General election in Turkey June 2015
The election for the 25th Grand National Assembly of Turkey took place on June 7, 2015. The 550 members of the national parliament were elected . Around 56.6 million citizens entitled to vote were called to cast their votes at 174,240 ballot boxes. The election ended with the previously ruling Islamic-conservative Party for Justice and Recovery (AKP) headed by Prime Minister Ahmet Davutoğlu . The Kemalist- Social Democratic Republican People's Party (CHP) under its chairman Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu became the second largest force.
After the AKP had ruled uninterruptedly with an absolute majority under Recep Tayyip Erdoğan since its success in 2002 , it missed the majority of the seats in this election. With the democratic-socialist and pro-Kurdish Democratic Party of the Peoples (HDP), for the first time in the history of the republic, a party that claims to represent the concerns of the Kurdish minority, which is contained in the Turkish law on political Ten percent threshold stipulated by parties .
Since no coalition could be formed in the 45-day period after the election , new elections were held on November 1, 2015 .
Importance of election and election campaign
The outcome of the elections was given particular importance for the constitution of Turkey. In the last parliamentary election in 2011 , the ruling Justice and Recovery Party (AKP) under its leader Recep Tayyip Erdoğan got 327 of 550 seats in parliament. In the presidential election in 2014 Erdogan was elected to the presidency. For a long time it has been the declared aim of the AKP to rebuild the Turkish constitution in the direction of a presidential constitution . H. to significantly strengthen the political power of the president. If the AKP had won at least 330 seats (60.0%) in the current election, it would have the right to initiate a referendum on a constitutional amendment. If it had won 367 or more seats, it would have had a two-thirds majority and could implement a constitutional amendment through legislation without a referendum. Under the motto Yeni Türkiye Sözleşmesi - 2023 ("The New Turkey Treaty - 2023"), the AKP published a 100-paragraph electoral program , in which the presidential system is also advertised, among other things on the grounds that it would cause future conflicts between the president and the Prime Minister would be prevented. Political opponents of the AKP fear an even further concentration of power in the hands of Erdoğan in the event of a constitutional amendment and speak of a “possible dictatorship”.
The long-time MP of the AKP and one of its co-founders Dengir Mir Mehmet Fırat stood for the opposing Democratic Party of the Peoples (HDP) in the province of Mersin. 68 MPs of the AKP no longer stood because of the party-internal maximum of two re-election rules. This included important politicians and current ministers such as Ali Babacan , Bülent Arınç , Cemil Çiçek and Taner Yıldız . The former ministers Muammer Güler , Mehmet Zafer Çağlayan and Erdoğan Bayraktar , who were involved in the 2013 corruption scandal , also no longer ran.
The performance of the left-wing HDP, which is led by Selahattin Demirtaş , a Kurdish lawyer, and women's rights activist Figen Yüksekdağ , was observed with particular interest. In this election, the HDP ran for the first time as a party and not in the form of independent individual candidates. The Turkish electoral system provides for a nationwide threshold of ten percent for parties . The assumption was that the AKP's hopes for a constitution-changing majority would be gone if the HDP jumped the ten percent hurdle, which appeared likely after the polls before the election.
During the election campaign, opposition leader Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu from the Republican People's Party (CHP) accused the ruling AKP of corruption and ostentation. Far too much money was spent on “Mercedes cars, jets and presidential palaces”. In the 490 million euro presidential palace in Ankara, among other things, golden toilet seats were installed - an accusation that was vehemently rejected by the AKP. The opposition also accused President Erdoğan of interfering in the election campaign, despite the fact that as President he was obliged to be politically neutral. The HDP complained about multiple attacks on its election offices and branches. On May 18, there were bombings on the party offices in the southern Turkish cities of Adana and Mersin, with some injured. Overall, according to a report by the Turkish human rights organization İHD, property damage occurred at 114 HDP locations in the period from March 23 to May 19, 2015. Seven incidents are named for the AKP, four for the CHP and one for the MHP.
On June 5, 2015, two days before the election, explosions occurred at an HDP election rally in Diyarbakır, killing four and injuring more than a hundred. The cause is so far unclear.
