Parliamentary election in Poland 2015

from Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
2011Parliamentary election in Poland 20152019
Result (in%)
 %
40
30th
20th
10
0
37.6
24.1
8.8
7.6
7.6
5.1
4.8
3.6
0.9
Otherwise.
Gains and losses
compared to 2011
 % p
 10
   8th
   6th
   4th
   2
   0
  -2
  -4
  -6
  -8th
-10
-12
-14
-16
+7.7
-15.1
+8.8
+7.6
-10.6
-3.3
+4.8
+3.6
-3.4
Otherwise.
Template: election chart / maintenance / notes
Remarks:
e started in 2015 as a political alliance ZL ( SLD , TR , PPS , UP , PZ , PPP ); Comparative value 2011: added result of TR and SLD
Allocation of seats Sejm
1
28
138
16
235
42
28 138 16 235 42 
A total of 460 seats
Allocation of seats in the Senate
34
1
4th
61
34 4th 61 
A total of 100 seats
  • PO : 34
  • PSL : 1
  • Independent: 4
  • PiS : 61

The 2015 parliamentary elections in Poland took place on October 25, 2015. In the election, the voters decided on the composition of the deputies in the two chambers ( Sejm and Senate ) of the Polish parliament .

The national conservative party Prawo i Sprawiedliwość (PiS) won the election with 37.6% and received an absolute majority with 235 of the 460 seats in the Sejm . From November 16, 2015 (for the first time in the history of the Third Polish Republic ) a single-party government, the Szydło Cabinet, ruled . The coalition of the liberal-conservative Platforma Obywatelska (PO) and Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe (PSL) was voted out after two legislative terms and together has only 154 seats. The Zjednoczona Lewica (ZL) missed the threshold of 8 percent applicable to electoral alliances made up of several parties. Thus, for the first time since the beginning of the Third Republic, no left party is represented in parliament. The election committee Kukiz'15 of the rock musician Paweł Kukiz and the liberal party .Nowoczesna of the economist Ryszard Petru are represented in parliament for the first time. The election result was described as a “shift to the right”.

On November 12, 2015, the constituent meetings of the new Sejm and Senate took place, at which the parliamentary chairpersons ( Sejm and Senate Marshal ) were also elected.

Elections to the Sejm and Senate

Election date

The election date was announced on July 17, 2015 by then President Bronisław Komorowski . In addition to October 25th, October 11th, October 18th and November 1st were also available. The seventh electoral term of the Sejm ended on the day before the first session of the eighth electoral term was called. The beginning of the eighth electoral term was determined by the President; it can be a maximum of 30 days after the election.

Election to the Sejm in the eighth electoral term

The Sejm is elected according to a personalized proportional representation and takes place according to the D'Hondt procedure . The regular legislative period is four years. There is a threshold clause of five percent for parties and eight percent for party alliances.

A total of 460 Sejm members are elected from 41 constituencies. Each constituency has a defined number of mandates, from seven to a maximum of twenty. A party is voted for by ticking a candidate from that party. If a party is entitled to mandates based on the election results in a constituency, those candidates who have received the most votes will move into the Sejm, provided that the party has exceeded the minimum threshold nationwide. The position on the list is therefore ultimately not decisive.

Election to the Senate in the IX. Electoral term

The Senate is elected after a majority vote ( personality election) and consists of a total of 100 senators from 100 constituencies. Only the candidate who has received the most votes in the constituency moves into the Senate.

Election campaign

According to the election calendar, the election campaign begins when the election date is set and ends 24 hours before election day with the start of the so-called election rest .

The Law and Justice (PiS) promised, like Andrzej Duda in the previous presidential election , the return to the old retirement age of 65 years for men and 60 years for women, an increase in the tax-free amount to 8,000 złoty and the introduction of a child benefit of 500 Złoty from the second child and for low-income families also for the first. Furthermore, the VAT rate should be reduced from 23% to 22%. The party estimated the annual overspend at PLN 39 billion, compared to additional income from the fight against tax avoidance , the introduction of a bank tax and a tax on large-scale retailers of PLN 73 billion. Opponents spoke of a second Greece. In September, the campaign promises were expanded to include free medicines for seniors over the age of 75, the reduced 15 percent corporate income tax for small businesses, the minimum wage of 12 zlotys per hour and preferential treatment for local companies in local tenders.

The two top candidates Kopacz (r.) And Szydło (l.) During a television debate on October 19, 2015
Jarosław Kaczyński with PiS party members in Bielsko-Biała
Election campaign posters in Katowice

The Civic Platform (PO) party congress took place on the same day. The economists Janusz Lewandowski and Mateusz Szczurek presented a draft whose main focus was on the abolition of pension contributions, a uniform 10 percent income tax and employment. This would abolish work contracts and fixed-term contracts. The limitation of the shadow economy was cited for financing . The National Health Fund should be abolished and the cost of the health and pension system should be borne directly by the Ministry of Finance . The PO also wanted to restore the status quo ante of VAT from 2017. The party put the costs at 10.2 billion zlotys . Another suggestion was the abolition of compulsory financing of trade unions by the employer . A drug voucher would be introduced for people on low incomes. Around three million citizens could take advantage of this.

The PO criticized an expansion of the refugee issue by the PiS. The rhetoric of this is scare-mongering, as is the talk of the supposed dictation from Brussels and Berlin, which the government is bowing to. The main point of contention was the quota, which provides for the allocation of refugees in Europe, but has so far been rejected by countries such as Poland. In the past, Prime Minister Ewa Kopacz (PO) only agreed to admission on a voluntary basis, which should include 2,000 refugees. The statements by Prime Minister Kopacz that Poland could possibly accept more refugees sparked a dispute between PO and PiS.

