Talk:Telekinesis and Statewide opinion polling for the 2008 United States presidential election: Difference between pages

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{{future election in the United States}}
{{talkheader}}
{{WikiProject Paranormal|class=start}}
{{Rational Skepticism|class=start}}
{{controversial3}}
{{archive box|
* [[Talk:Psychokinesis/Archive 1|Archive 1]] - November 22, 2006
* [[Talk:Psychokinesis/Archive 2|Archive 2]] - February 22, 2007
* [[Talk:Psychokinesis/Archive 3|Archive 3]] - July 25, 2007
* [[Talk:Psychokinesis/Archive 4|Archive 4]] - December 1, 2007
* [[Talk:Psychokinesis/Archive 5|Archive 5]] - January 16, 2008
* [[Talk:Psychokinesis/Archive 6|Archive 6]] - July 11, 2008
}}


This article provides a collection of scientific, state-wide public [[opinion polls]] that have been conducted relating to the '''[[United States presidential election, 2008|United States of America (U.S.) presidential election, 2008]]'''.
== Talk Page Archive ==


{| align="left"
Archive 6 has been created with a link at right. Archive 7, when needed in the future, should be a new subpage (same as creating an article) titled "Talk:Psychokinesis/Archive 7" and the link added to the template on this page's code. For further information on archiving see [[Wikipedia:How to archive a talk page]]. There are also [[User:5Q5|Step-by-Step Instructions - Archiving a Talk Page]] on my User page for the beginner. [[User:5Q5|5Q5]] ([[User talk:5Q5|talk]]) 17:34, 11 July 2008 (UTC)
| __TOC__
|}
<gallery perrow=2 align=right widths=200px>
Image:Barack Obama.jpg|Democratic nominee<br />[[Barack Obama]]
Image:John McCain official photo portrait-cropped-background edit.JPG|Republican nominee<br />[[John McCain]]
Image:Joe Biden, official photo portrait 2-cropped.jpg|Democratic Vice Presidential nominee<br />[[Joe Biden]]
Image:Palin In Carson City On 13 September 2008.jpg|Republican Vice Presidential nominee<br />[[Sarah Palin]]
</gallery>
{{clear}}


==Opinion polling==
== Proposal to add disambiguation notice ==
For an archive of older polls, please see [[Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008/Archive]].


==={{flagicon|Alabama}}[[Alabama]]===
I notice over at the [[telepathy]] article they have a short disambiguation notice at the top and I'm looking for [[consensus]] to see if we should add the same or a revised one to the PK article.
'''9 electoral votes'''


{| class="wikitable"
{{about|the [[paranormal]] phenomenon|the magical act|mentalism}}
|- valign=bottom
! Poll Source
! Date administered
! Democrat
! %
! Republican
! %
|-
|[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=b2db5e34-9654-4a51-a3ea-02cbea1a304f/ Survey USA]
|[[October 8]]-[[October 9|9]],[[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 35%
| '''John McCain'''
| 62%
|-
|[http://www.annistonstar.com/breaking/2008/as-localupdate-1009-0-8j09l0828.htm Capital Research Center]
|[[October 6]]-[[October 7|7]],[[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 35%
| '''John McCain'''
| 54.5%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/state_toplines/alabama/toplines_alabama_presidential_election_september_22_2008 Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 22]],[[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 39%
| '''John McCain'''
| 60%
|-
|[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=d2cb304b-ffb7-4302-a18e-e9cd6221ecfa Survey USA]
|[[September 16]]-[[September 17|17]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 34%
| '''John McCain'''
| 64%
|-
|[http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2008/AL08.html American Research Group]
|[[September 13]]-[[September 16|16]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 36%
| '''John McCain'''
| 58%
|-
|[http://www.upi.com/Top_News/2008/09/21/Poll_McCain_still_has_big_Alabama_lead/UPI-26421221995051/ University of South Alabama/<br />Press-Register]
|[[September 8]]-[[September 15|15]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 25%
| '''John McCain'''
| 52%
|-
|[http://www.montgomeryadvertiser.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20080910/NEWS/80910028 Capital Survey Research Center/<br />Alabama Education Association]
|[[September 3]]-[[September 9|9]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 35%
| '''John McCain'''
| 55%
|-
|[http://www.myaea.org/PDFfile/Surveys/Aug08PresidentialSurvey.pdf Capital Survey Research Center/<br />Alabama Education Association]
|[[July 29]]-[[August 4]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 34%
| '''John McCain'''
| 47%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/alabama/election_2008_alabama_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[July 31]],[[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 38%
| '''John McCain'''
| 58%
|}


==={{flagicon|Alaska}}[[Alaska]]===
The PK article is about the alleged real intentioned and spontaneous ability, hoaxed ability, and alleged hoaxed ability, and discusses magic here and there only as part of the hoaxing issue, but it is not an article devoted to magicians simulating it as entertainment, which they do discuss in the mentalism article. And should we revise the line?
'''3 electoral votes'''


{| class="wikitable"
{{about|the [[paranormal]] phenomenon|the magic act|mentalism}}
|- valign=bottom
! Poll Source
! Date administered
! Democrat
! %
! Republican
! %
! Others
! %
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/alaska/election_2008_alaska_presidential_election Rasmussen Reports]
|[[October 6]], [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 40%
| '''John McCain'''
| 55%
|rowspan="7" colspan="2"|&nbsp;
|-
|[http://publicmind.fdu.edu/veepstakes/tab.html Fairleigh Dickinson University]
|[[September 17]]-[[September 21|21]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 37%
| '''John McCain'''
| 55%
|-
|[http://www.dailykos.com/story/2008/9/18/151020/455 Research 2000/<br />Daily Kos]
|[[September 15]]-[[September 17|17]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 38%
| '''John McCain'''
| 55%
|-
|[http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2008/AK08.html American Research Group]
|[[September 9]]-[[September 11|11]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 39%
| '''John McCain'''
| 55%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/alaska/election_2008_alaska_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 9]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 33%
| '''John McCain'''
| 64%
|-
|[http://news.aol.com/political-machine/2008/09/03/alaska-poll-palin-is-mrs-popularity/ American Viewpoint] [[#Notes:|**]]
|[[September 2]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 33%
| '''John McCain'''
| 57%
|-
|[http://www.anchoragepress.com/site/basicarticle.asp?ID=823 Ivan Moore Research]
|[[August 30]] - [[September 2]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 34.9%
| '''John McCain'''
| 53.5%
|-
|[http://www.haysresearch.com/080708.htm Hays Research Group] [[#Notes:|**]]
|[[August 6]]-[[August 7|7]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 45%
| John McCain
| 40%
| Ralph Nader
| 2%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/alaska/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[July 30]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 42%
| '''John McCain'''
| 48%
|rowspan="4" colspan="2"|&nbsp;
|-
|[http://www.realclearpolitics.com/politics_nation/2008/08/stevens_trails_2_polls.html Ivan Moore Research]
|[[July 18]]-[[July 22|22]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 44%
| '''John McCain'''
| 47%
|-
|[http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/alaska/alaska_mccain_leads_obama_45_to_40 Rasmussen Reports]
|[[July 17]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 44%
| '''John McCain'''
| 49%
|-
|[http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/7/18/05546/5743/983/553284 Research 2000/<br />Daily Kos]
|[[July 14]]-[[July 16|16]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 41%
| '''John McCain'''
| 51%
|}


==={{flagicon|Arizona}}[[Arizona]]===
Magical and magic are not necessarily the same thing. Real PK could be described as magical (like magic), yet still be real. Magic act is pretty clear in meaning. I prefer the second one. [[User:5Q5|5Q5]] ([[User talk:5Q5|talk]]) 18:14, 11 July 2008 (UTC)
'''10 electoral votes'''


{| class="wikitable"
:Disambiguation templates should only be used when a term is genuinely ambiguous. When magicians perform mentalism, they will refer to it as a feat of telepathy. But I've never heard of magicians performing tricks of mentalism and refering to it as psychokinesis. I don't think anyone searching wikipedia would be expecting that either. I have no problem with mentioning mentalism in the main body or the see also section as places to go for more information. I think even it's use on the telepathy page is a bit of a stretch, but I am not totally down with my magician lingo. -[[User:Verdatum|Verdatum]] ([[User talk:Verdatum|talk]]) 19:18, 11 July 2008 (UTC)
|- valign=bottom
::I disagre who makes you so sure that magicians will never rever to mentalism as psychokiensis? Lots of magicians have different patter and without a reliable source stot he contrary and I see no reason why a disambiguation should ne be inclurded. [[User:Smith Jones|Smith Jones]] ([[User talk:Smith Jones|talk]]) 21:21, 11 July 2008 (UTC)
! Poll Source
:::The burden of proof is on you. I can't prove that it isn't done, but you can prove that it is. My larger argument is no one would type "psychokinesis" into the wikipedia search bar, and when presented with this article, go, "Hey! this isn't what I wanted at all! I wanted information about the 'ancient performing art in which its practitioners, known as mentalists, use mental acuity, cold reading, hot reading, principles of stage magic, hypnosis and/or suggestion to present the illusion of mind reading, psychokinesis, ESP, precognition, clairvoyance or mind control'! How on earth will I know what to search for now??" Show me a book definition for psychokinesis that says it has to do with this, and I'll change my mind. Disambiguation is about genuine terminology confusion, not about showmen misrepresenting their techniques. -[[User:Verdatum|Verdatum]] ([[User talk:Verdatum|talk]]) 21:59, 11 July 2008 (UTC)
! Date administered
::::Fine your right. I did some research [http://www.google.com/search?hl=en&q=psychokinesis+mentalism&btnG=Google+Search] and I found ceveral sources describing psyhcokiensis and mentalism: [[User:Smith Jones|Smith Jones]] ([[User talk:Smith Jones|talk]]) 22:35, 11 July 2008 (UTC)
! Democrat
* [http://www.scribd.com/doc/2639231/Psychokinesis-magic-book here is a orsurce depicting "psychikinesis" as a form of psychic magic tricks.]
! %
* [http://mentalism.bestelinks.nl/rubrieken/definition-of-mentalism.html another source describing psychokinesis in stage magicians as a stage magicians term]
! Republican
* [http://www.themagiccorner.com/catalog/tricks/mentalism.htm another psychokinetic magic trick]
! %
::::I can understand why you are baffled. I hard ot use a very powerful search engine to discover these sources. I will take your acuiescenece in lieu of a formal apology. Thank youf or playing! :D [[User:Smith Jones|Smith Jones]] ([[User talk:Smith Jones|talk]]) 22:35, 11 July 2008 (UTC)
|-
::::: Your first link is the only arguable one. The second link is a straight copy of some revision of ''this'' article. The third link only refers to PK in terms of a [[spoon bending]] book, and spoon bending is specifically addressed in this article (yet not in the mentalism article). The book in the first link makes it clear that there is a difference between PK and the illusion of PK; They call it "PK-magic" or "PK effects". Other uses of the term are within that specific context. So I still don't think there is any reason to believe the difference between PK and mentalism as terms are in any way ambiguous. Think of it this way, flying is a regular phenomena. Copperfield flies in one of his illusions. The act is refered to as "flying". But no one would argue for a disambiguation notice on [[Flight_(disambiguation)]] saying "''for the illusion of flying, see [[Magic (illusion)]]''". But no matter, I think 5Q5's solution is a good one. -[[User:Verdatum|Verdatum]] ([[User talk:Verdatum|talk]]) 02:35, 13 July 2008 (UTC)
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/arizona/election_2008_arizona_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
::::::::::sd uou wish. Of oourse, you would have your own "Reaseons" for dispensing with my sources. Very well, Its a not consequential debate so I cam willing to concede and al low you to win this round. HOWEVER, I still throw my endorsement behind 5Q5's sugestion as per our consensus agreement reached on the talk page [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Talk:Psychokinesis there]. [[User:Smith Jones|Smith Jones]] ([[User talk:Smith Jones|talk]]) 04:49, 13 July 2008 (UTC)
|[[September 29]],[[2008]]
I don't necessarily want it on the PK article, I was just throwing the idea out there. I see pros and cons to having it. We can suspend the idea pending further visits to this talk page and comments from other editors; maybe some will be from the magician community. Here is an online magic magazine that says: <em>Another aspect of mentalism is Psychokinesis which involves affecting inanimate objects with the mind.</em> [http://geniimagazine.com/wiki/index.php/ http://geniimagazine.com/wiki/index.php/]. The [[mentalism]] article, which I'm sure was written by them seems to make the connection. Verdatum is correct though, that the general population doesn't think of the word mentalism when they go looking for info on PK. I use the word disambiguation because unfortunately that's where the original [[Wikipedia:Template_messages/General|template is located]] [[User:5Q5|5Q5]] ([[User talk:5Q5|talk]]) 23:24, 11 July 2008 (UTC)
| Barack Obama
| 38%
| '''John McCain'''
| 59%
|-
|[http://www.azcentral.com/news/articles/2008/09/30/20080930CNS-marriagepoll0930.html Arizona State University/Cronkite/Eight]
|[[September 25]]-[[September 28|28]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 38%
| '''John McCain'''
| 45%


|-
:Thinking about Verdatum's comments some more, perhaps all we need is to add a mention in the "Magic and special effects" section in the article. Maybe "See also [[mentalism]]" under the section title? [[User:5Q5|5Q5]] ([[User talk:5Q5|talk]]) 23:39, 11 July 2008 (UTC)
|[http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2008/AZ08.html American Research Group]
|[[September 11]]-[[September 14|14]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 39%
| '''John McCain'''
| 56%
|-
|[http://www.azcentral.com/news/articles/2008/08/20/20080820McCainpoll0820.html Walter Cronkite School of Journalism and Mass Communication]
|[[August 20]],[[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 30%
| '''John McCain'''
| 40%
|-
|[http://www.lvrj.com/hottopics/politics/polls/august_2008_2_polls.html#western Mason Dixon]
|[[August 13]] -[[August 15|15]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 41%
| '''John McCain'''
| 47%
|-
|[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_Arizona_804.pdf/ Public Policy Polling(PPP)]
|[[July 30]]-[[July 31|31]],[[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 40%
| '''John McCain'''
| 52%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/arizona/election_2008_arizona_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[July 30]],[[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 38%
| '''John McCain'''
| 57%
|-
|}


==={{flagicon|Arkansas}}[[Arkansas]]===
:: Done. [[User:5Q5|5Q5]] ([[User talk:5Q5|talk]]) 23:45, 12 July 2008 (UTC)
'''6 electoral votes'''


{| class="wikitable"
== Last sentence in the lead ==
|- valign=bottom
! Poll Source
! Date administered
! Democrat
! %
! Republican
! %
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/arkansas/election_2008_arkansas_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 22]],[[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 42%
| '''John McCain'''
| 51%
|-
|[http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/pres2008/AR08.html American Research Group]
|[[September 20]]-[[September 22|22]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 41%
| '''John McCain'''
| 53%
|-
|[http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/arkansas/election_2008_arkansas_presidential_election Rasmussen Reports]
|[[July 17]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 39%
| '''John McCain'''
| 52%
|}


==={{flagicon|California}}[[California]]===
"influencing the output of a random number generator"
'''55 electoral votes'''


{| class="wikitable"
What? Where did that come from? I see the sources, but still, it shouldn't be in the lead. Any objection to moving it, and replacing it? [[User:Beamathan|Beam]] 02:50, 12 July 2008 (UTC)
|- valign=bottom
::i thik its there as an example of a psychokinetic power. [[User:Smith Jones|Smith Jones]] ([[User talk:Smith Jones|talk]]) 14:03, 12 July 2008 (UTC)
! Poll Source
! Date administered
! Democrat
! %
! Republican
! %
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/california/election_2008_california_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[October 9]],[[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 56%
| John McCain
| 40%
|-
|[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=2f384669-1c1c-4781-a883-0833f1b6577e/ Survey USA]
|[[October 4]]-[[October 5|5]],[[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 55%
| John McCain
| 39%
|-
|[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=252060cf-f1d3-49bc-80ed-24d0c9122b49/ Survey USA]
|[[September 23]]-[[September 24|24]],[[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 53%
| John McCain
| 43%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/california/election_2008_california_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 22]],[[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 56%
| John McCain
| 39%
|-
|[http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/pres2008/CA08.html American Research Group]
|[[September 18]]-[[September 20|20]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 53%
| John McCain
| 39%
|-
|[http://www.ppic.org/content/pubs/survey/S_908MBS.pdf Public Policy Institute of California]
|[[September 9]]-[[September 16|16]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 50%
| John McCain
| 40%
|-
|[http://www.field.com/fieldpollonline/subscribers/Rls2286.pdf Field Research Corporation]
|[[September 5]]-[[September 14|14]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 52%
| John McCain
| 36%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/california/election_2008_california_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[August 21]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 54%
| John McCain
| 41%
|-
|[http://www.ppic.org/content/pubs/survey/S_808MBS.pdf Public Policy Institute of California]
| [[August 12]]-[[August 19|19]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 48%
| John McCain
| 39%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/california/election_2008_california_presidential_election Rasmussen Reports]
|[[July 24]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 52%
| John McCain
| 42%
|-
|[http://www.ppic.org/content/pubs/survey/S_508MBS.pdf Public Policy Institute of California]
| [[July 8]]-[[July 22|22]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 50%
| John McCain
| 35%
|-
|[http://field.com/fieldpollonline/subscribers/Rls2276.pdf Field Research Corporation]
|[[July 8]]-[[July 14|14]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 54%
| John McCain
| 30%
|-
|[http://www.zogby.com/50state/ Zogby International] [[#Notes:|*]]
|[[June 11]]-[[June 30|30]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 52%
| John McCain
| 32%
|-
|[http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/california/election_2008_california_presidential_election Rasmussen Reports]
|[[June 23]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 58%
| John McCain
| 30%
|}


==={{flagicon|Colorado}}[[Colorado]]===
:::I added a peer-reviewed published paper reference to the line from ''Psychological Bulletin'', July 2006, which indicates that the positive results seen "<em>could</em> in principle be a result of publication bias." However, the results could also be real; hence, the controversy with scientists on both sides of the issue. The line is appropriate as worded and maintains [[WP:NPOV]] in the article. Thanks for inspiring me to find a more formal reference, even though other editors originated the sentence and two other refs. I deleted the first reference because it also went to the same website as the second, parapsych.org. [[User:5Q5|5Q5]] ([[User talk:5Q5|talk]]) 23:36, 12 July 2008 (UTC)
'''9 electoral votes'''
[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Colorado_2|''chart'']]


{| class="wikitable"
== One in eleven ==
|- valign=bottom
! Poll Source
! Date administered
! Democrat
! %
! Republican
! %
! Others
! %
|-
|[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_1011_Colorado.pdf Public Policy Polling]
|[[October 8]]-[[October 10|10]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 52%
| John McCain
| 42%
|colspan="2" rowspan="25"|&nbsp;
|-
|[http://www.realclearpolitics.com/RCP_PDF/IA_Colorado_100708.pdf InsiderAdvantage/Poll Position]
|[[October 6]], [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 51%
| John McCain
| 45%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/state_toplines/colorado/toplines_colorado_presidential_election_october_5_2008 Fox News/Rasmussen Reports]
|[[October 5]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 52%
| John McCain
| 45%
|-
|[http://news.politicswest.com/politicswestnews/ci_10639338?source=rss Mason Dixon/Denver Post]
|[[September 29]]-[[October 1]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 44%
| '''John McCain'''
| 44%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/colorado/election_2008_colorado_presidential_election/ Fox News/Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 28]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 49%
| John McCain
| 48%
|-
| [http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/pres2008/CO08.html American Research Group]
| [[September 23]]-[[September 25|25]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 45%
| '''John McCain'''
| 48%
|-
|[http://www.southernpoliticalreport.com/storylink_924_587.aspx Insider Advantage/Poll Position]
|[[September 23]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 50%
| John McCain
| 41%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/colorado/election_2008_colorado_presidential_election Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 23]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 50%
| John McCain
| 47%
|-
| [http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/09/24/polls-in-battleground-states-show-obama-gaining-ground/ CNN/Time Magazine]
| [[September 21]]-[[September 23|23]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 49%
| John McCain
| 45%
|-
| [http://alt.coxnewsweb.com/shared-blogs/communities/politicalnotebook/upload/2008/10/CiruliPollingInfo.pdf Ciruli Associates/<br />Economic Development <br /> Council of Colorado]
| [[September 19]]-[[September 23|23]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 44%
| John McCain
| 43%
|-
|[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_CO_92365.pdf Public Policy Polling]
|[[September 20]]-[[September 21|21]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 51%
| John McCain
| 44%
|-
|[http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x4141.xml?ReleaseID=1216 Quinnipiac University/<br />Wall Street Journal/<br />Washington Post]
|[[September 14]]-[[September 21|21]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 49%
| John McCain
| 45%
|-
|[http://www.realclearpolitics.com/RCP_PDF/IA_Colorado_Poll91808.pdf Insider Advantage/Poll Position]
|[[September 17]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 51%
| John McCain
| 41%
|-
|[http://www.nationaljournal.com/njmagazine/pi_20080918_3259.php Allstate/National Journal/FD]
|[[September 11]]-[[September 15|15]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 45%
| John McCain
| 44%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/colorado/election_2008_colorado_presidential_election/ Fox News/<br />Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 14]],[[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 46%
| '''John McCain'''
| 48%
|-
|[http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2008/CO08.html American Research Group]
|[[September 10]]-[[September 13|13]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 44%
| '''John McCain'''
| 46%
|-
|[http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1549 Zogby Interactive] [[#Notes:|*]]
|[[September 9]]-[[September 12|12]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 45.5%
| '''John McCain'''
| 47.5%
|-
|[http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/co/colorado_mccain_vs_obama-546.html InsiderAdvantage/Poll Position]
|[[September 10]],[[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 49%
| John McCain
| 46%
|-
|[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_Colorado_911.pdf Public Policy Polling]
|[[September 9]],[[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 47%
| John McCain
| 46%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/colorado/election_2008_colorado_presidential_election/ Fox News/<br />Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 7]],[[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 49%
| John McCain
| 46%
|-
|[http://www.nrsc.org/nrscwebimages/press/20080904_CO-Poll-Memo.pdf Tarrance Group] [[#Notes:|**]]
|[[September 2]]-[[September 3|3]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 45%
| '''John McCain'''
| 47%
|-
|[http://www.time.com/time/2008/poll_main.pdf CNN/Time Magazine/<br />Opinion Research]
|[[August 24]]-[[August 26|26]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 46%
| '''John McCain'''
| 47%
|-
|[http://www.pollster.com/blogs/poll_hill_research_colorado_82.php Hill Research Consultants] [[#Notes:|**]]
|[[August 23]]-[[August 24|24]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 43%
| John McCain
| 40%
|-
|[http://washingtontimes.com/news/2008/aug/26/new-poll-has-obama-over-mccain-5-points-colorado/ Suffolk University]
|[[August 21]]-[[August 24|24]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 44%
| John McCain
| 39%
|-
|[http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x4141.xml?ReleaseID=1208 Quinnipiac University]
|[[August 15]]-[[August 21|21]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 46%
| '''John McCain'''
| 47%
|-
| rowspan="3" |[http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1543 Zogby Interactive] [[#Notes:|*]]
| rowspan="3" |[[August 15]]-[[August 19|19]] [[2008]]
| rowspan="3" |'''Barack Obama'''
| rowspan="3" |44%
| rowspan="3" |John McCain
| rowspan="3" |38%
| Bob Barr
| 8%
|-
| Ralph Nader
| 2%
|-
| Other
| 8%
|-
|[http://www.lvrj.com/hottopics/politics/polls/august_2008_2_polls.html#western Mason Dixon]
|[[August 13]] -[[August 15|15]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 46%
| John McCain
| 43%
|rowspan="2" colspan="2"|&nbsp;
|-
|[http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/colorado/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[August 13]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 48%
| '''John McCain'''
| 49%
|-
| rowspan="3" | [http://www.rockymountainnews.com/news/2008/aug/15/rockycbs4-poll-shows-obama-mccain-neck-and-neck-co/ Rocky Mtn News/CBS4]
| rowspan="3" | [[August 11]]-[[August 13|13]] [[2008]]
| rowspan="3" | Barack Obama
| rowspan="3" | 41%
| rowspan="3" | '''John McCain'''
| rowspan="3" | 44%
| Bob Barr
| 3%
|-
| Ralph Nader
| 2%
|-
| Other
| 2%
|-
|[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_Colorado_714.pdf Public Policy Polling]
|[[August 5]]-[[August 7|7]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 48%
| John McCain
| 44%
|rowspan="2" colspan="2"|&nbsp;
|-
|[http://cbs4denver.com/politics/mccain.obama.colorado.2.779088.html FrederickPolls]
|[[July 16]]-[[July 22|22]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 45%
| John McCain
| 41%
|-
|[http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x4141.xml?ReleaseID=1195 Quinnipiac University/<br />Wall Street Journal/<br />Washington Post]
|[[July 14]]-[[July 22|22]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 44%
| '''John McCain'''
| 46%
| Other
| 3%
|-
|[http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/colorado/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[July 21]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 50%
| John McCain
| 47%
|rowspan="2" colspan="2"|&nbsp;
|-
|[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_Colorado_714.pdf Public Policy Polling]
|[[July 9]]-[[July 10|10]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 47%
| John McCain
| 43%
|-
| rowspan="3" | [http://www.zogby.com/50state/ Zogby International] [[#Notes:|*]]
| rowspan="3" | [[June 11]]-[[June 30|30]] [[2008]]
| rowspan="3" | '''Barack Obama'''
| rowspan="3" | 40%
| rowspan="3" | John McCain
| rowspan="3" | 38%
| Bob Barr
| 8%
|-
| Ralph Nader
| 2%
|-
| Other
| 4%
|}


==={{flagicon|Connecticut}}[[Connecticut]]===
Where does the claim of 1/11 chance for rolling dice come from? Presumably we are discussing evenly-weighted cubes, which gives 1/6 for each side of one die, 1/36 for each result if two [[Identical particles|distinguishable]] dice are rolled. Probabilities for the sum of two such dice equaling a particular number are: 2=1/36; 3=1/18; 4=1/12; 5=1/9; 6=5/36; 7=1/6; 8=5/36; 9=1/9; 10=1/12; 11=1/18; 12=1/36. Neither 1d6 nor 2d6 lead in any obvious way to a 1/11 chance, or even ~9.1% probability. If non-standard dice are being discussed, this should be mentioned. - [[User talk:Eldereft|Eldereft]] <small>([[Special:Contributions/Eldereft|cont.]])</small> 01:23, 26 July 2008 (UTC)
'''7 electoral votes'''


{| class="wikitable"
== Possible new notable claimant ==
|- valign=bottom
There is a possible new name for the notable claimants list in the article. A Texas psychiatrist, M.D. named [[Colin A. Ross]] has made a claim of being able to make energy beams come from his eyes or eye. He has applied for the JREF prize. The situation needs monitoring to see how it plays out. To me, it looks like his device is just sensing moisture in the eye socket. When you open your eyes, moisture is released. Hold your eyes open long enough and you begin to shed tears. The conductivity of the air in his goggle is increased, amplified, and made to operate a switch. I could be wrong. I played the video, but had the sound off. See here: [http://blogs.dallasobserver.com/unfairpark/2008/08/colin_ross_has_an_eyebeam_of_e.php http://blogs.dallasobserver.com/unfairpark/2008/08/colin_ross_has_an_eyebeam_of_e.php] and also a [http://www.google.com/search?hl=en&q=%22Colin+Ross%22+&btnG=Search Google search for his name]. [[User:5Q5|5Q5]] ([[User talk:5Q5|talk]]) 20:41, 6 August 2008 (UTC)
! Poll Source
! Date administered
! Democrat
! %
! Republican
! %
|-
|[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=a12d5e7e-4765-4c60-b429-073928e05217 Survey USA]
|[[September 24]]-[[September 25|25]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 54%
| John McCain
| 38%
|-
|[http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/pres2008/CT08.html American Research Group]
|[[September 17]]-[[September 19|19]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 54%
| John McCain
| 39%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/connecticut/election_2008_connecticut_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 16]],[[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 53%
| John McCain
| 41%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/connecticut/election_2008_connecticut_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[July 31]],[[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 51%
| John McCain
| 36%
|-
|[http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/7/3/11710/38088/218/545921 Research 2000/<br />Daily Kos]
|[[June 30]]-[[July 2]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 57%
| John McCain
| 35%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/connecticut/election_2008_connecticut_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[July 1]],[[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 52%
| John McCain
| 35%
|}


==={{flagicon|Delaware}}[[Delaware]]===
:That explain seems unnecesarily convoluted. As per [[Occams Razor]], it seems lime more logical that he does have some sort of psychokinetic or othewise above-human powers, or at least that his device has the power to create such an operant electrokinetic effect. In any case, we should wat until someone reports on this issue before incorprating it into the article. It could do better in the [[JREF]] article or the [[James Randi]] article if it is good enoughf or that. [[User:Smith Jones|Smith Jones]] ([[User talk:Smith Jones|talk]]) 19:12, 9 August 2008 (UTC)
'''3 electoral votes'''
::If we are going to use Occam's Razor here, then we should favour the explanation that doesn't require a currently unknown phenomenon. To do otherwise would be to introduce a new assumption: "the principle recommends selecting the theory that introduces the fewest assumptions". [[User:Brunton|Brunton]] ([[User talk:Brunton|talk]]) 09:13, 11 August 2008 (UTC)


