State election in Baden-Württemberg 2016
The state election in Baden-Württemberg in 2016 on March 13, 2016 was the 16th election to the state parliament of Baden-Württemberg . On the same day there were also state elections in Rhineland-Palatinate and Saxony-Anhalt .
The Greens with Prime Minister Winfried Kretschmann became the strongest force at the state level for the first time in German history, while the second ruling party, the SPD, slipped to fourth place, still behind the AfD , which entered the state parliament for the first time , so that Grün-Rot lost the majority in Baden-Württemberg . The opposition CDU, which slipped to second place for the first time, posted its worst result by far in its home country.
Since the FDP refused to participate in a traffic light coalition and the SPD in turn refused to participate in a German coalition , a grand coalition of the Greens and the CDU was formed as a result of the election , whereby Kretschmann and his second cabinet remained Prime Minister. After the Bouffier II cabinet in Hesse, it was the second joint coalition between the two parties in a single country.
Starting position
Since the state elections in 2011 , in which the CDU received the most votes with 39%, a coalition of Bündnis 90 / Die Grünen (24.2%) and SPD (23.1%) has ruled under the leadership of Prime Minister Winfried Kretschmann (Bündnis 90 /The green). In 2011, the FDP (5.3%) entered the state parliament as the fourth party . The turnout was 66.3%.
Suffrage
In contrast to all other states, there is no list election in state elections in Baden-Württemberg. Rather, voters in the 70 constituencies can vote for one of the direct candidates who run for parties or as individual candidates. An election proposal can contain a substitute applicant in addition to the applicant.
For the distribution of the mandates, the votes that are allotted to its candidates are added up for each party. Only those parties with at least 5% of the votes are taken into account in the distribution . The 120 mandates are distributed proportionally to these parties. After that, each party’s mandates are distributed to the four administrative districts. The candidate who has a relative majority of the votes ( first mandate ) is elected in the constituencies . If a party receives more mandates in an administrative district than it won first mandates there, the remaining seats are allocated to candidates who are not directly elected in this administrative district in descending order of the proportion of votes in the constituency (second mandates). If, on the other hand, a party receives more first mandates than it is actually entitled to, this and the distribution of compensatory mandates to the other parties increases the total number of seats accordingly ( overhang mandates ).
Final result
| 2016 | 2011 | change | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Political party | be right | % | Seats | be right | % | Seats | be right | % Pts. | Seats |
| GREEN | 1.623.107 | 30.27 | 47 | 1,206,182 | 24.20 | 36 | +416,925 | +6.07 | +11 |
| CDU | 1,447,462 | 27.00 | 42 | 1,943,912 | 39.01 | 60 | −496,650 | −12.01 | −18 |
| AfD | 809.564 | 15.10 | 23 | +809,564 | +15.10 | +23 | |||
| SPD | 679.727 | 12.68 | 19th | 1,152,594 | 23.13 | 35 | −472.867 | −10.45 | −16 |
| FDP | 445,498 | 8.31 | 12 | 262,784 | 5.27 | 7th | +182,714 | +3.04 | +5 |