One day after the party congresses of PO, PiS and PSL, the United Left (ZL) presented its election program. The focus was on increasing the monthly minimum wage from 1750 to 2500 zloty and a third income tax of 40% for the upper class . The ZL wanted to lower the VAT rate to 21%, which would have happened during the four-year legislative period. Health expenditure should rise to at least 7% of GDP. She advocated a clear separation of religion and state and advocated the abolition of religious education, the dissolution of the state-financed church fund and the expansion of income taxpayers to include priests . Poland should also show solidarity with the refugees from the war zones in the Middle East .

On September 26, 2015, the party congresses of the Kukiz'15 movement and the Nowoczesna and KORWiN parties took place. Paweł Kukiz postulated a new constitution, the reform of the judiciary (election of lower-level judges by residents) and majority voting, which was already required in the presidential election . The latter should strengthen the connection between voters and MPs and create responsibility for the representatives of the people towards their voters.

The economist Ryszard Petru , founder of the Nowoczesna party, highlighted his group as an economically liberal alternative to the previous establishment, consisting primarily of PO and PiS.

Janusz Korwin-Mikke ( KORWiN ) criticized the EU's actions during the refugee crisis . The policy pursued so far has caused the crisis. In his opinion, the mistake lay in the general tolerance towards "strangers" and political correctness . He praised the previous approach of the Visegrád group against an alleged dictation of the EU. When asked about economic issues, he said that Poland's prosperity depends on work and output, not subsidies.

At election events, PiS chairman Jarosław Kaczyński expressed his opposition to accepting refugees who could come to Poland. These would bring diseases such as cholera and dysentery as well as "all kinds of parasites and bacteria that are harmless in the organisms of these people" (but dangerous for Poles) into the country. Financial help should be given to the local people. In addition, their admission could lead to the establishment of “Sharia zones” (meaning so-called “vulnerable areas” which the Swedish police had identified). These statements were rejected by liberal politicians and the media as the "language of hate", as racist or even fascist and are said to have caused fright even among PiS politicians. Paweł Kukiz spoke of an impending "annihilation of Poland": while two and a half million young, productive Poles had emigrated and another one and a half million were planning to do so, "foreign nations" were being settled in the country.

Events

  • September 7th - deadline for registration for elections (registration as an election committee ).
  • September 15th - deadline for submitting a list of candidates for the Sejm and Senate.
  • October 25 - Election Day (7:00 a.m. - 9:00 p.m.).

Attendees

Parties

Political party Alignment Leading candidate
Platforma Obywatelska (PO)
Civic Platform
liberal - conservative Ewa Kopacz Premier Ewa Kopacz (cropped) .jpg
Prawo i Sprawiedliwość (PiS)
Law and Justice
with Solidarna Polska and Polska Razem
national conservative , Christian democratic , right-wing populist Beata Szydło Beata Szydło 2015 (cropped) .jpg
Zjednoczona Lewica (ZL)
United Left
electoral alliance consisting of SLD , Twój Ruch , PPS , UP , PZ and PPP
Barbara Nowacka Barbara Nowacka Sejm 2015 09.JPG
Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe (PSL)
Polish People's Party
Christian-democratic, agrarian Janusz Piechociński J.Piechociński.JPG
KORWiN (Koalicja Odnowy Rzeczypospolitej Wolność i Nadzieja)
Coalition for the Renewal of the Republic of Freedom and Hope
libertarian , paleoconservative Janusz Korwin-Mikke Janusz Korwin-Mikke Sejm 2016.JPG
Kukiz'15 right-wing populist , conservative Paweł Kukiz Paweł Kukiz Sejm 2016 01.JPG
Nowoczesna (.N)
Modernism
economically liberal Ryszard Petru Ryszard Petru Sejm 02 2016.JPG
Kongres Nowej Prawicy (KNP)
Congress of the New Right
libertarian, national conservative Michał Marusik Michał Marusik.JPG
Ruch Narodowy (RN) 1
National Movement
right-wing extremist , folk-nationalistic Robert Winnicki Marsz Niepodległości 2013 Robert Winnicki.jpg
Partia Razem (Razem)
Together
social democratic, socialist Adrian Zandberg Adrian Zandberg 2015 Photo.  Michał Radwanski.jpg
Komitet Wyborczy Mniejszość Niemiecka (MN) 2
German minority election committee
Minority policy Ryszard Galla Ryszard Galla Sejm 2016.JPG

Notes: 1 Party leader Robert Winnicki and members of Ruch Narodowy ran for the list Kukiz'15 for the Sejm. 2 As a minority party, the German minority is exempt from the nationwide five percent threshold, but must obtain a mandate in the constituency to be candidate.

Electoral committees

In Poland, candidacies take the form of specially formed election committees . These committees submit their lists of candidates to the State Electoral Commission . By the registration deadline, 115 committees had been duly registered by the electoral authority; 77 of them intended to run for the Senate only.

At least 5000 supporting signatures per constituency are required to run for the Sejm , and at least 2000 for the Senate election . If the necessary signatures are available in more than half of all constituencies, the election committee may automatically run nationwide.

The order on the ballot paper will be drawn by the electoral authority.

Approved committees for election

The following election committees ran nationwide (according to the order on the ballot paper)

  1. Prawo i Sprawiedliwość (including Solidarna Polska and Polska Razem )
  2. Platforma Obywatelska
  3. Partia Razem
  4. KORWiN
  5. Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe
  6. Zjednoczona Lewica
  7. Kukiz'15
  8. Nowoczesna

The following election committees are only running in certain constituencies because they did not have enough declarations of support in at least 21 constituencies for a nationwide candidacy:

  1. JOW Bezpartyjni ( JOW non-party - JOW stands for majority vote)
  2. Wyborców Zbigniewa Stonogi Committee ( Zbigniew Stonoga Electoral Committee )
  3. Ruch Społeczny RP ( Social Movement of Poland )
  4. Zjednoczeni dla Śląska ( United for Silesia )
  5. Samoobrona ( self defense )
  6. Grzegorza Brauna "Szczęść Boże!" ( Grzegorz Braun's "Grüß Gott!" )
  7. Kongres Nowej Prawicy (Congress of the New Right)
  8. Komitet Wyborczy Mniejszość Niemiecka ( Election Committee German Minority - only running in the constituency of Opole )
  9. Obywatele do Parlamentu ( Citizens to Parliament - only running in Warsaw constituency )

Electoral alliances

In the run-up to the election, some parties formed electoral alliances:

There is an electoral alliance between the PiS and Solidarna Polska and Polska Razem .

