Clarivate Citation Laureates

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Under the name Clarivate Citation Laureates (from 2002 to 2016 Thomson Reuters Citation Laureates ), the media group Clarivate (until 2016 from Thomson Reuters ) names scientists who are favorites because of their frequent citations in high-ranking scientific publications (journals with a high impact factor ) be classified for future Nobel Prize or other science awards . The list of favorites is published a few weeks before the Nobel Prizes are awarded.

In 2016, the underlying database was sold by Thomson Reuters to Clarivate Analytics . The company's website also provides the previous information under the heading Hall of Citation Laureates .

The Citation Laureates is not actually a science award. Mention is made on the basis of a quantitative analysis of literature references, not on the basis of academic achievements.

55 of the 336 named scientists - as of October 2019 - later actually won a Nobel Prize. In 2013 Thomson Reuters nominated Barry Sharpless , who had already won the 2001 Nobel Prize in Chemistry. In 2014, Thomson Reuters nominated Yoshinori Tokura for the second time - for his work on multiferroics . He had already been identified as a potential Nobel Prize winner in 2002 for his work on high-temperature superconductors . Even Stuart Schreiber was named twice: in 2006 and 2016 for Chemistry for Medicine.

Mentions

Scientists who actually won a Nobel Prize after being nominated are highlighted in bold, the year of the award in brackets and the subject, if it deviated from the proposed category. People marked with (†) died before they could have won a Nobel Prize. The percentages are as of September 2019.

