Opinion polling for the United States House of Representatives elections, 2008
Template:Future election in the United States
This article provides a collection of scientific, state-wide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the United States of America House of Representatives elections, 2008.
Opinion polling
Alabama
2nd District
Incumbent: Terry Everett(R)-Retiring
Source | Date | Democrat: Bobby Bright | Republican: Jay Love |
---|---|---|---|
Anzalone Lizst | October 5-7, 2008 | 46% | 45% |
Survey USA | August 26-28, 2008 | 39% | 56% |
Capital Survey Research Center | August 6-7, 2008 | 47% | 37% |
Anzalone Liszt | August 3-6, 2008 | 50% | 40% |
McLaughlin & Associates | July 21-22, 2008 | 39% | 41% |
Anzalone Liszt | October 2-4, 2007 | 46% | 27% |
3rd District
Incumbent: Mike Rogers(R)
Source | Date | Democrat: Joshua Segall | Republican: Mike Rogers |
---|---|---|---|
Capital Survey Research Center | September 30-October 1, 2008 | 36% | 45% |
Capital Survey Research Center | August 19-21, 2008 | 33% | 54% |
5th District§
Incumbent: Bud Cramer(D)-Retiring
Source | Date | Democrat: Parker Griffith | Republican: Wayne Parker |
---|---|---|---|
Capital Survey Research Center | August 19-21, 2008 | 45% | 40% |
Capital Survey Research Center | April 1, 2008 | 48% | 32% |
Alaska
At Large District
Incumbent: Don Young(R)
Source | Date | Democrat: Ethan Berkowitz | Republican: Don Young |
---|---|---|---|
Ivan Moore Research | September 20-22, 2008 | 49% | 44% |
Fairleigh Dickinson University | September 17-21, 2008 | 47% | 41% |
Research 2000/Daily Kos | September 15-17, 2008 | 53% | 39% |
Ivan Moore Research | August 30-September 2, 2008 | 54% | 37% |
Ivan Moore Research | August 9-12, 2008 | 51% | 41% |
Ivan Moore Research | July 18-22, 2008 | 52% | 37% |
Research 2000/Daily Kos | July 14-16, 2008 | 51% | 40% |
Research 2000/Daily Kos | May 12-14, 2008 | 50% | 40% |
Hellenthal & Associates | May 6-10, 2008 | 58% | 38% |
Craciun Research Group | October 27-November 2, 2007 | 50% | 35% |
Arizona
3rd District
Incumbent: John Shadegg(R)
Source | Date | Democrat: Bob Lord | Republican: John Shadegg |
---|---|---|---|
Anzalone Lizst | October 6-8, 2008 | 45% | 44% |
5th District
Incumbent: Harry Mitchell(D)
Source | Date | Democrat: Harry Mitchell | Republican: Laura Knaperek/ David Schweikert |
---|---|---|---|
Bennett, Petts & Normington | March 9-11, 2008 | 49% 50% |
26% 24% |
8th District
Incumbent: Gabrielle Giffords(D)
Source | Date | Democrat: Gabrielle Giffords | Republican: Tim Bee |
---|---|---|---|
Greenberg, Quinlan, Rosner | June 18-22, 2008 | 59% | 35% |
Arizona Opinion | May 12-23, 2008 | 47% | 40% |
Summit Group | December 3-4, 2007 | 36% | 30% |
California
4th District
Incumbent: John Doolittle(R)-retiring
Source | Date | Democrat: Charlie Brown | Republican: Tom McClintock |
---|---|---|---|
Research 2000/Daily Kos | September 23-25, 2008 | 46% | 41% |
Val Smith | September 22-24, 2008 | 39% | 47% |
Beneson Strategy Group | August 21-24, 2008 | 43% | 41% |
Beneson Strategy Group | May 14-15, 2008 | 42% | 40% |
26th District
Incumbent: David Dreier(R)
Source | Date | Democrat: Russ Warner | Republican: David Dreier |
---|---|---|---|
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner | July 15-16, 2008 | 37% | 49% |
Colorado
4th District§
Incumbent: Marilyn Musgrave(R)
Source | Date | Democrat: Betsy Markey | Republican: Marilyn Musgrave |
---|---|---|---|
Grove Insight | September 8-10, 2008 | 47% | 38% |
Survey USA | August 22-24, 2008 | 50% | 43% |
Bennett, Petts & Normington | May 13-15, 2008 | 43% | 36% |
