Presidential election in Poland 2015

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Presidential election in Poland
May 10, 2015 (first ballot)
May 24, 2015 (second ballot)
	Law and justice
	Andrzej Duda
	be right	8,630,627
		51.55%
	Platforma Obywatelska
	Bronislaw Komorowski
	be right	8,112,311
		48.45%
Powiat election results
President of the Third Polish Republic
Before the election Bronisław Komorowski PO Elected Andrzej Duda PiS

The sixth presidential election in Poland since the beginning of the Third Republic took place in its first round on May 10, 2015. In addition to the incumbent President Bronisław Komorowski (supported by the liberal-conservative Platforma Obywatelska ), the EU parliamentarian Andrzej Duda for the national conservative party Law and Justice and Paweł Kukiz as a right-wing populist, system-critical individual candidate stood for election .

Contrary to all polls, Duda achieved first place in the first round with 34.76 percent of the vote, ahead of Komorowski with 33.77 percent; Third place went to Kukiz with an unexpected 20.8 percent. In the runoff election between the first two on May 24, 2015, Duda prevailed with 51.55 percent of the vote against Komorowski with 48.45 percent, making him the elected President of the Republic. This was the narrowest result in a presidential election in Poland's history. Duda was inducted into office on August 6, 2015.

Electoral process

Art. 128 of the Polish constitution provides that the election date is set by the Sejm Marshal and must be 75 to 100 days before the end of the five-year term of office of the previous incumbent on a day off. The candidate who receives an absolute majority of the votes in the direct election is elected. If none of the candidates succeeds in the first ballot, two weeks after the first ballot, in this case on May 24, 2015, there will be a runoff between the two candidates with the highest number of votes from the first ballot.

All Polish citizens over 35 years of age were eligible to vote. Around 30 million active voters were called upon to cast their votes on May 10th and 24th between 7am and 9pm.

Starting position and search for candidates

After Prime Minister Donald Tusk moved to Brussels in September 2014, whose government, which had been functioning smoothly for seven years, ensured previously unknown political stability in the third republic, his successor Ewa Kopacz was confronted with growing dissatisfaction. At the end of 2014, her party, the liberal-conservative Civic Platform, lost a nationwide election for the first time since 2005 against its conservative rival, the Law and Justice party of Jarosław Kaczyński (26.7 to 26.4 percent). The government's announcement in January 2015 that it would rehabilitate the traditional but crisis-ridden Polish coal industry and close four of 14 mines of the state-owned Kompania Węglowa led to mass protests; Before the European elections in Poland in 2014 , Tusk announced that there would be no mine closings. After the announcement of a general strike , the government withdrew its project, but according to surveys it remained damaged, especially since Kopacz then left three close employees and wing struggles became noticeable in the ideologically and regionally fragmented civil platform. So far, the incumbent Polish President Komorowski, who is supported by the Civic Platform, has remained unaffected by these difficulties and, according to a survey from December 2014, had a very high level of approval of his office (73 percent) and excellent personal popularity ratings (79 percent). In view of the strong position of Komorowski, there were no heavyweights in Polish politics against him, but rather unknowns and “dropouts and lateral drivers”, which has been described as a problem for the as yet unsettled Polish democracy.

The conservative Law and Justice party, which had dominated Polish politics in the mid-2000s under the Kaczyński brothers, but was then pushed to second place by Tusk's Civic Platform, was about to make a possible comeback to the government. Instead of running himself and reducing the prospects for the autumn parliamentary election in the event of a defeat by the popular incumbent , chairman Jarosław Kaczyński sent the former right-hand man of his brother Lech, who died in 2010 as president, Andrzej Duda, into the race. The EU parliamentarian was widely respected and popular, but little known and so far untested in the front row.

The ex-communist, social-democratic alliance of the Democratic Left, which dominated the political landscape of Poland in the 1990s and early 2000s and had been marginalized by the civic platform's cleverly left-wing integrating strategy, had problems finding a suitable candidate for the election to find. The chairman Leszek Miller turned down his own candidacy so as not to exacerbate the difficulties of his party in the event of an expected defeat, and was unable to push through his preferred candidate Ryszard Kalisz internally. Instead, in January 2015, the almost unknown 35-year-old Magdalena Ogórek was chosen as the candidate, whose indescription as a candidate, her good looks and her fame from TV appearances led to a lot of media attention, but also to ridicule. In the course of the election campaign, the party distanced itself from the candidate who, as an independent, only entered the election with financial support from the Social Democrats.

The agrarian Polish People's Party , which is aiming to move in as the third party in the next parliamentary election, was faced with the decision whether to put up a candidate at all or to support the incumbent president, since the party's core electorate hardly takes part in the presidential elections and its candidates in the last two Elections only got about two percent. However, they decided on their own candidate, the regional politician Adam Jarubas .

Political scientist Aleks Szczerbiak saw the presidential candidacy of the left-liberal Janusz Palikot as the "last contingent" of his political career ("last hurray").

List of candidates

The following candidates were able to stand for election because they had submitted at least 100,000 supporters' signatures to the election commission on March 26, 2015:

