Parliamentary election in Finland 2019

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2015Parliamentary election in Finland 2019next
Final result (in%)
 %
20th
10
0
17.7
17.5
17.0
13.8
11.5
8.2
4.5
3.9
1.0
4.9
Otherwise.
Gains and losses
compared to 2015
 % p
   4th
   2
   0
  -2
  -4
  -6
  -8th
+1.2
-0.2
-1.2
-7.3
+3.0
+1.1
-0.4
+0.4
+1.0
+2.4
Otherwise.
Distribution of seats after the 2019 parliamentary elections
         
A total of 200 seats

The 38th election to the Finnish Parliament took place on April 14, 2019.

All 200 members of the one-chamber parliament (Finnish eduskunta , Swedish riksdagen ) were newly elected for a four-year term.

It was the first parliamentary election in which neither party received more than 20 percent. For the first time since the 1999 election, the strongest party was the Social Democrats (SDP), just ahead of the Basic Fins (PS) and the rallying party (KOK);

The Finnish Center Party (KESK) of Prime Minister Juha Sipilä lost over seven percentage points and achieved the worst result since 1917 with 13.8 percent. The Green Bund (VIHR) gained more votes (11.5% after 8.5% in the Election 2015). The gains and losses of the other parties were marginal.

After the election, the Social Democrats, Center, Greens, Left and Swedish People's Party (RKP) formed a center-left coalition on June 6, 2019. Antti Rinne , SDP chairman since 2014, formed the Rinne cabinet . On December 3, 2019, however, he announced his resignation. Successor as Finnish Prime Minister was SDP member Sanna Marin , who had previously been Minister of Transport and Communications in the cabinet , on December 10, 2019 . She was sworn in together with the new Marin cabinet.

Electoral system

The parliament (Finnish eduskunta , Swedish riksdagen ) is elected for four years according to proportional representation. Each voter has one vote that he gives to a particular candidate and thus also votes for his list. The country is divided into 13 constituencies, in which the seats are distributed according to the D'Hondt procedure . The applicants with the most votes are selected from a list. Åland has only one MP; the autonomous archipelago has its own party system. Every Finnish citizen aged 18 and over is entitled to vote.

The country's government, the Council of State (valtioneuvosto) , has been directly responsible to parliament since the constitutional reform. The Prime Minister is elected directly by Parliament, the other members are appointed by the President on the proposal of the Prime Minister. Traditionally, large coalitions are formed in Finland beyond what is necessary to create an absolute majority.

Constituencies

The Finnish Parliament in Helsinki

The constituencies are numbered from 1 to 13 from the south. The mandates are distributed to the constituencies proportionally to their population according to the population at the end of the seventh month before the election. Åland (number 05) always receives a mandate. In parliament, the Åland mandate holder always joins the parliamentary group of the Swedish People's Party (SFP-RKP). In 2013, four smaller constituencies were merged into two larger ones ( Southeast Finland and Savo-Karelia ).

The constituencies are as follows:

# Constituency Seats map
01 Helsinki 22nd Suomen vaalipiirit 2013.png
02 Uusimaa 36
03 Varsinais-Suomi 17th
04 Satakunta 08th
05 Åland 01
06 Malice 14th
07 Pirkanmaa 19th
08 Southeast Finland 17th
09 Savo Karelia 15th
10 Vaasa 16
11 Central Finland 10
12 Oulu 18th
13 Lapland 07th

Starting position

Parliamentary election in Finland 2015
Result (in%)
 %
30th
20th
10
0
21.1
18.2
17.7
16.5
8.5
7.1
4.9
3.5
2.5
Otherwise.

The incumbent government was formed by three parties in a center-right coalition consisting of the Center Party , the True Finns and the National Assembly Party . On May 28, 2015, the parliament elected Juha Sipilä as Prime Minister with 128 votes .

On June 10, 2017, the True Finns elected Jussi Halla-aho as the new party leader after long-time chairman Timo Soini resigned. After the talks between the coalition partners, Sipilä and Finance Minister Petteri Orpo announced that they no longer wanted to form a coalition with the True Finns.

The government's resignation was averted on June 13, 2017, when twenty MPs, including all cabinet members, announced their withdrawal from the True Finns party and organized themselves into the newly founded Blue Future party. Sipila’s government retained a majority in parliament, the Blue Future became a coalition partner and the True Finns became part of the opposition.

A few weeks before the upcoming parliamentary elections, the cabinet resigned on March 8, 2019 because of a dispute over future health policy, but remained in office until a new cabinet was formed.

The parliamentary election in Finland was commonly referred to as the “climate election”. The parties agreed on the goal of limiting the temperature rise to 1.5 degrees by the end of the century - the way to get there was and will be discussed.