Connecticut
2nd District
Incumbent: Joe Courtney(D)
Source | Date | Democrat: Joe Courtney | Republican: Sean Sullivan |
---|---|---|---|
Connecticut Association of Realtors | September 8, 2008 | 52% | 20% |
4th District§
Incumbent: Chris Shays(R)
Source | Date | Democrat: Jim Himes | Republican: Chris Shays |
---|---|---|---|
Sacred Heart University | September 22-25, 2008 | 31% | 41% |
Feldman Group | September 17-18, 2008 | 45% | 45% |
Connecticut Association of Realtors | September 8, 2008 | 31% | 52% |
Delaware
At Large District
Incumbent: Mike Castle(R)
Source | Date | Democrat: Karen Hartley-Nagel | Republican: Mike Castle |
---|---|---|---|
West Chester University | October 6-8, 2008 | 27% | 66% |
Fairleigh Dickinson University | September 17-21, 2008 | 28% | 62% |
Florida
8th District
Incumbent: Ric Keller(R)
Source | Date | Democrat: Alan Grayson | Republican: Ric Keller |
---|---|---|---|
Kitchens Group | September 3-6, 2008 | 44% | 40% |
9th District
Incumbent: Gus Bilirakis(R)
Source | Date | Democrat: Bill Mitchell | Republican: Gus Bilirakis |
---|---|---|---|
Momentum Analysis | September 20-22, 2008 | 25% | 45% |
10th District
Incumbent: Bill Young(R)
Source | Date | Democrat: Bob Hackworth | Republican: Bill Young |
---|---|---|---|
Anzalone Lizst | September 7-11, 2008 | 33% | 50% |
13th District
Incumbent: Vern Buchanan(R)
Source | Date | Democrat: Christine Jennings | Republican: Vern Buchanan |
---|---|---|---|
Survey USA | September 30-October 1, 2008 | 33% | 49% |
Research 2000/Daily Kos | September 23-25, 2008 | 31% | 43% |
Feldman Group | September 22-23, 2008 | 40% | 44% |
Public Opinion Strategies | March 5-6, 2008 | 37% | 53% |
16th District§
Incumbent: Tim Mahoney(D)
Source | Date | Democrat: Tim Mahoney | Republican: Tom Rooney |
---|---|---|---|
Tarrance Group | September 7-8, 2008 | 48% | 41% |
18th District
Incumbent: Ileana Ros-Lehtinen(R)
Source | Date | Democrat: Annette Taddeo | Republican: Ileana Ros-Lehtinen |
---|---|---|---|
Telemundo | September 27-October 1, 2008 | 35% | 48% |
Research 2000/Daily Kos | September 23-25, 2008 | 36% | 53% |
Bendixen & Associates | June 6-22, 2008 | 31% | 58% |
21st District
Incumbent: Lincoln Diaz-Balart(R)
Source | Date | Democrat: Raul Martinez | Republican: Lincoln Diaz-Balart |
---|---|---|---|
Telemundo | October 2-8, 2008 | 43% | 48% |
Survey USA | August 24-26, 2008 | 48% | 46% |
Bendixen & Associates | June 6-22, 2008 | 37% | 41% |
24th District
Incumbent: Tom Feeney(R)
Source | Date | Democrat: Suzanne Kosmas | Republican: Tom Feeney |
---|---|---|---|
Hamilton Group | September 11-14, 2008 | 42% | 43% |
25th District
Incumbent: Mario Diaz-Balart(R)
Source | Date | Democrat: Joe Garcia | Republican: Mario Diaz-Balart |
---|---|---|---|
Telemundo | September 27-October 1, 2008 | 41% | 43% |
Research 2000/Daily Kos | September 23-25, 2008 | 41% | 45% |
Bendixen & Associates | June 6-22, 2008 | 39% | 44% |
Idaho
1st District
Incumbent: Bill Sali(R)
Source | Date | Democrat: Walt Minnick | Republican: Bill Sali |
---|---|---|---|
Harstad Strategic Research | September 25-28, 2008 | 44% | 38% |
Research 2000/Daily Kos | September 17-18, 2008 | 35% | 46% |
Harstad Strategic Research | September 9-11, 2008 | 43% | 38% |
Illinois
6th District
Incumbent: Peter Roskam(R)
Source | Date | Democrat: Jill Morgenthaler | Republican: Peter Roskam |
---|---|---|---|
Public Opinion Strategies | July 20-22, 2008 | 29% | 59% |
10th District
Incumbent: Mark Kirk(R)
Source | Date | Democrat: Dan Seals | Republican: Mark Kirk |
---|---|---|---|
Survey USA | October 4-5, 2008 | 52% | 44% |