photo	Surname	Age	Education / career	Party affiliation	political orientation	Election slogan	receipt
	Grzegorz Brown	48	Director Lecturer publicist	independent	Catholic-traditionalist monarchist economically liberal	Aby Polska never zginęła ("So that Poland doesn't go under")
	Andrzej Duda	42	jurist EU parliamentarians	Prawo i Sprawiedliwość (PiS) (supported by Solidarna Polska and Polska Razem )	Christian Democratic national conservative right-wing populist	Przyszłość ma na imię Polska ("The future has the name Poland")	-
	Adam Jarubas	40	Voivodeship Marshal	PSL	agrarian Christian Democratic	Wybieramy przyszłość ("We choose the future")
	Bronislaw Komorowski	62	acting president	Platforma Obywatelska (PO)	liberal centrist Christian Democratic	Wybierz zgodę i bezpieczeństwo ("Choose unity and security")	-
	Janusz Korwin-Mikke	72	editor EU parliamentarians	KORWiN	conservative libertarian economically liberal	Dumna bogata Polska ("Proud and Rich Poland")
	Marian Kowalski	50	political activist Bodybuilder	Ruch Narodowy (RN)	right-wing populist nationalist right-wing extremist	Silny człowiek na trudne czasy ("Strong man for difficult times")
	Paweł Kukiz	51	Rock musician	independent	Majority voting direct democracy right-wing populist	Potrafisz Polsko! ("Poland - you can do it!")
	Magdalena Ogórek	36	Historian	independent (supported by SLD )	social democratic	Polska od nowa ("Poland anew")	-
	Janusz Palikot	50	Member of the Sejm	Twój Ruch	left-liberal libertarian anticlerical	Aktywny prezydent - to jest możliwe ("Active President - this is possible")
	Paweł Tanajno	39	Entrepreneur	Demokracja Bezpośrednia (DB)	direct democracy E-democracy progressive regionalist	Co zrobisz jak wygrasz ?! Możesz! ("What will you do if you win ?! You can!")
	Jacek Wilk	40	Lawyer	Congress Nowej Prawicy (KNP)	conservative libertarian economically liberal	Poważnie o Polsce ("Seriously About Poland")

Election campaign

At the beginning of the election campaign in early 2015, Komorowski was well in the lead with high popularity ratings; he had the prospect of an absolute majority on May 10, which would make a second ballot unnecessary. In polls, Andrzej Duda from the conservative Law and Justice party followed by a double-digit margin. At the beginning of his election campaign in February 2015, Duda announced that he wanted to inherit the then President Lech Kaczyński, who died in an accident in 2010 , and that he would campaign for social equalization, above all by lowering the retirement age and increasing the tax-free amount to at least 8,000 zlotys.

Support for the candidate of the largest left party, the Federation of the Democratic Left, Magdalena Ogórek, was estimated at only around five to ten percent of the electorate, which was attributed to her inexperience and youth. She was shielded from the press and tried to awaken a spirit of optimism for a “European generation” in which she identified the youth and a new entrepreneurial spirit. In February 2014, she called for Russia - whose policies she did not approve of - to no longer be viewed as the main enemy, but to return to cooperation; The Polish government of the liberal-conservative Civic Platform and the incumbent President Komorowski have been among the sharpest critics of Russian President Putin in the Ukraine war since 2014 .

By mid-March, Andrzej Duda managed to make up ground through convincing performances in town hall format and concrete political commitments. In the polls it was significantly improved at up to 30 percent, while the incumbent president showed an inconspicuous, detached campaign style and in the polls slipped well below 50, sometimes even below 40 percent. Therefore - if the prospects were still good for him - a runoff election was very likely.

The incumbent increasingly focused on national security and foreign policy issues, especially in the tense relationship with Russia; In polls - unusual for a presidential election - the population called this policy area the most important. In addition to the media presence at major events, including the 70th anniversary of the war's end 1945, two days before the election, visited Komorowski the American destroyer USS Jason Dunham , announced the purchase of its own Patriot - aircraft missiles and gave a speech to soldiers at the border with the Russian exclave of Kaliningrad . Both the election date and Komorowski's appearances caused criticism. His main competitor, Duda, struck an even harsher tone and called for an aggressive regional leadership role instead of Poland's subordination to the common EU foreign policy.

Some of the other candidates like Magdalena Ogórek, Adam Jarubas and Janusz Palikot advocated a less confrontational policy, and Janusz Korwin-Mikke called for Polish neutrality instead of being offered to the United States.

The rise of the right-wing populist rock musician Paweł Kukiz as an independent applicant in the last few weeks before the election to up to 16 percent and thus to the third position of the candidates was partly explained by his largely ignoring foreign policy in a youth tired from the political dispute.

The outcome of the runoff election on May 24, 2015 between the two applicants with the most votes, Duda and Komorowski, was completely open; Polls predicted a head-to-head race. Since a voter died while voting in the Silesian town of Kowale, the election silence and with it the announcement of the first forecasts on May 24th until 10.30pm was delayed.