{| class="wikitable"
::: Exactly. The simplest solution is that he's a cheat or deluded. Every claimaint so far has been. [[User:Guyonthesubway|Guyonthesubway]] ([[User talk:Guyonthesubway|talk]]) 00:39, 12 August 2008 (UTC)
|- valign=bottom
:::: thats your opinion, and one that is thus far unprovible. But the point is moot; a claimant to the JREF challenge belongs on the JREF page more than it sodes on here. We dont list every dowser in the world on the [[dowsing]] page or every psychic in the world on the [s[[psychic]] page. [[User:Smith Jones|Smith Jones]] ([[User talk:Smith Jones|talk]]) 14:56, 12 August 2008 (UTC)
! Poll Source
! Date administered
! Democrat
! %
! Republican
! %
|-
|[http://www.whyy.org/news/documents/whyy_west_chester_u_poll_2008_delaware.pdf West Chester University]
|[[October 6]]-[[October 8|8]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 55%
| John McCain
| 38%
|-
|[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=41cfe074-2567-433c-908f-7fddbc73664d Survey USA]
|[[September 22]]-[[September 23|23]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 57%
| John McCain
| 37%
|-
|[http://publicmind.fdu.edu/veepstakes/tab.html Fairleigh Dickinson University]
|[[September 17]]-[[September 21|21]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 56%
| John McCain
| 36%
|-
|[http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/pres2008/DE08.html American Research Group]
|[[September 13]]-[[September 15|15]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 51%
| John McCain
| 40%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/delaware/election_2008_delaware_presidential_election Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 13]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 55%
| John McCain
| 43%
|}


==={{flagicon|District of Columbia}}[[District of Columbia]]===
::::: Sorry, where's the opinion in that? Which is simpler? That all of known physics is wrong, or that one person is a cheat? Every claimaint to the challenge has failed and is therefore either deluded or lying about their abilities. But of course you're right, he doesnt belong here unless he should manage to pass the challenge, then I'll add him to the page while I eat my keyboard. How many different ways you could fake that video...13:16, 13 August 2008 (UTC) <small>—Preceding [[Wikipedia:Signatures|unsigned]] comment added by [[User:Guyonthesubway|Guyonthesubway]] ([[User talk:Guyonthesubway|talk]] • [[Special:Contributions/Guyonthesubway|contribs]]) </small><!-- Template:Unsigned --> <!--Autosigned by SineBot-->
'''3 electoral votes'''


{| class="wikitable"
:::::: um, nowhere in pshyics does it say that psychics and psychic phenomonans can never exist. its your opinion apparently that psychicds dont exist, and many powerful people agree with you, but not evefrone does and thats important to take into account. we cant go stating opinions as facts. I honesltly don't see what someone pasing or failing one of the JREF "tests" has anything to do with [[psychokinesis]]. Any minor developments with those inquiries should go to the [[JREF]] page instead. [[User:Smith Jones|Smith Jones]] ([[User talk:Smith Jones|talk]]) 02:48, 21 August 2008 (UTC)
|- valign=bottom
:::::: and as for faking the video -- can we have some good faith ehre? Just because someone disagrees with you doesnt mean that they are con artists. [[User:Smith Jones|Smith Jones]] ([[User talk:Smith Jones|talk]]) 02:48, 21 August 2008 (UTC)
! Poll Source
::::::: For those of you who may keep track of this story, the mystery has been solved. The sounds played on the computer were caused by the blinking of the claimant's eyes. The electrodes connecting the claimant to the computer are used as input for a [[EEG]] software. There is apparently a well known [[EEG#Biological_artifacts|EEG artifact]] called the [[Bell's phenomenon]]. From the EEG article: "there is reflexive movement of the eyeball during blinking which gives a characteristic artifactual appearance of the EEG". You can hear a more detail explanation on the always excellent [[The Skeptics' Guide to the Universe| Skeptics' Guide to the Universe]]. Here is the [http://www.theskepticsguide.org/skepticsguide/podcastinfo.asp?pid=161 link] to this week's episode. The relevant segment starts around the 26:20 mark. An email from the claimant to James Randi read during the episode says that while maintaining his energy beam claim, he admits that the sounds are indeed caused by him blinking his eyes. --[[User:McSly|McSly]] ([[User talk:McSly|talk]]) 04:06, 25 August 2008 (UTC)
! Date administered
! Democrat
! %
! Republican
! %
|-
|[http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/pres2008/DC08.html American Research Group]
|[[September 11]]-[[September 13|13]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 82%
| John McCain
| 13%
|}


==={{flagicon|Florida}}[[Florida]]===
== External link inclusion query - poltergeist caught on video ==
'''27 electoral votes'''
(This is about the South Shields poltergeist case, England 2006.)
[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Florida_2|''chart'']]


{| class="wikitable"
I included the post below in external links because of the possible spontaneous PK of the suspended water bottle shown in dramatic footage and an editor removed it an hour later because of the secondary back scratching. Any consensus on if it contributes to the article and thereby qualifies for restoration? I did include it in the poltergeist article, but poltergeists are also mentioned in this PK article. [[User:5Q5|5Q5]] ([[User talk:5Q5|talk]]) 20:19, 9 August 2008 (UTC)
|- valign=bottom
* [http://www.thesun.co.uk/sol/homepage/woman/real_life/article1523213.ece Poltergeist caught on video], ''The Sun'' UK newspaper, August 9, 2008. Footage of a water bottle suspended at an angle and wounds appearing on a victim's back. Location: Borough of [[South Tyneside]], England.
! Poll Source
: Hello, I'm the one who removed the link. First you are right, my reason to remove the link should have been about the water bottle, not the cat scratch so let me rephrase my reason to this:
! Date administered
"Ok so they put a few drops of mercury in the bottle in order to move the center of gravity so it will be stable when tipped, no big deal"
! Democrat
:Joking aside, a two minute, low resolution video with no context, published on the Sun website of all places is no proof for anything. Especially in a domain where fakes and hoaxes are legion. So before we assume that all known laws of physics are in fact wrong, maybe we get at least some evidence, I mean, real ones. And in the meantime, let's remove the video and from the poltergeist article too. --[[User:McSly|McSly]] ([[User talk:McSly|talk]]) 00:29, 10 August 2008 (UTC)
! %
! Republican
! %
! Others
! %
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/florida/election_2008_florida_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[October 12]], [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 51%
| John McCain
| 46%
| Bob Barr
| 1%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/florida/election_2008_florida_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[October 8]], [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 50%
| John McCain
| 47%
|rowspan="5" colspan="2"|&nbsp;
|-
|[http://strategicvision.biz/political/florida_poll_101008.htm Strategic Vision]
|[[October 6]]-[[October 8|8]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 52%
| John McCain
| 44%
|-
|[http://www.sun-sentinel.com/media/acrobat/2008-10/42827808.pdf Research 2000]
|[[October 6]]-[[October 8|8]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 49%
| John McCain
| 44%
|-
|[http://msnbcmedia.msn.com/i/msnbc/sections/news/081007_Florida_Mason-Dixon.pdf NBC/Mason-Dixon]
|[[October 4]]-[[October 6|6]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 48%
| John McCain
| 46%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/florida/election_2008_florida_presidential_election/ Fox News/Rasmussen Reports]
|[[October 5]],[[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 52%
| John McCain
| 45%
|-
|[http://www.realclearpolitics.com/RCP_PDF/IA_Fla_100108.pdf InsiderAdvantage/Poll Position]
|[[September 30]], [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 49%
| John McCain
| 46%
|-
|[http://edition.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/10/01/battleground.polls/index.html CNN/Time Magazine/<br />Opinion Research]
|[[September 28]]-[[September 30|30]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 51%
| John McCain
| 47%
| Ralph Nader
| 3%
|-
|[http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/docs/Suffolk_Final_Florida_10_01_2008.htm Suffolk University/WSVN]
|[[September 27]]-[[September 30|30]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 46%
| John McCain
| 42%
|rowspan="11" colspan="2"|&nbsp;
|-
|[http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x2882.xml?ReleaseID=1218 Quinnipiac University]
|[[September 27]]-[[September 29|29]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 51%
| John McCain
| 43%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/florida/election_2008_florida_presidential_election/ Fox News/Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 28]], [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 48%
| '''John McCain'''
| 48%
|-
| [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_Florida_930354.pdf Public Policy Polling]
| [[September 27]]-[[September 28|28]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 49%
| John McCain
| 46%
|-
| [http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=bae88e59-f8e1-4ea1-9397-5c19f91abcc1 SurveyUSA]
| [[September 27]]-[[September 28|28]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 47%
| '''John McCain'''
| 48%
|-
| [http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/pres2008/FL08.html American Research Group]
| [[September 23]]-[[September 25|25]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 47%
| John McCain
| 46%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/florida/election_2008_florida_presidential_election Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 24]], [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 47%
| '''John McCain'''
| 48%
|-
|[http://www.strategicvision.biz/political/florida_poll_092508.htm Strategic Vision]
|[[September 20]]-[[September 22|22]], [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 45%
| '''John McCain'''
| 48%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/florida/election_2008_florida_presidential_election/ Fox News/<br />Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 21]],[[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 46%
| '''John McCain'''
| 51%
|-
|[http://msnbcmedia.msn.com/i/msnbc/sections/news/080923_Today_NBC_Florida_Poll.pdf NBC/Mason Dixon]
|[[September 16]]-[[September 18|18]], [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 47%
| John McCain
| 45%
|-
|[http://www.sun-sentinel.com/news/local/southflorida/sfl-flaprezpoll0921sbsep21,0,7609474.story Florida Times-Union/<br />South Florida Sun-Sentinel/<br />Research 2000]
|[[September 15]]-[[September 18|18]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 45%
| '''John McCain'''
| 46%
|-
|[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=83889f62-d3ce-4176-a1a1-164a31cbf1e2 SurveyUSA]
|[[September 16]]-[[September 17|17]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 45%
| '''John McCain'''
| 51%
| Others
| 1%
|-
|[http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/pres2008/FL08.html American Research Group]
|[[September 14]]-[[September 17|17]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 46%
| '''John McCain'''
| 46%
| Others
| 3%
|-
|[http://www.miamiherald.com/979/story/695102.html Miami Herald/<br />St. Petersberg Times/<br />Schroth, Eldon & Associates/<br />The Polling Company]
|[[September 14]]-[[September 17|17]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 45%
| '''John McCain'''
| 47%
|rowspan="5" colspan="2"|&nbsp;
|-
|[http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/09/17/battleground.poll/index.html CNN/Time Magazine/<br />Opinion Research]
|[[September 14]]-[[September 16|16]], [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 48%
| '''John McCain'''
| 48%
|-
|[http://www.nationaljournal.com/njmagazine/pi_20080918_3259.php Allstate/National Journal/FD]
|[[September 11]]-[[September 15|15]], [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 44%
| '''John McCain'''
| 44%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/florida/election_2008_florida_presidential_election/ Fox News/<br />Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 14]],[[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 44%
| '''John McCain'''
| 49%
|-
|[http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1549 Zogby Interactive] [[#Notes:|*]]
|[[September 9]]-[[September 12|12]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 41.8%
| '''John McCain'''
| 52.1%
|-
|[http://www.realclearpolitics.com/RCP_PDF/Ins_Adv_Poll_Position_Florida_General_Election_91108.pdf Insider Advantage/Poll Position]
|[[September 10]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 42%
| '''John McCain'''
| 50%
| Others
| 4%
|-
|[http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x2882.xml?ReleaseID=1212 Quinnipiac University]
|[[September 5]]-[[September 9|9]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 43%
| '''John McCain'''
| 50%
| Others
| 1%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/florida/election_2008_florida_presidential_election/ Fox News/<br />Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 7]],[[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 48%
| '''John McCain'''
| 48%
|rowspan="3" colspan="2"|&nbsp;
|-
|[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_Florida_909.pdf Public Policy Polling]
|[[September 6]]-[[September 7|7]],[[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 45%
| '''John McCain'''
| 50%
|-
|[http://www.wesh.com/download/2008/0827/17312639.pdf Mason Dixon]
|[[August 25]]-[[August 26|26]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 45%
| John McCain
| 44%
|-
|[http://www.strategicvision.biz/political/florida_poll_082608.htm Strategic Vision]
|[[August 22]]-[[August 24|24]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 42%
| '''John McCain'''
| 49%
| Bob Barr
| 1%
|-
|[http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x2882.xml?ReleaseID=1210 Quinnipiac University]
|[[August 17]]-[[August 24|24]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 43%
| '''John McCain'''
| 47%
| Others
| 2%
|-
|[http://www.flchamber.com/docs/NewsReleases/FloridaChamberPresidentialPoll_082508.pdf Kitchens Group] [[#Notes:|**]]
|[[August 18]]-[[August 21|21]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 39%
| '''John McCain'''
| 42%
| Others
| 6%
|-
|[http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/ American Research Group]
|[[August 18]]-[[August 20|20]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 46%
| '''John McCain'''
| 47%
|colspan="2"|&nbsp;
|-
| rowspan="3" |[http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1543 Zogby Interactive] [[#Notes:|*]]
| rowspan="3" |[[August 15]]-[[August 19|19]] [[2008]]
| rowspan="3" |Barack Obama
| rowspan="3" |40%
| rowspan="3" |'''John McCain'''
| rowspan="3" |43%
| Bob Barr
| 5%
|-
| Ralph Nader
| 1%
|-
| Other
| 12%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/florida/election_2008_florida_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[August 18]],[[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 46%
| '''John McCain'''
| 48%
|rowspan="9" colspan="2"|&nbsp;
|-
|[http://insideradvantagegeorgia.com/FL_Aug_Pres_Poll_Results(8-12-08).pdf InsiderAdvantage/<br />Majority Opinion Research]
|[[August 11]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 44.2%
| '''John McCain'''
| 47.8%
|-
|[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=9946139b-a61a-4f93-bbcc-6ce0fae9014a/ Survey USA]
|[[August 1]]-[[August 3|3]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 44%
| '''John McCain'''
| 50%
|-
|[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_Florida_805.pdf Public Policy Polling]
|[[July 30]]-[[August 2]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 44%
| '''John McCain'''
| 47%
|-
|[http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x2882.xml?ReleaseID=1196 Quinnipiac University]
|[[July 23]]-[[July 29|29]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 46%
| John McCain
| 44%
|-
|[http://www.pollster.com/blogs/poll_fabrizio_mclaughlin_flori.php Fabrizio,McLaughlin & Associates/<br />Florida Chamber of Commerce] [[#Notes:|**]]
|[[July 20]]-[[July 28|28]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 40%
| '''John McCain'''
| 45%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/florida/election_2008_florida_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[July 22]],[[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 49%
| John McCain
| 47%
|-
|[http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/ American Research Group]
|[[July 19]]-[[July 21|21]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 45%
| '''John McCain'''
| 47%
|-
|[http://warroomlogistics.com/docs/070908pr.pdf War Room Logistics]
|[[July 7]]-[[July 8|8]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 47%
| John McCain
| 44%
|}


==={{flagicon|Georgia (U.S. state)}}[[Georgia (U.S. state)|Georgia]]===
::Okay, so I'll go with no link here but it does qualify for the poltergeist article. The [http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1021070/The-sinister-images-caught-camera-prove-poltergeists-DO-exist-.html Daily Mail] also did a story on it. I also found a response to criticism FAQ [http://www.mikehallowell.com/shieldspolt/page11.html here] on the investigator's official website. It looks like the Sun article is the first release of footage from the case. [[User:5Q5|5Q5]] ([[User talk:5Q5|talk]]) 19:40, 10 August 2008 (UTC)
'''15 electoral votes'''


{| class="wikitable"
:...I haven't seen the video yet. but...you don't need mercury to make a bottle of water stand on edge...a plain bottle of water will stand at an angle so long as the bottle is partly filled with water and the water isn't sloshing....It's the same trick as standing an egg on it's end (which contrary to urban legend, does not only work on the equinox). -[[User:Verdatum|Verdatum]] ([[User talk:Verdatum|talk]]) 17:42, 11 August 2008 (UTC)
|- valign=bottom
! Poll Source
! Date administered
! Democrat
! %
! Republican
! %
|-
|[http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/docs/IA_Georgia_101008.htm InsiderAdvantage/Poll Position]
|[[October 9]], [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 46%
| '''John McCain'''
| 49%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/georgia/election_2008_georgia_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[October 7]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 45%
| '''John McCain'''
| 54%
|-
|[http://strategicvision.biz/political/georgia_poll_100908.htm Strategic Vision]
|[[October 5]]-[[October 7]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 43%
| '''John McCain'''
| 50%
|-
|[http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/10/6/1152/98507/228/618110 Research 2000/Daily Kos]
|[[September 29]]-[[October 1]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 43%
| '''John McCain'''
| 50%
|-
|[http://www.southernpoliticalreport.com/downloads/uploaded/67_Ga%20Sept%2030.pdf InsiderAdvantage/Poll Position]
|[[September 30]], [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 44%
| '''John McCain'''
| 50%
|-
|[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=b1b8098c-b5fc-4f44-8be3-0d54f3e03476 Survey USA]
|[[September 28]]-[[September 29|29]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 44%
| '''John McCain'''
| 52%
|-
|[http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/latestpolls/index.html American Research Group]
|[[September 18]]-[[September 21|21]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 39%
| '''John McCain'''
| 57%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/georgia/election_2008_georgia_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 18]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 43%
| '''John McCain'''
| 54%
|-
|[http://www.realclearpolitics.com/RCP_PDF/IA_Georgia_Poll91808.pdf InsiderAdvantage/Poll Position]
|[[September 17]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 43%
| '''John McCain'''
| 51%
|-
|[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=5438dd8b-22f4-4691-beba-1c4cceeaf37f Survey USA]
|[[September 14]]-[[September 16|16]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 41%
| '''John McCain'''
| 57%
|-
|[http://www.pollster.com/blogs/ga_mccain_56_obama_35_pos9811.php Public Opinion Strategies]
|[[September 9]]-[[September 11|11]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 35%
| '''John McCain'''
| 56%
|-
|[http://www.insideradvantagegeorgia.com/restricted/2008/September%202008/9-11-08/Poll_Position_Georgia91119644.php InsiderAdvantage/Poll Position]
|[[September 10]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 38%
| '''John McCain'''
| 56%
|-
|[http://www.realclearpolitics.com/RCP_PDF/InsiderAdvantagePollPositionOhioGeneralElectionPoll91108.pdf Strategic Vision]
|[[September 7]]-[[September 9|9]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 39%
| '''John McCain'''
| 52%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/georgia/election_2008_georgia_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[August 14]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 44%
| '''John McCain'''
| 53%
|-
|[http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/georgia/election_2008_georgia_presidential_election Rasmussen Reports]
|[[July 17]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 42%
| '''John McCain'''
| 53%
|-
|[http://www.southernpoliticalreport.com/story.aspx?sid=460 InsiderAdvantage/Poll Position/<br />Majority Opinion Research]
|[[July 2]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 44%
| '''John McCain'''
| 46%
|}


==={{flagicon|Hawaii}}[[Hawaii]]===
::When you view the video, you'll see that a hand reaches out and tries to knock it over. It almost looks like it's resting on a cushion of electrostatically charged air, which then dissipates resulting in the bottle finally falling over. Other objects on the table don't seem affected. Looks hard to duplicate by practical means, would have to be sophistcated cgi. In checking the case's website, I see it has a lot of participants. That's a lot of people to agree to a hoax. The researchers apparently have hours of footage, published a book, and are trying to get a media project going. I think they believe it's a ghost or something and not PK, so the link is okay for the poltergeist article for now can be used as a reference if or when the case is mentioned in the article itself.. [[User:5Q5|5Q5]] ([[User talk:5Q5|talk]]) 21:41, 11 August 2008 (UTC)
'''4 electoral votes'''


{| class="wikitable"
::: 'Sophisticated cgi?'... how about a bit of clear sticky putty on the edge of bottle, just sticky enough to hold it there for a minute or two, like a bit of silicon caulk. How's this for a demo of PK and spontaneous wounding [[http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mRZLNL6UMRI]] [[User:Guyonthesubway|Guyonthesubway]] ([[User talk:Guyonthesubway|talk]]) 00:29, 12 August 2008 (UTC)
|- valign=bottom
:::: be REASAONBLE, Guy. that video is clearl y a lode of nonsense. i mean seriously, a real pyrokinetic phenomonate would not be as flashy as it is portrayed in htat film, and the effects would be more psychokinetic than cartoonic. In any cas,e it is clearly of the same caliber as the poltergeist experiment and i think that there is a bad reason to include this into the article simply because it offers viable and good faih researched proof of psychokinetic paraphrenormativity which can help balance out that (quite correct) scientific POV that is in this article. of coure it shouldnt have a large section but it should be addressed in either this article on in [[poltergeist]] r [[parapsychology]] article. [[User:Smith Jones|Smith Jones]] ([[User talk:Smith Jones|talk]]) 02:31, 21 August 2008 (UTC)
! Poll Source
! Date administered
! Democrat
! %
! Republican
! %
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/state_toplines/hawaii/toplines_hawaii_presidential_election_september_20_2008 Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 23]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 68%
| John McCain
| 27%
|-
|[http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/pres2008/HI08.html American Research Group]
|[[September 7]]-[[September 12|12]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 63%
| John McCain
| 32%
|-
|[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=fd78c13e-4cd9-4fef-ac69-a678ce83d9e2%20 Survey USA]
|[[February 26]]-[[February 29|29]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 61%
| John McCain
| 31%
|}


==={{flagicon|Idaho}}[[Idaho]]===
:::::I am confused. If the video is clearly a "lode[sic] of nonsense", why would you want to insert it anywhere? The reason I removed the video from this article in the first place was because it's so easy to fake as other editors have pointed out. Again, this video is no proof for anything, at best it is just useless. And my rejection is not coming from a lack of good faith, but from a lack of any kind of compelling evidence. Incidentally, their [http://www.mikehallowell.com/shieldspolt/page11.html website] raises pretty much all the red flags for a Fake/Hoax/Money making scam. From a complete lack of data, but a lot of testimonials, to all the proof that they have but won't show unless you buy their book on Amazon from the convenient link present on every page. Oh, and they also have a lot of videos apparently, but again they won't show them to you either because they are negotiating to film a documentary. Anyway, as you said and I agree with you, it's all nonsense, so let's remove the video from the poltergeist article as well and in the future, when their documentary is released, or when they get their Nobel price (whichever comes first), we can discuss about re-inserting the video. --[[User:McSly|McSly]] ([[User talk:McSly|talk]]) 03:06, 21 August 2008 (UTC)
'''4 electoral votes'''


{| class="wikitable"
:::::: I mean, i just said that I thought that the video that GuyOnTheSubway posted was nonsense and that it doesnt belong on the argument seriously did you look at it? it shows a little boy shooting a fireball out of his eyes and incinerating his hand. that wasnt realistic at all!!!
|- valign=bottom
:::::: as for the other video, i dont really care one way or another. to me, it sems like frontier scientific sources are being stifled a bit, but i can see why you dont want to include at this time. I personaly have no problem with you removing this link at this time, as long as your okay to readd it if it meets the conditions you stated. [[User:Smith Jones|Smith Jones]] ([[User talk:Smith Jones|talk]]) 03:16, 21 August 2008 (UTC)
! Poll Source
::::::: I had in fact not clicked on the link (this is embarrassing). So cool, we agree then, no video.--[[User:McSly|McSly]] ([[User talk:McSly|talk]]) 03:36, 21 August 2008 (UTC)
! Date administered
::::::: its good to know that we were all on the same page re: the video. [[User:Smith Jones|Smith Jones]] ([[User talk:Smith Jones|talk]]) 04:12, 21 August 2008 (UTC)
! Democrat
! %
! Republican
! %
|-
|[http://www.dailykos.com/story/2008/9/19/211832/447/958/603158 Research 2000/Daily Kos]
|[[September 16]]-[[September 17|17]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 33%
| '''John McCain'''
| 62%
|-
|[http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2008/ID08.html American Research Group]
|[[September 8]]-[[September 10|10]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 25%
| '''John McCain'''
| 68%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/idaho/election_2008_idaho_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 9]],[[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 29%
| '''John McCain'''
| 68%
|-
|[http://www.pollster.com/blogs/Idaho%20Poll%20President%20August%2026%2C%202008.doc Greg Smith & Associates]
|[[August 18]]-[[August 22|22]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 29%
| '''John McCain'''
| 52%
|-
|[http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/7/31/12214/5122/347/560030 Research 2000/Daily Kos]
|[[July 28]]-[[July 30|30]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 37%
| '''John McCain'''
| 53%
|}


==={{flagicon|Illinois}}[[Illinois]]===
'''21 electoral votes'''


{| class="wikitable"
:::::::: Sorry... forgot the sarcasm tag. My point was that its easy to fake a video and that a video of a plastic bottle falling over is pure crap as a demonstration of anything. [[User:Guyonthesubway|Guyonthesubway]] ([[User talk:Guyonthesubway|talk]]) 17:57, 25 August 2008 (UTC)
|- valign=bottom
! Poll Source
! Date administered
! Democrat
! %
! Republican
! %
|-
|[http://www.stltoday.com/stltoday/news/stories.nsf/politics/story/43895DDA1683ECEE862574CA00119713?OpenDocument St Louis Post-Dispatch/Research 2000]
|[[September 15]]-[[September 18|18]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 56%
| John McCain
| 36%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/illinois/election_2008_illinois_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 17]],[[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 56%
| John McCain
| 40%
|-
|[http://www.bigtenpoll.org/results0809/illinois.html Big Ten Poll]
|[[September 14]]-[[September 17|17]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 53%
| John McCain
| 37%
|-
|[http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/pres2008/IL08.html American Research Group]
|[[September 13]]-[[September 16|16]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 51%
| John McCain
| 45%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/illinois/election_2008_illinois_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[August 12]],[[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 55%
| John McCain
| 40%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/illinois/election_2008_illinois_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[July 8]],[[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 52%
| John McCain
| 41%
|}


==={{flagicon|Indiana}}[[Indiana]]===
==Concern ==
'''11 electoral votes'''
[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Indiana_2|''chart'']]


{| class="wikitable"
[To OrangeMarlin] Please don't try to edit war your change into the article. That is wording which is 1) obviously true and 2) has the consensus of other editors here. ——'''[[User:Martinphi|<span style="color:#6c4408;border:1px dashed #6c4408;padding:1px;background:#ffffff;">Martin<sup>phi</sup>]]'''</span> [[User talk:Martinphi|☎]] Ψ [[Special:Contributions/Martinphi|Φ]]<span style="color:#ffffff;">——</span> 02:33, 21 August 2008 (UTC)
|- valign=bottom
:Sorry, but you're just plain wrong. There is no "known science" because you are implying some magic that is outside of the testability of science. "Science" works on hypotheses, testing of the hypotheses, and then revising the hypothesis. Science requires falsifiability. Implying or outright statements that there is some other science out there is just POV editing. "Unknown science" is a canard that just doesn't exist. I also find your warnings to be uncivil. [[User:Orangemarlin|<font color="orange">'''Orange'''</font><font color="teal">'''Marlin'''</font>]] <small><sup>[[User talk:Orangemarlin|Talk•]] [[Special:Contributions/Orangemarlin|Contributions]]</sup></small> 03:58, 21 August 2008 (UTC)
! Poll Source
::Calm down folks. wp is not a [[WP:BATTLEGROUND]]. this is a realy minor technical dispute and not something wroth reverting muiltiple times overr
! Date administered
[[User:Smith Jones|Smith Jones]] ([[User talk:Smith Jones|talk]]) 04:13, 21 August 2008 (UTC)
! Democrat
! %
! Republican
! %
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/indiana/election_2008_indiana_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[October 7]], [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 43%
| '''John McCain'''
| 50%
|-
|[http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/10/07/cnn-polls-new-obama-gains-in-battleground-states/#more-23059 CNN/Time/Opinion Research]
|[[October 3]]-[[October 6|6]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 46%
| '''John McCain'''
| 51%
|-
|[http://www.fox28.com/Global/story.asp?S=9134876 Research 2000/WISH-TV]
|[[September 29]]-[[October 3]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 46%
| '''John McCain'''
| 46%
|-
|[http://www.sbtinfo.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20081001/NEWS07/810010116/1129/News Research 2000]
|[[September 28]]-[[September 29|29]],[[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 45%
| '''John McCain'''
| 46%
|-
|[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=a20e258c-23a3-4d41-969f-3528db8b5caf/ Survey USA]
|[[September 28]]-[[September 29|29]],[[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 45%
| '''John McCain'''
| 48%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/indiana/election_2008_indiana_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 17]]-[[September 18|18]],[[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 47%
| '''John McCain'''
| 49%
|-
|[http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/pres2008/IN08.html American Research Group]
|[[September 14]]-[[September 18|18]],[[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 44%
| '''John McCain'''
| 47%
|-
|[http://www.bigtenpoll.org/results0809/indiana.html Big Ten Poll]
|[[September 14]]-[[September 17|17]], [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 43%
| '''John McCain'''
| 47%
|-
|[http://www.indystar.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20080917/NEWS0502/80917076 Indianapolis Star/WTHR/<br />Selzer & Co.]
|[[September 14]]-[[September 16|16]], [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 47%
| John McCain
| 44%
|-
|[http://thepage.time.com/2008/09/17/latest-timecnn-battleground-polls/ CNN/Time Magazine/<br />Opinion Research]
|[[September 14]]-[[September 16|16]], [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 45%
| '''John McCain'''
| 51%
|-
|[http://www.howeypolitics.com/2008/09/04/howey-gauge-poll-toplines-aug-29-30/ Howey-Gauge]
|[[August 29]]-[[August 30|30]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 43%
| '''John McCain'''
| 45%
|-
|[http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/indiana/election_2008_indiana_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[August 19]]-[[August 21|21]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 43%
| '''John McCain'''
| 49%
|-
|[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=3c299ac8-437b-4ecc-9f0e-2d2ba6a36e92 Survey USA]
|[[August 16]]-[[August 18|18]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 44%
| '''John McCain'''
| 50%
|}


