State election in Baden-Württemberg 2016

from Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
2011State election 20162021
Turnout: 70.4%
 %
40
30th
20th
10
0
30.3
27.0
15.1
12.7
8.3
2.9
1.0
2.7
Otherwise.
Gains and losses
compared to 2011
 % p
 16
 14th
 12
 10
   8th
   6th
   4th
   2
   0
  -2
  -4
  -6
  -8th
-10
-12
+6.1
-12.0
+15.1
-10.4
+3.0
+0.1
+1.0
-2.9
Otherwise.
Distribution of seats according to the final result
     
A total of 143 seats

The state election in Baden-Württemberg in 2016 on March 13, 2016 was the 16th election to the state parliament of Baden-Württemberg . On the same day there were also state elections in Rhineland-Palatinate and Saxony-Anhalt .

The Greens with Prime Minister Winfried Kretschmann became the strongest force at the state level for the first time in German history, while the second ruling party, the SPD, slipped to fourth place, still behind the AfD , which entered the state parliament for the first time , so that Grün-Rot lost the majority in Baden-Württemberg . The opposition CDU, which slipped to second place for the first time, posted its worst result by far in its home country.

Since the FDP refused to participate in a traffic light coalition and the SPD in turn refused to participate in a German coalition , a grand coalition of the Greens and the CDU was formed as a result of the election , whereby Kretschmann and his second cabinet remained Prime Minister. After the Bouffier II cabinet in Hesse, it was the second joint coalition between the two parties in a single country.

Distribution of initial mandates won. Black: CDU, Green: Greens, Blue: AfD

Starting position

Since the state elections in 2011 , in which the CDU received the most votes with 39%, a coalition of Bündnis 90 / Die Grünen (24.2%) and SPD (23.1%) has ruled under the leadership of Prime Minister Winfried Kretschmann (Bündnis 90 /The green). In 2011, the FDP (5.3%) entered the state parliament as the fourth party . The turnout was 66.3%.

Suffrage

In contrast to all other states, there is no list election in state elections in Baden-Württemberg. Rather, voters in the 70 constituencies can vote for one of the direct candidates who run for parties or as individual candidates. An election proposal can contain a substitute applicant in addition to the applicant.

For the distribution of the mandates, the votes that are allotted to its candidates are added up for each party. Only those parties with at least 5% of the votes are taken into account in the distribution . The 120 mandates are distributed proportionally to these parties. After that, each party’s mandates are distributed to the four administrative districts. The candidate who has a relative majority of the votes ( first mandate ) is elected in the constituencies . If a party receives more mandates in an administrative district than it won first mandates there, the remaining seats are allocated to candidates who are not directly elected in this administrative district in descending order of the proportion of votes in the constituency (second mandates). If, on the other hand, a party receives more first mandates than it is actually entitled to, this and the distribution of compensatory mandates to the other parties increases the total number of seats accordingly ( overhang mandates ).

Final result

2016 2011 change
Political party be right % Seats be right % Seats be right % Pts. Seats
GREEN 1.623.107 30.27 47 1,206,182 24.20 36 +416,925 +6.07 +11
CDU 1,447,462 27.00 42 1,943,912 39.01 60 −496,650 −12.01 −18
AfD 809.564 15.10 23 +809,564 +15.10 +23
SPD 679.727 12.68 19th 1,152,594 23.13 35 −472.867 −10.45 −16
FDP 445,498 8.31 12 262,784 5.27 7th +182,714 +3.04 +5
THE LEFT 156.240 2.91 139,700 2.80 +16,540 +0.11
ALFA 54,713 1.02 +54,713 +1.02
ÖDP 38,517 0.72 42,539 0.85 −4.022 −0.14
NPD 23,609 0.44 48,227 0.97 −24,618 −0.53
PIRATES 21,775 0.41 103,618 2.08 −81.843 −1.67
Animal welfare party 17,488 0.33 +17,488 +0.33
REP 17,475 0.33 56,723 1.14 −39.248 −0.81
The party 17,048 0.32 384 0.01 +16,664 +0.31
FREE VOTERS 4,647 0.09 +4,647 +0.09
Human world 877 0.02 +877 +0.02
THE RIGHT 718 0.01 +718 +0.01
Alliance C 602 0.01 +602 +0.01
Animal Welfare Alliance 480 0.01 +480 +0.01
The unit 214 0.00 +214 +0.00
BüSo 166 0.00 307 0.01 −141 −0.00
DKP 144 0.00 +39 +0.00
Arminius League 49 0.00 +49 +0.00
Individual applicants 1,130 0.02 2,368 0.05 −1,238 −0.03
other parties 2011 24,276 0.49 −24.276 −0.49
totally
valid votes
5,361,250
 