Opinion polls

First ballot

date	Institute	candidate										receipt
		Bronislaw Komorowski	Andrzej Duda	Paweł Kukiz	Janusz Korwin-Mikke	Magdalena Ogórek	Adam Jarubas	Janusz Palikot	Marian Kowalski	Grzegorz Brown	Jacek Wilk
10.05 ( Exit poll )	IPSOS	32.2%	34.8%	20.3%	4.4%	2.4%	1.6%	1.5%	0.8%	1.1%	0.6%
May 8, 2015	ESTYMATOR	40%	29%	16%	4%	3%	4%	2%	1 %	1 %	0%
May 8, 2015	IBRiS	40.9%	26.6%	15%	3.1%	2.1%	2%	1.6%	0.4%	0.9%	0%
May 8, 2015	TNS Polska	35%	27%	15%	3%	3%	2%	1 %	0%	1 %	0%
May 8, 2015	PP / ROBOP	39.3%	31.1%	12.2%	5.1%	4.3%	3.9%	1.9%	0.6%	1.3%	0.2%
May 7, 2015	Millward Brown	39%	27%	13%	5%	4%	2%	3%	0%	1 %	0%
May 7, 2015	IBRiS	39.7%	29%	14.3%	4.2%	2.4%	3.2%	1.7%	0.7%	0.8%	0%
May 1, 2015	IBRiS	39.2%	26.8%	8.2%	5.7%	2.4%	2.6%	1.9%	0.7%	0.4%	0.3%
May 1, 2015	TNS Polska for TVP	39%	25%	11%	4%	4%	2%	2%	0%	0%	0%
April 29, 2015	Millward Brown	42%	27%	9%	5%	3%	1 %	2%	1 %	0%	0%
April 26, 2015	IBRiS	42.3%	29%	7.1%	3.9%	3%	1.7%	1.1%	0.7%	0.4%	0.2%
April 24, 2015	CBOS	43%	26%	7%	4%	4%	2%	1 %	0%	0%	0%
April 24, 2015	IBRiS	42%	29%	7.4%	3.5%	2.6%	1.1%	1.4%	0.7%	0.4%	0.3%
April 24, 2015	PP / ROBOP	41.5%	29.8%	8.4%	6.6%	6.1%	4.3%	2.1%	0.4%	0.5%	0.2%
April 24, 2015	TNS Polska	48%	31%	6%	4%	6%	3%	1 %	0%	0%	0%
17th April 2015	ESTYMATOR	49%	29%	5%	4%	2%	5%	2%	0%	1 %	2%
17th April 2015	IBRiS	41.8%	27.2%	8.2%	4%	3%	2.2%	2.7%	0.5%	0.4%	0.1%
17th April 2015	GfK Polonia	41%	24%	4%	3%	5%	2%	1 %	0.4%	0.4%	0.2%
April 15, 2015	IBRiS	42%	29.1%	4.8%	4.7%	4.4%	2.8%	2.4%	0%	0%	0.3%
April 13, 2015	Millward Brown	45%	28%	6%	6%	4%	2%	2%	0%	0%	0%
April 12, 2015	TNS Polska for TVP	46%	24%	6%	4%	3%	1 %	2%	0%	1 %	0%
April 10, 2015	PP / ROBOP	40.9%	32.4%	6.1%	4.6%	6.3%	5.1%	2%	0.9%	1.4%	0.2%
April 10, 2015	IBRiS	40.4%	30.6%	3.6%	3.9%	4.6%	3.8%	2.7%	0.4%	0.7%	0%
March 30, 2015	IBRiS	40.7%	26.6%	3.3%	4.8%	4.9%	5.1%	2.7%	0.4%	0.4%	0%
March 30, 2015	Millward Brown	42%	26%	4%	6%	7%	2%	3%	1 %	0%	0%
March 23, 2015	TNS Polska	41%	24%	2%	2%	6%	2%	1 %	0%	0%	0%
March 20, 2015	CBOS	48%	20%	2%	4%	2%	1 %	1 %	0%	0%	0%
March 20, 2015	ESTYMATOR	51%	26%	7%	4%	4%	4%	2%	0%	0%	0%
19th March 2015	GfK Polonia	48%	23%	1 %	2%	3%	2%	1 %	0.6%	0.3%	0%
17th March 2015	CBOS	52%	19%	2%	1 %	3%	1 %	2%	0%	0%	0%
March 16, 2015	Millward Brown	46%	31%	5%	4%	4%	1 %	4%	1 %	0%	0%
March 15, 2015	TNS Polska for TVP	45%	27%	2%	4%	5%	1 %	1 %	0%	0%	0%
March 3, 2015	IPSOS	49.7%	28%	3.5%	3.8%	5.7%	2%	1.4%	0.7%	0%	0.3%
March 2, 2015	Millward Brown	46%	27%	4%	4%	8th %	3%	2%	1 %	0%	0%
March 2, 2015	IBRiS	49%	26%	3%	3%	4%	3%	2%	1 %	0%	0%
2nd-8th March 2015	PPW	48%	28%	4%	4%	3%	2%	7%	1 %	0%	0%
average		43.53%	27.12%	6.75%	4.05%	4.05%	2.51%	2.02%	0.4%	0.38%	0.12%

Second ballot

date	Institute	candidate		Undecided	receipt
		Andrzej Sebastian Duda	Bronislaw Maria Komorowski
May 24th (Late poll)	IPSOS	52.0%	48.0%	-
May 24th ( Exit poll )	IPSOS	53.0%	47.0%	-
May 22, 2015	IBRiS	46%	46.7%	7%
May 22, 2015	Millward Brown	45.8%	45.3%	8.9%
May 22, 2015	ESTYMATOR	49.5%	50.5%	-
May 22, 2015	TNS Polska	43%	45%	12%
May 22, 2015	POLSKA PRESS / OBOP	51%	49%	-
May 22, 2015	IBRiS	44.5%	45.5%	10.0%
May 21, 2015	CBOS	48%	44%	5%
May 21, 2015	IBRiS	47%	47.3%	5.7%
May 20, 2015	Millward Brown	45%	47%	8th %
19th May 2015	ESTYMATOR	52%	48%	-
May 18, 2015	Millward Brown	44%	47%	9%
May 16, 2015	ESTYMATOR	54%	46%	-
May 15, 2015	IBRiS	48%	43.2%	6.9%
May 14, 2015	Millward Brown	44%	40%	16%

Results

voter turnout

The proportion of eligible voters who voted was as follows:

1st ballot			2nd ballot
Period	voter turnout	Votes cast	Period	voter turnout	Votes cast
7.00-12.00	14.61%	4,408,602	7.00-12.00	17.40%	5,219,534
7:00 am - 5:00 pm	34.41%	10,401,799	7:00 am - 5:00 pm	40.51%	12.194.358
7.00-21.00	48.96%	15,023,886	7.00-2.30	55.34%	16,993,169

Official end result

Results of the 1st ballot in individual powiat

Results of the 2nd ballot in individual powiat

2015 presidential election result in Poland

candidate	Political party	1st ballot		2nd ballot
		be right	%	be right	%
Andrzej Duda	PiS	5,179,092	34.76	8,630,627	51.55
Bronislaw Komorowski	PO	5,031,060	33.77	8,112,311	48.45
Paweł Kukiz	independent	3,099,079	20.80
Janusz Korwin-Mikke	KORWiN	486.084	3.26
Magdalena Ogórek	SLD	353,883	2.38
Adam Jarubas	PSL	238,761	1.60
Janusz Palikot	TR	211,242	1.42
Grzegorz Brown	independent	124.132	0.83
Marian Kowalski	RN	77,630	0.52
Jacek Wilk	KNP	68.186	0.46
Paweł Tanajno	DB	29,785	0.20
total		14,898,934	100.00	16,742,938	100.00
Valid votes		14,898,934	99.17	16,742,938	98.53
Invalid votes		124,952	0.83	250.231	1.47
voter turnout		15,023,886	48.96	16,993,169	55.34
Eligible voters		30,688,570	100.00	30,709,281	100.00
Source: State Electoral Commission (Państwowa Komisja Wyborcza)

Vote from Poles abroad

Majorities in Poland abroad by country. Note the significantly different numbers of voters. Only in a few countries did more than 1,000 people vote (see table opposite).