==={{flagicon|Iowa}}[[Iowa]]===
You could put in "current scientific understanding." That is what everyone meant, and I believe it is what the reader would understand. I doubt anyone here ever before dreamed it could be interpreted as you did. "Current scientific understanding" is what was meant all along. ——'''[[User:Martinphi|<span style="color:#6c4408;border:1px dashed #6c4408;padding:1px;background:#ffffff;">Martin<sup>phi</sup>]]'''</span> [[User talk:Martinphi|☎]] Ψ [[Special:Contributions/Martinphi|Φ]]<span style="color:#ffffff;">——</span> 06:48, 21 August 2008 (UTC)
'''7 electoral votes'''
: This really isn't worth an edit war. Just leave out the words "known" - it makes no difference to the idiomatic understanding, and is also technically correct, and is not encyclopaedic language. [[User:SesquipedalianVerbiage|<font color="#CC7722" face="Papyrus">'''Verbal'''</font>]] <small>[[User talk:SesquipedalianVerbiage#top|<font color="grey" face="Papyrus">chat</font>]]</small> 06:54, 21 August 2008 (UTC)


{| class="wikitable"
::The very last thing anyone I know of claims is that they are ouside the laws of physics, or outside the realm of science. This is a real slap in the face to people, equivalent to calling them kooks. They are as interested in science as anyone. I'd like it if you wouldn't mind changing the first "known" back, so it says "by means outside the known laws of physics." On the second one I put in a compromise wording. ——'''[[User:Martinphi|<span style="color:#6c4408;border:1px dashed #6c4408;padding:1px;background:#ffffff;">Martin<sup>phi</sup>]]'''</span> [[User talk:Martinphi|☎]] Ψ [[Special:Contributions/Martinphi|Φ]]<span style="color:#ffffff;">——</span> 07:07, 21 August 2008 (UTC)
|- valign=bottom
::: I don't care about what motivated OM to make this change, and whether you view his actions as a slap. Take that up with him. The fact is the article is better without the word known there, and an emotive argument is a poor argument. Writing "science" rather than "known science" is not a slap or an allegation of kookiness; I think you are overreacting. [[User:SesquipedalianVerbiage|<font color="#CC7722" face="Papyrus">'''Verbal'''</font>]] <small>[[User talk:SesquipedalianVerbiage#top|<font color="grey" face="Papyrus">chat</font>]]</small> 07:23, 21 August 2008 (UTC)
! Poll Source
! Date administered
! Democrat
! %
! Republican
! %
|-
|[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=1acf389c-6fca-469e-9f9c-55b502cd98aa Survey USA]
|[[October 8]]-[[October 9|9]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 54%
| John McCain
| 41%
|-
|[http://www.kcci.com/politics/17598982/detail.html Research 2000/KCCI]
|[[September 29]]-[[September 30|30]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 55%
| John McCain
| 39%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/iowa/election_2008_iowa_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 25]],[[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 51%
| John McCain
| 43%
|-
|[http://www.maristpoll.marist.edu/Battleground2008/IA080924.htm Marist College]
|[[September 18]]-[[September 21|21]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 51%
| John McCain
| 41%
|-
|[http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/pres2008/IA08.html American Research Group]
|[[September 17]]-[[September 20|20]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 51%
| John McCain
| 44%
|-
|[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=3762a738-bf31-416c-81cd-d35599c13107 Survey USA]
|[[September 17]]-[[September 18|18]], [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 54%
| John McCain
| 43%
|-
|[http://www.qctimes.com/articles/2008/09/21/news/local/doc48d5d7d0b32a5478622581.txt?sPos=2 Quad-City Times/<br />Lee Enterprises]
|[[September 15]]-[[September 17|17]], [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 53%
| John McCain
| 39%
|-
|[http://www.bigtenpoll.org/results0809/iowa.html Big Ten Poll]
|[[September 14]]-[[September 17|17]], [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 45%
| '''John McCain'''
| 45%
|-
|[http://www.desmoinesregister.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20080913/NEWS09/80913038 Des Moines Register/<br />Selzer & Co.]
|[[September 8]]-[[September 10|10]], [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 52%
| John McCain
| 40%
|-
|[http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/09/03/states.poll/index.html CNN/Time Magazine/<br />Opinion Research]
|[[August 31]]-[[September 2]], [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 55%
| John McCain
| 40%
|-
|[http://news-releases.uiowa.edu/2008/august/081908hawkeye_poll.html/ Hawkeye Poll]
|[[August 13]], [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 49.5%
| John McCain
| 43.1%
|-
|[http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/iowa/election_2008_iowa_presidential_election Rasmussen Reports]
|[[August 7]], [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 49%
| John McCain
| 44%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/iowa/election_2008_iowa_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[July 10]], [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 51%
| John McCain
| 41%
|}


==={{flagicon|Kansas}}[[Kansas]]===
::::Not at all. If it's against science it can never be science. If it's just not in accord with known science then it might be figured out to be in accord with scientific understanding sometime in the future. It's a slap in the face to those who attempt to study the matter in a scientific manner. ——'''[[User:Martinphi|<span style="color:#6c4408;border:1px dashed #6c4408;padding:1px;background:#ffffff;">Martin<sup>phi</sup>]]'''</span> [[User talk:Martinphi|☎]] Ψ [[Special:Contributions/Martinphi|Φ]]<span style="color:#ffffff;">——</span> 18:58, 21 August 2008 (UTC)
'''6 electoral votes'''
::::: It is no such thing. Please stop trying to be personally offended by a simple change from "known science" to "science". [[User:SesquipedalianVerbiage|<font color="#CC7722" face="Papyrus">'''Verbal'''</font>]] <small>[[User talk:SesquipedalianVerbiage#top|<font color="grey" face="Papyrus">chat</font>]]</small> 21:17, 21 August 2008 (UTC)
He ScienceApologist, once in a while I disagree with your edits, but in this case I think you did well. [http://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Psychokinesis&curid=24777&diff=233374726&oldid=233327777] ——'''[[User:Martinphi|<span style="color:#6c4408;border:1px dashed #6c4408;padding:1px;background:#ffffff;">Martin<sup>phi</sup>]]'''</span> [[User talk:Martinphi|☎]] Ψ [[Special:Contributions/Martinphi|Φ]]<span style="color:#ffffff;">——</span> 18:58, 21 August 2008 (UTC)
: I agree, that's a good edit. [[User:SesquipedalianVerbiage|<font color="#CC7722" face="Papyrus">'''Verbal'''</font>]] <small>[[User talk:SesquipedalianVerbiage#top|<font color="grey" face="Papyrus">chat</font>]]</small> 18:59, 21 August 2008 (UTC)


{| class="wikitable"
::"Known science" is meaningless as the root of science is scientia "knowledge, that which is known or understood". [[User:Jim62sch|<font face="Times New Roman" color="FF2400">&#0149;Jim</font><font face="Times New Roman" color="F4C430">62</font><font face="Times New Roman" color="000000">sch&#0149;</font>]]<sup>[[User talk:Jim62sch|dissera!]]</sup> 20:59, 21 August 2008 (UTC)
|- valign=bottom
::technially, "known science" i sjust redundant. There is nothing wrong wit it as a locution but just saying "sciencE" would be tighter. [[User:Smith Jones|Smith Jones]] ([[User talk:Smith Jones|talk]]) 20:22, 26 August 2008 (UTC)
! Poll Source
::: and neither form is insulting. [[User:SesquipedalianVerbiage|<font color="#CC7722" face="Papyrus">'''Verbal'''</font>]] <small>[[User talk:SesquipedalianVerbiage#top|<font color="grey" face="Papyrus">chat</font>]]</small> 20:39, 26 August 2008 (UTC)
! Date administered
! Democrat
! %
! Republican
! %
|-
|[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=84084bd8-b101-42ca-b160-3267998b029f/ Survey USA]
|[[September 21]]-[[September 22|22]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 41%
| '''John McCain'''
| 53%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/kansas/election_2008_kansas_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 18]],[[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 38%
| '''John McCain'''
| 58%
|-
|[http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2008/KS08.html American Research Group]
|[[September 7]]-[[September 10|10]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 31%
| '''John McCain'''
| 63%
|-
|[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=fa48a29a-4338-402a-83c7-3b6e3b500f88 Survey USA]
|[[August 18]]-[[August 20|20]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 35%
| '''John McCain'''
| 58%
|-
|[http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/kansas/election_2008_kansas_presidential_election Rasmussen Reports]
|[[August 11]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 41%
| '''John McCain'''
| 55%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/kansas/election_2008_kansas_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[July 14]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 35%
| '''John McCain'''
| 58%
|}


==={{flagicon|Kentucky}}[[Kentucky]]===
==Dispute==
'''8 electoral votes'''


{| class="wikitable"
The definition "denotes the purported ability of the mind to influence matter, time, space, or energy by means outside the [[laws of physics]]." is POV, as it puts psychokinesis utterly outside the potential for scientific investigation. I have never seen a source which claimed such a thing. However, sources will say things such as that psychokinesis is not the result of known physical forces. But they will not state that it is outside the laws of physics (as if we knew what all of those were). This definition makes psychokinesis supernatural, not merely unexplained. It is also a statement not supported by the sources. I have therefore added the totally disputed tag to the article, since both the facts and POV of the article are now in question. One cannot change the very definition of a thing without changing the POV of the whole article.
|- valign=bottom
! Poll Source
! Date administered
! Democrat
! %
! Republican
! %
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/kentucky/election_2008_kentucky_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 30]],[[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 42%
| '''John McCain'''
| 52%
|-
|[http://www.kentucky.com/471/story/539097.html Louisville Courier-Journal/Mason-Dixon]
|[[September 22]]-[[September 25|25]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 41%
| '''John McCain'''
| 53%
|-
|[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=84836890-5e61-4930-bba8-8056ee24c9d1 Survey USA]
|[[September 21]]-[[September 22|22]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 38%
| '''John McCain'''
| 57%
|-
|[http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/7/31/13211/4569/292/560077 Research 2000/Daily Kos]
|[[September 15]]-[[September 17|17]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 37%
| '''John McCain'''
| 55%
|-
|[http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2008/KY08.html American Research Group]
|[[September 8]]-[[September 12|12]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 37%
| '''John McCain'''
| 57%
|-
|[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=7bc6b84c-e1f1-4df4-85f3-5ae9404160c8 Survey USA]
|[[August 9]]-[[August 11|11]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 37%
| '''John McCain'''
| 55%
|-
|[http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/7/31/13211/4569/292/560077 Research 2000/Daily Kos]
|[[July 28]]-[[July 30|30]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 35%
| '''John McCain'''
| 56%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/kentucky/election_2008_kentucky_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[July 29]],[[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 43%
| '''John McCain'''
| 52%
|}


==={{flagicon|Louisiana}}[[Louisiana]]===
We can go to mediation on this if you wish, but since the source does not support you, nor do the bulk of other reliable sources, I suggest you allow the article to return to the previous NPOV and consensus wording. ——'''[[User:Martinphi|<span style="color:#6c4408;border:1px dashed #6c4408;padding:1px;background:#ffffff;">Martin<sup>phi</sup>]]'''</span> [[User talk:Martinphi|☎]] Ψ [[Special:Contributions/Martinphi|Φ]]<span style="color:#ffffff;">——</span> 21:33, 21 August 2008 (UTC)
'''9 electoral votes'''
:This ''"it is not in accord ... with reality"'' is hilarious given the topic. [[User:Jim62sch|<font face="Times New Roman" color="FF2400">&#0149;Jim</font><font face="Times New Roman" color="F4C430">62</font><font face="Times New Roman" color="000000">sch&#0149;</font>]]<sup>[[User talk:Jim62sch|dissera!]]</sup> 21:39, 21 August 2008 (UTC)
:Source from the [[OED]] ''"1. The supposed phenomenon whereby physical objects are moved or affected by mental or psychic effort alone; the ability to do this. Cf. telekinesis n. at TELE- comb. form 1."'' [[User:Jim62sch|<font face="Times New Roman" color="FF2400">&#0149;Jim</font><font face="Times New Roman" color="F4C430">62</font><font face="Times New Roman" color="000000">sch&#0149;</font>]]<sup>[[User talk:Jim62sch|dissera!]]</sup> 21:48, 21 August 2008 (UTC)


{| class="wikitable"
::Yes, this source does not support the definition. ——'''[[User:Martinphi|<span style="color:#6c4408;border:1px dashed #6c4408;padding:1px;background:#ffffff;">Martin<sup>phi</sup>]]'''</span> [[User talk:Martinphi|☎]] Ψ [[Special:Contributions/Martinphi|Φ]]<span style="color:#ffffff;">——</span> 22:04, 21 August 2008 (UTC)
|- valign=bottom
! Poll Source
! Date administered
! Democrat
! %
! Republican
! %
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/louisiana/election_2008_louisiana_president/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 25]], [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 40%
| '''John McCain'''
| 55%
|-
|[http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2008/LA08.html American Research Group]
|[[September 9]]-[[September 12|12]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 43%
| '''John McCain'''
| 50%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/louisiana/election_2008_louisiana_president/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[August 17]], [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 39%
| '''John McCain'''
| 57%
|-
|[http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/louisiana/election_2008_louisiana_president Rasmussen Reports]
|[[July 9]], [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 37%
| '''John McCain'''
| 56%
|}


==={{flagicon|Maine}}[[Maine]]===
I will file for mediation later today if things do not progress. It is a cut and dried case on not being in accord with the sources, and no need to drag it out. ——'''[[User:Martinphi|<span style="color:#6c4408;border:1px dashed #6c4408;padding:1px;background:#ffffff;">Martin<sup>phi</sup>]]'''</span> [[User talk:Martinphi|☎]] Ψ [[Special:Contributions/Martinphi|Φ]]<span style="color:#ffffff;">——</span> 22:08, 21 August 2008 (UTC)
'''4 electoral votes'''


{| class="wikitable"
[[Laws of physics]] clearly indicates that they describe only that what is known and not what is unknown. If psychokinesis exists and it relies on physics not yet understood then it lies outside the laws of physics which are a set of descriptions of known observable phenomena. According to the definition provided in the reference, psychokinesis relies on an energy that is not known to physics. Therefore, we can safely say that it is outside the laws of physics.
|- valign=bottom
! Poll Source
! Date administered
! Democrat
! %
! Republican
! %
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/maine/election_2008_maine_presidential_election Rasmussen Reports]
|[[October 2]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 51%
| John McCain
| 46%
|-
|[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=3ea1b43d-0776-48f7-b545-6515576915bc Survey USA]
|[[September 22]]-[[September 23|23]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 49%
| John McCain
| 44%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/maine/election_2008_maine_presidential_election Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 17]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 50%
| John McCain
| 46%
|-
||[http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/pres2008/ME08.html American Research Group]
|[[September 8]]-[[September 10|10]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 51%
| John McCain
| 41%
|-
|[http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/9/11/114755/593/35/594904 Research 2000/<br />Daily Kos]
|[[September 8]]-[[September 10|10]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 52%
| John McCain
| 38%
|-
|[http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/maine/election_2008_maine_presidential_election Rasmussen Reports]
|[[August 12]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 53%
| John McCain
| 39%
|-
|[http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/maine/election_2008_maine_presidential_election Rasmussen Reports]
|[[July 17]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 49%
| John McCain
| 41%
|}


==={{flagicon|Maryland}}[[Maryland]]===
Part of the issue may be that some think that the "laws of physics" are somehow a [[theory of everything]] or some "writ in the clouds" list of explanations for all known physical phenomena. Any physicist will tell you that despite this "popular notion", this is manifestly not what the laws of physics are. When people refer to the laws of physics they are always referring to what we currently know.
'''10 electoral votes'''


{| class="wikitable"
[[User:ScienceApologist|ScienceApologist]] ([[User talk:ScienceApologist|talk]]) 23:06, 21 August 2008 (UTC)
|- valign=bottom
:I don't know why I am bothering, but, [[Physical law]], the redirect of [[laws of physics]] clearly indicates that they describe only what is observable, and not what is unobservable. That is not the same as what is known or unknown. laws of magnetism existed decades before anyone had a decent explanation of the nature of magnetic force, and existing explanations have still yet to be "proven" true. It was possible to draw up such laws because magnetism was observable in reproduceable experiments that yeilded consistent results. So the counter-argument is, "if PK could be shown to exist, we could observe it, and then make some laws to describe it." Whether "laws of physics" is in reference to the existing explicitly described laws of physics, or the universal laws of physics from the omniscient perspective (which would indeed be some form of theory-of-everything) is a rather silly argument of semantics. Claiming that a phenomena is outside of such universal laws of physics would be [[special pleading]]; but I don't believe anyone is doing that. -[[User:Verdatum|Verdatum]] ([[User talk:Verdatum|talk]]) 21:25, 26 August 2008 (UTC)
! Poll Source
! Date administered
! Democrat
! %
! Republican
! %
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/state_toplines/maryland/toplines_maryland_presidential_election_september_20_2008 Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 20]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 60%
| John McCain
| 37%
|-
|[http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/pres2008/MD08.html American Research Group]
|[[September 17]]-[[September 19|19]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 54%
| John McCain
| 39%
|-
|[http://www.examiner.com/a-1577410~Gonzales_poll_shows_slots_are_losing_favor.html Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies]
|[[August 29]]-[[September 5]],[[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 52%
| John McCain
| 38%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/maryland/election_2008_maryland_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[August 18]],[[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 53%
| John McCain
| 43%
|}


==={{flagicon|Massachusetts}}[[Massachusetts]]===
==Excellent==
'''12 electoral votes'''


{| class="wikitable"
Excellent- SA this is true, but we should communicate it in a way which people will understand without having more than the communderstanding of what the laws of physics are. As far as I am concerned, the problem has been solved by the current edit [http://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Psychokinesis&diff=233432019&oldid=233411507]. Thanks for the explanation of physics, and thanks to jossi for the edit (: BTW, if anyone wants to challenge the source, there are other good refs avaliable. ——'''[[User:Martinphi|<span style="color:#6c4408;border:1px dashed #6c4408;padding:1px;background:#ffffff;">Martin<sup>phi</sup>]]'''</span> [[User talk:Martinphi|☎]] Ψ [[Special:Contributions/Martinphi|Φ]]<span style="color:#ffffff;">——</span> 23:57, 21 August 2008 (UTC)
|- valign=bottom
! Poll Source
! Date administered
! Democrat
! %
! Republican
! %
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/massachusetts/election_2008_massachusetts_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 23]],[[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 58%
| John McCain
| 38%
|-
|[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=f10184be-cb08-49ac-a711-0a345de81ca1 Survey USA]
|[[September 22]]-[[September 23|23]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 55%
| John McCain
| 39%
|-
|[http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/pres2008/MA08.html American Research Group]
|[[September 20]]-[[September 22|22]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 55%
| John McCain
| 39%
|-
|[http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/massachusetts/election_2008_massachusetts_presidential_election Rasmussen Reports]
|[[August 5]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 54%
| John McCain
| 38%
|-
|[http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/ma/massachusetts_mccain_vs_obama-575.html Suffolk University]
|[[July 31]]-[[August 3]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 47%
| John McCain
| 38%
|}


==={{flagicon|Michigan}}[[Michigan]]===
::FWIW, I came here to see if i could manage an acceptable wording, and found that Jossi had succeeded far better than what I would have done. '''[[User:DGG|DGG]]''' ([[User talk:DGG|talk]]) 03:38, 22 August 2008 (UTC)
'''17 electoral votes'''
[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Michigan_2|''chart'']]


{| class="wikitable"
==Edited out: Anecdotal evidence & Illusion of control ==
|- valign=bottom
On August 21, 2008, an editor performed a major edit and deleted the above two sections from the article without proposing and seeking a consensus and with no explanation in the history log. See edit history [http://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Psychokinesis&diff=233437245&oldid=233436992 here]. The two terms [[anecdotal evidence]] and [[illusion of control]] were moved to the See also list, but those articles do not include a mention of PK, so I imagine the two terms will eventually be dropped from that list. I want to note this edit here in case a future editor of this PK article complains that there's no mention of anecdotal evidence or illusion of control. I suppose the article could do without them, but we need to acknowledge the edit at least, since there was no talk page discussion on it and regular editors may have missed it. [[User:5Q5|5Q5]] ([[User talk:5Q5|talk]]) 00:32, 24 August 2008 (UTC)
! Poll Source
! Date administered
! Democrat
! %
! Republican
! %
! Others
! %
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/michigan/election_2008_michigan_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
| [[October 8]], [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 56%
| John McCain
| 40%
|rowspan="1" colspan="2"|&nbsp;
|-
|[http://www.dennonoor.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=35&Itemid=29 Rossman/Denno-Noor/MIRS]
| [[October 1]]-[[October 4|4]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 44%
| John McCain
| 39%
| Unspecified third party candidate
| ~4%
|-
|[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_Michigan_1002685.pdf Public Policy Polling]
| [[September 29]]-[[October 1]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 51%
| John McCain
| 41%
|rowspan="22" colspan="2"|&nbsp;
|-
|[http://www.freep.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20080925/NEWS15/80925082 Selzer/Detroit Free Press/WDIV]
| [[September 22]]-[[September 24|24]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 51%
| John McCain
| 38%
|-
|[http://time-blog.com/real_clear_politics/2008/09/sneak_peek_nh_mi_polls.html Strategic Vision]
| [[September 22]]-[[September 24|24]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 48%
| John McCain
| 45%
|-
|[http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/09/24/polls-in-battleground-states-show-obama-gaining-ground/ CNN/Time Magazine]
| [[September 21]]-[[September 23|23]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 49%
| John McCain
| 43%
|-
|[http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/archive/2008/09/25/1445957.aspx NBC/Mason-Dixon]
|[[September 18]]-[[September 23|23]],[[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 46%
| '''John McCain'''
| 46%
|-
|[http://www.wxyz.com/content/news/2008vote/story.aspx?content_id=52e84758-1bd4-4e8b-9514-128e76d14690 EPIC-MRA/Detroit News]
|[[September 20]]-[[September 22|22]],[[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 48%
| John McCain
| 38%
|-
|[http://www.nationaljournal.com/njmagazine/pi_20080927_1179.php Allstate/National Journal/FD]
|[[September 18]]-[[September 22|22]],[[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 47%
| John McCain
| 39%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/michigan/election_2008_michigan_presidential_election/ Fox News/<br />Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 21]],[[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 51%
| John McCain
| 44%
|-
|[http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x4141.xml?ReleaseID=1216 Quinnipiac University/<br />Wall Street Journal/<br />Washington Post]
|[[September 14]]-[[September 21|21]],[[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 48%
| John McCain
| 44%
|-
|[http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/pres2008/MI08.html American Research Group]
|[[September 16]]-[[September 19|19]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 48%
| John McCain
| 46%
|-
|[http://www.mrgmi.com/PR%20Pres%20Fall%2008.pdf Marketing Resource Group of Lansing]
|[[September 15]]-[[September 19|19]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 43%
| '''John McCain'''
| 46%
|-
|[http://www.maristpoll.marist.edu/MIpolls/MI080919.htm Marist College]
|[[September 16]]-[[September 17|17]], [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 52%
| John McCain
| 43%
|-
| [http://www.detnews.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20080920/POLITICS01/809200358 EPIC-MRA/Detroit News]
| [[September 14]]-[[September 17|17]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 45%
| John McCain
| 42%
|-
|[http://www.bigtenpoll.org/results0809/michigan.html Big Ten Poll]
|[[September 14]]-[[September 17|17]], [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 48%
| John McCain
| 44%
|-
|[http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1549 Zogby Interactive] [[#Notes:|*]]
|[[September 9]]-[[September 12|12]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 49%
| John McCain
| 43.3%
|-
| [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/michigan/election_2008_michigan_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
| [[September 10]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 51%
| John McCain
| 46%
|-
| [http://www.realclearpolitics.com/RCP_PDF/IA_Michigan%20General%20Election%20Poll%209%2011%2008.pdf InAdv/PollPosition]
| [[September 10]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 44%
| '''John McCain'''
| 45%
|-
| [http://www.time.com/time/politics/article/0,8599,1840327,00.html Time/CNN]
| [[September 7]]-[[September 9|9]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 45%
| John McCain
| 42%
|-
| [http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_Michigan_908.pdf Public Policy Polling]
| [[September 6]]-[[September 7|7]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 47%
| John McCain
| 46%
|-
| [http://www.strategicvision.biz/political/michigan_poll_091008.htm Strategic Vision]
| [[September 5]]-[[September 7|7]],[[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 45%
| John McCain
| 44%
|-
| [http://www.detnews.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20080825/POLITICS/808250360 EPIC-MRA/Detroit News]
| [[August 18]]-[[August 21|21]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 43%
| John McCain
| 41%
|-
|[http://www.freep.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20080821/NEWS15/308210001 Selzer/Detroit Free Press/WDIV]
|[[August 17]]-[[August 20|20]] [[2008]]<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.clickondetroit.com/politics/17263271/detail.html |title=Poll: Obama Leading McCain In Mich - Politics News Story - WDIV Detroit |publisher=Clickondetroit.com |date= |accessdate=2008-09-05}}</ref>
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 46%
| John McCain
| 39%
|-
| rowspan="3" |[http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1543 Zogby Interactive] [[#Notes:|*]]
| rowspan="3" |[[August 15]]-[[August 19|19]] [[2008]]
| rowspan="3" |'''Barack Obama'''
| rowspan="3" |46%
| rowspan="3" |John McCain
| rowspan="3" |37%
| Bob Barr
| 5%
|-
| Ralph Nader
| 1%
|-
| Other
| 12%
|-
|[http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/michigan/election_2008_michigan_presidential_election Rasmussen Reports]
|[[August 7]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 49%
| John McCain
| 45%
|rowspan="5" colspan="2"|&nbsp;
|-
|[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_Michigan_730.pdf/ Public Policy Polling]
|[[July 23]]-[[July 27|27]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 46%
| John McCain
| 43%
|-
|[http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x4141.xml?ReleaseID=1195 Quinnipiac University/<br />Wall Street Journal/<br />Washington Post]
|[[July 14]]-[[July 22|22]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 46%
| John McCain
| 42%
|-
|[http://detnews.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20080721/METRO/807210415 EPIC-MRA/<br />Detroit News]
|[[July 13]]-[[July 16|16]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 43%
| John McCain
| 41%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/michigan/election_2008_michigan_presidential_election Rasmussen Reports]
|[[July 10]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 50%
| John McCain
| 42%
|}


==={{flagicon|Minnesota}}[[Minnesota]]===
:Yeah, good. I think that was too much detail, really. ——'''[[User:Martinphi|<span style="color:#6c4408;border:1px dashed #6c4408;padding:1px;background:#ffffff;">Martin<sup>phi</sup>]]'''</span> [[User talk:Martinphi|☎]] Ψ [[Special:Contributions/Martinphi|Φ]]<span style="color:#ffffff;">——</span> 02:48, 24 August 2008 (UTC)
'''10 electoral votes'''
:Looking at the current state of the article, I believe both terms can and should be worked into the "statements of skeptics" section as common arguments given in dismissing the existence of PK (and obviously removed from the See Also section thereafter). I agree that taking the time to define each term does not add to the article, that's why we have wikilinks. -[[User:Verdatum|Verdatum]] ([[User talk:Verdatum|talk]]) 20:41, 26 August 2008 (UTC)
[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Minnesota_2|''chart'']]