| THE LEFT | 156.240 | 2.91 | 139,700 | 2.80 | +16,540 | +0.11 | |||
| ALFA | 54,713 | 1.02 | +54,713 | +1.02 | |||||
| ÖDP | 38,517 | 0.72 | 42,539 | 0.85 | −4.022 | −0.14 | |||
| NPD | 23,609 | 0.44 | 48,227 | 0.97 | −24,618 | −0.53 | |||
| PIRATES | 21,775 | 0.41 | 103,618 | 2.08 | −81.843 | −1.67 | |||
| Animal welfare party | 17,488 | 0.33 | +17,488 | +0.33 | |||||
| REP | 17,475 | 0.33 | 56,723 | 1.14 | −39.248 | −0.81 | |||
| The party | 17,048 | 0.32 | 384 | 0.01 | +16,664 | +0.31 | |||
| FREE VOTERS | 4,647 | 0.09 | +4,647 | +0.09 | |||||
| Human world | 877 | 0.02 | +877 | +0.02 | |||||
| THE RIGHT | 718 | 0.01 | +718 | +0.01 | |||||
| Alliance C | 602 | 0.01 | +602 | +0.01 | |||||
| Animal Welfare Alliance | 480 | 0.01 | +480 | +0.01 | |||||
| The unit | 214 | 0.00 | +214 | +0.00 | |||||
| BüSo | 166 | 0.00 | 307 | 0.01 | −141 | −0.00 | |||
| DKP | 144 | 0.00 | +39 | +0.00 | |||||
| Arminius League | 49 | 0.00 | +49 | +0.00 | |||||
| Individual applicants | 1,130 | 0.02 | 2,368 | 0.05 | −1,238 | −0.03 | |||
| other parties 2011 | 24,276 | 0.49 | −24.276 | −0.49 | |||||
|
totally valid votes |
5,361,250 |
100.00 99.06 |
143 |
4,983,719 |
100.00 98.65 |
138 |
+377.531 |
+0.41 |
+5 |
| invalid votes | 50,695 | 0.94 | 68,222 | 1.35 | −17,527 | −0.41 | |||
|
Voter turnout |
5,411,945 |
100.00 70.44 |
5,051,941 |
100.00 66.27 |
+360.004 |
+4.16 |
|||
| Non-voters | 2,271,519 | 29.56 | 2,570,932 | 33.73 | −299.413 | −4.16 | |||
| Eligible voters | 7,683,464 | 100.00 | 7,622,873 | 100.00 | +60,591 | ||||
In this election, the Greens became the strongest party in a state election for the first time, while the CDU and SPD each achieved the worst result in Baden-Württemberg. After massive losses, the CDU was behind the Greens with 27.0%, who rose significantly to 30.3%. The AfD immediately received 15.1% of the votes, a strong increase compared to previous German state elections and since then its record result in a western German state, and thus became the third largest parliamentary group. The SPD fell to 12.7% of the vote, while the FDP improved slightly to 8.3%. In particular, the poor performance of the former popular parties CDU and SPD and the record result of the AfD were not reflected in the preliminary surveys to this extent, which is why the election result was a sensation. The Greens won 46 out of 70 constituencies (2011: 9), the CDU only 22 instead of 60, and the SPD lost its last direct mandate in Mannheim to the AfD, which also conquered the Pforzheim constituency and thus has two direct mandates.
The previous government coalition of the Greens and SPD lost the majority, which is why the Greens explored both the SPD and FDP and the CDU. Cooperation with the AfD was ruled out by all other parties. The FDP rejected a traffic light coalition because of excessive differences. The black-red-yellow coalition favored by the FDP under the CDU prime minister candidate Guido Wolf was excluded from the SPD. After several exploratory talks, the Greens and the CDU decided to start coalition negotiations for a “ Kiwi coalition ”, which began on April 1, 2016, with the CDU changing its leadership in favor of Thomas Strobl . The green-black coalition agreement was signed on May 1st. On May 12th, Winfried Kretschmann was re-elected Prime Minister with 82 votes. He received seven votes fewer than the government coalition has seats.