Polish citizens abroad were also eligible to vote. A total of 158,395 valid votes were cast by Poles abroad in the second ballot . 88,598 (55.9%) voted for Duda and 69,797 (44.1%) for Komorowski. The markedly different voting behavior in individual countries was remarkable. As in previous elections, the Poles in the United States and Canada voted much more nationally and conservatively.

Table of the 20 states ^† with the most votes.
Results of the second ballot

country	Given, valid votes	You there		Komorowski
		be right	in percent	be right	in percent
United Kingdom	46,385	26,781	57.74%	19,604	42.26%
United States	22,975	18,583	80.88%	4,392	19.12%
Germany	16,628	7,802	46.92%	8,826	53.08%
Ireland	8,928	4,855	54.38%	4,073	45.62%
France	8,280	4,354	52.58%	3,926	47.42%
Belgium	7.175	2,890	40.28%	4,285	59.72%
Norway	6,534	3,739	57.22%	2,795	42.78%
Netherlands	4,652	2,055	44.17%	2,597	55.83%
Canada	4,546	3,516	77.34%	1,030	22.66%
Sweden	3,981	1,803	45.29%	2,178	54.71%
Austria	3,384	1,712	50.59%	1,672	49.41%
Italy	2.983	1,697	56.89%	1,286	43.11%
Spain	2,597	868	33.42%	1,729	66.58%
Switzerland	2,255	990	43.90%	1,265	56.10%
Denmark	2,076	941	45.33%	1,135	54.67%
Czech Republic	1,211	403	33.28%	808	66.72%
Australia	1,124	673	59.88%	451	40.12%
Ukraine	900	483	53.67%	417	46.33%
Luxembourg	816	261	31.99%	555	68.01%

^† These 20 states comprised 93% of all foreign votes cast.

Results by voivodeship

First ballot

Voivodships	electoral participation		Andrzej Duda		Bronislaw Komorowski		Paweł Kukiz		Janusz Korwin-Mikke		Magdalena Ogórek		Adam Jarubas		Janusz Palikot		Grzegorz Brown		Marian Kowalski		Jacek Wilk		Paweł Tanajno
	number	%	number	%	number	%	number	%	number	%	number	%	number	%	number	%	number	%	number	%	number	%	number	%
Lower Silesia	1,102,460	47.56	329,350	30.13	413,593	37.84	240.258	21.98	35.184	3.22	26,588	2.43	9673	0.88	17,513	1.60	8936	0.82	4651	0.43	5045	0.46	2345	0.21
Kuyavian Pomeranian	729.883	44.46	215.995	29.83	284.216	39.26	148.273	20.48	21,741	3.00	21,119	2.92	9846	1.36	10,731	1.48	4378	0.60	3290	0.45	3226	0.45	1207	0.17
Lublin	843.359	48.56	367.389	43.91	190.065	22.72	177,679	21.24	26,050	3.11	17,663	2.11	20,935	2.50	14,283	1.71	8880	1.06	8808	1.05	3698	0.44	1241	0.15
Lebus	348,968	43.37	92,488	26.74	143,734	41.55	71,831	20.76	11,972	3.46	10,380	3.00	3908	1.13	5571	1.61	2341	0.68	1634	0.47	1488	0.43	590	0.17
Łódź	1.005.027	49.72	362.914	36.42	321,409	32.25	206.606	20.73	30.134	3.02	26,827	2.69	15,062	1.51	14,254	1.43	7310	0.73	5218	0.52	4908	0.49	1954	0.20
Lesser Poland	1,382,632	52.16	606.824	44.23	374.793	27.32	257,956	18.80	50,925	3.71	24,788	1.81	15,519	1.13	14,050	1.02	12,654	0.92	5841	0.43	5932	0.43	2573	0.19
Mazovia	2,411,208	54.91	860.985	36.03	783.155	32.78	486.707	20.37	80,260	3.36	49.101	2.05	30.001	1.26	38,792	1.62	26,825	1.12	13,384	0.56	12,996	0.54	7260	0.30
Opole	345.494	42.54	88,653	25.88	129,264	37.74	95,494	27.88	9623	2.81	7436	2.17	2891	0.84	3878	1.13	2429	0.71	1171	0.34	1277	0.37	429	0.13
Subcarpathian	842.713	49.54	419.352	50.09	170,962	20.42	167,643	20.02	27,396	3.27	15,402	1.84	11,776	1.41	6913	0.83	8132	0.97	5900	0.70	2858	0.34	891	0.11
Podlaskie	446.375	46.88	180.155	40.68	122,837	27.74	90.243	20.38	16,489	3.72	11,816	2.67	6390	1.44	5131	1.16	4340	0.98	3029	0.68	1794	0.41	623	0.14
Pomerania	886.720	50.11	243,691	27.73	378.940	43.12	170.259	19.37	28,072	3.19	19,575	2.23	7080	0.81	13,062	1.49	6919	0.79	4302	0.49	4674	0.53	2189	0.25
Silesia	1,816,714	49.87	565,779	31.40	635.262	35.25	425.116	23.29	58,286	3.23	46,462	2.58	13,975	0.78	25,728	1.43	12,946	0.72	7218	0.40	7984	0.44	3324	0.18
Holy Cross	479,670	46.33	181,398	38.10	106,453	22.36	88,525	18.60	14,688	3.09	10,287	2.16	61.908	13.00	5141	1.08	2987	0.63	2419	0.51	1696	0.36	559	0.12
Warmia-Masuria	480,066	42.03	139,859	29.39	187.425	39.39	98.108	20.62	16,588	3.49	12,456	2.62	5971	1.25	6564	1.38	3430	0.72	2606	0.55	2037	0.43	762	0.16
Greater Poland	1,303,353	47.92	369,448	28.60	539.699	41.78	247.177	19.13	38,897	3.01	37.293	2.89	17,767	1.38	19,050	1.47	8097	0.63	5504	0.43	6105	0.47	2825	0.22
West Pomerania	599.244	44.44	154,812	26.06	249.253	41.96	127.204	21.41	19,779	3.33	16,690	2.81	6059	1.02	10,581	1.78	3528	0.59	2655	0.45	2468	0.42	1013	0.17
total	15,023,886	48.96	5,179,092	34.76	5,031,060	33.77	3,099,079	20.80	486.084	3.26	353,883	2.38	238,761	1.60	211,242	1.42	124.132	0.83	77,630	0.52	68.186	0.46	29,785	0.20
Source: State Electoral Commission (Państwowa Komisja Wyborcza)