{| class="wikitable"
::Yes, but I think they needed better sourcing, didn't they? ——'''[[User:Martinphi|<span style="color:#6c4408;border:1px dashed #6c4408;padding:1px;background:#ffffff;">Martin<sup>phi</sup>]]'''</span> [[User talk:Martinphi|☎]] Ψ [[Special:Contributions/Martinphi|Φ]]<span style="color:#ffffff;">——</span> 21:13, 26 August 2008 (UTC)
|- valign=bottom
:::That would certainly be nice. I have no reason to doubt they are used. I've seen various bits of infotainment on tv that invoked them in the skeptical side of the discussion of PK issues, but I have no references off the top of my head...[[Penn & Teller: Bullshit!]] perhaps... -[[User:Verdatum|Verdatum]] ([[User talk:Verdatum|talk]]) 21:34, 26 August 2008 (UTC)
! Poll Source
! Date administered
! Democrat
! %
! Republican
! %
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/minnesota/election_2008_minnesota_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[October 7]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 52%
| John McCain
| 45%
|-
|[http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2008/MN08.html American Research Group]
|[[October 4]]-[[October 7|7]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 47%
| John McCain
| 46%
|-
|[http://www.hhh.umn.edu/centers/cspg/pdf/HHH_MPR_October_President.pdf Minnesota Public Radio <br /> News/Humphrey Institute]
|[[October 3]]-[[October 5|5]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 54%
| John McCain
| 40%
|-
|[http://www.startribune.com/politics/state/30470234.html?elr=KArksLckD8EQDUoaEyqyP4O:DW3ckUiD3aPc:_Yyc:aULPQL7PQLanchO7DiUr/ Star Tribune/<br />Princeton Survey Research<br /> Associates International]
|[[September 30]]-[[October 2]],[[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 55%
| John McCain
| 37%
|-
|[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=0782fede-2757-4c86-9479-f84f02afc9fb SurveyUSA]
|[[September 30]]-[[October 1]], [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 46%
| '''John McCain'''
| 47%
|-
|[http://www.hhh.umn.edu/centers/cspg/pdf/HHH_MPR_October_President.pdf Minnesota Public Radio <br /> News/Humphrey Institute]
|[[September 29]]-[[October 1]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 47%
| John McCain
| 43%
|-
|[http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/10/01/battleground.polls/index.html CNN/Time Magazine/<br />Opinion Research]
|[[September 28]]-[[September 30|30]], [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 54%
| John McCain
| 43%
|-
|[http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x4141.xml?ReleaseID=1216 Quinnipiac University/<br />Wall Street Journal/<br />Washington Post]
|[[September 14]]-[[September 21|21]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 47%
| John McCain
| 45%
|-
|[http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/pres2008/MN08.html American Research Group]
|[[September 18]]-[[September 20|20]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 48%
| John McCain
| 47%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/minnesota/election_2008_minnesota_presidential_election Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 18]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 52%
| John McCain
| 44%
|-
|[http://www.bigtenpoll.org/results.html Big Ten Poll]
|[[September 14]]-[[September 17|17]], [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 47%
| John McCain
| 45%
|-
|[http://www.startribune.com/politics/national/president/28353589.html?elr=KArksc8P:Pc:UthPacyPE7iUiD3aPc:_Yyc:aUU Star Tribune Minnesota/<br />Princeton Survey Research<br /> Associates International]
|[[September 10]]-[[September 12|12]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 45%
| '''John McCain'''
| 45%
|-
|[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=987c56ab-af73-49dc-8e45-f7ccbcfe7411/ Survey USA]
|[[September 10]]-[[September 11|11]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 49%
| John McCain
| 47%
|-
|[http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/09/03/states.poll/index.html CNN/Time Magazine/<br />Opinion Research]
|[[August 31]]-[[September 2]], [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 53%
| John McCain
| 41%
|-
|[http://www.hhh.umn.edu/centers/cspg/pdf/HHH_MPR_August_President.pdf Minnesota Public Radio/<br />University of Minnesota]
|[[August 7]]-[[August 17|17]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 48%
| John McCain
| 38%
|-
|[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=3af2463a-4cc8-4435-989f-3ea28464ab49/ Survey USA]
|[[August 13]]-[[August 14|14]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 47%
| John McCain
| 45%
|-
|[http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/minnesota/election_2008_minnesota_presidential_election Rasmussen Reports]
|[[August 13]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 49%
| John McCain
| 45%
|-
|[http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/minnesota/election_2008_minnesota_presidential_election Rasmussen Reports]
|[[July 22]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 52%
| John McCain
| 39%
|-
|[http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x4141.xml?ReleaseID=1195 Quinnipiac University/<br />Wall Street Journal/<br />Washington Post]
|[[July 14]]-[[July 22|22]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 46%
| John McCain
| 44%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/minnesota/election_2008_minnesota_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[July 10]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 54%
| John McCain
| 37%
|}


==={{flagicon|Mississippi}}[[Mississippi]]===
::::Yes, I'm sure there are sources, I don't have them either right at hand. ——'''[[User:Martinphi|<span style="color:#6c4408;border:1px dashed #6c4408;padding:1px;background:#ffffff;">Martin<sup>phi</sup>]]'''</span> [[User talk:Martinphi|☎]] Ψ [[Special:Contributions/Martinphi|Φ]]<span style="color:#ffffff;">——</span> 22:55, 26 August 2008 (UTC)
'''6 electoral votes'''


{| class="wikitable"
:::::I will go and lok for sources as to that efect, because I am ver certain that skeptic scientists have used these concpets to explain alleged PK phenomoenon. [[User:Smith Jones|Smith Jones]] ([[User talk:Smith Jones|talk]]) 00:13, 27 August 2008 (UTC)
|- valign=bottom
:::::I found a soucrce. [http://www.susanblackmore.co.uk/Articles/si92.html here we go]. I am not completely sure that it suits WP:RS, so im not going to incorporate it into the aritcle until its been "vetted" so to speak by you epople on the talk page. Here is a quote:
! Poll Source
<blockquote>
! Date administered
Where the coincidence is between a person’s own action and an event external to them, the same effect may be at work but the assumed cause will be personal control; or in the context of psi, it will be PK. This has been called the "illusion of control" by Langer (1975). Sheep have been found to show a greater illusion of control than goats in a psi task (Ayeroff and Abelson 1976, Jones et al. 1977; Benassi et al. 1979).</blockquote>
! Democrat
<blockquote>
! %
One might argue that if PK occurs then the perception of personal control in such tasks is not an illusion. This is less likely, given that no PK was found in these experiments. However, to rule out this as an explanation for the difference, Blackmore and Troscianko (1985) used a covert psi task. There was no evidence of PK and a greater illusion of control for sheep than for goats.
! Republican
</blockquote>
! %
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/mississippi/election_2008_mississippi_presidential_election Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 30]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 44%
| '''John McCain'''
| 52%
|-
|[http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2008/MS08.html American Research Group]
|[[September 13]]-[[September 16|16]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 39%
| '''John McCain'''
| 55%
|-
|[http://dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/9/11/12269/1910/1017/594955 Research 2000/<br />Daily Kos]
|[[September 8]]-[[September 10|10]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 37%
| '''John McCain'''
| 55%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/mississippi/election_2008_mississippi_presidential_election Rasmussen Reports]
|[[August 21]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 43%
| '''John McCain'''
| 56%
|-
|[http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/mississippi/election_2008_mississippi_presidential_election Rasmussen Reports]
|[[July 28]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 42%
| '''John McCain'''
| 54%
|-
|[http://www.dailykos.com/story/2008/7/24/133625/873/1018/556308 Research 2000/<br />Daily Kos]
|[[July 21]]-[[July 23|23]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 42%
| '''John McCain'''
| 51%
|}


==={{flagicon|Missouri}}[[Missouri]]===
Check it out. while is seems to refer to sheep and goats rather than epople (?) it seems valid to what you are trying to iullustrate vis a vis the primary skepdical arguments., [[User:Smith Jones|Smith Jones]] ([[User talk:Smith Jones|talk]]) 00:22, 27 August 2008 (UTC)
'''11 electoral votes'''
:: "Sheep" and "Goats" are Blackmore and Troscianko's terms for those drawn to, and resistant to paranormal explanations. [[User:MartinPoulter|MartinPoulter]] ([[User talk:MartinPoulter|talk]]) 14:56, 28 August 2008 (UTC)
[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Missouri_2|''chart'']]
:: (replying to 5Q5) Thanks for alerting us to this. I definitely think the illusion of control section needs to be included, and there are references enough in the Illusion of Control article itself. An article about people thinking that P should definitely mention a known, demonstrated perceptual bias that can make them think P when P is not the case. [[User:MartinPoulter|MartinPoulter]] ([[User talk:MartinPoulter|talk]]) 14:54, 28 August 2008 (UTC)


{| class="wikitable"
:::I restored a referenced line about anecdotal evidence that I wrote for a previous version of the article. The actual quote from the sourced book can also be found by searching the history. Illusion of control was originated by other editors, so I'll let someone else restore a referenced a line for that. [[User:5Q5|5Q5]] ([[User talk:5Q5|talk]]) 13:49, 30 August 2008 (UTC)
|- valign=bottom
! Poll Source
! Date administered
! Democrat
! %
! Republican
! %
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/missouri/election_2008_missouri_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[October 12]],[[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 50%
| John McCain
| 47%
|-
|[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=114e8715-9896-484e-8403-33855cf31617 SurveyUSA]
|[[October 10]]-[[October 12|12]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 51%
| John McCain
| 43%
|-
|[http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2008/MO08.html American Research Group]
|[[October 4]]-[[October 6|6]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 46%
| '''John McCain'''
| 49%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/missouri/election_2008_missouri_presidential_election Fox News/Rasmussen Reports]
|[[October 5]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 50%
| John McCain
| 47%
|-
|[http://edition.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/10/01/battleground.polls/index.html CNN/Time Magazine/<br />Opinion Research]
|[[September 28]]-[[September 30|30]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 49%
| John McCain
| 48%
|-
|[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=cb847615-d010-4578-9882-31f2ea071666 Survey USA]
|[[September 23]]-[[September 24|24]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 46%
| '''John McCain'''
| 48%
|-
|[http://www.stltoday.com/stltoday/news/stories.nsf/politics/story/3368120E9B53BDC1862574D0000D8EF4?OpenDocument St Louis Post-Dispatch/Research 2000]
|[[September 22]]-[[September 24|24]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 47%
| '''John McCain'''
| 48%
|-
|[http://www.stltoday.com/stltoday/news/stories.nsf/politics/story/43895DDA1683ECEE862574CA00119713?OpenDocument St Louis Post-Dispatch/Research 2000]
|[[September 15]]-[[September 18|18]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 45%
| '''John McCain'''
| 49%
|-
|[http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2008/MO08.html American Research Group]
|[[September 11]]-[[September 15|15]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 45%
| '''John McCain'''
| 50%
|-
|[http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1549 Zogby Interactive] [[#Notes:|*]]
|[[September 9]]-[[September 12|12]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 42.4%
| '''John McCain'''
| 48.5%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/missouri/election_2008_missouri_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 11]],[[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 46%
| '''John McCain'''
| 51%
|-
|[http://www.time.com/time/politics/article/0,8599,1840327,00.html Time/CNN/Opinion Research]
|[[September 7]]-[[September 9|9]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 44%
| '''John McCain'''
| 48%
|-
|[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_Missouri_820.pdf Public Policy Polling]
|[[August 13]]-[[August 17|17]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 40%
| '''John McCain'''
| 50%
|-
|[http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/missouri/election_2008_missouri_presidential_election Rasmussen Reports]
|[[August 7]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 44%
| '''John McCain'''
| 50%
|-
|[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=c3bc94c1-2713-45ad-a82f-ddc6fc0bc20b/ Survey USA]
|[[July 29]]-[[July 31|31]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 44%
| '''John McCain'''
| 49%
|-
|[http://www.stltoday.com/stltoday/news/stories.nsf/politics/story/F0B8B9373318D75186257484000D85D9?OpenDocument Research 2000/<br />St. Louis Post Dispatch]
|[[July 7]]-[[July 10|10]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 48%
| John McCain
| 43%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/missouri/election_2008_missouri_presidential_election Rasmussen Reports]
|[[July 7]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 42%
| '''John McCain'''
| 47%
|-
|[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_Missouri_7091.pdf Public Policy Polling]
|[[July 2]]-[[July 5|5]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 44%
| '''John McCain'''
| 47%
|}


==={{flagicon|Montana}}[[Montana]]===
Nice source, Smith Jones (: ——'''[[User:Martinphi|<span style="color:#6c4408;border:1px dashed #6c4408;padding:1px;background:#ffffff;">Martin<sup>phi</sup>]]'''</span> [[User talk:Martinphi|☎]] Ψ [[Special:Contributions/Martinphi|Φ]]<span style="color:#ffffff;">——</span> 21:13, 30 August 2008 (UTC)
'''3 electoral votes'''


{| class="wikitable"
==Article Name==
|- valign=bottom
Isn't Telekinesis a much more common name for this than Psychokinesis? If so, should that be what the article should be called? [[User:Lord Xavius|Xavius, the Satyr Lord]] ([[User talk:Lord Xavius|talk]]) 20:32, 13 September 2008 (UTC)
! Poll Source
! Date administered
! Democrat
! %
! Republican
! %
! Other
! %
|-
|[http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2008/MT08.html American Research Group]
|[[October 6]]-[[October 8|8]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 45%
| '''John McCain'''
| 50%
|colspan="3" rowspan="3"|&nbsp;
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/montana/election_2008_montana_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[October 1]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 44%
| '''John McCain'''
| 52%
|-
|[http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/9/26/11613/1541/292/610927 Research 2000/Daily Kos]
|[[September 22]]-[[September 24|24]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 39%
| '''John McCain'''
| 52%
|-
| rowspan="2" |[http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/09/24/polls-in-battleground-states-show-obama-gaining-ground/ CNN/Time Magazine]
| rowspan="2" |[[September 21]]-[[September 23|23]] [[2008]]
| rowspan="2" |Barack Obama
| rowspan="2" |40%
| rowspan="2" |'''John McCain'''
| rowspan="2" |49%
| Bob Barr
| 1%
|-
| Ralph Nader
| 1%
|-
|[http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2008/MT08.html American Research Group]
|[[September 7]]-[[September 9|9]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 47%
| '''John McCain'''
| 49%
|colspan="2" rowspan="3"|&nbsp;
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/montana/election_2008_montana_presidential_election Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 8]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 42%
| '''John McCain'''
| 53%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/montana/election_2008_montana_presidential_election Rasmussen Reports]
|[[July 31]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 47%
| '''John McCain'''
| 47%
|}


==={{flagicon|Nebraska}}[[Nebraska]]===
: This was discussed in [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Talk:Psychokinesis/Archive_3#Telekinesis_vs._Pyschokinesis Archive 3 "Telekinesis vs. Psychokinesis"]. The current thinking, as supported by references in the article and this additional reference in [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Talk:Psychokinesis/Archive_6#PK_.2F_TK_-_terminology_difference_-_2nd_reference Archive 6 "PK vs. TK - terminology difference"] is that PK is the umbrulla term and TK (specifically moving objects, especially whole objects) is one of the specialties under it. The greater popularity of TK has a lot to do with Hollywood's influence, as parapsychologists prefer PK. [[User:5Q5|5Q5]] ([[User talk:5Q5|talk]]) 21:31, 14 September 2008 (UTC)
'''5 electoral votes'''


{| class="wikitable"
==Recent edit and dispute flag==
|- valign=bottom
! Poll Source
! Date administered
! Democrat
! %
! Republican
! %
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/nebraska/election_2008_nebraska_president/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 30]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 37%
| '''John McCain'''
| 56%
|-
|[http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/pres2008/NE08.html American Research Group]
|[[September 12]]-[[September 17|17]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 34%
| '''John McCain'''
| 60%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/nebraska/election_2008_nebraska_president/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[July 28]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 36%
| '''John McCain'''
| 55%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/nebraska/election_2008_nebraska_president/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[June 23]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 36%
| '''John McCain'''
| 52%
|}


==={{flagicon|Nevada}}[[Nevada]]===
OM recently made some unsupported claims in the article [http://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Psychokinesis&diff=244054688&oldid=244052707], and then KillerChihuahua actually reverted them in. I've put the totally disputed tag on the article till others get around to repairing it. Thanks. ——'''[[User:Martinphi|<span style="color:#6c4408;border:1px dashed #6c4408;padding:1px;background:#ffffff;">Martin<sup>phi</sup>]]'''</span> [[User talk:Martinphi|☎]] Ψ [[Special:Contributions/Martinphi|Φ]]<span style="color:#ffffff;">——</span> 03:27, 9 October 2008 (UTC)
'''5 electoral votes'''
: I support OM and KCs version - it removals weasel words and is correct and verifiable, giving the significant scientific viewpoint. [[User:Verbal|<font color="#CC7722" face="Papyrus">'''Verbal'''</font>]] <small>[[User talk:Verbal#top|<font color="grey" face="Papyrus">chat</font>]]</small> 08:17, 9 October 2008 (UTC)
[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Nevada_2|''chart'']]


{| class="wikitable"
::I added "However," to the beginning of the line in the intro. It all reads okay to me. [[User:5Q5|5Q5]] ([[User talk:5Q5|talk]]) 22:41, 10 October 2008 (UTC)
|- valign=bottom
! Poll Source
! Date administered
! Democrat
! %
! Republican
! %
! Others
! %
|-
|[http://www.lvrj.com/news/30860574.html Las Vegas Review-Journal/<br />Mason-Dixon]
|[[October 8]]-[[October 9|9]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 47%
| John McCain
| 45%
|rowspan="16" colspan="2"|&nbsp;
|-
|[http://www.realclearpolitics.com/RCP_PDF/IA_Nevada_100708.pdf InsiderAdvantage/Poll Position]
|[[October 6]], [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 49%
| John McCain
| 47%
|-
|[http://www.rgj.com/apps/pbcs.dll/misc?url=/misc/inside_nevada_politics.pbs&plckController=Blog&plckScript=blogScript&plckElementId=blogDest&plckBlogPage=BlogViewPost&plckPostId=Blog%3a47c0e9e3-2bcd-439f-8b7a-bfc5884a1123Post%3aa4f5bfd5-75de-4710-a96b-1da0bb404d53&sid=sitelife.rgj.com Reno Gazette-Journal/<br />Channel 2 News/<br />Research 2000]
|[[October 3]]-[[October 6|6]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 50%
| John McCain
| 43%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/nevada/election_2008_nevada_presidential_election Rasmussen Reports]
|[[October 2]], [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 51%
| John McCain
| 47%
|-
|[http://www.realclearpolitics.com/RCP_PDF/IA_Nevada_100108.pdf InsiderAdvantage/Poll Position]
|[[September 30]], [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 48%
| John McCain
| 47%
|-
|[http://edition.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/10/01/battleground.polls/index.html CNN/Time Magazine/<br />Opinion Research]
|[[September 28]]-[[September 30|30]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 51%
| John McCain
| 47%
|-
|[http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/pres2008/NV08.html American Research Group]
|[[September 27]]-[[September 29|29]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 47%
| '''John McCain'''
| 49%
|-
|[http://www.suffolk.edu/13575.html Suffolk University]
|[[September 17]]-[[September 21|21]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 45%
| '''John McCain'''
| 46%
|-
|[http://www.pollster.com/blogs/nv_obama_47_mccain_45_newwest9.php Project New West/<br />Myers Research/<br />Grove Insight]
|[[September 14]]-[[September 19|19]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 47%
| John McCain
| 45%
|-
|[http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2008/NV08.html American Research Group]
|[[September 12]]-[[September 14|14]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 46%
| '''John McCain'''
| 49%
|-
|[http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1549 Zogby Interactive] [[#Notes:|*]]
|[[September 9]]-[[September 12|12]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 42.5%
| '''John McCain'''
| 50.1%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/nevada/election_2008_nevada_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 11]],[[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 46%
| '''John McCain'''
| 49%
|-
|[http://www.realclearpolitics.com/RCP_PDF/IA_Nevada%20General%20Election%20Poll%209%2011%2008.pdf Insider Advantage/Poll Position]
|[[September 10]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 45%
| '''John McCain'''
| 46%
|-
|[http://www.time.com/time/2008/poll_main.pdf CNN/Time Magazine/<br />Opinion Research]
|[[August 24]]-[[August 26|26]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 49%
| John McCain
| 44%
|-
|[http://www.rgj.com/apps/pbcs.dll/misc?url=/misc/inside_nevada_politics.pbs&plckController=Blog&plckScript=blogScript&plckElementId=blogDest&plckBlogPage=BlogViewPost&plckPostId=Blog%3a47c0e9e3-2bcd-439f-8b7a-bfc5884a1123Post%3a974fcb47-2db4-40f9-9761-e527efc77c3c&sid=sitelife.rgj.com/ Research 2000/<br />Reno Gazette-Journal/KTVN]
|[[August 18]]-[[August 20|20]],[[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 44%
| John McCain
| 43%
|-
|[http://www.lvrj.com/news/27327814.html Mason-Dixon/<br />Las Vegas Review Journal]
|[[August 13]]-[[August 15|15]],[[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 39%
| '''John McCain'''
| 46%
|-
| rowspan="3" |[http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1543 Zogby Interactive] [[#Notes:|*]]
| rowspan="3" |[[August 15]]-[[August 19|19]] [[2008]]
| rowspan="3" |'''Barack Obama'''
| rowspan="3" |39%
| rowspan="3" |John McCain
| rowspan="3" |38%
| Bob Barr
| 10%
|-
| Ralph Nader
| 3%
|-
| Other
| 10%
|-
|[http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/nevada/election_2008_nevada_presidential_election Rasmussen Reports]
|[[August 11]],[[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 45%
| '''John McCain'''
| 48%
|rowspan="2" colspan="2"|&nbsp;
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/nevada/election_2008_nevada_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[July 16]],[[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 47%
| John McCain
| 45%
|}


==={{flagicon|New Hampshire}}[[New Hampshire]]===
Nope. The statement is that there is "no evidence." Get sources which give this negative proof, then we can remove the dispute tag. Else attribute well. We can go all the way to mediation and back and wherever, but such SYNTH and OR won't fly. ——'''[[User:Martinphi|<span style="color:#6c4408;border:1px dashed #6c4408;padding:1px;background:#ffffff;">Martin<sup>phi</sup>]]'''</span> [[User talk:Martinphi|☎]] Ψ [[Special:Contributions/Martinphi|Φ]]<span style="color:#ffffff;">——</span> 23:05, 10 October 2008 (UTC)
'''4 electoral votes'''
[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#New_Hampshire_2|''chart'']]


{| class="wikitable"
:Can't you put a more specific flag, like <nowiki>{{Disputeabout|'''The topic of dispute'''}}</nowiki> which would limit the dispute to the intro only, or even just flag the disputed line with a citation required tag? I'm concerned a general flag is going to open the floodgate to all sorts of proposed changes throughout the article and we've already been through that. [[User:5Q5|5Q5]] ([[User talk:5Q5|talk]]) 21:22, 13 October 2008 (UTC)
|- valign=bottom
::This is a bad idea. MartinPhi wishes to make a detailed descussion of the dispute. To do so, it should be here in the talk page. That would mean <nowiki>{{Totallydisputed|Recent edit and dispute flag|October 2008}}</nowiki> and pasting that info in this thread, or creating a new discussion section, putting the issue there, and changing the second variable appropriately. -[[User:Verdatum|Verdatum]] ([[User talk:Verdatum|talk]]) 21:50, 13 October 2008 (UTC)
! Poll Source
! Date administered
! Democrat
! %
! Republican
! %
! Others
! %
|-
|[http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2008/NH08.html American Research Group]
|[[October 6]]-[[October 8]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 52%
| John McCain
| 43%
|rowspan="12" colspan="2"|&nbsp;
|-
|[http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/10/07/cnn-polls-new-obama-gains-in-battleground-states/#more-23059 CNN/Time/Opinion Research]
|[[October 3]]-[[October 6|6]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 53%
| John McCain
| 45%
|-
|[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=a8255cdc-82a4-4a10-8cf2-063b666e514c&c=24 Survey USA]
|[[October 4]]-[[October 5|5]], [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 53%
| John McCain
| 40%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/new_hampshire/election_2008_new_hampshire_presidential_election Rasmussen Reports]
|[[October 1]], [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 53%
| John McCain
| 43%
|-
|[http://www.nashuatelegraph.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20081003/NEWS08/310039949/-1/news08 St. Anselm/SRBI]
|[[September 25]]-[[September 30|30]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 49%
| John McCain
| 37%
|-
|[http://www.concordmonitor.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20080925/BREAK/809250295/1030 Concord Monitor/Research 2000]
|[[September 22]]-[[September 24|24]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 48%
| John McCain
| 44%
|-
|[http://time-blog.com/real_clear_politics/2008/09/sneak_peek_nh_mi_polls.html Strategic Vision]
|[[September 22]]-[[September 24|24]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 46%
| John McCain
| 45%
|-
|[http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/docs/Suffolk_Final_New_Hampshires_09_25_2008.htm Suffolk University]
|[[September 20]]-[[September 24|24]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 46%
| John McCain
| 45%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/new_hampshire/election_2008_new_hampshire_presidential_election Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 23]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 47%
| '''John McCain'''
| 49%
|-
|[http://www.nationaljournal.com/njmagazine/pi_20080927_1179.php Allstate/National Journal/FD]
|[[September 18]]-[[September 22|22]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 44%
| John McCain
| 43%
|-
|[http://www.maristpoll.marist.edu/Battleground2008/NH080924.htm Marist College]
|[[September 17]]-[[September 21|21]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 51%
| John McCain
| 45%
|-
|[http://www.unh.edu/survey-center/news/pdf/gsp2008_fall_nhpres92208.pdf University of New Hampshire]
|[[September 14]]-[[September 21|21]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 45%
| '''John McCain'''
| 47%
|-
|[http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/pres2008/NH08.html American Research Group]
|[[September 13]]-[[September 15|15]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 45%
| '''John McCain'''
| 48%
| Others
| 1%
|-
|[http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1549 Zogby Interactive] [[#Notes:|*]]
|[[September 9]]-[[September 12|12]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 42.8%
| '''John McCain'''
| 49.1%
|rowspan="3" colspan="2"|&nbsp;
|-
|[http://www.time.com/time/politics/article/0,8599,1840327,00.html CNN/Time/Opinion Research]
|[[September 9]],[[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 48%
| John McCain
| 43%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll Rasmussen Reports]
|[[August 20]],[[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 47%
| John McCain
| 46%
|-
| rowspan="3" |[http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1543 Zogby Interactive] [[#Notes:|*]]
| rowspan="3" |[[August 15]]-[[August 19|19]] [[2008]]
| rowspan="3" |Barack Obama
| rowspan="3" |38%
| rowspan="3" |'''John McCain'''
| rowspan="3" |42%
| Bob Barr
| 11%
|-
| Ralph Nader
| 1%
|-
| Other
| 9%
|-
|[http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/ American Research Group]
|[[August 18]]-[[August 20|20]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 46%
| John McCain
| 45%
|rowspan="4" colspan="2"|&nbsp;
|-
|[http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/new_hampshire/election_2008_new_hampshire_presidential_election Rasmussen Reports]
|[[July 23]],[[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 49%
| John McCain
| 45%
|-
|[http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/ American Research Group]
|[[July 19]]-[[July 21|21]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 47%
| John McCain
| 45%
|-
|[http://www.unh.edu/survey-center/news/pdf/gsp2008_summer_nhpres72108.pdf University of New Hampshire]
|[[July 11]]-[[July 20|20]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 46%
| John McCain
| 43%
|}


==={{flagicon|New Jersey}}[[New Jersey]]===
:::Right.
'''15 electoral votes'''