Candidacies
Nominations had to be submitted to the respective district returning officers by 6 p.m. on the 59th day before the election (January 14, 2016). 150 supporting signatures were required for each nomination. The parties that are represented in the state parliament before the election were excluded from this. These were:
- Christian Democratic Union of Germany (CDU, top candidate Guido Wolf )
- Alliance 90 / The Greens (Greens, Winfried Kretschmann )
- Social Democratic Party of Germany (SPD, Nils Schmid )
- Free Democratic Party (FDP, Hans-Ulrich Rülke )
(order according to parliamentary group size)
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The following parties not represented in the state parliament competed in all constituencies:
- Die Linke (Linke, Bernd Riexinger and Gökay Akbulut)
- The Republicans (REP, Ulrich Deuschle )
- Alliance for Progress and Awakening (ALFA, Bernd Kölmel )
- Alternative for Germany (AfD, Jörg Meuthen )
In addition, the following other parties ran in at least two constituencies:
- National Democratic Party of Germany (NPD, in 66 constituencies)
- Ecological Democratic Party / Family and Environment (ÖDP, in 65 constituencies)
- Pirate Party Germany (pirates, in 31 constituencies)
- Party for labor, rule of law, animal welfare, elite support and grassroots initiative (PARTY, in 25 constituencies)
- Human Environment Animal Welfare Party (animal welfare party, in 20 constituencies)
- The rights (RIGHTS, in 9 constituencies)
- Free voters (FREE VOTERS, in 5 constituencies)
- Civil rights movement Solidarity (BüSo, in 4 constituencies)
- Human world for the well-being and happiness of all (HUMAN WORLD, in 2 constituencies)
Each in one constituency ran:
- German Communist Party (DKP)
- Alliance for human rights, animal and nature conservation (animal welfare alliance )
- ARMINIUS - Bund des Deutschen Volkes (ARMINIUS - Bund)
- Alliance C - Christians for Germany - AUF & PBC (Alliance C)
- The Unity (THE UNIT)
There were also three individual applicants:
- Björn Eckel - constituency 8 (Kirchheim / Teck)
- Damiana Koch - constituency 22 (Schwäbisch Hall)
- Hermann Steinwandel - constituency 66 (Biberach)
Election goals of the parties
The election goal of the CDU was the end of the green-red state government and the assumption of government responsibility by its top candidate Guido Wolf . Thematically, education policy, internal security and the subject of infrastructure, including fast Internet, should be the focus. The election campaign budget ranged from 2 to 2.5 million euros. The desired coalition partner was the FDP - a coalition with the AfD was excluded.
The Greens sought to keep their top candidate Winfried Kretschmann in power. Thematically, they wanted to focus on energy, business and education. The regional association estimated around one million euros for the election campaign. The SPD remained the preferred coalition partner - but participation as a smaller partner in a coalition with the CDU was not excluded.
The SPD wanted to win electoral shares in order to be able to continue the existing government coalition with the Greens. The main themes were “good work”, educational equality and time for family. The budget was around 2.2 million euros.
The election goal of the FDP was the return to the state parliament with possible government participation. The party had around 500,000 euros available for its campaign under the motto “The next step for our country”. The thematic focus was on better education, strengthening the business location and improving mobility.
The AfD sought to move into the state parliament for the first time. In addition to education, security and the energy transition, her top candidate, Jörg Meuthen , saw refugee policy as an important campaign issue.
Survey
course
| Institute | date | CDU | Green | SPD | FDP | left | AfD | Otherwise. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| State election 2016 | 03/13/2016 | 27.0% | 30.3% | 12.7% | 8.3% | 2.9% | 15.1% | 3.7% |
| Research group elections | 03/10/2016 | 29% | 32% | 14% | 6% | 4% | 11% | 4% |
| YouGov | 03/10/2016 | 30% | 32% | 12% | 8th % | 4% | 11% | 3% |
| Forsa | 03/09/2016 | 27% | 32% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 11% | 4% |
| INSA | 07.03.2016 | 28.5% | 33.5% | 12.5% | 6% | 3% | 12.5% | 4% |
| Research group elections | 03/04/2016 | 30% | 32% | 13% | 7% | 4% | 11% | 3% |
| Infratest dimap | 03/03/2016 | 28% | 32% | 13% | 8th % | 4% | 13% | 2% |
| INSA | 02/28/2016 | 30% | 30.5% | 16.5% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 9% | 4% |
| Forsa | 02/26/2016 | 30% | 30% | 16% | 6% | 3% | 11% | 4% |