Second ballot

This article or section needs to be revised: The percentages of the candidates by voivodeship are either not self-explanatory or partly wrong or both: Sometimes they result in 100% as a total, sometimes significantly less, but more than the percentage of the voter turnout. However, there will hardly have been any invalid or other votes where these differences can be explained.
Please help to improve it , and then remove this flag.

Voivodships	electoral participation		Andrzej Duda		Bronislaw Komorowski
	number	%	number	%	number	%
Lower Silesia	1,235,235	53.28	554.269	45.46	662.381	54.44
Kuyavian Pomeranian	366.053	43.51	215.995	29.83	475.177	56.49
Lublin	614,512	66.37	367.389	43.91	311,377	33.63
Lebus	396.255	49.41	155,481	39.84	234.764	60.16
Łódź	1,149,442	56.98	608.325	53.74	523.359	46.25
Lesser Poland	1,559,331	58.88	955.102	62.09	583.182	37.91
Mazovia	2,744,735	61.58	1,448,847	53.57	1,255,756	46.43
Opole	383.019	47.27	159,545	42.33	217,370	57.67
Subcarpathian	943.411	55.65	665.377	71.33	266,656	28.61
Podlaskie	1,004,730	52.49	290,681	59.31	199,412	40.69
Pomerania	2,002,668	56.72	397.943	40.22	591.373	59.78
Silesia	2,002,668	55.13	961.706	48.80	1,008,849	51.20
Holy Cross	539.211	52.25	328.202	61.74	203,376	38.26
Warmia-Masuria	548.242	48.09	236.314	43.76	303.754	56.24
Greater Poland	1,506,943	55.46	617.184	41.57	867,404	58.43
West Pomerania	689.986	51.05	271.086	39.91	408.121	60.09
total	16,993,169	55.34	8,630,627	51.55	8,112,311	48.45
Source: State Electoral Commission (Państwowa Komisja Wyborcza)

Web links

Commons : Presidential Election in Poland 2015  - Collection of pictures, videos and audio files

• Election Commission website (Polish).
• Your guide to the 2015 Polish presidential election. In: Krakow Post , May 8, 2015.
• Incumbent Komorowski the clear favorite in the presidential election in Poland. In: Deutsche Welle , May 10, 2015.