100.00
99.06
143
 
4,983,719
 
100.00
98.65
138
 
+377.531
 
 
+0.41
+5
 
invalid votes 50,695 0.94 68,222 1.35 −17,527 −0.41
Voter
turnout
5,411,945
 
100.00
70.44
5,051,941
 
100.00
66.27
+360.004
 
 
+4.16
Non-voters 2,271,519 29.56 2,570,932 33.73 −299.413 −4.16
Eligible voters 7,683,464 100.00 7,622,873 100.00 +60,591

In this election, the Greens became the strongest party in a state election for the first time, while the CDU and SPD each achieved the worst result in Baden-Württemberg. After massive losses, the CDU was behind the Greens with 27.0%, who rose significantly to 30.3%. The AfD immediately received 15.1% of the votes, a strong increase compared to previous German state elections and since then its record result in a western German state, and thus became the third largest parliamentary group. The SPD fell to 12.7% of the vote, while the FDP improved slightly to 8.3%. In particular, the poor performance of the former popular parties CDU and SPD and the record result of the AfD were not reflected in the preliminary surveys to this extent, which is why the election result was a sensation. The Greens won 46 out of 70 constituencies (2011: 9), the CDU only 22 instead of 60, and the SPD lost its last direct mandate in Mannheim to the AfD, which also conquered the Pforzheim constituency and thus has two direct mandates.

The previous government coalition of the Greens and SPD lost the majority, which is why the Greens explored both the SPD and FDP and the CDU. Cooperation with the AfD was ruled out by all other parties. The FDP rejected a traffic light coalition because of excessive differences. The black-red-yellow coalition favored by the FDP under the CDU prime minister candidate Guido Wolf was excluded from the SPD. After several exploratory talks, the Greens and the CDU decided to start coalition negotiations for a “ Kiwi coalition ”, which began on April 1, 2016, with the CDU changing its leadership in favor of Thomas Strobl . The green-black coalition agreement was signed on May 1st. On May 12th, Winfried Kretschmann was re-elected Prime Minister with 82 votes. He received seven votes fewer than the government coalition has seats.

Candidacies

Nominations had to be submitted to the respective district returning officers by 6 p.m. on the 59th day before the election (January 14, 2016). 150 supporting signatures were required for each nomination. The parties that are represented in the state parliament before the election were excluded from this. These were:

Leading candidates of the parties represented in the state parliament in the 2016-2021 legislative period
(order according to parliamentary group size)
In conversation with Sylvia Löhrmann and Winfried Kretschmann (2) .jpg
The Greens: Winfried Kretschmann
2013-05-15 16 - Wolf, Guido, MdL - LTBW - 5273.jpg
CDU: Guido Wolf
2015-01-17 3813 Jörg Meuthen (state party conference AfD Baden-Württemberg) .jpg
AfD: Jörg Meuthen
Nils Schmid 2012-by-RaBoe 1.jpg
SPD: Nils Schmid
2013-05-15 16 - Rülke, Hans-Ulrich, MdL - LTBW - 5297.jpg
FDP: Hans-Ulrich Rülke

The following parties not represented in the state parliament competed in all constituencies:

In addition, the following other parties ran in at least two constituencies:

Each in one constituency ran:

There were also three individual applicants:

Election goals of the parties

The election goal of the CDU was the end of the green-red state government and the assumption of government responsibility by its top candidate Guido Wolf . Thematically, education policy, internal security and the subject of infrastructure, including fast Internet, should be the focus. The election campaign budget ranged from 2 to 2.5 million euros. The desired coalition partner was the FDP - a coalition with the AfD was excluded.

The Greens sought to keep their top candidate Winfried Kretschmann in power. Thematically, they wanted to focus on energy, business and education. The regional association estimated around one million euros for the election campaign. The SPD remained the preferred coalition partner - but participation as a smaller partner in a coalition with the CDU was not excluded.

The SPD wanted to win electoral shares in order to be able to continue the existing government coalition with the Greens. The main themes were “good work”, educational equality and time for family. The budget was around 2.2 million euros.

The election goal of the FDP was the return to the state parliament with possible government participation. The party had around 500,000 euros available for its campaign under the motto “The next step for our country”. The thematic focus was on better education, strengthening the business location and improving mobility.

The AfD sought to move into the state parliament for the first time. In addition to education, security and the energy transition, her top candidate, Jörg Meuthen , saw refugee policy as an important campaign issue.