Research 2000/Daily Kos | September 30-October 1, 2008 | 38% | 44% |
McLaughlin & Associates | September 10-11, 2008 | 29% | 51% |
Global Strategy Group | August 17-19, 2008 | 39% | 46% |
McLaughlin & Associates | June 9, 2008 | 32% | 53% |
McLaughlin & Associates | March 14-16, 2008 | 29% | 50% |
Garin-Hart-Yang | February 7-8, 2008 | 39% | 46% |
11th District
Incumbent: Jerry Weller(R)-retiring
Source | Date | Democrat: Debbie Halvorson | Republican: Martin Ozinga | Green: Jason Wallace |
---|---|---|---|---|
Public Opinion Strategies (R) | September 17-18, 2008 | 38% | 36% | |
Anzalone Liszt (D) | September 14-16, 2008 | 43% | 35% | 6% |
Anzalone-Liszt (D) | May 18-22, 2008 | 43% | 32% | 6% |
18th District
Incumbent: Ray LaHood(R)-retiring
Source | Date | Democrat: Colleen Callahan | Republican: Aaron Schock |
---|---|---|---|
Public Opinion Strategies | August 18-20, 2008 | 27% | 56% |
Indiana
2nd District
Incumbent: Joe Donnelly(D)
Source | Date | Democrat: Joe Donnelly | Republican: Luke Puckett |
---|---|---|---|
South Bend Tribune/ Research 2000 |
September 29-30, 2008 | 53% | 35% |
3rd District
Incumbent: Mark Souder(R)
Source | Date | Democrat: Mike Montagano | Republican: Mark Souder |
---|---|---|---|
Cooper and Secrest | April 24-27, 2008 | 28% | 55% |
7th District
Incumbent: André Carson(D)
Source | Date | Democrat: André Carson | Republican: Gabrielle Campo |
---|---|---|---|
Research 2000/WISH-TV | September 29-October 3, 2008 | 55% | 31% |
9th District
Incumbent: Baron Hill(D)
Source | Date | Democrat: Baron Hill | Republican: Mike Sodrel |
---|---|---|---|
Survey USA | October 4-5, 2008 | 53% | 38% |
Research 2000/WISH-TV | September 29-October 3, 2008 | 49% | 37% |
Survey USA | September 8-10, 2008 | 50% | 39% |
Survey USA | July 28-30, 2008 | 49% | 42% |
Survey USA | June 16-18, 2008 | 51% | 40% |
Kansas
1st District
Incumbent: Jerry Moran(R)
Source | Date | Democrat: James Bordonaro | Republican: Jerry Moran |
---|---|---|---|
Survey USA | August 17-19, 2008 | 13% | 77% |
2nd District§
Incumbent: Nancy Boyda(D)
Source | Date | Democrat: Nancy Boyda | Republican: Lynn Jenkins |
---|---|---|---|
Survey USA | August 19-21, 2008 | 50% | 43% |
Anzalone Lizst | May 12-15, 2008 | 57% | 27% |
4th District
Incumbent: Todd Tiahrt(R)
Source | Date | Democrat: Donald Betts | Republican: Todd Tiahrt |
---|---|---|---|
Survey USA | August 17-19, 2008 | 30% | 61% |
Kentucky
2nd District
Incumbent: Ron Lewis(R)-retiring
Source | Date | Democrat: David Boswell | Republican: Brett Guthrie |
---|---|---|---|
Survey USA | September 24-25, 2008 | 43% | 49% |
Garin-Hart-Yang | August 23-25, 2008 | 41% | 33% |
Survey USA | June 27-29, 2008 | 47% | 44% |
3rd District
Incumbent: John Yarmuth(D)
Source | Date | Democrat: John Yarmuth | Republican: Anne Northup |
---|---|---|---|
Survey USA | September 5-7, 2008 | 53% | 45% |
Survey USA | July 18-20, 2008 | 53% | 43% |
Survey USA | June 6-8, 2008 | 57% | 40% |
Voter/Consumer Research | June 4-8, 2008 | 51% | 43% |
4th District
Incumbent: Geoff Davis(R)
Source | Date | Democrat: Michael Kelley | Republican: Geoff Davis |
---|---|---|---|
Survey USA | September 30- October 1, 2008 | 36% | 58% |
Survey USA | June 28-30, 2008 | 41% | 54% |
Louisiana
6th District§
Incumbent: Don Cazayoux(D)
Source | Date | Democrat: Don Cazayoux | Republican: Bill Cassidy | Independent: Michael Jackson |
---|---|---|---|---|
Anzalone Lizst | September 17-21, 2008 | 48% | 32% | 9% |
Maine
1st District
Incumbent: Tom Allen(D)-Retiring
Source | Date | Democrat: Chellie Pingree | Republican: Charlie Summers |