Individual evidence

1. ^ Wyniki Polska. In: Prezydent2015.pkw.gov.pl .
2. ^ Incumbent Komorowski clear favorite in the presidential election in Poland. In: Deutsche Welle , May 10, 2015.
3. ↑ Sebastiao Barbosa: UPDATED: Conflict in Polish mining industry escalates. In: Political Critique , January 30, 2015.
4. ↑ Aleks Szczerbiak: Is the Kopacz government's honeymoon over? In: The Polish Politics Blog. February 2, 2015, accessed May 26, 2015 . 
5. ↑ Aleks Szczerbiak: Polish politics in 2014 (Part 1): Is the ruling party back in the game? In: The Polish Politics Blog. January 2, 2015, accessed May 26, 2015 . 
6. ^ Gabriele Lesser: Presidential election in Poland. Dropouts and cross drivers. In: the daily newspaper , May 9, 2015.
7. ↑ Aleks Szczerbiak: Polish politics in 2014 (Part 2): Can Law and Justice break through the 'glass ceiling'? In: The Polish Politics Blog. January 8, 2015, accessed May 26, 2015 . 
8. ↑ ^{a b} Aleks Szczerbiak: Polish politics in 2014 (Part 4): Has the left hit rock bottom? In: The Polish Politics Blog. January 19, 2015, accessed May 26, 2015 . 
9. ↑ ^{a b} Henry Foy: Polish presidential candidate raises media storm. In: Financial Times , February 4, 2015.
10. ↑ Your guide to the 2015 Polish presidential election. In: Krakow Post , May 8, 2015.
11. ↑ Aleks Szczerbiak: Polish politics in 2014 (Part 3): Has the Peasant Party joined the 'premier league'? In: The Polish Politics Blog. January 14, 2015, accessed May 26, 2015 . 
12. ↑ Grzegorz Braun wystartuje w wyborach prezydenckich. “Never jestem Demokratie”. In: TVP.info. January 24, 2015, accessed May 26, 2015 (Polish). 
13. ^ Two new presidential candidates in the running. In: TheNews.pl , February 2, 2015.
14. ^ Maverick MEP Korwin-Mikke launches new party. In: TheNews.pl , January 23, 2015.
15. ↑ Polish far-right nationalists tap nightclub bouncer for presidential candidate. In: TheNews.pl , December 17, 2014.
16. ↑ Wojciech Rylokowski: Presidential candidate loose record deal with Sony Music. In: WBJ.pl , February 13, 2015.
17. ^ Liberal maverick Palikot announces presidential bid. In: TheNews.pl , December 15, 2014.
18. ↑ prezydent2015.pkw.gov.pl
19. ↑ Alicja Ciszewska: KNP names its presidental candidate. In: WBJ.pl , February 4, 2015.
20. ^ Komorowski tops presidential poll. In: TheNews.pl. February 6, 2015, accessed May 26, 2015 . 
21. ^ Polish President Komorowski set for a landslide victory in May's election. In: Ukraine Today . February 8, 2015, accessed May 26, 2015 . 
22. ↑ Polish presidential candidate Duda starts campaign, pledging increased social care. In: Fox News . AP , February 7, 2015; archived from the original on April 2, 2015 ; accessed on May 26, 2015 (English). 
23. ↑ Duda: podnieść kwotę wolną od podatku - na początek do 8 tys. zł. In: Onet.pl . April 25, 2015, accessed May 26, 2015 (Polish). 
24. ↑ One of Poland's leading presidential candidates just vowed for better ties with Russia. In: BusinessInsider.com. February 14, 2015, accessed May 26, 2015 . 
25. ↑ Aleks Szczerbiak: Who will win the Polish presidential election and why does it matter? In: The Polish Politics Blog. March 2, 2015, accessed May 26, 2015 . 
26. ↑ Aleks Szczerbiak: Which issues will determine the Polish presidential election? In: The Polish Politics Blog. May 1, 2015, accessed May 26, 2015 . 
27. ↑ ^{a b} Annabelle Chapman: Don't Bring a Dove to a Polish Hawk Fight. In: Foreign Policy , May 9, 2015.
28. ↑ ^{a b} Armin Coerper: Presidential election in Poland: From Russians, rockers and a blonde. ( Memento from May 18, 2015 in the Internet Archive ) In: Heute.de , May 10, 2015.
29. ↑ Aleks Szczerbiak: How will the Ukrainian conflict affect the Polish presidential election? In: The Polish Politics Blog. April 1, 2015, accessed May 26, 2015 . 
30. ^ Gabriel Lesser: Presidential election in Poland. Head to head race. In: the daily newspaper , May 23, 2015; Komorowski vs. Duda in Unpredictable Poland Runoff Poll. In: Deutsche Welle , May 24, 2015.
31. ↑ Twitter status report from the ARD studio in Warsaw on May 24, 2015.
32. ↑ Wybory prezydenckie 2015. Sensacja! Andrzej Duda wygrywa I turę. 24 maja zmierzy się z Bronisławem Komorowskim. (Eng .: sensation! Andrzej Duda wins the first ballot. On May 24th he will face Bronisław Komorowski). In: Gazeta.pl. May 10, 2015, accessed May 26, 2015 (Polish). 
33. ↑ Sondaż prezydencki ESTYMATOR ( Memento from May 14, 2015 in the Internet Archive ) (German: Survey on the ESTYMATOR presidential election) In: ewybory.eu , May 8, 2015 (Polish).
34. ↑ Sondaż prezydencki IBRiS ( Memento of the original from May 14, 2015 in the Internet Archive ) Info: The archive link was inserted automatically and has not yet been checked. Please check the original and archive link according to the instructions and then remove this notice. (German: IBRiS presidential election poll) In: ewybory.eu , May 8 (Polish). 
35. ↑ Sondaż prezydencki TNS Polska  ( page no longer available , search in web archives )  Info: The link was automatically marked as defective. Please check the link according to the instructions and then remove this notice. (German: TNS Polska presidential election poll) In: ewybory.eu , May 8, 2015 (Polish).  
36. ↑ Sondaż prezydencki PP / ROBOP  ( page can no longer be accessed , search in web archives )  Info: The link was automatically marked as defective. Please check the link according to the instructions and then remove this notice. (German: Survey on the PP / ROBOP presidential election) In: ewybory.eu , May 8, 2015 (Polish).  
37. ↑ Komorowski po raz pierwszy z poparciem poniżej 40 proc. Sondaż dla Faktów TVN i TVN24. (German: Komorowski for the first time with an agreement below 40%. Survey conducted for Fakty TVN and TVN24 ). In: TVN .pl. May 7, 2015, accessed May 26, 2015 (Polish). 