Participating parties
31 parties were admitted to parliamentary elections by the High Election Committee . However, several parties withdrew, failed to meet the deadlines or entered into electoral alliances. Thus, the number of parties from 31 to 19. The decreased Party for Justice and Equality and the Party of Free thing to send their candidates as independents candidates in the election. The following parties were unable to submit a list of candidates by the deadline: the Party of the Popular Ascent , the Party for Law and Freedoms , Conservative Party of the Ascent, Party for Law and Justice, the Young Party , the Party of Principles and Values and the Communist Party . The Party of Freedom and Solidarity and the Democratic Development Party withdrew. The Happiness Party formed an alliance with the Great Unity Party.
The order of the parties on the ballot paper is determined by lottery by the High Election Committee (YSK). The following table lists the parties according to their order on the ballot paper:
Number of MPs by province
Each of the 81 provinces forms a constituency in which a different number of representatives are elected depending on the size of the population. The only exception to this are the provinces and cities of Istanbul, Ankara and Izmir, which are divided into three and two constituencies each. In total there are 85 constituencies. There have been few changes compared to the previous election. For example, the number of seats in the province of Istanbul rose from 85 to 88. The number of members of parliament per constituency is as follows (changes compared to the 2011 election in brackets).
Voters abroad
Citizens of Turkey living abroad were also eligible to vote. The voting was in Turkish consulates in 54 countries worldwide from May 8th to 31st. d. H. possible over 24 days. Of the approximately 1.4 million citizens of Turkey who are eligible to vote in Germany, between 34% and 44% cast their votes according to various estimates. It was expected that the votes of these voters would not have any influence on the distribution of seats between the parties in parliament, since Turkish citizens eligible to vote abroad are not assigned their own constituency. However, their votes can change the relative share of the votes cast by the parties. B. decides whether a party overcomes the 10% hurdle.
Survey
Period | editor | Attendees | ACP | CHP | MHP | HDP | Others |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
May 30 − May 1 June 2015 | ORC | 3,850 | 46.0 | 25.3 | 15.5 | 9.0 | 4.2 |
30.-31. May 2015 | Conda | 3,543 | 41.0 | 27.8 | 14.8 | 12.6 | 3.8 |
May 27, 2015 | ANAR | - | 40.5 | 26.0 | 17.0 | 11.0 | 5.5 |
May 27, 2015 | Aksoy | - | 42.6 | 26.2 | 16.2 | 10.6 | 4.2 |
18.-26. May 2015 | MAK | 2,155 | 43.6 | 24.9 | 16.4 | 9.9 | 5.2 |
May 25, 2015 | SONAR | 3,000 | 41.0 | 26.0 | 18.1 | 10.4 | 4.5 |
23–24 May 2015 | Gezici | 4,860 | 39.3 | 28.5 | 17.2 | 12.4 | 2.6 |
21.-24. May 2015 | ANDY-AR | 4.166 | 41.9 | 25.8 | 16.0 | 10.7 | 5.6 |
16.-24. May 2015 | Denge | 11,859 | 44.6 | 25.5 | 16.1 | 10.5 | 3.3 |
17.-23. May 2015 | Politics | 4,200 | 45.2 | 26.3 | 15.4 | 9.6 | 3.5 |
11-22 May 2015 | SAMER | 4,150 | 43.3 | 27.1 | 15.3 | 11.3 | 3.0 |
15-21 May 2015 | Vera | 1,509 | 43.5 | 27.1 | 16.0 | 9.6 | 3.9 |
May 21, 2015 | Conda | - | 40.5 | 28.7 | 14.4 | 11.5 | 4.9 |
15-20 May 2015 | AKAM | 2.164 | 38.9 | 28.1 | 17.6 | 11.8 | 3.6 |
8-11 May 2015 | MetroPoll | 2,976 | 42.8 | 27.0 | 17.1 | 9.2 | 3.9 |
9-10 May 2015 | Gezici | 4,860 | 38.2 | 30.1 | 17.1 | 10.5 | 4.1 |
6-7 May 2015 | CHP | 1,618 | 39.3 | 28.1 | 17.8 | 10.3 | 4.6 |
4th-7th May 2015 | ORC | 2,450 | 47.5 | 23.9 | 15.0 | 8.1 | 5.5 |
3rd-7th May 2015 | Denge | 5,073 | 45.6 | 25.5 | 15.1 | 9.5 | 4.3 |
2nd-7th May 2015 | Benenson SG | - | 39.0 | 31.6 | 14.7 | 10.5 | 4.2 |