| INSA | 02/22/2016 | 30% | 30.5% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 10% | 3.5% |
| Infratest dimap | 02/18/2016 | 31% | 28% | 14% | 8th % | 4% | 12% | 3% |
| Customer Research 42 | 02/12/2016 | 33.1% | 26.1% | 15.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 10.5% | 4.1% |
| INSA | 02/05/2016 | 33.5% | 28.5% | 13.5% | 7% | 3.5% | 10% | 4% |
| Research group elections | 01/21/2016 | 34% | 28% | 15% | 6% | 3% | 11% | 3% |
| INSA | 01/20/2016 | 35% | 29% | 13% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 11.5% | 2.5% |
| Infratest dimap | 01/14/2016 | 35% | 28% | 15% | 6% | 3% | 10% | 3% |
| Forsa | December 15, 2015 | 35% | 28% | 19% | 5% | 3% | 7% | 3% |
| Infratest dimap | 03/12/2015 | 37% | 25% | 18% | 5% | 4% | 8th % | 3% |
| Research group elections | 11/20/2015 | 37% | 27% | 18% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 4% |
| INSA | 09/10/2015 | 40% | 24% | 16% | 5% | 5% | 8th % | 2% |
| Infratest dimap | 09/24/2015 | 39% | 26% | 17% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 4% |
| Allensbach | 09/11/2015 | 40.5% | 24% | 20% | 4.5% | 4% | 3% | 4% |
| Forsa | 05/12/2015 | 38% | 26% | 20% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% |
| Infratest dimap | 03/26/2015 | 38% | 25% | 18% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 5% |
| Infratest dimap | 11/13/2014 | 41% | 22% | 20% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% |
| Infratest dimap | 09/17/2014 | 41% | 23% | 19% | 4% | 4% | 4% | - |
| European elections in Baden-Württemberg | 05/25/2014 | 39.3% | 13.2% | 23% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 7.9% | 9.9% |
| Bundestag election in Baden-Württemberg | 09/22/2013 | 45.7% | 11% | 20.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% |
| State election 2011 | 03/27/2011 | 39.0% | 24.2% | 23.1% | 5.3% | 2.8% | nk | 5.6% |
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Television debates
Due to the election results in the last state election , the SWR refrained from a “classic television duel ” with the top candidates of the two strongest parties (CDU and Greens) “for legal and journalistic reasons” . Instead of the duel, a broadcast with the top candidates of the three largest parties (CDU, Greens and SPD) should take place. The FDP represented in the state parliament would have been excluded from the broadcast. The FDP top candidate Hans-Ulrich Rülke threatened to file a lawsuit before the State Court in July 2015. The CDU top candidate Guido Wolf showed solidarity with him and refused to participate in the program. As a result, the program was canceled by SWR without replacement.
A possible participation of the AfD top candidate Jörg Meuthen in a planned discussion round ( elephant round ) of the SWR led to a conflict in December 2015. Prime Minister Winfried Kretschmann (Greens) and the SPD Deputy Prime Minister Nils Schmid announced their rejection if a representative of the AfD were invited to the show. The SWR criticized this decision and decided reluctantly in mid-January 2016 not to invite the AfD. This decision, in turn, was criticized as a result of political blackmailing of the media and labeled as damaging to democracy. After a public appeal by the SWR to all parties to take part in the public discussion, Kretschmann and Schmid agreed to participate at the end of January.
On January 14, 2016, a 45-minute TV duel between Kretschmann and Wolf, called a “dispute”, took place on SWR , moderated by Clemens Bratzler . Another 90-minute duel took place on January 20th. It was moderated by Wieland Backes and Michael Zeiß .
incident
At the beginning of the election campaign in Karlsruhe, an employee of an advertising agency commissioned by the AfD was shot at by strangers with a pistol.
See also
- Cabinet Kretschmann II
- State elections in Baden-Württemberg
- List of state electoral districts in Baden-Württemberg
- List of members of the state parliament of Baden-Württemberg (16th electoral term)
Web links
- State Center for Political Education Baden-Württemberg : State election 2016 in Baden-Württemberg
- Baden-Württemberg Ministry of the Interior : im.baden-wuerttemberg.de: State election 2016
- Political-bildung.de: State election in Baden-Württemberg 2016
- Interactive atlas of the state elections in Baden-Württemberg 2016 shows the preliminary results of March 13, 2016 for all parties and selected applicants, current structural data (average age, proportion of first-time / young voters, children / old people) and the results of the state elections 2011 converted to the current constituency division and 2006.