---|---|---|---|
Moore Information | September 21-22, 2008 | 44% | 33% |
Maryland
1st District
Incumbent: Wayne Gilchrest(R)-Defeated in Primary
Source | Date | Democrat: Frank Kratovil | Republican: Andy Harris |
---|---|---|---|
Grove Insight | September 9-12, 2008 | 36% | 36% |
Finkelstein & Associates | July 15, 2008 | 28% | 44% |
Garin, Hart, & Yang | May 23-24, 2008 | 34% | 43% |
Moore Information | January 15-16, 2008 | 22% | 37% |
Michigan
7th District§
Incumbent: Tim Walberg(R)
Source | Date | Democrat: Mark Schauer | Republican: Tim Walberg |
---|---|---|---|
Beneson Strategy Group | October 6-7, 2008 | 43% | 35% |
Myers Research & Strategic Services | October 5-6, 2008 | 46% | 36% |
Myers Research & Strategic Services | September 23-24, 2008 | 42% | 36% |
EPIC-MRA | August 20-22, 2008 | 40% | 43% |
National Research | July 8-9, 2008 | 31% | 47% |
Myers Research & Strategic Services | May 8-15, 2008 | 37% | 40% |
EPIC-MRA | February 27-March 2, 2008 | 40% | 51% |
9th District§
Incumbent: Joe Knollenberg(R)
Source | Date | Democrat: Gary Peters | Republican: Joe Knollenberg |
---|---|---|---|
Greenberg, Quinlan, Rosner | October 6-7, 2008 | 43% | 40% |
Mitchell Research | September 30-October 2, 2008 | 43% | 43% |
Grove Insight | August 17-19, 2008 | 41% | 37% |
Minnesota
1st District
Incumbent: Tim Walz(D)
Source | Date | Democrat: Tim Walz | Republican: Brian Davis |
---|---|---|---|
Tarrance Group | September 17-18, 2008 | 50% | 32% |
Beneson Strategy Group | May 17-19, 2008 | 60% | 20% |
3rd District§
Incumbent: Jim Ramstad(R)-Retiring
Source | Date | Democrat: Ashwin Madia | Republican: Erik Paulsen |
---|---|---|---|
Survey USA | October 6-7, 2008 | 46% | 43% |
Bennett, Petts & Normington | September 29-30, 2008 | 44% | 39% |
Survey USA | August 26-August 28, 2008 | 41% | 44% |
Greenberg, Quinlan, Rosner | February 27-March 2, 2008 | 40% | 43% |
Mississippi
1st District
Incumbent: Travis Childers(D)
Source | Date | Democrat: Travis Childers | Republican: Greg Davis |
---|---|---|---|
Anzalone Lizst | September 7-10, 2008 | 51% | 39% |
Missouri
6th District
Incumbent: Sam Graves(R)
Source | Date | Democrat: Kay Barnes | Republican: Sam Graves |
---|---|---|---|
Survey USA | September 17-18, 2008 | 42% | 51% |
Survey USA | July 30-31, 2008 | 44% | 48% |
Survey USA | May 16-18, 2008 | 39% | 49% |
9th District
Incumbent: Kenny Hulshof(R)-retiring
Source | Date | Democrat: Judy Baker | Republican: Blaine Luetkemeyer |
---|---|---|---|
Global Strategy Group | October 5-7, 2008 | 40% | 36% |
Research 2000/Daily Kos | September 17-18, 2008 | 40% | 49% |
Survey USA | September 1-2, 2008 | 38% | 50% |
Momentum Analysis | August 12-14, 2008 | 41% | 39% |
Nebraska
2nd District
Incumbent: Lee Terry(R)
Source | Date | Democrat: Jim Esch | Republican: Lee Terry |
---|---|---|---|
Anzalone Liszt | July 27-August 2, 2008 | 38% | 47% |
Nevada
2nd District
Incumbent: Dean Heller(R)
Source | Date | Democrat: Jill Derby | Republican: Dean Heller |
---|---|---|---|
Research 2000 | October 3-6, 2008 | 41% | 48% |
Research 2000 | August 18-20, 2008 | 42% | 47% |
Mason Dixon | June 9-11, 2008 | 39% | 53% |
3rd District§
Incumbent: Jon Porter(R)
Source | Date | Democrat: Dina Titus | Republican: Jon Porter |
---|---|---|---|
Public Opinion Strategies | September 23-24, 2008 | 39% | 41% |
Anzalone Lizst | September 21-24, 2008 | 46% | 39% |
Anzalone Liszt | July 23-28, 2008 | 50% | 43% |
Mason Dixon | June 9-11, 2008 | 42% | 45% |
New Hampshire
1st District§
Incumbent: Carol Shea-Porter(D)
Source | Date | Democrat: Carol Shea-Porter | Republican: Jeb Bradley |