April 30th-May 7th 2015 | Consensus | 1,500 | 43.9 | 26.7 | 15.8 | 9.7 | 3.9 |
1-5 May 2015 | AKAM | 2,262 | 38.3 | 27.3 | 18.1 | 11.8 | 4.5 |
Election 2011 | 49.8 | 26.0 | 13.0 | New | 11.2 |
Results
The turnout of 84 percent was slightly higher than in the last election, which was indicative of the high level of public interest. The EU Commission also welcomed this as “a clear sign of the strength of Turkish democracy”. As a result, the election meant a clear defeat for the ruling AKP. Not only had she missed her long-term goal of a constitutional majority, but she had also lost the absolute majority of parliamentary seats she had held since the 2002 parliamentary election . However, with 41% of the vote, it remained by far the most popular party. Leading AKP politicians admitted defeat. After Erdoğan had quite blatantly criticized the opposition during the election campaign, he resumed the role of bipartisan president after the election and called on the parties to act responsibly. “Democratic achievements” should be protected.
At the end of the 1970s, civil war-like conditions prevailed in Turkey between left and right groups, which, according to current estimates, killed around 5,000 people. On September 12, 1980 , the Turkish military, led by Chief of Staff Kenan Evren , overthrew the elected government. In the following years, the third constitution of the Turkish Republic was drafted under the chairmanship of the military, which has significantly more authoritarian features compared to the constitution of 1961 . The generals set a very high hurdle for entry into the Grand People's Assembly in Ankara: a party must win at least ten percent of the votes cast in order to enter parliament. This hurdle has ensured that a majority of voters have often enough not been represented in parliament at all since the constitution of the Republic of Turkey came into force in 1982 . Previously, Kurdish politicians only won seats on the list of another party, e.g. B. in the election in 1991, when the SHP enabled 22 candidates from the HEP, which was banned in 1993 because of their proximity to the PKK, to enter the Turkish National Assembly. When the AKP achieved its first victory in a parliamentary election in 2002 with 34 percent of the vote and an absolute majority of the seats, only the CHP succeeded in entering parliament as another party. More than 45 percent of the votes cast went to parties that received less than a tenth of the votes. The hurdle turned into a wall. The reason for the loss of the absolute majority of mandates held by the AKP since 2002 was the fact that the left-wing pro-Kurdish HDP overcame the high ten percent hurdle for the first time as a party and thus entered parliament as the fourth party. The HDP had not only received votes from the Kurdish sections of the population, but also many votes from left-wing opponents of the AKP and Erdoğans who voted tactically.
A total of 98 women are represented in the newly elected parliament, which corresponds to a share of 18 percent. So far , the proportion of female MPs has been 14 percent. HDP had the highest proportion of women at around 40%. Among the elected 550 MPs are four Christians: the three Armenians Garabed Paylan (HDP), Markar Esayan (AKP), Selina Doğan (CHP) and the Aramaic Erol Dora (HDP). The Yazidis are represented in parliament by the two German-Turkish personalities Feleknas Uca (HDP) and Ali Atalan (HDP). Former Green politician Ozan Ceyhun , who ran for the AKP in the Izmir constituency, was not elected to parliament. This was achieved by the German-Turkish chairman of the Alevi Union of Europe (AABK), Turgut Öker . For the first time, Özcan Purçu, a representative of the Roma minority, is represented in parliament.