There is an electoral alliance of the left parties Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej (SLD), Twój Ruch (TR), Polska Partia Socjalistyczna (PPS), Unia Pracy (UP), Partia Zieloni (PZ) and Polska Partia Pracy (PPP) under the name Zjednoczona Lewica (ZL, United Left).

There was a cooperation between Kukiz'15 and Ruch Narodowy .

Survey

Results from surveys by the institutes ( I ) BRiS, ( T ) NS Polska, ( M ) illward Brown, ( i ) psos, ( E ) stymator, ( C ) BOS, ( P ) ressMix, ( e ) wybory.eu, ( G ) fK Polonia, ( A ) riadna and ( D ) obra Opinia between October 14, 2011 and October 23, 2015
  • Prawo i Sprawiedliwość
  • Platforma Obywatelska
  • Twój Ruch
  • Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe
  • Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej / Zjednoczona Lewica
  • Congress Nowej Prawicy
  • Points: Election result in the 2011 parliamentary elections.

    Immediately after the presidential election at the end of May 2015 , which was won by PiS candidate Andrzej Duda , polls also predicted a PiS victory in the parliamentary elections, in some cases even with an absolute majority. The ruling PO and PSL would have lost their coalition majority.

    After the initial euphoria caused by the presidential election, in which the rock musician Paweł Kukiz surprisingly scored 21%, the Kukiz'15 movement that he founded afterwards gradually slipped from around 20% to almost the 5 percent hurdle. On the other hand, since the left parties began to vote together as Zjednoczona Lewica, the polls rose significantly and had often overtaken Kukiz as the third strongest force. The newly founded economic liberal party Nowoczesna had a good chance of being the fifth party in parliament due to its permanently constant values ​​of around 8%. The remaining candidate parties, however, had to fear for the move.

    Due to the fluctuations in the polls, it was unclear by election evening which parties apart from the PO and PiS would actually move into the Sejm.