year medicine physics chemistry economy Hit rate Cumulative hit rate
2002-
2005 		Michael Berridge (†), Alfred G. Knudson (†), Bert Vogelstein , Robert Allan Weinberg , Francis Collins , Eric Lander , Craig Venter , Yasutomi Nishizuka (†) Michael Boris Green , John Schwarz , Edward Witten , Yoshinori Tokura , Shuji Nakamura (2014) Robert Grubbs (2005), Adriaan Bax , Kyriacos Costa Nicolaou , George Whitesides , Seiji Shinkai , Fraser Stoddart (2016) Robert F. Engle (2003), Clive WJ Granger (2003), Daniel Kahneman (2002), Robert J. Barro , Eugene Fama (2013), Kenneth French , Paul Romer (2018), Richard Thaler (2017) 10/27 = 37.0% 10/27 = 37.0%
2006 Mario Capecchi (2007), Martin Evans (2007), Oliver Smithies (2007), Pierre Chambon , Ronald M. Evans , Elwood V. Jensen (†) Albert Fert (2007), Peter Grünberg (2007), Alan Guth , Andrei Dmitrijewitsch Linde , Paul Steinhardt , Emmanuel Desurvire , Masataka Nakazawa , David N. Payne Gerald Crabtree , Stuart Schreiber , Tobin Marks , David Evans , Steven Ley Paul Krugman (2008), Jagdish Bhagwati , Avinash Dixit , Dale Jorgenson , Oliver Hart (2016), Bengt Holmström (2016), Oliver E. Williamson (2009) 9/26 = 34.6% 19/53 = 35.8%
2007 Fred H. Gage , R. John Ellis , Franz-Ulrich Hartl , Arthur Horwich , Joan Massagué Solé Sumio Iijima , Arthur McDonald (2015), Martin Rees , Yōji Totsuka (†) Samuel Danishefsky , Dieter Seebach , Barry Trost Elhanan Helpman , Gene Grossman , Jean Tirole (2014), Robert B. Wilson , Paul Milgrom 2/17 = 11.8% 21/70 = 30.0%
2008 Shizuo Akira , Bruce Beutler (2011), Jules Hoffmann (2011), Victor Ambros , Gary Ruvkun , Rory Collins , Richard Peto Andre Geim (2010), Konstantin Novoselov (2010), Vera Rubin (†), Roger Penrose , Dan Shechtman (2011, chemistry) Charles M. Lieber , Krzysztof Matyjaszewski , Roger Tsien (2008) Lars Peter Hansen (2013), Thomas Sargent (2011), Christopher Sims (2011), Armen Alchian (†), Harold Demsetz (†), Martin S. Feldstein (†) 9/21 = 42.9% 30/91 = 33.0%
2009 Elizabeth Blackburn (2009), Carol W. Greider (2009), Jack Szostak (2009), James Rothman (2013), Randy Schekman (2013), Seiji Ogawa Yakir Aharonov , Michael Berry , John Pendry , Sheldon Schultz (†), David Smith , Juan Ignacio Cirac Sasturain , Peter Zoller Michael Graetzel , Jacqueline K. Barton , Bernd Giese , Gary Schuster , Benjamin List Ernst Fehr , Matthew Rabin , William D. Nordhaus (2018), Martin Weitzman (†), Jordi Galí , Mark Gertler 6/24 = 25% 36/115 = 31.3%
2010 Douglas Coleman (†), Jeffrey M. Friedman , Ernest McCulloch (†), James Till , Shin'ya Yamanaka (2012), Ralph M. Steinman (†) (2011) Charles L. Bennett , Lyman Page , David Spergel , Thomas Ebbesen , Saul Perlmutter (2011), Adam Riess (2011), Brian P. Schmidt (2011) Patrick O. Brown , Susumu Kitagawa , Omar Yaghi , Stephen Lippard Alberto Alesina (†), Nobuhiro Kiyotaki , John Hardman Moore , Kevin M. Murphy 5/21 = 23.8% 41/136 = 30.1%
2011 Brian Druker , Nicholas B. Lydon , Charles L. Sawyers , Robert Langer , Joseph P. Vacanti , Jacques Miller , Robert L. Coffman , Tim Mosmann Alain Aspect , John Clauser , Anton Zeilinger , Sajeev John , Eli Yablonovitch , Hideo Ōno Allen J. Bard , Martin Karplus (2013), Jean Fréchet , Donald A. Tomalia , Fritz Vögtle (†) Douglas W. Diamond , Anne O. Krueger , Gordon Tullock (†), Jerry Hausman , Halbert White (†) 1/24 = 4.2% 42/160 = 26.3%
2012 Richard O. Hynes , Erkki Ruoslahti , Masatoshi Takeichi , Tony Hunter , Anthony Pawson (†), Charles David Allis , Michael Grunstein Stephen E. Harris , Lene Hau , Leigh Canham , Charles H. Bennett , Gilles Brassard , William Wootters Louis Brus , Masatake Haruta , Graham Hutchings , Akira Fujishima Stephen Ross (†), Anthony Atkinson (†), Angus Deaton (2015), Robert J. Shiller (2013) 2/21 = 9.5% 44/181 = 24.3%
2013 Daniel J. Klionsky , Noboru Mizushima , Yoshinori Ōsumi (2016), Adrian Peter Bird , Howard Cedar , Aharon Razin (†), Dennis J. Slamon Geoffrey Marcy , Michel Mayor (2019), Didier Queloz (2019), Hideo Hosono , François Englert (2013), Peter Higgs (2013) Bruce Ames , A. Paul Alivisatos , Chad A. Mirkin , Nadrian C. Seeman , MG Finn , Valery V. Fokin , Barry Sharpless David F. Hendry , Mohammad Hashem Pesaran , Peter CB Phillips , Samuel Peltzman , Richard Posner , Joshua Angrist , David Card , Alan B. Krueger (†) 5/28 = 17.9% 49/209 = 23.4%
2014 James E. Darnell , David Julius , Charles Lee , Robert G. Roeder , Stephen W. Scherer , Robert Tjian , Michael H. Wigler Charles L. Kane , Laurens W. Molenkamp , Ramamoorthy Ramesh , James F. Scott , Yoshinori Tokura , Peidong Yang , Shoucheng Zhang (†) Graeme Moad , Charles T. Kresge , Ezio Rizzardo , Ryong Ryoo , Steven Van Slyke , Galen Stucky , Ching W. Tang , San Thang Philippe Aghion , William J. Baumol (†), Mark Granovetter , Peter W. Howitt , Israel M. Kirzner 0/27 = 0% 49/236 = 20.8%
2015 Jeffrey I. Gordon , Kazutoshi Mori , Peter Walter , Alexander Y. Rudensky , Shimon Sakaguchi , Ethan M. Shevach Paul Corkum , Ferenc Krausz , Deborah Jin (†), Zhong Lin Wang Carolyn Bertozzi , Emmanuelle Charpentier , Jennifer Doudna , John B. Goodenough (2019), M. Stanley Whittingham (2019) Richard W. Blundell , John List , Charles F. Manski 2/18 = 11.1% 51/254 = 20.1%
2016 James P. Allison (2018), Jeffrey A. Bluestone , Craig B. Thompson , Gordon J. Freeman , Tasuku Honjo (2018), Arlene Sharpe , Michael N. Hall , David M. Sabatini , Stuart Schreiber Marvin Cohen , Ronald Drever (†), Kip Thorne (2017), Rainer Weiss (2017), Celso Grebogi , Edward Ott , James Yorke George M. Church , Feng Zhang , Dennis Lo Yuk-Ming , Hiroshi Maeda , Yasuhiro Matsumura Olivier Blanchard , Edward Lazear , Marc Melitz 4/24 = 16.7% 55/278 = 19.8%
2017 Lewis C. Cantley , Karl J. Friston , Yuan Chang , Patrick S. Moore Phaedon Avouris , Cees Dekker , Paul McEuen , Mitchell Feigenbaum (†), Rashid Sunyaev John E. Bercaw , Robert Bergman , Georgi Borissowitsch Schulpin , Jens Nørskov , Tsutomu Miyasaka , Nam-Gyu Park , Henry J. Snaith Colin Camerer , George Loewenstein , Robert E. Hall , Michael Jensen , Stewart Myers , Raghuram Rajan 0/22 = 0% 55/300 = 18.3%
2018 Napoleone Ferrara , Minoru Kanehisa , Solomon H. Snyder David Awschalom , Arthur C. Gossard , Sandra M. Faber , Yury Gogotsi , Rodney S. Ruoff , Patrice Simon Eric N. Jacobsen , George M. Sheldrick , JoAnne Stubbe Manuel Arellano , Stephen R. Bond , Wesley M. Cohen , Daniel A. Levinthal , David M. Kreps 0/17 = 0% 55/317 = 17.4%
2019 Hans Clevers , John W. Kappler , Philippa Marrack , Ernst Bamberg , Karl Deisseroth , Gero Miesenböck Artur K. Ekert , Tony F. Heinz , John P. Perdew Rolf Huisgen (†), Morten P. Meldal , Edwin M. Southern , Marvin H. Caruthers , Leroy E. Hood , Michael W. Hunkapiller W. Brian Arthur , Søren Johansen , Katarina Juselius , Ariel Rubinstein 0/19 = 0% 55/336 = 16.4%
hit
rate 		15/95 = 15.8% 16/86 = 18.6% 6/76 = 7.9% 15/79 = 19.0% 55/336 = 16.4%