{| class="wikitable"
You know, guys, that edit [http://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Psychokinesis&diff=244055411&oldid=244054688] was just a POV push against a longstanding consensus version. The editor isn't here discussing. The [[WP:BRD]] cycle has thus not honored by KillerChihuahua or OrangeMarlin. Does anyone actually here on this page mind just going back to the other version. Else, ideas of how to improve it. I would put
|- valign=bottom
! Poll Source
! Date administered
! Democrat
! %
! Republican
! %
! Other
! %
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/new_jersey/election_2008_new_jersey_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[October 7]], [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 50%
| John McCain
| 42%
|rowspan="4" colspan="2"|&nbsp;
|-
|[http://publicmind.fdu.edu/givesback/tab.html Farleigh Dickinson University]
|[[September 29]]-[[October 5]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 50%
| John McCain
| 37%
|-
|[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=945a6af5-5dc0-42e1-bd93-b812bbf731f2/ Survey USA]
|[[September 27]]-[[September 28|28]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 52%
| John McCain
| 42%
|-
|[http://time-blog.com/real_clear_politics/2008/09/sneak_peek_obama_up_in_nj.html Strategic Vision]
|[[September 26]]-[[September 28|28]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 48%
| John McCain
| 39%
|-
|[http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2008/NJ08.html American Research Group]
|[[September 19]]-[[September 21|21]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 51%
| John McCain
| 42%
| Other
| 1%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/new_jersey/election_2008_new_jersey_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 16]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 55%
| John McCain
| 42%
|colspan="2" rowspan="12"|&nbsp;
|-
|[http://www.strategicvision.biz/political/newjersey_poll_091908.htm Strategic Vision]
|[[September 14]]-[[September 16|16]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 47%
| John McCain
| 43%
|-
|[http://www.monmouth.edu/polling/admin/polls/MUP18_1.pdf Monmouth University/<br />Gannett New Jersey]
|[[September 11]]-[[September 14|14]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 49%
| John McCain
| 41%
|-
|[http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1299.xml?ReleaseID=1213 Quinnipiac University]
|[[September 10]]-[[September 14|14]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 48%
| John McCain
| 45%
|-
|[http://www.northjersey.com/news/nationalpolitics/Obama_holds_lead_in_NJ.html The Bergen Record/<br />Research 2000]
|[[September 9]]-[[September 11|11]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 50%
| John McCain
| 41%
|-
|[http://www.realclearpolitics.com/RCP_PDF/marist_NJ080912.pdf Marist College]
|[[September 5]]-[[September 8|8]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 48%
| John McCain
| 45%
|-
|[http://publicmind.fdu.edu/bounce/ Farleigh Dickinson University]
|[[September 4]]-[[September 7|7]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 47%
| John McCain
| 41%
|-
|[http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1299.xml?ReleaseID=1201 Quinnipiac University]
|[[August 4]]-[[August 10|10]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 51%
| John McCain
| 41%
|-
|[http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/new_jersey/election_2008_new_jersey_presidential_election Rasmussen Reports]
|[[August 4]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 52%
| John McCain
| 42%
|-
|[http://www.monmouth.edu/polling/admin/polls/MUP17_1.pdf Monmouth University/<br />Gannett New Jersey]
|[[July 17]]-[[July 21|21]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 50%
| John McCain
| 36%
|-
|[http://www.strategicvision.biz/political/newjersey_poll_071808.htm Strategic Vision]
|[[July 11]]-[[July 13|13]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 47%
| John McCain
| 38%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/new_jersey/election_2008_new_jersey_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[July 7]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 47%
| John McCain
| 44%
|}


==={{flagicon|New Mexico}}[[New Mexico]]===
Claims that psychokinesis can occur are disputed by critics such as Ray Hyman and Robet Todd Carroll, who ascribe positive study results to [[publication bias]], fraud, delusion, error and statistical manipulation of scientific data. Alternatively, other natural phenomena have been identified possible explanations for some claimed instances of psychokinesis.<ref name=Carroll>{{cite web
'''5 electoral votes'''

{| class="wikitable"
|- valign=bottom
! Poll Source
! Date administered
! Democrat
! %
! Republican
! %
! Others
! %
|-
|[http://www.lcsun-news.com/ci_10649251 Albuquerque Journal/<br />Research & Polling]
|[[September 29]]-[[October 2]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 45%
| John McCain
| 40%
| Ralph Nader
| 1%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/new_mexico/election_2008_new_mexico_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[October 1]],[[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 49%
| John McCain
| 44%
|rowspan="10" colspan="2"|&nbsp;
|-
|[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=3003b182-f468-4c5f-960e-f0d72672cdac SurveyUSA]
|[[September 29]]-[[September 30|30]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 52%
| John McCain
| 44%
|-
|[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NM_922.pdf Public Policy Polling]
|[[September 17]]-[[September 19|19]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 53%
| John McCain
| 42%
|-
|[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=edc4d070-fb0f-43a8-b19c-6b32c3ad36f7 SurveyUSA]
|[[September 14]]-[[September 16|16]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 52%
| John McCain
| 44%
|-
|[http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/pres2008/NM08.html American Research Group]
|[[September 14]]-[[September 16|16]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 51%
| John McCain
| 44%
|-
|[http://www.nationaljournal.com/njmagazine/pi_20080918_3259.php Allstate/National Journal/FD]
|[[September 11]]-[[September 15|15]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 49%
| John McCain
| 42%
|-
|[http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1549 Zogby Interactive] [[#Notes:|*]]
|[[September 9]]-[[September 12|12]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 45.6%
| John McCain
| 44.1%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/new_mexico/election_2008_new_mexico_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 8]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 47%
| '''John McCain'''
| 49%
|-
|[http://www.time.com/time/2008/poll_main.pdf CNN/Time Magazine/<br />Opinion Research]
|[[August 24]]-[[August 26|26]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 53%
| John McCain
| 40%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/new_mexico/election_2008_new_mexico_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[August 20]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 48%
| John McCain
| 44%
|-
| rowspan="3" |[http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1543 Zogby Interactive] [[#Notes:|*]]
| rowspan="3" |[[August 15]]-[[August 19|19]] [[2008]]
| rowspan="3" |'''Barack Obama'''
| rowspan="3" |46%
| rowspan="3" |John McCain
| rowspan="3" |37%
| Bob Barr
| 5%
|-
| Ralph Nader
| 1%
|-
| Other
| 11%
|-
|[http://www.lvrj.com/hottopics/politics/polls/august_2008_2_polls.html#western Mason Dixon]
|[[August 13]] -[[August 15|15]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 41%
| '''John McCain'''
| 45%
|rowspan="2" colspan="2"|&nbsp;
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/new_mexico/election_2008_new_mexico_presidential_election Rasmussen Reports]
|[[July 24]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 49%
| John McCain
| 43%
|}

==={{flagicon|New York}}[[New York]]===
'''31 electoral votes'''

{| class="wikitable"
|- valign=bottom
! Poll Source
! Date administered
! Democrat
! %
! Republican
! %
|-
|[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=280813c4-7fe9-4e42-8522-1591d2e9f476/ Survey USA]
|[[September 23]]-[[September 24|24]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 57%
| John McCain
| 38%
|-
|[http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/pres2008/NY08.html American Research Group]
|[[September 14]]-[[September 16|16]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 55%
| John McCain
| 38%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/new_york/election_2008_new_york_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 15]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 55%
| John McCain
| 42%
|-
|[http://www.siena.edu/level2col.aspx?menu_id=562&id=19322 Siena College]
|[[September 8]]-[[September 10|10]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 46%
| John McCain
| 41%
|-
|[http://www.siena.edu/level2col.aspx?menu_id=562&id=18783 Siena College]
|[[August 11]]-[[August 14|14]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 47%
| John McCain
| 39%
|-
|[http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/new_york/election_2008_new_york_presidential_election Rasmussen Reports]
|[[August 4]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 55%
| John McCain
| 36%
|-
|[http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1318.xml?ReleaseID=1199 Quinnipiac University]
|[[July 31]]-[[August 4]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 57%
| John McCain
| 36%
|-
|[http://www.siena.edu/uploadedFiles/Home/Parents_and_Community/Community_Page/Siena_Research_Institute/NYS_Poll/release_final.pdf Siena College]
|[[July 17]]-[[July 29|29]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 44%
| John McCain
| 26%
|-
|[http://www.siena.edu/level2col.aspx?menu_id=562&id=18277 Siena College]
|[[July 7]]-[[July 10|10]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 50%
| John McCain
| 37%
|}

==={{flagicon|North Carolina}}[[North Carolina]]===
'''15 electoral votes'''
[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#North_Carolina_2|''chart'']]

{| class="wikitable"
|- valign=bottom
! Poll Source
! Date administered
! Democrat
! %
! Republican
! %
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/north_carolina/election_2008_north_carolina_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[October 12]], [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 48%
| '''John McCain'''
| 48%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/north_carolina/election_2008_north_carolina_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[October 8]], [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 49%
| John McCain
| 48%
|-
|[http://www.nccivitas.org/media/press-releases/nc-poll-obama-takes-lead-nc Civitas/TelOpinion]
|[[October 6]]-[[October 8|8]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 48%
| John McCain
| 43%
|-
|[http://www.wsoctv.com/download/2008/1009/17671509.pdf WSOC-TV]
|[[October 6]]-[[October 7|7]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 46%
| '''John McCain'''
| 47.8%
|-
|[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=b8aada59-7fd2-4374-bbe2-df789901eca8 SurveyUSA]
|[[October 5]]-[[October 6|6]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 46%
| '''John McCain'''
| 49%
|-
|[http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/10/07/cnn-polls-new-obama-gains-in-battleground-states/#more-23059 CNN/Time/Opinion Research]
|[[October 3]]-[[October 6|6]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 49%
| '''John McCain'''
| 49%
|-
|[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NC_100625.pdf Public Policy Polling]
|[[October 4]]-[[October 5|5]], [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 50%
| John McCain
| 44%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/north_carolina/election_2008_north_carolina_presidential_election Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 30]], [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 50%
| John McCain
| 47%
|-
|[http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/pres2008/NC08.html American Research Group]
|[[September 27]]-[[September 29|29]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 46%
| '''John McCain'''
| 49%
|-
|[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NC_929.pdf Public Policy Polling]
|[[September 27]]-[[September 28|28]], [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 47%
| John McCain
| 45%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/north_carolina/election_2008_north_carolina_presidential_election Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 23]], [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 49%
| John McCain
| 47%
|-
|[http://www.nccivitas.org/files/Sept%20Pres%20CTs.pdf Civitas Institute/<br />Tel Opinion Research]
|[[September 17]]-[[September 20|20]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 45%
| '''John McCain'''
| 45%
|-
|[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NC_92168.pdf Public Policy Polling]
|[[September 17]]-[[September 19|19]], [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 46%
| '''John McCain'''
| 46%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/north_carolina/election_2008_north_carolina_presidential_election Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 18]], [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 47%
| '''John McCain'''
| 50%
|-
|[http://thepage.time.com/2008/09/17/latest-timecnn-battleground-polls/ CNN/Time Magazine/<br />Opinion Research]
|[[September 14]]-[[September 16|16]], [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 47%
| '''John McCain'''
| 48%
|-
|[http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2008/NC08.html American Research Group]
|[[September 13]]-[[September 16|16]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 41%
| '''John McCain'''
| 52%
|-
|[http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1549 Zogby Interactive] [[#Notes:|*]]
|[[September 9]]-[[September 12|12]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 48.1%
| John McCain
| 46.6%
|-
|[http://dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/9/11/14030/7529/890/595082 Research 2000/<br />Daily Kos]
|[[September 8]]-[[September 10|10]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 38%
| '''John McCain'''
| 55%
|-
|[http://www.nccivitas.org/files/September%20Pres%20CTs.pdf Civitas Institute/<br />Tel Opinion Research]
|[[September 6]]-[[September 10|10]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 44%
| '''John McCain'''
| 47%
|-
|[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NC_910.pdf Public Policy Polling]
|[[September 9]],[[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 44%
| '''John McCain'''
| 48%
|-
|[http://abclocal.go.com/wtvd/story?section=news/politics&id=6380065 SurveyUSA]
|[[September 6]]-[[September 8|8]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 38%
| '''John McCain'''
| 58%
|-
|[http://www.politico.com/blogs/scorecard/0908/Dem_Poll_Shows_Tight_Tarheel_Races.html?showall Garin Hart Yang]
|[[September 5]]-[[September 7|7]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 46%
| '''John McCain'''
| 49%
|-
|[http://www.democracycorps.com/wp-content/files/ncsw082608fq1.pdf Democracy Corps/<br />Greenberg Quinlan Rosner]
|[[August 20]]-[[August 26|26]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 44%
| '''John McCain'''
| 47%
|-
|[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NC_826.pdf Public Policy Polling]
|[[August 23]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 42%
| '''John McCain'''
| 45%
|-
|[http://www.southernpoliticalreport.com/downloads/uploaded/56_InsiderAdvantage%20Majority%20Opinion%20Research%20NC%20Pres%20Poll%20Cross-Tabulations%208%2019%2008%20rev.pdf InsiderAdvantage]
|[[August 19]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 42.8%
| '''John McCain'''
| 44.5%
|-
|[http://www.zogby.com/50state/showstats.cfm?statename=North%20Carolina Zogby International] [[#Notes:|*]]
|[[August 15]]-[[August 19]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 47%
| John McCain
| 39%
|-
|[http://www.nccivitas.org/files/NCPRESIDENT-CT-808.pdf Civitas Institute/<br />Tel Opinion Research]
|[[August 14]]-[[August 17|17]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 40%
| '''John McCain'''
| 46%
|-
|[http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/north_carolina/election_2008_north_carolina_presidential_election Rasmussen Reports]
|[[August 13]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 44%
| '''John McCain'''
| 50%
|-
|[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=c12aadc7-2830-4be0-8e30-a647afe3277d Survey USA]
|[[August 9]]-[[August 11|11]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 45%
| '''John McCain'''
| 49%
|-
|[http://www.dailykos.com/story/2008/8/1/11502/03541/243/560118 Research 2000/Daily Kos]
|[[July 28]]-[[July 30|30]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 43%
| '''John McCain'''
| 47%
|-
|[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NC_729.pdf/ Public Policy Polling]
|[[July 23]]-[[July 27|27]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 44%
| '''John McCain'''
| 47%
|-
|[http://www.nccivitas.org/media/press-releases/n-c-poll-presidential-race-tightens Civitas Institute/<br />Tel Opinion Research]
|[[July 14]]-[[July 16|16]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 40%
| '''John McCain'''
| 43%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/north_carolina/election_2008_north_carolina_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[July 15]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 45%
| '''John McCain'''
| 48%
|-
|[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=ca6e1d32-419f-4b81-abcd-955578237b7d Survey USA]
|[[July 12]]-[[July 14|14]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 45%
| '''John McCain'''
| 50%
|}

==={{flagicon|North Dakota}}[[North Dakota]]===
'''3 electoral votes'''

{| class="wikitable"
|- valign=bottom
! Poll Source
! Date administered
! Democrat
! %
! Republican
! %
|-
|[http://www.grandforksherald.com/ap/index.cfm?page=view&id=D93PHQN80 Minnesota State University Moorhead/ <br />Fargo Forum]
|[[October 6]]-[[October 8|8]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 45%
| John McCain
| 43%
|-
|-
|[http://www.dailykos.com/story/2008/9/19/2002/93545/951/603149 Research 2000/Daily Kos]
|[[September 16]]-[[September 17|17]],[[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 40%
| '''John McCain'''
| 53%
|-
|[http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/pres2008/ND08.html American Research Group]
|[[September 15]]-[[September 17|17]],[[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 43%
| '''John McCain'''
| 52%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/north_dakota/election_2008_north_dakota_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 8]],[[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 41%
| '''John McCain'''
| 55%
|-
|[http://www.dakotapolitics.com/blogPost.asp?PostId=10915 North Dakota United Transportation Union/<br />DFM Research] [[#Notes:|**]]
|[[August 23]]-[[August 27|27]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 43%
| John McCain
| 40%
|-
|[http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/7/24/135931/389/996/556322 Research 2000/<br />Daily Kos]
|[[July 21]]-[[July 23]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 42%
| '''John McCain'''
| 45%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/north_dakota/election_2008_north_dakota_presidential_election Rasmussen Reports]
|[[July 8]],[[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 46%
| '''John McCain'''
| 47%
|}

==={{flagicon|Ohio}}[[Ohio]]===
'''20 electoral votes'''
[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Ohio_2|''chart'']]

{| class="wikitable"
|- valign=bottom
! Poll Source
! Date administered
! Democrat
! %
! Republican
! %
! Others
! %
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/ohio/election_2008_ohio_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[October 12]],[[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 49%
| John McCain
| 47%
|rowspan="30" colspan="2"|&nbsp;
|-
|[http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/docs/IA_Ohio_101008.htm Insider Advantage/PollPosition]
|[[October 9]],[[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 49%
| John McCain
| 44%
|rowspan="30" colspan="2"|&nbsp;
|-
|[http://strategicvision.biz/political/ohio_poll_101008.htm Strategic Vision]
|[[October 6]]-[[October 8|8]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 48%
| John McCain
| 46%
|-
|[http://www.maristpoll.marist.edu/Battleground2008/OH081013.HTM Marist]
|[[October 5]]-[[October 8|8]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 49%
| John McCain
| 45%
|-
|[http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/docs/ohio-oct-11.html University of Cincinnati/<br />The Ohio News Organization]
|[[October 4]]-[[October 8|8]], [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 46%
| '''John McCain'''
| 48%
|-
|[http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2008/OH08.html American Research Group]
|[[October 4]]-[[October 7|7]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 48%
| John McCain
| 45%
|-
|[http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/10/07/cnn-polls-new-obama-gains-in-battleground-states/#more-23059 CNN/Time Magazine/<br />Opinion Research]
|[[October 3]]-[[October 6|6]],[[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 50%
| John McCain
| 47%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/ohio/election_2008_ohio_presidential_election/ Fox News/Rasmussen Reports]
|[[October 5]],[[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 47%
| '''John McCain'''
| 48%

|-
|[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_Ohio_1007785.pdf Public Policy Polling]
|[[October 4]]-[[October 5|5]],[[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 49%
| John McCain
| 43%
|-
|[http://abcnews.go.com/images/PollingUnit/1075a1Ohio08.pdf ABC News/Washington Post]
|[[October 3]]-[[October 5|5]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 51%
| John McCain
| 45%
|-
|[http://www.dispatchpolitics.com/live/content/local_news/stories/2008/10/05/copy/POLL05.ART_ART_10-05-08_A1_CLBG3US.html?adsec=politics&sid=101 Columbus Dispatch]
|[[September 24]]-[[October 4]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 49%
| John McCain
| 42%
|-
|[http://www.democracycorps.com/wp-content/files/ohsw100108fq1_pb.pdf Democracy Corps/<br />Greenberg Quinlan Rosner] [[#Notes|**]]
|[[September 29]]-[[October 1]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 49%
| John McCain
| 43%
|-
|[http://www.realclearpolitics.com/RCP_PDF/IA_Oh_093008.pdf Insider Advantage/PollPosition]
|[[September 29]],[[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 47%
| John McCain
| 45%
|-
|[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=f59524ea-868f-443b-bd5f-b96bf98b6e79/ Survey USA]
|[[September 28]]-[[September 29|29]], [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 48%
| '''John McCain'''
| 49%
|-
|[http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x2882.xml?ReleaseID=1218 Quinnipiac University]
|[[September 27]]-[[September 29|29]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 50%
| John McCain
| 42%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/ohio/election_2008_ohio_presidential_election/ Fox News/Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 28]],[[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 47%
| '''John McCain'''
| 48%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/ohio/election_2008_ohio_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 23]],[[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 46%
| '''John McCain'''
| 47%
|-
|[http://www.southernpoliticalreport.com/storylink_923_584.aspx Insider Advantage/PollPosition]
|[[September 22]],[[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 46%
| '''John McCain'''
| 46%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/ohio/election_2008_ohio_presidential_election/ Fox News/<br />Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 21]],[[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 46%
| '''John McCain'''
| 50%
|-
|[http://www.bigtenpoll.org/results0809/ohio.html Big Ten Poll]
|[[September 14]]-[[September 17|17]], [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 46%
| John McCain
| 45%
|-
|[http://blog.cleveland.com/openers/2008/09/ONOpoll.pdf University of Cincinnati/<br />The Ohio News Organization]
|[[September 12]]-[[September 16|16]], [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 42%
| '''John McCain'''
| 48%
|-
|[http://www.maristpoll.marist.edu/OHpolls/OH080919.htm Marist College]
|[[September 11]]-[[September 15|15]], [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 47%
| John McCain
| 45%
|-
|[http://www.nationaljournal.com/njmagazine/pi_20080918_3259.php Allstate/National Journal/FD]
|[[September 11]]-[[September 15|15]], [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 41%
| '''John McCain'''
| 42%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/ohio/election_2008_ohio_presidential_election Fox News/<br />Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 14]],[[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 45%
| '''John McCain'''
| 48%
|-
|[http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/09/17/battleground.poll/index.html CNN/Time Magazine/<br />Opinion Research]
|[[September 13]]-[[September 14|14]], [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 49%
| John McCain
| 47%
|-
|[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_Ohio_9161.pdf Public Policy Polling]
|[[September 13]]-[[September 14|14]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 44%
| '''John McCain'''
| 48%
|-
|[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=43154ee9-1bca-4042-84df-131e90cc13ad Survey USA]
|[[September 12]]-[[September 14|14]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 45%
| '''John McCain'''
| 49%
|-
|[http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2008/OH08.html American Research Group]
|[[September 10]]-[[September 13|13]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 44%
| '''John McCain'''
| 50%
|-
|[http://news.bostonherald.com/news/national/politics/2008/view/2008_09_15_Suffolk_poll_shows_McCain_leading_Obama_in_Ohio/srvc=home&position=recent Suffolk University]
|[[September 10]]-[[September 13|13]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 42%
| '''John McCain'''
| 46%
|-
|[http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1549 Zogby Interactive] [[#Notes:|*]]
|[[September 9]]-[[September 12|12]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 43.9%
| '''John McCain'''
| 49.8%
|-
|[http://www.realclearpolitics.com/RCP_PDF/InsiderAdvantagePollPositionOhioGeneralElectionPoll91108.pdf InAdv/PollPosition]
|[[September 10]],[[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 47%
| '''John McCain'''
| 48%
|-
|[http://www.ipr.uc.edu/documents/op091208.pdf University of Cincinnati]
|[[September 5]]-[[September 10|10]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 44%
| '''John McCain'''
| 48%
| Other
| 5%
|-
|[http://time-blog.com/real_clear_politics/2008/09/index.html Strategic Version]
|[[September 7]]-[[September 9|9]],[[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 44%
| '''John McCain'''
| 48%
|rowspan="7" colspan="2"|&nbsp;
|-
|[http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x2882.xml?ReleaseID=1212 Quinnipiac University]
|[[September 5]]-[[September 9|9]],[[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 49%
| John McCain
| 44%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/ohio/election_2008_ohio_presidential_election/ Fox News/<br />Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 7]],[[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 44%
| '''John McCain'''
| 51%
|-
|[http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/09/03/states.poll/index.html CNN/Time Magazine/<br />Opinion Research]
|[[August 31]]-[[September 2]], [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 47%
| John McCain
| 45%
|-
|[http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x2882.xml?ReleaseID=1210 Quinnipiac University]
|[[August 17]]-[[August 24|24]],[[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 44%
| John McCain
| 43%
|-
|[http://www.dispatchpolitics.com/live/content/local_news/stories/2008/08/24/copy/POLL24_method.ART0_ART_08-24-08_A10_IIB4CSJ.html?adsec=politics&sid=101 The Columbus Dispatch]
|[[August 12]]-[[August 21|21]],[[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 41%
| '''John McCain'''
| 42%
|-
|[http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/ohio/election_2008_ohio_presidential_election Rasmussen Reports]
|[[August 20]],[[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 43%
| '''John McCain'''
| 48%
|-
| rowspan="3" |[http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1543 Zogby Interactive] [[#Notes:|*]]
| rowspan="3" |[[August 15]]-[[August 19|19]] [[2008]]
| rowspan="3" |'''Barack Obama'''
| rowspan="3" |41%
| rowspan="3" |John McCain
| rowspan="3" |36%
| Bob Barr
| 8%
|-
| Ralph Nader
| 1%
|-
| Other
| 13%
|-
|[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_Ohio_818.pdf Public Policy Polling]
|[[August 12]]-[[August 14|14]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 45%
| '''John McCain'''
| 45%
|rowspan="4" colspan="2"|&nbsp;
|-
|[http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x2882.xml?ReleaseID=1196 Quinnipiac University]
|[[July 23]]-[[July 29|29]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 46%
| John McCain
| 44%
|-
|[http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/ohio/election_2008_ohio_presidential_election Rasmussen Reports]
|[[July 21]],[[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 42%
| '''John McCain'''
| 52%
|-
|[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_Ohio_721.pdf Public Policy Polling]
|[[July 17]]-[[July 20|20]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 48%
| John McCain
| 40%
|}

==={{flagicon|Oklahoma}}[[Oklahoma]]===
'''7 electoral votes'''

{| class="wikitable"
|- valign=bottom
! Poll Source
! Date administered
! Democrat
! %
! Republican
! %
|-
|[http://tvpoll.com/Websites/tvpoll/Blog/73558/Week5_Results_100608.pdf TVPoll.com]
|[[October 4]]-[[October 5|5]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 29.1%
| '''John McCain'''
| 65.5%
|-
|-
|[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=86598529-e058-48fa-94b7-9d1b692f12e8 Survey USA]
|[[September 28]]-[[September 29|29]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 34%
| '''John McCain'''
| 64%
|-
|[http://tvpoll.com/Websites/tvpoll/Blog/73558/Week%204_results_092908.pdf TVPoll.com]
|[[September 26]]-[[September 28|28]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 26.5%
| '''John McCain'''
| 67.6%
|-
|[http://tvpoll.com/Websites/tvpoll/Blog/73558/Week3_Results_092208.pdf TVPoll.com]
|[[September 20]]-[[September 22|22]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 26.2%
| '''John McCain'''
| 65.8%
|-
|[http://www.dailykos.com/story/2008/9/20/21302/4367/1018/604107 Research 2000/Daily Kos]
|[[September 16]]-[[September 18|18]],[[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 36%
| '''John McCain'''
| 59%
|-
|[http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/pres2008/OK08.html American Research Group]
|[[September 15]]-[[September 18|18]],[[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 34%
| '''John McCain'''
| 61%
|-
|[http://tvpoll.com/Websites/tvpoll/Blog/73558/Week2_Results_091508.pdf TVPoll.com]
|[[September 14]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 26.9%
| '''John McCain'''
| 69.1%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/oklahoma/election_2008_oklahoma_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 11]],[[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 32%
| '''John McCain'''
| 63%
|-
|[http://tvpoll.com/Websites/tvpoll/Blog/73558/Week1_Results_090808.pdf TVPoll.com]
|[[September 7]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 27.9%
| '''John McCain'''
| 65.9%
|-
|[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=799f4cf7-1c58-4e43-a0ce-3f714041c1a5 Survey USA]
|[[September 5]]-[[September 7|7]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 32%
| '''John McCain'''
| 65%
|-
|[http://www.tulsaworld.com/news/article.aspx?articleID=20080803_16_A1_spancl643304 Sooner Poll/<br />Tulsa World]
|[[July 19]]-[[July 23|23]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 24%
| '''John McCain'''
| 56%
|}

==={{flagicon|Oregon}}[[Oregon]]===
'''7 electoral votes'''

{| class="wikitable"
|- valign=bottom
! Poll Source
! Date administered
! Democrat
! %
! Republican
! %
! Other
! %
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/oregon/election_2008_oregon_presidential_election Rasmussen Reports]
|[[October 9]], [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 54%
| John McCain
| 43%
|rowspan="6" colspan="2"|&nbsp;
|-
|[http://www.dailykos.com/story/2008/9/25/194636/939 Research 2000/Daily Kos]
|[[September 22]]-[[September 24|24]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 53%
| John McCain
| 39%
|-
|[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=2587d5be-1ce6-48a3-ad0d-3245a66a7a00 Survey USA]
|[[September 22]]-[[September 23|23]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 52%
| John McCain
| 41%
|-
|[http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/pres2008/OR08.html American Research Group]
|[[September 19]]-[[September 22|22]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 52%
| John McCain
| 41%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/oregon/election_2008_oregon_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 15]],[[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 51%
| John McCain
| 47%
|-
|[http://www.pollster.com/blogs/or_obama_50_mccain_40_portland.php Portland Tribune/<br />Davis, Hibbitts & Midghall]
|[[September 11]]-[[September 14|14]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 50%
| John McCain
| 40%
|-
| rowspan="2" |[http://blog.oregonlive.com/mapesonpolitics/2008/09/Presidential%20Survey.pdf Hoffman Research Group] [[#Notes|**]]
| rowspan="2" |[[September 8]]-[[September 9|9]] [[2008]]
| rowspan="2" | '''Barack Obama'''
| rowspan="2" | 46%
| rowspan="2" | John McCain
| rowspan="2" | 39%
| Bob Barr
| 1%
|-
| Ralph Nader
| 1%
|-
|[http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/oregon/election_2008_oregon_presidential_election Rasmussen Reports]
|[[August 7]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 52%
| John McCain
| 42%
|rowspan="3" colspan="2"|&nbsp;
|-
|[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=be47b9e3-bdae-4acd-ba37-0bd196006c9b Survey USA]
|[[August 2]]-[[August 4|4]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 48%
| John McCain
| 45%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/oregon/election_2008_oregon_presidential_election Rasmussen Reports]
|[[July 15]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 49%
| John McCain
| 40%
|}

==={{flagicon|Pennsylvania}}[[Pennsylvania]]===
'''21 electoral votes'''
[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Pennsylvania_2|''chart'']]