    Surveys (in%)
    Institute date Respondents PO PiS PSL TR SLD KORWiN Kukiz'15 .N Razem Otherwise.
    Ipsos
    (late poll)
    10/26/2015 23.6 37.7 5.2 7.5 (ZL) 4.9 8.7 7.7 3.9 0.8 b
    Ipsos
    ( exit poll )
    25/10/2015 23.41 39.12 5.21 6.6 (ZL) 4.9 9.04 7.12 3.9 0.7 b
    Ipsos 10/22/2015 3003 22.1 38.3 6.5 8.1 (ZL) 3.5 12.5 6.6 1.7 0.7 b
    Millward Brown 10/22/2015 2000 20th 32 5 9 (ZL) 6th 6th 8th 1 11 a
    Estymator 10/22/2015 1501 23 37 6th 8 (ZL) 6th 8th 6th 5 1 b
    IBRiS 10/22/2015 1100 24.4 35.3 4.7 8.1 (ZL) 4.4 6.7 6.2 2.5 7.7
    Viavox CCC 10/22/2015 1040 22.35 31.24 4.95 8.92 (ZL) 5.20 5.71 7.78 2.31 11.54 a
    Election 2011 39.18 29.89 8.36 10.02 8.24 New New New New 1.00 b
    Sources: ewybory.eu , Polskie Badania Wyborcze
    Explanatory notes on miscellaneous :
    a Share of voters who are still undecided,
    b Total of other parties.
    Older polls
    Surveys (in%)
    Institute date Respondents PO PiS PSL TR SLD KORWiN Kukiz'15 .N Razem Otherwise.
    TNS Polska 10/21/2015 1002 24.1 37.8 4.8 8.6 (ZL) 4.9 9.1 6.6 3.5 -
    CBOS 10/21/2015 1114 25th 36 5 6 (ZL) 4th 6th 5 <1 11 a
    IBRiS 10/21/2015 1100 23 37 5.1 8.9 (ZL) 4.1 5.9 6.4 3.9 5.8
    TNS Polska 10/20/2015 1003 26.3 32.5 4.8 7.5 (ZL) 5.3 10.4 6.1 0.3 6.1 a
    Dobra Opinia October 19, 2015 8000 24.5 39.5 6th 9 (ZL) 4.5 7.5 6th 2 1 b
    IBRiS October 18, 2015 2200 22nd 36 6th 11 (ZL) 4th 6th 6th - -
    IBRiS 10/16/2015 - 22.9 35.3 5.5 10.7 (ZL) 3.8 5.3 7.1 0.9 -
    CBOS 15/10/2015 930 27 34 3 6 (ZL) 3 8th 7th 1 10 a
    Ipsos 15/10/2015 1010 22nd 36 5 8 (ZL) 5 8th 4th 1 11
    Millward Brown 15/10/2015 2006 22nd 32 5 10 (ZL) 5 5 7th 1 -
    TNS Polska 14/10/2015 1020 30.1 38.9 5.5 7.9 (ZL) 4.7 5.5 6.7 1.2 -
    Estymator 13/10/2015 1002 24 40 6th 9 (ZL) 7th 6th 4th 1 -
    IBRiS 13/10/2015 1100 20.3 36.2 6.4 11.1 (ZL) 3.1 5.9 8.4 0.5 8.2
    Ipsos 08/10/2015 1006 25th 36 6th 8 (ZL) 3 7th 5 0 10
    IBRiS 08/10/2015 1100 22.2 35.8 6.7 9.3 (ZL) 2.3 6.2 8.6 0.2 8.1 a
    TNS Polska 08/10/2015 - 27.7 42 3.7 8.8 (ZL) 3.1 6th 8th 0.1 -
    Millward Brown 08/10/2015 1003 19th 35 5 11 (ZL) 4th 5 8th 1 12 a
    TNS Polska 07/10/2015 978 24 36 4th 4 (ZL) 3 6th 4th - 9 a
    GfK Polonia 06/10/2015 1020 27.1 43.7 5.6 5.9 (ZL) 4.1 5.7 5.1 - 12.8
    IBRiS 06/10/2015 1100 23.8 33.4 6.6 9.5 (ZL) 3.2 5.8 9.3 - 8.5
    Dobra Opinia 05/10/2015 8000 25.8 38.2 5.3 8.6 (ZL) 4.7 9.2 6.6 1.3 -
    IBRiS 03/10/2015 - 24 34 6th 10 (ZL) 3 8th 9 1 5 a
    Millward Brown 10/01/2015 1002 22nd 32 4th 12 (ZL) 5 7th 6th 3 -
    IBRiS 09/29/2015 1100 24.3 36 6.6 7.3 (ZL) 3 6.9 8.1 0.7 7.1 a
    Estymator 09/29/2015 1055 26th 42 6th 7 (ZL) 5 5 5 1 3 b
    PressMix 09/25/2015 2054 21st 44 6th 6 (ZL) 2 4th 5 2 10
    Ipsos 09/24/2015 1004 26th 38 6th 5 (ZL) 3 7th 6th 1 8th
    IBRiS 09/24/2015 1100 27.3 37.6 5 7.8 (ZL) 3.6 5 6th 0.6 7 a
    RN
    CBOS 09/23/2015 972 30th 34 5 5 (ZL) 4th 7th 6th - 9
    Dobra Opinia 09/21/2015 8000 25.7 39.2 5.8 8.1 (ZL) 4.7 9.8 5.5 - 1.2 b
    IBRiS 09/22/2015 1100 25.5 36.9 5.8 8.3 (ZL) 3.6 4.7 7.3 - 12.3
    Millward Brown 09/20/2015 1028 22nd 33 6th 8 (ZL) 7th 5 6th 2 9
    ewybory.eu 09/20/2015 1000 25th 38.4 5 12.8 (ZL) 4.2 6.7 4.5 - 3.4 b
    IBRiS 09/19/2015 - 22nd 39 5 8 (ZL) - 4th 6th - 10 a
    IBRiS 09/16/2015 1100 21.8 36.4 5.2 8.8 (ZL) 3 6.1 5.7 - 13.1
    ewybory.eu 09/13/2015 1000 24.2 37.1 5.5 15.3 (ZL) 6.3 5.5 4.0 - 2.1 b
    Ipsos 09/11/2015 1005 24 35 5 6 (ZL) 4th 9 4th - 11 a
    TNS Polska 09/09/2015 984 23 38 2 3 (ZL) 2 7th 2 0 22nd
    Millward Brown 07.09.2015 1002 24.7 37.6 5 8.7 (ZL) 5.5 6.1 6.9 - 2 a
    Millward Brown 09/06/2015 1004 25th 36 4th 10 (ZL) 3 6th 7th - 2 b
    IBRiS 05.09.2015 1100 23 38 5 8 (ZL) 3 6th 5 - 13.7
    IBRiS 08/28/2015 1100 19th 39.1 5.2 8.3 (ZL) 2.2 7th 5.6 0.5 13.7
    Estymator 08/28/2015 1083 26th 43 7th 8 (ZL) 2 4th 4th - 6 b
    Millward Brown 08/25/2015 1003 27 37 4th 11 (ZL) 4th 6th 5 1 8th
    CBOS 08/25/2015 1040 27 36 4th 4 (ZL) 1 12 4th 1 9 b