---|---|---|---|
Survey USA | October 4-5, 2008 | 50% | 41% |
St. Anselm College | September 25-30, 2008 | 35% | 42% |
Concord Monitor/Research 2000 | September 22-24, 2008 | 44% | 43% |
University of New Hampshire | September 14-21, 2008 | 42% | 45% |
University of New Hampshire | July 11-20, 2008 | 40% | 46% |
University of New Hampshire | April 25-30, 2008 | 39% | 45% |
2nd District
Incumbent: Paul Hodes(D)
Source | Date | Democrat: Paul Hodes | Republican: Jennifer Horn |
---|---|---|---|
St. Anselm College | September 25-30, 2008 | 35% | 18% |
Concord Monitor/Research 2000 | September 22-24, 2008 | 47% | 34% |
University of New Hampshire | September 14-21, 2008 | 38% | 26% |
Anzalone Lizst | September 14-18, 2008 | 50% | 32% |
Public Opinion Strategies | September 16-17, 2008 | 43% | 39% |
University of New Hampshire | July 11-20, 2008 | 43% | 23% |
University of New Hampshire | April 25-30, 2008 | 52% | 25% |
New Jersey
1st District
Incumbent: Rob Andrews(D)
Source | Date | Democrat: Rob Andrews | Republican: Dale Glading |
---|---|---|---|
Zogby International | September 18-20, 2008 | 73% | 16% |
2nd District
Incumbent: Frank LoBiondo(R)
Source | Date | Democrat: Tom Kurkowski | Republican: Frank LoBiondo |
---|---|---|---|
Zogby International | September 18-20, 2008 | 26% | 62% |
3rd District§
Incumbent: H. James Saxton(R)- Retiring
Source | Date | Democrat: Jon Adler | Republican: Chris Myers |
---|---|---|---|
Monmouth University | September 30-October 2, 2008 | 41% | 44% |
Zogby International | September 18-20, 2008 | 37% | 39% |
McLaughlin & Associates | September 8-9, 2008 | 29% | 33% |
5th District
Incumbent: Scott Garrett(R)
Source | Date | Democrat: Dennis Shulman | Republican: Scott Garrett |
---|---|---|---|
Research 2000/Daily Kos | September 17-18, 2008 | 34% | 49% |
7th District§
Incumbent: Mike Ferguson(R)- Retiring
Source | Date | Democrat: Linda Stender | Republican: Leonard Lance |
---|---|---|---|
Monmouth University | September 30-October 2, 2008 | 39% | 43% |
Anzalone Lizst | August 20-25, 2008 | 36% | 33% |
National Research | June 24-25, 2008 | 35% | 42% |
New Mexico
1st District§
Incumbent: Heather Wilson(R)- Retiring
Source | Date | Democrat: Martin Heinrich | Republican: Darren White |
---|---|---|---|
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner | September 22-23, 2008 | 50% | 46% |
Survey USA | August 26-28, 2008 | 51% | 46% |
Public Opinion Strategies | July 22-23, 2008 | 41% | 47% |
Greenberg, Quinlan & Rosner | June 29-July 2, 2008 | 47% | 44% |
Public Opinion Strategies | October 8-9, 2007 | 33% | 51% |
2nd District
Incumbent: Steve Pearce(R)- Retiring
Source | Date | Democrat: Harry Teague | Republican: Ed Tinsley |
---|---|---|---|
Research 2000/Daily Kos | September 30-October 1, 2008 | 47% | 43% |
Hamilton Campaigns | September 2-5, 2008 | 46% | 41% |
New York
25th District
Incumbent: James Walsh(R)-Retiring
Source | Date | Democrat: Dan Maffei | Republican: Dale Sweetland |
---|---|---|---|
Kiley & Company | October 2-3, 2008 | 49% | 31% |
Jeff Stonecash | April 26-27, 2008 | 37% | 36% |
26th District
Incumbent: Tom Reynolds(R)-Retiring
Source | Date | Democrat: Alice Kryzan | Republican: Christopher Lee |
---|---|---|---|
Survey USA | September 24-25, 2008 | 37% | 48% |
Brilliant Corners | September 15-17, 2008 | 39% | 29% |
29th District
Incumbent: Randy Kuhl(R)
Source | Date | Democrat: Eric Massa | Republican: Randy Kuhl |
---|---|---|---|
Benenson Strategy Group | October 6,2008 | 47% | 42% |
Survey USA | October 5,2008 | 51% | 44% |
McLaughlin & Associates | January 27-28, 2008 | 26% | 46% |