{| class="wikitable"
|- valign=bottom
! Poll Source
! Date administered
! Democrat
! %
! Republican
! %
! Others
! %
|-
|[http://strategicvision.biz/political/pa_poll_100908.htm Strategic Vision]
|[[October 5]]-[[October 7|7]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 54%
| John McCain
| 40%
|colspan="2" rowspan="15"|&nbsp;
|-
|[http://www.muhlenberg.edu/studorgs/polling/documents/Release_10_08.pdf Muhlenberg College/Morning Call]
|[[October 3]]-[[October 7|7]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 50%
| John McCain
| 38%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/pennsylvania/election_2008_pennsylvania_presidential_election2 Rasmussen Reports]
|[[October 6]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 54%
| John McCain
| 41%
|-
|[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=b99d60cb-3369-47bd-887f-85bae65d2a31 SurveyUSA]
|[[October 5]]-[[October 6|6]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 55%
| John McCain
| 40%
|-
|[http://www.muhlenberg.edu/studorgs/polling/documents/PA_TRACKING_Release_10_06.pdf Muhlenberg College/Morning Call]
|[[October 1]]-[[October 5|5]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 49%
| John McCain
| 38%
|-
|[http://www.mcall.com/news/elections/local/all-a4_5poll.6616108oct04,0,3803430.story?track=rss Muhlenberg College/Morning Call]
|[[September 30]]-[[October 3]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 51%
| John McCain
| 39%
|-
|[http://www.muhlenberg.edu/studorgs/polling/documents/Release_10_02.pdf Muhlenberg College/Morning Call]
|[[September 27]]-[[October 1]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 50%
| John McCain
| 41%
|-
|[http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x2882.xml?ReleaseID=1218 Quinnipiac University]
|[[September 27]]-[[September 29|29]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 54%
| John McCain
| 39%
|-
|[http://www.muhlenberg.edu/studorgs/polling/documents/Release_sept30.pdf Muhlenberg College/Morning Call]
|[[September 25]]-[[September 29|29]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 49%
| John McCain
| 41%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/pennsylvania/election_2008_pennsylvania_presidential_election2/ Fox News/Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 28]],[[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 50%
| John McCain
| 42%
|-
|[http://www.muhlenberg.edu/studorgs/polling/documents/Release_9_29.pdf Muhlenberg College/Morning Call]
|[[September 24]]-[[September 28|28]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 49%
| John McCain
| 42%
|-
|[http://www.pittsburghlive.com/x/pittsburghtrib/news/s_590943.html Franklin & Marshall]
|[[September 23]]-[[September 28|28]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 45%
| John McCain
| 38%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/pennsylvania/election_2008_pennsylvania_presidential_election2/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 24]],[[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 49%
| John McCain
| 45%
|-
|[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=cc4913d9-4718-4b45-99dd-925de096e744 Survey USA]
|[[September 23]]-[[September 24|24]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 50%
| John McCain
| 44%
|-
|[http://www.mcall.com/news/nationworld/state/all-a1_5poll.6604193sep26,0,1738520.story Muhlenberg College/Morning Call]
|[[September 21]]-[[September 24|24]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 47%
| John McCain
| 43%
|-
| rowspan="2" |[http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/09/24/polls-in-battleground-states-show-obama-gaining-ground/ CNN/Time Magazine]
| rowspan="2" |[[September 21]]-[[September 23|23]] [[2008]]
| rowspan="2" |'''Barack Obama'''
| rowspan="2" |51%
| rowspan="2" |John McCain
| rowspan="2" |43%
| Bob Barr
| 1%
|-
| Ralph Nader
| 3%
|-
|[http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/pres2008/PA08.html American Research Group]
|[[September 20]]-[[September 22|22]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 50%
| John McCain
| 46%
|colspan="3" rowspan="15"|&nbsp;
|-
|[http://www.strategicvision.biz/political/pa_poll_092508.htm Strategic Vision]
|[[September 20]]-[[September 22|22]], [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 47%
| John McCain
| 46%
|-
|[http://www.nationaljournal.com/njmagazine/pi_20080927_1179.php Allstate/National Journal/FD]
|[[September 18]]-[[September 22|22]], [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 43%
| John McCain
| 41%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/pennsylvania/election_2008_pennsylvania_presidential_election2/ Fox News/<br />Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 21]], [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 48%
| John McCain
| 45%
|-
|[http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/pa/pennsylvania_mccain_vs_obama-244.html NBC/Mason Dixon]
|[[September 16]]-[[September 18|18]], [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 46%
| John McCain
| 44%
|-
|[http://www.bigtenpoll.org/results0809/pennsylvania.html Big Ten Poll]
|[[September 14]]-[[September 17|17]], [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 45%
| '''John McCain'''
| 45%
|-
|[http://www.maristpoll.marist.edu/PApolls/PA080919.htm Marist College]
|[[September 11]]-[[September 15|15]], [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 49%
| John McCain
| 44%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/pennsylvania/election_2008_pennsylvania_presidential_election2/ Fox News/<br />Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 14]], [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 47%
| '''John McCain'''
| 47%
|-
|[http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1549 Zogby Interactive] [[#Notes:|*]]
|[[September 9]]-[[September 12|12]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 44.3%
| '''John McCain'''
| 49.1%
|-
|[http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x2882.xml?ReleaseID=1212 Quinnipiac University]
|[[September 5]]-[[September 9|9]], [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 48%
| John McCain
| 45%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/pennsylvania/election_2008_pennsylvania_presidential_election2/ Fox News/<br />Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 8]], [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 47%
| John McCain
| 45%
|-
|[http://www.strategicvision.biz/political/pa_poll_091108.htm Strategic Vision]
|[[September 5]]-[[September 7|7]], [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 47%
| John McCain
| 45%
|-
|[http://www.time.com/time/2008/poll_main.pdf CNN/Time Magazine/<br />Opinion Research]
|[[August 24]]-[[August 26|26]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 48%
| John McCain
| 43%
|-
|[http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x2882.xml?ReleaseID=1210 Quinnipiac University]
|[[August 17]] - [[August 24|24]], [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 49%
| John McCain
| 42%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/pennsylvania/election_2008_pennsylvania_presidential_election2/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[August 19]], [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 48%
| John McCain
| 45%
|-
| rowspan="3" |[http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1543 Zogby Interactive] [[#Notes:|*]]
| rowspan="3" |[[August 15]]-[[August 19|19]] [[2008]]
| rowspan="3" |'''Barack Obama'''
| rowspan="3" |46%
| rowspan="3" |John McCain
| rowspan="3" |37%
| Bob Barr
| 5%
|-
| Ralph Nader
| 3%
|-
| Other
| 8%
|-
|[http://www.realclearpolitics.com/RCP_PDF/Susq_Presidential_August2008.pdf Susquehanna <br />Polling & Research]
|[[August 11]]-[[August 14|14]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 46%
| John McCain
| 41%
|rowspan="5" colspan="2"|&nbsp;
|-
|[http://edisk.fandm.edu/FLI/keystone/pdf/keyaug08_1.pdf Franklin and Marshall College]
|[[August 4]]-[[August 10|10]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 46%
| John McCain
| 41%
|-
|[http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x2882.xml?ReleaseID=1196 Quinnipiac University]
|[[July 23]]-[[July 29|29]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 49%
| John McCain
| 42%
|-
|[http://www.strategicvision.biz/political/pa_poll_083008.htm Strategic Vision]
|[[July 25]]-[[July 27|27]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 49%
| John McCain
| 40%
|-
|[http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/pennsylvania/election_2008_pennsylvania_presidential_election2 Rasmussen Reports]
|[[July 23]], [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 51%
| John McCain
| 45%
|}

==={{flagicon|Rhode Island}}[[Rhode Island]]===
'''4 electoral votes'''

{| class="wikitable"
|- valign=bottom
! Poll Source
! Date administered
! Democrat
! %
! Republican
! %
|-
|[http://www.projo.com/news/content/ric_poll_09-26-08_EIBNO2T_v6.160c882.html Rhode Island College]
|[[September 17]]-[[September 24|24]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 47%
| John McCain
| 34%
|-
|[http://news.brown.edu/pressreleases/2008/09/taubman Brown University]
|[[September 15]]-[[September 16|16]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 47%
| John McCain
| 34%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/rhode_island/election_2008_rhode_island_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 13]],[[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 58%
| John McCain
| 39%
|-
|[http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/pres2008/RI08.html American Research Group]
|[[September 11]]-[[September 13|13]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 59%
| John McCain
| 33%
|-
|[http://news.brown.edu/pressreleases/2008/08/survey Brown University]
|[[August 18]]-[[August 20|20]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 50%
| John McCain
| 30%
|}

==={{flagicon|South Carolina}}[[South Carolina]]===
'''8 electoral votes'''

{| class="wikitable"
|- valign=bottom
! Poll Source
! Date administered
! Democrat
! %
! Republican
! %
|-
|[http://www.dailykos.com/story/2008/9/26/14201/9916/638/610597 Research 2000/Daily Kos]
|[[September 22]]-[[September 24|24]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 39%
| '''John McCain'''
| 54%
|-
|[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=7acf6b98-29a4-49eb-ace7-d779c02d01a6 Survey USA]
|[[September 21]]-[[September 22|22]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 39%
| '''John McCain'''
| 58%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/south_carolina/election_2008_south_carolina_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 18]],[[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 45%
| '''John McCain'''
| 51%
|-
|[http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/pres2008/SC08.html American Research Group]
|[[September 14]]-[[September 17|17]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 37%
| '''John McCain'''
| 59%
|-
|[http://www.dailykos.com/story/2008/7/25/18302/4945/1006/556328 Research 2000/Daily Kos]
|[[July 22]]-[[July 23|23]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 40%
| '''John McCain'''
| 53%
|-
|[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_SC_715.pdf Public Policy Polling]
|[[July 9]]-[[July 11|11]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 39%
| '''John McCain'''
| 45%
|}

==={{flagicon|South Dakota}}[[South Dakota]]===
'''3 electoral votes'''

{| class="wikitable"
|- valign=bottom
! Poll Source
! Date administered
! Democrat
! %
! Republican
! %
! Other
! %
|-
|[http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2008/SD08.html American Research Group]
|[[September 19]]-[[September 21|21]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 39%
| '''John McCain'''
| 55%
| Other
| 1%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/south_dakota/election_2008_south_dakota_presidential_election2/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 9]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 37%
| '''John McCain'''
| 54%
|colspan="2" rowspan="2"|&nbsp;
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/south_dakota/election_2008_south_dakota_presidential_election2/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[July 9]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 43%
| '''John McCain'''
| 47%
|}

==={{flagicon|Tennessee}}[[Tennessee]]===
'''11 electoral votes'''

{| class="wikitable"
|- valign=bottom
! Poll Source
! Date administered
! Democrat
! %
! Republican
! %
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/tennessee/election_2008_tennessee_presidential_election Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 29]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 39%
| '''John McCain'''
| 58%
|-
|[http://www.mtsusurveygroup.org/mtpoll/f2008/MTSU%20Poll%20Political%20and%20Economic%20Report%20final%20092908.pdf Middle Tennessee State University]
|[[September 15]]-[[September 27|27]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 36%
| '''John McCain'''
| 48%
|-
|[http://timesfreepress.com/news/2008/sep/28/tennessee-remains-red-state/?local Mason-Dixon]
|[[September 22]]-[[September 24|24]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 39%
| '''John McCain'''
| 55%
|-
|[http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/pres2008/TN08.html American Research Group]
|[[September 16]]-[[September 19|19]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 36%
| '''John McCain'''
| 59%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/tennessee/election_2008_tennessee_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[August 20]], [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 35%
| '''John McCain'''
| 60%
|-
|[http://64.233.169.104/search?q=cache:HE07s2jFW-YJ:www.nashvillepost.com/news/2008/8/15/double_digit_leads_for_mccain_and_alexander Ayres, McHenry & Associates] [[#Notes:|**]]
|[[August 10]]-[[August 12|12]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 36%
| '''John McCain'''
| 51%
|}

==={{flagicon|Texas}}[[Texas]]===
'''34 electoral votes'''

{| class="wikitable"
|- valign=bottom
! Poll Source
! Date administered
! Democrat
! %
! Republican
! %
|-
|[http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2008/TX08.html American Research Group]
|[[October 5]]-[[October 8|October 8]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 38%
| '''John McCain'''
| 57%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/texas/election_2008_texas_presidential_election Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 29]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 43%
| '''John McCain'''
| 52%
|-
|[http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2008/TX08.html American Research Group]
|[[September 13]]-[[September 16|16]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 36%
| '''John McCain'''
| 57%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/texas/election_2008_texas_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[August 21]],[[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 44%
| '''John McCain'''
| 54%
|-
|[http://www.pollster.com/blogs/poll_ut_texas_71830.php University of Texas]
|[[July 18]]-[[July 30|30]],[[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 33%
| '''John McCain'''
| 43%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/texas/election_2008_texas_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[July 29]],[[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 44%
| '''John McCain'''
| 52%
|}

==={{flagicon|Utah}}[[Utah]]===
'''5 electoral votes'''

{| class="wikitable"
|- valign=bottom
! Poll Source
! Date administered
! Democrat
! %
! Republican
! %
|-
|[http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2008/UT08.html American Research Group]
|[[September 10]]-[[September 13|13]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 29%
| '''John McCain'''
| 65%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/utah/election_2008_utah_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 10]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 32%
| '''John McCain'''
| 64%
|-
|[http://www.lvrj.com/hottopics/politics/polls/august_2008_2_polls.html#western Deseret News/<br />Dan Jones & Associates]
|[[September 8]] -[[September 11|11]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 24%
| '''John McCain'''
| 62%
|-
|[http://www.lvrj.com/hottopics/politics/polls/august_2008_2_polls.html#western Mason Dixon]
|[[August 13]] -[[August 15|15]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 23%
| '''John McCain'''
| 62%
|}

==={{flagicon|Vermont}}[[Vermont]]===
'''3 electoral votes'''

{| class="wikitable"
|- valign=bottom
! Poll Source
! Date administered
! Democrat
! %
! Republican
! %
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/vermont/election_2008_vermont_presidential_election Rasmussen Reports]
|[[October 6]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 65%
| John McCain
| 32%
|-
|[http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/pres2008/VT08.html American Research Group]
|[[September 18]]-[[September 22|22]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 56%
| John McCain
| 38%
|-
|[http://www.wcax.com/Global/story.asp?S=9013722 Research 2000]
|[[September 14]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 55%
| John McCain
| 36%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/vermont/election_2008_vermont_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 13]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 60%
| John McCain
| 36%
|}

==={{flagicon|Virginia}}[[Virginia]]===
'''13 electoral votes'''
[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Virginia_2|''chart'']]

{| class="wikitable"
|- valign=bottom
! Poll Source
! Date administered
! Democrat
! %
! Republican
! %
! Others
! %
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/virginia/election_2008_virginia_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[October 12]],[[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 50%
| John McCain
| 47%
|rowspan="26" colspan="2"|&nbsp;
|-
|[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_VA_1009535.pdf Public Policy Polling]
|[[October 6]]-[[October 7]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 51%
| John McCain
| 43%
|rowspan="26" colspan="2"|&nbsp;
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/state_toplines/colorado/toplines_colorado_presidential_election_october_5_2008 Fox News/Rasmussen Reports]
|[[October 5]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 50%
| John McCain
| 48%
|-
|[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=00f2d8fb-6a3b-425d-9f27-21df796e8fe5 SurveyUSA]
|[[October 4]]-[[October 5|5]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 53%
| John McCain
| 43%
|-
|[http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/docs/Suffolk_Final_Virginia_100608.htm Suffolk University]
|[[October 3]]-[[October 5|5]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 51%
| John McCain
| 39%
|-
|[http://hamptonroads.com/2008/10/masondixon-poll-mccain-obama-neck-and-neck-virginia Mason-Dixon/<br />Richmond Times-Dispatch]
|[[September 28]]-[[October 1]],[[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 45%
| '''John McCain'''
| 48%
|-
|[http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/10/01/battleground.polls/index.html CNN/Time Magazine/<br />Opinion Research]
|[[September 28]]-[[September 30|30]],[[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 53%
| John McCain
| 44%
|-
|[http://www.realclearpolitics.com/RCP_PDF/IA_Va_093008.pdf Insider Advantage/Poll Position]
|[[September 29]],[[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 51%
| John McCain
| 45%
|-
|[http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/pres2008/NV08.html American Research Group]
|[[September 27]]-[[September 29|29]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 46%
| '''John McCain'''
| 49%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/virginia/election_2008_virginia_presidential_election/ Fox News/Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 28]], [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 50%
| John McCain
| 47%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/virginia/election_2008_virginia_presidential_election Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 25]], [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 50%
| John McCain
| 45%
|-
|[http://www.realclearpolitics.com/video_log/2008/09/new_poll_in_virginia.html NBC/Mason-Dixon]
|[[September 17]]-[[September 22|22]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 44%
| '''John McCain'''
| 47%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/virginia/election_2008_virginia_presidential_election/ Fox News/<br />Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 21]], [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 48%
| '''John McCain'''
| 50%
|-
|[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=7bd0cddb-f8eb-4a1d-9cbd-3a481b87bf37 Survey USA]
|[[September 19]]-[[September 21|21]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 51%
| John McCain
| 45%
|-
|[http://abcnews.go.com/images/PollingUnit/1072a1TheRaceinVirginia.pdf ABC News/Washington Post]
|[[September 18]]-[[September 21|21]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 49%
| John McCain
| 46%
|-
|[http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/pres2008/VA08.html American Research Group]
|[[September 17]]-[[September 20|20]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 46%
| '''John McCain'''
| 48%
|-
|[http://www.realclearpolitics.com/RCP_PDF/IA_VirginiaPoll_91808.pdf Insider Advantage/Poll Position]
|[[September 17]],[[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 46%
| '''John McCain'''
| 48%
|-
|[http://www.nationaljournal.com/njmagazine/pi_20080918_3259.php Allstate/National Journal/FD]
|[[September 11]]-[[September 15|15]],[[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 41%
| '''John McCain'''
| 48%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/virginia/election_2008_virginia_presidential_election/ Fox News/<br />Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 14]],[[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 48%
| '''John McCain'''
| 48%
|-
|[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_Virginia_91735.pdf Public Policy Polling]
|[[September 13]]-[[September 14|14]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 48%
| John McCain
| 46%
|-
|[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReportEmail.aspx?g=c3b77d5f-0d1a-4f6e-b195-ae05355e8eb8 Survey USA]
|[[September 12]]-[[September 14|14]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 50%
| John McCain
| 46%
|-
|[http://hamptonroads.com/2008/09/poll-shows-mccain-warner-leading-races-virginia Christopher Newport University]
|[[September 10]]-[[September 14|14]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 39%
| '''John McCain'''
| 48%
|-
|[http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1549 Zogby Interactive] [[#Notes:|*]]
|[[September 9]]-[[September 12|12]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 43.8%
| '''John McCain'''
| 50.3%
|-
|[http://www.time.com/time/politics/article/0,8599,1840327,00.html Time/CNN/Opinion Research]
|[[September 9]],[[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 43%
| '''John McCain'''
| 49%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/virginia/election_2008_virginia_presidential_election/ Fox News/<br />Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 7]],[[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 47%
| '''John McCain'''
| 49%
|-
|[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=30939022-fb4c-4e07-bd5b-aa6f9d18d6df&c=77 Survey USA]
|[[September 5]]-[[September 7|7]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 47%
| '''John McCain'''
| 49%
|-
|[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_Virginia_824.pdf Public Policy Polling]
|[[August 20]]-[[August 22|22]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 47%
| John McCain
| 45%
|-
| rowspan="3" |[http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1543 Zogby Interactive] [[#Notes:|*]]
| rowspan="3" |[[August 15]]-[[August 19|19]] [[2008]]
| rowspan="3" |'''Barack Obama'''
| rowspan="3" |43%
| rowspan="3" |John McCain
| rowspan="3" |41%
| Bob Barr
| 5%
|-
| Ralph Nader
| 1%
|-
| Other
| 10%
|-
|[http://www.southernpoliticalreport.com/downloads/uploaded/55_InsiderAdvantage%20Majority%20Opinion%20Research%20VA%20Pres%20Poll%20Cross-Tabulations%208%2013%2008.pdf InsiderAdvantage/<br />Majority Opinion Research]
|[[August 12]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 42.6%
| '''John McCain'''
| 43.1%
|rowspan="5" colspan="2"|&nbsp;
|-
|[http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/virginia/election_2008_virginia_presidential_election Rasmussen Reports]
|[[August 12]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 47%
| '''John McCain'''
| 48%
|-
|[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=ff6d5cc4-2876-4894-8c86-7d8364057e52&c=77 Survey USA]
|[[August 8]]-[[August 10|10]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 47%
| '''John McCain'''
| 48%
|-
|[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_Virginia_722.pdf Public Policy Polling]
|[[July 17]]-[[July 20|20]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 46%
| John McCain
| 44%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/virginia/election_2008_virginia_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[July 16]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 47%
| '''John McCain'''
| 48%
|}

==={{flagicon|Washington}}[[Washington]]===
'''11 electoral votes'''

{| class="wikitable"
|- valign=bottom
! Poll Source
! Date administered
! Democrat
! %
! Republican
! %
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/washington/election_2008_washington_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[October 2]], [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 53%
| John McCain
| 43%
|-
|[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=620a4810-d372-4254-b503-a28f3d60ff6a Survey USA]
|[[September 21]]-[[September 22|22]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 54%
| John McCain
| 43%
|-
|[http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/pres2008/WA08.html American Research Group]
|[[September 16]]-[[September 18|18]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 50%
| John McCain
| 44%
|-
|[http://www.strategicvision.biz/political/washington_poll_091908.htm Strategic Vision]
|[[September 14]]-[[September 16|16]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 47%
| John McCain
| 42%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/washington/election_2008_washington_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 10]],[[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 49%
| John McCain
| 47%
|-
|[http://www.pollster.com/blogs/wa_obama_46_mccain_37_elway968.php Elway Poll]
|[[September 6]]-[[September 8|8]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 46%
| John McCain
| 37%
|-
|[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=7264ba9c-caa0-40cc-a462-b2806a8a809e Survey USA]
|[[September 5]]-[[September 7|7]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 49%
| John McCain
| 45%
|-
|[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=90e886e0-135a-4500-9712-e7be3427399c Survey USA]
|[[August 11]]-[[August 12|12]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 51%
| John McCain
| 44%
|-
|[http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/washington/election_2008_washington_presidential_election Rasmussen Reports]
|[[August 6]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 54%
| John McCain
| 42%
|-
|[http://blog.seattlepi.nwsource.com/seattlepolitics/archives/145212.asp Elway Poll]
|[[July 27]]-[[July 31|31]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 47%
| John McCain
| 35%
|-
|[http://www.strategicvision.biz/political/wa_poll_083008.htm Strategic Vision]
|[[July 25]]-[[July 27|27]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 48%
| John McCain
| 37%
|-
|[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=af0ed9a6-2667-4178-876d-5695b77955b8 Survey USA]
|[[July 13]]-[[July 15|15]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 55%
| John McCain
| 39%
|-
|[http://www.moore-info.com/MI_WAElections7.08.htm Moore Information]
|[[July 9]]-[[July 10|10]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 47%
| John McCain
| 37%
|-
|[http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/washington/election_2008_washington_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[July 9]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 51%
| John McCain
| 43%
|}

==={{flagicon|West Virginia}}[[West Virginia]]===
'''5 electoral votes'''

{| class="wikitable"
|- valign=bottom
! Poll Source
! Date administered
! Democrat
! %
! Republican
! %
! Other
! %
|-
|[http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2008/WV08.html American Research Group]
|[[October 4]]-[[October 8|8]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 50%
| John McCain
| 42%
|colspan="2" rowspan="2"|&nbsp;
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/west_virginia/election_2008_west_virginia_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 24]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 42%
| '''John McCain'''
| 50%
|-
| rowspan="2" |[http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/09/24/polls-in-battleground-states-show-obama-gaining-ground/ CNN/Time Magazine]
| rowspan="2" |[[September 21]]-[[September 23|23]] [[2008]]
| rowspan="2" |Barack Obama
| rowspan="2" |44%
| rowspan="2" |'''John McCain'''
| rowspan="2" |49%
| Ralph Nader
| 5%
|-
| Cynthia McKinney
| 1%
|-
|[http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2008/WV08.html American Research Group]
|[[September 14]]-[[September 16|16]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 45%
| '''John McCain'''
| 49%
|colspan="2" rowspan="2"|&nbsp;
|-
|[http://www.wsaz.com/political/headlines/28118604.html Mark Blankenship Enterprises]
|[[September 6]]-[[September 7|7]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 39%
| '''John McCain'''
| 44%
|}

==={{flagicon|Wisconsin}}[[Wisconsin]]===
'''10 electoral votes'''
[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Wisconsin_2|''chart'']]

{| class="wikitable"
|- valign=bottom
! Poll Source
! Date administered
! Democrat
! %
! Republican
! %
! Other
! %
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/wisconsin/election_2008_wisconsin_presidential_election Rasmussen Reports]
|[[October 6]], [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 54%
| John McCain
| 44%
|colspan="3" rowspan="6"|&nbsp;
|-
|[http://www.channel3000.com/politics/17660690/detail.html Research 2000]
|[[October 5]]-[[October 6|6]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 51%
| John McCain
| 41%
|-
|[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=bce67076-6347-4d68-b902-f65d549f9c56/ Survey USA]
|[[October 5]]-[[October 6|6]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 52%
| John McCain
| 42%
|-
|[http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/10/07/cnn-polls-new-obama-gains-in-battleground-states/#more-23059 CNN/Time/Opinion Research]
|[[October 3]]-[[October 6|6]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 51%
| John McCain
| 46%
|-
|[http://time-blog.com/real_clear_politics/2008/10/sneak_peek_obama_up_9_in_wisco.html Strategic Vision]
|[[September 22]]-[[September 26|26]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 49%
| John McCain
| 40%
|-
|[http://www.channel3000.com/politics/17551479/detail.html WISC-TV/Research 2000]
|[[September 23]]-[[September 24|24]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 49%
| John McCain
| 43%
|-
|[http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2008/WI08.html American Research Group]
|[[September 18]]-[[September 21|21]], [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 50%
| John McCain
| 45%
| Other
| 1%
|-
|[http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x4141.xml?ReleaseID=1216 Quinnipiac University/<br />Wall Street Journal/<br />Washington Post]
|[[September 14]]-[[September 21|21]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 49%
| John McCain
| 42%
|colspan="2" rowspan="10"|&nbsp;
|-
|[http://www.bigtenpoll.org/results0809/wisconsin.html Big Ten Poll]
|[[September 14]]-[[September 17|17]], [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 45%
| John McCain
| 44%
|-
|[http://thepage.time.com/2008/09/17/latest-timecnn-battleground-polls/ CNN/Time Magazine/<br />Opinion Research]
|[[September 14]]-[[September 16|16]], [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 50%
| John McCain
| 47%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/wisconsin/election_2008_wisconsin_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 15]],[[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 48%
| John McCain
| 46%
|-
|[http://www.strategicvision.biz/political/wisconsin_poll_091008.htm Strategic Vision]
|[[September 5]]-[[September 7|7]],[[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 46%
| John McCain
| 43%
|-
|[http://www.strategicvision.biz/political/wisconsin_poll_081408.htm Strategic Vision]
|[[August 8]]-[[August 10|10]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 47%
| John McCain
| 42%
|-
|[http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/wisconsin/election_2008_wisconsin_presidential_election Rasmussen Reports]
|[[August 5]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 51%
| John McCain
| 44%
|-
|[http://www.wpri.org/Commentary/2008/8.08/Poll8.7.08/Poll8.7.08.html Wisconsin Policy Research Institute]
|[[August 3]]-[[August 4|4]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 44%
| John McCain
| 38%
|-
|[http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x4141.xml?ReleaseID=1195 Quinnipiac University/<br />Wall Street Journal/<br />Washington Post]
|[[July 14]]-[[July 22|22]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 50%
| John McCain
| 39%
|-
|[http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/wisconsin/election_2008_wisconsin_presidential_election Rasmussen Reports]
|[[July 8]] [[2008]]
| '''Barack Obama'''
| 52%
| John McCain
| 42%
|}

==={{flagicon|Wyoming}}[[Wyoming]]===
'''3 electoral votes'''

{| class="wikitable"
|- valign=bottom
! Poll Source
! Date administered
! Democrat
! %
! Republican
! %
|-
|[http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/9/26/122040/142/858/611386 Research 2000/Daily Kos]
|[[September 22]]-[[September 24|24]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 36%
| '''John McCain'''
| 57%
|-
|[http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2008/WY08.html American Research Group]
|[[September 9]]-[[September 11|11]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 28%
| '''John McCain'''
| 66%
|-
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/wyoming/election_2008_wyoming_presidential_election/ Rasmussen Reports]
|[[September 10]],[[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 39%
| '''John McCain'''
| 58%
|-
|[http://www.lvrj.com/hottopics/politics/polls/august_2008_2_polls.html#western Mason Dixon]
|[[August 13]] -[[August 15|15]] [[2008]]
| Barack Obama
| 25%
| '''John McCain'''
| 62%
|}

===Notes===

*<nowiki>*</nowiki> a scientific poll conducted via the Internet (not used in calculating results below).
*<nowiki>**</nowiki> a poll commissioned by an organization affiliated with a specific candidate (not used in calculating results below).