    ewybory.eu 08/25/2015 1500 21.2 46.9 5 12 (ZL) 2.8 4.5 2.9 1.5 3.2 b
    IBRiS 08/23/2015 1100 19th 40.4 5.4 9.5 (ZL) 2.2 4.7 6.5 - 20.7
    IBRiS 08/18/2015 - 24 36 6th 8 (ZL) - 6th 6th - 14 a
    TNS Polska 08/18/2015 1002 22nd 41 4th 4 (ZL) 2 11 1 1 15th
    Estymator 08/17/2015 1088 28 41 6th 6 (ZL) 2 6th 4th - 7 b
    Ariadna 08/14/2015 1053 25th 36 3.9 - 3.8 2.9 13.5 4.1 - 10.1 a
    Millward Brown 08/11/2015 1003 26th 35 3 8 (ZL) 3 12 5 - 9 a
    GfK Polonia 08/10/2015 1020 29.9 42.3 4.1 4.2 (ZL) 3.8 9.8 2.3 - -
    ewybory.eu 08/09/2015 1500 24.5 45.1 4.4 10.5 (ZL) 3.2 5.5 1.8 1.3 3.7 b
    IBRiS 08/03/2015 - 23 35 6th 7 (ZL) - 7th 5 - -
    ewybory.eu 07/31/2015 1500 26.7 40.3 4th 9.2 (ZL) 4.3 8.5 1.8 1.1 4.1 b
    Estymator 07/30/2015 1037 29 43 5 4 (ZL) 2 9 4th 1 3 b
    GfK Polonia 07/29/2015 1020 30.3 47.1 3.7 1.1 (ZL) 2.2 10.5 1 0.2 4.3 b
    Ariadna 07/25/2015 - 23 37 4th - 6th 5 16 4th - -
    IBRiS 07/21/2015 1100 24 35 4th 1 3 1 13 6th - 2 b
    Millward Brown 07/16/2015 1002 23 33 5 7 (ZL) 4th 18th 5 - 4 a
    Estymator 07/16/2015 1062 28 43 5 - 5 2 10 4th 2 3
    CBOS 07/10/2015 1044 29 36 3 1 3 3 11 4th - 10 b
    IBRiS 07/08/2015 - 26th 33 4th - 2 3 14th 6th - 5 b
    Millward Brown 07/07/2015 1001 25th 34 5 6 (ZL) 4th 16 6th 1 5
    TNS Polska 07/03/2015 1000 27 38 2 3 (ZL) 3 13 2 1 13
    GfK Polonia 06/30/2015 1020 28.8 43.1 3.2 0.3 2.6 2 15.1 2.1 0.1 2.7 b
    Estymator 06/29/2015 1207 25th 36 6th 1 4th 2 20th 4th 1 6th
    Dobra Opinia 06/26/2015 6500 25.8 37.2 4th 0.9 3.5 3.8 19.3 4.6 0.9 -
    IBRiS 06/25/2015 - 24 35.5 4.2 0.7 2.9 1.6 18.3 5.2 0.7 7.6
    Millward Brown 06/24/2015 ≈1000 23 33 5 1 4th 3 19th 8th 2 7th
    TNS Polska 06/22/2015 990 20th 34 3 1 4th 2 17th 1 1 18th
    IBRiS 06/21/2015 - 26th 28 5 - 4th 2 21st 5 - -
    CBOS 06/18/2015 1011 25th 31 4th 1 4th 2 19th 4th 2 10 b
    TNS Polska 06/15/2015 980 23 37 3 0 3 1 14th 1 2 18th
    Estymator 06/12/2015 1104 19th 33 4th 2 4th 2 29 3 1 6th
    Millward Brown 06/12/2015 1005 19th 30th 3 3 5 4th 24 7th 1 5
    TNS Polska 06/10/2015 1000 24 32 3 0 2 2 20th 3 0 14th
    CBOS 06/08/2015 988 31 33 1 1 4th 2 14th 3 0 11 a
    IBRiS 06/08/2015 - 21st 24 3 1 3 3 24.2 8th 1 20.8
    Millward Brown 06/01/2015 1000 17th 25th 3 2 4th 4th 20th 10 1 16
    IBRiS 05/29/2015 1100 29 29 4th 1 3 4th 10 - 1 6th
    Estymator 05/29/2015 1138 20th 36 4th 1 5 2 25th 4th 1 4 b
    IBRiS 05/26/2015 1100 22.4 29.7 3.2 - 4th - 21.3 5.7 - -
    Presidential Election in Poland 2015 - Second ballot (May 24th)
    CBOS 05/23/2015 1048 34 35 5 2 4th 5 4th - 1 11
    Millward Brown 05/16/2015 1001 25th 25th 4th 1 3 3 20th 5 0 -
    TNS Polska 05/15/2015 963 28 35 4th 2 8th 4th - - 1 19th
    Millward Brown 05/15/2015 1000 34 33 3 0 5 4th - - 1 14 a
    2015 Presidential Election in Poland - First ballot (May 10)
    Millward Brown 04/30/2015 - 35 31 3 2 6th 7th - - 1 16
    CBOS 04/23/2015 1027 36 30th 6th 2 7th 6th - - 1 12 b
    Millward Brown 04/14/2015 1000 35 31 5 3 7th 8th - - 2 -
    Millward Brown 03/30/2015 1000 35 35 5 3 6th 5 - - 2 11 b
    CBOS 03/18/2015 1052 42 29 5 1 7th 3 - - 0 13 b
    Millward Brown 03/16/2015 - 32 34 4th 4th 11 4th - - 1 -
    CBOS 03/11/2015 1062 46 27 5 1 6th 1 - - 1 15 b
    Millward Brown 03/02/2015 1000 34 35 5 1 8th 6th - - 1 7 a
    Millward Brown 02/16/2015 1000 31 30th 6th 4th 10 5 - - 2 14 b
    CBOS 02/11/2015 1003 38 28 11 3 8th - - - - 12 b
    CBOS 01/14/2015 1005 40 29 7th 0 6th - - - - -
    Millward Brown 01/12/2015 - 34 34 6th 0 9 - - - 0 14 b
    CBOS 12/12/2014 936 43 28 9 1 7th - - - - -
    Local government elections in Poland 2014
    CBOS 11/16/2014 934 38 27 8th 1 9 - - - - -
    Millward Brown 10/16/2014 1000 34 30th 6th 2 11 - - - 1 15th
    CBOS 10/15/2014 919 34 34 6th 2 9 - - - - -
    Election 2011 39.18 29.89 8.36 10.02 8.24 New New New New 1.00 b
    Sources: ewybory.eu , Polskie Badania Wyborcze
    Explanatory notes on miscellaneous :
    a Share of voters who are still undecided,
    b Total of other parties.