Survey

course

Survey history
Institute date CDU Green SPD FDP left AfD Otherwise.
State election 2016 03/13/2016 27.0% 30.3% 12.7% 8.3% 2.9% 15.1% 3.7%
Research group elections 03/10/2016 29% 32% 14% 6% 4% 11% 4%
YouGov 03/10/2016 30% 32% 12% 8th % 4% 11% 3%
Forsa 03/09/2016 27% 32% 16% 7% 3% 11% 4%
INSA 07.03.2016 28.5% 33.5% 12.5% 6% 3% 12.5% 4%
Research group elections 03/04/2016 30% 32% 13% 7% 4% 11% 3%
Infratest dimap 03/03/2016 28% 32% 13% 8th % 4% 13% 2%
INSA 02/28/2016 30% 30.5% 16.5% 6.5% 3.5% 9% 4%
Forsa 02/26/2016 30% 30% 16% 6% 3% 11% 4%
INSA 02/22/2016 30% 30.5% 16% 7% 3% 10% 3.5%
Infratest dimap 02/18/2016 31% 28% 14% 8th % 4% 12% 3%
Customer Research 42 02/12/2016 33.1% 26.1% 15.6% 5.1% 5.5% 10.5% 4.1%
INSA 02/05/2016 33.5% 28.5% 13.5% 7% 3.5% 10% 4%
Research group elections 01/21/2016 34% 28% 15% 6% 3% 11% 3%
INSA 01/20/2016 35% 29% 13% 6.5% 2.5% 11.5% 2.5%
Infratest dimap 01/14/2016 35% 28% 15% 6% 3% 10% 3%
Forsa December 15, 2015 35% 28% 19% 5% 3% 7% 3%
Infratest dimap 03/12/2015 37% 25% 18% 5% 4% 8th % 3%
Research group elections 11/20/2015 37% 27% 18% 5% 3% 6% 4%
INSA 09/10/2015 40% 24% 16% 5% 5% 8th % 2%
Infratest dimap 09/24/2015 39% 26% 17% 5% 4% 5% 4%
Allensbach 09/11/2015 40.5% 24% 20% 4.5% 4% 3% 4%
Forsa 05/12/2015 38% 26% 20% 4% 4% 4% 4%
Infratest dimap 03/26/2015 38% 25% 18% 5% 5% 4% 5%
Infratest dimap 11/13/2014 41% 22% 20% 3% 4% 5% 5%
Infratest dimap 09/17/2014 41% 23% 19% 4% 4% 4% -
European elections in Baden-Württemberg 05/25/2014 39.3% 13.2% 23% 4.1% 3.6% 7.9% 9.9%
Bundestag election in Baden-Württemberg 09/22/2013 45.7% 11% 20.6% 6.2% 4.8% 5.2% 6.6%
State election 2011 03/27/2011 39.0% 24.2% 23.1% 5.3% 2.8% nk 5.6%
Older polls
Institute date CDU Green SPD FDP left Pirates AfD Otherwise.
European elections in Baden-Württemberg 05/25/2014 39.3% 13.2% 23% 4.1% 3.6% 2.2% 7.9% 7.7%
Infratest dimap 05/13/2014 41% 21% 20% 3% 4% - 6% 5%
Infratest dimap 07/11/2013 43% 22% 19% 4% 4% - 5% 3%
Bundestag election in Baden-Württemberg 09/22/2013 45.7% 11% 20.6% 6.2% 4.8% 2.3% 5.2% 4.3%
Infratest dimap 05/16/2013 39% 28% 19% 4% 2% 3% 2% 3%
Infratest dimap 05/10/2012 37% 28% 21% 4% 2% 6% - 2%
Emnid 11/20/2011 34% 32% 20% 4% 3% 4% - -
Infratest dimap 11/17/2011 37% 29% 22% 3% 2% 4% - 3%
Infratest dimap 08/18/2011 36% 29% 23% 4% 3% - - 5%
Forsa 05/04/2011 36% 30% 22% 4% 2% - - -
State election 2011 03/27/2011 39.0% 24.2% 23.1% 5.3% 2.8% 2.1% nk 3.5%

Television debates

Due to the election results in the last state election , the SWR refrained from a “classic television duel ” with the top candidates of the two strongest parties (CDU and Greens) “for legal and journalistic reasons” . Instead of the duel, a broadcast with the top candidates of the three largest parties (CDU, Greens and SPD) should take place. The FDP represented in the state parliament would have been excluded from the broadcast. The FDP top candidate Hans-Ulrich Rülke threatened to file a lawsuit before the State Court in July 2015. The CDU top candidate Guido Wolf showed solidarity with him and refused to participate in the program. As a result, the program was canceled by SWR without replacement.