==Latest results (using latest polling when available)==
'''This results section uses only the latest polls for each state'''. It is for indicative purposes only, and is highly susceptible to polling errors. The numbers in parentheses indicate the number of electoral votes awarded to each state. A total of 538 electoral votes are distributed among the states and DC. Margins of 10% or more are considered "safe"; margins of 5% to 9% are considered "likely" and margins of 1% to 4% are considered "leaning": because the list is revised after newer polls are released, it is highly volatile and should only be taken as examples. Margins of multiple polls concluded the same day are averaged out.

{{col-begin}}
{{col-1-of-3}}
'''[[Barack Obama]]''' − '''[[Joe Biden]]
<!-- NOTE TO THOSE MAKING CHANGES: Please take care to use the most recent poll that does *not* have next to it a single star (Zogby Interactive) or a double star (Partisan based polling). These polls introduce too much error into them, and by consensus have been excluded from the latest results listing -->
*'''Total states (29 states & D.C. − 357 electoral votes)'''
*Safe states (17 states & D.C. − 235 electoral votes)
**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#California|California]] (55)
**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Colorado|Colorado]] (9)
**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Connecticut|Connecticut]] (7)
**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Delaware|Delaware]] (3)
**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#District of Columbia|District of Columbia]] (3)
**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Hawaii|Hawaii]] (4)
**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Illinois|Illinois]] (21)
**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Iowa|Iowa]] (7)
**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Maryland|Maryland]] (10)
**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Massachusetts|Massachusetts]] (12)
**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Michigan|Michigan]] (17)
**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#New York|New York]] (31)
**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Oregon|Oregon]] (7)
**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Pennsylvania|Pennsylvania]] (21)
**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Rhode Island|Rhode Island]] (4)
**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Vermont|Vermont]] (3)
**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Washington|Washington]] (11)
**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Wisconsin|Wisconsin]] (10)
*Likely states (9 states − 104 electoral votes)
**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Florida|Florida]] (27)
**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Maine|Maine]] (4)
**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Missouri|Missouri]] (11)
**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#New Hampshire|New Hampshire]] (4)
**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#New Jersey|New Jersey]] (15)
**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#New Mexico|New Mexico]] (5)
**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Ohio|Ohio]] (20)
**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Virginia|Virginia]] (13)
**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#West Virginia|West Virginia]] (5)
*Leaning states (3 states − 18 electoral votes)
**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Minnesota|Minnesota]] (10)
**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Nevada|Nevada]] (5)
**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#North Dakota|North Dakota]] (3)

{{col-2-of-3}}
'''[[John McCain]]''' − '''[[Sarah Palin]]
<!-- NOTE TO THOSE MAKING CHANGES: Please take care to use the most recent poll that does *not* have next to it a single star (Zogby Interactive) or a double star (Partisan based polling). These polls introduce too much error into them, and by consensus have been discluded from the latest results listing -->
*'''Total states (20 states − 166 electoral votes)'''
*Safe states (15 states − 125 electoral votes)
**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Alabama|Alabama]] (9)
**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Alaska|Alaska]] (3)
**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Arizona|Arizona]] (10)
**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Idaho|Idaho]] (4)
**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Kansas|Kansas]] (6)
**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Kentucky|Kentucky]] (8)
**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Louisiana|Louisiana]] (9)
**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Nebraska|Nebraska]] (5)
**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Oklahoma|Oklahoma]] (7)
**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#South Carolina|South Carolina]] (8)
**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#South Dakota|South Dakota]] (3)
**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Tennessee|Tennessee]] (11)
**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Texas|Texas]] (34)
**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Utah|Utah]] (5)
**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Wyoming|Wyoming]] (3)
*Likely states (4 states − 26 electoral votes)
**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Arkansas|Arkansas]] (6)
**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Indiana|Indiana]] (11)
**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Mississippi|Mississippi]] (6)
**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Montana|Montana]] (3)
*Leaning states (1 state − 15 electoral votes)
**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Georgia|Georgia]] (15)

{{col-3-of-3}}
'''Tied'''
*'''Total states (1 states − 15 electoral votes)'''
**[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#North Carolina|North Carolina]] (15)
{{col-end}}

==Maps of recent polling data==

<!-- NOTE TO THOSE MAKING CHANGES: MAP DATA IS *NOT* BASED ON THE LATEST POLL. IT IS AN AVERAGE OF RECENT POLLS. -->

Map and totals updated at 10-11-08 8:00PM EST. Maps are based on a weighted average for the previous 10 polling results, and as such may be slow to show changes in countrywide opinion: see [[:Image:McCainObamaMatchupTWINtop.svg]] for details. The map on the right is altered to convey the proportional amount of electoral votes of each state. The number of electoral votes of a given state is based on its population. Candidates must win at least 270 electoral votes to win the election; Congress votes in case of a tie.

[[Image:McCainObamaMatchupTWINtop.svg|500px]] [[Image:McCainObamaMatchupTWIN.png|500px]]
{| class="wikitable"
|bgcolor="0000CD"|<font color="FFFFFF">Safe Obama - over 10% '''(188)'''
|bgcolor="1E90FF"|<font color="FFFFFF">Likely Obama - over 5% '''(277)''' ''(89)''
|bgcolor="ADD8E6"|<font color="000000">Leans Obama - over 1% '''(353)''' ''(74)''
|bgcolor="696969"|<font color="000000">Tossup - within 1% '''(5)'''
|bgcolor="F08080"|<font color="000000">Leans McCain - over 1% '''(180)''' ''(22)''
|bgcolor="FF0000"|<font color="FFFFFF">Likely McCain - over 5% '''(158)''' ''(23)''
|bgcolor="B22222"|<font color="FFFFFF">Safe McCain - over 10% '''(140)'''
|-
|'''District of Columbia''' (3) - 69.0% <br>
'''Hawaii''' (4) - 38.3% <br>
'''Vermont''' (3) - 27.4%<br>
'''Maryland''' (10) - 17.3% <br>
'''Massachusetts''' (12) - 17.3% <br>
'''Rhode Island''' (4) - 17.0%<br>
'''Delaware''' (3) - 16.9% <br>
'''New York''' (31) - 15.1% <br>
'''Illinois''' (21) - 14.8% <br>
'''Connecticut''' (7) - 14.7% <br>
'''California''' (55) - 14.3% <br>
'''Pennsylvania''' (21) - 12.0% <br>
'''Iowa''' (7) - 11.3% <br>
'''Oregon''' (7) - 10.7%
|'''New Jersey''' (15) - 9.2% <br>
'''Michigan''' (17) - 9.0% <br>
'''Washington''' (11) - 8.0% <br>
'''Minnesota''' (10) - 7.9% <br>
'''Wisconsin''' (10) - 7.5% <br>
'''New Hampshire''' (4) - 7.2% <br>
'''New Mexico''' (5) - 6.5% <br>
'''Maine''' (4) - 6.2% <br>
'''Virginia''' (13) - 5.4%
|'''Florida''' (27) - 4.5% <br>
'''Colorado''' (9) - 3.8% <br>
'''Ohio''' (20) - 3.0% <br>
'''Nevada''' (5) - 2.2% <br>
'''North Carolina''' (15) - 1.1%
|'''West Virginia''' (5) - 0.5% Obama
|'''Indiana''' (11) - 3.4% <br>
'''Missouri''' (11) - 1.1%
|'''Georgia''' (15) - 7.6% <br>
'''Montana''' (3) - 7.5% <br>
|'''Utah''' (5) - 35.5% <br>
'''Oklahoma''' (7) - 34.7% <br>
'''Idaho''' (4) - 34.5% <br>
'''Wyoming''' (3) - 24.8% <br>
'''Alabama''' (9) - 23.6% <br>
'''Nebraska''' (5) - 20.7% <br>
'''Kansas''' (6) - 18.5% <br>
'''Tennessee''' (11) - 17.6% <br>
'''Alaska''' (3) - 17.1% <br>
'''South Dakota''' (3) - 16.3% <br>
'''Texas''' (34) - 15.7% <br>
'''South Carolina''' (8) - 15.3% <br>
'''Arizona''' (10) - 14.8% <br>
'''Kentucky''' (8) - 14.2% <br>
'''Louisiana''' (9)- 13.2% <br>
'''North Dakota''' (3) - 11.6% <br>
'''Mississippi''' (6) - 11.2% <br>
'''Arkansas''' (6) - 10.5%
|}
'''Totals'''
*Obama leads: '''353''' electoral votes
*McCain leads: '''180''' electoral votes

<!-- NOTE TO THOSE MAKING CHANGES: MAP DATA IS *NOT* BASED ON THE LATEST POLL. IT IS AN AVERAGE OF RECENT POLLS. -->

==Charts of polling data in battleground states==
''Updated October 7, 2008''<br>

===Michigan===
'''17 electoral votes'''
[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Michigan|''data'']] | ''Obama +6.2%''<br>
[[Image:Michigan Obama versus McCain Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election 2008.jpg‎|500px]]

===Minnesota===
'''10 electoral votes'''
[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Minnesota|''data'']] | ''Obama +6.8%''<br>
[[Image:Minnesota Obama versus McCain Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election 2008.jpg‎|500px]]

===Wisconsin===
'''10 electoral votes'''
[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Wisconsin|''data'']] | ''Obama +5.1%''<br>
[[Image:Wisconsin Obama versus McCain Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election 2008.jpg‎|500px]]

===Pennsylvania===
'''21 electoral votes'''
[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Pennsylvania|''data'']] | ''Obama +9.1%''<br>
[[Image:Pennsylvania Obama versus McCain Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election 2008.jpg‎|500px]]

===Colorado===
'''9 electoral votes'''
[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Colorado|''data'']] | ''Obama +3.7%''<br>
[[Image:Colorado Obama versus McCain Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election 2008.jpg‎|500px]]

===New Hampshire===
'''5 electoral votes'''
[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#New Hampshire|''data'']] | ''Obama +6.8%''<br>
[[Image:New Hampshire Obama versus McCain Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election 2008.jpg‎|500px]]

===Nevada===
'''5 electoral votes'''
[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Nevada|''data'']] | ''Obama +1.1%''<br>
[[Image:Nevada Obama versus McCain Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election 2008.jpg‎|500px]]

===Virginia===
'''13 electoral votes'''
[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Virginia|''data'']] | ''Obama +4.6%''<br>
[[Image:Virginia Obama versus McCain Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election 2008.jpg‎|500px]]

===Ohio===
'''20 electoral votes'''
[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Ohio|''data'']] | ''Obama +2.4%''<br>
[[Image:Ohio Obama versus McCain Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election 2008.jpg‎|500px]]

===Florida===
'''27 electoral votes'''
[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Florida|''data'']] | ''Obama +3.2%''<br>
[[Image:Florida Obama versus McCain Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election 2008.jpg‎|500px]]

===Indiana===
'''11 electoral votes'''
[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Indiana|''data'']] | ''McCain +2.3%''<br>
[[Image:Indiana Obama versus McCain Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election 2008.jpg‎|500px]]

===Missouri===
'''11 electoral votes'''
[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#Missouri|''data'']] | ''McCain +0.5%''<br>
[[Image:Missouri Obama versus McCain Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election 2008.jpg‎|500px]]

===North Carolina===
'''15 electoral votes'''
[[Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_United_States_presidential_election%2C_2008#North Carolina|''data'']] | ''Obama +1.3%''<br>
[[Image:North Carolina Obama versus McCain Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election 2008.jpg‎|500px]]

==Election Day projection==
''Updated 03:05, 13 October 2008 (UTC)''<br />
[[Image:Current 2008 US Electoral College Polling Map.PNG|800px]]
* Data derived from [[Nate Silver]]'s [[FiveThirtyEight.com]] weighted averages and statistical polling analysis, which determines what the best guess as to what will happen on Election Day is rather than what would happen if the election were held today. ([http://docs.google.com/View?docid=dhn8hrb6_4c43866dz Methodology])
* Each state is colored according to which candidate is currently projected to win, and both the state's total electoral votes and the winning candidate's projected margin of victory are listed.
<br />

==See also==
*[[Nationwide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008]]
*[[Nationwide opinion polling for the Democratic Party 2008 presidential candidates]]
*[[Statewide opinion polling for the Democratic Party presidential primaries, 2008]]
*[[Nationwide opinion polling for the Republican Party 2008 presidential candidates]]
*[[Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primaries, 2008]]
*[[Straw polls for the 2008 United States presidential election]]
*[[Straw polls for the Republican Party 2008 presidential nomination]]

==References==
{{reflist}}

==External links==
*[http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/ FiveThirtyEight.com:] Detailed analysis of state-by-state general election polling
*[http://www.electoral-vote.com/ Electoral-Vote.com]
*[http://www.pollster.com/ Pollster.com] graphic display of aggregated polls
*[http://election-projection.net Election-Projection.net] 2008 state-by-state and Electoral College Vote Projections
*[http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/election_2008_electoral_college_update Rasmussen Reports: Balance of Power Calculator]
*[http://www.realclearpolitics.com/ Real Clear Politics]
*[http://election.princeton.edu/ Princeton Election Consortium]
*[http://www.surveyusa.com/electionpolls.aspx Survey USA]
*[http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/06/10/electoral.map/index.html CNN's Electoral Map]
*[http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/moe2.html American Research Group's Ballot Lead Calculator]

{{United States presidential election, 2008}}

[[Category:Polling]]

[[es:Sondeo de opinión para la elección presidencial de los Estados Unidos en 2008]]

Revision as of 22:30, 13 October 2008

Template:Future election in the United States

This article provides a collection of scientific, state-wide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the United States of America (U.S.) presidential election, 2008.

Opinion polling

For an archive of older polls, please see Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008/Archive.

AlabamaAlabama

9 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Survey USA October 8-9,2008 Barack Obama 35% John McCain 62%
Capital Research Center October 6-7,2008 Barack Obama 35% John McCain 54.5%
Rasmussen Reports September 22,2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 60%
Survey USA September 16-17 2008 Barack Obama 34% John McCain 64%
American Research Group September 13-16 2008 Barack Obama 36% John McCain 58%
University of South Alabama/
Press-Register
September 8-15 2008 Barack Obama 25% John McCain 52%
Capital Survey Research Center/
Alabama Education Association
September 3-9 2008 Barack Obama 35% John McCain 55%
Capital Survey Research Center/
Alabama Education Association
July 29-August 4 2008 Barack Obama 34% John McCain 47%
Rasmussen Reports July 31,2008 Barack Obama 38% John McCain 58%

AlaskaAlaska

3 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Others %
Rasmussen Reports October 6, 2008 Barack Obama 40% John McCain 55%  
Fairleigh Dickinson University September 17-21 2008 Barack Obama 37% John McCain 55%
Research 2000/
Daily Kos
September 15-17 2008 Barack Obama 38% John McCain 55%
American Research Group September 9-11 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 55%
Rasmussen Reports September 9 2008 Barack Obama 33% John McCain 64%
American Viewpoint ** September 2 2008 Barack Obama 33% John McCain 57%
Ivan Moore Research August 30 - September 2 2008 Barack Obama 34.9% John McCain 53.5%
Hays Research Group ** August 6-7 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 40% Ralph Nader 2%
Rasmussen Reports July 30 2008 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 48%  
Ivan Moore Research July 18-22 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 47%
Rasmussen Reports July 17 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 49%
Research 2000/
Daily Kos
July 14-16 2008 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 51%

ArizonaArizona

10 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Rasmussen Reports September 29,2008 Barack Obama 38% John McCain 59%
Arizona State University/Cronkite/Eight September 25-28 2008 Barack Obama 38% John McCain 45%
American Research Group September 11-14 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 56%
Walter Cronkite School of Journalism and Mass Communication August 20,2008 Barack Obama 30% John McCain 40%
Mason Dixon August 13 -15 2008 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 47%
Public Policy Polling(PPP) July 30-31,2008 Barack Obama 40% John McCain 52%
Rasmussen Reports July 30,2008 Barack Obama 38% John McCain 57%

ArkansasArkansas

6 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Rasmussen Reports September 22,2008 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 51%
American Research Group September 20-22 2008 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 53%
Rasmussen Reports July 17 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 52%

CaliforniaCalifornia

55 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Rasmussen Reports October 9,2008 Barack Obama 56% John McCain 40%
Survey USA October 4-5,2008 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 39%
Survey USA September 23-24,2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 43%
Rasmussen Reports September 22,2008 Barack Obama 56% John McCain 39%
American Research Group September 18-20 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 39%
Public Policy Institute of California September 9-16 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 40%
Field Research Corporation September 5-14 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 36%
Rasmussen Reports August 21 2008 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 41%
Public Policy Institute of California August 12-19 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 39%
Rasmussen Reports July 24 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 42%
Public Policy Institute of California July 8-22 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 35%
Field Research Corporation July 8-14 2008 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 30%
Zogby International * June 11-30 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 32%
Rasmussen Reports June 23 2008 Barack Obama 58% John McCain 30%

ColoradoColorado

9 electoral votes chart

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Others %
Public Policy Polling October 8-10 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 42%  
InsiderAdvantage/Poll Position October 6, 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 45%
Fox News/Rasmussen Reports October 5 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 45%
Mason Dixon/Denver Post September 29-October 1 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 44%
Fox News/Rasmussen Reports September 28 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 48%
American Research Group September 23-25 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 48%
Insider Advantage/Poll Position September 23 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 41%
Rasmussen Reports September 23 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 47%
CNN/Time Magazine September 21-23 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 45%
Ciruli Associates/
Economic Development
Council of Colorado
September 19-23 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 43%
Public Policy Polling September 20-21 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 44%
Quinnipiac University/
Wall Street Journal/
Washington Post
September 14-21 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 45%
Insider Advantage/Poll Position September 17 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 41%
Allstate/National Journal/FD September 11-15 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 44%
Fox News/
Rasmussen Reports
September 14,2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 48%
American Research Group September 10-13 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 46%
Zogby Interactive * September 9-12 2008 Barack Obama 45.5% John McCain 47.5%
InsiderAdvantage/Poll Position September 10,2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 46%
Public Policy Polling September 9,2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 46%
Fox News/
Rasmussen Reports
September 7,2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 46%
Tarrance Group ** September 2-3 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 47%
CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research
August 24-26 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 47%
Hill Research Consultants ** August 23-24 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 40%
Suffolk University August 21-24 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 39%
Quinnipiac University August 15-21 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 47%
Zogby Interactive * August 15-19 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 38% Bob Barr 8%
Ralph Nader 2%
Other 8%
Mason Dixon August 13 -15 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 43%  
Rasmussen Reports August 13 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 49%
Rocky Mtn News/CBS4 August 11-13 2008 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 44% Bob Barr 3%
Ralph Nader 2%
Other 2%
Public Policy Polling August 5-7 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 44%  
FrederickPolls July 16-22 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 41%
Quinnipiac University/
Wall Street Journal/
Washington Post
July 14-22 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 46% Other 3%
Rasmussen Reports July 21 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 47%  
Public Policy Polling July 9-10 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 43%
Zogby International * June 11-30 2008 Barack Obama 40% John McCain 38% Bob Barr 8%
Ralph Nader 2%
Other 4%

ConnecticutConnecticut

7 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Survey USA September 24-25 2008 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 38%
American Research Group September 17-19 2008 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 39%
Rasmussen Reports September 16,2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 41%
Rasmussen Reports July 31,2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 36%
Research 2000/
Daily Kos
June 30-July 2 2008 Barack Obama 57% John McCain 35%
Rasmussen Reports July 1,2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 35%

DelawareDelaware

3 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
West Chester University October 6-8 2008 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 38%
Survey USA September 22-23 2008 Barack Obama 57% John McCain 37%
Fairleigh Dickinson University September 17-21 2008 Barack Obama 56% John McCain 36%
American Research Group September 13-15 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 40%
Rasmussen Reports September 13 2008 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 43%

Washington, D.C.District of Columbia

3 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
American Research Group September 11-13 2008 Barack Obama 82% John McCain 13%

FloridaFlorida

27 electoral votes chart

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Others %
Rasmussen Reports October 12, 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 46% Bob Barr 1%
Rasmussen Reports October 8, 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 47%  
Strategic Vision October 6-8 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 44%
Research 2000 October 6-8 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 44%
NBC/Mason-Dixon October 4-6 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 46%
Fox News/Rasmussen Reports October 5,2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 45%
InsiderAdvantage/Poll Position September 30, 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 46%
CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research
September 28-30 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 47% Ralph Nader 3%
Suffolk University/WSVN September 27-30 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 42%  
Quinnipiac University September 27-29 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 43%
Fox News/Rasmussen Reports September 28, 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 48%
Public Policy Polling September 27-28 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 46%
SurveyUSA September 27-28 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 48%
American Research Group September 23-25 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 46%
Rasmussen Reports September 24, 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 48%
Strategic Vision September 20-22, 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 48%
Fox News/
Rasmussen Reports
September 21,2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 51%
NBC/Mason Dixon September 16-18, 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 45%
Florida Times-Union/
South Florida Sun-Sentinel/
Research 2000
September 15-18 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 46%
SurveyUSA September 16-17 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 51% Others 1%
American Research Group September 14-17 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 46% Others 3%
Miami Herald/
St. Petersberg Times/
Schroth, Eldon & Associates/
The Polling Company
September 14-17 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 47%  
CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research
September 14-16, 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 48%
Allstate/National Journal/FD September 11-15, 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 44%
Fox News/
Rasmussen Reports
September 14,2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 49%
Zogby Interactive * September 9-12 2008 Barack Obama 41.8% John McCain 52.1%
Insider Advantage/Poll Position September 10 2008 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 50% Others 4%
Quinnipiac University September 5-9 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 50% Others 1%
Fox News/
Rasmussen Reports
September 7,2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 48%  
Public Policy Polling September 6-7,2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 50%
Mason Dixon August 25-26 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 44%
Strategic Vision August 22-24 2008 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 49% Bob Barr 1%
Quinnipiac University August 17-24 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 47% Others 2%
Kitchens Group ** August 18-21 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 42% Others 6%
American Research Group August 18-20 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 47%  
Zogby Interactive * August 15-19 2008 Barack Obama 40% John McCain 43% Bob Barr 5%
Ralph Nader 1%
Other 12%
Rasmussen Reports August 18,2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 48%  
InsiderAdvantage/
Majority Opinion Research
August 11 2008 Barack Obama 44.2% John McCain 47.8%
Survey USA August 1-3 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 50%
Public Policy Polling July 30-August 2 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 47%
Quinnipiac University July 23-29 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 44%
Fabrizio,McLaughlin & Associates/
Florida Chamber of Commerce
**
July 20-28 2008 Barack Obama 40% John McCain 45%
Rasmussen Reports July 22,2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 47%
American Research Group July 19-21 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 47%
War Room Logistics July 7-8 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 44%

Georgia (U.S. state)Georgia

15 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
InsiderAdvantage/Poll Position October 9, 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 49%
Rasmussen Reports October 7 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 54%
Strategic Vision October 5-October 7 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 50%
Research 2000/Daily Kos September 29-October 1 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 50%
InsiderAdvantage/Poll Position September 30, 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 50%
Survey USA September 28-29 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 52%
American Research Group September 18-21 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 57%
Rasmussen Reports September 18 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 54%
InsiderAdvantage/Poll Position September 17 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 51%
Survey USA September 14-16 2008 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 57%
Public Opinion Strategies September 9-11 2008 Barack Obama 35% John McCain 56%
InsiderAdvantage/Poll Position September 10 2008 Barack Obama 38% John McCain 56%
Strategic Vision September 7-9 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 52%
Rasmussen Reports August 14 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 53%
Rasmussen Reports July 17 2008 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 53%
InsiderAdvantage/Poll Position/
Majority Opinion Research
July 2 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 46%

HawaiiHawaii

4 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Rasmussen Reports September 23 2008 Barack Obama 68% John McCain 27%
American Research Group September 7-12 2008 Barack Obama 63% John McCain 32%
Survey USA February 26-29 2008 Barack Obama 61% John McCain 31%

IdahoIdaho

4 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Research 2000/Daily Kos September 16-17 2008 Barack Obama 33% John McCain 62%
American Research Group September 8-10 2008 Barack Obama 25% John McCain 68%
Rasmussen Reports September 9,2008 Barack Obama 29% John McCain 68%
Greg Smith & Associates August 18-22 2008 Barack Obama 29% John McCain 52%
Research 2000/Daily Kos July 28-30 2008 Barack Obama 37% John McCain 53%

IllinoisIllinois

21 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
St Louis Post-Dispatch/Research 2000 September 15-18 2008 Barack Obama 56% John McCain 36%
Rasmussen Reports September 17,2008 Barack Obama 56% John McCain 40%
Big Ten Poll September 14-17 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 37%
American Research Group September 13-16 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 45%
Rasmussen Reports August 12,2008 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 40%
Rasmussen Reports July 8,2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 41%

IndianaIndiana

11 electoral votes chart

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Rasmussen Reports October 7, 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 50%
CNN/Time/Opinion Research October 3-6 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 51%
Research 2000/WISH-TV September 29-October 3 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 46%
Research 2000 September 28-29,2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 46%
Survey USA September 28-29,2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 48%
Rasmussen Reports September 17-18,2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 49%
American Research Group September 14-18,2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 47%
Big Ten Poll September 14-17, 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 47%
Indianapolis Star/WTHR/
Selzer & Co.
September 14-16, 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 44%
CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research
September 14-16, 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 51%
Howey-Gauge August 29-30 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 45%
Rasmussen Reports August 19-21 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 49%
Survey USA August 16-18 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 50%

IowaIowa

7 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Survey USA October 8-9 2008 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 41%
Research 2000/KCCI September 29-30 2008 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 39%
Rasmussen Reports September 25,2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 43%
Marist College September 18-21 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 41%
American Research Group September 17-20 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 44%
Survey USA September 17-18, 2008 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 43%
Quad-City Times/
Lee Enterprises
September 15-17, 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 39%
Big Ten Poll September 14-17, 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 45%
Des Moines Register/
Selzer & Co.
September 8-10, 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 40%
CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research
August 31-September 2, 2008 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 40%
Hawkeye Poll August 13, 2008 Barack Obama 49.5% John McCain 43.1%
Rasmussen Reports August 7, 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 44%
Rasmussen Reports July 10, 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 41%

KansasKansas

6 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Survey USA September 21-22 2008 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 53%
Rasmussen Reports September 18,2008 Barack Obama 38% John McCain 58%
American Research Group September 7-10 2008 Barack Obama 31% John McCain 63%
Survey USA August 18-20 2008 Barack Obama 35% John McCain 58%
Rasmussen Reports August 11 2008 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 55%
Rasmussen Reports July 14 2008 Barack Obama 35% John McCain 58%

KentuckyKentucky

8 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Rasmussen Reports September 30,2008 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 52%
Louisville Courier-Journal/Mason-Dixon September 22-25 2008 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 53%
Survey USA September 21-22 2008 Barack Obama 38% John McCain 57%
Research 2000/Daily Kos September 15-17 2008 Barack Obama 37% John McCain 55%
American Research Group September 8-12 2008 Barack Obama 37% John McCain 57%
Survey USA August 9-11 2008 Barack Obama 37% John McCain 55%
Research 2000/Daily Kos July 28-30 2008 Barack Obama 35% John McCain 56%
Rasmussen Reports July 29,2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 52%

LouisianaLouisiana

9 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Rasmussen Reports September 25, 2008 Barack Obama 40% John McCain 55%
American Research Group September 9-12 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 50%
Rasmussen Reports August 17, 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 57%
Rasmussen Reports July 9, 2008 Barack Obama 37% John McCain 56%

MaineMaine

4 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Rasmussen Reports October 2 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 46%
Survey USA September 22-23 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 44%
Rasmussen Reports September 17 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 46%
American Research Group September 8-10 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 41%
Research 2000/
Daily Kos
September 8-10 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 38%
Rasmussen Reports August 12 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 39%
Rasmussen Reports July 17 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 41%

MarylandMaryland

10 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Rasmussen Reports September 20 2008 Barack Obama 60% John McCain 37%
American Research Group September 17-19 2008 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 39%
Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies August 29-September 5,2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 38%
Rasmussen Reports August 18,2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 43%

MassachusettsMassachusetts

12 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Rasmussen Reports September 23,2008 Barack Obama 58% John McCain 38%
Survey USA September 22-23 2008 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 39%
American Research Group September 20-22 2008 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 39%
Rasmussen Reports August 5 2008 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 38%
Suffolk University July 31-August 3 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 38%