    Results

    voter turnout

    A total of 30,732,398 citizens were eligible to vote, corresponding to 82.12% of the total population (37,423,576). The proportion of eligible voters who voted was as follows:

    Period voter turnout Votes cast
    7:00 am - 12:00 pm 16.47% 4,955,286
    7:00 am - 5:00 pm 38.97% 11,748,920
    7:00 am - 9:00 pm 50.92% 15,595,335

    Official end result

    Result of the general election in Poland 2015
    Political party Abbreviation Sejm senate
    candidates
    data
    be right % +/- Seats +/- candidates
    data
    Seats +/-
    Prawo i Sprawiedliwość PiS 919 5,711,687 37.58 +7.68 235 +78 98 61 +30
    Platforma Obywatelska PO 916 3,661,474 24.09 −15.09 138 −69 83 34 −29
    Kukiz'15 Kukiz'15 838 1,339,094 8.81 - 42 +42 9 - -
    Nowoczesna .N 858 1,155,370 7.60 - 28 +28 16 - -
    Zjednoczona Lewica ( SLD + TR + PPS + UP + Zieloni ) ZL 904 1,147,102 7.55 −11.26 - −67 31 - -
    Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe PSL 916 779.875 5.13 −3.23 16 −12 58 1 -1
    Partia KORWiN KORWiN 898 722.999 4.79 - - - 10 - -
    Partia Razem Razem 573 550.349 3.62 - - - 0 - -
    KWW Zbigniewa Stonogi * STONOGA 297 42,731 0.28 - - - 1 - -
    Election Committee German Minority * MN 24 27,530 0.18 −0.01 1 0 3 - -
    Zjednoczeni dla Śląska * ZdŚ 42 18,668 0.12 - - - 0 - -
    JOW Bezpartyjni * JOWB 136 15,656 0.10 - - - 6th - -
    KWW Grzegorza Brauna "Szczęść Boże!" * BROWN 202 13,113 0.09 - - - 1 - -
    Congress Nowej Prawicy * KNP 116 4,852 0.03 −1.03 - - 8th
    Samoobrona * SRP 119 4,266 0.03 −0.04 - - 2 - -
    Ruch Społeczny Rzeczypospolitej Polskiej * RSRP 60 3,941 0.03 - - - 2 - -
    Obywatele do Parlamentu * RDP 40 1,964 0.01 - - - 3 - -
    Other parties (only to the Senate) - - - - - - - 16 - -
    Independent (Senate only) - - - - - - - 76 4th -
    total 15.200.671 100.00% - 460 - - 100 -
    Valid votes 15.200.671 97.47%
    Invalid votes 394,664 2.53%
    voter turnout 15,595,335 50.92%
    Eligible voters 30,732,398 100.00%
    Source: Państwowa Komisja Wyborcza (PKW; National Electoral Commission), October 27, 2015
    * only ran in part of the constituencies.

    Results by voivodship

    All figures in percent.

    Voivodeship PiS PO Kukiz'15 .N ZL PSL KORWiN Razem Other
    POL województwo dolnośląskie COA.svg Lower Silesia 32.63 29.26 9.03 8.69 8.05 3.14 4.74 3.86 0.59
    POL województwo kujawsko-pomorskie COA.svg Kuyavian Pomeranian 31.86 27.74 8.04 6.91 10.39 6.40 4.23 3.70 0.72
    POL województwo lubelskie COA.svg Lublin 47.76 14.83 9.79 4.22 6.45 9.24 4.74 2.60 0.38
    POL województwo lubuskie COA.svg Lebus 28.27 28.21 8.75 9.99 10.02 5.12 4.99 3.99 0.65
    POL województwo łódzkie COA.svg Łódź 38.35 23.15 8.65 6.70 8.79 5.93 4.29 3.79 0.36
    POL województwo małopolskie COA.svg Lesser Poland 48.18 19.43 8.14 6.58 4.73 4.19 5.20 3.08 0.47
    POL województwo mazowieckie COA.svg Mazovia 38.30 22.61 7.89 9.53 6.92 4.84 5.15 4.21 0.55
    POL województwo opolskie COA.svg Opole 27.77 26.23 12.57 7.14 6.75 3.68 3.95 3.02 8.88
    POL województwo podkarpackie COA.svg Subcarpathian 55.09 13.37 9.23 4.09 4.47 5.69 4.69 2.30 1.05
    POL województwo podlaskie COA.svg Podlaskie 45.38 16.74 9.07 5.37 7.35 8.07 4.66 2.59 0.76
    POL województwo pomorskie COA.svg Pomerania 30.45 34.06 7.60 8.67 6.62 3.13 4.70 4.02 0.75
    POL województwo śląskie COA.svg Silesia 34.82 25.56 10.69 8.06 8.33 2.52 4.88 3.91 1.23
    POL województwo świętokrzyskie COA.svg Holy Cross 42.81 17.25 9.41 4.98 7.87 9.51 4.14 2.80 1.23
    Warminsko-mazurskie herb.svg Warmia-Masuria 30.91 28.38 8.66 6.39 8.30 7.69 4.94 3.76 0.97
    POL województwo wielkopolskie COA.svg Greater Poland 29.61 28.45 7.77 9.32 9.28 6.62 4.32 3.94 0.70
    POL województwo zachodniopomorskie COA.svg West Pomerania 28.91 31.25 8.78 8.44 9.59 3.97 5.01 4.04 -
    Poland 37.58 24.09 8.81 7.60 7.55 5.13 4.79 3.62 0.83
    Profits / losses (mandates)
    Voivodeship Total PiS PO Kukiz'15 .N ZL PSL KORWiN Razem Other
    POL województwo dolnośląskie COA.svg Lower Silesia 34 15th +5 13 −6 3 +3 3 +3 - −5 - - - - - - - -
    POL województwo kujawsko-pomorskie COA.svg Kuyavian Pomeranian 25th 11 +4 8th −4 2 +2 2 +2 - −4 2 - - - - - - -
    POL województwo lubelskie COA.svg Lublin 27 18th +7 5 −2 2 +2 - - - −5 2 −2 - - - - - -
    POL województwo lubuskie COA.svg Lebus 12 5 +2 5 −1 1 +1 1 +1 - −2 - −1 - - - - - -
    POL województwo łódzkie COA.svg Łódź 31 17th +5 9 −2 3 +3 1 +1 - −6 1 −1 - - - - - -
    POL województwo małopolskie COA.svg Lesser Poland 41 26th +5 9 −9 4th +4 1 +1 - −1 1 - - - - - - -
    POL województwo mazowieckie COA.svg Mazovia 63 33 +10 17th −9 6th +6 4th +4 - −8 3 −3 - - - - - -
    POL województwo opolskie COA.svg Opole 12 4th +1 4th −2 2 +2 1 +1 - −2 - - - - - - 1 -
    POL województwo podkarpackie COA.svg Subcarpathian 26th 19th +5 4th −3 2 +2 - - - −3 1 −1 - - - - - -
    POL województwo podlaskie COA.svg Podlaskie 14th 8th +2 3 −2 1 +1 1 +1 - −2 1 - - - - - - -
    POL województwo pomorskie COA.svg Pomerania 26th 11 +4 11 −5 2 +2 2 +2 - −3 - - - - - - - -
    POL województwo śląskie COA.svg Silesia 55 27 +12 18th −13 6th +6 4th +4 - −9 - - - - - - - -
    POL województwo świętokrzyskie COA.svg Holy Cross 16 9 +3 3 −2 1 +1 1 +1 - −2 2 −1 - - - - - -
    Warminsko-mazurskie herb.svg Warmia-Masuria 18th 8th +4 6th −3 2 +2 1 +1 - −3 1 −1 - - - - - -
    POL województwo wielkopolskie COA.svg Greater Poland 40 16 +6 15th −3 3 +3 4th +4 - −8 2 −2 - - - - - -
    POL województwo zachodniopomorskie COA.svg West Pomerania 20th 8th +3 8th −3 2 +2 2 +2 - −4 - - - - - - - -
    Poland 460 235 +78 138 −69 42 +42 28 +28 - −67 16 −12 - - - - 1 -

    Election result cards

    Presence of parties in public broadcasting

    In the period from October 1 to October 31, 2015, the respective parties were given the following airtime. The data refer to the news channel TVP Info .