North Carolina
8th District§
Incumbent: Robin Hayes(R)
Source | Date | Democrat: Larry Kissell | Republican: Robin Hayes |
---|---|---|---|
Survey USA | October 4-5, 2008 | 49% | 41% |
Greenberg, Quinlan, Rosner | September 28-29, 2008 | 54% | 43% |
Public Opinion Strategies | September 23-25, 2008 | 46% | 43% |
Public Policy Polling | August 25-27, 2008 | 39% | 44% |
Public Opinion Strategies | August 4-5, 2008 | 40% | 50% |
Public Policy Polling | July 2-5, 2008 | 36% | 43% |
Anzalone Liszt | June 8-14, 2008 | 45% | 43% |
Service Employees International Union/ Center for American Progress/ Greenberg, Quinlan, Rosner |
November 13-15, 2007 | 49% | 47% |
Anzalone Liszt | June 16-20, 2007 | 43% | 45% |
10th District
Incumbent: Patrick McHenry(R)
Source | Date | Democrat: Daniel Johnson | Republican: Patrick McHenry |
---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | June 21-22, 2008 | 38% | 49% |
Ohio
1st District
Incumbent: Steve Chabot(R)
Source | Date | Democrat: Steve Driehaus | Republican: Steve Chabot |
---|---|---|---|
Research 2000/Daily Kos | September 30-October 1, 2008 | 46% | 44% |
Survey USA | September 19-21, 2008 | 44% | 46% |
Public Opinion Strategies | June 30-July 2, 2008 | 37% | 50% |
2nd District
Incumbent: Jean Schmidt](R)
Source | Date | Democrat: Victoria Wulsin | Republican: Jean Schmidt |
---|---|---|---|
Research 2000/Daily Kos | September 30-October 1, 2008 | 39% | 46% |
Momentum Analysis | September 29-30, 2008 | 36% | 37% |
Survey USA | September 19-21, 2008 | 40% | 48% |
Tarrance Group | September 8-9, 2008 | 36% | 52% |
Momentum Analysis | June 24-26, 2008 | 33% | 41% |
Tarrance Group | March 11-12, 2008 | 33% | 51% |
7th District
Incumbent: Dave Hobson(R)-retiring
Source | Date | Democrat: Sharen Neuhardt | Republican: Steve Austria |
---|---|---|---|
Tarrance Group | October 5-6, 2008 | 32% | 56% |
Cooper and Secrest | May 25-June 2, 2008 | 35% | 41% |
15th District§
Incumbent: Deborah Pryce(R)-retiring
Source | Date | Democrat: Mary Jo Kilroy | Republican: Steve Stivers |
---|---|---|---|
Greenberg, Quinlan, Rosner | September 30-October 1, 2008 | 44% | 36% |
Survey USA | September 19-21, 2008 | 47% | 42% |
Survey USA | August 2-4, 2008 | 47% | 44% |
Beneson Strategy Group | May 20-22, 2008 | 47% | 37% |
16th District§
Incumbent: Ralph Regula(R)-retiring
Source | Date | Democrat: John Boccieri | Republican: Kurt Schuring |
---|---|---|---|
Research 2000/Daily Kos | September 30-October 1, 2008 | 48% | 38% |
Survey USA | September 19-21, 2008 | 49% | 41% |
Tarrance Group | July 8-9, 2008 | 34% | 40% |
Pennsylvania
3rd District§
Incumbent: Phil English(R)
Source | Date | Democrat: Kathy Dahlkemper | Republican: Phil English |
---|---|---|---|
Survey USA | September 26-28, 2008 | 49% | 45% |
Momentum Analysis | July 8-10, 2008 | 41% | 40% |
4th District
Incumbent: Jason Altmire(D)
Source | Date | Democrat: Jason Altmire | Republican: Melissa Hart |
---|---|---|---|
Survey USA | October 5, 2008 | 54% | 42% |
Anzalone-Liszt | February 14, 2008 | 56% | 40% |
6th District
Incumbent: Jim Gerlach(R)
Source | Date | Democrat: Bob Roggio | Republican: Jim Gerlach |
---|---|---|---|
Public Opinion Strategies | August 19-21, 2008 | 28% | 57% |
Beneson Strategy Group | June 21-24, 2008 | 32% | 49% |
10th District
Incumbent: Chris Carney(D)
Source | Date | Democrat: Chris Carney | Republican: Chris Hacket |
---|---|---|---|
Momentum Analysis | September 29-October 1, 2008 | 50% | 36% |
Lycoming College | September 21-25, 2008 | 46% | 36% |
Survey USA | August 23-25, 2008 | 49% | 45% |
11th District§