Overall result
Political party | Abbreviation | be right | Seats | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
number | % | +/- | number | +/- | |||
Justice and Recovery Party | ACP | 18,867,411 | 40.87 | −8.96 | 258 | −69 | |
Republican People's Party | CHP | 11,518,139 | 24.95 | −1.03 | 132 | −3 | |
Nationalist Movement Party | MHP | 7,520,006 | 16.29 | +3.28 | 80 | +27 | |
Democratic Party of the Peoples | HDP | 6,058,489 | 13.12 | New | 80 | New | |
Party of bliss | SP | 949.178 | 2.06 | +0.79 | 0 | ± 0 | |
Independent | - | 488.226 | 1.06 | −5.51 | 0 | −35 | |
Fatherland Party | - | 161,674 | 0.35 | New | 0 | New | |
Independent Turkey Party | BTP | 96,475 | 0.21 | New | 0 | New | |
Democratic Left Party | DSP | 85.810 | 0.19 | −0.06 | 0 | ± 0 | |
Democratic Party | DP | 75,784 | 0.16 | −0.49 | 0 | ± 0 | |
Social reconciliation, reform and development party | TURK-P | 72,701 | 0.16 | New | 0 | New | |
People's Liberation Party | HKP | 60,396 | 0.13 | New | 0 | New | |
Party for Law and Freedoms | HAK-PAR | 58,716 | 0.13 | New | 0 | New | |
Right Path Party | DYP | 28,852 | 0.06 | −0.09 | 0 | ± 0 | |
Anatolia Party | ANAPAR | 27,688 | 0.06 | New | 0 | New | |
Liberal Democratic Party | LDP | 26,500 | 0.06 | +0.02 | 0 | ± 0 | |
Center party | MEP | 20,945 | 0.05 | New | 0 | New | |
Nations party | MP | 17,473 | 0.04 | −0.10 | 0 | ± 0 | |
Communist Party | KP | 13,780 | 0.03 | New | 0 | New | |
Home party | YURT-P | 9,289 | 0.02 | New | 0 | New | |
Party for Law and Justice | HAP | 5,711 | 0.01 | New | 0 | New | |
total | 46.163.243 | 100.00 | 550 | ||||
Valid votes | 46.163.243 | 97.17 | −0.61 | ||||
Invalid votes | 1,344,224 | 2.83 | +0.61 | ||||
voter turnout | 47,507,467 | 83.92 | +0.76 | ||||
Non-voters | 9.101.350 | 16.08 | −0.76 | ||||
Registered voters | 56,608,817 | ||||||
Source: High Electoral Committee |
foreign countries
After the presidential election in Turkey in 2014 , this was the second election in which Turkish citizens abroad could participate. In terms of the votes of Turkish voters abroad, including in Germany and Austria, both the AKP and the HDP achieved significantly higher proportions of votes than in Turkey itself. In Switzerland, the HDP received almost half of all votes there. Of 2,866,979 registered Turks abroad, 1,056,078 voted (36.84%). 1,041,470 votes were valid.
country | ACP | CHP | MHP | HDP | Others | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
be right | in percent | be right | in percent | be right | in percent | be right | in percent | be right | in percent | |
Germany | 254.507 | 53.63 | 75,863 | 15.99 | 46.112 | 9.72 | 83.053 | 17.50 | 14,994 | 3.16 |
Austria | 23,476 | 64.18 | 3,768 | 10.30 | 2,843 | 7.77 | 5,216 | 14.26 | 1,278 | 3.49 |
Switzerland | 8,991 | 25.11 | 6,250 | 17.46 | 2,425 | 6.77 | 17,012 | 47.51 | 1,126 | 3.14 |
All Turks abroad together worldwide | 519.664 | 49.90 | 179,458 | 17.23 | 96,451 | 9.26 | 211,355 | 20.29 | 34,542 | 3.32 |
(Results for Luxembourg are not available separately.)
After the election
The Turkish constitution stipulates that a new government must be formed within 45 days of the election date. If this is not the case, new elections must take place. After neither party had won an absolute majority, various options were in principle conceivable:
- Formation of a national-conservative coalition of the AKP and MHP
- Formation of a grand coalition of the AKP and CHP
- Formation of a coalition of the AKP and HDP
- Formation of a coalition of the three previous opposition parties or at least two opposition parties with toleration of the remaining third parties (e.g. CHP with MHP with toleration of the HDP)
- an AKP minority government
Since no coalition could be formed after the elections in June 2015, new elections were constitutionally called for November 1, 2015 . Critics feared that the new election was an attempt by the AKP to win an absolute majority of the votes, which it just managed to do.