    National candidate committees
    Political party Opinion (subjective) Information (objective) All in all
    Number
    of appearances
    Airtime Number
    of appearances
    Airtime Number
    of appearances
    Airtime
    PiS 75 ≈ 07 h 17 min 865 ≈ 21 h 20 min 940 ≈ 28 h 38 min
    PO 71 ≈ 06 h 02 min 684 ≈ 14 h 23 min 755 ≈ 20 h 25 min
    ZL 65 ≈ 04 h 57 min 489 ≈ 08 h 11 min 554 ≈ 13 h 08 min
    PSL 26th ≈ 02 h 03 min 340 ≈ 04 h 06 min 366 ≈ 06 h 09 min
    .N 26th ≈ 01 h 47 min 244 ≈ 04 h 12 min 270 ≈ 05 h 59 min
    Kukiz'15 14th ≈ 37 min 144 ≈ 01 h 43 min 158 ≈ 02 h 20 min
    KORWiN 16 ≈ 49 min 163 ≈ 01 h 29 min 179 ≈ 02 h 18 min
    Razem 19th ≈ 55 min 127 ≈ 01 h 03 min 146 ≈ 01 h 57 min

    consequences

    PiS election winner Beata Szydło was appointed the new Prime Minister by President Andrzej Duda and charged with forming a government, see the Szydło cabinet .

    Prime Minister and party leader Ewa Kopacz of the PO wanted to face an internal party vote of confidence after the lost election, but later announced that she would generally no longer apply for the post of chairman. Her rival ex-foreign minister Grzegorz Schetyna followed as the new party leadership .

    Due to the worst election result in the history of the PSL (5.1%) and because he himself did not get a seat in the Sejm, party chairman Janusz Piechociński resigned. His successor was his younger vice Władysław Kosiniak-Kamysz .

    After the election, the left alliance Zjednoczona Lewica ( United Left ) was officially dissolved. Nevertheless, the intention was initially to want to appear together as an extra-parliamentary force, but this did not happen. Leading candidate Barbara Nowacka then founded a new left-wing initiative. Leszek Miller from the SLD announced shortly before the parliamentary elections that he would no longer be available as chairman of his party. In the regular election of the party, Włodzimierz Czarzasty won the most votes and became the new head of the SLD.

    Reactions

    Immediately after the election, Michał Kokot from Gazeta Wyborcza feared that a sole PiS government would reshape Poland according to an authoritarian model - similar to Hungary under Viktor Orbán - and that it would be difficult for liberal thinkers in the future. EU diplomats were quoted as saying that the election result was "the worst that could have happened to us". The political scientist Jan Zielonka contradicted on Zeit Online : The Poles are - contrary to what some media assume - “no stupid right-wingers”. The comparison made with Hungary is inappropriate. Rather, he explained the election result with the wish of the “middle” for a change, the social policy program of PiS, which is in contrast to the previously ruling neoliberalism , the new generation of “relatively young politicians” at the head of the party and the renunciation of “extreme” and controversial positions ”in their election manifesto.

    Shortly after the Szydło cabinet took over government in November, German-speaking media spoke about the filling of important positions with people close to the PiS (all secret service directors; five constitutional judges, which was only possible through an urgent change in the law; chairmanship of the parliamentary control committee for the secret services, which was reduced by two members) , Plans to rebuild public service broadcasting (which should be "cleansed of anti-government elements"), the announcement to buy back foreign-owned media, an attempted ban on a theater performance and the suspension of a critical journalist from a "touch of Hungary" or Poland as “the new Hungary” or warned that Poland could be “on the way to becoming an authoritarian state”. They suspected that Jarosław Kaczyński, whom the Süddeutsche Zeitung accused of wanting to become “sole ruler”, was primarily behind this “rebuilding process”, the state reorganization and the reorganization of the political landscape . This lift "his people up". The former constitutional judge Jerzy Stępień spoke of a "coup d'etat" in connection with the reshuffle of the constitutional court. The publicist Tomasz Lis was quoted as saying that he was surprised “that it goes so quickly”. According to the former President of the Constitutional Court Andrzej Zoll , Polish democracy is seriously threatened and Poland is “on the verge of lawlessness”, which makes him “very afraid”. According to Zoll, PiS wants “absolute power”, which equates to a development towards totalitarianism . There were also reports on the previous government's move away from the previous government's promise to accept 7,000 Syrian refugees, which Prime Minister Szydło put in connection with the terrorist attacks on November 13th in Paris , as well as the symbolic renunciation of EU flags at a press conference.

