç Sonuçlar . In: Amerika'nin Sesi | Voice of America - Turkish . ( Online [accessed June 12, 2018]).
- ↑ Son anket sonuçları açıklandı: Cumhur ittifakı tepetaklak! Retrieved April 30, 2018 (Turkish).
- ↑ Mynet: Ünlü anket şirketinin sahibi Twitter'dan paylaştı! İşte son anket . In: Mynet Haber . ( Online [accessed April 30, 2018]).
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