Web links

Individual evidence

  1. ↑ a b c Nobel Prize Predictions, 2002-09 (PDF, 97 kB) at timeshighereducation.co.uk; accessed on August 28, 2017.
  2. ↑ The Scientific Business Of Thomson Reuters Predicts Nobel Laureates , press release of October 1, 2008. ( Memento of November 11, 2014 in the Internet Archive )
  3. ↑ FACTBOX: Nobel predictions , September 25, 2009; accessed on August 28, 2017.
  4. ↑ Thomson Reuters Predicts Nobel Laureates , press release of September 21, 2010; accessed on August 28, 2017.
  5. ↑ Thomson Reuters Predicts Nobel Laureates , press release of September 21, 2011 ( Memento of November 11, 2014 in the Internet Archive )
  6. ↑ Thomson Reuters Predicts 2012 Nobel Laureates , press release of September 19, 2012 ( Memento of October 18, 2014 in the Internet Archive )
  7. ↑ 2013 Predictions, Thomson Reuters ( Memento from June 12, 2017 in the Internet Archive )
  8. ↑ Predictions, Thomson Reuters ( Memento July 7, 2017 in the Internet Archive )
  9. ↑ The 2015 Thomson Reuters Citation Laureates. In: stateofinnovation.com. Retrieved August 28, 2017 .
  10. ↑ The 2016 Thomson Reuters Citation Laureates. In: stateofinnovation.com. Retrieved August 28, 2017 .
  11. ↑ The 2017 Clarivate Citation Laureates. (No longer available online.) In: clarivate.com. Archived from the original on September 20, 2017 ; accessed on September 21, 2017 .
  12. ^ Clarivate Analytics Reveals Annual Forecast of Future Nobel Prize Recipients. In: clarivate.com. Clarivate Analytics, September 20, 2018, accessed September 20, 2018 .
  13. ^ The Web of Science Group Reveals Annual Citation Laureates of 'Nobel Class'. In: clarivate.com. Clarivate Analytics, September 24, 2019, accessed September 24, 2019 .