General election in Portugal 2019

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← 2015General election 2019
Result (in%)
voter turnout 48.5%
 %
40
30th
20th
10
0
36.34
27.76
9.52
6.33
4.22
3.32
1.29
1.29
1.09
8.84
Otherwise. j
Gains and losses
compared to 2015
 % p
   6th
   4th
   2
   0
  -2
  -4
  -6
  -8th
-10
-12
+4.03
-10.59
-0.67
-2.02
+4.00
+1.93
+1.24
+1.29
+0.36
+0.37
Otherwise. j
Template: election chart / maintenance / notes
Remarks:
b 2015: on the mainland together with CDS-PP
e 2015: in the Azores together with Partido Popular Monárquico
g together with PPV / CDC
j including blank and invalid ballot papers
Distribution of seats
         
A total of 230 seats

In the parliamentary elections in Portugal in 2019 on October 6, 2019, around 10.7 million Portuguese at home and abroad were called upon to re-elect 230 seats in the Assembleia da República . The election took place in the regular four-year cycle.

The ruling socialists (PS) gained and became the strongest force for the first time since 2009 with around 36.3% of the vote. The liberal-conservative PSD and the right-wing conservative CDS-PP , which ran for the last parliamentary election in 2015, were the clear losers of the election; With 27.8%, the PSD achieved its worst result since 1983. The CDS-PP also lost significantly from 18 to just 5 seats.

To the left of the socialists, the left bloc (BE) and the list association of the Greens and Communists (CDU) slightly lost approval. The animal welfare party PAN moved into parliament again with four mandates and thus established itself as a party. Three other small parties entered parliament for the first time, each with a mandate: the right-wing extremist Chega , the right-wing liberal Iniciativa Liberal and the left-green party Livre . The turnout fell significantly to 48.57 percent, which is also justified by a change in voting rights for Portuguese abroad.

background

Starting position

After the parliamentary elections in 2015 , in which neither of the two big parties ( PS and PSD ) won a majority, António Costa (PS) did not decide, as expected, to enter into a "grand coalition" with the conservative-liberal PSD. Instead, after lengthy negotiations with the small parties Bloco de Esquerda , Partido Comunista Português and Os Verdes, he established a socialist minority government with tolerance of the three small parties. Denominated by CDS politician Paulo Portas as “ niedonça ” (in German roughly “ rattle box ”, “ weird construct”), the name soon gained a life of its own and was used by the government itself.

Economic boom in Portugal

In the past four years, the Costa I cabinet succeeded in withdrawing many of the measures decided by the previous conservative government (salary cuts, pension cuts, special taxes), while at the same time reducing the number of unemployed from just under 18 percent to just under 6 percent - the lowest figure since 2002 To this end, the government is relying on strict budgetary discipline and reduced the budget deficit to 0.5 percent, the national debt ratio fell to around 122 percent of the gross domestic product. This went hand in hand with a radical cut in all investments.

External factors such as a particularly strong tourism boom favored Portugal's economic situation. This was accompanied by rising real estate prices with gentrification phenomena in Lisbon and Porto, analogous to other major European cities.

Quarreled conservative camp

Politically, the Costa government benefited from a divided conservative camp. The presidential candidate Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa, nominated by PSD and CDS-PP, won the presidential elections in 2016 . In contrast to his predecessor, Sousa has been particularly non-partisan since his election, so that the parties could not benefit from his election.

Neither the conservative-liberal PSD nor the right-wing conservative CDS-PP recovered from the years in power under Prime Minister Passos Coelho. After the PSD lost numerous town halls and city councils to the PS in the 2017 local elections, Pedro Passos Coelho resigned as party chairman. In a long internal election campaign, the former mayor of Porto Rui Rio prevailed against the former Lisbon mayor and Prime Minister Pedro Santana Lopes with 54 percent . The latter then resigned from the party and founded his own party under the name Aliança.

Away from the big political and economic issues several state political crises demanded ( forest fires in Portugal in 2017 , strike of teachers, gas station attendant strike, ammunition theft arsenal Tancos the Portuguese army) the government out, but did their popularity, especially by Prime Minister António Costa , no Cancellation.

Electoral system

The Parliament of the Portuguese Republic consists of a single chamber, the Assembly of the Republic, which consists of 230 members who are directly elected through general adult elections for a term of no more than four years. The members of the assembly represent the entire country and not the constituencies in which they were elected.

Each of Portugal's eighteen administrative districts, as well as each of the country's two autonomous regions - the Azores and Madeira - is an electoral district. Portuguese voters residing outside the national territory are divided into two constituencies - Europe and the rest of the world - each of which elects two members of the assembly to represent the Portuguese abroad in parliament. The remaining 226 seats are distributed among the constituencies of the respective country according to the proportion of their number of registered voters.