Incumbent: Paul Kanjorski(D)
Source | Date | Democrat: Paul Kanjorski | Republican: Lou Barletta |
---|---|---|---|
Grove Insight | October 5-6, 2008 | 47% | 39% |
Susquehanna Polling & Research | October 2, 2008 | 47% | 39% |
Grove Insight | September 14-15, 2008 | 48% | 39% |
Franklin & Marshall College | September 9-14, 2008 | 35% | 44% |
Susquehanna Polling & Research | July 27-29, 2008 | 41% | 45% |
Susquehanna Polling & Research | March 27-29, 2008 | 42% | 47% |
Tennessee
7th District
Incumbent: Marsha Blackburn(R)
Source | Date | Republican: Tom Leatherwood | Republican: Marsha Blackburn |
---|---|---|---|
Ethridge & Associates | June 28-29, 2008 | 37% | 48% |
Texas
7th District
Incumbent: John Culberson (R)
Source | Date | Democrat: Michael Skelly | Republican: John Culberson |
---|---|---|---|
Greenberg, Quinlan, Rosner | September 7-9, 2008 | 37% | 44% |
IVR Polls | April 8, 2008 | 39% | 57% |
Greenberg, Quinlan, Rosner | December 5-12, 2007 | 33% | 52% |
10th District
Incumbent: Mike McCaul (R)
Source | Date | Democrat: Larry Joe Doherty | Republican: Mike McCaul |
---|---|---|---|
Goodwin, Simon & Victoria | September 28-30, 2008 | 38% | 43% |
IVR | June 2, 2008 | 46% | 52% |
Goodwin, Simon & Victoria | May 27-31, 2008 | 34% | 43% |
32nd District
Incumbent: Pete Sessions (R)
Source | Date | Democrat: Eric Roberson | Republican: Pete Sessions |
---|---|---|---|
IVR Polls | June 4, 2008 | 43% | 52% |
Utah
1st District
Incumbent: Rob Bishop(R)
Source | Date | Democrat: Morgan Bowen | Republican: Rob Bishop |
---|---|---|---|
Dan Jones & Associates/ Deseret News |
September 8-11, 2008 | 21% | 62% |
Dan Jones & Associates/ Deseret News |
May 13-19, 2008 | 19% | 58% |
2nd District
Incumbent: Jim Matheson(D)
Source | Date | Democrat: James Matheson | Republican: Bill Dew |
---|---|---|---|
Dan Jones & Associates/ Deseret News |
September 8-11, 2008 | 62% | 27% |
Dan Jones & Associates/ Deseret News |
May 13-19, 2008 | 67% | 20% |
3rd District
Incumbent: Chris Cannon(R) - defeated in primary
Source | Date | Democrat: Benion Spencer | Republican: Jason Chaffetz |
---|---|---|---|
Dan Jones & Associates/ Deseret News |
September 8-11, 2008 | 18% | 60% |
Dan Jones & Associates/ Deseret News |
May 13-19, 2008 | 18% | 46% |
Virginia
2nd District
Incumbent: Thelma Drake(R)
Source | Date | Democrat: Glenn Nye | Republican: Thelma Drake |
---|---|---|---|
Bennett, Petts & Normington | September 21-22, 2008 | 40% | 45% |
Bennett, Petts & Normington | May 6-8, 2008 | 32% | 48% |
5th District
Incumbent: Virgil Goode(R)
Source | Date | Democrat: Tom Perriello | Republican: Virgil Goode | Green: Sherman Wichter |
---|---|---|---|---|
Survey USA | October 6-7, 2008 | 42% | 55% | |
Survey USA | August 10-12, 2008 | 30% | 64% | 1% |
6th District
Incumbent: Bob Goodlatte(R)
Source | Date | Democrat: Sam Rasoul | Republican: Bob Goodlatte | Independent: Janice Lee Allen |
---|---|---|---|---|
Survey USA | August 11-13, 2008 | 30% | 59% | 3% |
11th District
Incumbent: Tom Davis(R)-retiring
Source | Date | Democrat: Gerry Connolly | Republican: Keith Fimian |
---|---|---|---|
Lake Research Partners | July 10-14, 2008 | 52% | 21% |
Washington
2nd District
Incumbent: Rick Larsen(D)
Source | Date | Democrat: Rick Larsen | Republican: Rick Bart |
---|---|---|---|
Survey USA | July 27-29, 2008 | 58% | 37% |
Survey USA | June 16-17, 2008 | 56% | 38% |
8th District§
Incumbent: Dave Reichert(R)
Source | Date | Democrat: Darcy Burner | Republican: Dave Reichert |
---|---|---|---|
Lake Research Partners | September 23-25, 2008 | 45% | 48% |