    See also

    Web links

    Commons : Parliamentary Election in Poland 2015  - Collection of pictures, videos and audio files

    Footnotes

    1. Jump to the right in Poland - national conservatives face an absolute majority. In: Focus Online , October 26, 2015.
    2. Jump to the right in Poland - concern about future EU refugee policy. In: Sächsische Zeitung (Online), October 26, 2015.
    3. A shift to the right feeds concerns abroad - pithy sagas and provocations. In: News ORF.at , October 26, 2015.
    4. PiS odpowiada na Grecję. In: rp.pl. July 4, 2015, accessed September 12, 2015 (Polish).
    5. Dlaczego PiS puści nas z torbami? Grecy zanim zbankrutowali, dostawali 400 zł na dziecko. In: natemat.pl. November 30, 2015, accessed September 12, 2018 (Polish).
    6. Obietnice PiS: darmowe leki dla seniorów, Rodzina 500 +, 15 proc. stawka CIT. In: wp.pl. September 12, 2015, Retrieved September 12, 2015 (Polish).
    7. ^ Minimum wage in Poland: More work contracts. In: dw.com. January 7, 2015, accessed September 12, 2018 .
    8. Konwencja PO. Kopacz: Jednolita stawka PIT 10 percent i likwidacja składki ZUS. In: money.pl. September 12, 2015, Retrieved September 12, 2015 (Polish).
    9. Polscy politycy grają uchodźcami w kampanii. Szydło: Niemcy chcą szantażować Europę. In: wyborcza.pl. September 10, 2015, accessed September 12, 2015 (Polish).
    10. Zjednoczona Law & Justice: obietnice wyborcze. In: bankier.pl. September 13, 2015, accessed September 18, 2015 (Polish).
    11. a b c d JOW-y i rozwiązanie problemu uchodźców. Politycy obiecują i krytykują przeciwników. In: tvp.info. September 26, 2015, accessed September 28, 2015 (Polish).
    12. a b Kaczyński o przyjęciu uchodźców: PiS uważa, że ​​rząd nie ma prawa do podejmowania takiej decyzji. In: niezalezna.pl. September 16, 2015, accessed October 27, 2015 (Polish).
    13. Utsatta områden - sociala risker, collective formåga och oönskade händelser. (PDF) In: polisen.se. Retrieved September 12, 2018 (Swedish).
    14. Strefy szariatu w Szwecji? Jest reakcja na słowa prezesa PiS. In: tvn24.pl. September 18, 2015, accessed October 27, 2015 (Polish).
    15. ^ Konrad Schuller: Election campaign in Poland - language of hate. In: Frankfurter Allgemeine (Online), October 15, 2015.
    16. ^ Henryk Jarczyk: Kaczynski after comments in the criticism "A fascist language". In: Tagesschau.de , October 15, 2015.
    17. ^ Matthias Krupa : Once split and back. In: Die Zeit , No. 43/2015 and Zeit Online , October 22, 2015.
    18. Florian Kellermann: Poland before the parliamentary elections - rights on the rise. In: Deutschlandfunk , broadcast background , October 22, 2015.
    19. Announcement by the electoral authority on the candidate election committees - pkw.gov.pl (Polish)
    20. Car zarejestrowała komitet wyborczy Zjednoczona Lewica SLD + TR + PPS + UP + Zieloni - Polskie Radio.
    21. Cars: Wybory parlamentarne 2015 - statystyki. In: pkw.gov.pl. Retrieved October 25, 2015 (Polish).
    22. Car: Wybory parlamentarne 2015 - frekwencja (7.00-12.00). (PDF) In: pkw.gov.pl. Retrieved October 25, 2015 (Polish).
    23. Car: Wybory parlamentarne 2015 - frekwencja (7:00 am - 5:00 pm). In: pkw.gov.pl. Retrieved October 25, 2015 (Polish).
    24. Car: Wybory parlamentarne 2015 - frekwencja (7.00–21.00). In: pkw.gov.pl. Retrieved October 27, 2015 (Polish).
    25. Wybory do Sejmu i Senatu Rzeczypospolitej Polskiej 2015
    26. Report o politykach. (PDF) In: tvp.pl. November 4, 2015, accessed January 8, 2016 (Polish).
    27. Michał Kokot: Change of government in Poland - nobody can stop him. In: Zeit Online , October 26, 2015.
    28. Inna Hartwich: “The worst that could happen”. In: Saarbrücker Zeitung , October 27, 2015.
    29. Jan Zielonka: No, the Poles are not stupid right-wingers. In: Zeit Online , October 29, 2015.
    30. a b c d Paul Flückiger: How Kaczynski heaves his people up. In: Sächsische Zeitung (Online), November 26, 2015.
    31. ^ Sabine Adler : The new government wants to rebuild the press, radio and TV. In: Deutschlandfunk , broadcast Europe today , 23 November 2015.
    32. Sebastian Becker: Massive media restructuring in Poland. Head of government is targeting German publishers. In: Meedia , November 20, 2015.
    33. Theater scandal : Poland argues over alleged stage porn. Spiegel Online, November 23, 2015.
    34. ^ Jörg Winterbauer: Censorship allegations in Poland. Journalist hooks up with Minister - and loses job. In: Die Welt (Online), November 24, 2015.
    35. Jan Opielka: Jelinek: "Death and the Maiden" - struggle for cultural sovereignty. In: Frankfurter Rundschau (online), November 24, 2015.
    36. Urs Bruderer: Too daring? Jelinek piece causes a political scandal in Poland. In: SRF 2 Kultur , broadcast Kultur Aktuell , November 24, 2015.
    37. a b c d Griet von Petersdorff: Shift to the right in Poland - A touch of Hungary in Warsaw. Tagesschau.de, November 25, 2015.
    38. ^ Paul Flückiger: After the shift to the right in the elections. Poland - the new Hungary. In: Der Tagesspiegel (Online), November 24, 2015.
    39. Kaczynski threatens critical judges with disciplinary proceedings. Spiegel Online, November 26, 2015.
    40. a b Law change in Poland - Kaczynski threatens critical judges. Tagesschau.de, November 26, 2015.
    41. ^ A b Florian Hassel: Jaroslaw Kaczyński - the sole ruler. In: Süddeutsche Zeitung (online), November 25, 2015.
    42. Florian Kellermann: Poland - constitutional lawyers sound the alarm. In: Deutschlandfunk , broadcast Europe today , November 25, 2015.
    43. Poland's new Prime Minister removes EU flags. In: Süddeutsche Zeitung (online), November 25, 2015.