Political parties and party coalitions can submit lists of candidates. The lists are closed, so voters are not allowed to select individual candidates on this list or change the order.

The seats in each constituency are divided according to the largest average proportionality (PR) method designed by the Belgian lawyer Victor D'Hondt in 1899. Although there is no statutory threshold for participation in the allocation of assembly seats, the application of the D'Hondt procedure introduces a de facto threshold at the constituency level.

Accompanying parties

Ballot paper for the Portuguese parliamentary election on October 6, 2019

All parties represented in the Assembleia da República ran for the parliamentary elections with the following top candidates:

The following parties and lists also stood for election:

Survey

Course of the survey mean values ​​from the 2015 election to the 2019 election

Results

Nationwide result

Result of the general election in Portugal 2019
Political party be right Seats
number % number +/-
Partido Socialista (PS) 1,908,036 36.34 108 +22
Partido Social Democrata (PSD) 1,457,704 27.76 79 −10
Bloco de Esquerda (BE) 500.017 9.52 19th ± 0
Coligação Democrática Unitária (CDU) 332.473 6.33 12 −5
Centro Democrático e Social - Partido Popular (CDS-PP) 221,774 4.22 5 −13
Pessoas - Animais - Natureza (PAN) 174,511 3.32 4th +3
Chega (CH) 67,826 1.29 1 +1
Iniciativa Liberal (IL) 67,681 1.29 1 +1
Livre (L) 57,172 1.09 1 +1
Others 208.284 3.97
Blank ballot papers 131,704 2.51
Invalid ballot 123,882 2.36
total 100.0 230
Valid votes 4,995,478 95.13
voter turnout 5,251,064 48.57
Eligible voters 10,810,674
Source: Secretaria-Geral do Ministério da Administração Interna

Results in the constituencies

Constituencies and elected MPs
No. Constituency
(district) 		PS Psd BE CDU CDS-PP PAN CH IL L.
Total MPs
1 Aveiro 7th 6th 2 1 160
2 Be yes 2 1 3
3 Braga 8th 8th 2 1 19th0
4th Bragança 1 2 3
5 Castelo Branco 3 1 4th
6th Coimbra 5 3 1 9
7th Évora 2 1 3
8th Faro 5 3 1 9
9 Guarda 2 1 3
10 Leiria 4th 5 1 100
11 Lisbon 20th 12 5 4th 2 2 1 1 1 480
12 Portalegre 2 2
13 postage 17th0 15th0 4th 2 1 1 400
14th Santarém 4th 3 1 1 9
15th Setubal 9 3 2 3 1 18th0
16 Viana do Castelo 3 3 6th
17th Vila Real 2 3 5
18th Viseu 4th 4th 8th
19th Azores 3 2 5
20th Madeira 3 3 6th
21st Portuguese in Europe 1 1 2
22nd Portuguese outside Europe 1 1 2
total 108 79 19th 12 5 4th 1 1 1 23000

Web links

Individual evidence

  1. ↑ a b c d Resultados Globais - Território Nacional e Estrangeiro. Ministério da Administração Interna, October 7, 2019, accessed October 9, 2019 .
  2. ↑ Oliver Neuroth: Triumph for Costa. In: tagesschau.de . ARD , October 6, 2017, accessed on October 6, 2019 .
  3. ↑ Paulo Portas declarou, o mundo viralizou: "Geringonça" é eleita palavra do ano de 2016. In: GQ Portugal. January 4, 2017, accessed October 5, 2019 (Portuguese).
  4. ↑ Elections in Portugal - Where the Social Democrats are on the rise. SRF.ch, October 5, 2019, accessed on October 5, 2019 .
  5. ↑ Portugal Tourism Revenues | 2019 | Data | Chart | Calendar | Forecast | News. Retrieved October 5, 2019 .
  6. ^ EU elections in Portugal - tutoring for Europe's social democrats. Retrieved on October 5, 2019 (German).
  7. ^ Paul Ames: Market forces (literally) favor Portugal's Socialists. In: Politico.eu. May 16, 2019, accessed October 5, 2019 .
  8. ^ Tilo Wagner: Portugal - Life from and against tourism. In: Europe Today. Deutschlandfunk, October 4, 2019, accessed on October 5, 2019 .
  9. ^ Tilo Wagner: Before the parliamentary elections - Portugal's conservative camp splintered. In: Europe Today. Deutschlandfunk, October 2, 2019, accessed on October 5, 2019 .
  10. ^ Ivo Oliveira: Portugal's Costa threatens to quit over teachers' pay dispute. In: Politico.eu. May 3, 2019, accessed October 5, 2019 .
  11. ↑ Balanço da legislatura: Quatro anos de "niedonça" em 12 moments. In: Sapo.pt. July 19, 2019, accessed October 5, 2019 (Portuguese).