Web links
Individual evidence
- ↑ Bekir Ağırdır: HDP ve baraj. t24.com.tr, January 29, 2015, accessed June 12, 2015 (Turkish).
- ↑ List of ballot boxes and voters by provinces (PDF) Message from the High Electoral Committee.
- ↑ İşte AK Parti'nin 7 Haziran seçim beyannamesi. sabah.com.tr, April 15, 2015, accessed May 5, 2015 (Turkish).
- ^ Erdogan's regime: Turkish opposition warns of dictatorship. Der Spiegel, May 17, 2015, accessed June 4, 2015 .
- ↑ Hasnain Kazim: Erdogan's Challenger: The Man Who Could Save Turkish Democracy. Der Spiegel International, accessed on June 4, 2015 (English).
- ^ Turkey's election: What do we need to know? BBC News, June 3, 2015, accessed June 4, 2015 .
- ↑ Tension in Turkey before the election. Deutsche Welle, June 4, 2015, accessed June 4, 2015 .
- ↑ Reinhard Baumgarten: Turkey before the parliamentary elections: Erdogan's fantasies of omnipotence. Deutschlandfunk, June 3, 2015, accessed on June 4, 2015 .
- ^ Before the parliamentary elections: Explosions in front of the offices of the Turkish Kurdish Party , article by spiegel.de from May 18, 2015.
- ^ Report of the İHD
- ↑ Dead and injured in explosions before parliamentary elections. Zeit Online, June 5, 2015, accessed June 5, 2015 .
- ^ Message from the High Electoral Committee (PDF).
- ^ Message from the High Election Committee of April 3, 2015 (PDF).
- ↑ Message from the High Electoral Committee (PDF)
- ↑ Yuksek Kurulu Secim Baskanligi. (PDF) Ysk.gov.tr, accessed on May 19, 2015 (Turkish).
- ↑ Parliamentary election: This is how the Turks voted in Germany. Spiegel online, June 8, 2015, accessed June 10, 2015 .
- ↑ YSK randevu sistemini kaldırdı. (No longer available online.) December 7, 2014, archived from the original on January 21, 2015 ; Retrieved June 6, 2015 (Turkish). Info: The archive link was inserted automatically and has not yet been checked. Please check the original and archive link according to the instructions and then remove this notice.
- ↑ GENEL SEÇİM ARAŞTIRMASI HAZİRAN 2015 ( Memento of the original from September 24, 2015 in the Internet Archive ) Info: The archive link was inserted automatically and has not yet been checked. Please check the original and archive link according to the instructions and then remove this notice. (PDF) ORC (Turkish)
- ↑ KONDA 7 Haziran seçimleri için son araştırmasını duyurdu, işte sonuçlar T24 , May 31, 2015 (Turkish)
- ↑ En Güvendiği Anket Şirketinin Sonuçları Erdoğan'ı Şok Etti ( Memento of the original from May 28, 2015 in the Internet Archive ) Info: The archive link was inserted automatically and has not yet been checked. Please check the original and archive link according to the instructions and then remove this notice. UlusHaber.org , May 27, 2015 (Turkish)
- ↑ Son anketlerde çarpıcı sonuçlar ( Memento of the original from May 28, 2015 in the Internet Archive ) Info: The archive link was inserted automatically and has not yet been checked. Please check the original and archive link according to the instructions and then remove this notice. Kemalizmm.Net , May 27, 2015 (Turkish)
- ↑ Seçim yasakları öncesi son anket! Kanal A Haber , May 28, 2015 (Turkish)
- ↑ Sonar son anket sonuçlarını açıkladı BusinessHT , May 25, 2015 (Turkish)
- ↑ Gezici Araştırma Şirketi, yayın yasağı öncesi son anket sonuçlarını açıkladı telgrafhane , May 27, 2015 (Turkish)
- ↑ Son seçim anketi geldi tüm hesaplar değişecek İnternethaber , May 26, 2015 (Turkish)
- ↑ DENGE son seçim anketi ( Memento of the original from May 27, 2015 in the Internet Archive ) Info: The archive link was inserted automatically and has not yet been checked. Please check the original and archive link according to the instructions and then remove this notice. Seçim Anketleri , May 26, 2015 (Turkish)