A possible participation of the AfD top candidate Jörg Meuthen in a planned discussion round ( elephant round ) of the SWR led to a conflict in December 2015. Prime Minister Winfried Kretschmann (Greens) and the SPD Deputy Prime Minister Nils Schmid announced their rejection if a representative of the AfD were invited to the show. The SWR criticized this decision and decided reluctantly in mid-January 2016 not to invite the AfD. This decision, in turn, was criticized as a result of political blackmailing of the media and labeled as damaging to democracy. After a public appeal by the SWR to all parties to take part in the public discussion, Kretschmann and Schmid agreed to participate at the end of January.

On January 14, 2016, a 45-minute TV duel between Kretschmann and Wolf, called a “dispute”, took place on SWR , moderated by Clemens Bratzler . Another 90-minute duel took place on January 20th. It was moderated by Wieland Backes and Michael Zeiß .

incident

At the beginning of the election campaign in Karlsruhe, an employee of an advertising agency commissioned by the AfD was shot at by strangers with a pistol.

See also

Web links

Commons : State election in Baden-Württemberg 2016  - Collection of images, videos and audio files

Individual evidence

  1. ^ State Statistical Office Baden-Württemberg: Final result of the state elections on March 13, 2016, State of Baden-Württemberg
  2. State Statistical Office of Baden-Württemberg: Final result of the state elections on March 13, 2016, distribution of seats in the state and by administrative district
  3. Michael Schwarz: Green-red cabinet resolves March 13, 2016 as the day of the state election . vote.de. March 24, 2015. Retrieved April 2, 2016.
  4. State election date 2016: Cabinet sets March 13th . FOCUS Online. Retrieved April 2, 2016.
  5. a b Suffrage and electoral system for the state parliament of Baden-Württemberg (PDF) landtagswahl-bw.de. Retrieved April 2, 2016.
  6. ^ Formation of a government in BW: FDP prevents three-party coalitions . swr.online. March 19, 2016. Retrieved April 2, 2016.
  7. https://www.tagesschau.de/eilmeldung/eilmeldung-1097.html
  8. http://www.t-online.de/nachrichten/deutschland/id_77820372/baden-wuerttemberg-winfried-kretschmann-ist-wieder-ministerpraesident.html
  9. Information on the state elections in Baden-Württemberg in 2016 (PDF) baden-wuerttemberg.de. October 31, 2014. Retrieved April 2, 2016.
  10. Press release - Final approval of the parties and nominations for the state elections on March 13, 2016 (PDF) baden-wuerttemberg.de. January 28, 2016. Retrieved April 2, 2016.
  11. THE LEFT. LV Baden-Württemberg: State election 2016 . Archived from the original on October 12, 2015. Retrieved April 2, 2016.
  12. PM: ++ ALFA collects enough support signatures also in Baden-Württemberg ++ . alfa-bw.de. January 15, 2016. Archived from the original on March 13, 2016. Retrieved on April 2, 2016.
  13. Stimme.de: The struggle for power in Baden-Württemberg. In: Heilbronn voice . January 10, 2016, accessed January 10, 2016 .
  14. a b European elections 2014, social structure . State Statistical Office of Baden-Württemberg. Archived from the original on May 30, 2014. Retrieved April 2, 2016.
  15. a b Federal Parliament election 2013, State of Baden-Württemberg . State Statistical Office of Baden-Württemberg. Archived from the original on September 24, 2013. Retrieved on April 2, 2016.
  16. Discussion: Wolf cancels - SWR overturns TV three-way fight for state elections . badische-zeitung.de. July 23, 2015. Retrieved April 2, 2016.
  17. DWDL.de CDU rejection: No electoral three-way fight in the SWR
  18. Baden-Württemberg - Can the AfD boss go into the elephant round? FAZ.net , December 31, 2015, accessed on December 31, 2015 .
  19. ^ With "clenched teeth" After pressure from the SPD and the Greens: SWR does not invite AfD to "elephant rounds" on focus.de on January 19, 2016
  20. ^ Lenz Jacobsen: SWR: Comfort zone for the powerful. In: Zeit Online . January 20, 2016, accessed February 4, 2016 .
  21. Kretschmann and Schmid ready for "Elefantenrunde" with AfD. In: The world . February 29, 2016, accessed March 27, 2016 .
  22. Video of the state election duel: This is how Kretschmann and Wolf fought. In: Stuttgarter Zeitung . January 21, 2016, accessed March 27, 2016 .
  23. AfD billboarders attacked in Karlsruhe: Whether there was shooting is being checked further . swr.online. January 25, 2016. Retrieved April 2, 2016.
  24. State election in Baden-Württemberg: AfD billboarders shot at by unknown people. In: Der Spiegel . January 24, 2016, accessed March 27, 2016 .