38. ↑ Sondaż prezydencki IBRiS  ( page no longer available , search in web archives )  Info: The link was automatically marked as defective. Please check the link according to the instructions and then remove this notice. (German: IBRiS presidential election poll) In: ewybory.eu , May 7, 2015 (Polish).  
39. ↑ Sondaż prezydencki IBRiS ( Memento of the original from May 2, 2015 in the Internet Archive ) Info: The archive link was inserted automatically and has not yet been checked. Please check the original and archive link according to the instructions and then remove this notice. (German: IBRiS presidential election poll) In: ewybory.eu , May 1, 2015 (Polish). 
40. ↑ Sondaż prezydencki TNS Polska dla TVP ( Memento of the original from May 2, 2015 in the Internet Archive ) Info: The archive link was inserted automatically and has not yet been checked. Please check the original and archive link according to the instructions and then remove this notice. (German: TNS Polska presidential election poll for TVP ) In: ewybory.eu , May 1, 2015 (Polish). 
41. ↑ Sondaż prezydencki Millward Brown ( Memento of the original from May 1, 2015 in the Internet Archive ) Info: The archive link was inserted automatically and has not yet been checked. Please check the original and archive link according to the instructions and then remove this notice. (German: Millward Brown's presidential election poll) In: ewybory.eu , April 29, 2015 (Polish). 
42. ↑ Sondaż prezydencki IBRiS ( Memento of the original from April 29, 2015 in the Internet Archive ) Info: The archive link has been inserted automatically and has not yet been checked. Please check the original and archive link according to the instructions and then remove this notice. (German: IBRiS presidential election poll) In: ewybory.eu , April 26, 2015 (Polish). 
43. ↑ Sondaż prezydencki CBOS ( Memento of the original from April 26, 2015 in the Internet Archive ) Info: The archive link has been inserted automatically and has not yet been checked. Please check the original and archive link according to the instructions and then remove this notice. (German: CBOS presidential election poll) In: ewybory.eu , April 24, 2015 (Polish). 
44. ↑ Sondaż prezydencki IBRiS ( Memento of the original from April 26, 2015 in the Internet Archive ) Info: The archive link was inserted automatically and has not yet been checked. Please check the original and archive link according to the instructions and then remove this notice. (German: IBRiS presidential election poll) In: ewybory.eu , April 24, 2015 (Polish). 
45. ↑ Sondaż prezydencki PP / ROBOP ( Memento of the original from April 25, 2015 in the Internet Archive ) Info: The archive link was inserted automatically and has not yet been checked. Please check the original and archive link according to the instructions and then remove this notice. (German: Survey on the presidential election of PP / ROBOP) In: ewybory.eu , April 24, 2015 (Polish). 
46. ↑ Sondaż prezydencki TNS Polska ( Memento of the original from April 25, 2015 in the Internet Archive ) Info: The archive link was inserted automatically and has not yet been checked. Please check the original and archive link according to the instructions and then remove this notice. (German: TNS Polska's presidential election poll) In: ewybory.eu , April 24, 2015 (Polish). 
47. ↑ Sondaż prezydencki ESTYMATOR ( Memento of the original from April 20, 2015 in the Internet Archive ) Info: The archive link was inserted automatically and has not yet been checked. Please check the original and archive link according to the instructions and then remove this notice. (German: ESTYMATOR presidential election poll) In: ewybory.eu , April 17, 2015 (Polish). 
48. ↑ Sondaż prezydencki IBRiS (German: survey on the presidential election of IBRiS) In: ewybory.eu , April 17, 2015 (Polish).
49. ↑ Sondaż prezydencki GfK Polonia ( Memento of the original from April 20, 2015 in the Internet Archive ) Info: The archive link was inserted automatically and has not yet been checked. Please check the original and archive link according to the instructions and then remove this notice. (German: GfK Polonia's presidential election survey) In: ewybory.eu , April 17, 2015 (Polish). 
50. ↑ Sondaż prezydencki IBRiS ( Memento of the original from April 15, 2015 in the Internet Archive ) Info: The archive link was inserted automatically and has not yet been checked. Please check the original and archive link according to the instructions and then remove this notice. (German: IBRiS presidential election poll) In: ewybory.eu , April 15, 2015 (Polish). 
51. ↑ Sondaż prezydencki Millward Brown ( Memento of the original from April 15, 2015 in the Internet Archive ) Info: The archive link was inserted automatically and has not yet been checked. Please check the original and archive link according to the instructions and then remove this notice. (German: Millward Brown's presidential election poll) In: ewybory.eu , April 13, 2015 (Polish). 
52. ↑ Sondaż TNS dla "Wiadomości" Komorowski powiększa przewagę, Kukiz zastąpił Ogórek na podium. (German: TNS Polska Institute's survey for “Wiadomości”: Komorowski increases the distance, Kukiz pushes Ogórek off the podium). In: TVP.info. April 12, 2015, accessed May 26, 2015 (Polish). 
53. ↑ ^{a b} Nowe sondaże: Duda traci mniej niż 10 proc. (German: New surveys: Duda reduces the gap to below 10%; translated accordingly). In: Interia.pl. April 10, 2015, accessed May 26, 2015 (Polish). 
54. ↑ Sondaż prezydencki IBRiS ( Memento of the original from April 2, 2015 in the Internet Archive ) Info: The archive link was inserted automatically and has not yet been checked. Please check the original and archive link according to the instructions and then remove this notice. (German: IBRiS presidential election poll) In: ewybory.eu , March 30, 2015 (Polish). 