- ↑ 20 ilde son seçim anketi Politics açıkladı İnternethaber , May 25, 2015 (Turkish)
- ↑ SAMER seçim anketi ( Memento of the original of May 27, 2015 in the Internet Archive ) Info: The archive link has been inserted automatically and has not yet been checked. Please check the original and archive link according to the instructions and then remove this notice. Seçim Anketleri , May 25, 2015 (Turkish)
- ↑ 2015 MİLLETVEKİLİ GENEL SEÇİMLERİ ARAŞTIRMA RAPORU - 22 Mayıs 2015 ( Memento of the original from May 24, 2015 in the Internet Archive ) Info: The archive link has been inserted automatically and has not yet been checked. Please check the original and archive link according to the instructions and then remove this notice. (PDF) Vera (Turkish)
- ↑ 'KONDA'nın anket sonuçları piyasayı sarstı' telgrafhane , May 21 (Turkish)
- ↑ AKAM'dan son seçim anketi ( Memento of the original from May 24, 2015 in the Internet Archive ) Info: The archive link was automatically inserted and not yet checked. Please check the original and archive link according to the instructions and then remove this notice. Kemalizmm.Net , May 23 (Turkish)
- ↑ Seçimlere 16 gün kala MetroPOLL'ün son anketi; işte partilerin oy dağılımı… telgrafhane , May 21, 2015 (Turkish)
- ↑ Gezici'nin Son Anketi: AK Parti Yüzde 38, HDP Barajı Aşıyor Haberler , May 17, 2015 (Turkish)
- ↑ İşte, CHP'nin seçim anketi Sözcü , May 13, 2015 (Turkish)
- ↑ SEÇMEN TERCİHLERİ ARAŞTIRMASI / Mayıs 2015 ( Memento of the original from September 24, 2015 in the Internet Archive ) Info: The archive link was inserted automatically and has not yet been checked. Please check the original and archive link according to the instructions and then remove this notice. (PDF) ORC (Turkish)
- ↑ Denge Araştırma son seçim anketini açıkladı İnternethaber , May 11, 2015 (Turkish)
- ↑ AKP 37, CHP 30, MHP 14, HDP 10 Sözcü , May 14, 2015 (Turkish)
- ↑ Consensus son anket sonuçlarını açıkladı telgrafhane , May 10, 2015 (Turkish)
- ↑ Son anket tam bomba..AKP ile HDP şoke olacak..AKP kiminle, CHP kiminle koalisyon istiyor? ( Memento of the original from May 22, 2015 in the Internet Archive ) Info: The archive link was inserted automatically and has not yet been checked. Please check the original and archive link according to the instructions and then remove this notice. Taraf , May 9, 2015 (Turkish)
- ^ A b c Government formation in Turkey: Opposition lets Erdogan stew. Spiegel online, June 8, 2016, accessed June 10, 2015 .
- ↑ Focus Turkey. (PDF) The 2010 constitutional reform. Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung , July 2010, accessed on June 10, 2015 .
- ^ Conflict in Turkey. The ten percent wall. Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung , June 13, 2013, accessed on June 10, 2015 .
- ↑ Dark time . In: Der Spiegel . No. 42 , 1982 ( online ).
- ↑ Official final result of the 2015 parliamentary elections (votes) (PDF) High Electoral Committee (Turkish)
- ↑ Official final result of the 2015 parliamentary elections (distribution of seats) (PDF) High Electoral Committee (Turkish)
- ↑ Elections 2015. (No longer available online.) Www.aa.com.tr, archived from the original on June 11, 2015 ; accessed on June 9, 2015 . Info: The archive link was inserted automatically and has not yet been checked. Please check the original and archive link according to the instructions and then remove this notice.
- ↑ Result of the foreign votes (PDF).
- ↑ Result of the foreign votes at customs (PDF).
- ↑ Reinhard Baumgarten: The narrow ridge - Turkey before the choice of fate . Deutschlandfunk, October 29, 2015; accessed on March 25, 2016
- ↑ Erdoğan announces early elections . Zeit Online, August 21, 2015; accessed on March 25, 2016