Survey

Predictions before the election

The election forecasts before the election did not suggest any major shifts in party preferences. The pollsters have assumed that the opposition Social Democrats would with about 19-20% strongest party, followed by the base Finns and participating in the Government Center Party and the Coalition Party , which were each seen at 14-16%, with only the center noticeable Losses were predicted. The Greens were predicted to be around 12–13% and the Left 8–9%. The results for the Swedish People's Party and the Christian Democrats were expected to be similar to the 2015 election.

Last polls before the election

date Survey institute KESK COOK PS SDP VIHR VAS RKP KD BZ Others
04/09/2019 Taloustutkimus 14.5% 15.9% 16.3% 19.0% 12.2% 8.7% 4.9% 4.3% 0.8% 3.4%
04/07/2019 Cantar TNS 14.4% 17.5% 15.0% 19.5% 12.0% 9.6% 4.4% 4.1% 1.1% 2.4%
04/03/2019 Tietoykkonen 14.7% 17.0% 13.4% 19.6% 13.3% 9.1% 3.9% 4.1% 2.0% 2.9%
March 26, 2019 Taloustutkimus 14.4% 15.8% 15.1% 20.1% 13.0% 9.8% 4.3% 3.5% 0.9% 3.1%
03/15/2019 Cantar TNS 14.3% 18.1% 11.1% 21.0% 14.0% 8.9% 4.4% 4.2% 1.2% 2.8%
05.03.2019 Taloustutkimus 14.1% 16.2% 13.3% 21.3% 13.7% 8.9% 4.7% 3.5% 1.8% 2.5%
03.03.2019 Tietoykkonen 14.1% 18.1% 11.2% 21.3% 13.2% 9.0% 4.1% 4.1% 2.3% 2.6%
02/14/2019 Cantar TNS 14.7% 18.6% 11.4% 20.8% 13.6% 8.7% 4.3% 4.0% 1.0% 2.9%
02/05/2019 Taloustutkimus 15.6% 17.3% 12.0% 20.1% 14.6% 8.6% 4.0% 3.6% 1.4% 2.7%
01/28/2019 Tietoykkonen 14.4% 19.7% 09.9% 21.0% 13.0% 8.9% 4.2% 4.3% 2.1% 2.5%
11/01/2019 Cantar TNS 15.6% 19.5% 09.7% 20.9% 12.9% 9.4% 4.3% 4.0% 1.1% 2.6%
08/01/2019 Taloustutkimus 16.1% 19.6% 10.2% 21.2% 13.6% 9.5% 2.5% 4.2% 1.0% 2.1%
04/19/2015 Election 2015 21.1% 18.2% 17.7% 16.5% 08.5% 7.1% 4.9% 3.5% - 2.5%

Course of survey values

Course of monthly survey values ​​from the 2015 election to the 2019 election

Older surveys (excerpt)

2016-2018
date Institute KESK COOK PS SDP VIHR VAS RKP KD BZ Others
Apr 19 - May 2 Tietoykkonen 15.9 19.5 08.0 21.8 13.2 8.7 4.6 4.0 2.1 2.2
3rd-26th April Taloustutkimus 17.0 20.2 08.5 20.0 14.9 9.1 3.7 3.3 1.5 1.8
March 19 - April 12 Cantar TNS 15.7 20.6 08.1 21.4 14.0 8.9 4.2 3.5 1.6 2.0
1st - 27th March Taloustutkimus 16.3 21.5 09.2 20.2 14.2 9.0 3.5 3.3 1.5 1.3
16.-26. March Tietoykkonen 16.1 19.9 08.2 21.0 13.3 8.7 4.4 3.9 2.0 2.5
Feb. 19 - March 15 Cantar TNS 15.9 21.1 08.5 20.8 14.5 8.5 4.1 3.2 1.4 2.0
7-28 Feb Taloustutkimus 17.0 20.0 08.5 21.0 14.5 8.9 2.9 3.3 1.6 2.3
14.-26. Feb Tietoykkonen 15.5 20.5 08.7 19.6 13.6 8.8 4.8 3.9 2.3 2.3
Jan 22 - Feb 15 Cantar TNS 16.3 21.7 08.6 19.0 14.4 9.1 4.2 3.4 1.3 2.0
28 Dec - 6 Feb Taloustutkimus 17.4 20.8 09.6 18.7 14.0 8.1 4.6 3.2 1.6 2.0
19.-29. Jan. Tietoykkonen 15.4 20.9 08.2 19.2 14.5 8.6 4.6 3.9 2.7 2.0
Dec 12 - Jan 18 Cantar TNS 15.6 21.9 08.1 19.0 15.5 8.8 4.4 3.4 1.5 1.8
Nov 29 - Dec 27 Taloustutkimus 17.8 19.8 08.6 17.8 14.0 8.8 4.6 4.0 2.3 2.3
8-18 Dec Tietoykkonen 16.2 20.8 07.8 20.1 13.7 9.0 4.8 4.1 1.8 1.7
Nov 14 - Dec 10 Cantar TNS 14.8 22.2 08.0 19.0 15.4 9.3 4.4 3.3 1.6 2.0
Nov 1 - Nov 28 Taloustutkimus 17.4 22.3 08.4 19.7 14.2 8.0 3.5 3.6 1.1 1.8
Oct 16 - Nov 13 Cantar TNS 15.1 21.4 08.7 19.0 15.7 8.8 4.4 3.3 1.6 2.0
4-31 Oct Taloustutkimus 17.4 22.8 06.9 18.4 14.0 9.0 4.9 3.4 1.3 1.9
Sep 18 - Oct 14 Cantar TNS 15.4 21.9 09.3 18.1 16.1 8.2 4.4 3.3 1.3 2.0
Sep 11 - Oct. 3 Taloustutkimus 15.8 21.7 09.9 17.3 16.6 8.3 3.5 3.9 1.5 1.5
Aug 21 - Sep 19 Cantar TNS 16.1 21.1 09.2 17.8 16.7 7.9 4.5 3.2 1.3 2.2
Aug 21 - Sep 5 Taloustutkimus 16.2 20.8 10.3 15.6 17.8 8.2 4.5 3.3 1.4 1.9
July 17th - Aug 18th Cantar TNS 17.3 20.7 07.0 17.3 17.5 8.4 4.5 3.5 1.7 2.1
July 24th - Aug 15th Taloustutkimus 17.3 20.8 08.8 15.9 17.6 7.7 4.8 3.7 1.6 1.8
June 26th - July 18th Taloustutkimus 16.7 20.4 08.1 18.5 16.0 9.2 4.7 3.9 0.7 1.8
June 19 - July 14 Cantar TNS 16.4 21.0 06.3 19.6 15.5 8.9 4.4 3.3 2.5 2.1
13-20 June Taloustutkimus 17.0 21.3 09.7 17.1 15.1 8.0 4.0 3.7 2.3 1.8