55. ↑ Sondaż prezydencki Millward Brown ( Memento of the original from March 31, 2015 in the Internet Archive ) Info: The archive link was inserted automatically and has not yet been checked. Please check the original and archive link according to the instructions and then remove this notice. (German: Millward Brown's presidential election poll) In: ewybory.eu , March 30, 2015 (Polish). 
56. ^ Bronisław Komorowski - 41. Andrzej Duda - 24 [Sondaż TNS Polska]. (German: Bronisław Komorowski - 41. Andrzej Duda - 24 [TNS Polska polls]). In: Gazeta Wyborcza . May 23, 2015, Retrieved May 25, 2015 (Polish). 
57. ↑ Sondaż prezydencki CBOS: Poparcie dla Komorowskiego dalej spada, dla Dudy rośnie. (German: Survey on the presidential election, CBOS: The approval for Komorowski falls further and increases with Duda). (No longer available online.) In: Gazeta.pl. March 20, 2015, archived from the original on May 12, 2015 ; Retrieved May 25, 2015 (Polish). Info: The archive link was inserted automatically and has not yet been checked. Please check the original and archive link according to the instructions and then remove this notice.  
58. ↑ Sondaż prezydencki ESTYMATOR ( Memento of the original from March 22, 2015 in the Internet Archive ) Info: The archive link was inserted automatically and has not yet been checked. Please check the original and archive link according to the instructions and then remove this notice. (German: ESTYMATOR presidential election poll) In: ewybory.eu , March 20, 2015 (Polish). 
59. ↑ Sondaż prezydencki GfK Polonia ( Memento from March 25, 2015 in the Internet Archive ) (German: Survey on the GfK Polonia presidential election) In: ewybory.eu , March 19, 2015 (Polish).
60. ↑ Sondaż prezydencki CBOS ( Memento from March 20, 2015 in the Internet Archive ) (German: Survey on the presidential election of CBOS) In: ewybory.eu , March 17, 2015 (Polish).
61. ↑ Sondaż prezydencki Millward Brown ( Memento of March 18, 2015 in the Internet Archive ) (German: Survey on Millward Brown's presidential election) In: ewybory.eu , March 16, 2015 (Polish).
62. ↑ Wybory prezydenckie 2015. Najnowszy sondaż: Bronisław Komorowski traci, Andrzej Duda zyskuje. (German: presidential election 2015. The latest poll: Bronisław Komorowski loses, Andrzej Duda wins). In: Polskie Radio. March 15, 2015, accessed May 26, 2015 (Polish). 
63. ↑ Sondaż prezydencki IPSOS ( Memento of March 6, 2015 in the Internet Archive ) (German: Survey on the IPSOS presidential election) In: ewybory.eu , March 3, 2015 (Polish).
64. ↑ Sondaż prezydencki Millward Brown ( Memento of March 10, 2015 in the Internet Archive ) (German: Survey on Millward Brown's presidential election) In: ewybory.eu , March 2, 2015 (Polish).
65. ↑ Sondaż prezydencki IBRiS ( Memento from March 5, 2015 in the Internet Archive ) (German: survey on the IBRiS presidential election) In: ewybory.eu , March 2, 2015 (Polish).
66. ↑ ^{a b} Prognoza wyborcza PPW: Komorowski wygra, ale będzie druga tura. In: Gazeta.pl. March 9, 2015, Retrieved May 25, 2015 (Polish). 
67. ↑ Sondaż: Andrzej Duda wygrał wybory prezydenckie z wynikiem 52 proc. głosów [RELACJA]. May 24, 2015, accessed May 26, 2015 (Polish). 
68. ↑ Wybory prezydenckie 2015. Andrzej Duda wygrał drugą turę wyborów prezydenckich według sondażu late poll. In: Gazeta.pl. May 24, 2015, accessed May 26, 2015 (Polish). 
69. ↑ Ostatni sondaż przed ciszą wyborczą. Komorowski o włos przed Dudą. In: radiozet.pl. May 22, 2015, Retrieved May 22, 2015 (Polish). 
70. ↑ Ostatni sondaż Prezydencki. In: Polityka's blog . May 22, 2015. Retrieved May 26, 2015 (Polish). 
71. ↑ Paweł Szaniawski: Sondaż "Newsweeka" Komorowski wygrywa o wlos. In: Newsweek Polska . May 22, 2015, accessed May 24, 2015 (Polish). 
72. ↑ Marcin Dobski, Maciej Deja: Wybory 2015: Nasz sondaż prezydencki. Jak Polacy będą głosować w II turze [ANALIZA]. May 22, 2015, accessed May 25, 2015 . 
73. ↑ Sondaz prezydencki IBRiS Bronislaw Komorowski nieznacznie wygrywa z Andrzejem Duda. May 22, 2015, archived from the original on May 26, 2015 ; Retrieved May 26, 2015 (Polish). 
74. ↑ Sondaż Prezydencki: Duda 48 proc .; Komorowski 44 proc. In: Interia.pl. May 21, 2015, accessed May 26, 2015 (Polish). 
75. ↑ Najnowszy sondaż Prezydencki: kandydaci Ida łeb w łeb. In: Polskie Radio. May 21, 2015, accessed May 26, 2015 (Polish). 
76. ↑ Wybory prezydenckie 2015. Niewielka przewaga Komorowskiego nad Dudą [SONDAŻ PREZYDENCKI]. In: Gazeta Wyborcza. May 20, 2015, accessed May 26, 2015 (Polish). 
77. ↑ Maleje przewaga Dudy nad Komorovskim. Najnowszy SONDAŻ. In: Dziennik. May 19, 2015, accessed May 26, 2015 (Polish). 
78. ↑ Sondaż dla Faktów TVN i TVN24: Komorowski przed Duda w drugiej Turze wyborów. May 18, 2015, accessed May 26, 2015 (Polish). 
79. ↑ Sondaż dla "Newsweeka" Duda przed Komorowskim. In: Intria.pl. May 16, 2015, Retrieved May 26, 2015 (Polish). 
80. ↑ Kolejny sondaż prezydencki: wygrywa Andrzej Duda. In: WP.pl. May 15, 2015, archived from the original on May 18, 2015 ; Retrieved May 26, 2015 (Polish). 
81. ↑ Najnowszy sondaż prezydencki: Andrzej Duda - 44 per cent., Bronisław Komorowski - 40 per cent. In: Onet.pl. May 14, 2015, Retrieved May 26, 2015 (Polish). 
82. ↑ Podanie frekwencji z godz. 12:00. (PDF) (German: turnout at 12:00 p.m.; first ballot). In: pkw.gov.pl. Retrieved May 31, 2015 (Polish). 
83. ↑ Podanie frekwencji z godz. 12:00. (German: turnout at 12:00 p.m.; second ballot). In: pkw.gov.pl. Retrieved May 31, 2015 (Polish). 
84. ↑ Podanie frekwencji z godz. 17:00. (PDF) (German: turnout at 5 p.m.; first ballot). In: pkw.gov.pl. Retrieved May 31, 2015 (Polish). 
85. ↑ Podanie frekwencji z godz. 17:00. (German: turnout at 5:00 p.m.; second ballot). In: pkw.gov.pl. Retrieved May 31, 2015 (Polish). 
86. ↑ Podanie frekwencji z godz. 21:00. (German: turnout at 9:00 p.m.; first ballot). In: pkw.gov.pl. Retrieved May 31, 2015 (Polish). 
87. ↑ Podanie frekwencji z godz. 22:30. (German: turnout at 10:30 p.m.; second ballot). In: pkw.gov.pl. Retrieved May 31, 2015 (Polish). 
88. ↑ ^{a b c} Official result of the 2015 presidential election State Election Commission (Polish)