- Members watch of the Parlamentwatch e. V. on the state election in Baden-Württemberg.
Individual evidence
- ^ State Statistical Office Baden-Württemberg: Final result of the state elections on March 13, 2016, State of Baden-Württemberg
- ↑ State Statistical Office of Baden-Württemberg: Final result of the state elections on March 13, 2016, distribution of seats in the state and by administrative district
- ↑ Michael Schwarz: Green-red cabinet resolves March 13, 2016 as the day of the state election . vote.de. March 24, 2015. Retrieved April 2, 2016.
- ↑ State election date 2016: Cabinet sets March 13th . FOCUS Online. Retrieved April 2, 2016.
- ↑ a b Suffrage and electoral system for the state parliament of Baden-Württemberg (PDF) landtagswahl-bw.de. Retrieved April 2, 2016.
- ^ Formation of a government in BW: FDP prevents three-party coalitions . swr.online. March 19, 2016. Retrieved April 2, 2016.
- ↑ https://www.tagesschau.de/eilmeldung/eilmeldung-1097.html
- ↑ http://www.t-online.de/nachrichten/deutschland/id_77820372/baden-wuerttemberg-winfried-kretschmann-ist-wieder-ministerpraesident.html
- ↑ Information on the state elections in Baden-Württemberg in 2016 (PDF) baden-wuerttemberg.de. October 31, 2014. Retrieved April 2, 2016.
- ↑ Press release - Final approval of the parties and nominations for the state elections on March 13, 2016 (PDF) baden-wuerttemberg.de. January 28, 2016. Retrieved April 2, 2016.
- ↑ THE LEFT. LV Baden-Württemberg: State election 2016 . Archived from the original on October 12, 2015. Retrieved April 2, 2016.
- ↑ PM: ++ ALFA collects enough support signatures also in Baden-Württemberg ++ . alfa-bw.de. January 15, 2016. Archived from the original on March 13, 2016. Retrieved on April 2, 2016.
- ↑ Stimme.de: The struggle for power in Baden-Württemberg. In: Heilbronn voice . January 10, 2016, accessed January 10, 2016 .
- ↑ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai Sunday questions about the state elections in Baden-Württemberg 2016. Accessed on February 15 2015 .
- ↑ a b European elections 2014, social structure . State Statistical Office of Baden-Württemberg. Archived from the original on May 30, 2014. Retrieved April 2, 2016.
- ↑ a b Federal Parliament election 2013, State of Baden-Württemberg . State Statistical Office of Baden-Württemberg. Archived from the original on September 24, 2013. Retrieved on April 2, 2016.
- ↑ Discussion: Wolf cancels - SWR overturns TV three-way fight for state elections . badische-zeitung.de. July 23, 2015. Retrieved April 2, 2016.
- ↑ DWDL.de CDU rejection: No electoral three-way fight in the SWR
- ↑ Baden-Württemberg - Can the AfD boss go into the elephant round? FAZ.net , December 31, 2015, accessed on December 31, 2015 .
- ^ With "clenched teeth" After pressure from the SPD and the Greens: SWR does not invite AfD to "elephant rounds" on focus.de on January 19, 2016
- ^ Lenz Jacobsen: SWR: Comfort zone for the powerful. In: Zeit Online . January 20, 2016, accessed February 4, 2016 .
- ↑ Kretschmann and Schmid ready for "Elefantenrunde" with AfD. In: The world . February 29, 2016, accessed March 27, 2016 .
- ↑ Video of the state election duel: This is how Kretschmann and Wolf fought. In: Stuttgarter Zeitung . January 21, 2016, accessed March 27, 2016 .
- ↑ AfD billboarders attacked in Karlsruhe: Whether there was shooting is being checked further . swr.online. January 25, 2016. Retrieved April 2, 2016.
- ↑ State election in Baden-Württemberg: AfD billboarders shot at by unknown people. In: Der Spiegel . January 24, 2016, accessed March 27, 2016 .
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