Survey USA | September 7-9, 2008 | 44% | 54% |
Survey USA | July 27-29, 2008 | 44% | 50% |
Survey USA | June 16-17, 2008 | 45% | 51% |
Wisconsin
8th District
Incumbent: Steve Kagen(D)
Source | Date | Democrat: Steve Kagen | Republican: John Gard |
---|---|---|---|
Survey USA | October 4-5, 2008 | 54% | 43% |
Public Opinion Strategies | September 17-18, 2008 | 46% | 45% |
Public Opinion Strategies | July 8-9, 2008 | 46% | 42% |
Wyoming
At Large District
Incumbent: Barbara Cubin(R)-Retiring
Source | Date | Democrat: Gary Trauner | Republican: Cynthia Lummis |
---|---|---|---|
Research 2000/Daily Kos | September 22-24, 2008 | 42% | 42% |
Research 2000/Daily Kos | May 20-21, 2008 | 44% | 41% |
Mason Dixon/ Casper Star Tribune |
January 18-21, 2008 | 41% | 40% |
Notes
§- Indicates a district that is included in the Seat to Watch section
Seats to Watch
-
Alabama 5th
Bud Cramer(D)-retiring
Elected: 1990
Latest Poll:
Parker Griffith(D) +5 -
Colorado 4th
Marilyn Musgrave(R)(I)
Elected: 2002
Latest Poll:
Betsy Markey(D) +9 -
Connecticut 4th
Christopher Shays(R)(I)
Elected: 1986
Latest Poll:
Shays +10 -
Florida 16th
Tim Mahoney(D)(I)
Elected: 2006
Latest Poll:
Mahoney +7 -
Kansas 2nd
Nancy Boyda(D)(I)
Elected: 2006
Latest Poll:
Boyda +7 -
Louisiana 6th
Don Cazayoux(D)(I)
Elected: 2008
Latest Poll:
Cazayoux +16 -
Michigan 7th
Tim Walberg(R)(I)
Elected: 2006
Latest Poll:
Mark Schauer(D) +8 -
Michigan 9th
Joe Knollenberg(R)(I)
Elected: 1992
Latest Poll:
Gary Peters(D) +3 -
Minnesota 3rd
Jim Ramstad(R)-retiring
Elected: 1990
Latest Poll:
Ashwin Madia(D) +3 -
Nevada 3rd
Jon Porter(R)(I)
Elected: 2002
Latest Poll:
Porter +2 -
New Hampshire 1st
Carol Shea-Porter(D)(I)
Elected: 2006
Latest Poll:
Porter +9 -
New Jersey 3rd
H. James Saxton(R)-retiring
Elected: 1992
Latest Poll:
Chris Myers(R) +3 -
New Jersey 7th
Mike Ferguson(R)-retiring
Elected: 2000
Latest Poll:
Leonard Lance(R) +4 -
New Mexico 1st
Heather Wilson(R)-retiring
Elected: 1998
Latest Poll:
Martin Heinrich(D) +4 -
North Carolina 8th
Robin Hayes(R)(I)
Elected: 1998
Latest Poll:
Larry Kissell(D) +8 -
Ohio 15th
Deborah Pryce(R)-retiring
Elected: 1992
Latest Poll:
Mary Jo Kilroy(D) +8 -
Ohio 16th
Ralph Regula(R)-retiring
Elected: 1972
Latest Poll:
John Boccieri(D) +10 -
Pennsylvania 3rd
Phil English(R)(I)
Elected: 2002
Latest Poll:
Kathy Dahlkemper(D) +4 -
Pennsylvania 11th
Paul Kanjorski(D)(I)
Elected: 1984
Latest Poll:
Kanjorski +8 -
Texas 22nd
Nick Lampson(D)(I)
Elected: 1996 -
Washington 8th
Dave Reichert(R)(I)
Elected: 2004
Latest Poll:
Reichert +3
House Predictions
110th Congress: D-236, R-199
111th Congressional Projection: D-237, R-183, TCTC-15
- AL-4
- AR-1
- AZ-2
- CA-18
- CO-2
- DE-1
- FL-10
- GA-7
- IA-2
- ID-1
- IL-3
- IN-4
- KS-2
- KY-4
- LA-2
- MD-1
- MI-7
- MO-3
- MS-1
- MT-1
- NC-5
- NE-3
- NJ-3
- NY-2
- OH-6
- OK-4
- OR-1
- PA-4
- SC-4
- TN-4
- TX-17
- UT-2
- VA-4
- WA-2
- WI-3
- TOTAL-140
- AZ-1
- FL-3
- ID-1
- IL-3
- LA-1
- MD-1
- MN-2
- NJ-1
- OH-1
- PA-2
- TX-2
- VA-3
- TOTAL-21
- AL-1
- CA-1
- CO-1
- FL-3
- IL-1
- LA-1
- MI-2
- MO-2
- NM-1
- NV-1
- NY-2
- OH-2
- PA-2
- WV-1
- WY-1
- TOTAL-22
- AK-1
- AZ-3
- CA-1
- CT-1
- GA-2
- IL-2
- IN-1
- KY-1
- MN-1
- MS-1
- NH-1
- NY-2
- OR-1
- PA-3
- TX-1
- VA-1
- WI-1
- TOTAL-24
- CT-1
- FL-1
- IL-1
- IN-3
- KS-1
- ME-1
- NH-1
- NY-3
- OH-1
- PA-1
- TOTAL-14
- AL-1
- AR-3
- AZ-2
- CA-33
- CO-4
- CT-2
- FL-7
- GA-4
- HI-2
- IA-3
- IL-9
- IN-1
- KY-1
- LA-2
- MA-10
- MD-6
- ME-1
- MI-6
- MN-4
- MO-4
- MS-2
- NC-7
- ND-1
- NJ-7
- NM-1
- NV-1
- NY-20
- OH-6
- OK-1
- OR-3
- PA-7
- RI-2
- SC-2
- SD-1
- TN-5
- TX-11
- UT-1
- VA-3
- VT-1
- WA-6
- WI-4
- WV-2
- TOTAL-199