Election result

Election posters in Helsinki
Results of the parliamentary elections in Finland 2019
Political party be right Seats
number % +/- number +/-
Social Democratic Party (SDP) 546.471 17.7 +1.2 40 +6
Basic fins (PS) 538.805 17.5 −0.2 39 +1
National Collection Party (KOK) 523,957 17.0 −1.2 38 +1
Center Party (KESK) 423.920 13.8 −7.3 31 −18
Green Bund (VIHR) 354.194 11.5 +3.0 20th +5
Left Alliance (VAS) 251,808 8.2 +1.0 16 +4
Swedish People's Party (RKP) 139,640 4.5 −0.3 09 ± 0
Christian Democrats (KD) 120.144 3.9 +0.4 05 ± 0
Liike Nyt 69,427 2.3 New 01 New
Blue Future (SIN) 29,943 1.0 New 0- New
Pirate Party (PP) 19,032 0.6 −0.2 0- 0-
For Åland 11,640 0.4 ± 0.0 (C) 01 ( C ) ± 0
Seven Star Movement 11,366 0.4 New 0- New
Citizens Party 7,645 0.2 New 0- New
Feminist Party 6,662 0.2 New 0- New
Liberal Party 5,014 0.2 New 0- New
Communist Party of Finland (SKP) 4,305 0.1 −0.1 0- -
Animal Rights Party 3,378 0.1 New 0- New
Independence party 2,444 0.1 −0.4 0- -
Finns first 2,366 0.1 New 0- New
Communist Labor Party (KTP) 1,240 0.0 ± 0, 0 0- -
Others 8,515 0.3 −0.3 0- -
total 3,081,916 100.0 2000
Valid votes 3,081,916 99.4
Invalid votes 17,844 0.6
voter turnout 3,099,760 68.7
Eligible voters 4,255,466 100.0
Source: Finnish Ministry of Justice

See also

Individual evidence

  1. a b Official result of the 2019 parliamentary elections Finnish Ministry of Justice (Finnish, English, Swedish)
  2. Election information from the Ministry of Justice
  3. Head-to-head race on election evening . sueddeutsche.de April 14, 2019.
  4. ^ Finnish PM Rinne resigns. Retrieved January 6, 2020 .
  5. tagesschau.de: Finland: Sanna Marin becomes the world's youngest head of government. Retrieved January 6, 2020 .
  6. Vaalipiiriuudistus lyötiin lukkoon eduskunnassa . YLE March 6, 2013; Retrieved September 18, 2014.
  7. Ordinance of the Council of State of November 8, 2018
  8. http://tulospalvelu.vaalit.fi/E-2015/en/tulos_kokomaa.html
  9. http://yle.fi/uutiset/sipila_opts_for_right-leaning_government/7979421
  10. http://www.verkkouutiset.fi/politiikka/eduskunta%20niinisto%20sipila-36699
  11. https://yle.fi/uutiset/3-9667769
  12. spiegel.de: Finnish government resigns
  13. Jenni Roth : How the forest in Finland became a political issue . In: tagesspiegel.de . 3rd July 2019.
  14. tagesspiegel.de June 21, 2019 / Susanne Ehlerding: The goal is in very good hands with the Finns ( comment )