MichiganMichigan

17 electoral votes chart

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Others %
Rasmussen Reports October 8, 2008 Barack Obama 56% John McCain 40%  
Rossman/Denno-Noor/MIRS October 1-4 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 39% Unspecified third party candidate ~4%
Public Policy Polling September 29-October 1 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 41%  
Selzer/Detroit Free Press/WDIV September 22-24 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 38%
Strategic Vision September 22-24 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 45%
CNN/Time Magazine September 21-23 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 43%
NBC/Mason-Dixon September 18-23,2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 46%
EPIC-MRA/Detroit News September 20-22,2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 38%
Allstate/National Journal/FD September 18-22,2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 39%
Fox News/
Rasmussen Reports
September 21,2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 44%
Quinnipiac University/
Wall Street Journal/
Washington Post
September 14-21,2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 44%
American Research Group September 16-19 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 46%
Marketing Resource Group of Lansing September 15-19 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 46%
Marist College September 16-17, 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 43%
EPIC-MRA/Detroit News September 14-17 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 42%
Big Ten Poll September 14-17, 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 44%
Zogby Interactive * September 9-12 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 43.3%
Rasmussen Reports September 10 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 46%
InAdv/PollPosition September 10 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 45%
Time/CNN September 7-9 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 42%
Public Policy Polling September 6-7 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 46%
Strategic Vision September 5-7,2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 44%
EPIC-MRA/Detroit News August 18-21 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 41%
Selzer/Detroit Free Press/WDIV August 17-20 2008[1] Barack Obama 46% John McCain 39%
Zogby Interactive * August 15-19 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 37% Bob Barr 5%
Ralph Nader 1%
Other 12%
Rasmussen Reports August 7 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 45%  
Public Policy Polling July 23-27 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 43%
Quinnipiac University/
Wall Street Journal/
Washington Post
July 14-22 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 42%
EPIC-MRA/
Detroit News
July 13-16 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 41%
Rasmussen Reports July 10 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 42%

MinnesotaMinnesota

10 electoral votes chart

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Rasmussen Reports October 7 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 45%
American Research Group October 4-7 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 46%
Minnesota Public Radio
News/Humphrey Institute
October 3-5 2008 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 40%
Star Tribune/
Princeton Survey Research
Associates International
September 30-October 2,2008 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 37%
SurveyUSA September 30-October 1, 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 47%
Minnesota Public Radio
News/Humphrey Institute
September 29-October 1 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 43%
CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research
September 28-30, 2008 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 43%
Quinnipiac University/
Wall Street Journal/
Washington Post
September 14-21 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 45%
American Research Group September 18-20 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 47%
Rasmussen Reports September 18 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 44%
Big Ten Poll September 14-17, 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 45%
Star Tribune Minnesota/
Princeton Survey Research
Associates International
September 10-12 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 45%
Survey USA September 10-11 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 47%
CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research
August 31-September 2, 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 41%
Minnesota Public Radio/
University of Minnesota
August 7-17 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 38%
Survey USA August 13-14 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 45%
Rasmussen Reports August 13 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 45%
Rasmussen Reports July 22 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 39%
Quinnipiac University/
Wall Street Journal/
Washington Post
July 14-22 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 44%
Rasmussen Reports July 10 2008 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 37%

MississippiMississippi

6 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Rasmussen Reports September 30 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 52%
American Research Group September 13-16 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 55%
Research 2000/
Daily Kos
September 8-10 2008 Barack Obama 37% John McCain 55%
Rasmussen Reports August 21 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 56%
Rasmussen Reports July 28 2008 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 54%
Research 2000/
Daily Kos
July 21-23 2008 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 51%

MissouriMissouri

11 electoral votes chart

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Rasmussen Reports October 12,2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 47%
SurveyUSA October 10-12 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 43%
American Research Group October 4-6 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 49%
Fox News/Rasmussen Reports October 5 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 47%
CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research
September 28-30 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 48%
Survey USA September 23-24 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 48%
St Louis Post-Dispatch/Research 2000 September 22-24 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 48%
St Louis Post-Dispatch/Research 2000 September 15-18 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 49%
American Research Group September 11-15 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 50%
Zogby Interactive * September 9-12 2008 Barack Obama 42.4% John McCain 48.5%
Rasmussen Reports September 11,2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 51%
Time/CNN/Opinion Research September 7-9 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 48%
Public Policy Polling August 13-17 2008 Barack Obama 40% John McCain 50%
Rasmussen Reports August 7 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 50%
Survey USA July 29-31 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 49%
Research 2000/
St. Louis Post Dispatch
July 7-10 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 43%
Rasmussen Reports July 7 2008 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 47%
Public Policy Polling July 2-5 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 47%

MontanaMontana

3 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Other %
American Research Group October 6-8 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 50%  
Rasmussen Reports October 1 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 52%
Research 2000/Daily Kos September 22-24 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 52%
CNN/Time Magazine September 21-23 2008 Barack Obama 40% John McCain 49% Bob Barr 1%
Ralph Nader 1%
American Research Group September 7-9 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 49%  
Rasmussen Reports September 8 2008 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 53%
Rasmussen Reports July 31 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 47%

NebraskaNebraska

5 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Rasmussen Reports September 30 2008 Barack Obama 37% John McCain 56%
American Research Group September 12-17 2008 Barack Obama 34% John McCain 60%
Rasmussen Reports July 28 2008 Barack Obama 36% John McCain 55%
Rasmussen Reports June 23 2008 Barack Obama 36% John McCain 52%

NevadaNevada

5 electoral votes chart

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Others %
Las Vegas Review-Journal/
Mason-Dixon
October 8-9 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 45%  
InsiderAdvantage/Poll Position October 6, 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 47%
Reno Gazette-Journal/
Channel 2 News/
Research 2000
October 3-6 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 43%
Rasmussen Reports October 2, 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 47%
InsiderAdvantage/Poll Position September 30, 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 47%
CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research
September 28-30 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 47%
American Research Group September 27-29 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 49%
Suffolk University September 17-21 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 46%
Project New West/
Myers Research/
Grove Insight
September 14-19 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 45%
American Research Group September 12-14 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 49%
Zogby Interactive * September 9-12 2008 Barack Obama 42.5% John McCain 50.1%
Rasmussen Reports September 11,2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 49%
Insider Advantage/Poll Position September 10 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 46%
CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research
August 24-26 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 44%
Research 2000/
Reno Gazette-Journal/KTVN
August 18-20,2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 43%
Mason-Dixon/
Las Vegas Review Journal
August 13-15,2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 46%
Zogby Interactive * August 15-19 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 38% Bob Barr 10%
Ralph Nader 3%
Other 10%
Rasmussen Reports August 11,2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 48%  
Rasmussen Reports July 16,2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 45%

New HampshireNew Hampshire

4 electoral votes chart

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Others %
American Research Group October 6-October 8 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 43%  
CNN/Time/Opinion Research October 3-6 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 45%
Survey USA October 4-5, 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 40%
Rasmussen Reports October 1, 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 43%
St. Anselm/SRBI September 25-30 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 37%
Concord Monitor/Research 2000 September 22-24 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 44%
Strategic Vision September 22-24 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 45%
Suffolk University September 20-24 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 45%
Rasmussen Reports September 23 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 49%
Allstate/National Journal/FD September 18-22 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 43%
Marist College September 17-21 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 45%
University of New Hampshire September 14-21 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 47%
American Research Group September 13-15 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 48% Others 1%
Zogby Interactive * September 9-12 2008 Barack Obama 42.8% John McCain 49.1%  
CNN/Time/Opinion Research September 9,2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 43%
Rasmussen Reports August 20,2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 46%
Zogby Interactive * August 15-19 2008 Barack Obama 38% John McCain 42% Bob Barr 11%
Ralph Nader 1%
Other 9%
American Research Group August 18-20 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 45%  
Rasmussen Reports July 23,2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 45%
American Research Group July 19-21 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 45%
University of New Hampshire July 11-20 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 43%

New JerseyNew Jersey

15 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Other %
Rasmussen Reports October 7, 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 42%  
Farleigh Dickinson University September 29-October 5 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 37%
Survey USA September 27-28 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 42%
Strategic Vision September 26-28 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 39%
American Research Group September 19-21 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 42% Other 1%
Rasmussen Reports September 16 2008 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 42%  
Strategic Vision September 14-16 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 43%
Monmouth University/
Gannett New Jersey
September 11-14 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 41%
Quinnipiac University September 10-14 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 45%
The Bergen Record/
Research 2000
September 9-11 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 41%
Marist College September 5-8 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 45%
Farleigh Dickinson University September 4-7 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 41%
Quinnipiac University August 4-10 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 41%
Rasmussen Reports August 4 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 42%
Monmouth University/
Gannett New Jersey
July 17-21 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 36%
Strategic Vision July 11-13 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 38%
Rasmussen Reports July 7 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 44%

New MexicoNew Mexico

5 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Others %
Albuquerque Journal/
Research & Polling
September 29-October 2 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 40% Ralph Nader 1%
Rasmussen Reports October 1,2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 44%  
SurveyUSA September 29-30 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 44%
Public Policy Polling September 17-19 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 42%
SurveyUSA September 14-16 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 44%
American Research Group September 14-16 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 44%
Allstate/National Journal/FD September 11-15 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 42%
Zogby Interactive * September 9-12 2008 Barack Obama 45.6% John McCain 44.1%
Rasmussen Reports September 8 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 49%
CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research
August 24-26 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 40%
Rasmussen Reports August 20 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 44%
Zogby Interactive * August 15-19 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 37% Bob Barr 5%
Ralph Nader 1%
Other 11%
Mason Dixon August 13 -15 2008 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 45%  
Rasmussen Reports July 24 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 43%

New York (state)New York

31 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Survey USA September 23-24 2008 Barack Obama 57% John McCain 38%
American Research Group September 14-16 2008 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 38%
Rasmussen Reports September 15 2008 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 42%
Siena College September 8-10 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 41%
Siena College August 11-14 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 39%
Rasmussen Reports August 4 2008 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 36%
Quinnipiac University July 31-August 4 2008 Barack Obama 57% John McCain 36%
Siena College July 17-29 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 26%
Siena College July 7-10 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 37%

North CarolinaNorth Carolina

15 electoral votes chart

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Rasmussen Reports October 12, 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 48%
Rasmussen Reports October 8, 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 48%
Civitas/TelOpinion October 6-8 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 43%
WSOC-TV October 6-7 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 47.8%
SurveyUSA October 5-6 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 49%
CNN/Time/Opinion Research October 3-6 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 49%
Public Policy Polling October 4-5, 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 44%
Rasmussen Reports September 30, 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 47%
American Research Group September 27-29 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 49%
Public Policy Polling September 27-28, 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 45%
Rasmussen Reports September 23, 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 47%
Civitas Institute/
Tel Opinion Research
September 17-20 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 45%
Public Policy Polling September 17-19, 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 46%
Rasmussen Reports September 18, 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 50%
CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research
September 14-16, 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 48%
American Research Group September 13-16 2008 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 52%
Zogby Interactive * September 9-12 2008 Barack Obama 48.1% John McCain 46.6%
Research 2000/
Daily Kos
September 8-10 2008 Barack Obama 38% John McCain 55%
Civitas Institute/
Tel Opinion Research
September 6-10 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 47%
Public Policy Polling September 9,2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 48%
SurveyUSA September 6-8 2008 Barack Obama 38% John McCain 58%
Garin Hart Yang September 5-7 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 49%
Democracy Corps/
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner
August 20-26 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 47%
Public Policy Polling August 23 2008 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 45%
InsiderAdvantage August 19 2008 Barack Obama 42.8% John McCain 44.5%
Zogby International * August 15-August 19 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 39%
Civitas Institute/
Tel Opinion Research
August 14-17 2008 Barack Obama 40% John McCain 46%
Rasmussen Reports August 13 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 50%
Survey USA August 9-11 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 49%
Research 2000/Daily Kos July 28-30 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 47%
Public Policy Polling July 23-27 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 47%
Civitas Institute/
Tel Opinion Research
July 14-16 2008 Barack Obama 40% John McCain 43%
Rasmussen Reports July 15 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 48%
Survey USA July 12-14 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 50%

North DakotaNorth Dakota

3 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Minnesota State University Moorhead/
Fargo Forum
October 6-8 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 43%
Research 2000/Daily Kos September 16-17,2008 Barack Obama 40% John McCain 53%
American Research Group September 15-17,2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 52%
Rasmussen Reports September 8,2008 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 55%
North Dakota United Transportation Union/
DFM Research
**
August 23-27 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 40%
Research 2000/
Daily Kos
July 21-July 23 2008 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 45%
Rasmussen Reports July 8,2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 47%

OhioOhio

20 electoral votes chart

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Others %
Rasmussen Reports October 12,2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 47%  
Insider Advantage/PollPosition October 9,2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 44%  
Strategic Vision October 6-8 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 46%
Marist October 5-8 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 45%
University of Cincinnati/
The Ohio News Organization
October 4-8, 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 48%
American Research Group October 4-7 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 45%
CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research
October 3-6,2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 47%
Fox News/Rasmussen Reports October 5,2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 48%
Public Policy Polling October 4-5,2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 43%
ABC News/Washington Post October 3-5 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 45%
Columbus Dispatch September 24-October 4 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 42%
Democracy Corps/
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner
**
September 29-October 1 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 43%
Insider Advantage/PollPosition September 29,2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 45%
Survey USA September 28-29, 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 49%
Quinnipiac University September 27-29 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 42%
Fox News/Rasmussen Reports September 28,2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 48%
Rasmussen Reports September 23,2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 47%
Insider Advantage/PollPosition September 22,2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 46%
Fox News/
Rasmussen Reports
September 21,2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 50%
Big Ten Poll September 14-17, 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 45%
University of Cincinnati/
The Ohio News Organization
September 12-16, 2008 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 48%
Marist College September 11-15, 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 45%
Allstate/National Journal/FD September 11-15, 2008 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 42%
Fox News/
Rasmussen Reports
September 14,2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 48%
CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research
September 13-14, 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 47%
Public Policy Polling September 13-14 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 48%
Survey USA September 12-14 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 49%
American Research Group September 10-13 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 50%
Suffolk University September 10-13 2008 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 46%
Zogby Interactive * September 9-12 2008 Barack Obama 43.9% John McCain 49.8%
InAdv/PollPosition September 10,2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 48%
University of Cincinnati September 5-10 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 48% Other 5%
Strategic Version September 7-9,2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 48%  
Quinnipiac University September 5-9,2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 44%
Fox News/
Rasmussen Reports
September 7,2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 51%
CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research
August 31-September 2, 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 45%
Quinnipiac University August 17-24,2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 43%
The Columbus Dispatch August 12-21,2008 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 42%
Rasmussen Reports August 20,2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 48%
Zogby Interactive * August 15-19 2008 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 36% Bob Barr 8%
Ralph Nader 1%
Other 13%
Public Policy Polling August 12-14 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 45%  
Quinnipiac University July 23-29 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 44%
Rasmussen Reports July 21,2008 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 52%
Public Policy Polling July 17-20 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 40%

OklahomaOklahoma

7 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
TVPoll.com October 4-5 2008 Barack Obama 29.1% John McCain 65.5%
Survey USA September 28-29 2008 Barack Obama 34% John McCain 64%
TVPoll.com September 26-28 2008 Barack Obama 26.5% John McCain 67.6%
TVPoll.com September 20-22 2008 Barack Obama 26.2% John McCain 65.8%
Research 2000/Daily Kos September 16-18,2008 Barack Obama 36% John McCain 59%
American Research Group September 15-18,2008 Barack Obama 34% John McCain 61%
TVPoll.com September 14 2008 Barack Obama 26.9% John McCain 69.1%
Rasmussen Reports September 11,2008 Barack Obama 32% John McCain 63%
TVPoll.com September 7 2008 Barack Obama 27.9% John McCain 65.9%
Survey USA September 5-7 2008 Barack Obama 32% John McCain 65%
Sooner Poll/
Tulsa World
July 19-23 2008 Barack Obama 24% John McCain 56%

OregonOregon

7 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Other %
Rasmussen Reports October 9, 2008 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 43%  
Research 2000/Daily Kos September 22-24 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 39%
Survey USA September 22-23 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 41%
American Research Group September 19-22 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 41%
Rasmussen Reports September 15,2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 47%
Portland Tribune/
Davis, Hibbitts & Midghall
September 11-14 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 40%
Hoffman Research Group ** September 8-9 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 39% Bob Barr 1%
Ralph Nader 1%
Rasmussen Reports August 7 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 42%  
Survey USA August 2-4 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 45%
Rasmussen Reports July 15 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 40%

PennsylvaniaPennsylvania

21 electoral votes chart

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Others %
Strategic Vision October 5-7 2008 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 40%  
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call October 3-7 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 38%
Rasmussen Reports October 6 2008 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 41%
SurveyUSA October 5-6 2008 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 40%
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call October 1-5 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 38%
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call September 30-October 3 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 39%
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call September 27-October 1 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 41%
Quinnipiac University September 27-29 2008 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 39%
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call September 25-29 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 41%
Fox News/Rasmussen Reports September 28,2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 42%
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call September 24-28 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 42%
Franklin & Marshall September 23-28 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 38%
Rasmussen Reports September 24,2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 45%
Survey USA September 23-24 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 44%
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call September 21-24 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 43%
CNN/Time Magazine September 21-23 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 43% Bob Barr 1%
Ralph Nader 3%
American Research Group September 20-22 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 46%  
Strategic Vision September 20-22, 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 46%
Allstate/National Journal/FD September 18-22, 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 41%
Fox News/
Rasmussen Reports
September 21, 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 45%
NBC/Mason Dixon September 16-18, 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 44%
Big Ten Poll September 14-17, 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 45%
Marist College September 11-15, 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 44%
Fox News/
Rasmussen Reports
September 14, 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 47%
Zogby Interactive * September 9-12 2008 Barack Obama 44.3% John McCain 49.1%
Quinnipiac University September 5-9, 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 45%
Fox News/
Rasmussen Reports
September 8, 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 45%
Strategic Vision September 5-7, 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 45%
CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research
August 24-26 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 43%
Quinnipiac University August 17 - 24, 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 42%
Rasmussen Reports August 19, 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 45%
Zogby Interactive * August 15-19 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 37% Bob Barr 5%
Ralph Nader 3%
Other 8%
Susquehanna
Polling & Research
August 11-14 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 41%  
Franklin and Marshall College August 4-10 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 41%
Quinnipiac University July 23-29 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 42%
Strategic Vision July 25-27 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 40%
Rasmussen Reports July 23, 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 45%

Rhode IslandRhode Island

4 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Rhode Island College September 17-24 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 34%
Brown University September 15-16 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 34%
Rasmussen Reports September 13,2008 Barack Obama 58% John McCain 39%
American Research Group September 11-13 2008 Barack Obama 59% John McCain 33%
Brown University August 18-20 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 30%

South CarolinaSouth Carolina

8 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Research 2000/Daily Kos September 22-24 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 54%
Survey USA September 21-22 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 58%
Rasmussen Reports September 18,2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 51%
American Research Group September 14-17 2008 Barack Obama 37% John McCain 59%
Research 2000/Daily Kos July 22-23 2008 Barack Obama 40% John McCain 53%
Public Policy Polling July 9-11 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 45%

South DakotaSouth Dakota

3 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Other %
American Research Group September 19-21 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 55% Other 1%
Rasmussen Reports September 9 2008 Barack Obama 37% John McCain 54%  
Rasmussen Reports July 9 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 47%

TennesseeTennessee

11 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Rasmussen Reports September 29 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 58%
Middle Tennessee State University September 15-27 2008 Barack Obama 36% John McCain 48%
Mason-Dixon September 22-24 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 55%
American Research Group September 16-19 2008 Barack Obama 36% John McCain 59%
Rasmussen Reports August 20, 2008 Barack Obama 35% John McCain 60%
Ayres, McHenry & Associates ** August 10-12 2008 Barack Obama 36% John McCain 51%

TexasTexas

34 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
American Research Group October 5-October 8 2008 Barack Obama 38% John McCain 57%
Rasmussen Reports September 29 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 52%
American Research Group September 13-16 2008 Barack Obama 36% John McCain 57%
Rasmussen Reports August 21,2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 54%
University of Texas July 18-30,2008 Barack Obama 33% John McCain 43%
Rasmussen Reports July 29,2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 52%

UtahUtah

5 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
American Research Group September 10-13 2008 Barack Obama 29% John McCain 65%
Rasmussen Reports September 10 2008 Barack Obama 32% John McCain 64%
Deseret News/
Dan Jones & Associates
September 8 -11 2008 Barack Obama 24% John McCain 62%
Mason Dixon August 13 -15 2008 Barack Obama 23% John McCain 62%

VermontVermont

3 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Rasmussen Reports October 6 2008 Barack Obama 65% John McCain 32%
American Research Group September 18-22 2008 Barack Obama 56% John McCain 38%
Research 2000 September 14 2008 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 36%
Rasmussen Reports September 13 2008 Barack Obama 60% John McCain 36%

VirginiaVirginia

13 electoral votes chart

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Others %
Rasmussen Reports October 12,2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 47%  
Public Policy Polling October 6-October 7 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 43%  
Fox News/Rasmussen Reports October 5 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 48%
SurveyUSA October 4-5 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 43%
Suffolk University October 3-5 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 39%
Mason-Dixon/
Richmond Times-Dispatch
September 28-October 1,2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 48%
CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research
September 28-30,2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 44%
Insider Advantage/Poll Position September 29,2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 45%
American Research Group September 27-29 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 49%
Fox News/Rasmussen Reports September 28, 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 47%
Rasmussen Reports September 25, 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 45%
NBC/Mason-Dixon September 17-22 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 47%
Fox News/
Rasmussen Reports
September 21, 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 50%
Survey USA September 19-21 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 45%
ABC News/Washington Post September 18-21 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 46%
American Research Group September 17-20 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 48%
Insider Advantage/Poll Position September 17,2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 48%
Allstate/National Journal/FD September 11-15,2008 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 48%
Fox News/
Rasmussen Reports
September 14,2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 48%
Public Policy Polling September 13-14 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 46%
Survey USA September 12-14 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 46%
Christopher Newport University September 10-14 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 48%
Zogby Interactive * September 9-12 2008 Barack Obama 43.8% John McCain 50.3%
Time/CNN/Opinion Research September 9,2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 49%
Fox News/
Rasmussen Reports
September 7,2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 49%
Survey USA September 5-7 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 49%
Public Policy Polling August 20-22 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 45%
Zogby Interactive * August 15-19 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 41% Bob Barr 5%
Ralph Nader 1%
Other 10%
InsiderAdvantage/
Majority Opinion Research
August 12 2008 Barack Obama 42.6% John McCain 43.1%  
Rasmussen Reports August 12 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 48%
Survey USA August 8-10 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 48%
Public Policy Polling July 17-20 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 44%
Rasmussen Reports July 16 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 48%

Washington (state)Washington

11 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Rasmussen Reports October 2, 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 43%
Survey USA September 21-22 2008 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 43%
American Research Group September 16-18 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 44%
Strategic Vision September 14-16 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 42%
Rasmussen Reports September 10,2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 47%
Elway Poll September 6-8 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 37%
Survey USA September 5-7 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 45%
Survey USA August 11-12 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 44%
Rasmussen Reports August 6 2008 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 42%
Elway Poll July 27-31 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 35%
Strategic Vision July 25-27 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 37%
Survey USA July 13-15 2008 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 39%
Moore Information July 9-10 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 37%
Rasmussen Reports July 9 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 43%

West VirginiaWest Virginia

5 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Other %
American Research Group October 4-8 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 42%  
Rasmussen Reports September 24 2008 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 50%
CNN/Time Magazine September 21-23 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 49% Ralph Nader 5%
Cynthia McKinney 1%
American Research Group September 14-16 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 49%  
Mark Blankenship Enterprises September 6-7 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 44%

WisconsinWisconsin

10 electoral votes chart

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Other %
Rasmussen Reports October 6, 2008 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 44%  
Research 2000 October 5-6 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 41%
Survey USA October 5-6 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 42%
CNN/Time/Opinion Research October 3-6 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 46%
Strategic Vision September 22-26 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 40%
WISC-TV/Research 2000 September 23-24 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 43%
American Research Group September 18-21, 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 45% Other 1%
Quinnipiac University/
Wall Street Journal/
Washington Post
September 14-21 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 42%  
Big Ten Poll September 14-17, 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 44%
CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research
September 14-16, 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 47%
Rasmussen Reports September 15,2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 46%
Strategic Vision September 5-7,2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 43%
Strategic Vision August 8-10 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 42%
Rasmussen Reports August 5 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 44%
Wisconsin Policy Research Institute August 3-4 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 38%
Quinnipiac University/
Wall Street Journal/
Washington Post
July 14-22 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 39%
Rasmussen Reports July 8 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 42%

WyomingWyoming

3 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Research 2000/Daily Kos September 22-24 2008 Barack Obama 36% John McCain 57%
American Research Group September 9-11 2008 Barack Obama 28% John McCain 66%
Rasmussen Reports September 10,2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 58%
Mason Dixon August 13 -15 2008 Barack Obama 25% John McCain 62%

Notes

  • * a scientific poll conducted via the Internet (not used in calculating results below).
  • ** a poll commissioned by an organization affiliated with a specific candidate (not used in calculating results below).

Latest results (using latest polling when available)

This results section uses only the latest polls for each state. It is for indicative purposes only, and is highly susceptible to polling errors. The numbers in parentheses indicate the number of electoral votes awarded to each state. A total of 538 electoral votes are distributed among the states and DC. Margins of 10% or more are considered "safe"; margins of 5% to 9% are considered "likely" and margins of 1% to 4% are considered "leaning": because the list is revised after newer polls are released, it is highly volatile and should only be taken as examples. Margins of multiple polls concluded the same day are averaged out.

Maps of recent polling data

Map and totals updated at 10-11-08 8:00PM EST. Maps are based on a weighted average for the previous 10 polling results, and as such may be slow to show changes in countrywide opinion: see Image:McCainObamaMatchupTWINtop.svg for details. The map on the right is altered to convey the proportional amount of electoral votes of each state. The number of electoral votes of a given state is based on its population. Candidates must win at least 270 electoral votes to win the election; Congress votes in case of a tie.

Safe Obama - over 10% (188) Likely Obama - over 5% (277) (89) Leans Obama - over 1% (353) (74) Tossup - within 1% (5) Leans McCain - over 1% (180) (22) Likely McCain - over 5% (158) (23) Safe McCain - over 10% (140)
District of Columbia (3) - 69.0%

Hawaii (4) - 38.3%
Vermont (3) - 27.4%
Maryland (10) - 17.3%
Massachusetts (12) - 17.3%
Rhode Island (4) - 17.0%
Delaware (3) - 16.9%
New York (31) - 15.1%
Illinois (21) - 14.8%
Connecticut (7) - 14.7%
California (55) - 14.3%
Pennsylvania (21) - 12.0%
Iowa (7) - 11.3%
Oregon (7) - 10.7%

New Jersey (15) - 9.2%

Michigan (17) - 9.0%
Washington (11) - 8.0%
Minnesota (10) - 7.9%
Wisconsin (10) - 7.5%
New Hampshire (4) - 7.2%
New Mexico (5) - 6.5%
Maine (4) - 6.2%
Virginia (13) - 5.4%

Florida (27) - 4.5%

Colorado (9) - 3.8%
Ohio (20) - 3.0%
Nevada (5) - 2.2%
North Carolina (15) - 1.1%

West Virginia (5) - 0.5% Obama Indiana (11) - 3.4%

Missouri (11) - 1.1%

Georgia (15) - 7.6%

Montana (3) - 7.5%

Utah (5) - 35.5%

Oklahoma (7) - 34.7%
Idaho (4) - 34.5%
Wyoming (3) - 24.8%
Alabama (9) - 23.6%
Nebraska (5) - 20.7%
Kansas (6) - 18.5%
Tennessee (11) - 17.6%
Alaska (3) - 17.1%
South Dakota (3) - 16.3%
Texas (34) - 15.7%
South Carolina (8) - 15.3%
Arizona (10) - 14.8%
Kentucky (8) - 14.2%
Louisiana (9)- 13.2%
North Dakota (3) - 11.6%
Mississippi (6) - 11.2%
Arkansas (6) - 10.5%

Totals

  • Obama leads: 353 electoral votes
  • McCain leads: 180 electoral votes


Charts of polling data in battleground states

Updated October 7, 2008

Michigan

17 electoral votes data | Obama +6.2%

Minnesota

10 electoral votes data | Obama +6.8%

Wisconsin

10 electoral votes data | Obama +5.1%

Pennsylvania

21 electoral votes data | Obama +9.1%

Colorado

9 electoral votes data | Obama +3.7%

New Hampshire

5 electoral votes data | Obama +6.8%

Nevada

5 electoral votes data | Obama +1.1%

Virginia

13 electoral votes data | Obama +4.6%

Ohio

20 electoral votes data | Obama +2.4%

Florida

27 electoral votes data | Obama +3.2%

Indiana

11 electoral votes data | McCain +2.3%
File:Indiana Obama versus McCain Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election 2008.jpg

Missouri

11 electoral votes data | McCain +0.5%

North Carolina

15 electoral votes data | Obama +1.3%

Election Day projection

Updated 03:05, 13 October 2008 (UTC)

  • Data derived from Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight.com weighted averages and statistical polling analysis, which determines what the best guess as to what will happen on Election Day is rather than what would happen if the election were held today. (Methodology)
  • Each state is colored according to which candidate is currently projected to win, and both the state's total electoral votes and the winning candidate's projected margin of victory are listed.


See also

References

  1. ^ "Poll: Obama Leading McCain In Mich - Politics News Story - WDIV Detroit". Clickondetroit.com. Retrieved 2008-09-05.

External links